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Aareal Bank AG

Investor Presentation Nov 9, 2023

11_ip_2023-11-09_57bb534c-5b6e-4a00-ae2c-09db6e5c9b09.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Conference Call 9M 2023 results

November 09, 2023 Jochen Klösges (CEO) Marc Hess (CFO)

Agenda

Recent Financial Performance

  • Loan Book & Asset Quality
  • Liquidity & Funding
  • Capital
  • Outlook
  • Appendix

Recent Financial Performance - Highlights

Strong operating performance continued

Stable results both for 9M figures (€ 155 mn vs. 9M/22: € 157 mn) as well as for quarterly results (€ 68 mn vs. € 66 mn in Q3/22)

Strong income development compensating elevated LLP due to headwinds from US office markets and significant investments by Aareon

Successful funding activities, deposit volume above plan, comfortable liquidity position

CET1 ratio stable at 19.4% despite portfolio growth and macro economic headwinds

Recent Financial Performance - Group Profit & Loss

Strong income development compensating elevated LLP and significant investments into Aareon

Profit & loss (€ mn) Q3 '22 Q1 '23 Q2 '23 Q3 '23 9M '22 9M '23 ∆ 9M
'23/'22
Net interest income
(NII)
184 222 240 248 514 710 +38%
Net commission income
(NCI)
67 72 77 76 199 225 +13%
Admin expenses 128 199 143 144 423 486 +15%
Other op. income /
expenses1)
6 -1 -21 -10 37 -32 ./.
Pre-provision profit 129 94 153 170 327 417 +28%
Loan loss provision (LLP) 63 32 128 102 170 262 +54%
Operating profit (EBT) 66 62 25 68 157 155 ./.
Profit after tax 39 42 16 46 100 104 +4%

9M pre-provision profit increase of 28% despite significant investments into Aareon demonstrating high operating resilience

  • NII substantially improved, up by 38%
  • NCI 13% above previous year's figures
  • Costs under control
    • Increase compared to last year mainly driven by significant investments into Aareon (€ ~70 mn)
    • Costs in the banking business largely stable (CIR Bank2): 31%)
  • LLP reflects ongoing headwinds from US office market and provisions for swift NPL reduction

1) Includes Net derecognition gain or loss, Net gain or loss from financial instruments (fvpl), Net gain or loss from hedge accounting, Net gain or loss from investments accounted for using the equity method, Net other operating income/expenses

2) Segment SPF & BDS, excl. bank levy/deposit guaranty scheme

Recent Financial Performance – NII & NCI

Strong income development

Both segments contributed to increase

  • SPF
    • NII increased to € 564 mn (9M/22: € 475 mn) supported by portfolio growth, good margins and diversified funding mix
    • ~80% of TLTRO repaid in Q4/22
  • BDS
    • NII increased to € 170 mn (9M/22: € 49 mn)
    • Positive effects from normalised interest rate environment
    • Deposits from housing industry above targeted level

Aareon and BDS continue to grow successfully

  • Aareon
    • NCI increased to € 207 mn (9M/22: € 180 mn) based on strong growth, incl. SaaS, in recurring revenues (+21%)
    • Recurring revenue now represents 78%1) of total revenues (9M/22: 74%1))
  • BDS
    • NCI further increased to € 24 mn (9M/22: € 23 mn)

Recent Financial Performance - Admin expenses / LLP

Admin: increase reflects strategic investments into Aareon LLP: elevated due to headwinds from US office market

Dominated by significant investments into Aareon Bank1)

  • Stable at € 248 mn (9M/22: € 254 mn, incl. PTO related one-off € 12 mn)
  • 9M/23 CIR2) Bank at 31% (9M/22: 39%)

Aareon

  • Expenses increased to € 250 mn (9M/22: € 178 mn) of which € ~70 mn for investments, incl. costs of replacing "hunting line" formerly provided by Aareal with external credit facility
  • Investment in efficiency measures have started to pay off

9M LLP mainly driven by provisions for a swift NPL reduction and headwinds from US office market

  • 9M: € 262 mn (9M/22: € 170 mn) Total LLP of € 316 mn incl. € 54 mn FVPL
  • Provisions for a swift NPL reduction increased to € ~100 mn, thereof € 36 mn for sale of Russian exposure
  • Further NPLs prepared for resolution in Q4

1) Segment SPF & BDS

2) Excl. bank levy/deposit guarantee scheme

Recent Financial Performance – Segment SPF

Selective new business, good LTVs, above plan margins

1) Newly acquired business

2) Governed by "Green Finance Framework"

Recent Financial Performance - Segment BDS

Normalised interest rate environment supporting increase in NII

NII increase driven by normalised rate environment

  • Deposit volume above targeted level of € ~13 bn
  • Granular deposit structure from more than 3,700 housing industry clients managing ~8 mn rental units
  • Sticky rental deposits continuously growing
  • Continuous shift from sight into term deposits

