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Aareal Bank AG

Earnings Release Nov 10, 2016

11_ip_2016-11-10_9c389dfd-5815-46b1-baad-9ea35d22203e.pdf

Earnings Release

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Analyst Conference Call Q3 2016 results

November 10, 2016 Hermann J. Merkens, CEO

Agenda

  • Highlights
  • General environment
  • Group results Q3 2016 at a glance
  • Segment performance
  • Group results Q3 2016
  • B/S structure, capital & funding position
  • Asset quality
  • Outlook 2016
  • Appendix
  • Definitions and Contacts

Highlights Q3 2016 FY-outlook for operating profit and new business raised

Key facts and figures at a glance

Successful development

  • Q3 operating profit: € 74 mn (9M: € 281 mn)
  • Q3 new business: € 1.6 bn (9M: € 6.0 bn)
  • FY-new business target raised to € 8 bn € 9 bn
  • Aareon sales and EBIT increased as planned (YtD)
  • Implementation of "Aareal 2020" on track
  • FY-operating profit target raised to € 360 mn € 380 mn, including expected positive one-off effect (€ 28 mn) in Q4 2016

General environment

  • US-recovery still on track but lower than expected, Europe with moderate growth, China's growth rate is slowing down
  • Brexit causes political and economic uncertainties, ongoing geopolitical risks and tensions e.g. in Russia and Turkey
  • Diverging monetary policies between ECB and FED: but no major weakening of the EUR expected
  • ECB has broadened QE, further steps possible: enormous impact on capital markets risking asset bubbles and therefore risks from LTVs partly based on extreme low cap rates
  • High liquidity on property market, but decreasing transaction volumes in 9M 2016 (vs. 9M 2015). Some markets positive: e.g. the Netherlands, or almost stable e.g. France, Germany very strong in Q3 2016
  • Stable to moderately increasing property values and rents in most European countries as well as in North America
  • Intensive competition for commercial real estate financing, European and US margins bottoming out
  • Uncertainties about regulatory requirements, especially regarding Basel IV

Main takeaways

Main focus for new business in markets with attractive risk/return profile like North America

In Turkey and Russia only renewals; still prepared to finance in the UK

Partly tightened requirements for new business regarding LTV

Regulatory projects still in progress

Group results Q3 2016 at a glance

Q3 2016 at a glance Another strong quarter

Q3
2016
Q2
2016
Q1
2016
Q4
2015
Q3
2015
Comments

mn
Net interest income
(excl. unplanned effects from
early repayments)
175
(171)
177
(175)
180
(180)
198
(183)
214
(192)
NII reflects

Robust margins –
declining Portfolio


32 mn
effects from early repayments (9M)
Allow. for credit losses 33 29 2 42 37 In line with full year target
Net commission income 44 47 46 52 40 Aareon
on track
Admin expenses 127 144 146 138 147
7 mn
one-offs from integration as well as
from project / investment costs
Operating profit 74 120 87 92 82 Another strong quarter
Earnings per share [€] 0.70 1.23 0.85 1.01 0.78

Segment performance

Structured property financing New business FY-target raised

1) Incl. renewals

2) Newly acquired business

New business origination

  • New business plan adjusted to € 8-9 bn to achieve targeted year-end core-portfolio size (lower end of € 25-27 bn)
  • Long term target portfolio to be likely at the lower end of the given range, strengthening off-balance lending in line with "Aareal 2020"
  • Gross margins2) in Q3 2016 of around 270 bps (230 - 240 bps after FX)
  • € 32 mn effects from early repayments (9M)
  • Closing Aqvatrium / Fatburen in April 2016 with a positive € 61 mn effect

Consulting / Services Aareon on track, above previous year-level

P&L C/S Segment Q3 '16 Q2 '16 Q1 '16 Q4 '15 Q3 '15

mn
Sales revenue 47 52 49 56 44
Own work capitalised 1 2 1 0 2
Changes in inventory 0 0 0 0 0
Other operating income 2 0 1 4 2
Cost of material purchased 8 9 7 7 5
Staff expenses 36 35 36 37 35
D, A, impairment losses 3 3 3 3 3
Results at equity acc. investm. 0 0 0 0 0
Other operating expenses 14 15 14 15 12
Results from interest
and similar
0 0 0 0 0
Operating profit -11 -8 -9 -2 -7
  • Aareon sales revenues (€ 49 mn vs. € 42 mn in Q3 2015) again above previous year level and in line with full year target
  • Migration ERP-system GES / Wodis Sigma according to plan
  • Digitisation:
  • Further development of Aareon Smart World according to plan
  • Digital platform development on track
  • Sales of digital add-on products across countries intensified
  • Co-operation with PropTech start-ups
  • Deposit volume from housing industry of Ø € 9.5 bn on a high level (€ 9.5 bn Ø in Q2 2016)
  • Deposit margins further burden segment result due to low-interest environment
  • Housing industry deposits generate a stable funding base, crisis-proven

