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Aareal Bank AG

Investor Presentation Feb 25, 2016

11_ip_2016-02-25_366c220d-b50a-4c11-bde2-d8b49b5b5d5a.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Annual Analyst Conference Preliminary 2015 results

February 25, 2016 Hermann J. Merkens, CEO

Agenda

  • Results 2015 What we achieved
  • Outlook 2016 What we have targeted
  • "Aareal 2020" How we will develop further

Highlights Aareal Bank with another record year

Highlights

  • In a challenging environment positive development sustained: Record year concluded by strong Q4
  • Driven by net interest income and acquisitions: Benefiting from one offs related to high early repayments and the negative goodwill from the acquisition of WestImmo
  • Adequate participation of shareholders: Strong increase of dividend proposed
  • Value-creating integration of acquisitions: Integration of Corealcredit completed, integration of WestImmo in line
  • New business target exceeded: Despite strong competition attractive new business opportunities taken
  • Development of IT business as planned: Aareon is extending it's strong market position further

3

Environment 2015

Our assumptions turned out to be valid

Assumptions for guidance 2015 (02/2015) Reality 2015
Slight world economic recovery will continue but
with different regional speed
US-recovery continued, Europe stuck close to
deflation but GDP growth somewhat faster,
China's economic growth was slowing down
Low interest rates will continue to burden markets
but different development of interest rate levels
expected in Europe and the US
Increasing divergences in monetary policy
between ECB and FED/BOE in a low interest
environment
Inflation pressure and ECB's QE-program will
have an impact on capital markets: fighting
deflation and risking asset bubbles in Europe
ECB's QE was prolonged and extended, having an
impact on capital markets -
risking asset bubbles
Euro will further weaken by ECB's monetary
programs
Depreciation of Euro against the US-Dollar and
British Pound
Geo-political risks will burden the markets Geopolitical risks and tensions still unsolved e.g.
towards Russia and additional challenges ahead
Regulatory environment more predictable but still
with further uncertainties (e.g. RWA-floors, TLAC1)
,
etc.)
Regulatory environment became more predictable
with further uncertainties ahead (e.g. Basel IV)

4

Preliminary 2015 results at a glance

Preliminary 2015 results at a glance

Another record in operating profit – dividend proposal: 1.65€

Targets Original guidance
(02 / 2015)
Latest guidance
(12 / 2015)
Preliminary
Dividend proposal ~ 50% payout ratio
1.65 pS
(~ 52%)
Net interest income
720 mn
-

760 mn

760 mn
-

800 mn

781 mn
Net loan loss provisions
100
-
150 mn

100
-
150 mn

128 mn
Net commission income
170
-
180 mn

170
-
180 mn

175 mn
Administrative expenses
520 -
550 mn

520 -
550 mn

553 mn
Negative goodwill ~ €
150 mn

154 mn

150 mn
Operating profit1)
400 -
430 mn

460 -
470 mn

470
mn
EpS
incl. negative goodwill
EpS
excl. negative goodwill

4.80 -

5.20

2.30 -

2.70

5.51 -

5.63

2.95 -

3.06

5.66

3.16
Pre-tax RoE
incl. neg. goodwill
Pre-tax RoE
excl. neg. goodwill
~ 16%
~ 10%
~ 18.2% -
18.6%
~ 11.5% -
12.0%
18.6%
12.1%
New business origination2)
6 -
7 bn

8 -
9 bn

9.6 bn
Operating profit Aareon3) ~ €
27 mn
~ €
27 mn

27 mn

1) Incl. negative goodwill

2) Incl. renewals

3) After segment adjustments

6

Preliminary Q4 2015 at a glance

Record year concluded by strong Q4

Q4
2015
Q3
2015
Q2
2015
Q1
2015
Q4
2014
Comments

mn
Net interest income
(excl. unplanned effects
from early repayments)
198
(183)
214
(192)
191
(181)
178
(173)
194
(174)

Reduction of NCA as planned

New business allocation compensated
margin pressure in Q4
Allow. for credit losses 42 37 31 18 41 In line with guidance
Net commission income 52 40 42 41 48
Aareon
in line with guidance

Q4 with seasonal effects
Admin expenses 138 147 136 132 114 Full year reflects successful integration
Negative goodwill 1501) Gain from initial WestImmo
consolidation
Operating profit 92 82 2291) 67 86 Strong operational performance further
supported by "other operating income"
Earnings per share [€] 1.01 0.78 3.271)
0.773)
0.60 0.55 Strong development

1) Adjusted

Segment performance

Structured property financing

New business allocation compensated margin pressure

2) Additional effects exceeding originally planned repayments (€ 23 mn)

