
Q1 2019 presentation
Axactor SE April 26, 2019

Q1 2019 - Key highlights

- Revenue more than doubling and with continued margin expansion
- EUR 8 million Earnings Before Tax up 47% from Q4 2018
- CAPEX of EUR 69 million invested in NPL portfolios mainly forward flow contracts
- Released EUR 100m of additional funding from RCF accordion option and EUR 50m from Bond Tap
- 2019 planned CAPEX deployment of EUR 400-450m
Attractive European NPL market
- Q1'19 NPL gross revenue of EUR 52.4m (20.9)
- NPL contribution margin of EUR 27.1m (10.4) or 77% of net revenue (67%)
- Steady flow of new portfolios coming to the market
- Attractive opportunities in all Axactor markets
- Declining portfolio prices "Axactor markets" trading at 12-14% IRR

The REO sales growing
- Q1 REO gross revenue of EUR 24.7m (8.7)
- Sales growth of 22% vs Q4'18 and return to profitability
- REO contribution margin of EUR 2.8 or 11%, up from EUR -0.8m (-4%) in Q4'18
- Prioritizing margins over sales volumes and expecting positive sales trend to continue in Q2'19 9
REO gross revenue (EUR million)

Improved funding
- ~EUR 185m in increased funding capacity
- EUR 100m accordion option in February
- EUR 50m bond tap option in March
- EUR 15m equity investment and
- EUR 20m loan from Geveran to Axactor Invest 1 in April'19
- Upgrading 2019 investment level from EUR 350-400m to EUR 400-450m
Axactor Invest 1 funding (EUR million)

Revenue growth and margin improvement
Gross revenue development (EUR million)

EBITDA (EUR million) and EBITDA-margin
Cash EBITDA (EUR million)

NPL and REO growth from Q4 to Q1
Gross revenue per segments (EUR million)

- NPL collection up 32% from Q4'18, driven by large investments in Q4'18
- REO sales up 22% from Q4'18
- 3PC with 22% y/y growth
- Stable ARM business before roll-out to new markets
More balanced geographical footprint REO portion set to decline over time


NPL portfolio

Strong NPL growth – solid collection performance

NPL gross revenue development (EUR million)
110 % Actual collection vs. original business case (LTM, rolling)

NPL: Investments set to increase through 2019
Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)

- CAPEX deployment in several NPL forward flow contracts
- Acquired new Spanish NPL portfolio in April:
- Outstanding balance of EUR 77m across 22,000 claims
NPL: Forward flow build-up

Estimated FF from signed contracts (EUR million)
- Graph illustrates already contracted volumes
- Additional volumes (on top) from renegotiations/ renewals with improved IRRs
- Estimated forward flow volume of EUR 286m from signed contracts in 2019, of which EUR 219m remaining (rest of 2019)
NPL ERC: Growing and more diversified
ERC development (EUR million)

Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million)

REO portfolio

REO sales growth
REO gross revenue development (EUR million)
30

- Q4 issues with notary & stamp costs resolved
- First small bulk sale closed in Q1
- Continued ramp-up of sales expected in Q2
- Margin prioritized over sales volume
REO ERC: Protecting margins – flatter sales curve
REO ERC per year (EUR million)

- REO sales of EUR 24.7m in Q1'19
- 555 units at average price of EUR 44k
- 5,773 units remaining in inventory
- Good cash-flow
- Remaining ERC lowered by EUR 6m (2.5%)
- Asset value largely intact. However, discounts slightly higher than business case
- Prioritizing margins over volumes
- Expecting a flatter ERC curve going forward
The REO exposure will be quickly reduced going forward
ERC by segment
2000
0 500 1000 1500 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 NPL 73% REO 27% NPL 86% REO 14%
- No new REO portfolio acquisitions
- Current REO portfolio to be halved over next 12 months
- Investments in NPL will reduce the share of REO ERC further in 2019
3PC & ARM

Growing the platform business
Gross revenue (EUR million)

- 3PC sales up 22% y/y
- Collection platforms established in all six markets
- Product synergies in terms of business origination, collection execution and data generation
- Customer relationships with leading financial institutions, including nine of the top 10 Spanish banks
- Increasing contribution of cash rich and capital light earnings for reinvestments
- ARM platform to be rolled out to more markets
Financials

Contribution per segment
Contribution per segment (EUR million) Excluding unallocated overhead cost

