Investor Presentation • Dec 9, 2020
Investor Presentation
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9 December, 2020
THIS DOCUMENT IS NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY, IN OR INTO OR FROM THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, ITS TERRITORIES OR POSSESSIONS, AUSTRALIA, CANADA, JAPAN, HONG KONG OR SOUTH AFRICA OR TO ANY RESIDENT THEREOF, OR ANY JURISDICTION WHERE SUCH DISTRIBUTION IS UNLAWFUL. THIS DOCUMENT IS NOT AN OFFER OR AN INVITATION TO BUY OR SELL SECURITIES.
This presentation (the "Presentation") has been produced by Axactor SE ("Axactor", the "Company" or the "Issuer") in consultation with ABG Sundal Collier, Arctic Securities, DNB Bank ASA and Nordea (the "Managers") solely for use in connection with a potential bond and equity transaction as described herein, is strictly confidential and may not be reproduced or redistributed in whole or in part to any other person than the intended recipient. This Presentation is for information purposes only and does not in itself constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any financial instruments. By attending a meeting where this Presentation is presented, or by reading this Presentation, you (the "Recipient") agree to be bound by the following terms, conditions and limitations.
Neither the delivery of this Presentation nor any further discussions of the Company or the Managers with the Recipient or any other person shall, under any circumstances, create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of the Company since such date. None of the Company or the Managers undertake any obligation to review or confirm, or to release publicly or otherwise to investors or any other person, any revisions to the information contained in this Presentation to reflect events that occur or circumstances that arise after the date of this Presentation. The Issuer does not intend to update the information after its distribution, even in the event the information becomes materially inaccurate. The Presentation must be read in conjunction with other offering material, including the Term Sheet and Application Form. An investment in the Company is suitable only for investors who understand the risk factors associated with this type of investment and who can afford a loss of all or part of the investment. Please also note that the Company may subsequently publish a prospectus that will include additional information which is not included in this Presentation.
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT A KEY INFORMATION DOCUMENT ("KID") UNDER THE REGULATION 20167653/EU (THE "PRIIPS REGULATION") OR A PROSPECTUS UNDER THE REGULATION 2017/29/EU (THE "PROSPECTUS REGULATION"). THIS PRESENTATION IS BEING SUPPLIED TO PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, REDISTRIBUTED TO NON-PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS OR TO ANY PERSON TO WHICH DISTRIBUTION IS PROHIBITED BY LAW. PERSONS INTO WHOSE POSESSIONS THIS DOCUMENT COMES SHOULD INFROM THEMSELVES ABOUT AND OBSERVE ANY SUCH RESTRICTIONS. BY RECEIVING THIS DOCUMENT POTENTIAL INVESTORS AGREE TO BE BOUND BY THE FOREGOING INSTRUCTIONS. EACH PERSON RECEVING THIS PRESENTATION SHOULD CONSULT HIS/HER PROFESSIONAL ADVISERS TO ASCERTAIN THE SUITABILITY OF AN INVESTMENT. NONE OF THE ISSUER OR THE MANAGERS (AS DEFINED HEREIN) MAKES ANY REPRESENTATION AS TO (I) THE SUITABILITY OF INVESTING IN THE COMPANY FOR ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR (II) THE APPROPRIATE ACCOUNTING TREAMTENT AND POTENTIAL TAX CONSEQUENES OF INVESTING IN THE COMPANY OR (III)THE FUTURE PERFORMANCE OF THE COMPANY; EITHER IN ABSOLUTE TERMS OR RELATIVE TO COMPETING INVESTMENTS.
The information contained in this Presentation is furnished by the Company and has not been independently verified. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained herein. None of the Company or the Managers or any of their respective parent or subsidiary undertakings or any such person's directors, officers, employees, advisors or representatives (collectively the "Representatives") shall have any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this Presentation or otherwise arising in connection with the Share Issue, including but not limited to any liability for errors, inaccuracies, omissions or misleading statements in this Presentation. The Recipient acknowledges that it will be solely responsible for its own assessment of the Share Issue and the market, the market position and credit worthiness of the Company. The Recipient will be required to conduct its own analysis and accepts that it will be solely responsible for forming its own view of the potential future performance of the Company. The content of this Presentation is not to be construed as legal, credit, business, investment or tax advice. The Recipient should consult with its own legal, credit, business, investment and tax advisers as to legal, credit, business, investment and tax advice.
Investing in the Company involves inherent risks and is suitable only for investors who can afford a loss of all or part of the investment. The below summary of certain risks and uncertainties are not the only ones facing the Company. Please also see Appendix [*] for a more detailed description of risk factors. Any references to the Group below shall include the Company and its subsidiaries as applicable. this type of investment and who can afford a loss of all or part of the investment. Please also note that the Company may subsequently publish a prospectus that will include additional information which is not included in this Presentation.
