Investor Presentation • Feb 13, 2020
Investor Presentation
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CEO Kristin Skogen Lund CFO Ragnar Kårhus
13 February 2020
This presentation (hereinafter referred to as the "presentation") has been prepared by Schibsted ASA ("Schibsted" or the "Company") exclusively for information purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any financial instruments.
Reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the information and facts stated herein are accurate and that the opinions contained herein are fair and reasonable, however no representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by or on behalf of the Company, any of its directors, or any other person as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained in this document and no liability is accepted for any such information or opinions.
This presentation includes and is based on, among other things, forwardlooking information and statements. Such forward-looking information and statements are based on the current expectations, estimates and projections of the Company or assumptions based on information available to the Company. Such forward-looking information and statements reflect current views with respect to future events and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions. The Company cannot give any assurance as to the correctness of such information and statements. Several factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by statements and information in this presentation.
There may have been changes in matters which affect the Company subsequent to the date of this presentation. Neither the issue nor delivery of this presentation shall under any circumstance create any implication that the information contained herein is correct as of any time subsequent to the date hereof or that the affairs of the Company have not since changed.
The Company does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update or correct any information included in this presentation.
Alternative performance measures (APM) used in this presentation are described and presented in the section Definitions and reconciliations in the quarterly report.
jobs volumes in Norway somewhat lower in Q4 and start of 2020
both volume and ARPU expansion
continued double-digit growth in Sweden
primarily driven by Distribution
Aftonbladet digital advertising revenue decline 22%
VG digital advertising revenue decline 4%
Significant drop in revenue from gaming industry continued
Volatile market in Norway
1 Implementing initiatives to turn around negative margin development and secure longterm profitability for News Media
2 Focused product and business development to generate new revenues
Nordic Marketplaces 207m Monthly visits News Media 505m Monthly visits Next 114m Monthly visits …traffic and user data
Product development and integrations driven
Low level of net interest-bearing debt, targeting NIBD/EBITDA* 1-3x
Ongoing ambition for M&A and growth investments
Share buyback program announced in July 2019 to be completed
Dividend proposal of NOK 2.00 per share
Revenues (NOKm), EBITDA margin (%)
EBITDA margin
(EBITDA margin ex IFRS 16)
Revenue growth driven by verticals in Q4 2019 Revenues (NOKm)
11 * Foreign exchange neutral basis, adjusted for termination of license revenue from Adevinta and "Mäklarprodukt" transferred to News Media IFRS 16 effect Q4 2019: NOK 13m
Revenues (NOKm), EBITDA margin (%)
EBITDA margin (EBITDA margin ex IFRS 16) Highlights Q4 2019
Revenues (NOKm), EBITDA margin (%)
Highlights Q4 2019
Revenues (NOKm), EBITDA margin (%)
Digital subscription revenues** (NOKm)
15 * Foreign exchange neutral basis; ** Excluding combined (paper edition with digital access) subscriptions IFRS 16 effect Q4 2019: NOK 47m
Digital subscription revenues* (NOKm)
Revenues (NOKm), EBITDA margin (%)
Digital subscription revenues (NOKm)**
Implementing new initiatives
* Foreign exchange neutral basis; ** Excluding combined (paper edition with digital access) subscriptions
17 Underlying subscription revenue growth of 26% as a one-off due to change in revenue recognition affected growth negatively in Q4;
