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XXL

Earnings Release Apr 27, 2016

3793_rns_2016-04-27_be1695b2-b4dc-4ba8-a883-a42ddd7769e9.pdf

Earnings Release

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XXL ASA – Q1 2016

Disclaimer

Important notice

The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ("relevant persons"). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents.

This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in any company within the XXL Group. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions.

This presentation includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and contains statements regarding the future in connection with the XXL Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives. All forward-looking information and statements in this presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for the XXL Group and its lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions.

Important factors may lead to actual profits, results and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements. Although XXL believes that its expectations and the presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the presentation.

XXL is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the presentation, and neither XXL nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.

This presentation was prepared for the interim results presentation for the first quarter 2016, held on 27 April 2016. Information contained herein will not be updated. The following slides should also be read and considered in connection with the information given orally during the presentation.

Highlights Q1 2016

  • Revenue growth of 23%
  • Like for Like growth of 11.2%
  • E-commerce growth of 57%
  • Good winter conditions in January
  • No start of spring season in March
  • Focus on clearance of winter related products resulted in healthy inventory
  • Increased digital marketing costs
  • Higher costs when doubling the central warehouse in Örebro
  • EBITDA of NOK 101 million up from NOK 95 million last year
  • Sweden standing out with strong results

Growth drivers in the quarter

1 369 1 684 165 151 Q1 15 FY effect 2015 stores LfL growth Q1 16 Growth drivers (Amounts in MNOK)

Growth split by markets

8% 37% 67% 57% 23% NOR SWE FIN ECOM Group Growth by segments

Share of growth by geography

Gross margin development

37.3% 39.5% 34.7% 31.7% 37.0% 38.8% 37.3% 29.9% Group Norway Sweden Finland

Gross margin development

Q1 15 Q1 16

Lower gross margin in Norway and Finland

– Clearance of winter goods and no sales for the upcoming spring season with higher margins

Improved gross margin in Sweden

– Lower share of clearance sales than last year due to better winter conditions and a strong overall market

OPEX development

OPEX%

Q1 15 Q1 16

  • OPEX% increased by 0.7 points to 31.0%
  • Increased digital marketing costs
  • Higher costs at the central warehouse in Sweden after doubling the capacity
  • Cost improvements in both Sweden and Finland

EBITDA development

Q1 15 Q1 16

EBITDA-margins

Lower gross margin

  • Increased costs related to warehouse capacity and digital marketing
  • Geographical mix effects as expected

Norway – Delivering on the price promise

  • 8% revenue growth YoY
  • Like for like growth of 5.5%
  • Higher share of clearance sales compared to Q1 15
  • Gross margin negatively impacted
  • 38.8% vs. 39.5% last year
  • Continuing more digital marketing
  • OPEX/Sales up 0.7 points to 22.8%
  • EBITDA-margin of 16.0%
  • XXL won several price tests compared to main competitor Gresvig

Sweden – Solid performance

  • Revenue growth of 25% in local currency
  • Like for Like growth of 12.3% in local currency
  • Solid growth from E-commerce
  • Strong sporting goods market
  • Sporting goods sales up 15.0% in January and 14.4% in February (Figures from HUI Research)
  • Better winter condition than last year
  • Less clearance sales
  • Gross margin improved from 34.7% to 37.3% YoY
  • EBITDA margin up 4.9 points YoY to 8.1%
  • Despite new legislation on social security tax for younger employees and increased digital marketing costs
  • Linköping store awarded chain store of the year at Handelsgalan

Revenues EBITDA

Finland – Building position in a tough market

  • Challenging macro situation
  • XXL driving the market with aggressive campaigns to capture the volume
  • Cannibalization in Helsinki and Tampere resulting in negative like for like of 0.4% in local currency
  • High degree of clearance sales due to poor winter conditions
  • Gross margin of 29.9% (31.7% in Q1 15)
  • Healthy inventory situation
  • Improved cost position with larger store base
  • OPEX/Sales down from 33.9% to 32.5% YoY