Risk related to IT instability, information security incidents and poor application availability reduce availability to collect which affects the financial results, may cause reputational damage and fines from authorities and loss of clients
B U S I N E S S S E G M E N T S A N D K E Y F I G U R E S
6 A P P E N D I X
1
3
| Element | Key details | Simplification of structure |
Maturity improvement |
Improved investment capacity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New equity issue |
• An equity issue of EUR 30 million executed as a private placement at the launch of the transaction, subject to completion of the bond issue • A subsequent offering of up to EUR 20 million, with tradeable rights to existing shareholders |
✓ | ||
| Bond refinancing |
• Amendment of AXA01 to include a call option to facilitate an early redemption, to be refinanced with the issuance of a new three year EUR 160-200 million bond (AXACTOR02) • All AXA01 bondholders to receive an offer to exchange all or some of their AXA01 bonds for bonds in the AXACTOR02 bond issue, with roll over premium payable in cash at settlement |
✓ | ||
| Refinancing and consolidation of bank facilities |
• New three year facility of EUR 620 million (of which EUR 545 million committed and EUR 75 million in accordion), consolidating the current facilities in Axactor and Axactor Invest • Refinanced at improved terms, with interest ratchet depending on LTV, with new terms improving bank financing cost with approx. 0.7%-points on a pro forma basis for YTD '20 |
✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Roll-up of Axactor Invest and mezzanine refinancing |
• Axactor to acquire Geveran's stake in Axactor Invest for a consideration of 50 million shares • Approval of the roll-up at the EGM will trigger a mandatory offer from Geveran • As the completion of the refinancing will deliver substantial benefits to Axactor, the Board of Directors does not expect to recommend shareholders to accept the offer • Refinancing of the Axactor Invest mezzanine financing at 650 bps, to be pari passu with AXACTOR02 and with maturity 6 months after AXACTOR02 |
✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
Simplifying financing structure while providing the basis for a resilient long term funding profile
restricted group
8 1) Including EUR 75m accordion option; 2) Consisting of new equity from issuance of 50 million consideration shares corresponding to EUR 38 million at an issue price of NOK 8.0 per share. Axactor realises the gain directly in equity, which on a pro forma basis per Q3 will result in an increase of shareholder's equity of EUR 55 million, corresponding to the book value of the minority interest quired by Axactor. 3) Amount drawn depending on the size of bond issue
| EURm | Q3 '20 | Pro forma1) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30m equity | 50m equity | |||
| Bank - Group |
401 | 490-530 | 470-510 | |
| Bank - Axactor Invest |
120 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mezzanine | 140 | 140 | 140 | |
| Bond | 200 | 160-200 | 160-200 | |
| Other | 74 | 74 | 74 | |
| Gross nominal debt2) | 935 | 905 | 885 | |
| Cash | 36 | 36 | 36 | |
| Net nominal debt2) | 899 | 869 | 849 | |
| Shareholders equity | 290 | 374 | 394 | |
| Minorities | 75 | 20 | 20 | |
| Total equity | 365 | 395 | 415 | |
| LTV | 75.0% | 72.5% | 70.8% | |
| Equity ratio | 27.2% | 28.8% | 29.8% | |
| ND / LTM cash EBITDA3) | 3.9 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
10 1) Excluding transaction and financing costs 2) Based on nominal debt amounts, excluding amortised loan fees 3) Covenants calculated based on pro forma adjusted cash EBITDA as defined in the Bond Terms 4) Excluding debt with local Italian banks and Nomura
| Issuer: | Axactor SE |
|---|---|
| Status of the bonds: | Senior unsecured |
| Initial amount: |
EUR [160-200] million |
| Borrowing limit: | EUR [300] million |
| Use of proceeds: | The net proceeds shall be used to a) Refinance the Issuer's outstanding unsecured bond AXA01; and b) general corporate purposes |
| Issue price: |
100% of par value |
| Coupon rate: | 3m EURIBOR + [700] bps p.a., quarterly interest payments |
| EURIBOR floor: | 0.0% |
| Tenor: | 3 years |
| Settlement date: | Expected to be [●] January 2021 |
| Maturity date: | Expected to be [●] January 2024 |
| Amortisation: | Bullet |
| Call options (American) (all): |
Optional Early Redemption Amount until 30 months after settlement date (First Call Date), thereafter callable at a price equal to 101.00 per cent. of the nominal amount of the redeemed bonds |
| Financial covenants: | >4.0x (Pro-Forma Adjusted Cash EBITDA1 Interest coverage ratio: to net interest expenses) <4.0x (NIBD to Pro-Forma Adjusted Cash EBITDA1 Leverage ratio: ) Total loan to value: <75% (NIBD to total book value of all debt portfolios and REOs) Total secured loan to value: <65% (secured loans less cash to total book value all debt portfolios and REOs) |
| Special covenants: | Dividend restriction (50% of net profit), financial indebtedness restrictions, negative pledge, subsidiaries' distribution, financial support restriction |
| General covenants: | Reporting, mergers/de-mergers, continuation of business, corporate status, disposal of business, arm's length transactions, compliance with laws and authorisations |
| Change of control: | Investor put at 101% (other than a change of control in respect of Geveran Trading Co.) |
| Listing: | Listing on Oslo Børs within 6 months |
| Governing law: |
Norwegian law |
| Trustee: | Nordic Trustee |
| Joint lead managers: | ABG Sundal Collier, Arctic, DNB and Nordea |
11 1) Pro-Forma Adjusted Cash EBITDA: Cash EBITDA for the group, adjusted by including 80% of the Cash EBITDA for all portfolios without full 12 months trading (without double counting)
| 1 | A leading European debt collector built on a highly efficient operating platform |
Since inception in 2015, Axactor has grown to become one of the largest debt collectors in Europe with an ERC of EUR 2.16bn1 • • Cost efficient and modern IT platform with no legacy, creating considerable scale benefits and increased profits. LTM local SG&A, IT and corporate expenses have been reduced from 30% of total income in Q1 2018 to 14% in Q4 2019 before the Covid-19 pandemic |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Diversified portfolio of claims with strong visibility on cash flows |
