Investor Presentation • Nov 11, 2014
Investor Presentation
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November 11, 2014Dr. Wolf Schumacher, CEO – Hermann J. Merkens, CFO
Increasing competition in our lending buckets - as a consequence margin compression earlier than originally expected and early repayments of high margin loans will continue.
Partially offset by lower funding costs and -structure
We see moderately increasing property values and stable to slightly increasing rents in the majority of European countries but further NPL inflow mainly from our southern European portfolio
While Aareon is expected to be on track deposit business will suffer on segment reporting level – deposit volume supports funding and cheapens funding costs on group level
1) Total Loss Absorbing Capacity
| Q 3 2 0 1 4 |
Q 2 2 0 1 4 |
Q 1 2 0 1 4 |
Q 4 2 0 1 3 |
Q 3 2 0 1 3 |
C t o m m e n s |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € m n |
||||||
| N i i t t t e n e r e s n c o m e |
1 8 1 |
1 6 9 |
1 4 4 |
1 4 7 |
1 3 3 |
S N I I d l d t t t r o n g e v e o p m e n u e o P f l i h € b i Q '1 5 7 3 3 t t o r o o g r o w : n s n c e h f C l d i € b 3 t t e r e o o r e a c r e n ) 1 E l f f ( i € ) t t a r y r e p a y m e n e e c s n m n : Q / Q / Q / Q 3 1 3 2 8 1 4 4 1 0 : : : : / L f d i A L M t o e r n n g c o s s m e a s r e s w u u |
| N l l i i t e o a n o s s p r o v s o n s |
3 6 |
3 2 |
3 7 |
3 9 |
2 9 |
Q 3- L L P i l i i h i d t n n e w g u a n c e Q L L P f € d d j 1- 3 7 t t t o m n u e o a u s m e n i L I P f 1 t t t o m o r e c o n s e r v a v e a c o r : € i f i l l 6 m n s p e c c a o w a n c e s € 3 1 f l i l l t m n p o r o o a o a n c e s, w |
| N i i i t e c o m m s s o n n c o m e |
3 7 |
3 9 |
4 0 |
4 8 |
4 0 |
Q f f 4 i h l l t t r e g a r s e a s o n a e e c s w u |
| A d i m n e x p e n s e s |
1 0 9 |
1 1 4 |
1 0 2 |
9 9 |
9 4 |
B d d b l j d t t u r e n e y r e g u a o r y p r o e c s a n f f i i f C l d i t t t t o n e- o n e g r a o n c o s s o o r e a c r e |
| N i d i l l t e g a v e g o o w |
) 2 1 5 2 |
G f i i i i l l i d i t t a n r o m n a c o n s o a o n |
||||
| O i f i t t p e r a n g p r o |
6 6 |
6 5 |
) 2 2 1 7 |
5 8 |
4 8 |
P i i d l i d t t t o s e e e o p m e n c o n n e v v u |
1) Additional effects exceeding originally planned repayments
2) Adjusted
3) Additional effects exceeding originally planned repayments
| P & L C / S S t e g m e n |
Q 3 '1 4 |
Q 2 '1 4 |
Q 1 '1 4 |
Q 4 '1 3 |
Q 3 '1 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € m n |
|||||
| S l a e s r e v e n u e |
4 2 |
4 5 |
4 6 |
5 3 |
4 6 |
| O k i l i d t w n w o r c a p a s e |
2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| C h i i t a n g e s n n v e n o r y |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| O h i i t t e r o p e r a n g n c o m e |
2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| C f i l h d t t o s o m a e r a p r c a s e u |
6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| S f f t a e x p e n s e s |
3 2 |
3 2 |
3 2 |
3 4 |
3 0 |
| D A i i l t m p a r m e n o s s e s , , |
4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| R l i i t t t t e s u s a e q u y a c c. n v e s m |
- | - | - | 0 | - |
| O h i t t e r o p e r a n g e x p e n s e s |
1 2 |
1 4 |
1 2 |
1 3 |
1 2 |
| R l f i t t t e s u s r o m n e r e s d i i l a n s m a r |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| O i f i t t p e r a n g p r o |
-8 | -6 | -6 | 2 | -4 |
Unchanged low interest rate environment continues to burden segment results
Deposit taking business burdens segment performance
Upon breach of 11.5% (TCR incl. buffer) restrictions will be placed on all discretionary distributions (e.g. dividends)
-AT1 targeted depending on market conditions
1) Other possible Buffers are: Up to 5% targeted systemic risk buffer (set by member state)Up to 2.5% institution specific countercyclical buffer
14
=> We assume that a 1% O-SII risk buffer will apply to Aareal
Aareal Bank's CET1 above the respective threshold and the envisaged trigger for a potential AT1 issue
Dividend payments
Pro forma fully phased figures as at 30.09.2014
We tried to replicate the ECB test with our Corealcredit portfolio to the best of our knowledge but we can not rule out that the stress test results would vary if the Corealcredit portfolio would have been part of the original stress test.
