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Aareal Bank AG

Investor Presentation May 10, 2016

11_ip_2016-05-10_2da07c62-c879-4cbf-aad3-0edb66edb122.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Analyst Conference Call Q1 2016 results

May 10, 2016 Hermann J. Merkens, CEO

Agenda

  • Highlights
  • General environment
  • Group results Q1 2016 at a glance
  • Segment performance
  • Group results Q1 2016
  • B/S structure, capital & funding position
  • Asset quality
  • Outlook 2016
  • Appendix
  • Definitions and Contacts

Highlights Successful start into the financial year

Key facts and figures at a glance

  • Consolidated operating profit increased to € 87 million, up by almost 30% vs. Q1/2015 in challenging competitive environment
  • Successful development in both segments:
  • Robust net interest income and low risk costs in the Structured Property Financing segment
  • Increasing net commission income due to Aareon's positive development gives proof of the Consulting / Services segment's attractiveness and potential
  • Reduction of non-core portfolio proceeding according to plan
  • "Aareal 2020" future program launched successfully

General environment Our actions adjusted to general developments

Expected environment 2016

  • US-recovery is on the way, Europe stuck close to deflation, China's growth rate is shrinking
  • Ongoing geopolitical risks and tensions e.g. in Russia and Turkey
  • Increasing divergences in monetary policy between ECB and FED: but no major weakening of the EUR expected
  • ECB has broadened QE, further steps possible: enormous impact on capital markets risking asset bubbles and therefore risks from LTVs partly based on extreme low cap rates
  • High liquidity on property market, but decreasing transaction volumes in Q1 2016, stable to moderately increasing property values and rents in most European countries as well as in North America
  • Margins under pressure in particular in Europe, while signs for a stabilizing trend in the US
  • Uncertainties about regulatory requirements
  • ECB indicated to develop macro economic prudential steering tools

Main takeaways

Main focus for new business in markets with attractive risk/return profile like North America

Partly tightened requirements for new business regarding LTV

Regulatory projects in progress

Group results Q1 2016 at a glance

Q1 2016 at a glance Strong results despite very challenging environment

Q1
2016
Q4
2015
Q3
2015
Q2
2015
Q1
2015
Comments

mn
Net interest income
(excl. unplanned effects from
early repayments)
180
(180)
198
(183)
214
(192)
191
(181)
178
(173)
NII decrease mainly due to

Run down of NCA (as planned)

Lower effects from early repayments (vs. Q4),
FY-expectations of €
35 mn
(vs. €
23 mn
'15)
Allow. for credit losses 2 42 37 31 18 Within seasonal variation
Net commission income 46 52 40 42 41 Strong Q1-performance of Aareon
supporting its FY-target
Admin expenses 146 138 147 136 132 Includes


17 mn
for European bank levy


10 mn
one-offs from integrations as
well as from project / investment costs

Operating admin expenses for WestImmo,
phi-Consulting and Square DMS
Operating profit 87 92 82 2291)
791)
67 Strong operating profit characterised by
low risk costs
Earnings per share [€] 0.85 1.01 0.78 3.271)
0.773)
0.60

1) Including negative goodwill from WestImmo takeover, adjusted

Segment performance

Structured property financing New business with focus on US market

2) Adjusted

Consulting / Services Aareon with increasing EBIT

P&L C/S Segment Q1 '16 Q4 '15 Q3 '15 Q2 '15 Q1 '15

mn
Sales revenue 49 56 44 47 46
Own work capitalised 1 0 2 1 1
Changes in inventory 0 0 0 0 0
Other operating income 1 4 2 2 1
Cost of material purchased 7 7 5 7 5
Staff expenses 36 37 35 33 34
D, A, impairment losses 3 3 3 3 3
Results at equity acc. investm. 0 0 0 0 0
Other operating expenses 14 15 12 14 13
Results from interest
and similar
0 0 0 0 0
Operating profit -9 -2 -7 -7 -7
  • Aareon sales revenues of € 50 mn clearly above Q1 2015 (€ 45 mn)
  • Aareon EBIT margin at ~14% in line with expectations, reflecting seasonal variation
  • Deposit volume from housing industry of Ø € 9.3 bn on a high level (€ 9.0 bn Ø in Q4/2015)
  • Deposit margins further burden segment result due to even lower interest environment
  • Housing industry deposits generate a stable funding base, crisis-proven
  • Various initiatives and projects with and for our clients of the institutional housing industry

