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Axactor SE

Investor Presentation Feb 14, 2025

3549_rns_2025-02-14_d1471b8d-2b6d-412c-ba26-456b7710195b.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Financial highlights for the quarter

Gross revenue of EUR 161m, up from EUR 85m last year

  • Down 4% adjusted for the portfolio sale in Spain
  • 3PC total revenue increasing by 10% y-o-y on a like-for-like basis

Cash EBITDA of EUR 130m, up from EUR 55m last year

• Down 6% adjusted for the portfolio sale in Spain

  • Net negative portfolio revaluation of EUR 104m
    • The revaluations do not have any cash impact
    • The revalued claims remain valid and continue to accrue interests where applicable

  • Return on equity to shareholders in 2024 of -19%
    • Return on equity to shareholders of 6% in 2024 excluding revaluation
    • Solid balance sheet with equity ratio of 26% after revaluation

Negative portfolio revaluation in Q4 will improve collection performance

Change in book value of NPL portfolios during the quarter Comments

  • Net negative portfolio revaluation of EUR 104m • Revaluation corresponds to 9% of Q3 book value after portfolio sale and amortization • Negative revaluations in all countries – largest in Sweden and Germany
  • Book value down 14% q-o-q following sale and revaluation

Axactor has a solid balance sheet with 89% of the assets invested in NPL portfolios, repossessed assets and cash

Assets as of Q4 2024 Comments

  • Industry leading tangible equity ratio
    • 86% of the assets are NPL portfolios and repossessed assets
    • Only 5% goodwill on the balance sheet
  • Equity ratio of 26%
  • More than EUR 100m in available liquidity including undrawn RCF and unrestricted cash

Portfolio sale generating substantial covenant headroom

- Confirming book values in the Spanish market

Portfolio sale comprised of older Spanish vintages Positive effect on covenants

  • 6% of the NPL portfolios sold at a 2% premium (EUR 83m)
    • Divesture of the Spanish unsecured portfolios in two investment companies
    • Portfolios acquired between 2016 and 2019
  • The transaction visualizes Axactor's valuable and liquid balance sheet

3.8x 3.0x 2.7x 3.7x Leverage ratio Interest coverage ratio Q3'24 Actual Q4'24 Actual ≤4.0x ≥3.0x Covenant Covenant 46%

  • The divestment has reduced net interest-bearing debt and increased cash EBITDA1
  • Reduced interests from lower NIBD will be fully rolled into LTM after twelve months as well

EUR 70m of ACR03 bond repurchased

- Deleveraging while reducing interest expenses

Size and maturities on current borrowings as of 31.12.20241

Expect to refinance 2026 maturities during 2025

  1. RCF extension or renewal during 1H 2025

  2. Reiterates investment guiding of EUR 100-200 million

  3. Refinance ACR03 during 2025

  4. Diversify debt maturity profile

  5. Exploration of further portfolio sales in 2025

Highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Group: Gross revenue is up 89% y-o-y, while declining 4% adjusted for the portfolio sale in Spain

Gross revenue Comments

  • Total gross revenue of EUR 82m excluding the portfolio sale in Spain
  • NPL gross revenue increasing by 107% y-o-y while declining 6% adjusted for the portfolio sale in Spain
    • NPL gross revenue of EUR 66m excluding the portfolio sale in Spain
  • 3PC gross revenue increasing by 5% y-o-y

NPL segment: Total revenue of EUR -59m driven by the EUR 104m net negative revaluation

NPL Total revenue and CM% Comments

  • Collection performance of 94% for the quarter
    • All markets performing below expectations
  • Net negative revaluation of EUR 104m will improve collection performance

3PC segment: Underlying positive development on both the top line and margins

3PC Total revenue and CM% Comments

  • 3PC total revenue increasing by 5% y-o-y
    • 10% growth on a like-for-like basis1
    • Norway increasing by 25% y-o-y
  • Margins down from 46% to 44% y-o-y due to Q4'23 being impacted by positive effects from the close-down of 3PC in Sweden and Finland

Group: Total revenue and EBITDA impacted by revaluation while Cash EBITDA impacted by portfolio sale

14 Comment: Stated numbers for continuing operations

1) Total revenue and EBITDA was affected by net negative revaluation of EUR 104m

2) Cash EBITDA was positively affected by the gross sales price of EUR 83m less interim cash flow from the cut-off date and transaction cost

ROE of -19% for 2024 – impacted by negative revaluation and challenging collection environment

Return on equity to shareholders

15 1) Using adjusted net profit to shareholders and adjusted equity to the shareholders. Adjustments assumes zero revaluations in 2024, 27% tax rate, no changes to amortization

Current status on financial targets for 2026

Dimension Financial targets 2026 2024 result
Growth
NPL investments of EUR 100 –
200 million annually
EUR 128m
Profit Minimum 12% ROE1

in 2026
-19%
Returns
20 -
50% dividend pay-out ratio annually
n.a.
Leverage2
Maximum leverage of 3.5x in 2026
2.7x

Highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Outlook

1 Collection
Expect higher collection performance after negative revaluation in Q4
2 OPEX
Aim to absorb inflation and keep OPEX flat
3 Cost of funding
Expect continued reduction in cost of funding from repurchased bonds
and lower IBOR-rates. Leverage to be substantially reduced
4 NPL investments
Expect high quality NPL investments to be in the lower end of the
financial target of EUR 100-200m. Pan-European position gives
valuable access to attractive NPL markets in Europe
5 3PC
Expect continued revenue growth on 3PC at healthy margins

Highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Supporting information

Strict cost control enables a reduction in total operating expenses

Total operating expenses Comments

Total operating expenses for the year down 5% from FY 2023

• Despite inflationary pressure, operating expenses have been reduced since 2023 and 2022

NPL investment commitments of EUR 3m next 12 months

Quarterly NPL investments

ERC down due to portfolio sale and negative revaluation

EURm Q4 '22 Q1 '23 Q2 '23 Q3 '23 Q4 '23 Q1 '24 Q2 '24 Q3 '24 Q4 '24 2,545 2,523 2,563 2,586 2,620 2,555 2,664 2,602 2,340 -11% FIN DEU ITA NOR ESP SWE

ERC development Forward ERC profile by year

3PC volumes by geographic region

3PC Total revenue split by geographic region Comments

  • Spain accounting for 57% of total revenue on 3PC
  • Segment closed down in Finland and Sweden, with no active clients per year-end 2023

Bond covenants (1/2)

Leverage ratio - covenant ≤4.0x Interest coverage ratio - covenant ≥3.0x

Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA divided by net interest expenses

25

Bond covenants (2/2)

Net interest-bearing debt divided by total portfolio book value

Loan-to-value - covenant ≤80% Secured Loan-to-value - covenant ≤60%

Secured net interest-bearing debt divided by total portfolio book value

Terms and abbreviations

Abbreviations

WAEP Weighted average exercise price

3PC Third-party
collection
AGM Annual general
meeting
APM Alternative
performance
measures
ARM Accounts
receivable
management
B2B Business
to
business
Terms B2C Business
to
consumer
BoD Board
of
Directors
Active
forecast
Forecast
of
estimated
remaining
collection
on
NPL
portfolios
BV Book value
Board Board
of
directors
BS Consolidated
statement
of
financial
position
(balance
sheet)
Cash
EBITDA
margin
Cash
EBITDA
as
a
percentage
of
gross
revenue
CF Consolidated
statement
of
cash
flows
Chair Chair
of
the
board
of
directors
CGU Cash
generating
unit
Contribution
margin
(%)
Total
operating
expenses
(excluding
SG&A,
IT
and
corporate
cost)
as
a
percentage
CM Contribution
margin
of
total
revenue
D&A Depreciation
and
amortization
Collection
performance
Gross collection on NPL portfolios in relation to active forecast, including sale of Dopex Direct
operating
expenses
repossessed
assets in relation to book value
EBIT Operating profit/Earnings before interest and tax
Cost-to-collect Cost to collect is calculated as segment operating expenses plus a pro rata EBITDA Earnings
before
interest,
tax,
depreciation
and
amortization
allocation of
unallocated
operating
expenses
and
unallocated
depreciation
and
ECL Expected
credit
loss
amortization.
The
segment
operating expense is used as allocation key for the
EGM Extraordinary
general
meeting
unallocated costs EPS Earnings
per
share
Equity
ratio
Total
equity
as
a
percentage
of
total
equity
and
liabilities
ERC Estimated
remaining
collection
Forward
flow agreement
Agreement
for
future
acquisitions
of
NPLs
at
agreed
prices
and
delivery
ESG Environmental,
social
and
governance
Gross
IRR
The
credit
adjusted
interest
rate
that
makes
the
net
present
value
of
ERC
equal
to
ESOP Employee
stock
ownership
plan
NPL
book
value,
calculated using monthly cash flows over a 180-months period
FSA The
financial
supervisory
authority
Group Axactor
ASA
and
all
its
subsidiaries
FTE Full
time
equivalent
NPL
amortization rate
NPL
amortization
divided
by
collection
on
own
NPL
portfolios
GHG Greenhouse
gas
emissions
NPL
cost-to-collect
ratio
NPL
cost
to
collect
divided
by
NPL
total
revenue
excluding
NPV
of
changes
in
IFRS International
financial
reporting
standards
collection
forecasts and
change
in
fair
value
of
forward
flow
commitments
LTV Loan
to
value
One
off
portfolio
acquisition
Acquisition
of
a
single
portfolio
of
NPLs
NCI Non-controlling
interests
Opex Total
operating
expenses
NPL Non-performing
loan
Recovery
rate
Portion
of
the original
debt
repaid
OB Outstanding
balance,
the
total
amount
Axactor
can
collect
on
claims
under
Replacement
capex
Acquisitions
of
new
NPLs
to
keep
the
same
book
value
of
NPLs
from
last
period
management,
including outstanding principal, interest and fees
Repossession Taking
possession
of
property
due
to
default
on
payment
of
loans
secured
by
OCI Consolidated
statement
of
other
comprehensive
income
property P&L Consolidated
statement
of
profit
or
loss
Repossessed
assets
Property
repossessed
from
secured
non-performing
loans
PCI Purchased
credit
impaired
PPA Purchase
price
allocations
SG&A,
IT
and
corporate
cost
Total
operating
expenses
for
overhead
functions,
such
as
HR,
finance
and
legal
etc
REO Real
estate
owned
Solution
rate
Accumulated paid principal amount for the period divided by accumulated ROE Return
on
equity
collectable principal
amount for the period. Usually expressed on a monthly basis
SDG Sustainable
development
goal
SG&A Selling,
general
&
administrative
SPV Special
purpose
vehicle
VIU Value
in
use
VPS Verdipapirsentralen/Norwegian
central
securities
depository
WACC Weighted
average
cost
of
capital

Terms

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