€ bn
2) Liquidity position clearly exceeds 15% of the total balance sheet. This includes unencumbered
ECB-eligible assets, available excess cash at other banks as well as highly liquid government securities
3) Interbank includes reverse repos of € 1.6 bn17
1) CB: Central banks
2) Liquidity position clearly exceeds 15% of the total balance sheet. This includes unencumbered
ECB-eligible assets, available excess cash at otherbanks as well as highly liquid government securities
3) Interbank includes reverse repos of € 1.6 bn18
As at 30.09.2014
2) Additional effects exceeding originally planned repayments
Portfolio growth of € 5.7 bn since Q3 2013 (thereof € 3.0 bn Corealcredit1)) and still stable margins from the CRE business
FY guidance
Strong Aareon revenue regularly pushing Q4
High diversification and sound asset quality
| N P L- d L L P d l t a n e e o p m e n v |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € m n |
N P L 1) E p o s r e x u |
S i f i p e c c 1) A l l o a n c e s w |
P f l i t o r o o 2) A l l o a n c e s w |
|||||
| A l B k G 3 0. 0 6. 2 0 1 4 t a r e a a n r o u p a s a |
9 3 1 |
1 1 6 |
||||||
| G Q A l B k i l i i i 3 '1 4 t t a r e a a n r o p s a o n n u u |
-2 1 |
0 | ||||||
| A l B k G d d i i i Q '1 3 4 t a r e a a n r o u p a o n n |
5 3 |
3 | ||||||
| A l B k G 3 0. 0 9. 2 0 1 4 t a r e a a n r o p a s a u |
9 6 3 |
3 3 4 |
1 1 9 |
|||||
| C i i f i l l t o v e r a g e r a o s p e c c a o w a n c e s |
3 | 4, % 7 |
||||||
| 3 3 4 |
1 1 9 |
|||||||
| A l B k G 3 0. 0 9. 2 0 1 4 t a r e a a n r o u p a s a |
9 6 3 4 5 3 |
|||||||
| C i t o v e r a g e r a o i l. f l i l l t n c p o r o o a o w a n c e s |
4 0 % 7, |
1) Incl. property finance portfolio still on DEPFA's balance sheet
2) Portfolio allowances mainly reflect expected losses which are calculated on the bases of specific loans in most cases
€ 29.6 bn of high quality real estate assets
| i N l o m n a ( in € ) m n |
A L T V v e r a g e |
N P L ( in € ) m n |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| G r e e c e |
- | - | - |
| I l d r e a n |
- | - | - |
| I l t a y |
3, 1 3 3 |
2. 1 % 7 |
0 0 5 |
| P l t o r g a u |
- | - | - |
| S i p a n |
1, 0 6 7 |
8 8. 0 % |
9 7 |
NPL and NPL-ratio (since 12.2004)
30
Total volume outstanding as at 30.09.2014: € 2.6 bn
| 2 0 1 4 |
|
|---|---|
| N i i t t t e n e r e s n c o m e |
1 ) I d € 6 0 € 6 8 0 t 5 n c r e a s e o m n m n - 2 ) ( ) f € 6 1 0 € 6 4 0 r o m m n m n - |
| ) - 3 U h d € € d i f l i h 1 0 0 1 5 0 t t t t n c a n g e a m n m n e s p e p o r o o g r o w - |
|
| N l l i i t e o a n o s s p r o s o n s v |
f f U h l i d d d j t t t t t p p e r a o g e n r a n g e e p e c e e o a s m e n o m o r e v x u u i L I P f 1 t t c o n s e r a e a c o r v v |
| N i i i t e c o m m s s o n n c o m e |
S l i h l l i € € 1 6 0 1 7 0 t t t g y o w e r e x p e c a o n s : m n - ( f € € ) 1 7 0 1 8 0 r o m m n m n - |
| A d i m n e x p e n s e s |
U h d € € 4 3 0 4 5 0 t n c a n g e a m n m n - f f f C i l. l d i i i l d i t t t t n c o n e- o s r e a e o a c q u s o n o o r e a c r e |
| N i d i l l t e g a e g o o v w |
) 4 € 1 5 2 m n ~ |
