Investor Presentation • Oct 4, 2016
Investor Presentation
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Investor presentation October, 2016
Notes: 1) based on outstanding balance of receivables 2) Amortization of portfolios over approx. 4 years according to German GAAP (booked below EBITDA)
| | Highly attractive German market |
• Traditionally a strong NPL market, with large volumes for sale • Highly attractive portfolios with stable cash flow • We expect increased momentum in the German NPL the next 12-24 months |
|---|---|---|
| | Strong business with profitable 3PC operations and several owned NPL portfolios |
• Profitable 3PC operations set to serve portfolio volumes to be acquired by Axactor • Acquired 16 NPL (non-performing loans) portfolios with a total face value of more than EUR 800m over the last five years |
| | Entering the remaining current priority geography – fulfilling Axactor's geographical strategy |
• Germany is the "missing piece" in order for Axactor to be established in the four key markets (Spain, Norway, Italy and Germany) • The "preferred platform acquisition" for Axactor's growth strategy in Germany |
| | An important step in being able to secure more financing and increase gearing |
• Passing the threshold in our existing bank facility with Germany as our fourth geographical market (third within the ring fence) • The company has opened discussions with the bank consortium to make accordion option 3 and 4 available |
Opportunistic view on the Nordics. Other geographies under evaluation.
Continue acquisition of attractive portfolios in all four countries
Secure new 3PC clients in all markets, including bank carve-outs
Operational focus – standardize IT platform, implement group dialer in all countries, align KPIs across countries and cross-country learning
Increase gearing towards long-term target of 75% and continue to evaluate co-investment partners
| Axactor key investment attractions | |
|---|---|
| Attractive fundamentals within NPL purchase market |
• Large European NPL stocks on banks' balance sheets • Double-digit growth in NPL sales volume in Europe driven by regulatory changes (Basel III, IFRS etc.) • Strong growth trend in second-hand portfolio sales |
| Experienced management team with demonstrated track record |
• Unparalleled industry track record, in particular within the target geographical regions • Long-lasting relationships with Financial Institutions across Europe • Unique debt portfolio pricing and collection competencies |
| Strong position established in key markets – enabling bilateral portfolio and platform discussions |
• Strong position created in Spain, Italy and Norway – entering Germany with the "best platform" available establishes Axactor in all four "key markets" • Access to attractive portfolios through invitations to bilateral discussions and closed tenders • Proven execution capabilities through a number of completed portfolio acquisitions • Full focus on driving returns through further portfolio acquisitions and operational excellence |
| Attractive financial profile and flexible financing structure to ensure gearing of portfolio purchases towards target leverage |
• Attractive cash generation locked in as the company continues to invest and collect on debt portfolios • Increasing leverage will be a key value driver going forward as the company acquires portfolios On the path of gradually increasing gearing from 35% up towards 75%1) • long term target |
| Notes: 1) Loan agreement gives a maximum gearing of 65%; Long-term target 75% supported by industry standards | 12 |
| Key market dynamics in Spain | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio dynamics [ ] |
Key highlights / trends | ||
| AXA key focus |
• Funds shifting focus more towards secured |
||
| IRR: 10% - 11% Size: EUR 30m+ |
• Firsthand portfolios, sold directly form the largest banks • Tender offers with several bidders invited, both industrial and financial investors • Large transactions |
| assets • However, still strong competition on large, firsthand portfolios in B2C unsecured • Relationship key element in getting access |
| IRR: 13%+ Size: EUR 1-15m |
• Medium-sized portfolios • Possible to be negotiated bilaterally or with 1-2 other bidders • Relations key to gain access to portfolios |
| to bilateral negotiations and hence portfolios with more attractive IRRs • Bank carve-out trend continues |
| IRR: 15%+ Size: EUR 10-30m |
• Secondhand portfolios (e.g. investment funds exiting portfolio investments/or market) • Negotiated bilaterally or with 1-2 other bidders • Relations key to gain access to portfolios |
|
• However, still strong competition on large, firsthand portfolios in B2C unsecured
