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Axactor SE

Earnings Release Jul 25, 2018

3549_10-k_2018-07-25_d973946f-9fc4-46e6-b661-d5d2fa74d1f0.pdf

Earnings Release

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Q2 2018 Axactor AB

July 25, 2018

Key highlights Q2 2018

  • Continued margin expansion EBITDA margin of 20% in Q2 2018
  • Cash EBITDA of EUR 41m, illustrating the strong cash flow from the REO segment
  • More than 1.000 REO units sold (since entering this market segment in 2017)
  • EUR 23m portfolio investments, as well as several large forward flow deals with start date later in the year
  • Optimization of co-investment structure with Geveran completed
  • Completed reverse share split in the ratio of 10:1

2

Axactor events post Q2 closing

  • New funding line for REOs with Nomura International plc
  • Will release approximately EUR 100m in cash
  • Lowering funding cost for REOs significantly
  • Subject to final documentation. Signing/closing within 3 weeks
  • Signed important forward flow contract in Germany
  • Expect acquisition cost of EUR 20m over a 12 month period
  • Complements the large forward flow contract closed in June
  • Signing a of large unsecured claims from Banco Sabadell:
  • Conditional to formal authorization of the contract
  • Outstanding balance of EUR 875m
  • Added two new outsourcing contracts in Spain
  • Servicing contracts for secured debt

Axactor will establish new credit line for funding of REOs

  • Axactor will establish a new funding line for REOs with Nomura International plc
  • The transaction will release cash of approximately EUR 100m and will be used to pay down intercompany loan to Axactor AB
  • The released funds will be available for Axactor to allocate freely within the group, providing increased flexibility for future investments
  • The new loan facility will significantly reduce the REO portfolios funding cost
  • Axactor expects the funds to be available in approximately 3 weeks

Standardization is used to reduce costs and to drive efficiency

Standardization - "One Axactor" Positive effects from "One Axactor"

  • Intility (IT Infrastructure)
  • Miratech partnership (AD/AM)
  • ERP/Finance/HR
  • Portfolio pricing
  • Digitalization
  • Dialer robot
  • Business Intelligence (BI)
  • Data Warehouse (DW)
  • Core Collection Systems
  • Debtor/Client Portals
  • Skill based collection
  • CRM
  • Branding
  • Common KPIs
  • Accounts Receivable Management (ARM)

Axactor revenue mix – distribution per country

  • Significant growth in Spain driven by the REO segment
  • Growth compared to Q1-18 in all geographies

Q2 Revenue Distribution per Country

  • REO segment in Spain driving the shift in business mix compared to Q1-18
  • Expect large forward flow contracts to increase the relative size of Germany and Norway the next quarters

6

Axactor revenue mix – distribution per business segment

Gross revenue development per segment (EUR million)

  • 148% revenue growth y/y* in Q2 2018 primarily driven by REO and NPL portfolios
  • Ramp-up of the REO segment continues, and REOs represented 33% of total gross revenue in Q2 2018
  • 3PC with 30% growth y/y
  • Growth in all segments compared to Q1 2018

Profitability development – EBITDA and Cash EBITDA

  • 158% EBITDA growth compared to the same quarter last year*
  • 74% EBITDA growth compared to last quarter
  • 20% EBITDA margin in Q2-18

8

  • Q2 and Q4 are seasonally strong quarters
  • *Q2 2017 settlement with former IGE board members is excluded

EBITDA per quarter (EUR million) Cash EBITDA per quarter (EUR million)

  • Strong REO cash flow ramping up the Cash EBITDA
  • Good performance on NPL portfolios
  • Gross margin of 61% in Q2-18, up from 44% last quarter

EBITDA and cash EBITDA - quarter by quarter

  • Continued significant growth
  • Increased EBITDA margin to 20%

EBITDA (EUR million) Cash EBITDA (EUR million)

  • Maintained strong cash flow development
  • Gross margin at a record high 61%

Gross revenue and ERC - quarter by quarter

ERC (EUR million) Gross revenue (EUR million)

  • The good development continues in Q2-18 with 168% gross revenue growth compared to last year*
  • Significant growth across all segments

  • ERC growth supported by investments of EUR 114m during the first half of 2018

  • ERC is slightly down from Q1-18 due to the high liquidation of REO portfolios

Collection on portfolios versus business case

LTM Performace vs. Business Case

  • NPL collection performance stabilizing at ~100%, with a strong LTM performance of 105% in Q2-18
  • High REO performance in Q4 2017 based on moderate volume
  • Conservative build-up in REO BC
  • Expect convergence towards business case over time

Portfolio statistics NPL

Historical development ERC (EUR million)

  • ERC increase of 48% compared to same quarter last year
  • Modest growth from Q1-18 due to the relatively low portfolio investments during the quarter

ERC per year (EUR million)

• NPL portfolios with finance claims have long and stable cash flows (15 years+)

Portfolio statistics NPL

Book value portfolios (EUR million) Capex (EUR million)

  • Book value increased 54% compared to Q2 2017
  • Modest growth of 1% from Q1 2018 due to the modest investment level during the second quarter