Consulting / Services

Aareon above previous year-level and in line with full year target

Group results Q3 2016

Net interest income Robust margins – declining NCA

NII Core NII NCA (linear approximation) NII effects from early repayments2) NII C/S

1) Newly acquired business

2) Additional effects exceeding originally planned repayments

  • Gross margins1) in Q3 2016 of around 270 bps (230 – 240 bps after FX)
  • NII effected by run down of non core assets as planned
  • € 32 mn effects from early repayments (9M)
  • Core CRE portfolio: € 25.5 mn (06/2016: € 26.8 mn)
  • NII Consulting / Services still burdened by interest rate environment
  • Aareal Bank already fulfils future NSFR / LCR requirements
  • Even with the core portfolio size closer to the lower end of the originally guided range: in line to achieve NII-target

Allowance for credit losses (LLP) In line with full year target

No additional NPL's in Italian portfolio

Net commission income Aareon above previous year level

  • Aareon sales supporting FY-EBIT target
  • Q3 2016 with expected seasonal summer dip
  • Q4 2015 with seasonal effects
  • First time consolidation of Aareon's new acquisitions in Q4 2015 (phi-Consulting, Square DMS)

Admin expenses Lower integration costs in Q3

  • Q3 figures include
  • € 7 mn one-offs from integration as well as from project / investment costs
  • Q2 figures include
  • € 30 mn one-offs from integration as well as from project / investment costs
  • Q1 figures include
  • € 17 mn for the European bank levy for the fiscal year 2016
  • € 10 mn one-offs from integrations as well as from project / investment costs
  • Operating admin expenses for Aareon's new acquisitions phi-Consulting and Square DMS (since Q4 2015)

B/S structure, capital & funding position

RWA development Successful run down of NCA

  • Decreasing RWA from NCA reduction
  • Operational risk already based on standardised approach
  • RWA from "Financials" already close to CRSA-level

Credit risk core business Credit risk non core business Operational risk Market risk

Capital ratios Strong development

  • Regulatory uncertainties buffered by very strong capital ratios
  • Instruments assumed to mature until 2018 (planning period) are excluded from the fully phased ratios
  • Bail-in capital ratio (acc. to our definition): above 8%
  • T1-Leverage ratio as at 30.09.2016: 5.1% (fully phased)

Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) Additional Tier 1 (AT1) Tier 2 (T2)

Asset- / Liability structure according to IFRS As at 30.09.2016: € 50.5 bn (30.06.2016: € 50.9 bn)

Conservative balance sheet with structural over borrowed position

1) Other assets includes € 1.2 bn private client portfolio and WIB's € 0.7 bn public sector loans

Asset- / Liability structure according to IFRS As at 30.09.2016: € 50.5 bn (31.12.2015: € 51.9)

Conservative balance sheet with structural over borrowed position

1) Other assets includes € 1.2 bn private client portfolio and WIB's € 0.7 bn public sector loans

Net stable funding- / liquidity coverage ratio Sound liquidity position despite WestImmo takeover

  • requirements
  • NSFR > 1.0
  • LCR >> 1.0
  • Basel III and CRR require adherence of specific liquidity ratios starting end 2018
  • As intended, additional funding requirements from acquisition of WestImmo covered by NSFR surplus

Refinancing situation 9M 2016 Successful funding activities

  • Total funding of € 1.2 bn in 9M 2016: mainly senior unsecured (€ 1.1 bn)
  • Low Pfandbrief issuance due to acquisition of WestImmo
  • Backbone of capital market funding is a loyal, granular, domestic private placement investor base
  • Hold-to-maturity investors: over 600
  • Ticket size: € 10 mn € 50 mn

Refinancing situation

Diversified funding sources and distribution channels

  • Aareal Bank has clearly reduced its dependency on wholesale funding
  • 2002 long term wholesale funding accounted for 47% of overall funding volumes by 30.09.2016, this share has fallen below 30% (or even below 10% without Pfandbriefe)

As at 30.09.2016

Asset quality

Property finance portfolio1) € 28.4 bn highly diversified and sound

1) CRE business only, private client business (€ 1.2 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.7 bn) not included

2) Performing business only, exposure as at 30.09.2016

25

Property finance portfolio1) Portfolio details

Spotlight: UK property finance portfolio € 3.6 bn (~13% of total portfolio)

