Investor Presentation • Nov 14, 2017
Investor Presentation
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November 14, 2017 Hermann J. Merkens, CEO
| € mn |
Q3 '16 | Q4 '16 | Q1 '17 | Q2 '17 | Q3 '17 | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net interest income | 175 | 169 | 164 | 158 | 164 | Further portfolio reduction, high effects from early repayments |
| Allowance for credit losses | 33 | 33 | 2 | 25 | 26 | LLP below last year's figure and in line with full year target |
| Net commission income | 44 | 56 | 48 | 49 | 48 | Above previous year's level |
| Net result from trading / non-trading / hedge acc. |
12 | -5 | -4 | 1 | 11 | |
| Admin expenses | 127 | 130 | 139 | 129 | 120 | Focus on strategic projects and investments |
| Others | 3 | 28 | 4 | 55 | 5 | |
| Operating profit | 74 | 85 | 71 | 109 | 82 | Good quarterly operating performance |
| Income taxes | 23 | 44 | 24 | 42 | 31 | FY 2017e: 37% due to reversal of CCB provisions FY 2017e: 34% excl. reversal of CCB provisions |
| Minorities / AT1 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 4 | Savings from redemption of hybrid instrument from Q2 2017 onwards |
| Consolidated net income allocated to ord. shareholders |
42 | 33 | 38 | 62 | 47 | |
| Earnings per share [€] | 0.70 | 0.55 | 0.63 | 1.05 | 0.78 |
1) Incl. renewals
2) Incl. € 50 mn reversal of provisions set aside within the scope of the acquisition of Corealcredit Bank AG
| P&L C/S Segment | Q3 '16 | Q4 '16 | Q1 '17 | Q2 '17 | Q3 '17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € mn |
|||||
| Sales revenue | 47 | 58 | 54 | 55 | 53 |
| Own work capitalised | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Other operating income | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Cost material purchased | 8 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| Staff expenses | 36 | 37 | 35 | 36 | 38 |
| D, A, impairment losses | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Other operat. expenses | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
| Others | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Operating profit | -11 | -1 | -6 | -6 | -7 |
NII without effects from derecognition of financial instruments to be reported separately under IFRS 9 starting 2018 Effects from derecognition of financial instruments to be reported separately under IFRS 9 starting 2018 (mainly effects from early repayments)
LLP below last year's figure and in line with full year target
Conservative lending policies paying off
Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) Additional Tier 1 (AT1) Tier 2 (T2)
| 45 | 1.0 | (0.8) Interbank | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 3.0 (3.3) Interbank 10.3 (11.3) Treasury portfolio |
4.0 | (4.5) Customer deposits institutional clients |
|
| 35 30 |
of which cover pools | 9.3 | (9.2) Customer deposits housing industry |
|
| 25 20 |
25.6 (27.9) Commercial real estate finance portfolio |
26.1 | (29.1) | Long-term funds and equity of which |
| 15 | - 21.9 (24.8) long-term funds - 1.6 (1.7) subordinated capital - 2.6 (2.6) shareholders' equity |
|||
| 10 5 |
||||
| Other assets1) 4.4 (5.2) |
2.9 | (4.1) Other liabilities | ||
| 0 | Assets | Liabilities & equity |
1) Other assets includes € 0.9 bn private client portfolio and WIB's € 0.6 bn public sector loans
50
€ bn
As at 30.09.2017
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 0.9 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 0.9 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
2) Performing CRE-business only, exposure as at 30.09.2017
Ø LTV: 57%
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 0.9 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 0.9 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
All Italian NPL are fully covered despite being in different workout-stages
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 0.9 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 0.9 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
Collaterals
As at 30.09.2017 – all figures are nominal amounts 1) Composite Rating
| 2017 | |
|---|---|
| Net interest income | € 620 mn - € 660 mn incl. planned effects from early repayments (€ 35 mn - € 75 mn) |
| Allow. for credit losses1) | € 75 mn - € 100 mn |