• Relationship key element in getting access to bilateral negotiations and hence portfolios with more attractive IRRs
| Portfolio dynamics | Key highlights / trends | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| AXA key focus |
|||
| IRR: 10% - 13% Size: EUR 30m+ |
• Firsthand portfolios, sold directly form the largest banks • Tender offers with several bidders invited, both industrial and financial investors • Large transactions |
secured debt due to higher ticket/investments |
|
| IRR: 13%-15% Size: EUR 1-15m |
• Medium-sized portfolios • Possible to be negotiated bilaterally or with 1-2 other bidders • Relations key to gain access to portfolios |
| |
| IRR: 15%+ Size: EUR 10-30m |
• Secondhand portfolios (e.g. investment funds exiting portfolio investments/or market) • Negotiated bilaterally or with 1-2 other bidders • Relations key to gain access to portfolios |
| government) |
• The international funds have clear focus on secured debt due to higher
• The market for B2C unsecured is opening up and the number of portfolios is increasing
• Axactor meets usually a handful of competitors in B2C, but some local players are investing aggressively in the segment
• Strong focus on improving/simplifying the regulatory environment (from the Italian
| Portfolio dynamics | Key highlights / trends | |
|---|---|---|
| AXA key focus |
||
| • Firsthand portfolios, sold directly form the largest banks • Tender offers with several bidders invited, |
||
| • Large transactions |
||
| • Medium-sized portfolios • Possible to be negotiated bilaterally or with 1-2 other bidders • Relations key to gain access to portfolios |
| |
| both industrial and financial investors | Key market dynamics in Germany |
• All the largest industrial players are represented in Germany, creating tough competition for large FI portfolios
• The bank carve-out trend continues
• The bad banks have not been forced to sell off NPLs, however, we believe this is about to change over the next 12-24 months
• The market is more or less fully consolidated with the exception of some small, family owned collection companies
• We have seen some large transactions the last 12 months at high prices and single digit
| Key market dynamics in Norway | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio dynamics | Key highlights / trends | ||
| AXA key focus |
|||
| IRR: 10% - 11% Size: EUR 30m+ |
• Firsthand portfolios, sold directly form the largest banks • Tender offers with several bidders invited, both industrial and financial investors • Large transactions |
IRR | |
| IRR: 11%-13% Size: EUR 1-15m |
• Medium-sized portfolios • Possible to be negotiated bilaterally or with 1-2 other bidders • Relations key to gain access to portfolios |
| |
• The NPL volumes have increased significantly over the last years, and past due cases are record high
• A high number of new consumer banks have been established the last 2-3 years and we expect these banks to start selling off NPL when the volumes of unpaid debt reaches a certain size (we have already seen some minor portfolio sales from these banks)
• E-commerce players selling portfolios and makes "forward flow" deals
Medium-to-long term financial targets will vary significantly in based on geography and maturity of each market
| Target | To date | Medium-to-long term target | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Portfolio |
Axactor investments |
Portfolio investment sizes of ~EUR 1-15 million |
Portfolio investment sizes of ~EUR 1-25 million |
| size (EURm) |
Co-investments | n.a. | Portfolio investment sizes of ~EUR 25-100 million |
| 2 | Portfolio MoC ("Multiple on Capital") |
~2.5x | 2.0x - 3.0x |
| 3 | Gross portfolio payback time |
~3 years | ~3-4 years |
| 4 | Gearing | 35% on portfolios outside Italy 100% on portfolios in Italy |
65% - 75% on corporate level |
CS Union at the time of acquisition
Kosmetisk endring – siste bullet
including Italy which is presently outside the ring fence
gearing on portfolio acquisitions (2.0-2.5% margin)
Notes: 1) Gross profit (accounting) + add-back of portfolio amortizations (non-cash)
| Income statement | Key comments | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEK thousand Gross revenue Amortization of debt portfolios |
Q2-16 72 270 -7 833 |
Q1-16 29 404 -1 492 |
H1-16 101 674 -9 325 |
2015 4 437 0 |
• | ALD Abogados included in Q1-16 financials |
| Net revenue Operating expenses Personnel expenses EBITDA |
64 437 -59 844 -36 112 -31 519 |
27 912 -18 152 -20 258 -10 498 |
92 349 -77 996 -56 370 -42 017 |
4 437 -29 940 -5 089 -30 592 |
• • |