1) Performing business only

Spotlight: Italian property finance portfolio € 3.2 bn (~11% of total portfolio)

28

Spotlight: Turkey property finance portfolio € 0.6 bn (~2% of total portfolio)

1) Performing business only

Property finance portfolio Stable NPLs over lower portfolio

Property finance portfolio NPL exposure fully covered including collaterals

30.09.2016 31.12.2015
Coverage
ratio specific allowance
32% 31%
Coverage
ratio including portfolio allowance
41% 40%

Portfolio allowance Specific allowance Collaterals NPL exposure

Spotlight Italy Italian NPL: clear going forward strategy

Current enforcement period 3-4 years, but improving due to new legislation

All Italian NPL are fully covered despite being in different workout-stages

Treasury portfolio € 9.3 bn of high quality and highly liquid assets

Outlook 2016

Outlook 2016 raised

2016
Net interest income

700 mn
-

740 mn
incl. effects from early repayments
(Original plan 2016: €
35 mn
/ FY 2015: €
75 mn)
Allow. for credit losses1)

80 mn
-

120 mn
Net commission income

190 mn
-

200 mn
Admin expenses

520 mn -

550 mn
(incl. expenses for integration / projects and investments)
Operating profit

360 mn
-

380 mn
(from €
300 mn
-

330 mn)

Considering

28 mn
gain from resolution of litigations incurred
in connection with acquisition of former Corealcredit
Pre-tax RoE
~13% (from ~11%)

~12% adjusted by €
28 mn
gain from resolution of litigations incurred
in connection with acquisition of former Corealcredit
EpS2)

3.20 -

3.43 (from €
2.85 -

3.19)

Considering €
28 mn
gain from resolution of litigations incurred in connection
with acquisition of ex Corealcredit
and
corresponding tax losses of €
27 mn
Target portfolio size
(ARL core portfolio)


25 bn
-

27 bn
New business origination

8 bn
-

9 bn
(from €
7 bn
-

8 bn)
Operating profit Aareon3)

33 mn
-

35 mn

1) As in 2015, the bank cannot rule out additional allowances for credit losses

2) Earnings per ordinary share, tax rate of ~37% assumed (~31% adjusted by effects from solving / settlement of litigations incurred in connection with acquisition of ex Corealcredit and corresponding tax losses)

35 3) After segment adjustments

Conclusion Onging positive development

Key takeaways at a glance

Aareal Bank Group operating business remains on successful course

FY-operating profit target raised to € 360 mn - € 380 mn, including expected positive one-off effect (€ 28 mn) in Q4 2016

Implementation of "Aareal 2020" on track

Appendix Aareal 2020

Strategic background Assumptions

General environment

Tougher competition and changing clients' needs

Volatile markets (interest rates / exchange rates, oil)

Increasingly stringent regulation, historically low interest rate environment

Technological change and digitalisation

Geopolitical risks

As published February 25, 2016

Basic planning assumption: high volatility, low growth

Regulation
§

Basel IV effects in line with our expectations

Increasing regulation does not lead to additional
(material) burdens
Property
markets

Property values:
stable (EU), slightly increasing (US)

Ongoing liquidity driven property markets,
therefore increasingly inherent portfolio risks
(esp. in Europe)
Macro
economic
environ
ment

Economic development:

Euro zone sideways

US and some EU countries more dynamic

Interest rates:

Euro zone: moderate increase starting '17

US: continued increase this year

No euro zone break-up, no "Brexit",
no strengthening of nationalistic tendencies
in Europe

No adverse development of geopolitical conflicts

ASSUMPTIONS APPLY TO FOLLOWING PAGES 38

Aareal 2020 – Adjust. Advance. Achieve. Our way ahead

Adjust

Safeguard strong base in a changing environment

  • Enhance efficiency
  • Optimise funding
  • Anticipate regulation

Aareal 2020

Create sustainable value for all stakeholders

  • Realise strategic objectives for the Group and the segments
  • Consistently implement required measures
  • Achieve ambitious financial targets

Advance

Exploit our strengths, realise our potentials

  • Further develop existing business
  • Gain new customer groups, tap new markets
  • Further enhance agility, innovation and willingness to adapt

As published February 25, 2016

As published February 25, 2016

1) Management buffer of 2.25% planned until regulatory environment is sufficiently stable

Advance: Structured Property Financing. Safeguard core business in adverse environment

Further develop existing business

Gain new customer groups, tap new markets

  • In the medium term, expansion in markets with an attractive risk / return and macroeconomic growth potential, e.g. grow North America portfolio to € 6.0 bn - € 6.5 bn
  • Active portfolio- and balance-sheet management e.g. by syndication
  • Use digitisation potential with clients, identify and realise new digital business opportunities
  • Examine additional business opportunities along the value chain of commercial property financing, e.g. in the area of servicing

Further enhance agility, innovation and willingness to adapt

As published February 25, 2016

Advance: Consulting / Services.