| Net commission income | € 195 mn - € 210 mn |
| Admin expenses | € 470 mn - € 510 mn incl. expenses for projects and investments / effects from integration |
| Operating profit | € 310 mn - € 350 mn |
| Pre-tax RoE | 11% - 12.5% (9% - 10.5% excl. one-off from reversal of provisions related to CCB acquisition) |
| EpS | € 2.85 - € 3.30 |
| Target portfolio size | € 25 bn - € 28 bn |
| New business origination2) | € 7 bn - € 8 bn |
| Operating profit Aareon3) | € 34 mn - € 35 mn |
1) As in 2016, the bank cannot rule out additional allowances for credit losses
2) Incl. renewals
3) After segment adjustments
Aareal Bank Group continues consequently its path in a unchanged challenging environment
The good third quarter results proof once more the operative performance of Aareal Bank Group as well as its solid and sound financial strength
Out of a position of strength, Aareal Bank Group safeguards its sustainable future development
Appendix Aareal 2020
As published February 23, 2017
We successfully started – in our operational business …
| Achievements so far | Focus 2017 | Targets 2020 Plus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Structured Property Finance |
US-portfolio enhanced Non-core assets reduced Syndication volume increased Servicing platform, cooperation signed |
Further enhancing of attractive markets, e.g. USA Further reduction of non-core assets Further increasing syndication, enhancing investor bases and product scope Digitalisation of internal processes as well as clients' interface |
Expansion in markets with attractive risk return profile Strengthened portfolio- and balance sheet management New (digital) opportunities taken by enhancing value chain |
| Consulting/ Services |
Core business successfully enhanced Digital platform developed and new digital solutions launched International cross-selling increased Network with start-ups enlarged, first cooperation signed |
Enlarging digital solutions portfolio Tapping joint markets and customer groups, e.g. utilities and CRE Intensifying cooperation, in particular with start-ups |
Eco system housing industry and utilities expanded Existing platform products for the B2C business for the housing industry further developed Further development of our payment transaction system and IT products as well as enlarging our customer base |
As published February 23, 2017
Further medium-term increase is possible on the basis of a positive development of interest rate levels
1) The future dividend policy applies provided that the dividend payments resulting from it are consistent with a long-term and sustained business development of Aareal Bank AG. In addition, the dividend payments are subject to the proviso that corresponding dividend proposals have been made by the Management Board and the Supervisory Board for the respective year.
Appendix Group results
| 01.07.- 30.09.2017 |
01.07.- 30.09.2016 |
Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| € mn | € mn | ||
| Profit and loss account | |||
| Net interest income | 164 | 175 | -6% |
| Allowance for credit losses | 26 | 33 | -21% |
| Net interest income after allowance for credit losses | 138 | 142 | -3% |
| Net commission income | 48 | 44 | 9% |
| Net result on hedge accounting | 1 | 3 | -67% |
| Net trading income / expenses | 10 | 4 | 150% |
| Results from non-trading assets | 0 | 5 | |
| Results from investments accounted for at equity | 0 | ||
| Administrative expenses | 120 | 127 | -6% |
| Net other operating income / expenses | 5 | 3 | 67% |
| Operating Profit | 82 | 74 | 11% |
| Income taxes | 31 | 23 | 35% |
| Consolidated net income | 51 | 51 | 0% |
| Consolidated net income attributable to non-controlling interests | 0 | 5 | |
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG | 51 | 46 | 11% |
| Earnings per share (EpS) | |||
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG1) | 51 | 46 | 11% |
| of which: allocated to ordinary shareholders | 47 | 42 | 12% |
| of which: allocated to AT1 investors | 4 | 4 | 0% |
| Earnings per ordinary share (in €)2) | 0.78 | 0.70 | 11% |
| Earnings per ordinary AT1 unit (in €)3) | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0% |
1) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.
