Investor Presentation • Oct 27, 2022
Investor Presentation
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27 October 2022
Financial update
Outlook
Q&A
EBITDA of EUR 30m, up from EUR 13m last year
Cash EBITDA growth of 22% y-o-y
Cash EBITDA of EUR 54m, up from EUR 44m last year
Profit after tax of EUR 10m, up from EUR -2m last year
Stable annualized return on equity of 10%
NPL investments of EUR 69m for the quarter
| Blending the book | • Solve old claims with low gross IRR and replace them with new higher gross IRR claims • Accelerate blending and secure growth through |
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| investing significantly above replacement capex | |
| Cost leadership | • Axactor was incepted to disrupt the industry on cost-to-collect |
| • Currently investing extensively in data-driven valuation and -operation to excel further |
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| Best at what we do | Targeted focus to become best at what we do1 • Industry: Bank & finance • Debt type: B2C, unsecured |
| • Markets: Organic growth |
NPL ERC and company acquisitions (EUR billion)
- Current market prices significantly more favorable compared to the total book
1) End of period 2) Committed NPL investments 3) Everything else equal
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NPL investments (EUR million)
NPL investment estimate of EUR 250 - 300m for the year
Already secured investments of more than 2x replacement capex in 2022
- Materializing in an EBITDA percentage among the best in the industry
1) Cost is calculated as segment OPEX + allocation of unallocated OPEX and Depreciation & Amortization (excluding amortization of NPL portfolios). Segment OPEX is used as allocation key. Income is calculated as Total income adjusted for revaluations to show income excluding one-time effects based on changes in
future expectations. Additional adjustments made on two peers to make numbers comparable, e.g. due to reporting numbers as a bank. 2) Peer numbers for 2021, Axactor YTD 2022
3) Peers: FactSet as of 7 Oct, 2022; Broker estimates. Axactor = YTD 2022 continuing operations
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- Positive development on all key financial metrics YTD
Q3 highlights
Outlook
Q&A
Cash EBITDA (EUR million)
Quarterly interest expense on borrowings (EUR million)
Return on equity to shareholders
| Equity | • Satisfying equity ratio of 29% |
|---|---|
| Liquidity | • Available cash of EUR ~20m • Unused funding line of EUR ~100m on the revolving credit facility |
| Covenant headroom | • Satisfying headroom to bond covenants • Loan to value of 72% vs. the covenant of 75% |
| Funding lines | • No maturities until the end of 2023 |
| Investment capacity | • Estimated investment capacity of EUR ~320m in 2022, well above replacement capex of EUR 108m |
Q3 highlights
Financial update
Outlook
Q&A
19
Mixed outlook on backbook collections
Axactor is pleased to announce that financial targets will be published on 11 January 2023
The targets will be presented in a global investor webcast at 10:00 CET
Furthermore, the company invites all debt and equity analysts to a physical lunch meeting at 12:00 CET
Q3 highlights
Financial update
Outlook
Q&A
Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)
3PC Total income split by geographic region
- REO book value reduced to EUR 13m ultimo Q3
REO Total income and net profit1 (EUR million and %)
REO book value (EUR million)
REO number of units
- Secured LTV is increasing as bond repurchase is funded by drawing on the secured RCF
(Total portfolio book value divided by net interest-bearing debt)
- Leverage ratio increasing due to 1) investment ramp-up and 2) discontinued operations
Leverage ratio1- Covenant ≤4.0x (Net interest-bearing debt divided by LTM Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA
SPV Special purpose vehicle VIU Value in use
WACC Weighted average cost of capital
VPS Verdipapirsentralen/Norwegian central securities depository
| 3PC Third-party collection |
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| AGM Annual general meeting |
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| APM Alternative performance measures |
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| ARM Accounts receivable management |
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| B2B Business to business |
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| B2C Business to consumer |
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| BoD Board of Directors |
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| Terms BS Consolidated statement of financial position (balance sheet) |
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| CF Consolidated statement of cash flows |
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| Active forecast Forecast of estimated remaining collection on NPL portfolios CGU Cash generating unit |
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| Board Board of directors CM Contribution margin Cash EBITDA margin Cash EBITDA as a percentage of gross revenue |
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| D&A Depreciation and amortization |
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| Chair Chair of the board of directors Dopex Direct operating expenses |
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| Contribution margin (%) Total operating expenses (excluding SG&A, IT and corporate cost) as a percentage of total EBIT Operating profit/Earnings before interest and tax income |
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| EBITDA Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization Collection performance Gross collection on NPL portfolios in relation to active forecast, including sale of |
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| ECL Expected credit loss repossessed assets in relation to book value |
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| EGM Extraordinary general meeting Equity ratio Total equity as a percentage of total equity and liabilities |
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| EPS Earnings per share Forward flow agreement Agreement for future acquisitions of NPLs at agreed prices and delivery |
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| ERC Estimated remaining collection Gross IRR The credit adjusted interest rate that makes the net present value of ERC equal to NPL book |
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| ESG Environmental, social and governance value, calculated using monthly cash flows over a 180-months period |
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| ESOP Employee stock ownership plan Group Axactor ASA and all its subsidiaries |
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| FSA The financial supervisory authority NPL amortization rate NPL amortization divided by collection on own NPL portfolios |
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| FTE Full time equivalent |
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| One off portfolio acquisition Acquisition of a single portfolio of NPLs GHG Greenhouse gas emissions |
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| Opex Total operating expenses IFRS International financial reporting standards |
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| Recovery rate Portion of the original debt repaid LTV Loan to value |
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| Replacement capex Acquisitions of new NPLs to keep the same book value of NPLs from last period NCI Non-controlling interests |
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| Repossession Taking possession of property due to default on payment of loans secured by property NPL Non-performing loan |
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| Repossessed assets Property repossessed from secured non-performing loans OB Outstanding balance, the total amount Axactor can collect on claims under management, |
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| SG&A, IT and corporate cost Total operating expenses for overhead functions, such as HR, finance and legal etc including outstanding principal, interest and fees |
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| Solution rate OCI Consolidated statement of other comprehensive income Accumulated paid principal amount for the period divided by accumulated collectable principal |
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| P&L Consolidated statement of profit or loss amount for the period. Usually expressed on a monthly basis |
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| PCI Purchased credit impaired Active forecast Forecast of estimated remaining collection on NPL portfolios |
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| PPA Purchase price allocations |
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| REO Real estate owned |
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| ROE Return on equity |
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| SDG Sustainable development goal |
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| SG&A Selling, general & administrative |
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