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Axactor SE

Investor Presentation Aug 18, 2022

3549_rns_2022-08-18_992c121e-c2d2-4633-9b79-9733d9bdd400.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Q2 2022

18 August 2022

Q2 highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Financial highlights for the quarter

Increasing NPL investment estimate to EUR 250 - 300m for the year

  • NPL investment of 2.3x 2.8x replacement capex in 2022
  • Total committed capex EUR 223m so far in 2022

  • Cash EBITDA growth of 5% y-o-y
    • EBITDA of EUR 30m, up from EUR 25m last year

Annualized return on equity of 13%

• Profit after tax of EUR 12m, up from EUR 9m last year

Bond repurchase of EUR 37m1

• Positive one-time P&L impact of EUR 1.4m

Axactor is pursuing a strategy based on three strategic levers

Blending the book
Solve old claims with low gross IRR and
replace them with new higher gross IRR claims

Accelerate blending and secure growth through
investing significantly above replacement capex
Cost leadership
Axactor was incepted to disrupt the industry on
cost-to-collect

Currently investing extensively in data-driven
valuation and -operation to excel further
Best at what we do Targeted focus to become best at what we do1

Industry: Bank & finance

Debt type: B2C, unsecured
Markets: Organic growth

First half 2022 puts Axactor back to growth

- Second half of 2020 and 2021 used to stabilize operations after rapid growth

NPL ERC and company acquisitions (EUR million)

NPL gross IRR on the total book is steadily increasing

- Current market prices significantly more favorable compared to the total book

Gross IRR on the total NPL book1

…and per vintage2

  • The single most important profit improvement initiative
  • 1%-point change on the total NPL book gross IRR equals ~2%-point in ROE4
  • Gross IRR on total NPL book gradually increasing, up 1%-point last 5 quarters
  • Committed investments 4.7%-points higher than the total NPL book

6 1) End of period 2) Actual for 2021 and H1 2022 3) Committed investments for 2022-2024 4) Everything else equal

NPL investment estimate increased to EUR 250 - 300m for the year – securing growth on NPL

NPL investments (EUR million)

NPL investments of EUR 47m in Q2, with overflow of several deals to Q3

NPL investment estimate increased to EUR 250 - 300m for the year

Expect to invest 2.3x - 2.8x replacement capex in 2022 securing growth on NPL

Axactor EBITDA percentage among the best in the industry – driven by a leading cost position

EBITDA estimates selected peers (%)

  • Axactor delivered an EBITDA of 50% for the quarter and 49% year to date
  • The key driver is the industry leading position on cost-to-collect2
  • Next step blend the book with higher gross IRR portfolios to secure further margin expansion

Q2 highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Group: Continued growth on gross revenue y-o-y

Gross revenue (EUR million)

  • Gross revenue is up 5% y-o-y from a solid quarter last year
    • NPL gross revenue growth of 4% y-o-y
    • 3PC gross revenue growth of 13% y-o-y
  • Q2 is a seasonally strong quarter whereas Q3 is seasonally weaker

NPL segment: Total income growth of 13% with stable margins

NPL Total income and CM% (EUR million, and %)

Total income growth drivers

  • Gross revenue growth of 4%
  • Collection performance of 99%
  • Reduced amortization rate following the

3PC segment: Total income growth of 13% compared to last year

3PC Total income and CM% (EUR million and %)

  • Total income growth of 13% y-o-y driven by the acquisition of C.R. Service
  • Marginal organic growth on 3PC driven by Spain and Italy
  • Improved margins stemming from operational improvements and restructuring cost in Q2 21

Group: Total income growth of 13% and Cash EBITDA growth of 5% compared to last year

(EUR million) 23 53 44 52 54 39 14 57 60 Q3 -21 Q1 -21 Q4 -20 Q2 -20 Q3 -20 Q2 -21 Q4 -21 Q1 -22 Q2 -22 +136% +13%

Total income

EBITDA and EBITDA-margin (EUR million and %) -3 27 12 20 25 13 -17 28 30 Q1 -21 52% -12% Q2 -20 Q3 -21 Q3 -20 28% Q4 -20 38% 47% Q2 -21 33% -125% Q4 -21 48% Q1 -22 50% Q2 -22 Cash EBITDA (EUR million)

Interest rate sensitivity

- 1%-point increase in interest rates will increase quarterly interest expense by EUR 1.9m

Quarterly interest expense on borrowings (EUR million)

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Q2 is a continuation of the positive development from Q1

- 10% ROE year to date on continuing operations

Return on equity to shareholders (%)

Axactor has a robust balance sheet positioned for growth

Equity
Satisfying equity ratio of 29%
Liquidity
Available cash of EUR ~30m

Unused funding line of EUR ~125m on the revolving credit facility
Covenant headroom
Satisfying headroom to bond covenants

