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Axactor SE

Investor Presentation Apr 30, 2021

3549_rns_2021-04-30_1a789930-676b-4aaf-a519-1380e4b3a26d.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Q1 2021

30 April 2021

Agenda

Axactor is an established European debt collection company that has grown rapidly in targeted markets

  • Established in Q4 2015 with headquarters in Oslo, Norway, and is one of Europe's top-ten debt collectors
  • Main focus on collection and acquisition of unsecured nonperforming loans ("NPL") from financial institutions and third-party collection ("3PC")
  • Operations in six countries; Finland, Germany, Italy, Norway, Spain and Sweden, with 1,095 FTEs
  • Portfolio acquisitions north of EUR 600m for 2019 and 2020 combined
  • Geveran owns ~40% of Oslo-listed Axactor SE

Unique strategic direction to drive profitable growth

Markets

  • Organic growth in existing markets
  • Carefully selected attractive markets

Products

  • Core products: NPL and 3PC
  • Fresh unsecured consumer debt

Industries

• Focus on Bank and Finance segment

Platform

  • Cloud based IT platform with unified operational processes and BI with low legacy cost
  • Focus on standardization, cross-border cooperation and efficiency

NPL Cost-to-Collect vs. income per market1 (EUR million and %)

Key factors to improve return on equity

- Leveraging scale benefits as Axactor continue the growth journey

Agenda

Key Financial Highlights Q1 2021

YoY growth

Restructuring of balance sheet finalized in Q1

Main deal components:

  • ✓ EUR ~50m equity raise
  • ✓ Axactor Invest I roll-up
  • ✓ All major credit facilities refinanced

Key effects:

  • ✓ Reduced complexity
  • ✓ Extended maturities
  • ✓ Reduced funding cost
  • ✓ Increased investment capacity
  • ✓ Increased equity ratio

Cost reduction program targeting EUR ~5m in savings

- Further improving our competitive advantage

  • Site-consolidation in Spain:
  • Sevilla, Bilbao and Zaragoza to be closed
  • Large number of smaller initiatives:
  • Optimizing the organization
  • Evaluating and renegotiating vendor contracts
  • Outsourcing non-core tasks
  • Most initiatives implemented during H1 2021
  • Full savings impact from Q4 2021
  • All restructuring cost taken in H1 2021

3PC market improving, although slower than anticipated

  • High customer retention through the pandemic
  • Lower volumes received expect reversion as societies reopen
  • Moratorium in Italy extended until June 2021
  • Building strong 3PC pipeline across all markets
  • Advanced negotiations over significant deals
  • Further improvement expected towards H2 2021
  • 3PC/forward flow combo deals signed in Norway
  • One in Q1 and one in April

Improving ESG ratings step-by-step

- Independent rating agencies Vigeo.Eiris and Sustainalytics cover Axactor

Axactor score

Industry average 2021

11 1) Vigeo.Eiris rating scale is 0-100, where a higher score indicates better performance in terms of ESG 2) Sustainalytics rating scale indicates the risk level in terms of ESG: 0-10 Negligible risk, 10-20 Low risk, 20-30 Medium risk, 30-40 High risk, 40+ Severe risk

• Focus on ESG related topics from inception

  • Sustainability report implemented in AR 2019, significantly improved in AR 2020
  • 2021 score do not fully reflect 2020 AR improvements
  • Will continue to drive improvements and raise the bar for the industry

Agenda

Main events Q1 2021

Financial highlights

  • Operating segments
  • Return on equity

Q1 normally a seasonally weak quarter

- Continued NPL growth, lower 3PC volumes through Covid-19 pandemic

Further improving the industry leading cost level

- Cost cutting initiative to drive additional improvements over coming quarters

  • Industry leading cost-to-collect is a key element of Axactor's strategy
  • Cost position further improved YoY in Q1, adjusted for restructuring cost
  • Cost cutting initiative expected to drive further improvements through 2021

NPL with continued gross revenue growth

- Supported by portfolio investments north of EUR 200m through 2020

NPL Gross Revenue and CM1% (EUR million and %)

  • 17% YoY gross revenue growth
  • Driven by continued investments in NPL portfolios
  • Seasonally slow quarter and still negatively impacted by Covid-19 implications
  • Maintained high margin