Full quarter effect of IKAS in Q2-16, in addition to 1.5 month P&L effect of Geslico No P&L effect of CS Union, but included in the balance sheet as of Q2-16 |
| Amortization and depreciation EBIT |
-6 671 -38 190 |
-2 464 -12 962 |
-9 135 -51 152 |
-837 -31 429 |
• | In July 2016 the company had positive Cash EBITDA for the month isolated |
| Financial revenue Financial expenses Net financial items |
17 112 -8 288 8 824 |
4 253 -6 960 -2 707 |
21 365 -15 248 6 117 |
329 -30 218 -29 889 |
and portfolio amortizations | |
| Profit/(loss) before tax | -29 366 | -15 669 | -45 035 | -61 318 | • | Normalized EBITDA = EBITDA adjusted for one-off costs mainly related to M&A activities |
| Tax expense Net profit/(loss) from continued operations |
3 511 -25 855 |
773 -14 896 |
4 284 -40 751 |
0 -61 318 |
||
| Cash EBITDA | -19 300 | -6 800 | -26 100 | - | ||
| Normalized EBITDA | -14 400 | -10 300 | -24 700 | - |
| 1 Strong growth of NPL portfolios coming to market |
• Strong growth in second-hand portfolio transactions • Regulatory changes driving debt sales • Strengthened FI balance sheets enable portfolio sales • Approaching "price equilibrium" between sellers and buyers |
|
|---|---|---|
| 2 Outsourcing trend (carve-outs of collection units) |
• Several major carve-outs from European banks • FI regards debt collection as non-core operations • Debt collection agencies achieve higher solution rates |
|
| 3 Industry consolidation |
• Market maturity and professionalization • Technology enables increased scale advantages • Capital constraints – access to capital key success criteria • Influx of private equity players / IPO activity |
• Axactor's initial focus is Spain, Germany and Italy
• Opportunistic approach towards Nordic markets, exemplified by Axactor's entry in Norway, and Rest of Europe
– Axactor has strong execution capabilities and provides reliability to its
rd party collection often translates into portfolio acquisitions through
efficient setup benefiting from scale advantages
– Axactor has through its new setup a highly competitive cost structure with streamlined group functions and no legacy business
Shorter time to market for successful acquisitions of portfolios in the respective market
| Q2 balance sheet | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | Equity and liabilities | |||||
| SEK thousand | 31.06.2016 | 31.03.2016 | 31.06.2015 | |||
| ASSETS | EQUITY & LIABILITIES | |||||
| Intangible non-current assets | Equity attributable to equity holders of the parent | |||||
| Intangible assets | 118 044 | 43 718 | 31 742 | |||
| Goodwill | 408 860 | 124 467 | ||||
| Tangible non-current assets | ||||||
| Property, Plant and equipment | 20 272 | 1 669 | 482 | |||
| Financial non-current assets | ||||||
| Purchased debt portfolios | 594 298 | 250 722 | - | Non-current liabilities | ||
| Other long term receivables | 10 689 | 0 | 52 | |||
| Other long term investments | 402 | 667 | 359 | |||
| Total non-current assets | 1 152 566 | 421 243 | 32 635 | |||
| Current Assets | ||||||
| Current receivables | 51 682 | 63 579 | 437 | |||
| Other current assets | 54 600 | 6 462 | 224 | Current liabilities | ||
| Restricted cash |
49 062 | - | - | |||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 283 442 | 185 793 | 54 961 | |||
| Total current assets | 438 787 | 255 834 | 55 622 | |||
| 1 591 353 | 677 077 | 88 257 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 591 353 | 677 077 | 88 257 |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEK thousand | 31.06.2016 | 31.03.2016 | 31.06.2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EQUITY & LIABILITIES | |||
| Equity attributable to equity holders of the parent | |||
| Share capital | 473 244 | 328 107 | 45 405 |
| Other paid-in capital | 1 884 121 | 1 541 773 | 1 256 648 |
| Retained earnings and profit for the period | -1 330 758 | -1 304 902 | -1 226 461 |
| Reserves | -2 976 | -1 917 | - |
| Non-controlling interests | 2 755 | - | 75 |
| Total equity | 1 026 387 | 563 060 | 75 667 |
| Non-current liabilities | |||
| Non-current interest bearing debt | 276 300 | ||
| Convertible loan | - | 0 | 5 000 |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 23 862 | 10 820 | |
| Other non-current liabilities | 13 080 | 2 912 | |
| Total long term liabilities | 313 241 | 13 732 | 5 000 |
| Current liabilities | |||
| Accounts payable Current portion of non-current borrowings |
104 426 72 149 |
13 559 - |
881 - |
| Taxes Payable | 15 273 | - | - |
| Other current liabilities | 59 876 | 86 726 | 6 709 |
| Total current liabilities | 251 725 | 100 285 | 7 590 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | |||
| 1 591 353 | 677 077 | 88 257 |
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