| I f b i d i l i f h t t t t s r o n g s n e s s r e n m a e r a s e s r e r u u : |
|
| 5 ) i f i O t t p e r a n g p r o |
€ € h i b l 4 2 0 4 3 0 m n m n a c e a e v - Q 4 € 2 € 8 2 7 m n m n : ~ → - ~ |
| P R E t r e- a x o |
( f ) N 1 0 % l. i d i l l 9 % t o e c n e g a e g o o r o m w x v w ~ ~ |
| N b i i i i t e w u s n e s s o r g n a o n |
( f ) T i d € 1 0 b € 8 b € 9 b t a r g e r a s e n r o m n n : ~ - |
| O i f i A t t p e r a n g p r o a r e o n |
€ 2 6 m n ~ |
1) No recognition of interest payments for AT1
2) Including recognition of interest payments for AT1 in the course of H2 2014
3) As in 2013, the bank cannot rule out additional allowances for credit losses
404) Adjusted
5) Incl. negative goodwill of € 152 mn
Improve deposit ratio and covered bond (CB) ratio further avoiding capital market dependency
Focus on markets with LTV ratios of 60-70%, resulting in stable RWA and LtVs, higher CB-funding share, lower risk costs(but development in Southern Europe uncertain)Strengthen client relationships by leveraging new business through stronger cooperation via club deals and syndication
Enhance profit contribution
Continue cost discipline, but temporarily effected by project costs etc.
Optimise capital structure once regulatory guidelines are in place and markets are pricing instruments adequately
Aareal Bank'saction plan
Measures in detail (1/2)
| 1 F d i n n g u t t s r a e g y |
I d i f h i i i l h i i d f € b 6 t t t t t t n c r e a s e e p o s s r o m e n s u o n a o u s n g n u s r y r o m n ~ i € b i l 2 0 1 2 7 2 0 1 5 t t n o n u n > C B f d i h f b i i l l i i l i i d t t t u n n g s a r e o n e w u s n e s s w n c r e a s e o v e r m e m e o - , / 0 % l l i 5 t t t t m a x. c o v e r p o o o a a s s e s r a o S i d h l l f d i / l i i l l i l t t t t t e n o r u n s e c u r e w o e s a e u n n g o a a s s e s r a o w e m p o r a r y g o f ( ) d h d i l l b l 1 0 % 3 1. 1 2 2 0 1 2 6 % t t o w n u r e r a n w s a y e o w : ~ |
|
|---|---|---|
| 2 C R E n e w b i s n e s s u |
K i i i b i i h L T V 6 0 % 7 0 % t t e e p o r g n a n g n e s n e s s m a w u w x. - T b i i h L T V d b i 6 5 % 2 0 0 t t a r g e a e r a g e n e s n e s s a n p s g r o s s m a r g n v w u w ~ f F X t t a e r c o s s T h i h, f k i h h d l t t t t t- t r e e c o n n e n a p p r o a c o c s o n m a r e s s o r e r m e o r o u w w i i h h h f i i l i i d l b l i d t t t t t t t t n e g a v e s w n g s r o u g o u e n a n c a c r s s a n a e a s a s a e m e r m l k l i i l R W A i t t t o u o o r e s u n g n o w c o n s u m p o n L d f f l i i h h i h L T V i l k i l l t t t t t o n g e r m r u n- o w n o p o r o o s w g e r s o r n e g a v e o u o o w / f l i d i R W A i d i l l i t t t r e s u n a e c r e a s n g e x p o s u r e r a o a n w r e e u p e q u y S h l i l i h i b l i b i h h t t t t t r e n g e n c e n r e a o n s p s y e v e r a g n g n e w u s n e s s r o u g i i l b d l d d i i d h i h t t t t s r o n g e r c o o p e r a o n a c e a s a n s n c a o n o p r o c e a g e r v u y u i i i i f l i t t t o r g n a o n c a p a c o r o r c e n s y u |
|
| 1) As blis he d F eb pu |
20 13 rua ry |
| 3 A a r e o n |
