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AF Gruppen

Earnings Release Nov 12, 2021

3522_rns_2021-11-12_11d08aaf-3f4f-4408-9e21-7cd78a04836d.pdf

Earnings Release

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AF Gruppen ASA Q3 2021

12 November 2021

Highlights

AF Gruppen with solid profitability, record high order backlog and increased dividend

  • Revenue: NOK 6,358 (6,366) million in Q3 and NOK 19,756 (19,540) million year-to-date
  • Earnings before tax: NOK 344 (368) million in Q3 and NOK 945 (833) million year-to-date
  • Profit margin: 5.4 % (5.8 %) in Q3 and 4.8 % (4.3 %) year-to-date
  • Cash flow from operations: NOK 380 (574) million in Q3 and NOK 1 114 (1 274) million year-to-date
  • Order backlog: NOK 40,391 (31,269) million as of 30 September 2021
  • Net interest-bearing debt of NOK 26 (-341) million as of 30 September 2021
  • Dividend for the second half of 2021: NOK 4.00 (3.50) per share

Safety

Number of lost-time injuries and severe personnel injuries not resulting in lost-time, including subcontractor employees, per million hours worked

Number of lost-time injuries, injuries involving substitute work and medical treatment injuries. Including subcontractor employees, per million hours worked

Sick-leave increased due to Covid-19. Covid-19 related absence estimated to 4% of the total absence in Q3, and 8% year-to-date

Revenues and earnings – quarterly

Return on capital employed

* Rolling average last four quarters

* Rolling average last four quarters

Return on capital employed

Interest expences added

Cash flow statement

NOK million Q3
2021
Q3
2020
YTD
2021
YTD
2020
EBIT 344 371 970 847
Depreciations, amortisation and impairment 151 135 428 404
Change in net working capital -68 139 -24 238
Other adjustments / taxes paid -48 -71 -260 -216
Cash flow from operations 380 574 1 114 1 274
Net investments 118 -60 -18 -122
Cash flow from capital activities -24 -19 -883 -531
Interest paid and change in interest bearing debt -85 -167 -290 -310
Net change in cash and cash equivalents 389 328 -77 311
Net cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period 205 561 708 563
Change in cash and cash equivalents without cash effect 0 4 -38 20
Net cash and cash equivalents end of period 593 893 593 893

Net interest-bearing debt and liquidity

Components net interest-bearing debt

Available liquidity: NOK 3,570 million (including financial facilities of NOK 3,000 million)

Balance sheet

NOK million 30.09.21 30.09.20 31.12.20
Non-current assets 7,646 7,859 7,760
Current assets, ex. cash 4,898 4,676 4,394
Cash and cash equivalents 593 893 708
Total assets 13,137 13,429 12,862
Equity 3,378 3,195 3,494
Long term debt 1,369 1,372 1,426
Short term debt 8,389 8,862 7,942
Total equity and debt 13,137 13,429 12,862

*Equity ratio excluding the effect of IFRS 16 would be 27.3% at 30.09.21 All the company's covenants exclude the effect of IFRS 16

Environment

1 Regulatory requirement of 60%

39,975 tonnes = 39,975 (20,732) tonnes CO -equivalents

Recycling environmental parks Recycling rate 77%% (86%) year-to-date

Business areas

3 rd quarter 2021

Revenue growth and improved profitability

NOK million Q3 21 Q3 20 2H 21 2H 20
Revenues 1,403 1,302 4,480 3,659
EBIT 98 83 294 173
EBT 97 80 290 169
EBIT % 7.0 % 6.4 % 6.6 % 4.7 %
EBT % 6.9 % 6.1 % 6.5 % 4.6 %
  • Solid revenue growth and improved profitability. The activity level increased compared to the same quarter last year. Overall solid operations in all units
  • Very good results in Målselv Maskin & Transport in the quarter
  • Revenue growth and stable profitability in AF Anlegg and Consolvo. Improved profitability in Eiqon
  • Order backlog: NOK 7,617 (8,048) million

Construction

Weaker profitability, but strong order intake in the quarter

NOK million Q3 21 Q3 20 2H 21 2H 20
Revenues 2,007 1,987 6,026 6,437
EBIT 80 115 293 349
EBT 80 117 296 357
EBIT % 4.0 % 5.8 % 4.9 % 5.4 %
EBT % 4.0 % 5.9 % 4.9 % 5.5 %
  • Haga & Berg, Strøm Gundersen, AF Bygg Oslo and AF Bygg Østfold delivered good results in the quarter
  • Impairments in the project portfolio from AF Nybygg contributes negatively in the quarter. In addition LAB, HTB and AF Håndverk delivered weak results. AF Nybygg's portfolio is now transferred to AF Bygg Oslo
  • Price development on raw materials (wood and steel) is challenging in several projects. Projects compensated for wage and price inflation (LPS) are less impacted
  • Construction City contractors are AF Bygg Oslo and Betonmast Oslo. 2/3 of the contract value of NOK 2,676 million are included in Constructions' order backlog
  • Order backlog: NOK 14,594 (9,293) million