- NPL: Continued contribution growth
- 77% contribution margin of net revenue
- REO: Return to profitability
- 11% contribution margin in Q1'19 vs. -4% in Q4'18
- 3PC: Steady y/y improvement normal seasonality
- ARM: Marginal changes
Cost efficiency increasing with scale
- One Axactor Clear strategy with focus on streamlined organization secures scalable platform
- Standardization reduces costs and improves crossborder cooperation
- Expect to leverage scale benefits further over the coming years
Revenue, Local SG&A, IT and Corporate costs, LTM
300

Net finance, tax and net profits
Condensed Income statement Key comments
|
For the quarter end/YTD |
Full year 2018 |
|
| EUR thousand |
31 Mar 2019 |
31 Mar 2018 |
|
| EBIT |
19,875 |
4,757 |
40,298 |
|
|
|
|
| Financial revenue |
16 |
91 |
453 |
| Financial expenses |
-11,919 |
-5,541 |
-34,591 |
| Net financial items |
-11,903 |
-5,450 |
-34,138 |
|
|
|
|
| Profit/(loss) before tax |
7,972 |
-693 |
6,160 |
| Tax (expense) |
-3,348 |
-303 |
-3,770 |
| Net profit/(loss) after tax |
4,624 |
-996 |
2,390 |
Net profit/(loss) to Non-controlling interests Net profit/(loss) to equity holders |
2,584 2,040 |
425 -1,421 |
-2,103 4,492 |
|
|
|
|
Earnings per share: basic Earnings per share: diluted |
0.013 0.012 |
-0.001 -0.001 |
0.029 0.026 |
- Total net financial cost of EUR 11.9m
- Interest cost of EUR 10.9m, of which EUR 1.5m amortized loan fees
- Average blended interest costs of 5.0%
- Negative net FX impact of EUR 0.4m
- Tax expense of EUR 3.3m
- 42% effective tax rate
- Some entities not yet in position to recognize tax losses
- Net profit of EUR 4.6m
- EUR 2.0m to equity shareholders
- EUR 2.6m to non-controlling minorities
Balance sheet structure


Assets (EUR million) Equity & Liabilities (EUR million)

Debt maturity profile
Revolving Credit Facility, EUR 300m + EUR 50m accordion Axactor Invest 1, EUR 120m senior debt facility Bond, EUR 200m + EUR 50m tap option Reolux/Nomura, EUR 89m outstanding balance Axactor Invest 1, EUR 140m mezzanine

- Net interest bearing debt of EUR 667 million
- EUR 100m released of accordion option with Nordic banks in February, EUR 50m remaining
- EUR 50m bond tap option executed in March, EUR 50m remaining
- EUR 15m equity injection and EUR 20m new mezzanine loan from Geveran to Axactor Invest 1 in April
- Axactor 1 will reinvest running cash flow
Summary & Outlook

Q1 Summary
- Solid financial performance in Q1
- 22% y/y growth in 3PC
- Continued strong collection performance
- Growth in REO sales and profitability
- Improved financial capacity
- Continuing to drive efficiency and cost improvement through 'One Axactor'
- Finland integration on track

Outlook
- Attractive NPL market increasing IRRs
- Increased NPL capex guiding (EUR 400-450m)
- Expect continued growth in the 3PC market
- Continued profitable growth and margin expansion

