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Axactor SE

Investor Presentation Apr 26, 2019

3549_rns_2019-04-26_ac7a276c-2f52-4020-8502-e10b845c8ed4.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Q1 2019 presentation

Axactor SE April 26, 2019

Q1 2019 - Key highlights

  • Revenue more than doubling and with continued margin expansion
  • EUR 8 million Earnings Before Tax up 47% from Q4 2018
  • CAPEX of EUR 69 million invested in NPL portfolios mainly forward flow contracts
  • Released EUR 100m of additional funding from RCF accordion option and EUR 50m from Bond Tap
  • 2019 planned CAPEX deployment of EUR 400-450m

Attractive European NPL market

  • Q1'19 NPL gross revenue of EUR 52.4m (20.9)
  • NPL contribution margin of EUR 27.1m (10.4) or 77% of net revenue (67%)
  • Steady flow of new portfolios coming to the market
  • Attractive opportunities in all Axactor markets
  • Declining portfolio prices "Axactor markets" trading at 12-14% IRR

The REO sales growing

  • Q1 REO gross revenue of EUR 24.7m (8.7)
  • Sales growth of 22% vs Q4'18 and return to profitability
  • REO contribution margin of EUR 2.8 or 11%, up from EUR -0.8m (-4%) in Q4'18
  • Prioritizing margins over sales volumes and expecting positive sales trend to continue in Q2'19 9

REO gross revenue (EUR million)

Improved funding

  • ~EUR 185m in increased funding capacity
    • EUR 100m accordion option in February
    • EUR 50m bond tap option in March
    • EUR 15m equity investment and
    • EUR 20m loan from Geveran to Axactor Invest 1 in April'19
  • Upgrading 2019 investment level from EUR 350-400m to EUR 400-450m

Axactor Invest 1 funding (EUR million)

Revenue growth and margin improvement

Gross revenue development (EUR million)

EBITDA (EUR million) and EBITDA-margin

Cash EBITDA (EUR million)

NPL and REO growth from Q4 to Q1

Gross revenue per segments (EUR million)

  • NPL collection up 32% from Q4'18, driven by large investments in Q4'18
  • REO sales up 22% from Q4'18
  • 3PC with 22% y/y growth
  • Stable ARM business before roll-out to new markets

More balanced geographical footprint REO portion set to decline over time

NPL portfolio

Strong NPL growth – solid collection performance

NPL gross revenue development (EUR million)

110 % Actual collection vs. original business case (LTM, rolling)

NPL: Investments set to increase through 2019

Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)

  • CAPEX deployment in several NPL forward flow contracts
  • Acquired new Spanish NPL portfolio in April:
    • Outstanding balance of EUR 77m across 22,000 claims

NPL: Forward flow build-up

Estimated FF from signed contracts (EUR million)

  • Graph illustrates already contracted volumes
  • Additional volumes (on top) from renegotiations/ renewals with improved IRRs
  • Estimated forward flow volume of EUR 286m from signed contracts in 2019, of which EUR 219m remaining (rest of 2019)

NPL ERC: Growing and more diversified

ERC development (EUR million)

Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million)

REO portfolio

REO sales growth

REO gross revenue development (EUR million)

30

  • Q4 issues with notary & stamp costs resolved
  • First small bulk sale closed in Q1
  • Continued ramp-up of sales expected in Q2
  • Margin prioritized over sales volume

REO ERC: Protecting margins – flatter sales curve

REO ERC per year (EUR million)

  • REO sales of EUR 24.7m in Q1'19
    • 555 units at average price of EUR 44k
    • 5,773 units remaining in inventory
    • Good cash-flow
  • Remaining ERC lowered by EUR 6m (2.5%)
    • Asset value largely intact. However, discounts slightly higher than business case
  • Prioritizing margins over volumes
    • Expecting a flatter ERC curve going forward