Continued weak profitability

NOK million Q3 21 Q3 20 2H 21 2H 20
Revenues 1,626 1,926 5,079 5,746
EBIT 44 68 103 172
EBT 40 65 87 166
EBIT % 2.7 % 3.5 % 2.0 % 3.0 %
EBT % 2.5 % 3.4 % 1.7 % 2.9 %
  • Weak profitability, however large variation in the results of the various units
  • Stable and good results from Betonmast Romerike, Oslo and Østfold
  • Betonmast Boligbygg and Telemark have low project contributions and continue to deliver weak results
  • Betonmast Sverige delivered profitability below expectation in the quarter
  • 1/3 of Construction City's contract value is included in the order backlog of Betonmast
  • Order backlog: NOK 11,281 (7,651) million

Good sales in new projects in the quarter

NOK million Q3 21 Q3 20 2H 21 2H 20
Revenues 6 6 20 18
EBIT 27 27 43 41
EBT 27 26 43 38
Capital employed 836 976 836 976
  • Good sales in the quarter, particularly in AF Eiendom's project Bekkestua Have. In total 158 (193) units were sold in the quarter, whereof AFs share was 77 (71)
  • An agreement to sell AF's share in Construction City was announced in July, and completed in the quarter
  • Six projects with a total of 636 units are in production (AFs share is 269). Sales ratio on commenced projects are 80%
  • Residential portfolio under development: 1,931 (2,198) units. AFs share: 989 (1,124)
  • Commercial portfolio under development: 42,380 (145,100) BTA sqm. AFs share: 20,996 (43,733)

Increased activity and improved profitability

NOK million Q3 21 Q3 20 2H 21 2H 20
Revenues 266 224 839 667
EBIT 24 15 57 32
EBT 23 14 54 32
EBIT % 8.9 % 6.5 % 6.8 % 4.7 %
EBT % 8.8 % 6.3 % 6.4 % 4.8 %
  • Energy and Environment delivered revenue growth and improved profitability in the quarter
  • AF Decom increased its activity and continues to deliver very good results, both within demolition and recycling at AFs environmental centers
  • AF Decom has year-to-date sorted metal for recycling and recycled materials at the environmental centers corresponding to 28,638 (33,497) CO2 -equivalents
  • AF Energi reduced its activity in the quarter and delivered results below expectations
  • Order backlog: NOK 574 (481) million

Sweden

Revenue growth and stable results. Record high order backlog

NOK million Q3 21 Q3 20 2H 21 2H 20
Revenues 958 870 3,016 2,969
EBIT 51 48 137 130
EBT 50 46 133 126
EBIT % 5.3 % 5.5 % 4.6 % 4.4 %
EBT % 5.2 % 5.3 % 4.4 % 4.2 %
  • Sweden delivered revenue growth and stable results in the quarter
  • Kanonaden and AF Härnösand Byggreturer continue to deliver good results
  • HMB and AF Bygg Syd with profitability somewhat below expectations
  • AF Prefab Mälardalen contributes negatively, following low production in the quarter
  • Price development on raw materials (wood and steel) is challenging also in Sweden. In addition, there is uncertainty related to the production of cement in Sweden tied to the situation of Cementa
  • Record high order backlog following a good order intake in the quarter
  • Order backlog: NOK 4,831 (3,825) million

Offshore

Improved profitability and increased activity

NOK million Q3 21 Q3 20 2H 21 2H 20
Revenues 207 208 623 510
EBIT 18 11 43 -39
EBT 19 10 41 -50
EBIT % 8.9 % 5.5 % 7.0 % -7.7 %
EBT % 9.0 % 5.0 % 6.5 % -9.7 %
  • AF Offshore Decom had high in activity and good profitability following solid operations at AF Miljøbase Vats.
  • Fairfield Decom was discontinued in the quarter. Impairments related to this negatively affects the result
  • AF Offshore Decom has year-to-date sorted metal for recycling corresponding to 32,029 (11,568) CO2 -equivalents
  • AF AeronMollier maintain steady results in the quarter
  • Order backlog: NOK 1,600 (1,497) million

