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AF Gruppen

Investor Presentation May 15, 2020

3522_rns_2020-05-15_02a5c703-dac0-4c7c-84ff-a287a4cddc4f.pdf

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May 15th 2020

Q1 2020 AF Gruppen ASA

Highlights

27 per cent growth and record-high order backlog

  • Revenue: NOK 6,607 million (5,214) in Q1
  • Earnings before tax: NOK 206 million (226) in Q1
  • Profit margin: 3.1 % (4.3 %) in Q1
  • Cash flow from operations: NOK 499 million (257) in Q1
  • Record high order backlog: NOK 32,492 million (23,679) as of 31 March 2020
  • Net interest-bearing receivables of NOK 52 million (-189) as of 31 March 2020
  • The Board of Directors has proposed a dividend for payment of NOK 6.00 (5.00) for the first half of 2020

1 st quarter 2020

Safety

1,6 0,0 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1,0 1,2 1,4 1,6 1,8 2016 2017 2018 2019 YTD '20 Lost-time injury frequency (LTIF)

Number of lost-time injuries and severe personnel injuries not resulting in lost-time per million hours worked

Total recordable injury frequency (TRIF)

12

Number of lost-time injuries, injuries involving substitute work and medical treatment injuries per million hours worked

Reported unwanted incident frequency (RUIF)

Revenues and earnings – quarterly

NOK million 226 206 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20

Revenues Earnings before tax Profit margin

1 st quarter 2020

Return on capital employed

Rolling average last four quarters

Cash flow statement

NOK million Q1 2020 Q1 2019 2019
EBIT 213 232 1,335
Depreciations, amortization and impairment 132 110 547
Change in net working capital 211 -36 12
Other adjustments / taxes paid -57 -48 -386
Cash flow from operations 499 257 1,508
Net investments -97 -388 -838
Cash flow from capital activities -152 -87 -536
Interest paid and change in interest bearing debt -69 -34 -221
Net change in cash and cash equivalents 182 -252 -88
Net cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period 563 656 656
Change in cash and cash equivalents without cash
effect
20 2 -5
Net cash and cash equivalents end of period 764 405 563

1 st quarter 2020

Net interest-bearing receivables

All the company's covenants exclude the effect of IFRS 16

The implementation of IFRS 16 from January 1st 2019 led to an increase of interest-bearing debt. As of 31 March 2020, the effect was NOK 948 million

Balance sheet

NOK million 31.03.2020 31.03.2019 31.12.2018
Non-current assets 7,877 5,741 7,718
Current assets, ex. cash 4,397 4,228 4,573
Cash and cash equivalents 764 405 563
Total assets 13,037 10,374 12,854
Equity 3,045 2,312 2,999
Long term debt 1,545 1,404 1,423
Short term debt 8,447 6,658 8,432
Total equity and debt 13,037 10,374 12,854

Equity ratio

Equity ratio excluding the effect of IFRS 16 would be 25,3 % at 31 March 2020 All the company's covenants exclude the effect of IFRS 16 *

1 st quarter 2020

Health and environment

Sick leave Source separation rate

A total of 103,336 (48,975) tonnes of waste have been sorted in Q1 2020

Strong margins

NOK million Q1 2020 Q1 2019 2019
Revenues 908 1,657 5,787
EBIT 64 71 373
EBT 68 74 376
EBIT % 7.1 % 4.3 % 6.5 %
EBT
%
7.5 % 4.4 % 6.5 %
  • Outbreak of COVID-19 had limited impact on production for the quarter
  • AF Anlegg with lower level of activity compared to the same quarter last year. However, several projects in the final phase contributed to strong margins for the quarter
  • Målselv Maskin & Transport has a high level of activity and continues to deliver strong results
  • Order backlog: NOK 8,631 million (6,628)