Consulting / Services Aareon with increasing EBIT (vs. Q1 2015)

Group results Q1 2016

Net interest income

Margin pressure defied by flexible new business allocation

  • NII ARL RSF
  • NII ARL C/S

1) Additional effects exceeding originally planned repayments

  • Gross margins in Q1 2016 at ~270 bps (~230 bps after FX costs) vs. FY-plan of ~220 bps due to new business allocation towards the US market
  • NII effected by run down of NCA (as planned) and lower effects from early repayments (FY-expectations of € 35 mn vs. € 23 mn in 2015)
  • Q1-portfolio of € 30.1 bn (Q4 2015: € 30.9 bn), thereof € 25.9 bn "ARL stand alone" portfolio in line with 2016-portfolio target of € 25 - 27 bn (Q4 2015: € 26.3 bn)
  • Run down of credit portfolio as planned:
  • CCB: € 1.1 bn (Q4 2015: € 1.3 bn)
  • WIB: € 3.1 bn (Q4 2015: € 3.3 bn)
  • Full contribution of WestImmo since Q3/2015
  • NII Consulting / Services still burdened by interest rate environment
  • Aareal Bank already fulfils future NSFR / LCR requirements

Allowance for credit losses (LLP) Within seasonal variation

  • LLP with seasonal effects
  • LLP in line with reduced FY-guidance
  • No additional burden from Italian portfolio

Net commission income Aareon with strong performance in Q1

  • Aareon in line with guidance
  • Q4/2015 with seasonal effects
  • First time consolidation of Aareon's new acquisitions in Q4 2015 (phi-Consulting, Square DMS)

Admin expenses Burdened by FY European bank levy

  • Q1 figures include € 17 mn for the European bank levy for the fiscal year 2016 (€ 9 mn in Q1/2015; € 14 mn for FY 2015)
  • Admin expenses include
  • € 10 mn one-offs from integrations as well as from project / investment costs
  • Operating admin expenses for Aareon's new acquisitions phi-Consulting and Square DMS (since Q4/2015)

B/S structure, capital & funding position

RWA development Successful run down of non core assets

  • Decreasing RWA from planned NCA reduction
  • Increasing RWA partly from higher portfolio risks (e.g. Turkey)

Credit risk core business ARL Credit risk core business WIB Credit risk non core assets WIB Credit risk non core assets CCB Operational risk Market risk

Capital ratios Strong development

  • Regulatory uncertainties buffered by very strong capital ratios
  • Instruments assumed to mature 2018 (planning period) are excluded from the fully phased ratios
  • Bail-in capital ratio (acc. to our definition): above 8%
  • T1-Leverage ratio as at 31.03.2016: 5.1% (fully phased)

Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) Additional Tier 1 (AT1) Tier 2 (T2)

Asset- / Liability structure according to IFRS As at 31.03.2016: € 51.8 bn (31.03.2015: € 50.9 bn ex. WIB)

1) Other assets includes € 1.4 bn private client portfolio and WIB's € 0.6 bn public sector loans

Conservative balance sheet with structural over borrowed position

Asset- / Liability structure according to IFRS As at 31.03.2016: € 51.8 bn (31.12.2015: € 51.9 bn incl. WIB)

1) Other assets includes € 1.4 bn private client portfolio and WIB's € 0.6 bn public sector loans

Conservative balance sheet with structural over borrowed position

Net stable funding- / liquidity coverage ratio Sound liquidity position despite WestImmo takeover

  • requirements
  • NSFR > 1.0
  • LCR >> 1.0
  • Basel III and CRR require adherence of specific liquidity ratios starting end 2018
  • As intended, additional funding requirements from acquisition of WestImmo covered by NSFR surplus