NCI further increased

  • High share of recurring revenues (banking and software fees)
  • New products and services providing growth potential

Recent Financial Performance - Segment Aareon

Strong growth in recurring revenue and adjusted EBITDA margin, entry into Spanish market, long-term flexible financing established

Note: Numbers not adding up refer to rounding 1) Last Twelve Months

  • Overall, sales revenue increased by € 30 mn (+13%)
    • Recurring revenue (incl. SaaS) grew by 21%
    • Recurring revenue (LTM1)) now represents 78% of total revenues (09/22: 74%)
  • Adj. EBITDA increased by € 17 mn to € 64 mn (+37%), adj. EBITDA margin increased to 26% (9M/2022: 21%), operating cash flow further improved (adj. EBITDAC)
  • Major activities in Q3/23:
    • Acquisition / Signing of Spanish IESA, software provider for residential real estate
    • Further increase in Aareon Connect partners and customers. First partners in the UK
    • Replacement of M&A credit line formerly provided by Aareal with flexible long-term Unitranche facility. Group NII impact of low double-digit million per year
    • Further improvement in operational liquidity by replacing and increasing revolving credit facility (RCF)
    • Efficiency measures: Optimisation of offices / locations; completing workforce transformation
    • Positive effects from efficiency measures of € ~20 mn expected annually (first effects in 2023 of € ~10 mn)

Agenda

  • Recent Financial Performance
  • Loan Book & Asset Quality
  • Liquidity & Funding
  • Capital
  • Outlook
  • Appendix

Portfolio volume increased by selective new business

YoD further improved, headwinds from US office market reflected in slightly higher portfolio LTV

LTV1) by property type

% 12 '19 12 '20 12 '21 12 '22 09 '23
Hotel 55 62 60 56 54
Logistics 54 56 55 52 53
Office 57 58 58 57 60
Retail 61 61 59 56 57

1) Performing CREF-portfolio only (exposure)

YoD1) by property type

% 12 '19 12 '20 12 '21 12 '22 09 '23
Hotel 9.6 3.0 5.0 9.0 10.9
Logistics 8.5 9.2 8.7 9.0 9.6
Office 7.7 8.1 7.6 6.9 7.3
Retail 9.6 8.8 9.1 9.8 11.0

Loan Book & Asset Quality US portfolio broadly diversified

US office portfolio: Update

€ 3.6 bn1)

0 - 50%: 61%

Stressed LTV < 80%: 91%

  • All values reviewed in 2023, thereof 56% externally
  • External appraisals leading to
    • NPL: value decrease of 20 44%
    • PL: value decrease of ~18%
    • ➔ Extrapolation to 100% of PL portfolio implies a pro-forma average LTV of 75%
  • Average LTV at 68%, up from 62% by end of 2022

Portfolio as at 30.09. stressed with additional 20%

  • Average LTV up to 85% (from ~68% as at 30.09.2023)
  • (Layered) LTV above 100%: 1% (< € 60 mn)
  • (Layered) LTV 80%-100%: 8% (< € 300 mn)
  • ➔ Sound headroom even under stress assumptions

1) Performing CREF-portfolio only (exposure)

50 - 60%: 12%

60 - 70%: 10%

European office portfolio well positioned

  • France (Paris only) with high share of planned refurbishments into green assets (~1/3 of total French office portfolio)
  • UK deals mainly in London city
  • Rest of portfolio largely spread across Europe with LTVs mainly below average for European office portfolio

European office LTV1) by region

Note: others incl. countries with a portfolio below € 100 mn 1) Performing CREF-portfolio only (exposure)

Stable NPL ratio as further reductions of legacy NPLs offset new US office NPLs

  • Provision for a swift NPL reduction of € ~100 mn, thereof € 36 mn for sale of Russian exposure
  • More than € 300 mn NPL exits with expected resolution in Q4 in preparation
  • No hotel NPLs
  • Ratios acc. to EBA methodology1):
    • NPL: 3.3% (06/23: 3.2%)
    • NPE: 2.9% (06/23: 2.8%)

Agenda

  • Recent Financial Performance
  • Loan Book & Asset Quality
  • Liquidity & Funding
  • Capital
  • Outlook
  • Appendix

Liquidity & Funding Comfortable liquidity position

Conservative liquidity management throughout the cycle

  • On average long-term funds have longer maturities than CRE finance portfolio
  • Substantial buffer in regulatory liquidity ratios (LCR / NSFR) despite strong growth in portfolio and difficult economic and capital markets environment
    • NSFR: 116%, (12/22: 119%)
    • LCR: 206%, (12/22: 210%)
  • Liquid treasury portfolio with ~75% public sector
  • TLTRO ~80% repaid in Q4/22

1) Other assets includes € 0.2 bn private client portfolio and WIB's € 0.2 bn public sector loans