The REO exposure will be quickly reduced going forward

ERC by segment

2000

0 500 1000 1500 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 NPL 73% REO 27% NPL 86% REO 14%

  • No new REO portfolio acquisitions
  • Current REO portfolio to be halved over next 12 months
  • Investments in NPL will reduce the share of REO ERC further in 2019

3PC & ARM

Growing the platform business

Gross revenue (EUR million)

  • 3PC sales up 22% y/y
    • Collection platforms established in all six markets
    • Product synergies in terms of business origination, collection execution and data generation
    • Customer relationships with leading financial institutions, including nine of the top 10 Spanish banks
    • Increasing contribution of cash rich and capital light earnings for reinvestments
  • ARM platform to be rolled out to more markets

Financials

Contribution per segment

Contribution per segment (EUR million) Excluding unallocated overhead cost

  • NPL: Continued contribution growth
    • 77% contribution margin of net revenue
  • REO: Return to profitability
    • 11% contribution margin in Q1'19 vs. -4% in Q4'18
  • 3PC: Steady y/y improvement normal seasonality
    • 27% contribution margin
  • ARM: Marginal changes
    • 42% contribution margin

Cost efficiency increasing with scale

  • One Axactor Clear strategy with focus on streamlined organization secures scalable platform
  • Standardization reduces costs and improves crossborder cooperation
  • Expect to leverage scale benefits further over the coming years

Revenue, Local SG&A, IT and Corporate costs, LTM

300

Net finance, tax and net profits

Condensed Income statement Key comments

For the quarter end/YTD Full year 2018
EUR thousand 31 Mar 2019 31 Mar 2018
EBIT 19,875 4,757 40,298
Financial revenue 16 91 453
Financial expenses -11,919 -5,541 -34,591
Net financial items -11,903 -5,450 -34,138
Profit/(loss) before tax 7,972 -693 6,160
Tax (expense) -3,348 -303 -3,770
Net profit/(loss) after tax 4,624 -996 2,390
Net profit/(loss) to Non-controlling interests
Net profit/(loss) to equity holders
2,584
2,040
425
-1,421
-2,103
4,492
Earnings per share: basic
Earnings per share: diluted
0.013
0.012
-0.001
-0.001
0.029
0.026
  • Total net financial cost of EUR 11.9m
    • Interest cost of EUR 10.9m, of which EUR 1.5m amortized loan fees
    • Average blended interest costs of 5.0%
    • Negative net FX impact of EUR 0.4m
  • Tax expense of EUR 3.3m
    • 42% effective tax rate
    • Some entities not yet in position to recognize tax losses
  • Net profit of EUR 4.6m
    • EUR 2.0m to equity shareholders
    • EUR 2.6m to non-controlling minorities

Balance sheet structure

Assets (EUR million) Equity & Liabilities (EUR million)

Debt maturity profile

Revolving Credit Facility, EUR 300m + EUR 50m accordion Axactor Invest 1, EUR 120m senior debt facility Bond, EUR 200m + EUR 50m tap option Reolux/Nomura, EUR 89m outstanding balance Axactor Invest 1, EUR 140m mezzanine

  • Net interest bearing debt of EUR 667 million
  • EUR 100m released of accordion option with Nordic banks in February, EUR 50m remaining
  • EUR 50m bond tap option executed in March, EUR 50m remaining
  • EUR 15m equity injection and EUR 20m new mezzanine loan from Geveran to Axactor Invest 1 in April
  • Axactor 1 will reinvest running cash flow

Summary & Outlook

Q1 Summary

  • Solid financial performance in Q1
  • 22% y/y growth in 3PC
  • Continued strong collection performance
  • Growth in REO sales and profitability
  • Improved financial capacity
  • Continuing to drive efficiency and cost improvement through 'One Axactor'
    • Finland integration on track

Outlook

  • Attractive NPL market increasing IRRs
  • Increased NPL capex guiding (EUR 400-450m)
  • Expect continued growth in the 3PC market
  • Continued profitable growth and margin expansion