Refinancing situation Q1 2016 Successful funding activities

  • Total funding of € 0.5 bn in Q1 2016: mainly senior unsecured (€ 450 mn)
  • Low Pfandbrief issuance due to acquisition of WestImmo
  • Backbone of capital market funding is a loyal, granular, domestic private placement investor base
  • Hold-to-maturity investors: over 600
  • Ticket size: € 10 mn € 50 mn

Refinancing situation

Diversified funding sources and distribution channels

  • Aareal Bank has clearly reduced its dependency on wholesale funding
  • 2002 long term wholesale funding accounted for 47% of overall funding volumes by 31.03.2016, this share has fallen below 30% (or even below 10% without Pfandbriefe)

As at 31.03.2016

Asset quality

Property finance portfolio1) € 30.1 bn highly diversified and sound

1) CRE business only, private client business (€ 1.4 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included

Property finance portfolio1) Portfolio details

Property finance portfolio Italian NPLs expected to have peaked in Q4 2015

Property finance portfolio NPL exposure fully covered including collaterals

31.03.2016 31.12.2015
Coverage
ratio
specific
allowance
30% 31%
Coverage
ratio
including
portfolio
allowance
40% 40%

Portfolio allowance Specific allowance Collaterals NPL exposure

Spotlight Italy Italian NPLs: clear going forward strategy

  • 51% already restructured or agreement in place / planned
  • 30% already in "enforcement"
  • Only 2 deals (19%) in final discussions

All NPLs are fully covered despite being in different workout-stages

Treasury portfolio € 9.7 bn of high quality and highly liquid assets

As at 31.03.2016 – all figures are nominal amounts 1) Composite Rating

Outlook 2016

Outlook 2016

2016
Net interest income

700 mn
-

740 mn
incl. effects from early repayments
(Original plan 2016: €
35 mn
/ FY 2015: €
75 mn)
Allow. for credit losses1)

80 mn
-

120 mn
Net commission income

190 mn
-

200 mn
Admin expenses

520 mn -

550 mn
incl. expenses for integration / projects and investments
Operating profit

300 mn
-

330 mn
Pre-tax RoE
~ 11%
EpS2)

2.85 -

3.19
Target portfolio size
(ARL core portfolio)


25 bn
-

27 bn
New business origination

7 bn
-

8 bn
Operating profit Aareon3)

33 mn
-

35 mn

1) As in 2015, the bank cannot rule out additional allowances for credit losses

2) Earnings per ordinary share, tax rate of ~31% assumed

3) After segment adjustments

Conclusion Aareal Bank Group remains on successful course

Key takeaways at a glance

Aareal Bank Group continues successful development of recent years also in the first quarter of the current financial year, despite an even lower interest rate environment

Target operating profit for the full year confirmed after good start into the 2016 financial year

Exploiting new earnings potential via the "Aareal 2020" program

Appendix Aareal 2020

Strategic background Assumptions

General environment

Tougher competition and changing clients' needs

Volatile markets (interest rates / exchange rates, oil)

Increasingly stringent regulation, historically low interest rate environment

Technological change and digitalisation

Geopolitical risks

As published February 25, 2016

Basic planning assumption: high volatility, low growth

Regulation
§

Basel IV effects in line with our expectations

Increasing regulation does not lead to additional
(material) burdens
Property
markets

Property values:
stable (EU), slightly increasing (US)

Ongoing liquidity driven property markets,
therefore increasingly inherent portfolio risks
(esp. in Europe)
Macro
economic
environ
ment

Economic development:

Euro zone sideways

US and some EU countries more dynamic

Interest rates:

Euro zone: moderate increase starting '17

US: continued increase this year

No euro zone break-up, no "Brexit",
no strengthening of nationalistic tendencies
in Europe