ARPU growth positively impacted by removing VAT for digital subscriptions in 2019, 4% YoY increase like-for-like; IFRS 16 effect Q4 2019: NOK 4m
Subscription Newspapers Revenues (NOKm), EBITDA margin (%)
Digital subscription revenues** (NOKm) Highlights Q4 2019
18 * Foreign exchange neutral basis; ** Excluding combined (paper edition with digital access) subscriptions IFRS 16 effect Q4 2019: NOK 8m
Revenues (NOKm), EBITDA margin (%)
EBITDA margin (EBITDA margin ex expansion)
20 * Foreign exchange neutral basis Highlights Q4 2019
Indexed number of applications*
Revenues (NOKm), EBITDA margin (%)
(EBITDA margin ex IFRS 16)
22 * Foreign exchange neutral basis IFRS 16 effect Q4 2019: NOK 8m
Revenue growth Q4 2019 vs. last year (%)
24 * Foreign exchange neutral basis, Marketplaces Norway adjusted for termination of license revenue from Adevinta and "Mäklarprodukt" transferred to News Media Segment summary excluding Other/HQ segment
| Income statement | Fourth quarter | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) | 2018 | 2019 | |
| Operating revenues | 3,275 | 3,316 | NOK 83 million in positive IFRS 16 effect on operating |
| Operating expenses | (2,799) | (2,857) | expenses and EBITDA |
| Operating profit (loss) EBITDA | 476 | 460 | |
| NOK -69 million in IFRS 16 effect on depreciation | |||
| Depreciation and amortisation | (128) | (201) | |
| Share of profit (loss) of associates and JV | 6 | (13) | Mainly related to write-down of goodwill in Möteplatsen |
| Impairment loss | (149) | (26) | |
| Other income and expenses | 24 | (51) | Mainly related to headcount reductions in News Media |
| Operating profit (loss) EBIT | 228 | 168 | and restructuring cost following the Adevinta Spin-off |
| Net financial items | (10) | (29) | |
| Profit (loss) before tax | 218 | 139 | NOK -16 million in IFRS 16 effect on net financial items |
| Taxes | (66) | (53) | |
| Net profit/loss | 152 | 86 |
| Underlying Schibsted excl Adevinta tax rate - |
Year |
|---|---|
| (NOK million) |
2019 |
| profit (loss) before Reported taxes |
829 |
| Share of profit (loss) of joint and associates ventures |
58 |
| Basis for changes in unrecognised deferred tax assets |
266 |
| Impairment losses |
19 |
| Adjusted base tax |
1 173 , |
| Taxes | 275 |
| Underlying tax rate |
5% 23 |
| Online classifieds | Digital subscriptions | Schibsted Growth |
|---|---|---|
| verticals +12% | revenues in | revenues +16%*, |
| Blocket +8% | News Media +21% | margin expansion |
| Digital advertising in News Media -11%, driven by Sweden |
Improvement program to improve margins and secure long-term healthy profits in News Media |
Capital discipline – dividend proposal NOK 2.00 per share, complete share buybacks up to 2% |
Spreadsheet containing detailed Q4 2019 and historical and analytical information can be downloaded at www.schibsted.com/ir
| Media News |
Fourth | quarter | Year | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) |
2019 | 2018 | Change | 2019 | 2018 | Change | |
| Operating revenues |
1,944 | 2,045 | -5% | 7,465 | 7,733 | -3% | |
| EBITDA | 185 | 214 | -14% | 760 | 682 | 11% | |
| EBITDA margin |
10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | |||
| EBITDA excl. IFRS 16 |
138 | 214 | -35% | 575 | 682 | -16% |
| VG | Fourth | quarter | Year | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) |
2019 | 2018 | Change | 2019 | 2018 | Change |
| Operating revenues |
477 | 493 | -3% | 1,793 | 1,839 | -3% |
| - of which online revenues |
292 | 287 | 2% | 1,042 | 1,016 | 3% |
| - of which revenues |
185 | 206 | -10% | 751 | 824 | -9% |
| EBITDA | 82 | 75 | 10% | 293 | 331 | -11% |
| EBITDA margin |
17% | 15% | 16% | 18% | ||
| IFRS EBITDA excl. 16 |
78 | 75 | 5% | 277 | 331 | -16% |
| Aftonbladet | Fourth | quarter | Year | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) |
2019 | 2018 | Change | 2019 | 2018 | Change |
| Operating revenues |
383 | 438 | -13% | 1,475 | 1,678 | -12% |
| - of which online revenues |
212 | 254 | -16% | 782 | 892 | -12% |
| - of which revenues |
171 | 184 | -7% | 694 | 786 | -12% |