• Diversified revenue mix with 62% of total income from collection on own portfolios, 19% from 3rd party collection ("3PC") and 19% from REOs, with focus on delivering combined 3PC and NPL deals to extract synergies between the segments2 • Focus on mature markets in the Nordics, Germany, Italy and Spain with regulatory stability and well-established banking systems, providing attractive risk/reward – with a focus on banking claims where debtors have higher willingness and ability to pay and collection time is shorter • Strong cash flow generation and 15 years of collection curves on NPL portfolios provides cash flow visibility |
| 3 | Uniquely positioned in an NPL market with a attractive outlook |
• Portfolio prices have come down since peak, creating highly attractive opportunities – estimated net IRR on new purchases has increased from approximately 10% in 2016 to 12-14%, depending on geography and quality of the debt purchased • Axactor has navigated the Covid-19 well and is in a strong position to monetize on a recovering market with its unique operating platform and cost all-time high EBTIDA margin of 41%3 leadership – in Q3'20 demonstrating its ability to adapt to changing market dynamics |
| 4 | Experienced management team with unparalleled industry track record |
• Executive management team with substantial experience from the international finance and debt collection industry, supported by seven country managers with local expertise in Axactor's focus markets • The management team has successfully built Axactor into a top 10 European player through platform acquisitions and scale-up, driven by add-on acquisitions, strong partnerships and access to attractive financing • Long-lasting relationships with financial institutions across Europe |
| 5 | Listed company backed by strong owners and a solid capital structure |
with a market cap of NOK ~1.7bn5 and a large and broad shareholder base including a supportive long-term main shareholder • Listed on Oslo Børs Geveran (John Fredriksen) with a proven track record of value creation in the debt collection industry • Healthy balance sheet with Q3'20 equity ratio of 27.2% and NIBD/LTM cash EBITDA of 3.9x4 before contemplated refinancing and equity issue |
- Entering new phase with focus on profitability and operational excellence
| Drivers | Q3 2020 | Covid-19 impact (from Q3) |
Refinancing impact |
Outlook and impact from refinancing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • NPL portfolio prices |
• Portfolios acquired at attractive IRRs in the Nordic market |
Positive | Positive | • New equity and structural simplification giving capacity for high return purchases |
| • Business mix |
• Significant increase in combined 3PC and NPL deals |
Positive over time (3PC will increase) |
Positive | • Leveraging on 3PC and NPL synergies • Increased capacity allows for additional combined agreements |
| • Economies of scale |
• Record-high EBITDA, including net reversal of REO impairment accrual |
Neutral | Positive | • Continued cost discipline combined with higher growth capacity and utilization of platform |
| • Tax rate |
• Effective tax rate of 47% in Q3 |
Slightly negative | Positive | • Long term steady state target of ~25% • Lower funding cost contributing to lower effective tax rate |
| • Funding cost |
Current level of ~5%1) • |
Negative (1-year delay) |
Positive | • Refinancing and continued improvement of capital structure |
| EURm | 2019 | YTD '20 | Q3 '20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 20.1 | 10.4 | 5.1 |
| EBITDA | 14.0 | 6.5 | 4.0 |
| Pre tax profit | 9.4 | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Net income | 7.3 | 0.4 | 1.7 |
| NPL book value | 177.0 | 191.9 | 191.9 |
| Cash and other assets | 11.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Total assets | 188.4 | 193.9 | 193.9 |
| Equity | 54.0 | 54.5 | 54.5 |
| Debt and other liabilities | 134.4 | 139.4 | 139.4 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 188.4 | 193.9 | 193.9 |
| EURm | 2019 | YTD '20 | Q3 '20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 21.0 | -34.4 | 6.5 |
| Minorities | -4.6 | 16.5 | -2.9 |
| Net income to shareholders | 16.3 | -17.9 | 3.6 |
| Add-back: Axactor Invest minorities | 7.3 | 0.4 | 1.7 |
| Add-back: pro forma financing1 | n.m. | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Pro forma net income | 23.7 | -15.8 | 5.9 |
| EPS2 - reported |
0.088 | -0.097 | 0.019 |
| EPS2 - pro forma (ex financing effect) |
0.100 | -0.074 | 0.022 |
| Change % | +14% | n.m. | +16% |
| EPS2 - pro forma total |
n.m. | -0.067 | 0.025 |
| Change % | n.m. | +29% | |
| ROE reported | 6.0% | -8.1% | 4.9% |
| ROE pro forma | 7.5% | -5.9% | 6.8% |
| ROE Axactor invest only | 17.6% | 1.1% | 12.5% |
17 1) Calculated based on new financing terms from the bank on historical balances and accounting for equity issue on LTV bracket, net of assumed tax rate of 35%. Excluding any effect on bond and mezzanine financing.
2) Calculated based on current outstanding number of shares
3 B U S I N E S S S E G M E N T S A N D K E Y F I G U R E S
1
19 1) Numbers per Q3, MCap from November 11th, 2020; Equity = Shareholders equity 2) Share of sales LTM Q3 adj. for revaluations on NPLs (to get normalized level) 3) Share of LTM Q3'20 Total income by country excl. REO; 4) ERC = Estimated remaining collection
NPL portfolios are purchased in portfolio-byportfolio tender processes and trough forward flow agreements, where Axactor agrees to purchase future NPLs from a financial institution at given terms
3PC performs debt collection services on behalf of clients, which are typically paying a fixed price or a commission to Axactor on the collected amount
3PC generates capital-light, stable and cash-rich earnings and creates strong customer relationships that are key to accessing attractive NPL portfolios at bilateral basis
During 2017-18, Axactor acquired several Spanish REOs portfolios, comprising of assets taken in by banks as mortgage collateral after loan defaults