Leverage position as leading provider of ERP solutions in Europe to achieve future growth

Further develop existing business

Gain new customer groups, tap new markets

  • Expanding "ecosystem housing industry": international cross-selling, develop add-on products for ERP systems and new digital products
  • Utilise existing know-how to expand "ecosystem utilities" by offering specific products (e.g. for transaction services) and IT services / consulting
  • Further development of existing platform products for the management of housing companies for their B2C business
  • Push our payment transaction services and IT products, targeting small-sized housing enterprises and COA-Manager

Further enhance agility, innovation and willingness to adapt

As published February 25, 2016

Achieve. Keep RoE on an attractive level despite difficult environment

Achieve. Increase payout ratio (up to 80%) and dividend1)

Payout ratio 2013 - 2018 2013 14 15 16 17 48% 51% 52% 2018 60% 70-80% 70-80% Base dividend We intend to distribute approx. 50% of the earnings per ordinary share (EpS) as base dividend Supplementary dividend In addition, we plan to distribute supplementary dividends, from 10% increasing up to 20-30% of the EpS Prerequisites: No material deterioration of the environment (with longer-term and sustainably negative effects) Nor attractive investment opportunities neither positive growth environment

As published February 25, 2016 1) The future dividend policy applies provided that the dividend payments resulting from it are consistent with a long-term and sustained business development of Aareal Bank AG. In addition, the dividend payments are subject to the proviso that corresponding dividend proposals have been made by the Management Board and the Supervisory Board for the respective year.

45

Appendix Group results

Aareal Bank Group Results Q3 2016

01.07.-
30.09.2016
€ mn
01.07.-
30.09.2015
€ mn
Change
Profit and loss account
Net interest income 175 214 -18%
Allowance for credit losses 33 37 -11%
Net interest income after allowance for credit losses 142 177 -20%
Net commission income 44 40 10%
Net result on hedge accounting 3 -3
Net trading income / expenses 4 13 -69%
Results from non-trading assets 5 -13
Results from investments accounted for at equity 0 0
Administrative expenses 127 147 -14%
Net other operating income / expenses 3 15 -80%
Negative goodwill - -
Operating Profit 74 82 -10%
Income taxes 23 26 -12%
Consolidated net income 51 56 -9%
Consolidated net income attributable to non-controlling interests 5 5 0%
Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG 46 51 -10%
Earnings per share (EpS)
Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG1) 46 51 -10%
of which: allocated to ordinary shareholders 42 47 -10%
of which: allocated to AT1 investors 4 4 0%
Earnings per ordinary share (in €)2) 0.70 0.78 -10%
Earnings per ordinary AT1 unit (in €)3) 0.04 0.04 0%

1) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.

2) Earnings per ordinary share are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to ordinary shareholders of Aareal Bank AG by the weighted average of ordinary shares outstanding during the financial year (59,857,221 shares). Basic earnings per ordinary share correspond to diluted earnings per ordinary share.

3) Eanings per AT1 unit (based on 100,000,000 AT1 units with a notional amount of 3 € each) are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to AT1 investors by the weighted average of AT1 units outstanding during the financial year. Earnings per AT1 unit (basic) correspond to (diluted) earnings per AT1 unit.

47

Aareal Bank Group Results Q3 2016 by segments

Financing Structured
Property
Services Consulting / Consolidation/
Reconciliation
Aareal Bank
Group
01.07.- 01.07.- 01.07.- 01.07.- 01.07.- 01.07.- 01.07.- 01.07.-
30.09. 30.09. 30.09. 30.09. 30.09. 30.09. 30.09. 30.09.
2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015
€ mn
Net interest income 179 214 0 0 -4 0 175 214
Allowance for credit losses 33 37 33 37
Net interest income after allowance for credit losses 146 177 0 0 -4 -1 142 177
Net commission income 2 2 39 39 3 0 44 40
Net result on hedge accounting 3 -3 3 -3
Net trading income / expenses 4 13 4 13
Results from non-trading assets 5 -13 5 -13
Results from investments accounted for at equity 0 0 0 0 0
Administrative expenses 77 101 51 47 -1 -1 127 147
Net other operating income / expenses 2 14 1 1 0 0 3 15
Negative goodwill
Operating profit 85 89 -11 -7 0 0 74 82
Income taxes 27 29 -4 -3 23 26
Consolidated net income 58 60 -7 -4 0 0 51 56
Allocation of results
Cons. net income attributable to non-controlling interests 5 5 0 0 5 5
Cons. net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG 53 55 -7 -4 0 0 46 51