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Appendix

P&L statement

end/YTD
the
For
quarter
Full
year 2018
thousand
EUR
Note 31
Mar
2019
31
Mar
2018
income
from
purchased
loan
portfolios
Interest
6 28,989 17,442 74,536
gain/loss
portfolios
purchased
loan
Net
6 6,371 -1,802 10,599
Other
operating
revenue
38,289 20,160 121,774
Total
Revenue
3,4 73,649 35,800 206,909
of
REO's
sold
Cost
7 -19,302 -6,123 -54,491
Personnel
expenses operations
-9,433 -8,086 -32,585
Personnel
expenses other
-6,102 -5,274 -19,548
Operating
expenses
-16,671 -10,219 -53,978
Total
operating
expense
-51,508 -29,702 -160,602
EBITDA 22,140 6,097 46,306
Amortization
and
depreciation
-2,266 -1,341 -6,009
EBIT 19,875 4,757 40,298
Financial
revenue
5 16 91 453
Financial
expenses
5 -11,919 -5,541 -34,591
financial
Net
items
-11,903 -5,450 -34,138
Profit/(loss)
before
tax
7,972 -693 6,160
(expense)
Tax
-3,348 -303 -3,770
profit/(loss)
after
Net
tax
4,624 -996 2,390
profit/(loss)
Non-controlling
Net
interests
to
5 2,584 425 -2,103
profit/(loss)
holders
Net
equity
to
2,040 -1,421 4,492
Earnings
per share:
basic
0.013 -0.001 0.029
Earnings
per share:
diluted
0.012 -0.001 0.026

Balance sheet statement

EUR thousand Note 31 Mar 2019 31 Mar 2018 31 Dec 2018
ASSETS
Intangible non-current assets
Intangible Assets 18,992 18,522 19,170
Goodwill 56,281 54,260 55,577
Deferred
tax assets
6,852 5,186 7,564
Tangible non-current assets
Property, plant and equipment 2,851 2,491 2,683
Right-of-use
assets
9 5,874 0 0
Financial non-current assets
Purchased debt portfolios 6 781,361 353,969 728,820
Other non-current receivables 294 843 293
Other non-current investments 778 170 778
Total non-current assets 873,283 435,441 814,885
Current assets
Stock of
Secured Assets
7 181,121 192,694 200,009
Accounts Receivable 8,931 7,817 9,459
Other current assets 9,832 8,311 12,774
Restricted cash 5,309 1,825 3,184
Cash and Cash Equivalents 119,887 195,907 67,593
Total current assets 325,080 406,554 293,018
TOTAL ASSETS 1,198,363 841,995 1,107,903
EUR thousand Note 31 Mar 2019 31 Mar 2018 31 Dec 2018
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Equity attributable to equity holders of
the parent
Share Capital 81,115 79,377 81,115
Other paid-in equity 200,485 196,946 200,298
Retained Earnings -12,132 -20,142 -14,172
Reserves -1,675 -384 -2,817
Non-controlling interests 92,605 40,077 63,746
Total Equity 360,398 295,873 328,170
Non-current Liabilities
Interest bearing debt 8 579,436 432,303 567,829
Deferred
tax liabilities
10,925 5,670 11,124
Lease liabilities 9 3,641 0 0
Other non-current liabilities 991 3,072 1,180
Total non-current liabilities 594,992 441,045 580,132
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable 4,046 3,504 4,522
Current portion of
interest bearing debt
8 207,572 34,660 169,296
Taxes Payable 5,076 1,862 1,610
Lease liabilities 9 2,253 0 0
Other current liabilities 24,026 65,050 24,172
Total current liabilities 242,973 105,076 199,600
Total Liabilities 837,964 546,121 779,732
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 1,198,363 841,995 1,107,903

Legal organization April 2019

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