| EBITDA | 24 | 81 | -71% | 108 | 190 | -43% |
| EBITDA margin |
6% | 18% | 7% | 11% | ||
| IFRS EBITDA excl. 16 |
20 | 81 | -75% | 93 | 190 | -51% |
| Subscription Newspapers |
Fourth | quarter | Year | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) |
2019 | 2018 | Change | 2019 | 2018 | Change | |
| Operating revenues |
913 | 914 | 0% | 3,496 | 3,484 | 0% | |
| - of which online revenues |
285 | 248 | 15% | 1,050 | 918 | 14% | |
| - of which revenues |
628 | 666 | -6% | 2,446 | 2,566 | -5% | |
| EBITDA | 74 | 75 | -1% | 309 | 242 | 28% | |
| EBITDA margin |
8% | 8% | 9% | 7% | |||
| EBITDA excl. IFRS 16 |
66 | 75 | -12% | 277 | 242 | 15% |
| Nordic Marketplaces | Fourth quarter | Year | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) | 2019 | 2018 | Change | 2019 | 2018 | Change |
| Operating revenues | 758 | 714 | 6% | 3,062 2,843 | 8% | |
| EBITDA | 323 | 294 | 10% | 1,421 1,267 | 12% | |
| EBITDA margin | 43% | 41% | 46% | 45% | ||
| EBITDA excl. IFRS 16 | 310 | 294 | 5% | 1,370 1,267 | 8% |
| Marketplaces Norway | Fourth quarter | Year | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) | 2019 | 2018 | Change | 2019 | 2018 | Change |
| Operating revenues | 486 | 459 | 6% | 2,012 1,826 | 10% | |
| EBITDA | 222 | 186 | 19% | 981 | 813 | 21% |
| EBITDA margin | 46% | 41% | 49% | 45% | ||
| EBITDA excl. IFRS 16 | 213 | 186 | 14% | 947 | 813 | 16% |
| Marketplaces Sweden | Fourth quarter | Year | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) | 2019 | 2018 | Change | 2019 | 2018 | Change |
| Operating revenues | 248 | 230 | 8% | 951 | 925 | 3% |
| EBITDA | 100 | 110 | -9% | 433 | 469 | -8% |
| EBITDA margin | 40% | 48% | 46% | 51% | ||
| EBITDA excl. IFRS 16 | 97 | 110 | -12% | 421 | 469 | -10% |
| Financial Services | Fourth quarter | Year | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) | 2019 | 2018 | Change | 2019 | 2018 | Change |
| Operating revenues | 260 | 249 | 4% | 1,054 1,011 | 4% | |
| EBITDA | 33 | 63 | -48% | 170 | 327 | -48% |
| EBITDA margin | 13% | 25% | 16% | 32% | ||
| EBITDA excl. IFRS 16 | 30 | 63 | -52% | 160 | 327 | -51% |
| Growth | Fourth | quarter | Year | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) |
2019 | 2018 | Change | 2019 | 2018 | Change |
| Operating revenues |
635 | 542 | 17% | 2,165 | 1,966 | 10% |
| EBITDA | 63 | 34 | 82% | 124 | 99 | 25% |
| EBITDA margin |
10% | 6% | 6% | 5% | ||
| EBITDA excl. IFRS 16 |
54 | 34 | 58% | 91 | 99 | -8% |
| Lendo Group | Fourth quarter | Year | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) | 2019 | 2018 | Change | 2019 | 2018 | Change |
| Operating revenues | 218 | 207 | 5% | 882 | 852 | 4% |
| EBITDA | 30 | 59 | -49% | 155 | 322 | -52% |
| EBITDA margin | 14% | 28% | 18% | 38% | ||
| EBITDA excl. IFRS 16 | 29 | 59 | -51% | 150 | 322 | -53% |
| Fourth | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2018 | Change | 2019 | 2018 | Change |
| 355 | 285 | 24% | 1,247 | 1,064 | 17% |
| 16 | 9 | 76% | 39 | 6 | >100% |
| 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | ||
| 12 | 9 | 32% | 24 | 6 | >100% |
| quarter | Year |
| Lendo established | Fourth quarter | Year | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) | 2019 | 2018 | Change | 2019 | 2018 | Change |
| Operating revenues | 211 | 207 | 2% | 861 | 852 | 1% |
| EBITDA | 50 | 72 | -31% | 254 | 335 | -24% |
| EBITDA margin | 24% | 35% | 30% | 39% | ||
| EBITDA excl. IFRS 16 | 48 | 72 | -33% | 250 | 335 | -25% |
| Prisjakt | Fourth | quarter | Year | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) |
2019 | 2018 | Change | 2019 | 2018 | Change |
| Operating revenues |
116 | 109 | 7% | 325 | 308 | 6% |
| EBITDA | 44 | 35 | 24% | 95 | 97 | -2% |
| EBITDA margin |
38% | 33% | 29% | 31% | ||
| EBITDA excl. IFRS 16 |
43 | 35 | 21% | 90 | 97 | -6% |
| Adevinta | Fourth quarter | Year | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) | 2019 | 2018 | Change | 2019 | 2018 | Change |
| Operating revenues | 1,844 1,494 | 23% | 6,664 5,665 | 18% | ||
| EBITDA | 485 | 421 | 15% | 1,929 1,427 | 35% | |
| EBITDA margin | 26% | 28% | 29% | 25% | ||
