Investor Presentation • Feb 24, 2021
Investor Presentation
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24 February 2021
Q4 Financials
Refinancing and equity issue
Strategy update • Revised vision and strategy developed
Outlook
NPL Gross Revenue and CM1% (EUR million and %)
Active forecast versus cash collected1
Pre Covid-19 forecast Active forecast in 2020 Current active forecast Cash Collected
3PC income and CM1% (EUR million and %)
| Figures in EUR million | Q4-20 | Q4-19 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 21.3 | 23.8 | 35.9 | 92.1 |
| Depreciation & amortization | -3.0 | -2.8 | -10.8 | -10.1 |
| EBIT | 18.4 | 21.0 | 25.0 | 82.0 |
| Net financial items | -17.7 | -12.5 | -53.4 | -49.4 |
| Profit before tax | 0.7 | 8.5 | -28.4 | 32.6 |
| Tax expense | 2.7 | -2.0 | -2.7 | -11.7 |
| Net profit after tax | 3.3 | 6.5 | -31.1 | 21.0 |
| of which attributable to non-controlling interests | 0.6 | 1.3 | -15.9 | 4.6 |
| of which attributable to equity holders | 2.7 | 5.2 | -15.2 | 16.3 |
| Return on Equity, excluding non-controlling | ||||
| interests, annualized | 3.6 % | 7.5 % | -5.1 % | 6.0 % |
| Excluding | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figures in EUR million | Reported | A | B | C | D | E | A-E |
| Gross revenue | 94.9 | -3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92.0 |
| NPL portfolio amortization & revaluation | -36.4 | 0.0 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -26.1 |
| Total income | 58.5 | -3.0 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 65.8 |
| REO cost of sale (incl. impairment) | -6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -11.9 |
| Other operating expenses | -31.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -31.2 |
| Total operating expenses | -37.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -43.0 |
| EBITDA | 21.3 | -3.0 | 10.3 | -5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.8 |
| Depreciation & amortization | -3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3.0 |
| EBIT | 18.4 | -3.0 | 10.3 | -5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.8 |
| Net financial items | -17.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.1 | -3.7 | -14.3 |
| Profit before tax | 0.7 | -3.0 | 10.3 | -5.9 | 7.1 | -3.7 | 5.5 |
Five items affecting Q4 2020 result
A - Net change in value of forward flow contratcs, treated as financial instrument
B - Net revaluation of NPL portfolios, excluding catch up 2 tail
C - Release of REO impairment accrual
D - Write-down of capitalized loan fees, not including ordinary amortization amount
E - Net FX effects included in net financial items, realized and unrealized
| Element | Key details | Simplify | Maturity | Capacity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity issue | • An equity issue of EUR 30 million • A subsequent repair offering of EUR 20 million |
✓ | ||
| Bond refinancing |
• Early redemption of AXA01 • Refinanced with the issuance of a new three year EUR 200 million bond (AXACTOR02) |
✓ | ||
| Bank refinancing |
• New three year facility of EUR 620 million • Consolidating the current facilities in Axactor and Axactor Invest • Improving bank financing cost with approx. 0.7%-points on a pro forma basis for YTD '201 |
✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Roll-up of SPV |
• Axactor to acquire Geveran's stake in Axactor Invest for a consideration of 50 million shares at NOK 8 • The transaction increases EPS with 16% for Q3 on a pro forma basis • Refinancing of the Axactor Invest mezzanine of EUR 140 million with maturity 6 months after AXACTOR02 |
✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
15 1) Excluding Nomura facility and local Italian debt; 2) EUR 120m drawn; 3) EUR 410m drawn by end of Q4; 4) EUR 530m drawn by end of Q4
Bank & Finance
• The preferred partner for Banks and Financial (B&F) institutions
Growth • Profitable organic growth to harvest economies of scale
OneAxactor • Continued emphasis on building the best debt collection platform in Europe
Return on Equity excl. minorities per quarter1 –Total and excluding REO's2
Gradual normalization of the tax rate towards an estimate of 25%
Covid-19 increase pressure on our employees working on home office
-
+
Q4 Financials
Refinancing and equity issue
Strategy update • Revised vision and strategy developed
Outlook
Q4 2020
NPL Gross Revenue and CM1% (EUR million and %)
Actual collection vs. active forecast1 (LTM, rolling)
| 112% 108% |
106% | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 97% 94% |
95% 95% |
101% 100% |
101% | 98% 92% |
97% 93% |
96% | |
| Q2 -17 |
Q4 -17 |
Q2 -18 |
Q4 -18 |
Q2 -19 |
Q4 -19 |
Q2 -20 |
Q4 -20 |