No adverse development of geopolitical conflicts

ASSUMPTIONS APPLY TO FOLLOWING PAGES 35

Aareal 2020 – Adjust. Advance. Achieve. Our way ahead

Adjust

Safeguard strong base in a changing environment

  • Enhance efficiency
  • Optimise funding
  • Anticipate regulation

Aareal 2020

Create sustainable value for all stakeholders

  • Realise strategic objectives for the Group and the segments
  • Consistently implement required measures
  • Achieve ambitious financial targets

Advance

Exploit our strengths, realise our potentials

  • Further develop existing business
  • Gain new customer groups, tap new markets
  • Further enhance agility, innovation and willingness to adapt

As published February 25, 2016

As published February 25, 2016

1) Management buffer of 2.25% planned until regulatory environment is sufficiently stable

Advance: Structured Property Financing. Safeguard core business in adverse environment

Further develop existing business

Gain new customer groups, tap new markets

  • In the medium term, expansion in markets with an attractive risk / return and macroeconomic growth potential, e.g. grow North America portfolio to € 6.0 bn - € 6.5 bn
  • Active portfolio- and balance-sheet management e.g. by syndication
  • Use digitisation potential with clients, identify and realise new digital business opportunities
  • Examine additional business opportunities along the value chain of commercial property financing, e.g. in the area of servicing

Further enhance agility, innovation and willingness to adapt

As published February 25, 2016

Advance: Consulting / Services.

Leverage position as leading provider of ERP solutions in Europe to achieve future growth

Further develop existing business

Gain new customer groups, tap new markets

  • Expanding "ecosystem housing industry": international cross-selling, develop add-on products for ERP systems and new digital products
  • Utilise existing know-how to expand "ecosystem utilities" by offering specific products (e.g. for transaction services) and IT services / consulting
  • Further development of existing platform products for the management of housing companies for their B2C business
  • Push our payment transaction services and IT products, targeting small-sized housing enterprises and COA-Manager

Further enhance agility, innovation and willingness to adapt

As published February 25, 2016

Achieve. Keep RoE on an attractive level despite difficult environment

Achieve. Increase payout ratio (up to 80%) and dividend1)

Payout ratio 2013 - 2018 2013 14 15 16 17 48% 51% 52% 2018 60% 70-80% 70-80% Base dividend We intend to distribute approx. 50% of the earnings per ordinary share (EpS) as base dividend Supplementary dividend In addition, we plan to distribute supplementary dividends, from 10% increasing up to 20-30% of the EpS Prerequisites: No material deterioration of the environment (with longer-term and sustainably negative effects) Nor attractive investment opportunities neither positive growth environment

As published February 25, 2016

1) The future dividend policy applies provided that the dividend payments resulting from it are consistent with a long-term and sustained business development of Aareal Bank AG. In addition, the dividend payments are subject to the proviso that

corresponding dividend proposals have been made by the Management Board and the Supervisory Board for the respective year.

Appendix Group results

Aareal Bank Group Results Q1 2016

01.01.-
31.03.2016
€ mn
01.01.-
31.03.2015
€ mn
Change
Profit and loss account
Net interest income 180 178 1%
Allowance for credit losses 2 18 -89%
Net interest income after allowance for credit losses 178 160 11%
Net commission income 46 41 12%
Net result on hedge accounting 1 11 -91%
Net trading income / expenses 9 -7
Results from non-trading assets 0 -3
Results from investments accounted for at equity 0 0
Administrative expenses 146 132 11%
Net other operating income / expenses -1 -3
Negative goodwill
Operating Profit 87 67 30%
Income taxes 27 22 23%
Consolidated net income 60 45 33%
Consolidated net income attributable to non-controlling interests 5 5 0%
Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG 55 40 38%
Earnings per share (EpS)
Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG1) 55 40 38%
of which: allocated to ordinary shareholders 51 36 42%
of which: allocated to AT1 investors 4 4 0%
Earnings per ordinary share (in €)2) 0.85 0.60 42%
Earnings per ordinary AT1 unit (in €)3) 0.04 0.04 0%

1) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.

2) Earnings per ordinary share are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to ordinary shareholders of Aareal Bank AG by the weighted average of ordinary shares outstanding during the financial year (59,857,221 shares). Basic earnings per ordinary share correspond to diluted earnings per ordinary share.