Liquidity & Funding Well diversified funding mix

  • Hypothekenpfandbriefe
  • Senior Unsecured (SP)
  • Senior Unsecured (SNP)
  • Retail Deposits (Raisin)
  • Public-sector Pfandbriefe
  • Subordonated Capital

Successful 9M funding activities

  • Pfandbrief and Senior totaling € 2.4 bn incl.
    • 2 Pfandbrief Benchmarks (€ 1.5 bn) in H1
    • 1 Pfandbrief Benchmark (€ 500 mn) in H2
  • Deposits from housing industry at avg. of € 13.5 bn above targeted level of € ~13 bn
    • Granular deposit structure from more than ~3,700 housing industry clients managing ~8 mn rental units
    • Sticky rental deposits continuously growing
  • Retail (term) deposits by cooperating with Raisin / Weltsparen significantly increased to € 2.1 bn (12/22: € 0.6 bn)
  • Commercial Paper Program enables offering ECP in EUR, GBP & USD as well as in Green format
  • Senior non-preferred benchmarks as additional instrument to support credit ratings (e.g. Moody's via LGF)
  • Having further diversified and optimised funding mix, less senior preferred capital market funding planned
  • ➢ At the end of October, Fitch affirmed Aareal's senior preferred rating at A- (neg. outlook)

Agenda

  • Recent Financial Performance
  • Loan Book & Asset Quality
  • Liquidity & Funding
  • Capital
  • Outlook
  • Appendix

Capital Solid capital position

  • Stable CET1 ratio
  • CET1 increase from dividend/profit retention and RWA reduction from external refinancing of Aareon hunting line formerly provided by Aareal compensate RWA increase from loan portfolio growth and macro economic headwinds
  • B4 fully phased ratio at 13.4%
  • T1-Leverage ratio at 6.3%

1) Based on draft version of the European implementation of Basel IV by the European Commission dated 27 October 2021 (CRR III)

Agenda

  • Recent Financial Performance
  • Loan Book & Asset Quality
  • Liquidity & Funding
  • Capital
  • Outlook
  • Appendix

Outlook 2023 Operating profit targets confirmed

METRIC Previous OUTLOOK 2023 Current OUTLOOK 2023
p
u
o
Gr

Net interest income

Net commission income

LLP1)

Admin expenses
€ 730 -
770 mn
€ 315 -
335 mn
€ 170 -
210 mn
incl. € 60 mn
budget
for a swift NPL reduction
€ 590 -
630 mn
incl. € 35 mn
budget
for Aareon
efficiency measures
Above upper end of range
unchanged
Above upper end of range
€ 630 -
650 mn
incl. € ~80 mn
Aareon
investments

Operating profit (adjusted)

Operating profit

Earnings per share (EPS)
€ ~350 mn
€ 240 -
280 mn
2.802)
€ 2.40 -
Lower end
Lower end

Due to the existing uncertainties, additional burdens cannot be ruled out under adverse conditions

METRIC 2022 Current OUTLOOK 2023
s
nt
e
m
g
e
S
Structured
Property Financing

REF Portfolio

New business
€ 30.9 bn
€ 8.9 bn
33 bn3)
€ 32 -
€ 9 -
10 bn
Banking & Digital Solutions
Deposit volume

NCI
€ 13.4 bn
€ 31 mn
€ ~13 bn
~13% CAGR (2020-2023)
Aareon
Revenues

Adj. EBITDA
€ 308 mn
€ 75 mn
€ 325 -
345 mn
€ 90 -
100 mn

1) Incl. value adjustments from NPL fvpl

2) Based on expected FY-tax ratio of ~33%

3) Subject to FX development

Key takeaways

Well positioned in the current challenging environment

Thanks to our increased earnings power and resilience, we are able to absorb substantial extraordinary burdens

In view of the current uncertainties, we are actively managing our loan portfolio

We are sticking to our medium and long-term goals, further increasing efficiency and consistently implementing our strategy

Appendix Segment: Aareon

Segment: Aareon 9M 2023 P&L and other KPIs

P&L Aareon
segment -
Industry format1)
€ mn
9M'22 9M'23 ∆ 9M
'23/'22
Sales revenue

Thereof recurring revenues

Thereof other revenues
221
161
60
251
203
48
13%
21%
-9%
Costs2)

Thereof material
-190
-41
-247
-44
30%
12%
EBITDA 32 4 -87%
Adjustments3) -15 -60 > 100%
Adj. EBITDA 47 64 37%
EBITDA 32 4 -87%
D&A / Financial result -37 -69 88%
EBT / Operating profit -5 -65 > 100%
R&D and Adjusted EBITDAC4)
R&D spend as % of software revenue –
YTD (%)
21
YTD Operating Cash Flow (€ mn) 48
  • R&D spend at 21%, 4% lower then in PY driven by product portfolio review last year in order to deliver the most value for our customers
  • Adjusted EBITDAC at € 48 mn (Q3'22: € 25 mn) includes positive impact of efficiency measures