Structured property financing

Strong performance throughout the year

1) Incl. renewals

2) Adjusted

Consulting / Services

Solid in IT & volumes – weak in deposit taking business

P&L C/S Segment 2015 2014 Change

mn
Sales revenue 193 185 4%
Own work capitalised 4 5 -20%
Other operating income 9 8 13%
Cost of materials purch. 24 22 9%
Staff expenses 139 131 6%
D, A, impairment losses 12 14 -14%
Other op. expenses 54 51 6%
Others 0 0 -
Operating profit -23 -20 -15%
  • Aareon sales revenues € 187 mn (+3%) EBT margin ~14.5%
  • Housing industry deposits generate a stable funding base, crisis-proof
  • Deposit volume on a high level of € 9.0 bn on Ø in 2015 (€ 8.6 Ø in '14)

Consulting / Services Aareon with seasonal strong Q4

P&L C/S Segment Q4
2015
Q3
2015
Q2
2015
Q1
2015
Q4
2014

mn
Sales revenue 56 44 47 46 52
Own work capitalised 0 2 1 1 1
Other operating income 4 2 2 1 3
Cost of materials purch. 7 5 7 5 5
Staff expenses 37 35 33 34 35
D, A, impairment losses 3 3 3 3 3
Other op. expenses 15 12 14 13 13
Operating profit -2 -7 -7 -7 0
  • Staff expenses / sales revenues include two new acquisitions of Aareon in Q4
  • Deposit volume on a high level of € 9.0 bn on Ø in Q4 2015 (€ 9.1 bn Ø in Q4 '14)

12

Preliminary group figures 2015

Net interest income

Pushed by WestImmo & early repayments

1) Additional effects exceeding originally planned repayments

  • Net interest income of € 781 mn in 2015 (2014: € 688 mn)
  • FY-new business margins at upper end of expected range (220 – 230 bp)
  • Q4 includes additional ~€ 15 mn from early repayments1) (Q3 '15: € 22 mn, Q2 '15: € 10 mn, Q1 '15: € 5 mn, Q4 '14: € 20 mn)
  • Contribution of WestImmo since 06/2015
  • NII Consulting / Services still burdened by interest rate environment
  • Aareal Bank already fulfils future NSFR / LCR requirements

Allowance for credit losses (LLP) In line with guidance

  • FY-LLP down from € 146 mn to € 128 mn despite significantly larger portfolio
  • Risk costs 2015: 43 bp (2014: 54 bp)

Net commission income In line with guidance

  • Net commission income of € 175 mn in 2015 (2014: € 164 mn)
  • Aareon in line with guidance
  • Strong Aareon revenue regularly pushing Q4
  • Q4 includes additionally revenues from two new acquisitions of Aareon

Admin expenses Reflecting successful integration

  • Admin expenses of € 553 mn in 2015 (2014: € 439 mn)
  • Slightly above original target due to faster than originally planned integration of Corealcredit
  • 2015 include integration costs for WestImmo and Corealcredit of ~€ 56 mn: Q4: ~€ 20 mn / Q3: ~€ 12 mn Q2: ~€ 12 mn / Q1: ~€ 12 mn

B/S structure, capital & funding position

RWA development

Successful run down of non core assets

  • 2014-increase coming from Corealcredit
  • 2015-increase coming from WestImmo and FX-effects
  • As Corealcredit, in the course of the integration WestImmo's core business moved to CRSA in Q4 2015

Credit risk core business ARL Credit risk core business WIB Credit risk non core assets WIB Credit risk non core assets CCB Operational risk Market risk

19

Capital ratios Strong development

  • Regulatory uncertainties buffered by very strong capital ratios
  • Instruments assumed to mature 2018 (planning period) are excluded from the fully phased ratios
  • Bail-in capital ratio (acc. to our definition): above 8%
  • T1-Leverage ratio as at 31.12.2015: 4.9% (fully phased)

Capital ratios SREP1) requirements

  • Aareal Bank's SREP requirement according to ECB notification: 8.75% CET1 including capital conservation buffer
  • Possible O-SII buffer of 1% (estimated) not yet announced; actual countercyclical buffer: 0.02%
  • CET1 ratio of 13.1% (fully phased) as at 31.12.2015: ~330 bp above SREP requirement (including capital conservation buffer AND estimated O-SII buffer)
  • ~330 bp buffer currently available to cover uncertainties coming from regulatory environment
  • 1) Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process (SREP)

Asset- / Liability structure according to IFRS As at 31.12.2015: € 51.9 bn (31.12.2014: € 49.6 bn ex. WIB)