Aareal Bank Group Results 9M 2016

01.01.-
30.09.2016
01.01.-
30.09.2015
Change
€ mn € mn
Profit and loss account
Net interest income 532 583 -9%
Allowance for credit losses 64 86 -26%
Net interest income after allowance for credit losses 468 497 -6%
Net commission income 137 123 11%
Net result on hedge accounting 4 5 -20%
Net trading income / expenses 21 8 163%
Results from non-trading assets 66 -15
Results from investments accounted for at equity 0 0
Administrative expenses 417 415 0%
Net other operating income / expenses 2 25 -92%
Negative goodwill - 1501)
Operating Profit 281 3781) -26%
Income taxes 88 72 22%
Consolidated net income 193 3061) -37%
Consolidated net income attributable to non-controlling interests 15 15 0%
Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG 178 2911) -39%
Earnings per share (EpS)
Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG2) 178 2911) -39%
of which: allocated to ordinary shareholders 166 2791) -40%
of which: allocated to AT1 investors 12 12 0%
Earnings per ordinary share (in €)3) 2.78 4,651) -40%
Earnings per ordinary AT1 unit (in €)4) 0.12 0.12 0%

1) Adjustment of previous year's figures due to completion of purchase price allocation for WestImmo, in accordance with IFRS 3

2) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.

3) Earnings per ordinary share are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to ordinary shareholders of Aareal Bank AG by the weighted average of ordinary shares outstanding during the financial year (59,857,221 shares). Basic earnings per ordinary share correspond to diluted earnings per ordinary share.

4) Eanings per AT1 unit (based on 100,000,000 AT1 units with a notional amount of 3 € each) are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to AT1 investors by the weighted average of AT1 units outstanding during the financial year. Earnings per AT1 unit (basic) correspond to (diluted) earnings per AT1 unit.

Aareal Bank Group Results 9M 2016 by segments

Financing Structured
Property
Consulting /
Services
Consolidation/
Reconciliation
Aareal Bank
Group
01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.- 01.01.-
30.09. 30.09. 30.09. 30.09. 30.09. 30.09. 30.09. 30.09.
2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015
€ mn
Net interest income 542 584 0 0 -10 -1 532 583
Allowance for credit losses 64 86 64 86
Net interest income after allowance for credit losses 478 498 0 0 -10 -1 468 497
Net commission income 5 4 124 120 8 -1 137 123
Net result on hedge accounting 4 5 4 5
Net trading income / expenses 21 8 0 21 8
Results from non-trading assets 66 -15 66 -15
Results from investments accounted for at equity 0 0 0 0 0
Administrative expenses 266 274 153 143 -2 -2 417 415
Net other operating income / expenses 1 23 1 2 0 0 2 25
Negative goodwill 1501) 1501)
Operating profit 309 3991) -28 -21 0 0 281 3781)
Income taxes 98 79 -10 -7 88 72
Consolidated net income 211 3201) -18 -14 0 0 193 3061)
Allocation of results
Cons. net income attributable to non-controlling interests 13 13 2 2 15 15
Cons. net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG 198 3071) -20 -16 0 0 178 2911)

1) Adjustment of previous year's figures due to completion of purchase price allocation for WestImmo, in accordance with IFRS 3

Aareal Bank Group Results – quarter by quarter

Structured Property
Financing
Consulting / Services Consolidation /
Reconciliation
Aareal Bank Group
Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3
2016 2016 2016 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2015 2015
€ mn
Net interest income 179 181 182 199 214 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -4 -2 -1 0 175 177 180 198 214
Allowance for credit losses 33 29 2 42 37 33 29 2 42 37
Net interest income after
allowance for credit losses 146 152 180 157 177 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -4 -2 -1 0 142 148 178 156 177
Net commission income 2 1 2 2 2 39 43 42 49 39 3 3 2 1 -1 44 47 46 52 40
Net result on hedge accounting 3 0 1 3 -3 3 0 1 3 -3
Net trading income / expenses 4 8 9 5 13 0 0 0 4 8 9 5 13
Results from non-trading assets 5 61 0 -2 -13 5 61 0 -2 -13
Results from results accounted
for at equity 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Administrative expenses 77 94 95 85 101 51 51 51 54 47 -1 -1 0 -1 -1 127 144 146 138 147
Net other operating income /
expenses 2 0 -1 14 14 1 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 -1 0 3 0 -1 16 15
Negative goodwill
Operating profit 85 128 96 94 89 -11 -8 -9 -2 -7 0 0 0 0 0 74 120 87 92 82
Income taxes 27 41 30 27 29 -4 -3 -3 -3 -3 23 38 27 24 26
Consolidated net income 58 87 66 67 60 -7 -5 -6 1 -4 0 0 0 0 0 51 82 60 68 56
Cons. net income attributable to
non-controlling interests 5 4 4 3 5 0 1 1 1 0 5 5 5 4 5
Cons. net income attributable to
shareholders of Aareal Bank AG 53 83 62 64 55 -7 -6 -7 0 -4 0 0 0 0 0 46 77 55 64 51