2) Earnings per ordinary share are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to ordinary shareholders of Aareal Bank AG by the weighted average of ordinary shares outstanding during the financial year (59,857,221 shares). Basic earnings per ordinary share correspond to diluted earnings per ordinary share.
3) Earnings per AT1 unit (based on 100,000,000 AT1 units with a notional amount of 3 € each) are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to AT1 investors by the weighted average of AT1 units outstanding during the financial year. Earnings per AT1 unit (basic) correspond to (diluted) earnings per AT1 unit.
40
| Financing | Structured Property |
Consulting / Services |
Consolidation/ Reconciliation |
Aareal Bank Group |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.07.- 30.09. 2017 |
01.07.- 30.09. 2016 |
01.07.- 30.09. 2017 |
01.07.- 30.09. 2016 |
01.07.- 30.09. 2017 |
01.07.- 30.09. 2016 |
01.07.- 30.09. 2017 |
01.07.- 30.09. 2016 |
|
| € mn | ||||||||
| Net interest income | 167 | 179 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -4 | 164 | 175 |
| Allowance for credit losses | 26 | 33 | 26 | 33 | ||||
| Net interest income after allowance for credit losses | 141 | 146 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -4 | 138 | 142 |
| Net commission income | 1 | 2 | 45 | 39 | 2 | 3 | 48 | 44 |
| Net result on hedge accounting | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | ||||
| Net trading income / expenses | 10 | 4 | 10 | 4 | ||||
| Results from non-trading assets | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | ||||
| Results from investments accounted for at equity | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| Administrative expenses | 68 | 77 | 53 | 51 | -1 | -1 | 120 | 127 |
| Net other operating income / expenses | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Operating profit | 89 | 85 | -7 | -11 | 0 | 0 | 82 | 74 |
| Income taxes | 34 | 27 | -3 | -4 | 31 | 23 | ||
| Consolidated net income | 55 | 58 | -4 | -7 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 51 |
| Allocation of results | ||||||||
| Cons. net income attributable to non-controlling interests | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | ||
| Cons. net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG | 55 | 53 | -4 | -7 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 46 |
| 01.01.- 30.09.2017 |
01.01.- 30.09.2016 |
Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| € mn | € mn | ||
| Profit and loss account | |||
| Net interest income | 486 | 532 | -9% |
| Allowance for credit losses | 53 | 64 | -17% |
| Net interest income after allowance for credit losses | 433 | 468 | -7% |
| Net commission income | 145 | 137 | 6% |
| Net result on hedge accounting | -5 | 4 | |
| Net trading income / expenses | 13 | 21 | -38% |
| Results from non-trading assets | 0 | 66 | |
| Results from investments accounted for at equity | 0 | ||
| Administrative expenses | 388 | 417 | -7% |
| Net other operating income / expenses | 64 | 2 | |
| Operating Profit | 262 | 281 | -7% |
| Income taxes | 97 | 88 | 10% |
| Consolidated net income | 165 | 193 | -15% |
| Consolidated net income attributable to non-controlling interests | 6 | 15 | -60% |
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG | 159 | 178 | -11% |
| Earnings per share (EpS) | |||
| Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG1) | 159 | 178 | -11% |
| of which: allocated to ordinary shareholders | 147 | 166 | -11% |
| of which: allocated to AT1 investors | 12 | 12 | 0% |
| Earnings per ordinary share (in €)2) | 2.46 | 2.78 | -12% |
| Earnings per ordinary AT1 unit (in €)3) | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0% |
1) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.
2) Earnings per ordinary share are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to ordinary shareholders of Aareal Bank AG by the weighted average of ordinary shares outstanding during the financial year (59,857,221 shares). Basic earnings per ordinary share correspond to diluted earnings per ordinary share.