1) Other assets includes € 1.5 bn private client portfolio and WIB's € 0.6 bn public sector loans

Asset- / Liability structure according to IFRS As at 31.12.2015: € 51.9 bn (30.09.2015: € 53.9 bn incl. WIB)

1) Other assets includes € 1.5 bn private client portfolio and WIB's € 0.6 bn public sector loans

Net stable funding- / liquidity coverage ratio Sound liquidity position despite WestImmo takeover

  • NSFR Aareal Bank already fulfils future requirements
  • NSFR > 1.0
  • LCR >> 1.0
  • Basel III and CRR require adherence of specific liquidity ratios starting end 2018
  • As intended, additional funding requirements from acquisition of WestImmo covered by NSFR surplus

24

Refinancing situation 2015 Successful funding activities

  • Total funding of € 1.4 bn in 2015
  • Pfandbriefe: € 0.75 bn thereof USD 500 mn mortgage Pfandbrief
  • Senior unsecured: € 0.65 bn
  • Backbone of capital market funding is a loyal, granular, domestic private placement investor base
  • Hold-to-maturity investors: over 600
  • Ticket size: € 10 mn € 50 mn
  • Deposits of the housing industry with € 9.0 bn on a high level

Refinancing situation

Diversified funding sources and distribution channels

  • Aareal Bank has clearly reduced its dependency on wholesale funding
  • 2002 long term wholesale funding accounted for 47% of overall funding volumes by 31.12.2015, this share has fallen below 30% (or even below 10% without Pfandbriefe)

As at 31.12.2015

Asset quality

Property finance portfolio1) € 30.9 bn highly diversified and sound

Property finance portfolio1) Portfolio details

LTV by country2)

1) CRE business only, private client business (€ 1.5 bn) and WIB's public finance (€ 0.6 bn) not included

2) Performing business only, exposure as at 31.12.2015

Property finance portfolio Italian NPLs expected to have peaked in Q4 2015

Property finance portfolio NPL exposure fully covered including collaterals

Spotlight Italy Italian NPLs: clear going forward strategy

  • 51% already restructured or agreement in place / planned
  • 30% already in "enforcement"
  • Only 2 deals (19%) in final discussions

All NPLs are fully covered despite being in different workout-stages

Treasury portfolio € 10.2 bn of high quality and highly liquid assets

1) Composite Rating

33

Outlook 2016 What we have targeted

General environment

Our actions adjusted to general developments

Expected environment 2016

  • US-recovery is speeding up, Europe stuck close to deflation, China's growth rate is shrinking
  • Geopolitical risks and tensions e.g. in Russia and Turkey
  • Increasing divergences in monetary policy between ECB and FED/BOE weak EUR in 2016
  • Markets expecting ECB's QE to be prolonged and extended enormous impact on capital markets risking asset bubbles and therefore risks from LTVs partly based on extreme low cap rates
  • Increasing liquidity on property market, moderately increasing property values, stable to slightly positive rents in most European countries and still rising willingness to take risk
  • Margins under pressure by high competition and low interest level
  • Uncertainties about regulatory requirements

Main takeaways

Main focus for new business in markets with attractive risk/return profile like North America

In Turkey and Russia only prolongations

Partly tightened requirements for new business regarding LTV

Regulatory projects in progress

Aareal Bank's CRE market expectations

Expected value changes1) in 20162)

  • 1) Here shown average market value changes across all property types and regions
  • 2) The individual market value of a single property may vary, change end 2015 to end 2016

Outlook 2016

2016
Net interest income

700 mn
-

740 mn
incl. effects from early repayments
(Original plan 2016: €
35 mn
/ FY 2015: €
75 mn)
Allow. for credit losses1)

80 mn
-

120 mn
Net commission income

190 mn
-

200 mn
Admin expenses

520 mn -

550 mn
incl. expenses for integration / projects and investments
Operating profit

300 mn
-

330 mn
Pre-tax RoE
~ 11%
EpS2)

2.85 -

3.19
Target portfolio size
(ARL core portfolio)


25 bn
-

27 bn
New business origination

7 bn
-

8 bn
Operating profit Aareon3)

33 mn
-

35 mn
  • 1) As in 2015, the bank cannot rule out additional allowances for credit losses
  • 2) Earnings per ordinary share, tax rate of ~31% assumed