1) Calculation refers to unrounded numbers

  • 2) Costs also include other operating income and capitalized software
  • 3) Incl. New product, M&A, VCP, Venture, other one-offs (legal cases, restructuring)

25 4) KPI measuring the Adjusted Cash performance (Adjusted EBITDA excl. capitalized software,

IFRS 16 impact and other non-cash valuation effects)

Appendix ESG

ESG in our daily business

Putting sustainability at the core of our decisions since Q2 2021

ESG in our lending business ESG in our funding activity

Aareal Bank "Green Finance Framework – Lending" put into place

  • Aareal Bank's Green Finance Framework Lending confirmed through a Second Party Opinion (SPO) by Sustainalytics
  • Ambition to extend ESG assessment in our day-to-day lending activities
  • Explicit customer demand for Aareal Bank's green lending approach identified internationally and interest is high for the new product
  • Green lending within a regularly updated framework provided

  • Aareal Bank "Green Finance Framework – Liabilities" forms basis for Green Bonds

  • In addition to the lending framework, Aareal Bank has implemented an accompanying and regularly updated liability-side / use-of-proceeds framework - confirmed through SPO by Sustainalytics - that allows issuance of green financing instruments
  • "Green Finance Framework Liabilities" is intended to not only reflect our sustainable lending activities but also our strategic approach towards sustainability
  • Bond issuances under this framework invite open discussion and engagement with investors on the progress we have made and, on the path, forward

Continue to enlarge climate transparency in the portfolio

  • Portfolio transparency and data accumulation significantly improved for both existing and new lending and to be continued
  • Aareal Bank involved in international initiatives to calculate financed emissions (PCAF)

Aareal's demanding Green Finance Framework

Aareal Green Finance Framework (GFF) in place
Green Property Financing:
Requirements to qualify as green property

Meets EU Taxonomy criteria
and / or

Certified with an above-average ratings
and / or

Classified as nearly zero-energy building (nZEB) / thresholds as
defined in Aareal GFF
+ Green Loan
Rider:
Customer agrees to
Maintaining "Aareal
Green
Finance Framework"
requirements during the term
of the loan
Green Loan:
Combination of

Green property1)
and

Agreement
Eligibility
category
Eligibility
criteria (alternatives)
Green Buildings 1. EU taxonomy compliant:
Buildings meet the EU Taxonomy
criteria according to the EU
Commission Delegated Regulation,
Chapter 7.7 "Acquisition and
ownership of existing buildings"
2. Green building certification:

BREEAM: "Very Good" and above

LEED: "Gold" and above

DGNB: "Gold" and above

Green Star: "5 Stars" and above

NABERS: "4.5 Stars" and above

HQE: "Excellent" and above

Energy Star. "80" or above
3. Energy efficiency:
Classified as a nearly zero-energy
building (nZEB) and / or property
falls below
the maximum energy
reference values
75 kWh/m² p.a.
Residential
140 kWh/m² p.a.
Office, Hotel, Retail
65 kWh/m² p.a.
Logistics
Energy
efficiency
upgrades
1. EU taxonomy compliant:
Modernisation measures meet the
EU Taxonomy criteria acc. EU
Commission Delegated Regulation3)
2. Upgrade to Green Building:
Completion of the measure brings
the property up to the green building
standard defined above.
at least 30%. 3. Energy efficiency improvement:
Completion of the measure results in
an energy efficiency improvement of

1) All buildings within a financing have to qualify as green buildings according to Aareal GFF

2) Partnership for Carbon Accounting Financials

3) Chapter 7.2 "Renovation of existing buildings"

26% of CREF portfolio classified as Green Property Financings

€ 8.4 bn1) (26%) of total CREF portfolio fulfilling Aareal's Green Finance Framework and are classified as "Green Property Financings", thereof

  • € 5.4 bn included in green asset pool for underlying of Green bond issues
  • € 3.0 bn green property financings mainly for technical reasons not (yet) included

1) CREF excl. business not directly collateralized by properties Portfolio data as at 30.06.2023 – ESG Data as at 30.06.2023

2) Valid certificate is documented

ESG@Aareal

Phase 1: Mission accomplished

We have laid the foundation… …achieved our
2022 goals…

and will continue to
follow our path
Green expansion of financing business
€ 2 bn by 2024 additional
green loan volume
Achieved On track for 2024
ct
a
p
m
Optimisation of funding mix
€ 1 bn in 2022 -
new allocation of green funding
€ 1
bn long-term funding
+ € 0.5 bn green CPs
+ € 0.5 bn green long-term
funding
in '23
ur i
o
g
n
Providing transparency for global CREF portfolio
20% by 2022 –
Verified green properties
> 21% screening
almost completed
Grow share of verified green properties
PCAF report on financed emissions by '24
wi
o
Gr
Limiting our own Greenhouse Gas emissions
Carbon-neutralised
own business operations worldwide by 2023
Achieved On track for 2023
Expansion of innovative solutions with ESG impact
Growth targets by 2025 –
Identification of enabler products by 2022
Achieved On track for 2025
e
n
o
p
e t
o
e t
h
g t
h
at t
n
etti
S
ESG governance with enhanced Board's oversight
CEO responsibility –
Regular Board engagement
Achieved Achieved and continuing
ESG integration in business, credit, investment, risk and
refinancing strategies and decision making process
Targeting of ESG initiatives in individual / group targets
15% ESG component
in Management Boards
variable remuneration
Increased to 25% of our Management
Board's variable remuneration in 2023

