Investor Presentation • May 11, 2017
Investor Presentation
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May 11, 2017 Hermann J. Merkens, CEO
| Highlights |
|---|
| First-quarter consolidated operating profit of € 71 mn (Q1 2016: € 87 mn) fully in line with expectations |
| Very robust net interest income, thanks to continued strong margins – year-on-year decline primarily due to the continued reduction of the WestImmo and Corealcredit portfolios |
| Strong new business originated in the Structured Property Financing segment – very low allowance for credit losses |
| Further growth in net commission income, due to Aareon's good performance |
| Increased full-year guidance confirmed: Aareal Bank anticipates consolidated operating profit of between € 310 mn and € 350 mn |
| € mn |
Q1 '16 | Q2 '16 | Q3 '16 | Q4 '16 | Q1 '17 | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net interest income | 180 | 177 | 175 | 169 | 164 | Stable margins, further reduction of CCB and WIB portfolios |
| Allowance for credit losses | 2 | 29 | 33 | 33 | 2 | Seasonally lower, in line with full year target |
| Net commission income | 46 | 47 | 44 | 56 | 48 | Above previous year's high level |
| Net result from trading / non-trading / hedge acc. |
10 | 691) | 12 | -5 | -4 | |
| Admin expenses | 146 | 144 | 127 | 130 | 139 | Including European banking levy and Deposit Protection Guarantee Schemes |
| Others | -1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 4 | |
| Operating profit | 87 | 120 | 74 | 85 | 71 | Solid quarterly results in line with full year targets |
| Income taxes | 27 | 38 | 23 | 44 | 24 | Tax ratio Q1 2017: 34% FY 2017e: 37% due to reversal of CCB provisions |
| Minorities / AT1 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | Savings from redemption of hybrid instrument from Q2 2017 onwards |
| Consolidated net income allocated to ord. shareholders |
51 | 73 | 42 | 33 | 38 | |
| Earnings per share [€] | 0.85 | 1.23 | 0.70 | 0.55 | 0.63 |
1) Inc. € 61 mn from closing Aqvatrium / Fatburen
New business origination € mn Newly acquired business Renewals 622 1,222 552 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 Q1 2016 Q1 2017 936 1,774
1) Incl. renewals
2) Inc. € 61 mn from closing Aqvatrium / Fatburen
| P&L C/S Segment | Q1 '16 | Q2 '16 | Q3 '16 | Q4 '16 | Q1 '17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € mn |
|||||
| Sales revenue | 49 | 52 | 47 | 58 | 54 |
| Own work capitalised | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Other operating income | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Cost material purchased | 7 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| Staff expenses | 36 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 35 |
| D, A, impairment losses | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Other operat. expenses | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
| Others | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Operating profit | -9 | -8 | -11 | -1 | -6 |
Deposit taking business / other activities -20 -15 -10 -5 0 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 € mn -17 -16 Operating profit -16 -14 -13
NII without effects from derecognition of financial instruments to be reported separately under IFRS 9 starting 2018 Effects from derecognition of financial instruments to be reported separately under IFRS 9 starting 2018 (mainly effects from early repayments)
1) Newly acquired business
Seasonally lower, in line with full year target
Admin expenses in Q1 2017 includes
Credit risk Operational risk Market risk
Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) Additional Tier 1 (AT1) Tier 2 (T2)
Conservative balance sheet with structural over borrowed position Average maturity of long term funding > average maturity of RSF loans
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Assets Liabilities & equity € bn 4.8 (5.2) Other assets1) 28.0 (27.9) Real estate structured finance loan book 10.8 (11.3) Treasury portfolio 28.4 (29.1) Long-term funds and equity 8.9 (9.2) Customer deposits housing industry 3.7 (4.1) Other liabilities 4.1 (4.5) Customer deposits institutional clients of which cover pools 2.5 (3.3) Interbank 1.0 (0.8) Interbank
1) Other assets includes € 1.0 bn private client portfolio and WIB's € 0.6 bn public sector loans
Conservative balance sheet with structural over borrowed position Average maturity of long term funding > average maturity of RSF loans
1) Other assets includes € 1.0 bn private client portfolio and WIB's € 0.6 bn public sector loans
As at 31.03.2017