Material litigations concerning the former Corealcredit concluded: Successful conclusion with no material EPS impact as expected

Impact on P/L

mn
Reversal
of
provisions
for
litigation
and considering compensation
claims
28
Total operating
profit
28
Reversal
of
deferred
tax
assets
and
provisions
-27
Total income
taxes
-27
Total net income 1
  • To comprehensively cover risks from ongoing litigations, assumed within the framework of acquiring the former Corealcredit (SPA), provisions were recognised on the date of acquisition. Moreover, the Bank contractually agreed upon mutual compensation claims with the former owner of Corealcredit, depending upon the outcome of the litigations.
  • Given the conclusion of the litigations, the Bank will be able to reverse these provisions during the fourth quarter. The reversal of provisions will partially be offset by considering contractually-agreed compensation claims.
  • The resulting net income of €28 million will be offset by the reversal of deferred tax assets and provisions recognised in connection with the former Corealcredit (in the amount of €27 million); as expected. Overall, this issue will have only a minor impact on results after taxes (around €1 million).
  • Specifically, negative goodwill of €154 million recognised upon acquisition will remain unaffected.

Appendix AT1: ADI of Aareal Bank AG

Interest payments and ADI of Aareal Bank AG

Available Distributable Items (as of end of the relevant year)

31.12.
2015
31.12.
2014
31.12.
2013

mn
Net Retained Profit

Net income

Profit carried forward from previous year

Net income attribution to revenue reserves
99
99
-
-
77
77
-
-
50
50
-
-
+
Other revenue reserves after net income attribution
720 715 710
Total dividend potential before amount blocked1)
=
819 792 760
./.
Dividend amount blocked under section 268 (8)
of the German Commercial Code
287 240 156
= Available Distributable Items1) 532 552 604
+
Increase by aggregated amount of interest expenses relating to
Distributions on Tier 1 Instruments1)
46 57 57
=
Amount referred to in the relevant paragraphs of the terms and
conditions of the respective Notes as being available to cover Interest
Payments on the Notes and Distributions on other Tier 1 Instruments1)
578 609 661

Appendix Development property finance portfolio

Development property finance portfolio

Diversification continuously strengthened (in € mn)

Western Europe (ex Germany) credit portfolio Total volume outstanding as at 30.09.2016: € 9.1 bn

German credit portfolio Total volume outstanding as at 30.09.2016: € 4.4 bn

Southern Europe credit portfolio

Total volume outstanding as at 30.09.2016: € 4.3 bn

Eastern Europe credit portfolio

Total volume outstanding as at 30.09.2016: € 2.5 bn

Northern Europe credit portfolio

Total volume outstanding as at 30.09.2016: € 1.7 bn

North America credit portfolio

Total volume outstanding as at 30.09.2016: € 6.1 bn

Asia credit portfolio Total volume outstanding as at 30.09.2016: € 0.4 bn

Appendix Acquisition of WestImmo

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Strategic rationale Attractive opportunity to pursue inorganic growth

1) As published February 22, 2015

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Strategic rationale Value enhancing transaction in line with business strategy

Transaction represents attractive opportunity for Aareal Bank to pursue inorganic growth as it is EpS accretive and creating shareholder value from day one while mid-term targets unchanged

Acquisition using existing excess capital demonstrates strength and strategic capacity while generating further excess capital and therefore dividend distribution potential at the same time

Immediate (inorganic) growth of interest earning asset base in times of increasing competition

Perfect overlap to Aareal's core business further strengthens position as a specialised commercial real estate lender

International well experienced staff and platform maintained despite currently not being allowed to write new business (acc. to EU-regulations) and therefore in run-down mode

High diversification of CRE portfolio and conservative risk profile remains unchanged

Optimisation of capital structure in line with communicated strategy

1) As published February 22, 2015

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Strategic rationale Business ability even without new business origination

Strategy and
business modell

WestImmo
is a specialist in international commercial real estate financing
focussing on office, shopping center, hotel and logistics,
headquartered in Mainz / Münster