3) Eanings per AT1 unit (based on 100,000,000 AT1 units with a notional amount of 3 € each) are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to AT1 investors by the weighted average of AT1 units outstanding during the financial year. Earnings per AT1 unit (basic) correspond to (diluted) earnings per AT1 unit.

Aareal Bank Group Results Q1 2016 by segments

Financing Structured
Property
Consulting /
Services
Consolidation/
Reconciliation
Aareal Bank
Group
01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.-
31.03. 31.03. 31.03. 31.03. 31.03. 31.03. 31.03. 31.03.
2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015
€ mn
Net interest income 182 178 0 0 -2 0 180 178
Allowance for credit losses 2 18 2 18
Net interest income after allowance for credit losses 180 160 0 0 -2 0 178 160
Net commission income 2 0 42 41 2 0 46 41
Net result on hedge accounting 1 11 1 11
Net trading income / expenses 9 -7 9 -7
Results from non-trading assets 0 -3 0 -3
Results from investments accounted for at equity 0 0 0 0
Administrative expenses 95 84 51 48 0 0 146 132
Net other operating income / expenses -1 -3 0 0 0 0 -1 -3
Negative goodwill
Operating profit 96 74 -9 -7 0 0 87 67
Income taxes 30 24 -3 -2 27 22
Consolidated net income 66 50 -6 -5 0 0 60 45
Allocation of results
Cons. net income attributable to non-controlling interests 4 4 1 1 5 5
Cons. net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG 62 46 -7 -6 0 0 55 40

Aareal Bank Group Results – quarter by quarter

Structured Property Financing Consulting / Services Consolidation /
Reconciliation
Aareal Bank Group
Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
2016 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2015 2015 2015 2015
€ mn
Net interest income 182 199 214 192 178 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -1 0 -1 0 180 198 214 191 178
Allowance for credit losses 2 42 37 31 18 2 42 37 31 18
Net interest income after
allowance for credit losses 180 157 177 161 160 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -1 0 -1 0 178 156 177 160 160
Net commission income 2 2 2 2 0 42 49 39 40 41 2 1 -1 0 0 46 52 40 42 41
Net result on hedge accounting 1 3 -3 -3 11 1 3 -3 -3 11
Net trading income / expenses 9 5 13 2 -7 0 0 9 5 13 2 -7
Results from non-trading assets 0 -2 -13 1 -3 0 -2 -13 1 -3
Results from results accounted
for at equity 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Administrative expenses 95 85 101 89 84 51 54 47 48 48 0 -1 -1 -1 0 146 138 147 136 132
Net other operating income /
expenses -1 14 14 12 -3 0 3 1 1 0 0 -1 0 0 0 -1 16 15 13 -3
Negative goodwill 1501) 1501)
Operating profit 96 94 89 2361) 74 -9 -2 -7 -7 -7 0 0 0 0 0 87 92 82 2291) 67
Income taxes 30 27 29 26 24 -3 -3 -3 -2 -2 27 24 26 24 22
Consolidated net income 66 67 60 2101) 50 -6 1 -4 -5 -5 0 0 0 0 0 60 68 56 2051) 45
Cons. net income attributable to
non-controlling interests 4 3 5 4 4 1 1 0 1 1 5 4 5 5 5
Cons. net income attributable to
shareholders of Aareal Bank AG 62 64 55 2061) 46 -7 0 -4 -6 -6 0 0 0 0 0 55 64 51 2001) 40

Appendix AT1: ADI of Aareal Bank AG

Interest payments and ADI of Aareal Bank AG

Available Distributable Items (as of end of the relevant year)

31.12.
2015
31.12.
2014
31.12.
2013

mn
Net Retained Profit

Net income

Profit carried forward from previous year

Net income attribution to revenue reserves
99
99
-
-
77
77
-
-
50
50
-
-
+
Other revenue reserves after net income attribution
720 715 710
Total dividend potential before amount blocked1)
=
819 792 760
./.
Dividend amount blocked under section 268 (8)
of the German Commercial Code
287 240 156
= Available Distributable Items1) 532 552 604
+
Increase by aggregated amount of interest expenses relating to
Distributions on Tier 1 Instruments1)
46 57 57
=
Amount referred to in the relevant paragraphs of the terms and
conditions of the respective Notes as being available to cover Interest
Payments on the Notes and Distributions on other Tier 1 Instruments1)
578 609 661