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 1.0 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 1.0 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 1.0 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 1.0 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
All Italian NPL are fully covered despite being in different workout-stages
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 1.0 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 1.0 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
| 2017 | |
|---|---|
| Net interest income | € 620 mn - € 660 mn incl. planned effects from early repayments (€ 35 mn - € 75 mn) |
| Allow. for credit losses1) | € 75 mn - € 100 mn |
| Net commission income | € 195 mn - € 210 mn |
| Admin expenses | € 470 mn - € 510 mn incl. expenses for projects and investments / effects from integration |
| Operating profit | € 310 mn - € 350 mn |
| Pre-tax RoE | 11% - 12.5% (9% - 10.5% excl. one-off from reversal of provisions related to CCB acquisition) |
| EpS | € 2.85 - € 3.30 |
| Target portfolio size | € 25 bn - € 28 bn |
| New business origination2) | € 7 bn - € 8 bn |
| Operating profit Aareon3) | € 34 mn - € 35 mn |
1) As in 2016, the bank cannot rule out additional allowances for credit losses
2) Incl. renewals
3) After segment adjustments
| Key takeaways |
|---|
| Aareal Bank Group remains on course, following solid start into the new year |
| Consolidated operating profit fully in line with expectations |
| Increased full-year guidance confirmed |
Appendix Aareal 2020
We successfully started – in our operational business …
| Achievements so far | Focus 2017 | Targets 2020 Plus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Structured Property Finance |
US-portfolio enhanced Non-core assets reduced Syndication volume increased Servicing platform, cooperation signed |
Further enhancing of attractive markets, e.g. USA Further reduction of non-core assets Further increasing syndication, enhancing investor bases and product scope Digitalisation of internal processes as well as clients' interface |
Expansion in markets with attractive risk return profile Strengthened portfolio- and balance sheet management New (digital) opportunities taken by enhancing value chain |
| Consulting/ Services |
Core business successfully enhanced Digital platform developed and new digital solutions launched International cross-selling increased Network with start-ups enlarged, first cooperation signed |
Enlarging digital solutions portfolio Tapping joint markets and customer groups, e.g. utilities and CRE Intensifying cooperation, in particular with start-ups |
Eco system housing industry and utilities expanded Existing platform products for the B2C business for the housing industry further developed Further development of our payment transaction system and IT products as well as enlarging our customer base |
As published February 23, 2017
Further medium-term increase is possible on the basis of a positive development of interest rate levels
1) The future dividend policy applies provided that the dividend payments resulting from it are consistent with a long-term and sustained business development of Aareal Bank AG. In addition, the dividend payments are subject to the proviso that corresponding dividend proposals have been made by the Management Board and the Supervisory Board for the respective year.
As published February 23, 2017
Appendix Group results
| 01.01.- 31.03.2017 |
01.01.- 31.03.2016 |
Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| € mn | € mn | ||
| Profit and loss account | |||
| Net interest income | 164 | 180 | -9% |
| Allowance for credit losses | 2 | 2 | 0% |
| Net interest income after allowance for credit losses | 162 | 178 | -9% |
| Net commission income | 48 | 46 | 4% |
| Net result on hedge accounting | -3 | 1 | |
| Net trading income / expenses | -1 | 9 | |
| Results from non-trading assets | 0 | ||
| Results from investments accounted for at equity | 0 | ||
| Administrative expenses | 139 | 146 | -5% |
| Net other operating income / expenses | 4 | -1 | |
| Operating Profit | 71 | 87 | -18% |
| Income taxes | 24 | 27 | -11% |
| Consolidated net income | 47 | 60 | -22% |
| Consolidated net income attributable to non-controlling interests | 5 | 5 | 0% |
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG | 42 | 55 | -24% |
| Earnings per share (EpS) | |||
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG1) | 42 | 55 | -24% |
| of which: allocated to ordinary shareholders | 38 | 51 | -25% |
| of which: allocated to AT1 investors | 4 | 4 | 0% |
| Earnings per ordinary share (in €)2) | 0.63 | 0.85 | -26% |
| Earnings per ordinary AT1 unit (in €)3) | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0% |
1) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.