3) After segment adjustments

37

Note: All 2015 figures preliminary and unaudited

"Aareal 2020" How we will develop further

Strategic background Assumptions

General environment Tougher competition and changing clients' needs Volatile markets (interest rates / exchange rates, oil) Increasingly stringent regulation, historically low interest rate environment Technological change and digitalisation Property markets Property values: stable (EU), slightly increasing (US) Ongoing liquidity driven property markets, therefore increasingly inherent portfolio risks (esp. in Europe) Basel IV effects in line with our expectations Increasing regulation does not lead to additional (material) burdens Economic development: Euro zone sideways US and some EU countries more dynamic Interest rates: Euro zone: moderate increase starting '17 US: continued increase this year No euro zone break-up, no "Brexit", no strengthening of nationalistic tendencies in Europe No adverse development of geopolitical conflicts Macroeconomic environment Basic planning assumption: high volatility, low growth Regulation § Geopolitical risks

ASSUMPTIONS APPLY TO FOLLOWING PAGES

Aareal 2020 – Adjust. Advance. Achieve. Our way ahead

Adjust

Safeguard strong base in a changing environment

  • Enhance efficiency
  • Optimise funding
  • Anticipate regulation

Achieve

Create sustainable value for all stakeholders

  • Realise strategic objectives for the Group and the segments
  • Consistently implement required measures
  • Achieve ambitious financial targets

Advance

Exploit our strengths, realise our potentials

  • Further develop existing business
  • Gain new customer groups, tap new markets
  • Further enhance agility, innovation and willingness to adapt
Enhance
efficiency
Considerably reduce admin expenses,
digitise processes, optimise
IT-architecture
Reduce admin expenses
to ~ €
450 mn
by 2018
!
Optimise
funding
Further reduction of capital market-funding
by increasing deposit base
Housing industry deposits
to be increased to €
10 bn
by 2018
!
Anticipate
regulation
Aareal Bank well-prepared for expected
scenarios, has identified counter measures
to sustainably safeguard its business model
CET1 ratio 10.75%
(plus 2.25% management
buffer1)),
!
T1-leverage ratio 4-5%
1) Management buffer of 2.25% planned until regulatory environment is sufficiently stable

41

Advance: Structured Property Financing. Safeguard core business in adverse environment

Further develop existing business

Gain new customer groups, tap new markets

42

  • In the medium term, expansion in markets with an attractive risk / return and macroeconomic growth potential, e.g. grow North America portfolio to € 6.0 bn - € 6.5 bn
  • Active portfolio- and balance-sheet management e.g. by syndication
  • Use digitisation potential with clients, identify and realise new digital business opportunities
  • Examine additional business opportunities along the value chain of commercial property financing, e.g. in the area of servicing

Further enhance agility, innovation and willingness to adapt

Advance: Consulting / Services. Leverage position as leading provider of ERP solutions in Europe to achieve future growth

Further develop existing business

Gain new customer groups, tap new markets

43

  • Expanding "ecosystem housing industry": international cross-selling, develop add-on products for ERP systems and new digital products
  • Utulise existing know-how to expand "ecosystem utilities" by offering specific products (e.g. for transaction services) and IT services / consulting
  • Further development of existing platform products for the management of housing companies for their B2C business
  • Push our payment transaction services and IT products, targeting small-sized housing enterprises and COA-Manager

Further enhance agility, innovation and willingness to adapt

(2018) (2020 Plus)
SPF segment:
backbone of
the Group

Stable, optimised balance sheet

Adjust portfolio mix

Extend business model by offering
platform / service products

Core portfolio

25-30 bn

LLP 25-30 bp

CIR ~40%

Core portfolio

25-30 bn

LLP ~30 bp

CIR <40%
C/S segment:
growth driver
of the Group

Unlock full cross-selling potential

Implement new ecosystems
and new digital platforms

Increase commission income

EBIT Aareon

40-45 Mio.

Commission
income
banking
business
> €
15 mn
EBIT-CAGR
Aareon:
at least 4%
Aareal
Bank
Group:
attractive
investment

Optimise corporate set-up

Enhance our business model

Optimise underlying capital
Dynamic
dividend
policy
Pre-tax
RoE
of
at least
12%

Midterm

Longterm

Achieve. Keep RoE on an attractive level despite difficult environment

RoE-Development 2015 - 18 2020 Plus

Base dividend

We intend to distribute approx. 50% of the earnings per ordinary share (EpS) as base dividend

Supplementary dividend

In addition, we plan to distribute supplementary dividends, from 10% increasing up to 20-30% of the EpS

Prerequisites:

  • No material deterioration of the environment (with longer-term and sustainably negative effects)
  • Nor attractive investment opportunities neither positive growth environment

1) The future dividend policy applies provided that the dividend payments resulting from it are consistent with a long-term and sustained business development of Aareal Bank AG. In addition, the dividend payments are subject to the proviso that corresponding dividend proposals have been made by the Management Board and the Supervisory Board for the respective year.