Stable revenues and good profitability

NOK million Q1 2020 Q1 2019 2019
Revenues 2,507 2,508 10,581
EBIT 115 128 656
EBT 116 132 667
EBIT % 4.6 % 5.1 % 6.2 %
EBT
%
4.6 % 5.3 % 6.3 %

▪ AF Bygg Oslo and Haga & Berg delivered very good results

  • LAB and Åsane Byggmesterforretning in Bergen reported good results for the quarter
  • AF Byggfornyelse, Consolvo and Eiqon delivered results below expectation for the 1st quarter. This is explained by varying profitability in the project portfolios
  • Several new contracts were signed in the quarter. Some units experience that projects are postponed due to the outbreak of COVID-19
  • Order backlog: NOK 10,228 million (11,300)

Results somewhat below our expectation

NOK million Q1 2020 Q1 2019 2019*
Revenues 1,823 - 1,226
EBIT 44 - 49
EBT 46 - 46
EBIT % 2.4 % - 4.0 %
EBT
%
2.5 % - 3.8 %

*Numbers for 2019 is for the period after 31.10.2019, when Betonmast was included as part of AF Gruppen

  • Large variation in the results from the different units
  • Betonmast Romerike excelled with strong results, while Betonmast Bergen, Betonmast Boligbygg and Betonmast Ringerike reported weak results
  • Effort is being made to determine how Betonmast and AF Gruppen best can exploit each other's expertise, improve safety work and increase the creation of value
  • Several new contracts were signed in the 1st quarter
  • Order backlog: NOK 8,057 million

Low results in the quarter

NOK million Q1 2020 Q1 2019 2019
Revenues 6 3 18
EBIT 4 37 107
EBT 3 35 100
Capital employed 906 948 785
  • 80 (162) residential units sold in 1st quarter, of which AF's share is 28 (55). Sale of residential units has slowed down in March due to the outbreak of COVID-19
  • There are five residential property projects with a total of 612 apartments under construction (AF's share is 206). The sales ratio for residential units under construction is 86 per cent at the end of the 1st quarter.
  • There were a total of 19 (1) unsold completed apartments at the end of the 1st quarter
  • The Atea Building at Hasle was completed during the quarter and is in use. At the end of the quarter, 95 per cent of the building was rented out

Revenue increase, but reduced profitability

NOK million Q1 2020 Q1 2019 2019
Revenues 224 217 1,072
EBIT 2 9 78
EBT 6 7 75
EBIT % 0.8 % 4.0 % 7.3 %
EBT
%
2.8 % 3.2 % 7.0 %
  • AF Energi & Miljøteknikk reported results below expectation for the quarter. This is primarily attributed to provisions for losses related to a pending dispute
  • AF Decom saw a solid start for the year. The unit delivered good results for the quarter, for both demolition and recycling at AF's environmental centres
  • Order backlog: NOK 533 million (650)

Revenue growth and stable margins

NOK million Q1 2020 Q1 2019 2019
Revenues 1,035 838 3,683
EBIT 42 33 149
EBT 41 32 146
EBIT % 4.0 % 3.9 % 4.0 %
EBT
%
3.9 % 3.8 % 4.0 %

▪ Revenue growth of 23 per cent compared with the same quarter last year, which is primarily related to revenue growth in Kanonaden and HMB

  • Results for the building units, AF Bygg Göteborg, AF Bygg Syd and HMB were somewhat below expectation for the quarter. Our demolition actor, AF Härnösand Byggreturer reported good results
  • In the civil engineering market, Kanonaden delivers strong revenue growth and good results. Discontinuation of the foundation business in Pålplintar is still ongoing
  • AF Projektuveckling has a number of projects in the development phase
  • Order backlog: NOK 3,056 million (3,056)