2) Earnings per ordinary share are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to ordinary shareholders of Aareal Bank AG by the weighted average of ordinary shares outstanding during the financial year (59,857,221 shares). Basic earnings per ordinary share correspond to diluted earnings per ordinary share.
3) Eanings per AT1 unit (based on 100,000,000 AT1 units with a notional amount of 3 € each) are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to AT1 investors by the weighted average of AT1 units outstanding during the financial year. Earnings per AT1 unit (basic) correspond to (diluted) earnings per AT1 unit.
| Financing | Structured Property |
Consulting / Services |
Consolidation/ Reconciliation |
Aareal Bank Group |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.01.- 31.03. 2017 |
01.01.- 31.03. 2016 |
01.01.- 31.03. 2017 |
01.01.- 31.03. 2016 |
01.01.- 31.03. 2017 |
01.01.- 31.03. 2016 |
01.01.- 31.03. 2017 |
01.01.- 31.03. 2016 |
|
| € mn | ||||||||
| Net interest income | 167 | 182 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -2 | 164 | 180 |
| Allowance for credit losses | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| Net interest income after allowance for credit losses | 165 | 180 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -2 | 162 | 178 |
| Net commission income | 1 | 2 | 45 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 46 |
| Net result on hedge accounting | -3 | 1 | -3 | 1 | ||||
| Net trading income / expenses | -1 | 9 | 0 | -1 | 9 | |||
| Results from non-trading assets | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| Results from investments accounted for at equity | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| Administrative expenses | 89 | 95 | 51 | 51 | -1 | 0 | 139 | 146 |
| Net other operating income / expenses | 4 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 |
| Operating profit | 77 | 96 | -6 | -9 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 87 |
| Income taxes | 26 | 30 | -2 | -3 | 24 | 27 | ||
| Consolidated net income | 51 | 66 | -4 | -6 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 60 |
| Allocation of results | ||||||||
| Cons. net income attributable to non-controlling interests | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | ||
| Cons. net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG | 47 | 62 | -5 | -7 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 55 |
| Structured Property Financing |
Consulting / Services | Consolidation / Reconciliation |
Aareal Bank Group | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | Q1 | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | Q1 | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | Q1 | Q4 | Q3 | Q2 | Q1 | |
| 2017 | 2016 | 2016 | 2016 | 2016 | 2017 | 2016 | 2016 | 2016 | 2016 | 2017 | 2016 | 2016 | 2016 | 2016 | 2017 | 2016 | 2016 | 2016 | 2016 | |
| € mn | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Net interest income | 167 | 174 | 179 | 181 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -5 | -4 | -4 | -2 | 164 | 169 | 175 | 177 | 180 |
| Allowance for credit losses | 2 | 33 | 33 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 33 | 29 | 2 | ||||||||||
| Net interest income after | ||||||||||||||||||||
| allowance for credit losses | 165 | 141 | 146 | 152 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -5 | -4 | -4 | -2 | 162 | 136 | 142 | 148 | 178 |
| Net commission income | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 45 | 47 | 39 | 43 | 42 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 48 | 56 | 44 | 47 | 46 |
| Net result on hedge accounting | -3 | -4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||
| Net trading income / expenses | -1 | -2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | ||||||||
| Results from non-trading assets | 0 | 5 | 61 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 61 | 0 | |||||||||||
| Results from results accounted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| for at equity | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Administrative expenses | 89 | 80 | 77 | 94 | 95 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | 51 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 0 | 139 | 130 | 127 | 144 | 146 |
| Net other operating income / | ||||||||||||||||||||
| expenses | 4 | 26 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 3 | 0 | -1 |
| Negative goodwill | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Operating profit | 77 | 86 | 85 | 128 | 96 | -6 | -1 | -11 | -8 | -9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 85 | 74 | 120 | 87 |
