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Aareal Bank AG

Quarterly Report Nov 14, 2019

11_10-q_2019-11-14_6c3dea67-0989-45c5-9031-e39f57d2e5aa.pdf

Quarterly Report

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Creating prospects. Setting milestones.

Aareal Bank Group – Interim Financial Information 1 January to 30 September 2019

Key Indicators

1 Jan-30 Sep 2019 1 Jan-30 Sep 2018

30 Sep 2019 31 Dec 2018

186 199
121 131
107 117
42.2 41.8
1.80 1.97
8.7 9.7
5.6 6.3
Statement of Financial Position
Property finance (€ mn)4) 27,139 26,395
Equity (€ mn) 2,817 2,928
Total assets (€ mn) 43,155 42,687
Regulatory Indicators 5)
Risk-weighted assets (€ mn) 12,656 13,039
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio (CET1 ratio) (%) 17.1 17.2
Tier 1 ratio (T1 ratio) (%) 19.5 19.5
Total capital ratio (TC ratio) (%) 26.7 26.2
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio (CET1 ratio) (%)
– Basel IV (estimated) 6) 12.6 13.2
Employees 2,816 2,748
Moody's
Issuer rating A3 A3
Senior Preferred7) A3 A3
Senior Non Preferred8) Baa1 Baa1
Bank deposit rating A3 A3
Mortgage
Pfandbrief Rating Aaa Aaa
Fitch Ratings9)
Issuer default rating A- A
Senior Preferred A A
Senior Non Preferred A- A
Deposit ratings A A
Sustainability
Ratings10)
MSCI AA AA
ISS-oekom prime (C) prime (C)
Sustainalytics 69 70

30 Sep 2019 31 Dec 2018

1) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.

2) Structured Property Financing segment only

3) On an annualised basis

  • 4) Excluding € 0.5 billion in private client business (31 December 2018: € 0.6 billion) and € 0.4 billion in local authority lending business by the former Westdeutsche ImmobilienBank AG (WestImmo) (31 December 2018: € 0.5 billion)
  • 5) When calculating own funds as at 30 September 2019, interim profits were taken into account, deducting the pro-rata dividend in line with the dividend policy, and incorporating the pro-rata accrual of net interest payable on the AT1 bond. Moreover, the expected relevant impact of the TRIM exercise on commercial property financings, and of the SREP recommendations concerning the NPL inventory as well as the ECB's NPL guidelines for exposures newly classified as NPLs, were taken into account for determining regulatory indicators.

6) Underlying estimate, given a 72.5 % output floor based on the final Basel Committee framework dated 7 December 2017. The calculation of the material impact upon Aareal Bank is subject to the outstanding EU implementation as well as the implementation of additional regulatory requirements (CRR II, EBA requirements etc.). 7) Moody's terminology: "Senior Unsecured"

8) Moody's terminology: "Junior Senior Unsecured"

9) Published on 21 January 2019

10) Please refer to our website (www.aareal-bank.com/en/responsibility/reporting-on-our-progress/) for more details.

This report contains rounded numbers, which may result in slight differences when aggregating figures and calculating percentages.

Contents

Key Indicators 2
Business Development 4
Key Events and Transactions 4
Report on the Economic Position 4
Financial Performance 4
Financial Position – Assets 6
Liquidity Position – Equity and Liabilities 7
Report on Changed Forecasts 7
Events after the Reporting Date 7
Segment Results 8
Financial Calendar 9
Imprint 9

Business Development

Key Events and Transactions

There have been no other material events during the period under review that need to be disclosed at this point.

Report on the Economic Position

Financial Performance

1 Jan-30 Sep 2019 1 Jan-30 Sep 2018 Change
€ mn € mn %
Net interest income 403 400 1
Loss allowance 55 33 67
Net commission income 164 152 8
Net derecognition gain or loss 42 16 163
Net gain or loss from financial instruments (fvpl) 5 -1 -600
Net gain or loss from hedge accounting -4 -2 100
Net gain or loss from investments accounted for
using the equity method 0
Administrative expenses 370 344 8
Net other operating income/expenses 1 11 -91
Negative goodwill from acquisitions
Operating profit 186 199 -7
Income taxes 65 68 -4
Consolidated net income 121 131 -8
Consolidated net income attributable to
non-controlling interests 2 2 0
Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders
of Aareal Bank AG 119 129 -8
Earnings per share (EpS)
Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders
of Aareal Bank AG1) 119 129 -8
of which: allocated to ordinary shareholders 107 117 -9
of which: allocated to AT1 investors 12 12
Earnings per ordinary share (in €)2) 1.80 1.97 -9
Earnings per AT1 unit (in €)3) 0.12 0.12

1) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.