Strong order backlog

Business area Sweden

Q3 2021 | Theme presentation

Our business in Sweden

Sweden

AF Gruppens' growth in Sweden

Business Area Sweden

Civil
engineering
Construction Rehabilitation
Property Demolition Prefab 4,6

YTD 2021

3 016 Revenues (MNOK)

Operating margin %

Business units

  • Kanonaden
  • AF Prefab Mälardalen
  • AF Bygg Syd
  • AF Projektutveckling
  • AF Härnösand Byggreturer

▪ HMB

Broad project portfolio with diversified customer group

Kanonaden

Wind power Customer: OX2

Kanonaden

Logistics Customer: COOP

AF Bygg Syd

Sjölunda avloppsreningsverk Customer: VA Syd

AF Härnösand Byggreturer

Maja Beskowskolan Customer: Umeå kommun

Broad project portfolio with diversified customer group

HMB

Mälarparkssskolan i Västerås Customer: Västerås stad

AF Projektutveckling / Aspelin Ramm Fastigheter

Celsiusgatan

Buyer Donniergymnasiet: Skandia Fastigheter

HMB

Åsikten Södra Customer: Riksbyggen

AF Prefab Mälardalen

SOURCE: SVENSKA BYGGFÖRETAGEN OCTOBER 2021

Stable development in the Swedish construction and civil engineering market

Investments in construction and civil engineering in Sweden per segment 2017-2021P (SEK billion fixed 2020-prices)

The Swedish construction market is estimated at SEK 563 billion in 2021

Overall investment level in Sweden stable over the past five years with annual growth of 1%

We have grown despite flat market by focusing on:

  • Recurring customers
  • Logistics centres
  • Wind power

We have experienced good development for our business in Sweden

Investments in buildings and facilities by geography and segment 2020 and annual growth 2019-2021P

108
72
45
225
Stockholm Mälardalen
7 %
-10 %
0 %
0 %
South east-Sweden
26
20
12
59
Jönköping, Östergötland, Kalmar,
Kronoberg, Blekinge
6 %
-6 %
4 %
1 %
33
27
12
71
South-Sweden
Skåne
4 %
-3 %
5 %
2 %
51
35
22
108
South west-Sweden
Västra
Götaland, Halland
7 %
7 %
3 %
2 %
South Norrland
16
18
13
47
Dalarna, Gävleborg, Västernorrland,
Västerbotten
9 %
5 %
3 %
6 %
234
171
105
510
Sum
6 %
-6 %
2 %
1 %
SEK billion
(2020 prices)
Housing Industry Civil
engineering
Sum

Our perception of the market:

  • Housing is expected to grow and we are experiencing high demand, but variations between our geographies
  • Industry is varied and we expect some decline going forward
  • Civil engineering look promising and segments such as logistics and wind power have increased
  • Large fluctuations in commodity prices create uncertainty going forward

The situation around Cementa creates uncertainty

Cementa produces 75% of the cement used in Sweden. The company's permit to mine limestone in Slite on Gotland expired on 31 October 2021.

The company itself announces that they expect to maintain cement production throughout Q1 2022 based on limestone already extracted as well as purchases from Norkalk.

In an amendment to the Law, Riksdagen has given the government authority to grant a new temporary permit, which they have not used yet. It is expected that a permit will be appealed

Byggföretagens impact assessment indicates major consequences for civil engineering and construction projects, 280,000 jobs are threatened and an investment loss of SEK 20 billion per month

AF seek to minimize the risk, but it will have major consequences if there is a complete stop in cement production

Solid order backlog – increased over the last quarters

Development order backlog (NOK million)

Order backlog per Q3 2021 by business unit

Well positioned for the future

Focus on

  • Manage a solid order backlog with a wide range of projects and segments
  • Strategic project selection
  • Active risk management

Seek profitable growth

  • AF has many skilled employees within a large market
  • Strengthen the position in selected market segments
  • Actively identify new market and business opportunities

3 rd quarter 2021

Summary

NOK million Q3 21 Q3 20 2H 21 2H 20
Revenues 6,358 6,366 19,756 19,540
EBIT 344 371 970 847
EBT 344 368 945 833
EBIT % 5.4 % 5.8 % 4.9 % 4.3 %
EBT % 5.4 % 5.8 % 4.8 % 4.3 %
  • Stable revenue and solid profit margin
  • Strong financial position
  • Good cash flow from operations
  • Record high order backlog: NOK 40,391 (31,269) million
  • Dividend of NOK 4.00 (3.50) per share for second half 2021

Thank you for your attention

Q4 | 11 February 2022

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