- Prioritizing high IRR portfolios, and expecting significant volumes to be offered in H2 2021
ERC development (EUR million)
Q4 2020
3PC income and CM1% (EUR million and %)
3PC total income split by geographic region
Q4 2020
REO income and CM1% (EUR million and %)
Axactor owns ~40% of the REO book
A total of 8,653 assets acquired*
| Current book | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset class | # assets | % of total | Book value | % of total | |||
| Housing | 1,101 | 41 % | 42.5 | 54 % | |||
| Parking, annex etc. | 903 | 34 % | 3.4 | 4 % | |||
| Land | 274 | 10 % | 4.6 | 6 % | |||
| Commercial | 416 | 15 % | 29.7 | 38 % | |||
| Elimination | 0 | 0 % | -1.4 | -2 % | |||
| Total | 2,694 | 100 % | 78.8 | 100 % |
| Originally acquired | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asset class | # assets | % of total | Book value | % of total | |||
| Housing | 4,030 | 47 % | 194.8 | 68 % | |||
| Parking, annex etc. | 3,396 | 39 % | 15.8 | 6 % | |||
| Land | 356 | 4 % | 9.3 | 3 % | |||
| Commercial | 871 | 10 % | 66.4 | 23 % | |||
| Total | 8,653 | 100 % | 286.2 | 100 % |
Simplifying financing structure while providing the basis for a resilient long term funding profile
39 1) Including EUR 75m accordion option; 2) Consisting of new equity from issuance of 50 million consideration shares corresponding to EUR 38 million at an issue price of NOK 8.0 per share. Axactor realises the gain directly in equity, which on a pro forma basis per Q3 will result in an increase of shareholder's equity of EUR 55 million, corresponding to the book value of the minority interest aquired by Axactor. 3) Amount drawn depending on the size of bond issue
| For the quarter end | Year to date | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR thousand | 31 Dec 2020 | 31 Dec 2019 | 31 Dec 2020 | 31 Dec 2019 |
| Interest income from purchased loan portfolios | 41,758 | 37,239 | 163,093 | 134,531 |
| Net gain/loss purchased loan portfolios | -12,241 | -412 | -49,813 | -319 |
| Other operating revenue | 29,003 | 36,865 | 91,724 | 148,926 |
| Other income | -24 | 1,137 | 24 | 2,021 |
| Total income | 58,496 | 74,830 | 205,029 | 285,159 |
| Cost of REO's sold, incl impairment | -5,976 | -18,371 | -52,932 | -74,464 |
| Personnel expenses | -13,794 | -15,237 | -54,872 | -57,708 |
| Operating expenses | -17,381 | -17,397 | -61,372 | -60,847 |
| Total operating expense | -37,150 | -51,004 | -169,176 | -193,019 |
| EBITDA | 21,346 | 23,826 | 35,853 | 92,140 |
| Amortization and depreciation | -2,981 | -2,828 | -10,838 | -10,115 |
| EBIT | 18,365 | 20,998 | 25,015 | 82,025 |
| Financial revenue | 3,773 | 526 | 12,650 | 2,787 |
| Financial expenses | -21,469 | -13,011 | -66,039 | -52,176 |
| Net financial items | -17,697 | -12,485 | -53,390 | -49,389 |
| Profit/(loss) before tax | 668 | 8,513 | -28,375 | 32,636 |
| Tax (expense) | 2,669 | -1,979 | -2,733 | -11,667 |
| Net profit/(loss) after tax | 3,337 | 6,534 | -31,108 | 20,969 |
| Net profit/(loss) to Non-controlling interests | 629 | 1,310 | -15,871 | 4,643 |
| Net profit/(loss) to equity holders | 2,708 | 5,223 | -15,237 | 16,326 |
| Earnings per share: basic | 0.015 | 0.034 | -0.084 | 0.106 |
| Earnings per share: diluted | 0.014 | 0.029 | -0.084 | 0.093 |
| EUR thousand | 31 Dec 2020 | 31 Dec 2019 |
|---|---|---|
| ASSETS | ||
| Intangible non-current assets | ||
| Intangible Assets | 19,989 | 21,486 |
| Goodwill | 54,879 | 56,170 |
| Deferred tax assets | 7,753 | 9,742 |
| Tangible non-current assets | ||
| Property, plant and equipment | 2,530 | 2,903 |
| Right-of-use assets | 4,826 | 5,846 |
| Financial non-current assets | ||
| Purchased debt portfolios | 1,124,699 | 1,041,919 |
| Other non-current receivables | 458 | 765 |
| Other non-current investments | 196 | 193 |
| Total non-current assets | 1,215,330 | 1,139,025 |
| Current assets | ||
| Stock of Secured Assets | 78,786 | 129,040 |
| Accounts Receivable | 7,124 | 13,135 |
| Other current assets | 14,723 | 14,960 |
| Restricted cash | 2,946 | 3,739 |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | 47,779 | 71,657 |
| Total current assets | 151,358 | 232,531 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 1,366,688 | 1,371,556 |
| 97,040 81,338 236,562 201,879 -13,142 2,153 -15,975 -4,721 74,113 96,977 378,598 377,626 579,282 466,378 7,388 17,591 2,804 3,481 1,433 1,415 590,906 488,864 6,147 5,902 356,903 463,555 12,002 6,570 2,282 2,549 19,849 26,491 397,184 505,066 988,090 993,930 1,366,688 1,371,556 |
EUR thousand | 31 Dec 2020 | 31 Dec 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | |||
| Equity attributable to equity holders of the parent | |||
| Share Capital | |||
| Other paid-in equity | |||
| Retained Earnings | |||