Share of sales LTM Q3 adj. for revaluations on NPLs (to get normalized level) %
22 1) Average claim size as of Q3 2020
(quarterly EBITDA margin in % of total income, EUR million) (Quarterly EBITDA margin in % revenue)
i
Entering new growth phase III
2021- 2024
Grow presence Competitive cash return Enter new markets & segments M&A
Total income, LTM Local SG&A, LTM in % of total income Overhead cost in percent of Total income, LTM
B U S I N E S S S E G M E N T S A N D K E Y F I G U R E S
1
3
5 M A R K E T A N D O U T L O O K
1) Adjusted for NPL revaluation
Q4-17 Q1-18 Q2-18 Q3-18 Q4-18 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20
Actual FF investments Estimated FF investments
1) Adjusted for NPL revaluation
1) Adjusted for NPL revaluation
38 1) Total investments including NPL capex; Adjusted for assets pending legal transfer; 2) Total book value – Axactor net book value exposure is EUR 34m as of Q3'20, accounting for minority interest
1
T R A N S A C T I O N O V E RV I E W
(EUR million) - Excluding unallocated overhead cost
• Record-high contribution margin in Q3'20 (Q3'19 numbers stated in parenthesis for reference)
• Portfolio amortization and revaluation of EUR 21.0 million (23.1) Contribution margin of 78% (73%)
3PC:
• 40% contribution margin (34%)
| For the quarter end | Year to date | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR thousand | 30 Sep 2020 | 30 Sep 2019 | 30 Sep 2020 | 30 Sep 2019 |
| EBIT | 27,710 | 17,405 | 6,650 | 61,027 |
| Financial revenue | 337 | 2,892 | 8,877 | 2,262 |
| Financial expenses | -15,751 | -13,961 | -44,570 | -39,166 |
| Net financial items | -15,414 | -11,069 | -35,693 | -36,904 |
| Profit/(loss) before tax | 12,296 | 6,336 | -29,043 | 24,123 |
| Tax (expense) | -5,795 | -2,679 | -5,402 | -9,688 |
| Net profit/(loss) after tax | 6,501 | 3,657 | -34,445 | 14,435 |
| Net profit/(loss) to Non-controlling interests |
2,938 | -801 | -16,500 | 3,333 |
| Net profit/(loss) to equity holders | 3,563 | 4,457 | -17,945 | 11,103 |
| Earnings per share: basic | 0.019 | 0.029 | -0.099 | 0.072 |
| Earnings per share: diluted | 0.018 | 0.025 | -0.093 | 0.064 |
Pro forma Q3
Total book value exposure
Total book value exposure (EUR million)
B U S I N E S S S E G M E N T S A N D K E Y F I G U R E S
1
NPL price levels down – IRRs up
3PC & ARM growth – new products emerging
Industry consolidation
1
T R A N S A C T I O N O V E RV I E W
| For the quarter end | YTD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR thousand | 31 Dec 2019 | 31 Dec 2018 | 31 Dec 2019 | 31 Dec 2018 | |
| Interest income from purchased loan portfolios | 37,239 | 22,289 | 134,531 | 74,536 | |
| Net gain/loss purchased loan portfolios | -412 | 10,751 | -319 | 10,599 | |
| Other operating revenue | 36,865 | 34,994 | 148,926 | 121,774 | |
| Other revenue | 1,137 | 0 | 2,021 | 0 | |
| Total Revenue | 74,830 | 68,034 | 285,159 | 206,909 | |
| Cost of REO's sold | -18,371 | -18,364 | -74,464 | -56,438 | |
| Personnel expenses operations | -10,041 | -8,815 | -38,203 | -32,584 | |
| Personnel expenses other | -5,196 | -5,211 | -19,506 | -19,548 | |
| Operating expenses | -17,397 | -16,073 | -60,847 | -52,033 | |
| Total operating expense | -51,004 | -48,463 | -193,019 | -160,602 | |
| EBITDA | 23,826 | 19,571 | 92,140 | 46,306 | |
| Amortisation and depreciation | -2,828 | -1,686 | -10,115 | -6,009 | |
| EBIT | 20,998 | 17,885 | 82,025 | 40,298 | |
| Financial revenue | 526 | 58 | 2,787 | 453 | |
| Financial expenses | -13,011 | -12,504 | -52,176 | -34,590 | |
| Net financial items | -12,485 | -12,447 | -49,389 | -34,138 | |
| Profit/(loss) before tax | 8,513 | 5,438 | 32,636 | 6,160 | |
| Tax (expense) | -1,979 | -2,624 | -11,667 | -3,770 | |
| Net profit/(loss) after tax | 6,534 | 2,814 | 20,969 | 2,390 | |
| Net profit/(loss) to Non-controlling interests | 1,310 | -1,578 | 4,643 | -2,103 | |
| Net profit/(loss) to equity holders | 5,223 | 4,392 | 16,326 | 4,492 | |
| Earnings per share: basic | 0.034 | 0.028 | 0.106 | 0.029 | |
| Earnings per share: diluted | 0.029 | 0.025 | 0.093 | 0.026 |
| EUR thousand ASSETS |
31 Dec 2019 | 31 Dec 2018 |
|---|---|---|
| Intangible non-current assets | ||
| Intangible Assets | 21 487 | 19 170 |
| Goodwill | 56 170 | 55 577 |
| Deferred tax assets | 9 742 | 7 564 |
| Tangible non-current assets | ||
| Property, plant and equipment | 2 903 | 2 683 |
| Right-of-use assets | 5 846 | 0 |
| Financial non-current assets | ||
| Purchased debt portfolios | 1 041 919 | 728 820 |
| Other non-current receivables | 765 | 293 |
| Other non-current investments | 193 | 778 |
| Total non-current assets | 1 139 025 | 814 885 |
| Current assets | ||
| Stock of Secured Assets | 129 040 | 200 009 |
| Accounts Receivable | 13 135 | 9 459 |
| Other current assets | 14 960 | 12 774 |
| Restricted cash | 3 739 | 3 184 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | 71 657 | 67 593 |
| Total current assets | 232 531 | 293 018 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 1 371 556 | 1 107 903 |
| EUR thousand EQUITY AND LIABILITIES |
31 Dec 2019 | 31 Dec 2018 |
|---|---|---|
| Equity attributable to equity holders of the parent | ||
| Share Capital | 81,338 | 81,115 |
| Other paid-in equity | 201,879 | 200,298 |
| Retained Earnings | 2,153 | -14,172 |
| Reserves | -4,721 | -2,817 |
| Non-controlling interests | 96,977 | 63,746 |
| Total Equity | 377,626 | 328,170 |
| Non-current Liabilities | ||
| Interest bearing debt | 466,378 | 567,829 |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 17,591 | 11,124 |
| Lease liabilities | 3,481 | 0 |
| Other non-current liabilities | 1,415 | 1,180 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 488,864 | 580,132 |
| Current Liabilities | ||
| Accounts Payable | 5,902 | 4,522 |
| Current portion of interest bearing debt | 463,555 | 169,296 |
| Taxes Payable | 6,570 | 1,610 |
| Lease liabilities | 2,549 | 0 |
| Other current liabilities | 26,491 | 24,172 |
| Total current liabilities | 505,066 | 199,600 |
| Total Liabilities | 993,930 | 779,732 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 1,371,556 | 1,107,903 |
*50% of the shares in Axactor Invest 1 S.à r.l. and Reolux Holding S.à r.l. is held by Geveran Trading Co. Limited (Cyprus).