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Appendix

P&L statement
|
|
end/YTD the For quarter |
|
Full year 2018 |
thousand EUR |
Note |
31 Mar 2019 |
31 Mar 2018 |
|
income from purchased loan portfolios Interest |
6 |
28,989 |
17,442 |
74,536 |
gain/loss portfolios purchased loan Net |
6 |
6,371 |
-1,802 |
10,599 |
Other operating revenue |
|
38,289 |
20,160 |
121,774 |
Total Revenue |
3,4 |
73,649 |
35,800 |
206,909 |
|
|
|
|
|
of REO's sold Cost |
7 |
-19,302 |
-6,123 |
-54,491 |
Personnel expenses operations |
|
-9,433 |
-8,086 |
-32,585 |
Personnel expenses other |
|
-6,102 |
-5,274 |
-19,548 |
Operating expenses |
|
-16,671 |
-10,219 |
-53,978 |
Total operating expense |
|
-51,508 |
-29,702 |
-160,602 |
|
|
|
|
|
| EBITDA |
|
22,140 |
6,097 |
46,306 |
|
|
|
|
|
Amortization and depreciation |
|
-2,266 |
-1,341 |
-6,009 |
|
|
|
|
|
| EBIT |
|
19,875 |
4,757 |
40,298 |
|
|
|
|
|
Financial revenue |
5 |
16 |
91 |
453 |
Financial expenses |
5 |
-11,919 |
-5,541 |
-34,591 |
financial Net items |
|
-11,903 |
-5,450 |
-34,138 |
|
|
|
|
|
Profit/(loss) before tax |
|
7,972 |
-693 |
6,160 |
|
|
|
|
|
(expense) Tax |
|
-3,348 |
-303 |
-3,770 |
|
|
|
|
|
profit/(loss) after Net tax |
|
4,624 |
-996 |
2,390 |
|
|
|
|
|
profit/(loss) Non-controlling Net interests to |
5 |
2,584 |
425 |
-2,103 |
profit/(loss) holders Net equity to |
|
2,040 |
-1,421 |
4,492 |
|
|
|
|
|
Earnings per share: basic |
|
0.013 |
-0.001 |
0.029 |
Earnings per share: diluted |
|
0.012 |
-0.001 |
0.026 |
|
|
|
|
|
Balance sheet statement
| EUR thousand |
Note |
31 Mar 2019 |
31 Mar 2018 |
31 Dec 2018 |
| ASSETS |
|
|
|
|
| Intangible non-current assets |
|
|
|
|
| Intangible Assets |
|
18,992 |
18,522 |
19,170 |
| Goodwill |
|
56,281 |
54,260 |
55,577 |
Deferred tax assets |
|
6,852 |
5,186 |
7,564 |
| Tangible non-current assets |
|
|
|
|
| Property, plant and equipment |
|
2,851 |
2,491 |
2,683 |
Right-of-use assets |
9 |
5,874 |
0 |
0 |
| Financial non-current assets |
|
|
|
|
| Purchased debt portfolios |
6 |
781,361 |
353,969 |
728,820 |
| Other non-current receivables |
|
294 |
843 |
293 |
| Other non-current investments |
|
778 |
170 |
778 |
| Total non-current assets |
|
873,283 |
435,441 |
814,885 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Current assets |
|
|
|
|
Stock of Secured Assets |
7 |
181,121 |
192,694 |
200,009 |
| Accounts Receivable |
|
8,931 |
7,817 |
9,459 |
| Other current assets |
|
9,832 |
8,311 |
12,774 |
| Restricted cash |
|
5,309 |
1,825 |
3,184 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents |
|
119,887 |
195,907 |
67,593 |
| Total current assets |
|
325,080 |
406,554 |
293,018 |
|
|
|
|
|
| TOTAL ASSETS |
|
1,198,363 |
841,995 |
1,107,903 |
| EUR thousand |
Note |
31 Mar 2019 |
31 Mar 2018 |
31 Dec 2018 |
| EQUITY AND LIABILITIES |
|
|
|
|
Equity attributable to equity holders of the parent |
|
|
|
|
| Share Capital |
|
81,115 |
79,377 |
81,115 |
| Other paid-in equity |
|
200,485 |
196,946 |
200,298 |
| Retained Earnings |
|
-12,132 |
-20,142 |
-14,172 |
| Reserves |
|
-1,675 |
-384 |
-2,817 |
| Non-controlling interests |
|
92,605 |
40,077 |
63,746 |
| Total Equity |
|
360,398 |
295,873 |
328,170 |
| Non-current Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
| Interest bearing debt |
8 |
579,436 |
432,303 |
567,829 |
Deferred tax liabilities |
|
10,925 |
5,670 |
11,124 |
| Lease liabilities |
9 |
3,641 |
0 |
0 |
| Other non-current liabilities |
|
991 |
3,072 |
1,180 |
| Total non-current liabilities |
|
594,992 |
441,045 |
580,132 |
| Current Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
| Accounts Payable |
|
4,046 |
3,504 |
4,522 |
Current portion of interest bearing debt |
8 |
207,572 |
34,660 |
169,296 |
| Taxes Payable |
|
5,076 |
1,862 |
1,610 |
| Lease liabilities |
9 |
2,253 |
0 |
0 |
| Other current liabilities |
|
24,026 |
65,050 |
24,172 |
| Total current liabilities |
|
242,973 |
105,076 |
199,600 |
| Total Liabilities |
|
837,964 |
546,121 |
779,732 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES |
|
1,198,363 |
841,995 |
1,107,903 |
Legal organization April 2019