Additional activities for private clients and public sector

Originally focussing on Europe, the US and Asia with international locations

Balance sheet of ~ €
8.1 bn
(~ €
3.3 bn
RWA),
thereof CRE business ~ €
4.3 bn, private clients ~ €
1.6 bn, public sector ~ €
0.8 bn
(pro forma extrapolated as at 31.03.2015)

280 employees (~ 255 FTE)

WestImmo
was a subsidiary of former WestLB

After the split of former WestLB
into Portigon
AG and Erste
Abwicklungsanstalt
(EAA) in September
2012, WestImmo
became a 100%-subsidiary of EAA
History
WestImmo
has either to be sold or to be wind down (acc. to EU-regulations) and therefore was not
allowed to write new business since H2 2012

In order to prepare an open, transparent and non-discriminatory bidding process in H1 2014 non
Pfandbriefbank
"suitable" assets and liabilities were transferred to EAA via carve out

1) As published February 22, 2015

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Transaction structure Attractive terms and conditions

Transaction
All cash transaction to acquire 100% of the shares

Via pre-closing carve out, all funding provided and financial guarantees given from EAA to
WestImmo
will be terminated.
At the same time specific assets will be transferred from WestImmo
to EAA.
In addition Aareal Bank provides WestImmo
an external credit-
/ liquidity-line

Profit until closing to be paid to EAA

Fair / conservative valuation; attractive asset and liability spreads logged in

Extensive due diligence carried out
350 mn2)

Attractive purchase price of €
Closing
conditions

Subject to BaFin
/ ECB approval

Subject to anti-trust approval

2) Subject to further adjustments

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Financials Impact on capital ratios, EpS, and RoE2)

Capital ratios:

  • All cash transaction
  • Allocation of excess capital
  • RWA increase partly compensated by negative goodwill
  • Expected pro forma CET1 as at 31.12.2015: 11.8%
  • Bail in capital ratio expected above target (~8%)

EpS

  • Transaction is EpS accretive from day 1
  • Expected cumulative EpS for the next three years > 3 €
  • Substantial part of the capital currently absorbed by acquired RWA already to be released until 2017
  • No capital relief from switch of rating model (WestImmo already on AIRBA)

RoE

  • Transaction in line with mid term RoE target
  • Pre-tax RoE target confirmed at ~12%

Dividend policy

Reconfirming active dividend policy with payout ratios of ~50% (excl. negative goodwill)

1) As published February 22, 2015

Acquisition of WestImmo1): Financials

Purchase price illustration2)

1) As published February 22, 2015

2) Pro forma extrapolated, assumed closing 31.03.2015

Acquisition of WestImmo1):

Private client loans and Public sector loans2)

Private client
loans

Volume of €
1.6 bn
extrapolated as at 31.03.2015

All non performing loans have been carved out,
purely performing business with average LtV
< 60%

Outstandings
< 100 T€: 58%, 100 –
150 T€: 24%, 150 –
200 T€: 10%,
200 –
250 T€: 4%; 250 –
500: <4%; > 500 T€: <1%
> 50% in Baden Wuerttemberg, Bayern, Hessen, and NRW

Historical defaults on that portfolio in the very, very low double digit area (bp)

Potential risks from clawbacks regarding loan fees ("Rückforderungen
von
Bearbeitungsgebühren)" and faulty revocation clause ("fehlerhafte
Widerrufsbelehrungen") will be
covered by the seller
Public sector
loans
1)
As published February 22, 2015

Volume of €
0.8 bn
extrapolated as at 31.03.2015

Loans, warranties or guaranties to German sub-sovereign bodies

2) Pro forma extrapolated as at 31.03.2015

Appendix Revaluation surplus

Revaluation surplus

Change mainly driven by asset spreads

73

Appendix SREP requirements and RWA-split

Capital ratios SREP1) requirements

Main takeaways

  • Aareal Bank's SREP requirement according to ECB notification: 8.75% CET1 including capital conservation buffer
  • Other buffer of 1% (estimated not yet announced); actual countercyclical buffer: 0.02%
  • CET1 ratio of 13.1% (fully phased) as at 31.12.2015: ~330 bps above SREP requirement (including capital conservation buffer AND estimated other buffer)
  • ~330 bps buffer currently available to cover uncertainties coming from regulatory environment

As published April 14, 2016 1) Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process (SREP) SREP requirement Other buffer, estimate Countercyclical buffer

Stress Test

Capital ratio remain above current SREP requirements in adverse scenario

  • Even in adverse scenario
  • CET1 ratio (fully phased) above current SREP requirements
  • Solid leverage ratio
  • Current SREP ratio 8.75% including capital conservation buffer
  • 2016 SREP letter expected H2 2016

Including phasing effects

From asset to risk weighted asset (RWA) Essential factors affecting volume of RWA