  • One portfolio acquired in Sweden in Q2-18

  • Forward flow contracts signed during the quarter will start during Q3 and Q4
  • Several potential deals delayed to Q3

Portfolio statistics REOs

Historical development ERC (EUR million)

  • First REO portfolio acquired in Q2-17
  • Reduction in Q2-18 due to the quick liquidation of the REO portfolios

ERC per year (EUR million)

  • REO portfolios typically last 3-5 years before depletion
  • REOs generally have a lower money multiple than traditional NPL, short payback time ensures very attractive IRR levels

Portfolio statistics REOs

Book value portfolios (EUR million) Capex (EUR million)

• REO portfolios account for 33% of total portfolio balance

Q2-17 Q3-17

0

Q1-17

SPA

• No new portfolios acquired in Q2-18

8.1

• Capex in the quarter represent activated costs on assets in inventory and transfer of remaining assets from one of the portfolios announced in Q1-18

0.4

Q4-17 Q1-18 Q2-18

5.2

REO portfolios lifetime KPIs*

  • Average price per asset sold: EUR 46k
  • Number of assets in inventory per end Q2-18: 6,153

  • Lifetime performance ahead of business case

  • More than 1.000 units sold
  • Quicker liquidation
  • Higher money multiple
  • Total of 6 portfolios serviced by two different providers: GIA and Altamira
  • New funding line for REOs announced in July
  • Re-finance current stock and release cash to be deployed where Axactor sees fit

Opex profile REOs

*Excluding cost of sales

  • REO opex consist of three main elements:
  • Sales commission paid to servicer
  • Servicing fee (maintenance, marketing etc.)
  • Cost of sale reversal of book value upon sale (no cash impact)
  • Sales commission generally fixed percentage of sales
  • Servicing fee generally based on volume under management by the servicer
  • Opex to sales ratio declining with volume as the portfolio liquidates

Q2 income statement

Income statement Key comments

2Q 2Q 2Q
LTM
Jan
- Dec
EURO
thousand
2018 2017 2018 2017
Income 66
696
,
26
922
,
165
813
,
104
,734
of
portfolios
Amortization
debt
-12
310
,
-3
290
,
-26
901
,
-14
948
,
Net
revenue
54,386 23,632 138,912 89,785
Cost
of
secured
sold
assets
-17
353
,
-24
921
,
-1
445
,
Personnel
expenses collection
-7,975 -6
640
,
-30
111
,
-26
,578
Personnel
expenses other
-5,170 -3
918
,
-20
900
,
-18
378
,
Operating
expenses
-13
278
,
-6
929
,
-38
605
,
-28
,569
EBITDA 10,610 6,145 24,373 14,815
Amortization
and
depreciation
-1
476
,
-1
148
,
-5,569 -5,327
EBIT 9
134
,
4
997
,
18
805
,
9
488
,
Financial
revenue
473 1
849
,
1
,775
3
070
,
Financial
expenses
-8
994
,
-1
633
,
-22
381
,
-10
,585
Net
financial
items
-8
,521
216 -20
607
,
-7,515
Profit/(loss)
before
tax
613 5,213 -1
802
,
1
974
,
Tax
expense
-442 -582 585 611
Net
profit/(loss)
from
continued
operations
172 4,631 -1,217 2,585
CASH
EBITDA
40,566 9,401 78,359 32,695
  • Net financial items were negative EUR 8.5m for the quarter:
  • Interest cost of EUR 8.4m of which EUR 0.9m in amortized loan fees
  • Amortized warrant cost of EUR 0.4m
  • Positive net FX impact in the quarter of EUR 0.4m

Balance sheet structure

  • Portfolio book value is EUR 539m, including REO
  • Available cash at end of Q2 is EUR 121m
  • Equity ratio of 41%

Forward flow build-up

  • Significant forward flow contracts have been signed during the first half of 2018 in Germany, Italy, Norway and Sweden
  • Some of the new contracts started late in Q2, while the rest are due to start later in the year
  • With the new contracts, total annual forward flow investments will be in the region of EUR 175m
  • Contracted forward flow volume will double NPL collections for Germany and Norway in 2019
  • The forward flow pipeline is still strong

Axactor funding capacity

  • Axactor with approximately 450 mEUR in funding capacity (after closing the Nomura agreement)
  • Additional capacity
  • Axactor has close to 200 mEUR in accordion options with the Nordic banks
  • Bond tap option of 100 mEUR
  • Full utilization of additional capacity must be matched by approximately 40% equity

Outlook

  • REO market in Spain remains strong
  • Rapid growth in Spanish market for secured NPL
  • Continued high volumes of unsecured NPL forward flow portfolios from Nordic consumer banks
  • Solid 3PC pipeline in Spain
  • Expect high cash flow generation to continue in the second half of 2018

Summary Q2 presentation

  • Significant ramp-up of cash generation (Cash EBITDA of EUR 41m)
  • 20% EBITDA margin in Q2
  • Signed significant forward flow portfolios in Germany, Italy, Norway and Sweden
  • Establishing new funding line for REO portfolios with Nomura, releasing approximately EUR 100m in cash at lower cost
  • Continue to drive efficiency and cost initiatives through One Axactor
  • Strong momentum into 2H 2018

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