15 Note: Please note that negative revaluations and negative amortization will appear as positive numbers in the graph

NPL active forecast aligned with current performance

- Stronger seasonality in the second quarter

Active forecast versus cash collected1

  • Unsecured NPL collection performance in Q1 2021 of 98%
  • Historic underperformance assumed lost – prudent approach
  • Expect long-term performance to fluctuate around 100%

Q2 -25 Q4 -21 Q1 -20 Q2 -21 Q2 -20 Q4 -20 Q4 -24 Q3 -20 Q3 -24 Q1 -21 Q3 -21 Q1 -22 Q1 -24 Q2 -22 Q3 -22 Q4 -22 Q1 -23 Q2 -23 Q3 -23 Q4 -23 Q2 -24 Q1 -25 Q3 -25 Q4 -25

Active forecast Cash Collected

3PC Development

- Restructuring cost of EUR ~3m included in a seasonally slow quarter

3PC income and CM1% (EUR million and %)

  • Negative impacts related to Covid-19 continue, particularly for Spain and Italy
  • High customer retention during the pandemic, but lower volumes – expect volume reversion as societies reopen
  • Sales processes take longer time during the pandemic
  • Market is improving with increasing pipeline
  • Margin driven down by EUR 2.8m restructuring cost
  • Expected to generate significant savings going forward

REO Development (run-off segment)

- Good sales momentum on a declining asset base

REO income and CM1% (EUR million and %)

  • Revenue upheld on good level despite declining asset base
  • Inventory down 36% since Q1 2020
  • 304 assets sold during Q1 2021
  • 2,391 assets in inventory at quarter-end
  • Book value down to EUR 68m
  • Axactor exposure of ~40% due to minority interest

Summary: YoY income growth and margin expansion

- Despite EUR ~3m restructuring cost included in the quarter

Earnings hit by unrealized FX loss

Figures
EUR
million
in
Q1-21 Q1-20
EBITDA 17
7
14
1
Depreciation
&
amortization
2
6
-
2
6
-
EBIT 15
1
11
5
Net
financial
items
16
8
-
5
9
-
Profit
before
tax
-1
7
5
6
Tax
expense
1
7
-
2
1
-
Net
profit
after
tax
-3
4
3
4
of
which
attributable
non-controlling
interests
to
2
0
-
1
7
-
of
which
attributable
holders
equity
to
1
4
-
5
2
Return
Equity
, excluding
non-controlling
on
interests
, annualized
(%)
-1
6
7
2
  • Net financial items include unrealized FX loss of EUR 4.0m
  • Q1-20 included unrealized FX gain of EUR 9.6m
  • Net tax expense despite negative profit before tax
  • Unrealized FX loss not tax deductible
  • Return on equity, excluding non-controlling interests, of negative 1.6%
  • Minority interests solely related to Reolux and its subsidiaries as of Q1 2021

Two significant items affecting Q1 result

Restructuring FX
impact
Excluding
Figures
EUR
million
in
Reported (A)
cost
(B) (A)-(B)
Gross
revenue
84
9
0
0
0
0
84
9
NPL
portfolio
&
revaluation
amortization
-23
5
0
0
0
0
-23
5
Change
of
forward
flow
value
derivatives
in
-0
4
0
0
0
0
-0
4
Total
income
61
0
0
0
0
0
61
0
REO
of
sale
(incl
impairment)
cost
-10
4
0
0
0
0
-10
4
Other -32 3 0 -29
operating 9 2 0 7
expenses
Total -43 3 0 -40
operating 3 2 0 1
expenses
EBITDA 17 3 0 20
7 2 0 9
Depreciation -2 0 0 -2
& 6 0 0 6
amortization
EBIT 15 3 0 18
1 2 0 3
Net -16 0 3 -13
financial 8 0 2 6
items
Profit -1 3 3 4
before 7 2 2 7
tax

Two items affecting Q1 2021 result

  • EUR 3.2m restructuring cost primarily related to a site consolidation in Spain
  • Unrealized FX loss of EUR 4.0 million and net realized gain of EUR 0.7m
  • Profit before tax excluding restructuring cost and net FX impact of EUR 4.7m

Our number one goal is to increase Return on Equity

- Aim to initiate dividend payments as return on equity gradually improves

Return on Equity excl. minorities per quarter (annualized)