| Income taxes | 26 | 45 | 27 | 41 | 30 | -2 | -1 | -4 | -3 | -3 | 24 | 44 | 23 | 38 | 27 | |||||
| Consolidated net income | 51 | 41 | 58 | 87 | 66 | -4 | 0 | -7 | -5 | -6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 41 | 51 | 82 | 60 |
| Cons. net income attributable to | ||||||||||||||||||||
| non-controlling interests | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |||||
| Cons. net income attributable to | ||||||||||||||||||||
| shareholders of Aareal Bank AG | 47 | 38 | 53 | 83 | 62 | -5 | -1 | -7 | -6 | -7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 37 | 46 | 77 | 55 |
Appendix AT1: ADI of Aareal Bank AG
Available Distributable Items (as of end of the relevant year)
| 31.12. 2016 |
31.12. 2015 |
31.12. 2014 |
31.12. 2013 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| € mn |
||||
| Net Retained Profit Net income Profit carried forward from previous year Net income attribution to revenue reserves |
122 122 - - |
99 99 - - |
77 77 - - |
50 50 - - |
| + Other revenue reserves after net income attribution |
720 | 720 | 715 | 710 |
| = Total dividend potential before amount blocked1) |
842 | 819 | 792 | 760 |
| ./. Dividend amount blocked under section 268 (8) of the German Commercial Code ./. Dividend amount blocked under section 253 (6) of the German Commercial Code |
235 28 |
287 - |
240 - |
156 - |
| = Available Distributable Items1) | 579 | 532 | 552 | 604 |
| + Increase by aggregated amount of interest expenses relating to Distributions on Tier 1 Instruments1) |
46 | 46 | 57 | 57 |
| = Amount referred to in the relevant paragraphs of the terms and conditions of the respective Notes as being available to cover Interest Payments on the Notes and Distributions on other Tier 1 Instruments1) |
625 | 578 | 609 | 661 |
1) Unaudited figures for information purposes only
Available Distributable Items (as of end of the relevant year)
| 31.12. 2013 |
31.12. 2014 |
31.12. 2015 |
31.12. 2016 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| € mn |
||||
| Net Retained Profit Net income Profit carried forward from previous year Net income attribution to revenue reserves |
50 50 - - |
77 77 - - |
99 99 - - |
122 122 - - |
| + Other revenue reserves after net income attribution |
710 | 715 | 720 | 720 |
| Total dividend potential before amount blocked1) = |
760 | 792 | 819 | 842 |
| ./. Dividend amount blocked under section 268 (8) of the German Commercial Code ./. Dividend amount blocked under section 253 (6) of the German Commercial Code |
156 - |
240 - |
287 - |
235 28 |
| = Available Distributable Items1) | 604 | 552 | 532 | 579 |
| + Increase by aggregated amount of interest expenses relating to Distributions on Tier 1 Instruments1) |
57 | 57 | 46 | 46 |
| = Amount referred to in the relevant paragraphs of the terms and conditions of the respective Notes as being available to cover Interest Payments on the Notes and Distributions on other Tier 1 Instruments1) |
661 | 609 | 578 | 625 |
1) Unaudited figures for information purposes only
Pillar 1 Requirement Pillar 2 Requirement Capital Conservation Buffer
Current CET 1 ratio Countercyclical Buffer
1) SREP-CET1 Requirements incl. buffers (Capital Conservation and Countercyclical) As published February 23, 2017
Appendix Development property finance portfolio
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 1.0 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 1.0 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 1.0 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 1.0 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 1.0 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 1.0 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 1.0 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 1.0 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
Appendix Revaluation surplus
Appendix RWA-split
Effective date 31/03/2017
1) Amounts to € 34 mn
2) Amounts to € 1 mn
oekom research – Aareal Bank Group holds "prime status", ranking among the leaders in its industry [since 2012]
Sustainalytics – Aareal Bank Group was classified as "outperformer", ranking among the best 14% of its industry [as per 03/2017]
CDP – Aareal Bank Group achieved a result of "Management Level B", well above average of peer group Financials (DACH region) / MDAX companies ("Awareness Level C") [Report 2016]
imug – Aareal Bank was rated "positive BBB" in the category "Uncovered Bonds"; the second best result of all 109 rated Financial Institutions [as per 03/2017]
© 2017 Aareal Bank AG. All rights reserved.
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