Additional Highlights

  • Green Finance Frameworks Lending & Liabilities established and signed off by second party opinion (SPO)
  • Strengthened investability for green investors through consistently positive ESG rating results
  • Strong performance in ECB climate stress test, which assessed our portfolio for its vulnerability to physical and transitory risks

On the "Road to Paris" we are supporting our clients

On-going transparency initiatives to reach and surpass to highest market standards

Consistently positive rating results

Rewarding Aareal's ESG performance

Note: Results and Benchmarks as of 25/10/2023

Appendix Asset Quality

CREF portfolio by country

€ 32.4 bn well diversified

CREF portfolio by property types

€ 32.4 bn well diversified

Appendix Liquidity & Funding / Capital

Treasury portfolio of € 6.8 bn ensures comfortable liquidity buffer

As of 30.09.2023 – all numbers refer to nominal amounts 1) Composite Rating

Diversified funding sources and distribution channels

Strong Mortgage Cover Pool and Aaa Rating for Pfandbriefe

Pfandbriefe funding cornerstone of wholesale issuance

  • Cover pool of € 15.7 bn incl. € 0.7 bn substitute assets diversified over 20 countries
  • High quality assets: first-class mortgage loans (mortgage-lending-value 55.3%)
  • Mortgage-lending-value with high discount from market-value
  • Avg. LTV of the mortgage cover pool 32.7%
  • Moody´s has calculated a 'Aaa' supporting overcollateralisation ratio of 16.5% on a PV basis
  • Over-collateralisation on a PV basis as of 30.09.2023 19.9%
  • High diversification within property types

MREL ratios well above regulatory requirements

Senior Preferred have significant protection from subordinated liabilities and own funds

  • Ample buffer to MREL requirements
  • Senior Preferred remains the predominant senior product, though Senior Non-Preferred remains a key element of the funding strategy
  • The rundown remains manageable with a number of long-term liabilities providing significant levels of subordination
  • 8% TLOF is the bank's upcoming binding MREL requirement, to be met with 100% subordinated liabilities

  • 1) 8% TLOF with 100% subordinated debt (i.e. Own Funds and SNP). MREL requirements are only updated once a year

  • 2) MREL-eligible Senior Non-Preferred Debt >1Y according to contractual maturities
  • 3) Considering regulatory adjustments

40

  • 4) CET1 assumed to be constant over time
  • 5) Senior Preferred, excluding structured unsecured issuances

Liquidity & Funding Rating profile

Financial ratings
Fitch Ratings Moody's
Issuer default rating1) BBB+ Issuer rating1) A3
Short-term issuer
rating
F2 Short-term
issuer
rating
P-2
Deposit
rating
A Senior preferred
Senior preferred A Senior non preferred Baa2
Senior non preferred BBB+ Bank deposit
rating
A3
Viability
rating
BBB+ BCA Baa3
Subordinated
debt
BBB Mortgage
Pfandbriefe
Aaa
Additional Tier 1 BB
Sustainability ratings
MSCI AA
ISS-ESG prime (C+)
Sustainalytics Low (20-10)
CDP Awareness Level B

Financial ratings

  • Ratings reflect strong credit profile based on solid capital und liquidity position
  • Preservation of Fitch senior preferred rating at Asupported by new owners

Sustanability ratings

Aareal's ESG performance has been rewarded by the rating agencies:

  • MSCI: Aareal is in the best 35% of 63 diversified financials
  • ISS ESG: Prime Status confirms ESG performance above sector-specific Prime threshold
  • Sustainalytics: Still "Low" risk classification", Rank 178 of 987 in Sector Banks, 16 of 99 in Thrifts and Mortgages
  • MOODY's ESG Solutions: Above sector average results in Environment, Social and Governance

