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Axactor SE

Investor Presentation Jun 2, 2021

3549_rns_2021-06-02_434616e7-6c8e-4aaa-b622-8573f6030def.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Company presentation

Xtrainvestor live event

June 2nd 2021

Axactor SE Company presentation

June 2nd 2021

Presenting:

Kyrre Svae, Interim CFO

Axactor is an established European debt collection company that has grown rapidly in targeted markets

  • Established in Q4 2015 with headquarters in Oslo, Norway, and is one of Europe's top-ten debt collectors
  • Main focus on collection and acquisition of unsecured nonperforming loans ("NPL") from financial institutions and third-party collection ("3PC")
  • Operations in six countries; Finland, Germany, Italy, Norway, Spain and Sweden, with 1,095 FTEs
  • Portfolio acquisitions north of EUR 600m for 2019 and 2020 combined
  • Geveran owns 44% of Oslo-listed Axactor SE

3 1) Share of Total income 2020 adj. for revaluations on NPLs (to get normalized level) 2) Excl. REO

Our core business areas simply explained

Non-Performing Loans (NPL) Third-party collection (3PC)

  • Buy defaulted debt at discount to face value
  • Price variations between markets, age and type of debt
  • Example: Credit card, personal loans
  • Use own highly trained personnel and systems to collect
  • Profit on collecting more efficient than banks
  • Gross money multiple typically between 1.7-2.5x
  • Valuation based on a 15-year collection curve

Combined deals

Operational synergies (systems, personnel)

Diversification

  • Traditional debt collection on behalf of external customers
  • Typically a fixed fee or a commission to Axactor on the collected amount
  • Low capital requirements
  • Creates strong customer relationships and recurring business
  • Provides pricing support for NPL acquisition
  • Focus on combined forward flow and 3PC deals

Axactor follows a clear and simple niche strategy

NICHE STRATEGY

  • Six carefully selected geographies
  • Business-to-consumer unsecured NPLs with claim size 500 – 50,000 EUR
  • Only acquiring debt originated within bank/finance segment
  • Focus on first-hand portfolios of fresh debt from well-known vendors

From start-up to established player

- After five years in business, Axactor enters a new phase with increased focus on earnings

Start-up (2016-2020)

Grow revenue & scale

  • Aggressive growth
  • Market entries
  • Establish IT and operations

Established player (2021-2024) Steady state (2025→)

Grow return on equity

  • Grow size in existing markets
  • Operational excellence
  • Initiate dividend payments
  • Take part in consolidation of the NPL industry

Grow presence

  • Steady state
  • Competitive cash return to shareholders
  • Use superior operations to enter new markets and segments

Key Financial Highlights Q1 2021

YoY growth

NPL active forecast aligned with current performance - Supporting correct portfolio valuations going forward

Business case and active forecast versus cash collected1

-21 -20 -20 -20 -20 -21 -24 -21 -21 -22 -22 -22 -22 -23 -23 -23 -23 -24 -24 -24 -25 -25 -25 -25

  • Cash collected in 2020 did not meet the original business case primarily due to Covid-19
  • Active forecast is aligned with current performance
  • Historic underperformance assumed lost – prudent approach
  • Axactor with one of the tightest performance criteria for revaluation in the industry

Business case Active forecast Cash Collected

Key industry trends 2021

Expect IRR to converge towards historic average

- Significantly above historic IRR for Axactor

Upwards pressure

  • Overhang of unsold NPLs after the pandemic
  • Increased regulatory pressure on banks - Prudential backstop
  • Stronger industry discipline than in '16-'18

Downwards pressure

  • Most industry players with high investment capacity
  • New volumes needed to avoid declining revenues
  • Lower loan volumes and default rates reduces size of 2021 NPL vintage

Portfolio price level

Increasing focus on cost level in the industry

- Axactor with industry leading cost-to-collect and aiming for further improvements

NPL Cost-to-Collect & total income per market 2016-20201 (EURm)

Cost-tocollect

2

  • Axactor incepted to disrupt the industry on cost-to-collect
  • Continued innovation and growing economies of scale to fuel further improvements
  • Strict niche strategy supporting long-term competitiveness

Trend of improving utilization of collection platform

- Different strategies to reach optimal utilization

  • Capital light, recurring revenue with good margin and diversification benefits
  • Synergies with NPL on operation, customer partnerships and portfolio insight
  • Volumes expected to recover to pre-covid levels as societies reopen

Increased focus on 3PC

3

ESG with increasing importance

- Axactor ranked #2 in consumer finance sector by Sustainalytics1

Axactor
ESG rating
Relative performance Rank1
Consumer finance subindustry 2 out of 145
Diversified financials industry 79 out of 733
Global universe 1,840 out of 13,564
  • ESG an important part of Axactor's DNA
  • Increasing attention from all stakeholders

  • Carefully selected goals where Axactor can make a difference

  • UN sustainable development goals integrated in Axactor's strategy

ESG

Why invest in the debt collection INDUSTRY?