Appendix Development property finance portfolio

Development property finance portfolio

Diversification continuously strengthened (in € mn)

Western Europe (ex Germany) credit portfolio Total volume outstanding as at 31.03.2016: € 9.9 bn

German credit portfolio Total volume outstanding as at 31.03.2016: € 5.3 bn

Southern Europe credit portfolio

Total volume outstanding as at 31.03.2016: € 4.3 bn

Eastern Europe credit portfolio

Total volume outstanding as at 31.03.2016: € 2.7 bn

Northern Europe credit portfolio

Total volume outstanding as at 31.03.2016: € 2.0 bn

North America credit portfolio

Total volume outstanding as at 31.03.2016: € 5.7 bn

Asia credit portfolio Total volume outstanding as at 31.03.2016: € 0.4 bn

Appendix Acquisition of WestImmo

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Strategic rationale Attractive opportunity to pursue inorganic growth

1) As published February 22, 2015

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Strategic rationale Value enhancing transaction in line with business strategy

Transaction represents attractive opportunity for Aareal Bank to pursue inorganic growth as it is EpS accretive and creating shareholder value from day one while mid-term targets unchanged

Acquisition using existing excess capital demonstrates strength and strategic capacity while generating further excess capital and therefore dividend distribution potential at the same time

Immediate (inorganic) growth of interest earning asset base in times of increasing competition

Perfect overlap to Aareal's core business further strengthens position as a specialised commercial real estate lender

International well experienced staff and platform maintained despite currently not being allowed to write new business (acc. to EU-regulations) and therefore in run-down mode

High diversification of CRE portfolio and conservative risk profile remains unchanged

Optimisation of capital structure in line with communicated strategy

1) As published February 22, 2015

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Strategic rationale Business ability even without new business origination

Strategy and
business modell

WestImmo
is a specialist in international commercial real estate financing
focussing on office, shopping center, hotel and logistics,
headquartered in Mainz / Münster

Additional activities for private clients and public sector

Originally focussing on Europe, the US and Asia with international locations

Balance sheet of ~ €
8.1 bn
(~ €
3.3 bn
RWA),
thereof CRE business ~ €
4.3 bn, private clients ~ €
1.6 bn, public sector ~ €
0.8 bn
(pro forma extrapolated as at 31.03.2015)

280 employees (~ 255 FTE)
History
WestImmo
was a subsidiary of former WestLB

After the split of former WestLB
into Portigon
AG and Erste
Abwicklungsanstalt
(EAA) in September
2012, WestImmo
became a 100%-subsidiary of EAA

WestImmo
has either to be sold or to be wind down (acc. to EU-regulations) and therefore was not
allowed to write new business since H2 2012

In order to prepare an open, transparent and non-discriminatory bidding process in H1 2014 non
Pfandbriefbank
"suitable" assets and liabilities were transferred to EAA via carve out

1) As published February 22, 2015

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Transaction structure Attractive terms and conditions

Transaction
All cash transaction to acquire 100% of the shares

Via pre-closing carve out, all funding provided and financial guarantees given from EAA to
WestImmo
will be terminated.
At the same time specific assets will be transferred from WestImmo
to EAA.
In addition Aareal Bank provides WestImmo
an external credit-
/ liquidity-line

Profit until closing to be paid to EAA

Fair / conservative valuation; attractive asset and liability spreads logged in

Extensive due diligence carried out
350 mn2)

Attractive purchase price of €
Closing
conditions

Subject to BaFin
/ ECB approval

Subject to anti-trust approval

2) Subject to further adjustments

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Financials Impact on capital ratios, EpS, and RoE2)

Capital ratios:

  • All cash transaction
  • Allocation of excess capital
  • RWA increase partly compensated by negative goodwill
  • Expected pro forma CET1 as at 31.12.2015: 11.8%
  • Bail in capital ratio expected above target (~8%)

EpS

  • Transaction is EpS accretive from day 1
  • Expected cumulative EpS for the next three years > 3 €
  • Substantial part of the capital currently absorbed by acquired RWA already to be released until 2017
  • No capital relief from switch of rating model (WestImmo already on AIRBA)

  • RoE

  • Transaction in line with mid term RoE target
  • Pre-tax RoE target confirmed at ~12%

Dividend policy

Reconfirming active dividend policy with payout ratios of ~50% (excl. negative goodwill)

1) As published February 22, 2015

2) Pro forma extrapolated, assumed closing 31.03.2015

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Financials

Purchase price illustration2)

1) As published February 22, 2015

2) Pro forma extrapolated, assumed closing 31.03.2015

Acquisition of WestImmo1):

Private client loans and Public sector loans2)

Private client
loans

Volume of €
1.6 bn
extrapolated as at 31.03.2015

All non performing loans have been carved out,
purely performing business with average LtV
< 60%

Outstandings
< 100 T€: 58%, 100 –
150 T€: 24%, 150 –
200 T€: 10%,
200 –
250 T€: 4%; 250 –
500: <4%; > 500 T€: <1%
> 50% in Baden Wuerttemberg, Bayern, Hessen, and NRW

Historical defaults on that portfolio in the very, very low double digit area (bp)

Potential risks from clawbacks regarding loan fees ("Rückforderungen
von
Bearbeitungsgebühren)" and faulty revocation clause ("fehlerhafte
Widerrufsbelehrungen") will be
covered by the seller
Public sector
loans

Volume of €
0.8 bn
extrapolated as at 31.03.2015

Loans, warranties or guaranties to German sub-sovereign bodies
1)
As published February 22, 2015
2)
Pro forma extrapolated as at 31.03.2015

Appendix Revaluation surplus

Revaluation surplus

Change mainly driven by asset spreads

Appendix Capital ratios, CET1 development and RWA-split

Capital ratios SREP1) requirements

Main takeaways

  • Aareal Bank's SREP requirement according to ECB notification: 8.75% CET1 including capital conservation buffer
  • Other buffer of 1% (estimated not yet announced); actual countercyclical buffer: 0.02%
  • CET1 ratio of 13.1% (fully phased) as at 31.12.2015: ~330 bps above SREP requirement (including capital conservation buffer AND estimated other buffer)
  • ~330 bps buffer currently available to cover uncertainties coming from regulatory environment

SREP requirement Other buffer, estimate Countercyclical buffer

1) Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process (SREP)

From asset to risk weighted asset (RWA) Essential factors affecting volume of RWA

Effective date 31/03/2016

1) Amounts to € 36 mn

2) Amounts to € 4 mn

Definitions and contacts

Definitions

  • Structured Property Financing Portfolio = Paid-out financings on balance sheet
  • New Business = Newly acquired business incl. renewals + Contract is signed by customer + Fixed loan value and margin
  • Common Equity Tier 1 ratio = CET1 Risk weighted assets
  • Pre tax RoE = Operating profit ./. income/loss attributable to non-controlling interests ./. AT1 cupon Average IFRS equity excl. non-controlling interests, other reserves, AT1 and dividends
  • CIR = Admin expenses Net income
  • Net income = net interest income + net commission income + net result on hedge accounting + net trading income + results from non-trading assets + results from investments accounted for at equity + results from investment properties + net other operating income
  • Net stable funding ratio = ≥ 100% Available stable funding Required stable funding
  • Liquidity coverage ratio = ≥ 100% Total stock of high quality liquid assets Net cash outflows under stress
  • Bail-in capital ratio = Equity + subordinated capital (Long + short term funding) – (Equity + subordinated capital)
  • Earnings per share = operating profit ./. income taxes ./. income/loss attributable to non controlling interests ./. net AT1 cupon Number of ordinary shares

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