Loan to value of 72% vs. the covenant of 75%
Funding lines
No maturities until the end of 2023
Investment capacity
Estimated investment capacity of EUR ~350m in 2022,
well above replacement capex of EUR 108m

Q2 highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Outlook

Increased cost of funding

  • Expect further increase in interest rates
  • 1%-point increase in interest rate will increase quarterly interest cost by EUR 1.9m and reduce ROE by 1.5%

Mixed outlook on backbook collections

  • Rising inflation and interest rates
  • Low unemployment rates, increasing salaries and government aid packages

Growth and margin expansion on NPL

  • Expect to deploy EUR 250 300m in NPL portfolios in 2022
  • Expect margin expansion driven by attractive gross IRR levels and improved economies of scale over time

Q2 highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Supporting information

NPL investment commitments of EUR 108m next 12 months

Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)

ERC increasing by 8% y-o-y driven by increased NPL investments in 2022

ERC development (EUR million)

Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million)

3PC volumes by geographic region

3PC Total income split by geographic region

  • Spain accounting for 52% of total income on 3PC
  • Italy share of Total income increased to 15% following the acquisition of C.R. Service

Discontinued operations

- REO book value reduced to EUR 16m ultimo Q2

REO Total income and net profit1 (EUR million and %)

REO book value (EUR million)

REO number of units

Bond covenants (1/2)

- Secured LTV is increasing as bond repurchase is funded by drawing on the secured RCF

Loan-to-value1- Covenant ≤75%

(Total portfolio book value divided by net interest-bearing debt)

Secured Loan-to-value1 - Covenant ≤65% (Total portfolio book value divided by secured net interest-bearing debt)

Bond covenants (2/2)

- Leverage ratio increasing due to 1) investment ramp-up and 2) discontinued operations

Leverage ratio1- Covenant ≤4.0x (Net interest-bearing debt divided by LTM Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA

Interest coverage ratio1 - Covenant ≥4.0x (Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA divided by net interest expenses)

Terms and abbreviations

Abbreviations

Terms
Active forecast Forecast of estimated remaining collection on NPL portfolios
Board Board of directors
Cash EBITDA margin Cash EBITDA as a percentage of gross revenue
Chair Chair of the board of directors
Contribution margin (%) Total operating expenses (excluding SG&A, IT and corporate cost) as a percentage of total income
Collection on own NPL portfolios in relation to active forecast, including sale of repossessed assets
Collection performance in relation to book value
Equity ratio Total equity as a percentage of total equity and liabilities
Forward flow agreement Agreement for future acquisitions of NPLs at agreed prices and delivery
The credit adjusted interest rate that makes the net present value of ERC equal to NPL book value, calculated using
Gross IRR monthly cash flows over a 180-months period
Group Axactor ASA and all its subsidiaries
NPL amortization rate NPL amortization divided by collection on own NPL portfolios
One off portfolio aquisitions Aquisition of a single portfolio of NPLs
Opex Total operating expenses
Recovery rate Portion of the original debt repaid
Replacement capex Aquisitions of new NPLs to keep the same book value of NPLs from last period
SG&A, IT and corporate cost Total operating expenses for overhead functions, such as HR, finance and legal etc
Accumulated paid principal amount for the period divided by accumulated collectable principal amount for the
Solution rate period. Usually expressed on a monthly basis
3PC Third-Party Collection
AGM Annual General Meeting
APM Alternative Performance Measures
ARM Accounts Receivable Management
B2B Business to Business
B2C Business to Consumer
BoD Board of Directors
BS Consolidated Statement of Financial Position (Balance Sheet)
CF Consolidated Statement of Cash Flow
CGU Cash Generating Unit
CM Contribution Margin
D&A Depreciation and Amortization
Dopex Direct operating expenses
EBIT Operating profit/Earnings before Interest and Tax
EBITDA Earnings before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization
ECL Expected Credit Loss
EGM Extraordinary general meeting
EPS Earnings Per Share
ERC Estimated Remaining Collection
ESG Environmental, social and governance
ESOP Employee Stock Ownership Plan
FSA The Financial Supervisory Authority
FTE Full Time Equivalent
GHG Greenhouse gas emissions
IFRS International Financial Reporting Standards
LTV Loan to value
NCI Non-Controlling Interests
NPL Non-Performing Loan
OB Outstanding Balance, the total amount Axactor can collect on claims under management, including outstanding
principal, interest and fees
OCI
P&L
Consolidated Statement of Other Comprehensive Income
PCI Consolidated Statement of Profit and Loss
PPA Purchased Credit Impaired
Purchase Price Allocations
REO Real Estate Owned
ROE Return on Equity
SG&A Selling, General & Administrative
SPV Special Purpose Vehicle
VIU Value in Use
VPS Verdipapirsentralen/Norwegian Central Securities Depository
WACC Weighted Average Cost of Capital
WAEP Weighted Average Exercise Price

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