| EBITDA excl. IFRS 16 | 446 | 421 | 6% | 1,788 1,427 | 25% |
| Cash flow - Schibsted excl. Adevinta | Fourth quarter |
|---|---|
| (NOK million) | 2019 |
| Profit (loss) before taxes | 139 |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment losses | 227 |
| Net effect pension liabilities | (33) |
| Share of loss (profit) of joint ventures and associates, net of dividends received | 14 |
| Taxes paid | 42 |
| Sales losses (gains) non-current assets and other non-cash losses (gains) | - |
| Change in working capital and provisions | 105 |
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 494 |
| Development and purchase of intangible assets, and property, plant and equipment | (125) |
| Acquisition of subsidiaries, net of cash acquired | (58) |
| Proceeds from sale of intangible assets, and property, plant and equipment | - |
| Proceeds from sale of subsidiaries, net of cash sold | - |
| Net sale of (investment in) other shares | (50) |
| Net change in other investments | (16) |
| Net cash flow from investing activities | (250) |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | (631) |
| Effects of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents | 1 |
| Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | (385) |
| Income statement | Fourth quarter | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) | 2018 | 2019 | |
| Operating revenues | 4,742 | 5,101 | |
| Operating expenses | (3,845) | (4,156) | |
| Gross operating profit (loss) - EBITDA | 897 | 944 | |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (203) | (333) | |
| Share of profit (loss) of joint ventures and associates | 35 | 31 | |
| Impairment loss | (617) | (272) | |
| Other income and expenses | (37) | (91) | |
| Operating profit (loss) | 75 | 279 | |
| Net financial items | (28) | (52) | |
| Profit (loss) before taxes | 47 | 227 | |
| Taxes | (246) | (106) | |
| Profit (loss) | (199) | 121 | |
| Non-controlling interests | 18 | 36 | |
| Owners of the parent | (216) | 85 | |
| Earnings per share (NOK) | |||
| EPS - basic (NOK) | (0.91) | 0.36 | |
| EPS - basic adjusted (NOK) | 1.84 | 1.36 |
| NOK 122 million in positive IFRS 16 effect on operating expenses and EBITDA |
|---|
| NOK -105 million in negative IFRS 16 effect on depreciation |
| Mainly related to write-down of Goodwill in marketplace operations in Mexico and Möteplatsen |
| Mainly related to the spin-off and listing process of Adevinta, and restructurings costs following the spin-off, as well as headcount reductions in News Media and Adevinta |
| NOK -21 million in negative FRS 16 effect on net financial items |
| Affected by reduced ownership in Adevinta |
Capex (NOKm)
266 276
+4%
Q4 2018 Q4 2019
Capex
| Cash flow - Consolidated |
Fourth | quarter |
|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) |
2018 | 2019 |
| Profit (loss) before taxes |
47 | 227 |
| Depreciation , amortisation and impairment losses |
820 | 605 |
| Net effect pension liabilities |
(37) | (29) |
| Share of loss (profit) of joint and associates of dividends received ventures , net |
(35) | (32) |
| Taxes paid |
(342) | (199) |
| Sales (gains) (gains) losses and other non-cash losses non-current assets |
(4) | 1 |
| Change in working capital and provisions |
(120) | 186 |
| Net cash flow from operating activities |
330 | 759 |
| Net cash flow from investing activities |
(357) | (1 100) , |
| Net cash flow from financing activities |
(132) | (196) |
| Effects of exchange changes cash and cash equivalents rate on |
28 | 0 |
| (decrease) Net increase in cash and cash equivalents |
(130) | (537) |
| Cash and cash equivalents of period at start |
1 974 , |
4 403 , |
| Cash and cash equivalents end of period at |
1 844 , |
3 866 , |
| Underlying tax rate - Consolidated | Year |
|---|---|
| (NOK million) | 2019 |
| Reported profit (loss) before taxes | 1,948 |
| Share of profit (loss) of joint ventures and associates | (1) |
| Basis for changes in unrecognised deferred tax assets | 457 |
| Gain on sale of subsidiaries, joint ventures and associates | (6) |
| Impairment losses | 247 |
| Adjusted tax base | 2,645 |
| Taxes | 752 |