C l k i f h i i t t t t o s e r a c n g o e r a n s o i h l d l i t n- o u s e o r c o u s o u o n O i i i t t n g o n g n e s m e n s n n e v w d h d f l i t t t e x p a n e p r o u c p o r o o o E l f h b i t p o r e r e r s n e s s o p p o x u u I E B I T d E B I T m p r o e a n m a r g v |
G S S f E W d i i t n r o m o o s g m a a s a n i i b d k d t t t o r e s n g p r o c s o e e p a n x y u l h l l l t t t n a e s e c n o o g y e v e i i t t r n e s u i n |
|---|---|---|
| 4 C b t o s a s e |
C l k i f h t t t o s e r a c n g o e r a n s i h l d l i t n- o s e o r c o s o o n u u u C h O l l h d h h h i i i i t t t a e n g n o g e n s g a n e e a s m e r o n u s g n n e g v d f l i l t t t t p r o c p o r o o o n a e s u K h i b l b t t e e p e c o s s n a a n c e u , f E l h b i t p o r e r e r s n e s s o x u u T C I R f S P F t t a r g e o r s e g m e n I E B I T d E B I T m p r o v e a n m |
i i f G E S W d i S i t t o n r o m o o s g m a a s a n h l i i b d k d d h t t t t t t e o r r r e e g u s a n o g r y c p o r s o s c s o e e p a n e p a n e w x y u x h l l l t e c n o o g e e y v i l f f d b j t t t t t t e m p o r a r y e e c e y p r o e c c o s s e c. i i t t p p o r n e s u l i 4 0 % 2 0 1 5 t c o s e o n i a r g n |
| 5 C i l t a p a t t s r c r e u u |
O i i i l t t t t p m s e c a p a s r u c u r e o n c d l l i t t t t a x a n e g a r e a m e n a r e n k i i i t t m a r e s a r e p r c n g n s r m e n u |
h i l l i d l i t t e e c n c a r e g u a o r y g u e n e s, l d p a c e a n d l t t s a e q a e u y |
| 1) As blis he d F eb pu |
20 13 rua ry |
| 2 0 1 4 |
/ 2 0 1 5 2 0 1 6 |
|
|---|---|---|
| T i 1 i t e r r a o S C I F R & R R f l l h d u y p a s e |
1 4 0 1 0 % 5 - ( d t a s r e p o r e , i l. t. n c m g m b f f ) u e r |
L t o n g e r m t t a r g e : 1 2 2 % 5 > ( f b t. e o r e m g m b f f ) u e r |
| C I R |
4 0 % ~ S ( P F ) |
4 0 % ~ S ( P F ) |
| E B I T i m a r g n |
1 4 % ~ ( A ) a r e o n |
1 7 5 % > ( A ) a r e o n |
| P R O E t r e- a x |
1 0 % ~ |
1 2 % ~ |
| C f i t t o s o e q u y ( ) t n e |
9 1 0 % - |
1) Total Loss Absorbing Capacity
| Qu te 3 ar r |
Q te 3 ua r r |
C ha ng e |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 0 1 4 |
2 0 1 4 |
||
| € m n |
€ m n |
||
| Pr f i d lo t a t o n ss a cc ou n |
|||
| Ne in inc t te t re s om e |
1 8 1 |
1 3 3 |
3 6 % |
| A l low fo d i los t an ce r c re se s |
3 6 |
2 9 |
2 4 % |
| Ne in in f l lo fo d i lo t te t te t re s co m e a r a w an ce r c re ss es |
1 4 5 |
1 0 4 |
3 9 % |
| Ne iss ion inc t c om m om e |
3 7 |
4 0 |
8 % - |
| Ne l he dg ing t r t o t es n e ac co un u |
0 | 0 | - |
| Ne d ing inc / e t tra om e xp en se s |
-5 | 3 | - |
| Re l fro d ing ts -tr ts su m n on a a ss e |
0 | 2 - |
- |
| Re l fro inv d fo i ts tm ts te t e ty su m es en a cc ou n r a q u |
0 | - | |
| A dm in is ive tra t e xp en se s |
1 0 9 |
9 4 |
1 6 % |
| Ne he ing inc / e t o t t r o p er a om e xp en se s |
-2 | 3 - |
3 3 % - |
| Ne ive dw i l l t g a g oo |
- | ||
| Op in Pr f i t t er a g o |
6 6 |
4 8 |
3 8 % |
| Inc ta om e xe s |
2 1 |
1 5 |
4 0 % |
| in / Ne t lo co m e ss |
4 5 |
3 3 |
3 6 % |
| f r A l lo io l t ts ca n o es u |