  • 2020 heavily affected by the pandemic
  • Q1 2021 reflect restructuring cost and unrealized FX loss
  • Expect RoE to improve over time as underlying business improves and as societies slowly defeat the pandemic

22 1) Calculated by excluding Reolux which is our investment vehicle for REO's (certain intercompany eliminations and other consolidation effects have not been considered)

Agenda

Outlook

  • Covid-19 impact on business stabilized do not anticipate sudden movements in either direction
  • 3PC volume expected to return to pre-pandemic levels as societies re-open
  • Cost reduction program targeting EUR 4.8m annualized savings by year-end • EUR ~1.0m restructuring cost expected in Q2 2021
  • Increasing market activity for both 3PC and NPL
  • Expect overhang of volumes released to market in H2 2021
  • Axactor strictly prioritizes best NPL deals
  • NPL investment guiding of more than EUR 200m reiterated

Supporting information

NPL portfolio

Q1 2021

NPL with continued gross revenue growth

- Supported by portfolio investments north of EUR 200m through 2020

NPL Gross Revenue and CM1% (EUR million and %)

  • 17% YoY gross revenue growth
  • Driven by continued investments in NPL portfolios
  • Seasonally slow quarter and still negatively impacted by Covid-19 implications
  • Maintained high margin

27 Note: Please note that negative revaluations and negative amortization will appear as positive numbers in the graph

Improving collection performance

Actual collection vs. active forecast1 (LTM, rolling)

95% 100% 101% 108% 112% 106% 101% 98% 92% 93% 97% 96% 98%
Q1
-18
Q2
-18
Q3
-18
Q4
-18
Q1
-19
Q2
-19
Q3
-19
Q4
-19
Q1
-20
Q2
-20
Q3
-20
Q4
-20
Q1
-21
  • Q1 collection performance of 98%
  • LTM collection performance of 98%
  • Curves for 2021 aligned with current performance
  • Long term average performance expected to fluctuate around 100%

Modest investment commitments

- Prioritizing high IRR portfolios, and expecting significant volumes to be offered in H2 2021

Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)

  • Stable forward flow volume
  • Improving pipeline, but expect majority of 2021 volume in H2
  • Increased focus on one-off transactions to reduce liquidity risk

Stable ERC level

ERC development

(EUR million)

Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million)

3PC

Q1 2021

3PC Development

- Restructuring cost of EUR ~3m included in a seasonally slow quarter

3PC income and CM1% (EUR million and %)

  • Negative impacts related to Covid-19 continue, particularly for Spain and Italy
  • High customer retention during the pandemic, but lower volumes – expect volume reversion as societies reopen
  • Sales processes take longer time during the pandemic
  • Market is improving with increasing pipeline
  • Margin driven down by EUR 2.8m restructuring cost
  • Expected to generate significant savings going forward

3PC volumes by geographic region

3PC total income split by geographic region

  • Spain generate majority of 3PC income
  • Germany share of revenue continue to increase
  • Nordics accounting for 21% of revenue

REO portfolio (run-off segment)

Q1 2021

REO Development (run-off segment)

- Good sales momentum on a declining asset base

REO income and CM1% (EUR million and %)

  • Revenue upheld on good level despite declining asset base
  • Inventory down 36% since Q1 2020
  • 304 assets sold during Q1 2021
  • 2,391 assets in inventory at quarter-end
  • Book value down to EUR 68m
  • Axactor exposure of ~40% due to minority interest

REO portfolio moving towards the tail

  • Total portfolio investments of EUR 286m*
  • Last portfolio acquisition in Q3 2018
  • 69% decline in book value since peak
  • Limited tail risk
  • Axactor owns ~40% of the REO book

  • A total of 8,654 assets acquired*

  • 6,263 assets sold

REO statistics*

(EUR million)