Driver Comments
1
Revenue growth

Volume
sent to debt collection expected to increase as
societies reopen and moratoriums end

Large NPL-volumes expected for sale
-
Overhang
from the pandemic and Prudential backstop
rules
2
Margin expansion

Expect IRR
to be significantly above 2016-2018 levels
3
Valuation

Resilient through the pandemic, and trading with relatively low
P/B compared to 10-year average

Expect industry consolidation over the next 2-3 years

Why invest in AXACTOR?

Driver Comments
Revenue growth
1

NPL -
Expect material revenue growth next 12 months
EUR ~550m1

in est. investment capacity limit

EUR ~130m in est. replacement
CAPEX

3PC -
revenues reverting to pre-covid
levels and beyond
2
Margin expansion

Replacing low IRR
portfolios with new acquisitions

Relative improvement
expected to be larger
for Axactor
than competitors -
coming from a lower starting point

Effects of cost reduction program and economies of scale

Phasing out REO
3
Valuation

Material post-covid
repricing
potential

Attractive target for private equity & industrial players

Industry leading cost-to-collect platform

Axactor SE Company presentation

June 2nd 2021

Presenting:

Kyrre Svae, interim CFO

Terms and abbreviations

APM / KPI definition

EBITDA adjusted for change in forward flow derivatives, calculated cost of share option program, portfolio Terms and abbreviations
Cash EBITDA
CM1 Margin
amortizations and revaluations, REO cost of sales and REO impairments
Total operating expenses (excluding SG&A, IT and corporate cost) as a percentage of total income
3PC Third-party collection
Debt-to-equity ratio Total interest bearing debt as a percentage of total equity APM Alternative Performance Measures
Discount The rate of discount of original debt balance used to negotiate repayment of debt ARM Accounts Receivable Management
EBITDA margin EBITDA as a percentage of total income B2B Business to Business
Economic growth GDP (Gross Domestic Product) growth B2C Business to Consumer
BoD
Efficient Legal system Governmental bailiff exchanging information electronically CGU Board of Directors
Equity ratio Total equity as a percentage of total equity and liabilities Cash Generating Unit
Estimated Remaining Collection express the expected future cash collection on own portfolios (NPLs) in nominal CM1 Contribution Margin
ERC values, over the next 180 months. Dopex Direct Operating expenses
Gross margin Cash EBITDA as a percentage of gross revenue EBIT Operating profit, Earning before Interest and Tax
3PC revenue, REO sale, cash collected on own portfolios and other revenue, excluding change in forward flow EBITDA Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization
Gross revenue derivatives ECL Expected Credit Loss
House pricing House price index, development of real estate values EPS Earnings Per Share
Interest changes The interest charged to debtors on active claims EUR Euro
Interest level Lending rate in the market FTE Full Time Equivalent
Net Interest Bearing Debt means the aggregated amount of interest bearing debt, less aggregated amount of IFRS International Financial Reporting Standards
NIBD unrestricted cash and bank deposits, on a consolidated basis NCI Non-controlling interests
Opex ex SG&A, IT and corp.cost Total expenses excluding overhead functions NOK Norwegian Krone
Payment agreement Agreement with the debtors to repay their debt NPL Non-performing loan
Recovery rate Portion of the original debt repaid OB Outstanding Balance, the total amount Axactor can collect on claims under management, including outstanding
Return on Equity, excluding minorities, Net profit/(loss) to equity holders as a percentage of total average equity in period excluding Non-controlling principal, interest and fees
annualized interests, annualized based on number of days in period PCI Purchased Credit Impaired
Return on Equity, including minorities, Net profit/(loss) after tax as a percentage of total average equity in period, annualized based on number of days in PPA Purchase Price Allocations
annualized period REO Real Estate Owned
Settlements One payment of full debt SEK Swedish Krone
SG&A, IT and corporate cost Total operating expenses for overhead functions SG&A Selling, General & Administrative
Accumulated paid principal amount for the period divided by accumulated collectable principal amount for the SPV Special Purpose Vehicle
Solution rate period. Usually expressed on a monthly basis VIU Value in Use
Total estimated capital commitments for The total estimated capital commitments for the forward flow agreements are calculated based on the volume WACC Weighted Average Cost of Capital
forward flow agreements received over the last months and limited by the total capex commitment in the contract. WAEP Weighted Average Exercise Price
Total income Gross revenue minus portfolio amortizations and revaluations
Tracing activity Finding and updating debtor contact information

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