|||
| Ne inc / los i bu b le l l ing in t t tr ta to tro te ts om e s a n on -c on re s |
4 | 5 | - |
| Ne inc / los i bu b le ha ho l de f Aa l Ba k A G t t tr ta to om e s a s re rs o re a n |
4 1 |
2 8 |
4 6 % |
| Ap ia io f p f i t ts p ro p r n o ro |
|||
| S So i len h ip i bu ion by F F in t p tn tr t ar er s co n |
5 | 5 | 0 % |
| Co i in f i / a l da te d ta d t la te d lo ns o re e p ro cc um u ss |
3 6 |
2 3 |
5 7 % |
| S tru c Pr op F in an |
d tu re ty er in c g |
Co ns u Se rv |
l in / t g ice s |
Co l i ns o Re co nc |
da io / t n i l ia io t n |
Aa re a Gr |
l Ba k n ou p |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 1. 0 7. - |
0 1. 0 7. - |
0 1. 0 7. - |
0 1. 0 7. - |
0 1. 0 7. - |
0 1. 0 7. - |
0 1. 0 7. - |
0 1. 0 7. - |
|
| 3 0. 0 9. |
3 0. 0 9. |
3 0. 0 9. |
3 0. 0 9. |
3 0. 0 9. |
3 0. 0 9. |
3 0. 0 9. |
3 0. 0 9. |
|
| 2 0 1 4 |
2 0 1 3 |
2 0 1 4 |
2 0 1 3 |
2 0 1 4 |
2 0 1 3 |
2 0 1 4 |
2 0 1 3 |
|
| € m n |
||||||||
| Ne in inc t te t res om e |
1 8 2 |
1 3 1 |
0 | 0 | 1 - |
2 | 1 8 1 |
1 3 3 |
| A l low fo d i los t an ce r c re se s |
3 6 |
2 9 |
3 6 |
2 9 |
||||
| Ne in in f l lo fo d i lo t te t te t re s co m e a r a an ce r c re ss es w |
1 4 6 |
1 0 2 |
0 | 0 | 1 - |
2 | 1 4 5 |
1 0 4 |
| Ne iss ion inc t c om m om e |
1 | 2 | 3 6 |
4 0 |
0 | 2 - |
3 7 |
4 0 |
| Ne l he dg ing t r t o t es u n e ac co un |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Ne d ing inc / e t tra om e xp en se s |
-5 | 3 | -5 | 3 | ||||
| fro Re l d ing ts tra ts su m no n- a ss e |
0 | 2 - |
0 | 2 - |
||||
| Re l fro inv d fo i ts tm ts te t e ty su m es en a cc ou n r a q u |
0 | 0 | ||||||
| A dm in is ive tra t e xp en se s |
6 4 |
5 0 |
4 6 |
4 4 |
1 - |
0 | 1 0 9 |
9 4 |
| Ne he ing inc / e t o t t r o p er a om e xp en se s |
4 - |
3 - |
2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 - |
3 - |
| Ne ive dw i l l t g a g oo |
||||||||
| Op in f i t t er a g p ro |
7 4 |
5 2 |
8 - |
4 - |
0 | 0 | 6 6 |
4 8 |
| Inc ta om e xe s |
2 3 |
1 6 |
2 - |
1 - |
2 1 |
1 5 |
||
| / Ne in lo t co m e ss |
5 1 |
3 6 |
6 - |
3 - |
0 | 0 | 4 5 |
3 3 |
| A l lo io f r l t ts ca n o es u |
||||||||
| / Ne inc los i bu b le l l ing in t t tr ta to tro te ts om e s a n on -c on res |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ne inc / los i bu b le ha ho l de f Aa l Ba k A G t t tr ta to om e s a s re rs o rea n |
4 7 |
3 2 |
6 - |
4 - |
0 | 0 | 4 1 |
2 8 |
| 0 1. 0 1. - 3 0. 0 9. 2 0 1 4 |
0 1. 0 1. - 3 0. 0 9. 2 0 1 3 |
C ha ng e |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| € m n |
€ m n |
||
| f i Pr d lo t a t o n ss a cc ou n |
|||
| Ne in inc t te t re s om e |
4 9 4 |
3 8 0 |
3 0 % |
| fo A l low d i los t an ce r c re se s |
1 0 5 |
4 7 |
4 2 % |
| Ne in in f l lo fo d i lo t te t te t re s co m e a r a w an ce r c re ss es |
3 8 9 |
3 0 6 |
2 7 % |
| Ne iss ion inc t c om m om e |
1 1 6 |
1 1 7 |
1 % - |
| Ne l he dg ing t r t o t es u n e ac co un |
3 | 3 - |
- |
| Ne d ing inc / e t tra om e xp en se s |
-1 | 1 4 |
- |
| Re l fro d ing ts -tr ts su m n on a a ss e |
0 | 8 - |
- |
| Re l fro inv d fo i ts tm ts te t e ty su m es en a cc ou n r a q u |
0 | - | |