*Geveran Trading Co. Limited also holds shares of Axactor SE 50
INVESTING IN THE COMPANY INVOLVES INHERENT RISKS. PROSPECTIVE INVESTORS SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER, AMONG OTHER THINGS, THE RISK FACTORS SET OUT IN THIS SECTION BEFORE MAKING AN INVESTMENT DECISION IN RESPECT OF THE BONDS OR SHARES (COLLECTIVELY THE "SECURITIES"). THE RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES DESCRIBED BELOW ARE NOT THE ONLY ONES FACING THE COMPANY. ADDITIONAL RISKS NOT PRESENTLY KNOWN TO THE COMPANY OR THAT THE COMPANY CURRENTLY DEEMS IMMATERIAL, MAY ALSO IMPAIR THE COMPANY'S BUSINESS AND ADVERSELY AFFECT THE PRICE OF THE COMPANY'S SECURITIES. IF ANY OF THE FOLLOWING RISKS MATERIALIZE, INDIVIDUALLY OR TOGETHER WITH OTHER CIRCUMSTANCES, THE COMPANY'S BUSINESS, PROSPECTS, FINANCIAL POSITION AND/OR OPERATING RESULTS COULD BE MATERIALLY AND ADVERSELY AFFECTED, WHICH IN TURN COULD LEAD TO A DECLINE IN THE VALUE OF THE SECURITIES AND THE LOSS OF ALL OR PART OF AN INVESTMENT IN THE SECURITIES. AN INVESTMENT IN THE SECURITIES IS SUITABLE ONLY FOR INVESTORS WHO UNDERSTAND THE RISK FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TYPE OF INVESTMENT AND WHO CAN AFFORD A LOSS OF ALL OR PART OF AN INVESTMENT IN THE SHARES. THE INFORMATION HEREIN IS PRESENTED AS OF THE DATE HEREOF AND IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE, COMPLETION OR AMENDMENT WITHOUT NOTICE.
THE RISK FACTORS INCLUDED IN THIS SECTION ARE PRESENTED IN A LIMITED NUMBER OF CATEGORIES, WHERE EACH RISK FACTOR IS SOUGHT PLACED IN THE MOST APPROPRIATE CATEGORY BASED ON THE NATURE OF THE RISK IT REPRESENTS. THE ORDER IN WHICH THE RISKS ARE PRESENTED BELOW IS NOT INTENDED TO PROVIDE AN INDICATION OF THE LIKELIHOOD OF THEIR OCCURRENCE NOR OF THEIR SEVERITY OR SIGNIFICANCE. THE ABSENCE OF NEGATIVE PAST EXPERIENCE ASSOCIATED WITH A GIVEN RISK FACTOR DOES NOT MEAN THAT THE RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES IN THAT RISK FACTOR ARE NOT GENUINE AND POTENTIAL THREATS, AND THEY SHOULD THEREFORE BE CONSIDERED PRIOR TO MAKING AN INVESTMENT DECISION. IF ANY OF THE FOLLOWING RISKS WERE TO MATERIALISE, EITHER INDIVIDUALLY, CUMULATIVELY OR TOGETHER WITH OTHER CIRCUMSTANCES, IT COULD HAVE A MATERIAL ADVERSE EFFECT ON THE GROUP AND/OR ITS BUSINESS, RESULTS OF OPERATIONS, CASH FLOWS, FINANCIAL CONDITION AND/OR PROSPECTS, WHICH MAY CAUSE A DECLINE IN THE VALUE AND TRADING PRICE OF THE SECURITIES, RESULTING IN LOSS OF ALL OR PART OF AN INVESTMENT IN THE SECURITIES.
The Group faces strong competition, including from pan-European competitors and competitors that are active in the local markets. This competition includes, but is not limited to, competition on the basis of bid prices. Competitors may offer more attractive pricing levels for debt collection contracts, for debt portfolios, for collection platforms, which include all of the collection functions of financial institutions ("Collection Platforms"), or for purchases of other debt collection service providers. There is a risk that this price competition will materially affect the Group's business, results of operations or financial condition, and its ability to implement its business plan. The Group's success in obtaining debt collection contracts and in purchasing debt portfolios or Collection Platforms depends on the price offered along with several other factors, such as service, reputation and relationships. There is a risk that the Group's competitors will have competitive strengths that the Group cannot match. Further, there is a risk that the Group's competitors will elect to offer prices that the Group determines are not economically sustainable. Additionally, many of the Group's competitors have substantially greater financial resources than the Group. There is a risk that the Group will not be able to develop and expand its business in competition with competitors that have substantially greater financial resources than the Group.
In addition to pricing and other features of the Group's services, reputation is critical to clients' or potential clients' willingness of engaging with the Group. As the Group is a newer market entrant in the debt collection business, its brand will be less known to clients and potential clients and there is a risk that events that could harm the Group's reputation will have a greater effect on the Group than it would have had on some of its peers. than the Group.
Factors that have an impact on the availability of debt collection contracts, debt portfolios and Collection Platforms include: growth trends; the levels of overdue debt; volumes of portfolio sales by debt originators; competitive factors affecting portfolio purchasers and originators; government regulation and regulatory initiatives; and macro-economic environments. If the Group is unable to enter into debt collection contracts, purchase portfolios or Collection Platforms at appropriate prices, there is a risk that the Group's business and its ability of implementing its business plan will be materially adversely affected.
The Group plans to acquire additional debt portfolios. There is a risk that the Group will not be able to identify or complete acquisitions or that such acquisitions will prove to be unsuccessful. Acquisitions may divert the attention of the Group's management from the Group's day-to-day operations and other important business matters. Successful completion of an acquisition may also depend on licenses being granted and other regulatory requirements, or other factors which are outside of the Group's control, in addition to adequate handling of transaction risks. As a result of growth, the importance of managing operational risk relating to, for example, work processes, personnel, IT-systems, tax and financial reporting will also increase. There is a risk that the Group will not be able to manage its growth effectively. Any of these developments could have a material adverse effect on the Group's business, results of operations or financial condition.
The Group has made several acquisitions over the past years, including Geslico, ALD Abogados, CS Union, Altor, IKAS, Profact and SPT group. The Company has completed due diligence reviews of the companies acquired based on information and documentation received by the sellers. However, if the information and the documentation provided does not properly reflect the business and financial condition of the companies acquired, there is a risk that this will affect the Company's business, financial condition and results of operation.
The integration of the acquired companies into the Company may take longer or prove to be more costly than anticipated. Any acquisition entails certain risks, including operational and company-specific risks and there is also a risk that the integration process will take longer or be more costly than anticipated. Should any of these risks materialise, this could have a material adverse effect on the Group's business, financial position and results of operation.