Effective date 30/09/2016

1) Amounts to € 38 mn

2) Amounts to € 4 mn

Sustainability Performance

Aareal Bank Group stands for solidity, reliability and predictability

1) full Basel III implementation, as at 30 September 2016

2) CRE business only, private client business (€ 1.2 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.7 bn) not included, as at 30 September 2016

3) at our main locations in Wiesbaden and Mainz, selected other German sites as well as at our Stockholm branch

Sustainability data extends the financial depiction of the Group

Key takeaways at a glance

Transparent Reporting – facilitating informed investment decisions

  • 4 th Sustainability Report "In Dialogue. By conviction." published on 10 May 2016 (online-version1))
  • Based on Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) G4 guidelines, in compliance with "in accordance core" option, including GRI Materiality Disclosures Services check
  • PricewaterhouseCoopers AG prepared a limited assurance engagement on materiality analysis / selected data

Sustainability Ratings – confirming the company's sustainability performance

oekom research – Aareal Bank Group holds "prime status", ranking among the leaders in its industry [since 2012]

Sustainalytics – Aareal Bank Group was classified as "outperformer", ranking among the best 16% of its industry [as per 12/2015]

CDP – Aareal Bank Group achieved a result of "Management Level B", well above average of peer group Financials (DACH region) / MDAX companies ("Awareness Level C") [Report 2016]

imug – Areal Bank was rated "positive BB" in the category "Uncovered Bonds", ranking among Top 3 of 102 banks rated in total [as per 01/2016]

1) http://www.aareal-bank.com/fileadmin/DAM_Content/Konzern/dokumente/06_nachhaltigkeitsbericht2015_en.pdf

Definitions and contacts

Definitions

  • Structured Property Financing Portfolio = Paid-out financings on balance sheet
  • New Business = Newly acquired business incl. renewals + Contract is signed by customer + Fixed loan value and margin
  • Common Equity Tier 1 ratio = CET1 Risk weighted assets
  • Pre tax RoE = Operating profit ./. income/loss attributable to non-controlling interests ./. AT1 cupon Average IFRS equity excl. non-controlling interests, other reserves, AT1 and dividends
  • CIR = Admin expenses Net income
  • Net income = net interest income + net commission income + net result on hedge accounting + net trading income + results from non-trading assets + results from investments accounted for at equity + results from investment properties + net other operating income
  • Net stable funding ratio = ≥ 100% Available stable funding Required stable funding
  • Liquidity coverage ratio = ≥ 100% Total stock of high quality liquid assets Net cash outflows under stress
  • Bail-in capital ratio = Equity + subordinated capital (Long + short term funding) – (Equity + subordinated capital)
  • Earnings per share = operating profit ./. income taxes ./. income/loss attributable to non controlling interests ./. net AT1 cupon Number of ordinary shares

Contacts

  • Jürgen Junginger Managing Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 2636 [email protected]
  • Sebastian Götzken Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3337 [email protected]
  • Carsten Schäfer Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3616 [email protected]
  • Karin Desczka Manager Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3009 [email protected]

Disclaimer

© 2016 Aareal Bank AG. All rights reserved.

  • This document has been prepared by Aareal Bank AG, exclusively for the purposes of a corporate presentation by Aareal Bank AG. The presentation is intended for professional and institutional customers only.
  • It must not be modified or disclosed to third parties without the explicit permission of Aareal Bank AG. Any persons who may come into possession of this information and these documents must inform themselves of the relevant legal provisions applicable to the receipt and disclosure of such information, and must comply with such provisions. This presentation may not be distributed in or into any jurisdiction where such distribution would be restricted by law.
  • This presentation is provided for general information purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to enter into a contract on the provision of advisory services or an offer to purchase securities. Aareal Bank AG has merely compiled the information on which this document is based from sources considered to be reliable – without, however, having verified it. The securities of Aareal Bank AG are not registered in the United States of America and may not be offered or sold except under an exemption from, or pursuant to, registration under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Therefore, Aareal Bank AG does not give any warranty, and makes no representation as to the completeness or correctness of any information or opinion contained herein. Aareal Bank AG accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever for any expense, loss or damages arising out of, or in any way connected with, the use of all or any part of this presentation. The securities of Aareal Bank AG are not registered in the United States of America and may not be offered or sold except under an exemption from, or pursuant to, registration under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended.
  • This presentation may contain forward-looking statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements or trend information that are based on current plans, views and/or assumptions and subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties, most of them being difficult to predict and generally beyond Aareal Bank AG´s control. This could lead to material differences between the actual future results, performance and / or events and those expressed or implied by such statements.
  • Aareal Bank AG assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement or any other information contained herein.

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