| A dm in is ive tra t e xp en se s |
3 2 5 |
2 6 7 |
1 8 % |
| Ne he ing inc / e t o t t r o p er a om e xp en se s |
1 4 |
1 0 - |
- |
| Ne ive dw i l l t g a g oo |
1 5 2 |
- | |
| Op in Pr f i t t er a g o |
3 4 8 |
1 4 0 |
1 4 9 % |
| Inc ta om e xe s |
6 2 |
4 4 |
4 1 % |
| / Ne in lo t co m e ss |
2 8 6 |
9 6 |
1 9 8 % |
| A l lo io f r l t ts ca n o es u |
|||
| / Ne inc los i bu b le l l ing in t t tr ta to tro te ts om e s a n on -c on re s |
1 4 |
1 5 |
% 7 - |
| / f G Ne inc los i bu b le ha ho l de Aa l Ba k A t t tr ta to om e s a s re rs o re a n |
2 7 2 |
8 1 |
2 3 6 % |
| Ap ia io f p f i t ts p ro p r n o ro |
|||
| S i len h ip i bu ion by So F F in t p tn tr t ar er s co n |
1 5 |
1 5 |
0 % |
| Co / a l i da d in d f i la d lo te ta t te ns o re e p ro cc um ss u |
2 5 7 |
6 6 |
2 8 9 % |
| S tru c Pr op F in an |
tu d re ty er in c g |
Co ns u Se rv |
l in / t g ice s |
Co l i ns o Re co nc |
da io / t n i l ia io t n |
Aa re a Gr |
l Ba k n ou p |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 1. 0 1.- |
0 1. 0 1.- |
0 1. 0 1.- |
0 1. 0 1.- |
0 1. 0 1.- |
0 1. 0 1.- |
0 1. 0 1.- |
0 1. 0 1.- |
|
| 3 0. 0 9. |
3 0. 0 9. |
3 0. 0 9. |
3 0. 0 9. |
3 0. 0 9. |
3 0. 0 9. |
3 0. 0 9. |
3 0. 0 9. |
|
| 2 0 1 4 |
2 0 1 3 |
2 0 1 4 |
2 0 1 3 |
2 0 1 4 |
2 0 1 3 |
2 0 1 4 |
2 0 1 3 |
|
| € m n |
||||||||
| Ne in inc t te t res om e |
4 9 3 |
3 3 7 |
0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 9 4 |
3 8 0 |
| fo A l low d i los t an ce r c re se s |
1 0 5 |
7 4 |
1 0 5 |
7 4 |
||||
| Ne in in f l lo fo d i lo t te t te t re s co m e a r a w an ce r c re ss es |
3 8 8 |
2 9 9 |
0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 8 9 |
3 0 6 |
| Ne iss ion inc t c om m om e |
3 | 7 | 1 1 6 |
1 1 8 |
3 - |
8 - |
1 1 6 |
1 1 7 |
| Ne l he dg ing t r t o t es u n e ac co un |
3 | 3 - |
3 | 3 - |
||||
| / e Ne d ing inc t tra om e xp en se s |
-1 | 1 4 |
-1 | 1 4 |
||||
| Re l fro d ing ts tra ts su m no n- a ss e |
0 | 8 - |
0 | 8 - |
||||
| Re l fro inv d fo i ts tm ts te t e ty su m es en a cc ou n r a q u |
0 | 0 | ||||||
| A dm in is ive tra t e xp en se s |
1 8 8 |
1 4 7 |
1 3 9 |
1 3 0 |
2 - |
1 - |
3 2 5 |
2 7 6 |
| Ne he ing inc / e t o t t r o p er a om e xp en se s |
1 1 |
9 - |
3 | 1 - |
0 | 0 | 1 4 |
1 0 - |
| Ne ive dw i l l t g a g oo |
1 5 2 |
1 5 2 |
||||||
| f Op in i t t er a g p ro |
3 6 8 |
1 5 3 |
2 0 - |
1 3 - |
0 | 0 | 3 4 8 |
1 4 0 |
| Inc ta om e xe s |
6 8 |
4 7 |
6 - |
3 - |
6 2 |
4 4 |
||
| Ne in / lo t co m e ss |
3 0 0 |
1 0 6 |
1 4 - |
1 0 - |
0 | 0 | 2 8 6 |
9 6 |
| f r A l lo io l t ts ca n o es u |
||||||||
| / Ne inc los i bu b le l l ing in t t tr ta to tro te ts om e s a n on -c on res |
1 2 |
1 3 |
2 | 2 | 1 4 |
1 5 |
||
| Ne inc / los i bu b le ha ho l de f Aa l Ba k A G t t tr ta to om e s a s re rs o rea n |
2 8 8 |
9 3 |
1 6 - |
1 2 - |
0 | 0 | 2 2 7 |
8 1 |
| ruc | ed P an |
ert y g |
Co / Se ult ing rvi ns ce s |
Co oli da tio n / ns Re ilia tio co nc |
Aa l B k G rea an rou p |
||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q 3 |
Q 2 |
Q 1 |
Q 4 |
Q 3 |
Q 3 |
Q 2 |
Q 1 |
Q 4 |
Q 3 |
Q 3 |
Q 2 |
Q 1 |
Q 4 |
Q 3 |
Q 3 |
Q 2 |
Q 1 |