Note: All 2015 figures preliminary and unaudited

Appendix Group results

Aareal Bank Group Results 2015

01.01.-
31.12.2015
01.01.-
31.12.2014
Change
€ mn € mn
Profit and loss account
Net interest income 781 688 14%
Allowance for credit losses 128 146 -12%
Net interest income after allowance for credit losses 653 542 20%
Net commission income 175 164 7%
Net result on hedge accounting 8 5 60%
Net trading income / expenses 13 2 550%
Results from non-trading assets -17 2
Results from investments accounted for at equity 0 0
Administrative expenses 553 439 26%
Net other operating income / expenses 41 6 583%
Negative goodwill 150 154 -3%
Operating Profit 470 436 8%
Income taxes 96 101 -5%
Consolidated net income 374 335 12%
Consolidated net income attributable to non-controlling interests 19 19 0%
Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG 355 316 12%
Earnings per share (EpS)
Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG1) 355 294 21%
of which: allocated to ordinary shareholders2) 339 292 16%
of which: allocated to AT1 investors2) 16 2 700%
Earnings per ordinary share (in €)3) 5,66 4,87 16%
Earnings per ordinary AT1 unit (in €)4) 0,16 0,02 700%

1) SoFFin's silent participation was repaid on 30 October 2014. In order to facilitate comparability and for the purpose of an economic analysis, net interest payable on the SoFFin silent participation was deducted from the comparative figure as at 31 December 2014 (€ 22 million) in the EpS calculation.

2) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.

3) Earnings per ordinary share are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to ordinary shareholders of Aareal Bank AG by the weighted average of ordinary shares outstanding during the financial year (59,857,221 shares). Basic earnings per ordinary share correspond to diluted earnings per ordinary share.

4) Earnings per AT1 unit (based on 100,000,000 AT1 units with a notional amount of € 3 each) are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to AT1 investors by the weighted average of AT1 units outstanding during the financial year. Earnings per AT1 unit (basic) correspond to (diluted) earnings per AT1 unit.

Aareal Bank Group Results 2015 by segments

Structured
Consulting /
Property
Services
Financing
Consolidation/
Reconciliation
Aareal Bank
Group
01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.-
31.12. 31.12. 31.12. 31.12. 31.12. 31.12. 31.12. 31.12.
2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014
€ mn
Net interest income 783 687 0 0 -2 1 781 688
Allowance for credit losses 128 146 128 146
Net interest income after allowance for credit losses 655 541 0 0 -2 1 653 542
Net commission income 6 4 169 163 0 -3 175 164
Net result on hedge accounting 8 5 8 5
Net trading income / expenses 13 2 0 13 2
Results from non-trading assets -17 2 -17 2
Results from investments accounted for at equity 0 0 0 0 0 0
Administrative expenses 359 255 197 187 -3 -3 553 439
Net other operating income / expenses 37 3 5 4 -1 -1 41 6
Negative goodwill 150 154 150 154
Operating profit 493 456 -23 -20 0 0 470 436
Income taxes 106 109 -10 -8 96 101
Consolidated net income 387 347 -13 -12 0 0 374 335
Allocation of results
Cons. net income attributable to non-controlling interests 16 16 3 3 19 19
Cons. net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG 371 331 -16 -15 0 0 355 316

49

Aareal Bank Group Results Q4 2015

Quarter 4
2015
Quarter 4
2014
Change
€ mn € mn
Profit and loss account
Net interest income 198 194 2%
Allowance for credit losses 42 41 2%
Net interest income after allowance for credit losses 156 153 2%
Net commission income 52 48 8%
Net result on hedge accounting 3 2 50%
Net trading income / expenses 5 3 67%
Results from non-trading assets -2 2
Results from investments accounted for at equity 0 0
Administrative expenses 138 114 21%
Net other operating income / expenses 16 -8
Negative goodwill
Operating Profit 92 86 7%
Income taxes 24 39 -38%
Consolidated net income 68 47 45%
Consolidated net income attributable to non-controlling interests 4 5 -20%
Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG 64 42 52%
Earnings per share (EpS)
Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG1) 64 35 83%
of which: allocated to ordinary shareholders2) 60 33 82%
of which: allocated to AT1 investors2) 4 2 100%
Basic earnings per ordinary share (in €)3) 1,01 0,55 84%
Basic earnings per ordinary AT1 unit (in €)4) 0,04 0 100%

1) SoFFin's silent participation was repaid on 30 October 2014. In order to facilitate comparability and for the purpose of an economic analysis, net interest payable on the SoFFin silent participation was deducted from the comparative figure as at 31 December 2014 (€ 7 million) in the EpS calculation.

2) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.

3) Earnings per ordinary share are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to ordinary shareholders of Aareal Bank AG by the weighted average of ordinary shares outstanding during the financial year (59,857,221 shares). Basic earnings per ordinary share correspond to diluted earnings per ordinary share.

4) Earnings per AT1 unit (based on 100,000,000 AT1 units with a notional amount of € 3 each) are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to AT1 investors by the weighted average of AT1 units outstanding during the financial year. Earnings per AT1 unit (basic) correspond to (diluted) earnings per AT1 unit.

Note: All 2015 figures preliminary and unaudited

50

Aareal Bank Group Results Q4 2015 by segments

Financing Structured
Property
Consulting /
Services
Consolidation/
Reconciliation
Aareal Bank
Group
01.10.- 01.10.- 01.10.- 01.10.- 01.10.- 01.10.- 01.10.- 01.10.-
31.12. 31.12. 31.12. 31.12. 31.12. 31.12. 31.12. 31.12.
2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014
€ mn
Net interest income 199 194 0 0 -1 0 198 194
Allowance for credit losses 42 41 42 41
Net interest income after allowance for credit losses 157 153 0 0 -1 0 156 153
Net commission income 2 1 49 47 1 0 52 48
Net result on hedge accounting 3 2 3 2
Net trading income / expenses 5 3 0 5 3
Results from non-trading assets -2 2 -2 2
Results from investments accounted for at equity 0 0 0 0 0
Administrative expenses 85 67 54 48 -1 -1 138 114
Net other operating income / expenses 14 -8 3 1 -1 -1 16 -8
Negative goodwill
Operating profit 94 86 -2 0 0 0 92 86
Income taxes 27 41 -3 -2 24 39
Consolidated net income 67 45 1 2 0 0 68 47
Cons. net income attributable to non-controlling interests 3 4 1 1 4 5
Cons. net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG 64 41 0 1 0 0 64 42

Aareal Bank Group Results – quarter by quarter

Structured Property Financing Consulting / Services Consolidation /
Reconciliation
Aareal Bank Group
Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4
2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014
€ mn
Net interest income 199 214 192 178 194 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0 -1 0 0 198 214 191 178 194
Allowance for credit losses 42 37 31 18 41 42 37 31 18 41
Net interest income after 157 177 161 160 153 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0 -1 0 0 156 177 160 160 153
allowance for credit losses
Net commission income 2 2 2 0 1 49 39 40 41 47 1 -1 0 0 0 52 40 42 41 48
Net result on hedge accounting 3 -3 -3 11 2 3 -3 -3 11 2
Net trading income / expenses 5 13 2 -7 3 0 5 13 2 -7 3
Results from non-trading assets -2 -13 1 -3 2 -2 -13 1 -3 2
Results from results accounted
for at equity 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Administrative expenses 85 101 89 84 67 54 47 48 48 48 -1 -1 -1 0 -1 138 147 136 132 114
Net other operating income /
expenses
14 14 12 -3 -8 3 1 1 0 1 -1 0 0 0 -1 16 15 13 -3 -8
Negative goodwill 1501) 1501)
Operating profit 94 89 2361) 74 86 -2 -7 -7 -7 0 0 0 0 0 0 92 82 2291) 67 86
Income taxes 27 29 26 24 41 -3 -3 -2 -2 -2 24 26 24 22 39
Consolidated net income 67 60 2101) 50 45 1 -4 -5 -5 2 0 0 0 0 0 68 56 2051) 45 47
Cons. net income attributable to
non-controlling interests 3 5 4 4 4 1 0 1 1 1 4 5 5 5 5
Cons. net income attributable to
shareholders of Aareal Bank AG
64 55 2061) 46 41 0 -4 -6 -6 1 0 0 0 0 0 64 51 2001) 40 42

Appendix AT1: ADI of Aareal Bank AG

Interest payments and ADI of Aareal Bank AG

Available Distributable Items (as of end of the relevant year)

31.12. 31.12. 31.12.
2015 2014 2013

mn
Net Retained Profit 99 77 50

Net income
99 77 50

Profit carried forward from previous year
- - -

Net income attribution to revenue reserves
- - -
+
Other revenue reserves after net income attribution
720 715 710
Total dividend potential before amount blocked1)
=
819 792 760
./.
Dividend amount blocked under section 268 (8)
of the German Commercial Code
287 240 156
= Available Distributable Items1) 532 552 604
+
Increase by aggregated amount of interest expenses relating to
Distributions on Tier 1 Instruments1)
46 57 57
=
Amount referred to in the relevant paragraphs of the terms and
conditions of the respective Notes as being available to cover Interest
Payments on the Notes and Distributions on other Tier 1 Instruments1)
578 609 661