| Underlying tax rate | 28.4% |
Net cash flow from operating activities (NOKm)
Capex
Capex (NOKm), Capex/Revenues (%)
| A-share | B-share | |
|---|---|---|
| Ticker Oslo Stock Exchange: Reuters: Bloomberg: |
SCHA SBSTA.OL SCHA:NO |
SCHB SBSTB.OL SCHB:NO |
| Number of shares | 108,003,615 | 130,684,373 |
| Treasury shares (10 February 2019) | 3,213,267 | 1,302,176 |
| Number of shares outstanding | 104,790,348 | 129,382,197 |
| Free float* | 71% | 76% |
| Share price (10 February 2020) |
NOK 288.40 | NOK 274.80 |
| Average daily trading volume (shares)** | 274,000 | 179,000 |
| Total market cap (10 February 2019) | NOK 65.8 billion (USD 7.1 billion) |
43 * Total number of shares excluding treasury shares and shares owned by Blommenholm Industrier AS ** January-December 2019
| Rank | Name | A-shares | B-shares | Total | % | Shareholders | A-shares | B-shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blommenholm Industrier AS |
28 541 262 , , |
30 621 205 , , |
59 162 467 , , |
25 3% |
of foreign shareholders % |
52 3% |
56 3% |
| 2 | Folketrygdfondet | 8 476 190 , , |
10 473 569 , , |
18 949 759 , , |
8 1% |
Number of shareholders |
3 801 , |
4 199 , |
| 3 | Baillie Gifford & Co |
7 944 436 , , |
4 620 887 , , |
12 565 323 , , |
5 4% |
Number of shares |
108 003 615 , , |
130 684 373 , , |
| 4 | Fidelity Management & Research Company |
8 202 299 , , |
4 062 242 , , |
12 264 541 , , |
5 2% |
Shares owned by Schibsted |
3 213 267 , , |
1 302 176 , , |
| 5 | Nya Wermlands Tidningen |
4 291 281 , , |
4 063 000 , , |
8 354 281 , , |
3 6% |
|||
| 6 | The Vanguard Group Inc , |
3 229 541 , , |
2 811 894 , , |
6 041 435 , , |
2 6% |
|||
| 7 | JPMorgan Chase Bank GTS CL A/C Escrow Account |
2 259 602 , , |
3 455 610 , , |
5 715 212 , , |
2 4% |
Largest of country |
ownership A+B |
(VPS) |
| 8 | Luxor Capital Group L P , |
0 | 5 621 805 , , |
5 621 805 , , |
2 4% |
Norway | 45 5% |
|
| 9 | Alecta pensionsförsäkring ömsesidigt , |
0 | 5 193 000 , , |
5 193 000 , , |
2 2% |
United States |
21 3% |
|
| 10 | Adelphi Capital LLP |
2 205 460 , , |
2 809 202 , , |
5 014 662 , , |
2 1% |
United Kingdom |
13 7% |
|
| 11 | Goldman Sachs International |
2 740 347 , , |
2 125 372 , , |
4 865 719 , , |
2 1% |
Luxembourg | 4 6% |
|
| 12 | Marathon Asset Management LLP |
1 874 724 , , |
1 492 033 , , |
3 366 757 , , |
1 4% |
Ireland | 3 5% |
|
| 13 | KLP Forsikring |
820 850 , |
2 387 211 , , |
3 208 061 , , |
1 4% |
Sweden | 3 2% |
|
| 14 | Storebrand Kapitalforvaltning AS |
1 465 954 , , |
1 677 905 , , |
3 143 859 , , |
1 3% |
|||
| 15 | Company BlackRock Institutional Trust N A , |
77 193 , |
2 911 377 , , |
2 988 570 , , |
1 3% |
|||
| 16 | Fidelity Institutional Asset Management |
2 207 396 , , |
713 926 , |
2 921 322 , , |
1 2% |
|||
| 17 | AS DNB Asset Management |
1 218 065 , , |
1 662 315 , , |
2 880 380 , , |
1 2% |
|||
| 18 | Corporation Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking |
1 524 808 , , |
1 334 667 , , |
2 859 475 , , |
1 2% |
|||
| 19 | (U ) FMR Investment Management K Limited |
2 339 000 , , |
146 708 , |
2 485 708 , , |
1 1% |
|||
| 20 | Capital Pelham Ltd |
0 | 2 164 926 , , |
2 164 926 , , |
0 9% |
| Shareholders | A-shares | B-shares |
|---|---|---|
| % of foreign shareholders | 52.3% | 56.3% |
| Number of shareholders | 3,801 | 4,199 |
| Number of shares | 108,003,615 130,684,373 | |
| Shares owned by Schibsted | 3,213,267 | 1,302,176 |
| of ownership Largest A+B country |
(VPS) |
|---|---|
The shareholder ID data are provided by Nasdaq OMX. The data are obtained through the analysis of beneficial ownership and fund manager information provided in replies to disclosure of ownership notices issued to all custodians on the Schibsted share register. Whilst every reasonable effort is made to verify all data, neither Nasdaq OMX or Schibsted can guarantee the accuracy of the analysis.
Visit Schibsted's web site schibsted.com
Investor Relations contact: Jann-Boje Meinecke VP, Head of IR [email protected] +47 941 00 835
Akersgata 55 / P.O. Box 490 Sentrum NO-0105 Oslo [email protected] +47 23 10 66 00
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