3) Earnings per AT1 unit (based on 100,000,000 AT1 units with a notional amount of 3 € each) are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to AT1 investors by the weighted average of AT1 units outstanding during the financial year. Earnings per AT1 unit (basic) correspond to (diluted) earnings per AT1 unit.
| Financing | Structured Property |
Services | Consulting / | Consolidation/ Reconciliation |
Aareal Bank Group |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.01.- 30.09. 2017 |
01.01.- 30.09. 2016 |
01.01.- 30.09. 2017 |
01.01.- 30.09. 2016 |
01.01.- 30.09. 2017 |
01.01.- 30.09. 2016 |
01.01.- 30.09. 2017 |
01.01.- 30.09. 2016 |
|
| € mn | ||||||||
| Net interest income | 494 | 542 | 0 | 0 | -8 | -10 | 486 | 532 |
| Allowance for credit losses | 53 | 64 | 53 | 64 | ||||
| Net interest income after allowance for credit losses | 441 | 478 | 0 | 0 | -8 | -10 | 433 | 468 |
| Net commission income | 4 | 5 | 136 | 124 | 5 | 8 | 145 | 137 |
| Net result on hedge accounting | -5 | 4 | -5 | 4 | ||||
| Net trading income / expenses | 13 | 21 | 0 | 13 | 21 | |||
| Results from non-trading assets | 0 | 66 | 0 | 66 | ||||
| Results from investments accounted for at equity | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| Administrative expenses1) | 234 | 266 | 157 | 153 | -3 | -2 | 388 | 417 |
| Net other operating income / expenses | 62 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 2 |
| Operating profit | 281 | 309 | -19 | -28 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 281 |
| Income taxes | 104 | 98 | -7 | -10 | 97 | 88 | ||
| Consolidated net income | 177 | 211 | -12 | -18 | 0 | 0 | 165 | 193 |
| Allocation of results | ||||||||
| Cons. net income attributable to non-controlling interests | 4 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | ||
| Cons. net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG | 173 | 198 | -14 | -20 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 178 |
1) € 24 million in provisions for staff-related measures, resulting from the optimisation of processes and structures within the scope of the "Aareal 2020" programme for the future, was allocated to the Structured Property Financing segment in full.
| Structured Property Financing |
Consulting / Services | Consolidation / Reconciliation |
Aareal Bank Group | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2017 |
Q2 2017 |
Q1 2017 |
Q4 2016 |
Q3 2016 |
Q3 2017 |
Q2 2017 |
Q1 2017 |
Q4 2016 |
Q3 2016 |
Q3 2017 |
Q2 2017 |
Q1 2017 |
Q4 2016 |
Q3 2016 |
Q3 2017 |
Q2 2017 |
Q1 2017 |
Q4 2016 |
Q3 2016 |
|
| € mn | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Net interest income | 167 | 160 | 167 | 174 | 179 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -2 | -3 | -5 | -4 | 164 | 158 | 164 | 169 | 175 |
| Allowance for credit losses | 26 | 25 | 2 | 33 | 33 | 26 | 25 | 2 | 33 | 33 | ||||||||||
| Net interest income after | 141 | 135 | 165 | 141 | 146 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -2 | -3 | -5 | -4 | 138 | 133 | 162 | 136 | 142 |
| allowance for credit losses | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Net commission income | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 46 | 45 | 47 | 39 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 49 | 48 | 56 | 44 |
| Net result on hedge accounting | 1 | -3 | -3 | -4 | 3 | 1 | -3 | -3 | -4 | 3 | ||||||||||
| Net trading income / expenses | 10 | 4 | -1 | -2 | 4 | 10 | 4 | -1 | -2 | 4 | ||||||||||
| Results from non-trading assets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |||||||||||
| Results from results accounted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| for at equity | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Administrative expenses | 68 | 77 | 89 | 80 | 77 | 53 | 53 | 51 | 51 | 51 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 120 | 129 | 139 | 130 | 127 |
| Net other operating income / expenses |
4 | 54 | 4 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 55 | 4 | 28 | 3 |