The Group is subject to regulations applicable to debt collection and debt purchasing operations in the jurisdictions in which it operates from time to time, including with respect to license and other regulatory requirements, data protection and anti-money laundering. Regulatory developments under the laws and regulations to which the Group is subject could expose it to a number of risks. The debt collection and purchasing industry is under scrutiny. It is an enhanced focus from authorities and stricter rules implemented or discussed within e.g. anti-money laundering, data protection, tax, collection, especially the NPL back stop regulations and requirement for consent in Norway which may among others lead to financial risks, more reporting, reputational damage, and limited NPL market. Debt collection industry has a high risk of lower fees, higher cost and interest rates and more reporting as a consequence of more consumer-friendly legislation in several countries. There is a risk that any new laws or regulations as a result of such scrutiny or for other reasons will materially adversely affect the Group. There is a trend in EU where the Group operates with higher fines for breach of relevant legal requirements such as breach of data privacy and anti-money laundering.
There is a risk that the Group will not be able to implement its strategic plans. If implementation of such plans is not successful, there is a risk that the Group will not achieve the revenue, earnings, margins, ROE or scale goals of its management. In addition, the costs associated with implementing such plans may be high and there is a risk that the Group will not in the future have sufficient financial resources to fund investments required in connection therewith. There is a risk that any failure to implement the Group's strategic plans will have a material adverse effect on the Group's business, results of operations or financial condition.
The demand in the debt collection industry for personnel with the relevant capabilities and experience is high, and there is a risk that the Group will not be able to employ and retain sufficiently skilled personnel. The loss of key executive officers or other key personnel could impair the Group's ability to succeed in, among other things, taking advantage of acquisition opportunities entering into new debt collection service contracts or servicing clients or portfolios effectively. In addition, there is a risk that increase in labour costs, potential labour disputes and work stoppages will negatively affect the Group's business. There is a risk that any of these developments will have a material adverse effect on the Group's business, results of operations or financial condition.
The Group uses external lawyers and solicitors and other third-party service providers in the debt collection process. There is a risk that any failure by these third parties to adequately perform such services for the Group will materially reduce the Group's cash flow, income and profitability and affect its reputation.
The manner in which the Group, or third-party service providers on the Group's behalf, undertake collection processes could negatively affect the Group's business and reputation
There is a risk that the following factors could negatively affect the Group's business and reputation: failures in the Group's collection and data protection processes; IT platform failure; ineffectiveness in the collection of debt, unethical or improper behaviour, or other actions, by the Group or third-parties it employs in connection with its collection activities; and negative media coverage relating to the Group. There is a risk that any such events will harm the Group's relationships to existing and potential clients and negatively impact recovery rates and that this again will have a material adverse effect on the Group's business, results of operations or financial condition.
There is a risk that the following factors could negatively affect the Group's business and reputation: failures in the Group's collection and data protection processes; IT platform failure; ineffectiveness in the collection of debt, unethical or improper behavior, or other actions, by the Group or third-parties it employs in connection with its collection activities; and negative media coverage relating to the Group. There is a risk that any such events will harm the Group's relationships to existing and potential clients and negatively impact recovery rates and that this again will have a material adverse effect on the Group's business, results of operations or financial condition.
Debt collection contracts often contain termination clauses permitting the client to cancel the contract at the client's discretion (following a certain notice period). There is a risk that the Group's clients will exercise such termination rights prior to contract expiration or that the Group will not be successful in entering into new contracts as contracts expire. The profitability of the Group's debt collection services will depend upon its ability to calculate prices and identify project risks. In many debt collection contracts, payment by the client depends on the debtor paying on a claim, and there is a risk that the Group will not be able to accurately estimate costs or identify project risks associated with such contracts. Contracts for debt collection services may also subject the Group various clauses that give its counterparty contractual rights with respect to determination of fees and penalties. If any of these aspects of the Group's contracts should materialise there is a risk that this will have a material adverse effect on the Group's business, results of operations or financial condition.
The price attributed to a debt portfolio depends on its specific characteristics and composition with respect to, for instance, the size, age and type of the claims, as well as the age, location and type of customers, and a number of other factors, such as the financial strengths and weaknesses of the economies in which the customers are part. The models that will be used by the Group in connection with such purchases are used to assess the collection forecasts, and therefore the price to be paid for these portfolios. The Group's business depends on its ability to identify portfolios that are of sufficient quality for it to determine that it is likely to collect on the claims at certain levels. There is a risk that any claims contained in these portfolios will eventually not be collected. There is risk that a significant increase in insolvencies involving customers or changes in the regulatory framework governing insolvency proceedings in the jurisdictions in which the Group will operate from time to time will impact its ability to collect on claims. If the Group is unable to achieve the levels of forecasted collections, revenue and returns on purchased portfolios will be reduced, which may result in write-downs.
The Group has made significant investments in Real Estate Owned (REO) portfolios. These portfolios are mainly derived from mortgage shortfalls. Most activities involving owning or preparing the REO's for sale are outsourced to thirdparty suppliers. The future value of REO investments is subject to risks related to the development of the real estate markets and general economic and market conditions and no assurance can be given with respect to the future sales prices that will be achieved for REO portfolios owned by the Group.
The Group uses statistical models and other data analysis tools in its operations. There is a risk that the Group will not be able to achieve the recoveries forecasted by the models used to value the portfolios or that the models will be flawed. Further, there is a risk that the models will not appropriately identify or assess all material factors and yield correct or accurate forecasts. In addition, there is a risk that the Group's investment and analytics teams will make missjudgments or mistakes when utilizing statistical models and analytical tools. In addition, there is a risk that the information provided by third parties, such as credit information suppliers and sources, used when valuing portfolios will prove not to be accurate or sufficient. Further, there is a risk that loans contained in the Group's portfolios from time to time will eventually not be collected. Any of the foregoing factors could have a material adverse effect on the Group's business, results of operations or financial condition.
