Investor Presentation • Mar 6, 2014
Investor Presentation
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Marine Harvest NASF - March 6, 2014 Alf-Helge Aarskog
This presentation may be deemed to include forward-looking statements, such as statements that relate to Marine Harvest's contracted volumes, goals and strategies, including strategic focus areas, salmon prices, ability to increase or vary harvest volume, production capacity, expectations of the completion and capacity of our fish feed plant, trends in the seafood industry, including industry supply outlook, exchange rate and interest rate hedging policies and fluctuations, dividend policy and guidance, asset base investments, capital expenditures and net working capital guidance, NIBD target, cash flow guidance and financing update, guidance on financial commitments and cost of debt and various other matters (including developments with respect to laws, regulations and governmental policies regulating the industry and changes in accounting policies, standards and interpretations) on Marine Harvest's business and results. These statements speak of Marine Harvest's plans, goals, targets, strategies, beliefs, and expectations, and refer to estimates or use similar terms. Actual results could differ materially from those indicated by these statements because the realization of those results is subject to many risks and uncertainties.
Our registration statement on Form 20-F filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission in 2014 contain information about specific factors that could cause actual results to differ, and you are urged to read them. Marine Harvest disclaims any continuing accuracy of the information provided in this presentation after today.
Biology in focus
All time high revenues
| Ma in Ha Gr in f ig t r e rv es ou p - m a ur es |
Q 4. 1 3 |
Q 4. 1 2 |
2 0 1 3 |
2 0 1 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N O K m illio n |
||||
| Op ion l re d o he inc t t era a ve nu e a n r om e |
6 7 4 3 |
4 0 1 7 |
1 9 2 3 0 |
1 6 9 5 5 |
| Op ion l E B I T t 1) era a |
1 0 3 4 |
6 4 |
3 2 1 0 |
6 4 3 |
| Ca h f low fro ion t s m op era s |
5 1 - |
1 6 9 - |
1 9 9 5 |
1 3 5 5 |
| Ne in be ing de b ( N I B D ) t te t- t res ar |
7 7 9 7 |
3 8 1 5 |
9 7 7 7 |
3 8 1 5 |
| Un de ly ing E P S f 3 1. 1 2 2 0 1 3 ( N O K ) 2 ) r as o |
0. 1 8 |
-0 0 1 |
0. 4 5 |
0. 0 6 |
| Ne h f low ha f ( N O K ) ) t c 3 1. 1 2. 2 0 1 3 3 as p er s re as o |
-0 1 9 |
-0 0 9 |
0. 0 4 - |
0. 2 6 |
| 2) S ( ) ( O ) Un de ly ing E P f l i 1 0: 1 N K te t r - a r r ev ers e s p |
1. 8 3 |
-0 0 9 |
5. 3 7 |
0. 6 3 |
| 3) Ne h f low ha f l i ( N O K ) t c te t as p er s re - a r r ev ers e s p |
-1 9 2 |
-0 8 6 |
0. 4 1 - |
2. 5 5 |
| 4) O C R E |
2 0. 3 % |
2. 0 % |
1 8. 2 % |
3. 9 % |
| ( ) Ha lum d w ig h lm t v t te t to rve s o e g e nn es sa on u , |
1 0 3 3 8 7 |
1 0 3 2 1 5 |
3 4 3 7 7 2 |
3 9 2 3 0 6 |
| 3 Op O ion l E B I T N K kg t era a p er - |
||||
| No rw ay |
1 2. 0 3 |
3. 6 2 |
1 0. 8 3 |
3. 2 3 |
| Sc lan d t o |
1 0. 2 3 |
-1 1 4 |
1 2. 4 5 |
3. 8 0 |
| Ca da na |
1 0. 2 0 |
-4 8 1 |
1 0. 1 9 |
3. 4 8 - |
| C h i le |
2. 4 8 |
-8 1 7 |
2. 3 2 - |
2. 2 6 - |
See notes in appendix
Assumption: Constant consumption of protein per capita
Sources: FAO (2009); FAOstat Food Balance Sheets, United Nations population data; World Population Prospects: the 2012 Revision
Sources: OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2013 8 Kontali Analyse
Tough biological conditions in Chile….
Weighted average EBIT/kg for selected listed companies in Chile and Rest of World …leads to strong cost increases…
Weighted average EBIT/kg for selected listed companies in Chile
«The Norwegian Directorate of Fisheries also envisions that the environmental consequences of the proposal most likely will depend on how the flexibility is used, also more locally. Larger volumes of fish in the sea may increase the risk of various diseases, including sea lice, and this is not insignificant when the increased biomass is realized»
«The Norwegian Food Security Authority believes that due to the industry's challenges regarding sea lice, it is not defensible to implement option 2 until the new system for monitoring and control of sea lice is established and have proven to work in practice»
«Increased biomass in sea will also require the industry players to have adequate and well-functioning contingency plans to deal with disease outbreaks in a responsible manner. (...) An increase of the biomass in sea makes the need for well-functioning contingency plans at site level even more precarious»
«On the basis of the above considerations, the Norwegian Environment Agency will discourage options 2, 3 and 4. We are particularly concerned about the risk of increased environmental impacts from option 2 (...)»
Tekna : «Today we see challenges associated with lice and diseases during the fall in most parts of the country, and will therefore not support the proposal of average MAB which can lead to increased biomass in the fall»
«The Institute of Marine Research believes that with the current regulation of sea lice, an implementation of average MAB (option 2), may increase the emissions of sea lice during fall, and therefore recommends to either keep the current system (option 1) or limit the allowed MAB by 5% as proposed in option 3 and 4 in order to avoid increased risk of environmental impact from sea lice during fall»
All quotes are translated from Norwegian by Marine Harvest. Please see the original documents here: http://www.regjeringen.no/nb/dep/nfd/dok/horinger/horingsdokumenter/2013/horing-av-forslag-om-videreutvikling-av- /horingsuttalelser.html?id=739001
The question the decision makers need to answer :
Proceeds from increased capacity directed to host communities
Forward prices of NOK 38 per kg in 2014 and 35 in 2015
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