Current
book
Asset
class
#
assets
%
of
total
Book
value
%
of
total
Housing 960 40
%
36
5
53
%
Parking,
annex etc.
797 33
%
3
0
4
%
Land 258 11
%
4
4
6
%
Commercial 376 16
%
25
8
38
%
Elimination 0 0
%
-1
2
-2
%
Total 2,391 100
%
68.5 100
%
Originally
acquired
Asset
class
#
assets
%
of
total
Book
value
%
of
total
Housing 4
033
,
47
%
194
8
68
%
Parking,
annex etc.
3
394
,
39
%
15
8
6
%
Land 356 4
%
9
3
3
%
Commercial 871 10
%
66
4
23
%
Total 8,654 100
%
286.3 100
%
  • Housing represent 53% of current book value
  • Limited exposure to commercial assets
  • Average book value per remaining asset EUR 29k
  • Average book value per sold asset of EUR 32k
  • Average sale price per sold asset of EUR 38k

Appendix

P&L statement

For
the
end
quarter
For
the
quarter
/
end
YTD
EUR
thousand
31
Mar
2021
31
Mar
2020
31
Mar
2021
31
Mar
2020
from
portfolios
Interest
income
purchased
loan
41,898 39
326
,
41
898
,
39
326
,
Net
gain/(loss)
purchased
loan
portfolios
-2,036 -8
758
,
-2
036
,
-8
758
,
Other
operating
revenue
21,170 25
003
,
21
170
,
25
003
,
Other
income
0 28 0 28
Total
income
61,031 55
599
,
61
031
,
55
599
,
Cost
of
REO's
sold
incl
impairment
,
-10,386 -10
175
,
-10
386
,
-10
175
,
Personnel
expenses
-18,867 -14
901
,
-18
867
,
-14
901
,
Operating
expenses
Total
-14,036 -16
395
,
-41
470
-14
036
,
-43
289
-16
395
,
-41
470
operating
expenses
-43,289 , , ,
EBITDA 17,743 14
129
,
17
743
,
14
129
,
Amortization
and
depreciation
-2,594 -2
612
,
-2
594
,
-2
612
,
EBIT 15,149 11
517
,
15
149
,
11
517
,
Financial
revenue
904 9
733
904 9
733
Financial
expenses
-17,737 ,
-15
654
,
-17
737
,
,
-15
654
,
Net
financial
items
-16,833 -5
922
,
-16
833
,
-5
922
,
Profit/(loss)
before
tax
-1,684 5
595
,
-1
684
,
5
595
,
Tax
(expense)
-1,709 -2
145
,
-1
709
,
-2
145
,
Net
profit/(loss)
after
tax
-3,394 3
450
,
-3
394
,
3
450
,
Attributable
to:
Non-controlling
interests
-1,959 -1
716
,
-1
959
,
-1
716
,
Equity
holders
of
the
parent
company
-1,434 166
5
,
-1
434
,
166
5
,
Earnings
per share:
basic
-0.005 0
030
-0
005
0
030
Earnings
per share:
diluted
-0.005 0
028
-0
005
0
028

Balance sheet statement

EUR thousand 31
Mar 2021
31
Mar 2020
Full year 2020
ASSETS
Intangible non-current assets
Intangible Assets 19,450 21,216 19,989
Goodwill 55,874 52,965 54,879
Deferred
tax assets
7,760 9,665 7,769
Tangible non-current assets
Property, plant and equipment 2,328 2,818 2,530
Right-of-use
assets
4,477 5,475 4,826
Financial non-current assets
Purchased debt portfolios 1,123,596 1,064,619 1,124,699
Other
non-current receivables
467 556 458
Other
non-current investments
196 193 196
Total non-current assets 1,214,148 1,157,507 1,215,346
Current
assets
Stock
of
Secured
Assets
68,463 120,346 78,786
Accounts Receivable 7,229 10,371 7,124
Other
current assets
11,531 11,796 11,645
Restricted cash 2,921 2,640 2,946
Cash
and Cash
Equivalents
47,131 46,165 47,779
Total current assets 137,276 191,318 148,281
TOTAL
ASSETS
1,351,424 1,348,825 1,363,627
EUR thousand
EQUITY
AND LIABILITIES
31
Mar 2021
31
Mar 2020
Full year 2020
Equity attributable to equity holders of
the parent
Share
Capital
158,150 97,040 97,040
Other
paid-in equity
269,839 236,289 236,562
Retained Earnings -9,108 7,319 -16,036
Reserves -6,137 -36,690 -15,999
Non-controlling interests 17,361 92,449 74,113
Total Equity 430,105 396,408 375,680
Non-current Liabilities
Interest bearing debt 714,283 464,350 579,282
Deferred
tax liabilities
6,566 15,458 6,436
Lease liabilities 2,390 3,103 2,804
Other
non-current liabilities
1,606 1,385 1,433
Total non-current liabilities 724,845 484,296 589,955
Current
Liabilities
Accounts Payable 6,832 4,418 6,147
Current
portion of
interest bearing debt
151,577 419,784 356,903
Taxes Payable 13,275 9,990 12,002
Lease liabilities 2,342 2,582 2,282
Other
current liabilities
22,449 31,347 20,657
Total current liabilities 196,474 468,121 397,992
Total Liabilities 921,319 952,418 987,947
TOTAL
EQUITY
AND LIABILITIES
1,351,424 1,348,825 1,363,627