The Group relies on its IT platform and its ability to use these technologies. This subjects the Group to risks associated with maintaining and developing these systems, and capital expenditures relating thereto. IT technologies are evolving rapidly. The Group may not be successful in anticipating and adopting to technological changes on a timely basis. Improvements of the Group's IT platform, when required in order to compete effectively, may be associated with substantial capital expenditures. Accordingly, the Group may, in the future, require capital to invest in technologies and there is a risk that adequate capital resources will not be available to the Group when such capital resources are required. In addition, disruptions in the Group's IT platform, which could be temporary or permanent, could disrupt the Group's business. There is a risk that any of these events will, if they materialise, have a material adverse effect on the Group's business, results of operations or financial condition.
The Group will rely on, among other things, contractual provisions and confidentiality procedures, including IT platform security measures, to protect customer data. Customer data could be subject to unauthorized use or disclosure, regardless of such security measures. There is a risk that confidentiality agreements will be breached, or that other security measures will not provide adequate protection of customer data. Monitoring data protection can be expensive and adequate remedies may not be available. There is a risk that any failure to protect the Group's customer data from unauthorized use or to comply with current applicable or future laws or regulations, will have a material adverse effect on the Group's reputation, business, results of operations or financial condition.
The Group operates in the Spanish, Italian, German, Norwegian, Swedish and Finnish debt collection markets. The Group will thus be exposed to local risks in the markets in which it operates from time to time, including regulatory requirements. These requirements may, among other things, relate to licensing, data protection, anti-money laundering and other regulatory matters, labour law and tax. There is a risk that any negative impact caused by the foregoing risks will have a material adverse effect on the Group's business, results of operations or financial condition..
The Group will from time to time be involved in legal claims and disputes and there will always be a risk that any future legal claims or disputes could have a material adverse effect on the Group's business, profit and financial condition.
Tax laws and other regulations applicable to the Group may be subject to change, varying interpretations and inconsistent enforcement, which could have a material adverse effect on the Group's profit and financial condition. It is possible that tax authorities in the countries in which the Group operates will introduce additional tax measures. The introduction of any such provisions may require the Group to pay additional taxes or affect the Group's overall tax efficiency. Any such additional exposure could have a material adverse effect on the Group's business, profit and financial condition.
A pandemic situation as experienced with the Covid-19 may affect the operational efficiency and the Group's results when employees must work from home offices, legal systems close etc. This may lead to operational constraints, lower performance, impairment risks (REOs and NPL), stricter collection legislation, stop in legal collection, increased unemployment, delayed cash flow resulting in a negative NPV effect and large financial impact.
The Group's ability to obtain funding in the future will depend on several factors which are outside of the Group's control, including economic conditions when acquisition opportunities arise and banks' willingness to lend to the Group. There is a risk that an inability to procure sufficient funding in the future, at all or on favourable terms, may have a material adverse effect on the Group's business, results of operations or financial condition.
The Company's debt facilities include restrictive covenants, which among other things limit the Group's ability to: incur additional indebtedness; pay dividends; impose restrictions on the ability of subsidiaries to pay dividends or other payments to the Company or other entities within the Group; and sell assets; merge or consolidate with other entities. All of these limitations are subject to exceptions and qualifications. There is a risk that the covenants to which the Group is subject to will limit its ability to finance its future operations and capital needs and the Group's ability to pursue business opportunities and activities that may be in its interest. In addition, the Group is subject to financial covenants under the Debt Facility.
Borrowing under debt facilities will require the Group to dedicate a part of its cash flow from operations to paying interest and down-payments on its indebtedness. These payments limit funds available for working capital, capital expenditures and other purposes. If the Group does not generate enough cash flow from operations to satisfy its debt obligations, it may have to undertake alternative financing plans, such as: seeking to raise additional capital; refinancing or restructuring its debt; selling business; and/or reducing or delaying capital investments. However, such alternative financing plans may not be sufficient to allow the Group to meet its debt obligations. There is a risk that if the Group is unable to meet its debt obligations or if some other default occurs under its debt facilities, the Group's lenders will elect to declare that debt, together with accrued interest and fees, shall be immediately due and payable and proceed against the collateral securing that debt. The Group is also exposed to changes in the market's interest rate which can affect the net profit. The Group is also exposed to changes in the market's interest rate which can affect the net profit.
The Group is highly leveraged and may not be able to repay all or part of the indebtedness, or alternatively, refinance all or part of the indebtedness on commercially reasonable terms. The Group may not be able to comply with the covenants (and in particular the financial covenants) contained in the debt instruments, the most important being the ratio of net debt to EBITDA. The occurrence of any one of these events could have a material adverse effect on the results of operations and financial condition. Increased debt levels may impair the Issuer's ability to borrow additional capital on a timely basis to fund opportunities as they arise.
The Group has operations in Spain, Italy, Germany, Norway, Sweden and Finland, and may in the future have local operations in additional countries. The results of and the financial position of subsidiaries will be reported in the relevant local currencies, and then translated into EUR at the applicable exchange rates for inclusion in the Group's consolidated financial statements . The exchange rates between these currencies may fluctuate significantly. Consequently, to the extent that foreign exchange rate exposures are not hedged, fluctuations in currencies may adversely affect the Group's financial results in ways unrelated to its operations. Any of these developments could have a material adverse effect on the Group's business, results of operations or financial condition.
The Group, previously a mineral exploration company, has had no regular revenues and significant costs relating to the exploration activities, which has historically led to negative financial results. These negative financial results are partly treated as tax assets as they represent tax deductible losses in certain cases. The Group has from time to time utilized these tax losses. In such cases, the Group has relied on tax advice from various tax specialists. For example, in 2013, the Group entered into a Swedish partnership, via the parent company Nickel Mountain Group AB and via its subsidiary Nickel Mountain Resources AB. As reported in the Group's interim and annual reports, the partnership demonstrated a profit for the financial year 2013 in the amount of approximately SEK 200 million. The Group utilized its accumulated tax deficits existing at that time and set them off against the profits of the partnership. Before entering into the partnership and concluding on the tax effects thereof, the Company took legal advice. The partnership, which was liquidated in 2014, has received certain requests for information from Swedish tax authorities relating to the partnership's 2013 tax return. There is a risk that tax authorities will question such tax assets or the use of such tax losses, in respect of the aforementioned or other matters, or that any such questioning by tax authorities will result in significant additional tax costs or similar. Any such development could materially adversely affect the Group's business, results of operation and financial condition.