1) Unaudited figures for information purposes only

Appendix Development property finance portfolio

Development property finance portfolio Diversification continuously strengthened (in € mn)

Western Europe (ex Germany) credit portfolio Total volume outstanding as at 31.12.2015: € 10.3 bn

German credit portfolio

Total volume outstanding as at 31.12.2015: € 5.7 bn

Southern Europe credit portfolio Total volume outstanding as at 31.12.2015: € 4.4 bn

Note: All 2015 figures preliminary and unaudited

Eastern Europe credit portfolio

Total volume outstanding as at 31.12.2015: € 2.8 bn

Note: All 2015 figures preliminary and unaudited

Northern Europe credit portfolio Total volume outstanding as at 31.12.2015: € 2.0 bn

North America credit portfolio

Total volume outstanding as at 31.12.2015: € 5.4 bn

Note: All 2015 figures preliminary and unaudited

Asia credit portfolio

Total volume outstanding as at 31.12.2015: € 0.4 bn

Note: All 2015 figures preliminary and unaudited

Appendix Acquisition of WestImmo

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Strategic rationale Attractive opportunity to pursue inorganic growth

Favourable environment

  • Low price-to-book valuations in the banking industry
  • Attractive asset and liability spreads
  • Limited interest of investors for the European CRE-Banking sector

Attractive opportunity

Aareal financially capable and experienced

  • Profitable use of excess capital
  • Strong liquidity / funding position
  • Proven track record
  • Experienced integration team

WestImmo

Value enhancing transaction in line with business strategy

1) As published February 22, 2015

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Strategic rationale Value enhancing transaction in line with business strategy

Transaction represents attractive opportunity for Aareal Bank to pursue inorganic growth as it is EpS accretive and creating shareholder value from day one while mid-term targets unchanged

Acquisition using existing excess capital demonstrates strength and strategic capacity while generating further excess capital and therefore dividend distribution potential at the same time

Immediate (inorganic) growth of interest earning asset base in times of increasing competition

Perfect overlap to Aareal's core business further strengthens position as a specialised commercial real estate lender

International well experienced staff and platform maintained despite currently not being allowed to write new business (acc. to EU-regulations) and therefore in run-down mode

High diversification of CRE portfolio and conservative risk profile remains unchanged

Optimisation of capital structure in line with communicated strategy

1) As published February 22, 2015

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Strategic rationale Business ability even without new business origination

Strategy and
business
modell

WestImmo
is a specialist in international commercial real estate financing
focussing on office, shopping center, hotel and logistics,
headquartered in Mainz / Münster

Additional activities for private clients and public sector

Originally focussing on Europe, the US and Asia with international locations

Balance sheet of ~ €
8.1 bn
(~ €
3.3 bn
RWA),
thereof CRE business ~ €
4.3 bn, private clients ~ €
1.6 bn, public sector ~ €
0.8 bn
(pro forma extrapolated as at 31.03.2015)

280 employees (~ 255 FTE)
History
WestImmo
was a subsidiary of former WestLB

After the split of former WestLB
into Portigon
AG and Erste
Abwicklungsanstalt
(EAA)
in September 2012, WestImmo
became a 100%-subsidiary of EAA

WestImmo
has either to be sold or to be wind down (acc. to EU-regulations) and
therefore was not allowed to write new business since H2 2012

In order to prepare an open, transparent and non-discriminatory bidding process in
H1 2014 non Pfandbriefbank
"suitable" assets and liabilities were transferred to EAA
via carve out

1) As published February 22, 2015

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Transaction structure Attractive terms and conditions

Transaction
All cash transaction to acquire 100% of the shares

Via pre-closing carve out, all funding provided and financial guarantees given from
EAA to WestImmo
will be terminated.
At the same time specific assets will be transferred from WestImmo
to EAA.
In addition Aareal Bank provides WestImmo
an external credit-
/ liquidity-line

Profit until closing to be paid to EAA

Fair / conservative valuation; attractive asset and liability spreads logged in

Extensive due diligence carried out

Attractive purchase price of €
350 mn2)
Closing
conditions

Subject to BaFin
/ ECB approval

Subject to anti-trust approval
1)
As published February 22, 2015
2)
Subject to further adjustments

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Financials Impact on capital ratios, EpS, and RoE2)