1) Outlook negative

Liquidity & Funding Aareal Bank`s outstanding Benchmark Transactions

Pfandbriefe, Senior Unsecured and AT1
Product Ratings2) Currency Volume Maturity
Coupon ISIN
Pfandbriefe Aaa USD 750,000,000 02/14/25 0.625% XS2297684842
Pfandbriefe Aaa GBP 500,000,000 04/29/25 SONIA + 100bps XS2337339977
Pfandbriefe Aaa EUR 750,000,000 02/01/24 0.125% DE000AAR0249
Pfandbriefe Aaa EUR 500,000,000 07/30/24 0.375% DE000AAR0207
Pfandbriefe Aaa EUR 500,000,000 07/15/25 0.375% DE000AAR0215
Pfandbriefe2) Aaa EUR 750,000,000 02/13/26 3,125% DE000AAR0389
Pfandbriefe2) Aaa EUR 500,000,000 05/18/26 3,875% DE000AAR0397
Pfandbriefe Aaa EUR 500,000,000 08/03/26 0.010% DE000AAR0272
Pfandbriefe Aaa EUR 500,000,000 02/01/27 2.250% DE000AAR0348
Pfandbriefe Aaa EUR 500,000,000 07/08/27 0.010% DE000AAR0256
Pfandbriefe2) Aaa EUR 750,000,000 10/11/27 3.000% DE000AAR0371
Pfandbriefe Aaa EUR 500,000,000 02/01/28 0.010% DE000AAR0280
Pfandbriefe Aaa EUR 500,000,000 09/15/28 0.010% DE000AAR0306
Pfandbriefe Aaa EUR 750,000,000 02/01/29 1.375% DE000AAR0330
Pfandbriefe Aaa EUR 625,000,000 09/14/29 2.375 DE000AAR0363
Pfandbriefe Aaa EUR 750,000,000 02/01/30 0.125% DE000AAR0314
Senior Preferred A-
/ A3
EUR 500,000,000 04/10/24 0.375% DE000A2E4CQ2
Senior Preferred
green
A-
/ A3
EUR 500,000,000 07/25/25 4.500% DE000AAR0355
Senior Preferred A-
/ A3
EUR 500,000,000 09/02/26 0.050% DE000AAR0298
Senior Preferred A-
/ A3
EUR 500,000,000 04/07/27 0.050% DE000AAR0264
Senior Preferred A-
/ A3
EUR 750,000,000 11/23/27 0.250% DE000A289LU4
Senior Preferred
green
A-
/ A3
EUR 500,000,000 04/18/28 0.750% DE000AAR0322
Additional Tier 1 BB EUR 300,000,000 PERP_NC_5-1 10.897% DE000A1TNDK2

1) Pfandbriefe are rated by Moody´s, AT1 by Fitch Ratings and Senior Unsecured by Fitch Ratings and Moody´s

2) Issued in 2023

Capital SREP (CET 1) requirements

  • P2R relief by using possibility of partially fulfilling requirements with AT1 and T2 capital
  • Total capital requirement (Overall Capital Requirement (OCR)) amounts to 14.1% compared to 23.6% total capital ratio

Pillar 1 Requirement Pillar 2 Requirement Capital Conservation Buffer Countercyclical / Systemic Risk Buffer

(in %)

Capital

operating resilience

Stressed CET1 ratios (adverse scenario)

Good stress test results demonstrating healthy risk profile and

German
CRE-lender
Sample Min. CET1 ratio Min. Leverage ratio
Bank A SSM CET1R ≥ 14% LR ≥ 6%
Aareal Bank SSM 11% ≤ CET1R< 14% 4% ≤ LR< 5%
Bank B SSM 8% ≤ CET1R < 11% 4% ≤ LR< 5%
Bank C EBA 8% ≤ CET1R < 11% LR < 4%
Bank D EBA 8% ≤ CET1R < 11% LR < 4%
Bank E EBA 8% ≤ CET1R < 11% LR < 4%
Bank F EBA 8% ≤ CET1R < 11% LR < 4%
Bank G EBA CET1R < 8% LR < 4%
Bank H EBA CET1R < 8% LR < 4%

Risk driver stress test 2023

  • Intensification of geopolitical tensions, partial de-globalisation
  • Gas supply cuts, higher commodity prices and wage increases via large second round effects leading to persistently high inflation
  • Higher current and expected inflation leading to higher interest rates, further exacerbating the contraction in output
  • Significant and abrupt price adjustment in the real estate market (approx. 30% discount) given a severe tightening in financing conditions and a weak economic outlook
  • Tighter financing conditions, deteriorated economic activity and high levels of government debt raising sovereign debt sustainability concerns

Aareal Bank's Results

  • Stressed CET1 ratio comfortably within 11-14% range above EBA / ECB (SSM) average (10.4%) and well above regulatory requirements
  • Stressed leverage ratio above 4%
  • Good stress test results demonstrating healthy risk profile and operating resilience of Aareal Bank

Appendix ADI of Aareal Bank

Interest payments and ADI of Aareal Bank AG

Available Distributable Items (as of end of the relevant year)

31.12.
2016
31.12.
2017
31.12.
2018
31.12.
2019
31.12.
2020
31.12.
2021
31.12.
2022
€ mn
Net Retained Profit