Low activity level and weak results

NOK million Q1 2020 Q1 2019 2019
Revenues 128 123 679
EBIT -52 -8 -83
EBT -55 -12 -94
EBIT % -40.9 % -6.8 % -12.2 %
EBT
%
-43.3 % -9.7 % -13.9 %
  • The outbreak of COVID-19 and the drop in oil prices have contributed to very challenging marked conditions for our offshore business
  • AF Offshore Decom reported a low level of activity, and the unit delivered weak results for the quarter. The production standstill at Vats, weak project results and a negative foreign exchange derivative effect of NOK -15 million weighed heavily on the profitability for the quarter
  • AF AeronMollier reported a higher level of activity than for the same quarter last year, and delivered positive results
  • Order backlog: NOK 1,385 million (1,486)

A record high order backlog

Order backlog

Order backlog per business area

31 March 2019 31 March 2020

Quarterly presentation Q1 2020

COVID-19

COVID-19 | Timeline

COVID-19 | Infection control measures

  • AF Gruppen has implemented infection control measures in accordance with the authorities' recommendations
  • The Group's goal has been to ensure safe and responsible operations and exercise clear management, care and presence for our employees
  • The projects have demonstrated great flexibility to ensure high production and safe operation
  • It must not be up to the individual employee to find good solutions for their own work situation

COVID-19-related absence in AF Gruppen Projects with interruptions to operations in AF Gruppen

COVID-19 | Impact in the quarter

  • The COVID-19 outbreak has had little impact on the result in the quarter
  • Infection control measures have been effective, and most projects have had more or less normal operations
  • A high degree of flexibility to find good solutions in projects, we have the culture, determination and ability to find new and better ways to resolve tasks
  • Sickness absence has increased somewhat related to the quarantine requirements and an increased proportion of employees staying home in line with the authorities' orders
  • Certain challenges with cross-border mobility
  • Experiencing postponement of start up for certain projects
  • Challenges in the offshore market due to significant drop in the price of oil, challenging market conditions and restrictions on offshore work

COVID-19 | Civil Engineering

Source: Prognosesenteret

Updated forecasts show further growth in construction investments in the time ahead

  • Prognosesenteret expects further growth in construction investments in the updated forecast in the period up to 2022 (compared to autumn 2019 forecast)
  • Almost half of the investments in the forecast period are expected to be in road construction
  • AF Gruppen with healthy order backlog

COVID-19 | Building and Property

Uncertainty related to start of sales and startup of new residential projects

  • In the updated forecast, Prognosesenteret has reduced expectations to permissions to commence and is expecting a significant drop, in particular for new apartments
  • Risk of postponement of sales starts and subsequent building starts for new residential projects
  • Throughout the forecast period, Prognosesenteret expects that started space for public buildings will be higher than average for the past decade
  • Increased public investments are expected, but municipalities and publicly owned companies are also dependent on funding
  • The importance of choosing the right projects

COVID-19 | Offshore

COVID-19 and the drop in oil prices has resulted in a very challenging offshore market

"Expecting dramatic cuts from oil companies. The oil companies will cut projects to the tune of NOK 1,500 billion this year, Rystad Energy believes" finansavisen.no, 24 March 2020

"Equinor to slash NOK 30 billion in the face of the economic downturn. The coronavirus pandemic and a price war for oil has struck Equinor a double blow. Now deep budget cuts await"

nrk.no, 25. March 2020

COVID-19 | Going forward

  • We are loyally complying with the authorities' recommendations and measures
  • Facilitating a safe workday for our employees, taking our share of social responsibility
  • Maintaining infection control measures and preparedness
  • There is uncertainty related to the further consequences of the COVID-19 outbreak, which include a weakened Norwegian krone, access to foreign labour, the level of investment and start-up of new projects

Summary

▪ Revenue growth continues

  • Results somewhat lower than in 1st quarter last year
  • Strong financial position
  • Record high order backlog: NOK 32,492 million (23,679)
  • The Board of Directors has proposed a dividend for payment of NOK 6.00 (5.00) for the first half of 2020

Thank you for your attention

Q2 2020: August 21st 2020

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