Capital ratios:

  • All cash transaction
  • Allocation of excess capital
  • RWA increase partly compensated by negative goodwill
  • Expected pro forma CET1 as at 31.12.2015: 11.8%
  • Bail in capital ratio expected above target (~8%)

EpS

  • Transaction is EpS accretive from day 1
  • Expected cumulative EpS for the next three years > 3 €
  • Substantial part of the capital currently absorbed by acquired RWA already to be released until 2017
  • No capital relief from switch of rating model (WestImmo already on AIRBA)

RoE

  • Transaction in line with mid term RoE target
  • Pre-tax RoE target confirmed at ~12%

Dividend policy

Reconfirming active dividend policy with payout ratios of ~50% (excl. negative goodwill)

1) As published February 22, 2015

2) Pro forma extrapolated, assumed closing 31.03.2015

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Financials Purchase price illustration2)

1) As published February 22, 2015

2) Pro forma extrapolated, assumed closing 31.03.2015

Acquisition of WestImmo1):

Private client loans and Public sector loans2)

2) Pro forma extrapolated as at 31.03.2015

Appendix Revaluation surplus

Revaluation surplus

Change mainly driven by asset spreads

Appendix CET1 development and RWA-split

CET1 development (fully phased)

Mainly driven by NII and neg. goodwill from WIB acquisition

Note: All 2015 figures preliminary and unaudited

From asset to risk weighted asset (RWA) Essential factors affecting volume of RWA

Effective date 31/12/2015

Note: All 2015 figures preliminary and unaudited

Definitions and contacts

Definitions

  • Structured Property Financing Portfolio = Paid-out financings on balance sheet
  • New Business = Newly acquired business incl. renewals + Contract is signed by customer + Fixed loan value and margin
  • Common Equity Tier 1 ratio = CET1
  • Risk weighted assets
  • Pre tax RoE = Operating profit ./. income/loss attributable to non-controlling interests ./. AT1 cupon Average IFRS equity excl. non-controlling interests, other reserves, AT1 and dividends
  • CIR = Admin expenses Net income
  • Net income = net interest income + net commission income + net result on hedge accounting + net trading income + results from non-trading assets + results from investments accounted for at equity + results from investment properties + net other operating income
  • Net stable funding ratio = ≥ 100% Available stable funding Required stable funding
  • Liquidity coverage ratio = ≥ 100% Total stock of high quality liquid assets Net cash outflows under stress
  • Bail-in capital ratio = Equity + subordinated capital (Long + short term funding) – (Equity + subordinated capital)
  • Earnings per share = operating profit ./. income taxes ./. income/loss attributable to non controlling interests ./. net AT1 cupon Number of ordinary shares

Contacts

  • Jürgen Junginger Managing Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 2636 [email protected]
  • Carsten Schäfer Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3616 [email protected]
  • Sebastian Götzken Senior Manager Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3337 [email protected]
  • Karin Desczka

Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3009 [email protected]

Disclaimer

© 2016 Aareal Bank AG. All rights reserved.

  • This document has been prepared by Aareal Bank AG, exclusively for the purposes of a corporate presentation by Aareal Bank AG. The presentation is intended for professional and institutional customers only.
  • It must not be modified or disclosed to third parties without the explicit permission of Aareal Bank AG. Any persons who may come into possession of this information and these documents must inform themselves of the relevant legal provisions applicable to the receipt and disclosure of such information, and must comply with such provisions. This presentation may not be distributed in or into any jurisdiction where such distribution would be restricted by law.
  • This presentation is provided for general information purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to enter into a contract on the provision of advisory services or an offer to purchase securities. Aareal Bank AG has merely compiled the information on which this document is based from sources considered to be reliable – without, however, having verified it. The securities of Aareal Bank AG are not registered in the United States of America and may not be offered or sold except under an exemption from, or pursuant to, registration under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Therefore, Aareal Bank AG does not give any warranty, and makes no representation as to the completeness or correctness of any information or opinion contained herein. Aareal Bank AG accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever for any expense, loss or damages arising out of, or in any way connected with, the use of all or any part of this presentation. The securities of Aareal Bank AG are not registered in the United States of America and may not be offered or sold except under an exemption from, or pursuant to, registration under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended.
  • This presentation may contain forward-looking statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements or trend information that are based on current plans, views and/or assumptions and subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties, most of them being difficult to predict and generally beyond Aareal Bank AG´s control. This could lead to material differences between the actual future results, performance and / or events and those expressed or implied by such statements.
  • Aareal Bank AG assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement or any other information contained herein.

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