| Reserves | |||
| Non-controlling interests | |||
| Total Equity | |||
| Non-current Liabilities | |||
| Interest bearing debt | |||
| Deferred tax liabilities | |||
| Lease liabilities | |||
| Other non-current liabilities | |||
| Total non-current liabilities | |||
| Current Liabilities | |||
| Accounts Payable | |||
| Current portion of interest bearing debt | |||
| Taxes Payable | |||
| Lease liabilities | |||
| Other current liabilities | |||
| Total current liabilities | |||
| Total Liabilities | |||
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES |
*50% of the shares in Axactor Invest 1 S.à r.l. and Reolux Holding S.à r.l. is held by Geveran Trading Co. Limited (Cyprus). *Geveran Trading Co. Limited also holds shares of Axactor SE 42
| Cash EBITDA | EBITDA adjusted for calculated cost of share option program, portfolio amortizations and revaluations, REO cost of sales and REO impairments |
Terms and abbreviations | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CM1 Margin | Total operating expenses (excluding SG&A, IT and corporate cost) as a percentage of total income | 3PC | Third-party collection |
| Debt-to-equity ratio | Total interest bearing debt as a percentage of total equity | ARM | Accounts receivable management |
| Discount | The rate of discount of original debt balance used to negotiate repayment of debt | B2B | Business to Business |
| EBITDA margin | EBITDA as a percentage of total income | B2C | Business to Consumer |
| Economic growth | GDP (Gross Domestic Product) growth | BoD | Board of Directors |
| Efficient Legal system | Governmental bailiff exchanging information electronically | CGU | Cash Generating Unit |
| Equity ratio | Total equity as a percentage of total equity and liabilities | CM1 | Contribution Margin |
| ERC | Estimated Remaining Collection express the expected future cash collection on own portfolios (NPLs) in nominal | Dopex | Direct Operating expenses |
| values, over the next 180 months. | EBIT | Operating profit, Earning before Interest and Tax | |
| Gross margin | Cash EBITDA as a percentage of gross revenue | EBITDA | Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization |
| Gross revenue | 3PC revenue, REO sale, cash collected on own portfolios and other revenue | ECL | Expected Credit Loss |
| House pricing | House price index, development of real estate values | EPS | Earnings Per Share |
| Interest changes | The interest charged to debtors on active claims | EUR | Euro |
| Interest level | Lending rate in the market | FTE | Full Time Equivalent |
| NIBD | Net Interest Bearing Debt means the aggregated amount of interest bearing debt, less aggregated amount of | IFRS | International Financial Reporting Standards |
| unrestricted cash and bank deposits, on a consolidated basis | NCI | Non-controlling interests | |
| Opex ex SG&A, IT and corp.cost | Total expenses excluding overhead functions | NOK | Norwegian Krone |
| Payment agreement | Agreement with the debtors to repay their debt | NPL | Non-performing loan |
| Recovery rate | Portion of the original debt repaid | OB | Outstanding Balance, the total amount Axactor can collect on claims under management, including outstanding |
| Return on Equity, excluding minorities, | Net profit/(loss) to equity holders as a percentage of total equity excluding Non-controlling interests, annualized | principal, interest and fees | |
| annualized | based on number of days in period | PCI | Purchased Credit Impaired |
| Return on Equity, including minorities, | Net profit/(loss) after tax as a percentage of total equity, annualized based on number of days in period | PPA | Purchase Price Allocations |
| annualized | REO | Real Estate Owned | |
| Settlements | One payment of full debt | SEK | Swedish Krone |
| SG&A, IT and corporate cost | Total operating expenses for overhead functions | SG&A | Selling, General & Administrative |
| Solution rate | Accumulated paid principal amount for the period divided by accumulated collectable principal amount for the | SPV | Special Purpose Vehicle |
| period. Usually expressed on a monthly basis | VIU | Value in Use | |
| Total estimated capital commitments for | The total estimated capital commitments for the forward flow agreements are calculated based on the volume | WACC | Weighted Average Cost of Capital |
| forward flow agreements | received over that last months and limited by the total capex commitment in the contract. | WAEP | Weighted Average Exercise Price |
| Total income | Gross revenue minus portfolio amortizations and revaluations | ||
| Tracing activity | Finding and updating debtor contact information |
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