Q 4 |
Q 3 |
| 20 14 |
20 14 |
20 14 |
20 13 |
20 13 |
20 14 |
20 14 |
20 14 |
20 13 |
20 13 |
20 14 |
20 14 |
20 14 |
20 13 |
20 13 |
20 14 |
20 14 |
20 14 |
20 13 |
20 13 |
| 182 | 168 | 143 | 146 | 13 1 |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 - |
1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 1 |
169 | 144 | 147 | 133 |
| 36 | 32 | 37 | 39 | 29 | 36 | 32 | 37 | 39 | 29 | ||||||||||
| 10 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 40 | 40 | 47 | 40 | 0 | 2 - |
1 - |
2 - |
2 - |
37 | 39 | 40 | 48 | 40 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 - |
0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 - |
0 | ||||||||||
| 5 - |
2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | ||||||||||
| -2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 68 | 56 | 54 | 50 | 46 | 47 | 46 | 47 | 44 | 1 - |
1 - |
0 | 2 - |
0 | 109 | 114 | 102 | 99 | 94 |
| 3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| - | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1) 152 |
1) 152 |
||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 71 | 1) 22 3 |
56 | 52 | 8 - |
6 - |
6 - |
2 | 4 - |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 1) 21 7 |
58 | 48 | |
| 23 | 23 | 22 | 18 | 16 | 2 - |
2 - |
2 - |
0 | 1 - |
21 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 15 | |||||
| 51 | 48 | 1) 20 1 |
38 | 36 | 6 - |
4 - |
4 - |
2 | 3 - |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 1) 19 7 |
40 | 33 | |
| 5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| - | - | - | - | 28 | |||||||||||||||
| 14 6 0 0 -4 4 47 |
St 13 6 0 1 - 4 44 |
tur Fin 10 6 0 16 4 1) 197 |
rop cin 10 7 0 0 1 - 3 35 |
10 2 -2 3 - 4 32 |
0 2 0 6 |
0 1 1 5 |
0 0 1 5 |
0 2 1 1 |
0 0 1 4 |
1 - 0 0 |
1 0 0 |
1 0 0 |
n 1 1 - 0 |
2 0 0 |
14 5 0 0 2 - 4 41 |
13 7 0 0 65 44 5 39 |
10 7 0 16 5 1) 192 |
10 8 0 0 0 4 36 |
| O b j i f S F F i t t e c e o r o n s p p o r v u |
G f i l i t t t o e r n m e n g a r a n e e a c v u y |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A h h h i h f h f i i l i i i l t t t t t t e a e e g o e n a n c a c r s s n e a r y A l h d d i l b l 2 0 0 9 t a r e a a r a w n o n s u p p o r a v a a e i h i h f k t t t t w n e s c o p e o a g o v e r n m e n p a c a g e o b i l i h f i i l i t t t s a s e e n a n c a s e r c e s s e c o r. v T h b j i h A l 's t t t t t e o e c v e w a s o p r o e c e a r e a i b l f i b l b i i h t t t s s a n a p r o a e s n e s s n a a s a u y u w w d i f f i l k i h i t t t t t t e r c m a r e e n r o n m e n a e m e v y u v A l i d l f i l € 2 3 7 t t t t a r e a p a a o a o a p p r o x m a e y m n o S d i i d f F F i t t t t t a e n n e r e s a n g a r a n e e e e s o o n. u |
V l € 4 b o u m e n : F i b d t r s o n : f / € 2 b l l l d i 0 3 2 0 0 9 n p a c e n u y , / € 8 0 0 i l l d d i 0 7 2 0 1 1 t t m n p a r a y e n e r e n € b d / 1. 2 0 3 2 0 1 2 t n m a u r e S d b d e c o n o n : € b b k / 2 0 7 2 0 1 0 t n o n o o w n o o l d i / 0 4 2 0 1 1 t e a r y r e e m p o n ( i i l l i ) 0 5 0 6 2 0 1 3 t o r g n a y m a u r n g |
|||||
| S i l t e n p a r |
i i i t t c p a o n |
|||||