There is a risk that a counterparty will not meet its obligations under a financial contract or customer contract, leading to a financial loss. The Group are exposed to credit risk from its operating activities, primarily related to cash and cash equivalents, trade receivables, purchased debts and outlays on behalf of clients. Customer credit risk is managed subject to established policies, procedures and controls relating to customer credit risk management.
The market price of the Shares could fluctuate significantly in response to a number of factors beyond the Company's control, including the following:
Moreover, in recent years, the stock market in general has experienced large price and volume fluctuations and these broad market fluctuations may adversely affect the price of the Shares, regardless of its operating results.
The Company may offer additional Shares or other securities in the future in order to secure financing for new acquisitions, or for any other purposes. There is a risk that any such additional offering will reduce the proportionate ownership and voting interests of holders of Shares and have a material adverse effect on the market price of the Shares.
Shareholders not participating in future offerings of Shares or other equity instruments may be diluted. Unless otherwise resolved or authorised by the general meeting of the Company, shareholders in Norwegian public companies such as the Company have pre-emptive rights proportionate to the aggregate amount of the Shares they hold with respect to new Shares and other equity investments issued by the Company. Shareholders in the United States, however, may be unable to exercise any such rights to subscribe for new shares unless a registration statement under the U.S. Securities Act is in effect in respect of such rights and shares or pursuant to an exemption from, or in transactions not subject to, the registration requirements of the U.S. Securities Act and other applicable securities laws. Shareholders in other jurisdictions outside Norway may be similarly affected if the rights and the new shares being offered have not been registered with, or approved by, the relevant authorities in such jurisdiction. The Company has not filed a registration statement under the U.S. Securities Act or sought approvals under the laws of any other jurisdiction outside Norway in respect of any pre-emptive rights or the Shares, does not intend to do so and doing so in the future may be impractical and costly. To the extent that the Company's shareholders are not able, or choose not, to exercise their rights to subscribe for new shares, their proportional ownership and voting interests in the Company will be reduced.
Sales of substantial amounts of the Shares, or the perception that such sales could occur, could have an adverse effect on the market value of the Shares and the Company's ability to raise capital through future capital increases.
The Shares are traded in NOK and any investor outside of Norway that wishes to invest in the Shares, or to sell Shares, will be subject to an exchange rate risk that may cause additional costs to the investor. Holders of Shares that are registered in a nominee account may not be able to exercise voting rights and other shareholder rights as readily as shareholders whose Shares are registered in their own names with the VPS. Beneficial owners of Shares that are registered in a nominee account (e.g., through brokers, dealers or other third- parties) may not be able to vote such Shares unless their ownership is re-registered in their names with the VPS prior to the Company's general meetings. The Company cannot guarantee that such beneficial owners of Shares will receive the notice for a general meeting in time to instruct their nominees to either effect a re-registration of their Shares or otherwise vote their Shares in the manner desired by such beneficial owners. Further, beneficial owners of Shares that are registered in a nominee account may not be able to exercise other shareholder rights under the Norwegian Public Limited Companies Act (such as e.g. the entitlement to participate in a rights offering) as readily as shareholders whose Shares are registered in their own names with the VPS.
The rights of holders of the Shares are governed by Norwegian law and by the Articles of Association. These rights may differ from the rights of shareholders in other jurisdictions. In particular, Norwegian law limits the circumstances under which shareholders of Norwegian companies may bring derivative actions. For instance, under Norwegian law, any action brought by the Company in respect of wrongful acts committed against the Company will be prioritised over actions brought by shareholders claiming compensation in respect of such acts. In addition, it may be difficult to prevail in a claim against the Company under, or to enforce liabilities predicated upon, securities laws in other jurisdictions. Further, once the capital increase relating to any Shares has been registered in the Norwegian Register of Business Enterprises, purchasers of those Shares have limited rights against the Company under Norwegian law.
The transfer of Shares is subject to restrictions under the securities laws of the United States and other jurisdictions. The Shares have not been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933 or any U.S. state securities laws or any other jurisdiction outside Norway and are not expected to be registered in the future. As such, the Shares may not be offered or sold in the United States or to a U.S. person except pursuant to an exemption from the registration requirements of the US Securities Act and applicable securities laws.
Issuance of new Shares to shareholders who are citizens or residents of the United States upon the exercise of preferential rights in any future capital increases or rights offerings may require the Company to file a registration statement in the United States under United States securities laws. Should the Company in such a situation decide not to file a registration statement, there is a risk that the Company's US shareholders will not be able to exercise their preferential rights. If a US shareholder is ineligible to participate in a rights offering, such shareholder would not receive the rights at all and the rights would be sold on the shareholder's behalf by the Company if deemed appropriate by the Company.
The Shares are priced in NOK, whereas any payments of dividends on the Shares are currently denominated in EUR. Accordingly, investors may be subject to adverse movements in NOK and EUR against their local currency as the foreign currency equivalent of any dividends paid on the Shares or price received in connection with any sale of the Shares could be materially adversely affected.
Following the issuance of the Bonds, the Issuer will have substantial indebtedness which could have negative consequences for the bondholders as:
Other debt facilities are secured by certain asset security in, inter alia, the Issuer. In the event that the secured debt becomes due or a secured lender initiate enforcement proceedings against any of the security assets of the Group, the security assets would be available to satisfy obligations under the secured debt before any payment would be made to any unsecured creditor, including the unsecured Bonds. Any assets remaining after repayment of the Group's secured debt may not be sufficient to repay all amounts owed to unsecured creditors in the Issuer, including the Bondholders.
The Bonds will furthermore be structurally subordinated to any debt (also if unsecured) incurred by any other Group company. Such debt will benefit from and may apply proceeds generated from such companies to service outstanding debt in priority to the Bonds.
All Bondholders will be bound by resolutions adopted pursuant to the relevant majority requirements at the Bondholders' meetings. The Bond Agreement will allow for certain predefined majorities to pass resolutions which are binding for all Bondholders, including Bondholders who have not taken part in the meeting and those who have voted differently than the required majority at a duly convened and conducted Bondholders' meeting.
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