Net income

Profit carried forward from previous year

Net income attribution to revenue reserves
122
122
0
-
150
147
3
-
126
126
-
-
120
120
-
-
90
90
-
-
96
30
66
-
61
61
-
-
+
Other revenue reserves after net income attribution
720 720 720 720 840 840 936
Total dividend potential before amount blocked1)
=
842 870 846 840 930 936 997
./.
Dividend amount blocked under section 268 (8)
of the German Commercial Code
./.
Dividend amount blocked under section 253 (6)
235 283 268 314 320 386 466
of the German Commercial Code 28 35 42 40 43 36 24
= Available Distributable Items1) 580 552 536 486 566 515 507
+
Increase by aggregated amount of interest expenses relating to
Distributions on Tier 1 Instruments1)
46 32 25 23 21 20 21
=
Amount referred to in the relevant paragraphs of the terms and
conditions of the respective Notes as being available to cover Interest
Payments on the Notes and Distributions on other Tier 1 Instruments1)
626 584 560 509 588 535 529

Appendix Group Results

Aareal Bank Group

Results 9M 2023

01.01.-
30.09.2023
01.01.-
30.09.2022
Change
€ mn € mn
Profit and loss account
Net interest income 710 514 38%
Loss allowance 262 170 54%
Net commission income 225 199 13%
Net derecognition gain or loss 1
8
2
4
-25%
Net gain or loss from financial instruments (fvpl) -58 2
2
Net gain or loss on hedge accounting -2 -6 -67%
Net gain or loss from investments accounted for using the equity method 2 -2
Administrative expenses 486 423 15%
Net other operating income / expenses 8 -1
Operating Profit 155 157 -1%
Income taxes 5
1
5
7
-11%
Consolidated net income 104 100 4
%
Consolidated net income attributable to non-controlling interests -13 0
Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG 117 100 17%
Earnings per share (EpS)
Consolidated net income attributable to shareholders of Aareal Bank AG1) 117 100 17%
of which: allocated to ordinary shareholders 9
6
8
9
8
%
of which: allocated to AT1 investors 2
1
1
1
91%
Earnings per ordinary share (in €)2) 1.61 1.49 8
%
Earnings per ordinary AT1 unit (in €)3) 0.21 0.11 91%

1) The allocation of earnings is based on the assumption that net interest payable on the AT1 bond is recognised on an accrual basis.

2) Earnings per ordinary share are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to ordinary shareholders of Aareal Bank AG by the weighted average of ordinary shares outstanding during the financial year (59,857,221 shares). Basic earnings per ordinary share correspond to diluted earnings per ordinary share.

3) Earnings per AT1 unit (based on 100,000,000 AT1 units with a notional amount of 3 € each) are determined by dividing the earnings allocated to AT1 investors by the weighted average of AT1 units outstanding during the financial year. Earnings per AT1 unit (basic) correspond to (diluted) earnings per AT1 unit.

Aareal Bank Group

Results 9M 2023 by segments

Structured
Property
Financing
Banking &
Digital
Solutions
A
a
Aareon
r
e
Consolidation/
Reconciliation
Aareal Bank
Group
01.01.-
30.09.
2023
01.01.-
30.09.
2022
01.01.-
30.09.
2023
01.01.-
30.09.
2022
01.01.-
30.09.
2023
01.01.-
30.09.
2022
01.01.-
30.09.
2023
01.01.-
30.09.
2022
01.01.-
30.09.
2023
01.01.-
30.09.
2022
€ mn
Net interest income 564 475 170 4
9
-24 -10 0 0 710 514
Loss allowance 262 170 0 0 0 0 262 170
Net commission income 6 5 2
4
2
3
207 180 -12 -9 225 199
Net derecognition gain or loss 1
8
2
4
1
8
2
4
Net gain or loss from financial instruments (fvpl) -58 2
2
0 0 0 0 -58 2
2
Net gain or loss on hedge accounting -2 -6 -2 -6
Net gain or loss from investments
accounted for using the equity method
0 2 -1 -1 2 -2
Administrative expenses 173 200 7
5
5
4
250 178 -12 -9 486 423
Net other operating income / expenses 7 -4 -1 -1 2 4 0 0 8 -1
Operating profit 100 146 120 1
6
-65 -5 0 0 155 157
Income taxes 2
8
5
2
3
8
6 -15 -1 5
1
5
7
Consolidated net income 7
2
9
4
8
2
1
0
-50 -4 0 0 104 100
Allocation of results
Cons. net income attributable to non-controlling
interests
0 0 0 0 -13 0 -13 0
Cons. net income attributable to shareholders of
Aareal Bank AG
7
2
9
4
8
2
1
0
-37 -4 0 0 117 100