Revenues EBITDA

E-commerce – Continuing growth

  • 57% revenue growth
  • 9.5% of Group sales compared to 7.5% in Q1 15
  • High growth in all three markets
  • New organization in place in Sweden
  • Increasing the number of SKU's
  • Building customer database
  • Investing in scalable infrastructure and digital marketing
  • Denmark launch to come soon

HQ and Logistics – Increased capacity

  • OPEX of NOK 79 million to 4.7% of Group sales compared to 4.2% in Q1 15
  • Increased personnel and rental costs when doubling the capacity at the central warehouse in Örebro
  • From 20,000 to 40,000 sqm
  • Finalized with handover in November 2015

Priorities going forward

  • Improving the omni-channel experience
  • Launching E-commerce service in Denmark
  • Opening of new stores
  • Continuing to drive LfL growth
  • Always focusing on cost improvements

Financial review

Income statement

  • Revenue growth of 23% Higher logistics costs – Double capacity at central warehouse in Sweden Higher costs related to digital marketing Cost improvements in Sweden and Finland Net financials cost of NOK 14 million – Negative currency effect of NOK 3.4 million – Interest expenses of NOK 4.7 million
  • Other transaction and financial costs
  • Effective tax rate of 23.3%
Amounts in MNOK Q1 16 Q1
15
Total
operating revenue
1 684 1
369
Operating income 75 74
Net financials -14 -30
Profit before income tax 61 44
Income tax expense 14 10
Net
profit
47 34

Cash flow

  • Inventory per store increased by NOK 2.4 million
  • Currency effects of NOK 1.6 million
  • Limited sale of spring related goods in March but good sales of winter related goods
  • Inventory is healthy
  • Periodization differences in accounts payables
  • Investments in stores and infrastructure according to plan
  • Equity ratio of 59%
  • Net interest bearing debt of NOK 1 121 million
  • Liquidity reserve of NOK 613 million
  • NIBD / EBITDA of 1.6x
  • Settlement in tax case

Cash flow

(Amounts
in MNOK)
Q1 16 Q1 15
Cash
provided (used) by operating activities
-38 47
Cash
used by investing activities
-44 -25
Cash
provided (used) by financing activities
64 -15
Net
change in cash and cash equivalents
-18 7
Cash and cash equivalents beginning of year 87 222
Cash and cash equivalents end of period 69 229

Changes in working capital

(Amounts
in MNOK)
Q1 16 Q1 15
Changes
in inventory
-50 -212
Changes
in receivables
87 59
Changes
in payables
-95 164
Prepayments
of financial leases
-3 -3
Changes
in other assets and liabilities
-70 -18
Change
in working capital
-131 -10

Outlook

  • XXL has signed 10 new lease agreements for store openings for 2016 where of 6 in Norway. The aim for 2016 is 10-12 new stores in total
  • XXL will launch an e-commerce offering in Denmark in 2016
  • Aggressive pricing and high marketing spending
  • Negative profit the first years of operation
  • Total infrastructure investments for 2016 in the range of NOK 50-65 million
  • Increased marketing costs of appr. 0.5 pp of sales in all countries in a transition period from analogue to digital marketing
  • The Group maintains the following long term objectives (as compared to 2013 figures):
  • Like-for-like growth of mid-single digits over time
  • E-commerce share of total revenues of low double digits
  • Gross margins to be stable. For Norway maintained at the same level, increasing to high 30's in Sweden and Finland. Due to the demanding macro in Finland the lift to high 30's will take longer time than in Sweden
  • EBITDA-margin stable as a result of stable gross margins and operating expenses. In Norway at low 20's, in Sweden low double digits and in Finland high single digits

Summary

  • Revenue growth of 23%
  • Like for Like growth of 11.2%
  • There of E-commerce growth of 57%
  • Good performance comparing to a good spring start in March last year
  • Focus on clearance of winter related products resulted in lower margins but a healthy inventory
  • Sweden delivered strong results
  • Coming up: at least 10 store openings in 8 months
    • E-commerce in Denmark

XXL ASA – Q1 2016

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