2) Earnings per ordinary share are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to ordinary shareholders of Aareal Bank AG by the weighted verage of ordinary shares outstanding during the financial year (59,857,221 shares). Basic earnings per ordinary share correspond to (diluted) earnings per ordinary share.

3) Earnings per AT1 unit (based on 100,000,000 AT1 units with a notional amount of €3 each) are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to AT1 investors by the weighted average of AT1 units outstanding during the financial year. Earnings per AT1 unit (basic) correspond to (diluted) earnings per AT1 unit.

Consolidated operating profit for the first nine months of 2019 amounted to € 186 million (9m 2018: € 199 million) and was thus in line with our expectations. The increase in administrative expenses and loss allowance expected to result from the accelerated de-risking were compensated for by higher commission income and an increase in net derecognition gain.

At € 403 million, net interest income stabilised as planned and was in line with the comparative figure for the previous year (9m 2018: € 400 million).

Loss allowance amounted to € 55 million (9m 2018: € 33 million), exceeding our original expectations due to the accelerated de-risking; we have raised our forecast accordingly.

Net commission income increased to € 164 million (9m 2018: € 152 million), as expected – this was mainly due to higher sales revenue at Aareon.

The net derecognition gain of € 42 million (9m 2018: € 16 million) exceeded our original expectations; it was mainly driven by adjustments to our securities portfolio; we have raised our forecast accordingly.

The aggregate of net gain or loss from financial instruments (fvpl) and from hedge accounting of € 1 million (9m 2018: €-3 million) resulted largely from the measurement changes of other derivatives (fvpl) used to hedge interest rate and currency risks.

Administrative expenses increased as expected, to € 370 million (9m 2018: € 344 million), in particular due to running costs, integration expenses incurred in conjunction with the integration of former Düsseldorfer Hypothekenbank AG (Düsselhyp), and Aareon's business expansion.

Aareal Bank Group's consolidated operating profit for the first nine months of the financial year totalled € 186 million (9m 2018: € 199 million). Taking into consideration tax expenses of € 65 million and non-controlling interest income of € 2 million, consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG amounted to € 119 million (9m 2018: € 129 million). Assuming the pro rata temporis accrual of net interest payments on the AT1 bond, consolidated net income allocated to ordinary shareholders stood at € 107 million (9m 2018: € 117 million). Earnings per ordinary share amounted to € 1.80 (9m 2018: € 1.97) and return on equity (RoE) before taxes stood at 8.7 % (9m 2018: 9.7 %).

Financial Position – Assets

30 Sep 2019 31 Dec 2018
€ mn
Assets
Financial assets (ac) 34,748 34,702
Cash funds 1,024 1,265
Loan receivables 26,736 26,795
Money market and capital market receivables 6,911 6,578
Receivables from other transactions 77 64
Loss allowance (ac) -541 -577
Financial assets (fvoci) 4,096 4,450
Money market and capital market receivables 4,091 4,443
Equity instruments 5 7
Financial assets (fvpl) 3,809 3,183
Loan receivables 1,498 711
Money market and capital market receivables 133 538
Positive market value of designated hedging derivatives 1,682 1,277
Positive market value of other derivatives 496 657
Non-current assets held for sale 16
Investments accounted for using the equity method 8 7
Intangible assets 170 158
Property and equipment 312 260
Income tax assets 9 30
Deferred tax assets 176 141
Other assets 352 333
Total 43,155 42,687

Aareal Bank Group's consolidated total assets of € 43.2 billion were up slightly from the previous year-end, resulting from an increase in the property financing portfolio to € 27.1 billion (31 December 2018: € 26.4 billion). The Group originated € 6.0 billion in new business during the first nine months of the year (9m 2018: € 6.1 billion).

Capital market receivables declined due to sales of securities, particularly from the portfolio of former Düsselhyp.

Aareal Bank Group's consolidated equity and liabilities of € 43.2 billion were up slightly from the previous year-end. Money market and capital market liabilities were down slightly, whilst negative market values of derivatives increased.

Aareal Bank Group successfully raised € 2.9 billion on the capital markets during the first nine months of 2019. This figure included two euro-denominated benchmark Mortgage Pfandbrief transactions sized at € 0.75 billion and € 0.5 billion, and one USD 0.6 billion benchmark Mortgage Pfandbrief issue. We also placed a senior preferred € 0.5 billion benchmark issue with national and international investors. The Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) exceeded 150 % on the reporting days during the period under review.