Aareal Bank Group

Preliminary results – quarter by quarter

Structured Property
Financing
Banking & Digital
Solutions
Aareon Consolidation /
Reconciliation
Aareal Bank Group
Q3 Q2
2023
Q1 Q4
2022
Q3 Q3 Q2
2023
Q1 Q4
2022
Q3 Q3 Q2
2023
Q1 Q4
2022
Q3 Q3 Q2
2023
Q1 Q4
2022
Q3 Q3 Q2
2023
Q1 Q4
2022
Q3
€ mn
Net interest income 199 189 176 152 162 59 59 52 43 26 -10 -
8
-
6
-
7
-
4
0 0 0 0 0 248 240 222 188 184
Loss allow
ance
102 128 32 22 63 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 102 128 32 22 63
Net commission income 5 1 0 1 1 8 8 8 8 8 70 70 67 72 61 -
7
-
2
-
3
-
3
-
3
76 77 72 78 67
Net derecognition
gain or loss
6 12 0 -23 2 6 12 0 -23 2
Net gain / loss from fin.
instruments (fvpl)
-17 -35 -
6
4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -17 -35 -
6
4 4
Net gain or loss on
hedge accounting
-
2
-
4
4 4 1 -
2
-
4
4 4 1
Net gain / loss from
investments acc. for
using the equity method
0 2 0 0 2 0 0
Administrative
expenses
53 46 74 60 54 23 20 32 25 17 75 79 96 66 60 -
7
-
2
-
3
-
3
-
3
144 143 199 148 128
Net other operating
income / expenses
0 7 0 -
2
-
2
0 -
1
0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 1 1 -
1
Operating profit 36 -
4
68 54 51 46 46 28 26 17 -14 -17 -34 2 -
2
0 0 0 0 0 68 25 62 82 66
Income taxes 3 10 15 18 18 15 14 9 8 6 4 -15 -
4
3 0 22 9 20 29 24
Consolidated net
income
33 -14 53 36 33 31 32 19 18 11 -18 -
2
-30 -
1
-
2
0 0 0 0 0 46 16 42 53 42
Cons. net income
attributable to non
controlling interests
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
4
0 -
9
0 -
1
-
4
0 -
9
0 -
1
Cons. net income
attributable to ARL
shareholders
33 -14 53 36 33 31 32 19 18 11 -14 -
2
-21 -
1
-
1
0 0 0 0 0 50 16 51 53 43

Appendix Definitions and contacts

Definitions

New Business = New business = Newly acquired business + renewals
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio = CET 1
Risk weighted assets
NPL ratio = NPL-exposure acc. CRR (excl. exposure in cure period)
Total REF Portfolio
CIR = Admin expenses (excl. bank levy, et al.)
Net income
Net income = Net interest income + Net commission income + Net derecognition gain or loss + Net gain or loss from financial instruments
(fvpl) + Net gain or loss on hedge accounting + Net gain or loss from investments accounted for using the equity method +
Net other operating income / expense
Net stable funding ratio = Available stable funding
Required stable funding
Liquidity coverage ratio = Total stock of high quality liquid assets
Net cash outflows under stress
Earnings per share = operating profit ./. income taxes ./. income/loss attributable to non controlling interests ./. AT1 coupon
Number of ordinary shares
Yield on Debt = NOI x 100 (Net operating income, 12-months forward looking)
(without developments)
Outstanding incl. prior/pari-passu loans
CREF-portfolio = Commercial real estate finance portfolio excl. private client business and WIB's public sector loans
REF-portfolio = Real estate finance portfolio incl. private client business and WIB's public sector loans
Exposure (performing) = Maximum [actual commitment (performing) or Outstanding (performing)]

Contacts Disclaimer

Jürgen Junginger

Head of Investor Relations Managing Director Phone: +49 611 348 2636 [email protected]

Sebastian Götzken

Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3337 [email protected]

Carsten Schäfer

Director Investor Relations Phone: +49 611 348 3616 [email protected]

Frank Finger

Head of Treasury Managing Director Phone: +49 611 348 3001 [email protected]

Christopher Linnert

Head of Funding Director Treasury Phone: +49 611 348 3889 [email protected]

Sandro Wieandt

Assistant Vice President Treasury Phone: +49 611 348 3883 [email protected]

Disclaimer Disclaimer

© 2023 Aareal Bank AG. All rights reserved.

This document has been prepared by Aareal Bank AG, exclusively for the purposes of a corporate presentation by Aareal Bank AG.

This presentation may contain forward-looking statements. Forward looking statements are statements that are not historical facts; they include statements about Aareal Bank AG's beliefs and expectations and the assumptions underlying them; and they are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties, most of them being difficult to predict and generally beyond Aareal Bank AG's control. This could lead to material differences between the actual future results, performance and/or events and those expressed or implied by such statements.

Aareal Bank AG assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement or any other information contained herein.

This presentation is provided for general information purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to enter into a contract on the provision of advisory services or an offer to purchase securities.

As far as this presentation contains information from third parties, this information has merely been compiled without having been verified. Therefore, Aareal Bank AG does not give any warranty, and makes no representation as to the completeness or correctness of any such information or opinion contained herein. Aareal Bank AG accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever for any expense, loss or damages arising out of, or in any way connected with, the use of all or any part of this presentation.

The securities of Aareal Bank AG are not registered in the United States of America and may not be offered or sold except under an exemption from, or pursuant to, registration under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

Disclaimer Thank you.

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