Legal organization March 2021

*50% of the shares in Reolux Holding S.à r.l. is held by Geveran Trading Co. Limited (Cyprus).

*Geveran Trading Co. Limited also holds shares of Axactor SE 41

Terms and abbreviations

APM / KPI definition

Cash EBITDA EBITDA adjusted for change in forward flow derivatives, calculated cost of share option program, portfolio
amortizations and revaluations, REO cost of sales and REO impairments
Terms and abbreviations
CM1 Margin Total operating expenses (excluding SG&A, IT and corporate cost) as a percentage of total income 3PC Third-party collection
Debt-to-equity ratio Total interest bearing debt as a percentage of total equity APM Alternative Performance Measures
Discount The rate of discount of original debt balance used to negotiate repayment of debt ARM Accounts Receivable Management
EBITDA margin EBITDA as a percentage of total income B2B Business to Business
Economic growth GDP (Gross Domestic Product) growth B2C Business to Consumer
Efficient Legal system Governmental bailiff exchanging information electronically BoD Board of Directors
Equity ratio Total equity as a percentage of total equity and liabilities CGU Cash Generating Unit
Estimated Remaining Collection express the expected future cash collection on own portfolios (NPLs) in nominal CM1 Contribution Margin
ERC values, over the next 180 months. Dopex Direct Operating expenses
Gross margin Cash EBITDA as a percentage of gross revenue EBIT Operating profit, Earning before Interest and Tax
3PC revenue, REO sale, cash collected on own portfolios and other revenue, excluding change in forward flow EBITDA Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization
Gross revenue derivatives ECL Expected Credit Loss
House pricing House price index, development of real estate values EPS Earnings Per Share
Interest changes The interest charged to debtors on active claims EUR Euro
Interest level Lending rate in the market FTE Full Time Equivalent
Net Interest Bearing Debt means the aggregated amount of interest bearing debt, less aggregated amount of IFRS International Financial Reporting Standards
NIBD unrestricted cash and bank deposits, on a consolidated basis NCI Non-controlling interests
Opex ex SG&A, IT and corp.cost Total expenses excluding overhead functions NOK Norwegian Krone
Payment agreement Agreement with the debtors to repay their debt NPL Non-performing loan
Recovery rate Portion of the original debt repaid OB Outstanding Balance, the total amount Axactor can collect on claims under management, including outstanding
Return on Equity, excluding minorities, Net profit/(loss) to equity holders as a percentage of total average equity in period excluding Non-controlling principal, interest and fees
annualized interests, annualized based on number of days in period PCI Purchased Credit Impaired
Return on Equity, including minorities, Net profit/(loss) after tax as a percentage of total average equity in period, annualized based on number of days in PPA Purchase Price Allocations
annualized period REO Real Estate Owned
Settlements One payment of full debt SEK Swedish Krone
SG&A, IT and corporate cost Total operating expenses for overhead functions SG&A Selling, General & Administrative
Accumulated paid principal amount for the period divided by accumulated collectable principal amount for the SPV Special Purpose Vehicle
Solution rate period. Usually expressed on a monthly basis VIU Value in Use
Total estimated capital commitments for The total estimated capital commitments for the forward flow agreements are calculated based on the volume WACC Weighted Average Cost of Capital
forward flow agreements received over the last months and limited by the total capex commitment in the contract. WAEP Weighted Average Exercise Price
Total income Gross revenue minus portfolio amortizations and revaluations
Tracing activity Finding and updating debtor contact information

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