| O i i l l € 2 5 5 r g n a o m e m n v u : C ( d d i b l ) 9 % t t o p o n a e c e u : x u G d f h d C E T i l i l d f 1 2 0 1 7 t t t r a n a e r e a s c a p a u n e n o N d i i d d d i 2 0 0 9 d 2 0 1 0 t o v e n p a y m e n s u r n g a n f d i o r p r e c e n g e a r s y |
€ m n 6 0 0 5 0 0 -1 5 0 5 5 2 4 0 0 -7 5 3 7 5 3 0 0 3 0 0 -3 0 0 |
53
1) Adjusted relative to the capital increase
Source: ECB webpage
1) As published October 27, 2014
No Join-up effect incorporation of the AQR results into the stress test leads to no adjustments
In all stress scenarios capital ratios are significantly above the respective thresholds
1) As published October 27, 2014
Pro forma assumptions / parameters of the model
Pro forma fully phased midterm target figures excluding SoFFin based on internal assumptions about midterm capital, RWA and portfolio development. Hence those figures:
(a) include management assumptions about the future development of the company and (b) are not based an a static balance sheet used in the ECB stress test.
We tried to replicate the ECB test with a portfolio end 2016 to the best of our knowledge but we can not rule out that the results of a stress test with that portfolio as an input would lead to other results than the 24% CET decreaseleading to a 259 bp reduction.
In general, the nominal bp reduction is mainly driven by the ingoing CET ratio whereby a lower ratio leads to a lower nominal bp reduction even if the percentage result is the same. The percentage change of the CET ratio as the stress test result is the better indicator than the nominal bp deduction.
3
Aareal Bank's CET1 will be above all the respective thresholds and the envisaged trigger for a potential AT1 issue
The transaction represents an attractive opportunity for Aareal Bank Group to pursue inorganic growth as it is creating shareholder value and EpS accretive from day one
Aareal Bank Group acquires Coreal, which has been successfully realigned and refocused on its core business by its previous owner, in a favourable market environment at a conservative price
Coreal is a well digestible addition to Aareal Bank Group. Legacy risks have been conservatively evaluated and comprehensively ring-fenced
Our mid-term targets and our goal to resume an active dividend policy remain unchanged
With the acquisition of Coreal, Aareal Bank Group further strengthens its position as a leading commercial real estate lender
The acquisition of Coreal from existing excess capital demonstrates the strength and strategic capacity of Aareal Bank Group
1) As published December 2013
Transaction in line with mid-term RoE target: midterm pre-tax RoE target confirmed at ~12%
62
1) As published December 2013
2) Fully phased incl. IFRS and CRD IV
3) Negative goodwill and additional net income until 2016 including ppa amortisation
1) Excl. market risk
2) Exposure to Retail amounts to € 18 mn
3) Exposure to Sovereigns amounts to € 15 mn
664) Exposure to investment shares amounts to € 4 mn
Allocated (average) equity
Allocated Equity
Average of:
Investor RelationsPhone: +49 611 348 [email protected]
© 2014 Aareal Bank AG. All rights reserved.
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