Financial Position – Equity and Liabilities

30 Sep 2019 31 Dec 2018
€ mn
Equity and liabilities
Financial liabilities (ac) 36,988 37,215
Money market and capital market liabilities 26,197 26,371
Deposits from the housing industry 9,637 9,679
Liabilities from other transactions 155 121
Subordinated liabilities 999 1,044
Financial liabilities (fvpl) 2,665 1,934
Negative market value of designated hedging derivatives 1,861 1,461
Negative market value of other derivatives 804 473
Provisions 602 519
Income tax liabilities 25 40
Deferred tax liabilities 25 18
Other liabilities 33 33
Equity 2,817 2,928
Subscribed capital 180 180
Capital reserves 721 721
Retained earnings 1,771 1,797
AT1 bond 300 300
Other reserves -157 -72
Non-controlling interests 2 2
Total 43,155 42,687

Report on Changed Forecasts

We have further expedited the intended accelerated de-risking, recognising approximately € 30 million in loss allowance in this connection. Accordingly, the anticipated range for full-year loss allowance has been increased to between € 80 million and € 110 million. At the same time, we now anticipate net derecognition gain of between € 40 million and € 60 million for 2019, which is considerably higher than the original estimate.

Despite the burdens from accelerated de-risking and further deterioration in the interest rate environment, we continue to anticipate consolidated operating profit for the current year in the communicated range between € 240 million and € 280 million, albeit at the lower end of this range. Accordingly, RoE before taxes and earnings per share (EpS) are likely to be the lower end of the ranges of 8.5 % to 10 % and of around € 2.40 to € 2.80, respectively. We cannot exclude any further burdens in the event of any further opportunities arising for an accelerated de-risking.

From today's perspective, the volume of new business is likely to be at the upper end of the € 7 billion to € 8 billion communicated range.

We affirm the remaining Group targets without changes.

Events after the Interim Reporting Period

There have been no events subsequent to the end of the reporting period under review that need to be disclosed at this point.

Segment Results

Structured Property
Financing
Consulting/
Services
Consolidation/
Reconciliation
Aareal Bank
Group
1 Jan
30 Sep 2019
1 Jan
30 Sep 2018
1 Jan
30 Sep 2019
1 Jan
30 Sep 2018
1 Jan
30 Sep 2019
1 Jan
30 Sep 2018
1 Jan
30 Sep 2019
1 Jan
30 Sep 2018
€ mn
Net interest income1) 414 409 -11 -9 0 0 403 400
Loss allowance 55 33 0 0 55 33
Net commission income1) 6 6 163 150 -5 -4 164 152
Net derecognition gain or loss 42 16 42 16
Net gain or loss from financial
instruments (fvpl)
5 -1 5 -1
Net gain or loss from hedge
accounting
-4 -2 -4 -2
Net gain or loss from investments
accounted for using the equity
method
0 0
Administrative expenses 195 182 180 166 -5 -4 370 344
Net other operating
income/expenses
0 9 1 2 0 0 1 11
Negative goodwill from acquisitions
Operating profit 213 222 -27 -23 0 0 186 199
Income taxes 74 77 -9 -9 65 68
Consolidated net income 139 145 -18 -14 0 0 121 131
Consolidated net income attributable
to non-controlling interests
0 0 2 2 2 2
Consolidated net income attributable
to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG
139 145 -20 -16 0 0 119 129
Allocated equity 2) 2,131 2,045 205 177 225 263 2,561 2,485
Cost/income ratio (%) 42.2 41.8 117.4 115.3 60.5 59.7
RoE before taxes (%) 2)3)4) 12.2 13.3 -18.5 -18.2 8.7 9.7

1) As of this reporting year, interest on deposits from the housing industry is shown under the net interest income of the Consulting / Services segment (previously included in net commission income). The previous year's figures were adjusted accordingly.

2) Equity allocated to the Structured Property Financing segment for the same period of the previous year was adjusted to bring it into line with Basel IV;

RoE before taxes was thus also changed accordingly.

3) On an annualised basis

4) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.

Financial Calendar

26 February 2020 Preliminary results for the 2019 financial year
End of March 2020 Publication of annual report as at 31 December 2019
12 May 2020 Publication of results as at 31 March 2020
27 May 2020 Annual General Meeting – Kurhaus, Wiesbaden
13 August 2020 Publication of results as at 30 June 2020
12 November 2020 Publication of results as at 30 September 2020

Imprint

Aareal Bank AG Investor Relations Paulinenstrasse 15 65189 Wiesbaden, Germany

Phone: +49 611 348 3009 Fax: +49 611 348 2637

www.aareal-bank.com

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