| Operating profit | 89 | 115 | 77 | 86 | 85 | -7 | -6 | -6 | -1 | -11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 82 | 109 | 71 | 85 | 74 |
| Income taxes | 34 | 44 | 26 | 45 | 27 | -3 | -2 | -2 | -1 | -4 | 31 | 42 | 24 | 44 | 23 | |||||
| Consolidated net income | 55 | 71 | 51 | 41 | 58 | -4 | -4 | -4 | 0 | -7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 67 | 47 | 41 | 51 |
| Cons. net income attributable to | ||||||||||||||||||||
| non-controlling interests | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 | |||||
| Cons. net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG |
55 | 71 | 47 | 38 | 53 | -4 | -5 | -5 | -1 | -7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 66 | 42 | 37 | 46 |
Appendix IFRS 9 / Defaulted exposure
NPL development vs. defaulted exposure acc. Reg. Disclosure Report
Defaulted exposure acc. Regulatory Disclosure Report (AIRBA, off-balance) Defaulted exposure KSA
Appendix AT1: ADI of Aareal Bank AG
Available Distributable Items (as of end of the relevant year)
| 31.12. 2016 |
31.12. 2015 |
31.12. 2014 |
31.12. 2013 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| € mn |
||||
| Net Retained Profit Net income Profit carried forward from previous year Net income attribution to revenue reserves |
122 122 - - |
99 99 - - |
77 77 - - |
50 50 - - |
| + Other revenue reserves after net income attribution |
720 | 720 | 715 | 710 |
| = Total dividend potential before amount blocked1) |
842 | 819 | 792 | 760 |
| ./. Dividend amount blocked under section 268 (8) of the German Commercial Code ./. Dividend amount blocked under section 253 (6) of the German Commercial Code |
235 28 |
287 - |
240 - |
156 - |
| = Available Distributable Items1) | 579 | 532 | 552 | 604 |
| + Increase by aggregated amount of interest expenses relating to Distributions on Tier 1 Instruments1) |
46 | 46 | 57 | 57 |
| = Amount referred to in the relevant paragraphs of the terms and conditions of the respective Notes as being available to cover Interest Payments on the Notes and Distributions on other Tier 1 Instruments1) |
625 | 578 | 609 | 661 |
1) Unaudited figures for information purposes only
1) SREP-CET1 Requirements incl. buffers (Capital Conservation and Countercyclical) As published February 23, 2017
Pillar 1 Requirement Pillar 2 Requirement Capital Conservation Buffer Current CET 1 ratio Countercyclical Buffer
Appendix Development commercial real estate finance portfolio
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 0.9 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 0.9 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 0.9 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 0.9 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 0.9 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 0.9 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 0.9 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
1) CRE-business only, private client business (€ 0.9 bn) and WIB's public sector loans (€ 0.6 bn) not included
Appendix Revaluation surplus
Appendix RWA-split
Effective date 30/09/2017
1) Amounts to € 34 mn
Effective date 31/12/2016
1) Amounts to € 36 mn
2) Amounts to € 1 mn
1) Full Basel III implementation, as at 30.09.2017
67
| MSCI | Aareal Bank Group with "AA Rating" in highest scoring range for all companies assessed relative to global peers reg. Corporate Governance practices [as per 02/2017] |
|---|---|
| oekom | Aareal Bank Group holds "prime status", ranking among the leaders in its industry [since 2012] |
| Sustainalytics | Aareal Bank Group was classified as "outperformer", ranking among the best 14% of its industry [as per 03/2017] |
| GRESB | Aareal Bank Group scores 56 out of 100 in GRESB Debt Assessment [as per 08/2017] |
| imug | Aareal Bank was rated "positive BBB" in the category "Uncovered Bonds"; the second best result of all 109 rated Financial Institutions [as per 03/2017] |
1) https://www.aareal-bank.com/en/responsibility/reporting-on-our-progress/sustainability-reporting/
© 2017 Aareal Bank AG. All rights reserved.
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