Investor Presentation • Feb 17, 2023
Investor Presentation
Open in ViewerOpens in native device viewer
17 February 2023


Outlook
Q&A







1.0 1.1 1.1 1.3 Book value of NPL portfolios (EUR billion, end of period)




4 Comment: Stated numbers are for continuing operations. 2021 numbers are fully restated in company financial statements. 2016-2020 figures are estimated without considering certain intercompany eliminations and consolidation effects




(EURm, 2016-2023e) NPL segment with several similarities to how a bank report income
Interest income is the key NPL top-line driver… … with minimum 10% estimated growth in 2023

| 1 Accretive investments |
• Invest in accretive portfolios with attractive gross IRR driving margin expansion on NPL • Target of reaching total backbook Gross IRR above 20%. Currently experiencing Gross IRR of 22+% on newly signed acquisitions |
|---|---|
| 2 Cost leadership |
• Cloud based unified IT-infrastructure, optimized processes and a strong cost culture • Currently investing extensively in data-driven valuation and -operation to further excel |
| 3 Best at what we do |
Targeted focus to become best at what we do1 • Industry: Bank & finance • Debt type: B2C, unsecured • Markets: Existing six countries |


Q4 and full year highlights
Outlook
Q&A


Total income growth drivers

Total income (EUR million)

EBITDA and EBITDA-margin (EUR million and %) 12 20 25 13 -17 30 30 31 Q3 '21 Q2 '22 28% 47% Q4 '20 33% 38% Q1 '21 Q3 '22 Q2 '21 50% -125% Q4 '21 48% Q1 '22 51% 49% Q4 '22 28
Cash EBITDA (EUR million)

Quarterly interest expense on borrowings (EUR million)

2) The interest rate sensitivity calculation is valid until the hedge expires 15 Dec 2023 and based on the interest-bearing debt at year-end 2022
14 Comment: Stated numbers are for continuing operations
1) Axactor has a 1-year, EUR 573m, 0.5% EURIBOR strike contract with start date 15 Dec 2022


| Dimension | Targets 2023 | Targets 2024 and beyond |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 150 million1 • NPL investments of EUR 100 - |
• NPL investments of EUR 200 – 300 million |
| Profit | • Minimum 9% ROE |
• To be announced towards end of year |
| Returns | 50% dividend pay-out ratio2 • 20 - |
• 20 - 50% dividend pay-out ratio |
| Leverage3 | • Maximum leverage of 3.5x at year-end |
• Maximum leverage of 3.5x |
17 1) Whereof an estimated amount of EUR 68m is already committed NPL investments 2) Based on FY2023 results and onwards 3) Leverage = (net interest-bearing debt / pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA). As defined in the bond covenants

Q4 and full year highlights
Financial update
Outlook
Q&A
| Key driver | Outlook | |
|---|---|---|
| Accretive investments |
+ | • Highly accretive gross IRR on new deals of 22+% compared to the backbook of 17% |
| Growth | + | NPL: Minimum 10% growth in interest income in 20231 • • 3PC: Expect market growth driven by increased defaults in the society |
| Funding | ~ | • Interest rate hedge secures flat interest rates from Q4 2022 into Q1 2023 • Ongoing refinancing of the RCF according to the plan |
| • Awaiting refinancing of ACR02 to get clearer visibility on portfolio- and bond market |
||
| Collection | ~ | • A satisfying collection performance of 99% in 2022. Expect collection performance to fluctuate around +/- 100% over time |

Q4 and full year highlights
Financial update
Outlook
Q&A




3PC Total income split by geographic region

- REO book value reduced to EUR 8m ultimo Q4
REO Total income and net profit1 (EUR million and %)

REO book value (EUR million)

REO number of units


- Secured LTV is increasing as bond repurchase is funded by drawing on the secured RCF
(Total portfolio book value divided by net interest-bearing debt)


- Leverage ratio increasing due to 1) investment ramp-up and 2) discontinued operations
(Net interest-bearing debt divided by LTM Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA

WAEP Weighted average exercise price
| 3PC | Third-party collection |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| AGM | Annual general meeting |
||
| APM | Alternative performance measures |
||
| ARM | Accounts receivable management |
||
| B2B | Business to business |
||
| Terms | B2C | Business to consumer |
|
| BoD | Board of Directors |
||
| Active forecast |
Forecast of estimated remaining collection on NPL portfolios |
BS | Consolidated statement of financial position (balance sheet) |
| Board | Board of directors |
CF | Consolidated statement of cash flows |
| Cash EBITDA margin |
Cash EBITDA as a percentage of gross revenue |
CGU | Cash generating unit |
| Chair | Chair of the board of directors |
CM | Contribution margin |
| Contribution margin (%) |
Total operating expenses (excluding SG&A, IT and corporate cost) as a percentage |
D&A | Depreciation and amortization |
| of total income |
Dopex | Direct operating expenses |
|
| Collection performance |
Gross collection on NPL portfolios in relation to active forecast, including sale of | ||
| repossessed assets in relation to book value |
EBIT | Operating profit/Earnings before interest and tax | |
| Cost-to-collect | Cost to collect is calculated as segment operating expenses plus a pro rata | EBITDA | Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization |
| allocation of unallocated operating expenses and unallocated depreciation and |
ECL | Expected credit loss |
|
| amortization. The segment operating expense is used as allocation key for the |
EGM | Extraordinary general meeting |
|
| unallocated costs | EPS | Earnings per share |
|
| Equity ratio |
Total equity as a percentage of total equity and liabilities |
ERC | Estimated remaining collection |
| Forward flow agreement |
Agreement for future acquisitions of NPLs at agreed prices and delivery |
ESG | Environmental, social and governance |
| Gross IRR |
The credit adjusted interest rate that makes the net present value of ERC equal to |
ESOP | Employee stock ownership plan |
| NPL book value, calculated using monthly cash flows over a 180-months period |
FSA | The financial supervisory authority |
|
| FTE | Full time equivalent |
||
| Group | Axactor ASA and all its subsidiaries |
GHG | Greenhouse gas emissions |
| NPL amortization rate |
NPL amortization divided by collection on own NPL portfolios |
IFRS | International financial reporting standards |
| NPL cost-to-collect ratio |
NPL cost to collect divided by NPL total income excluding NPV of changes in |
LTV | Loan to value |
| collection forecasts and change in fair value of forward flow commitments |
NCI | Non-controlling interests |
|
| One off portfolio acquisition |
Acquisition of a single portfolio of NPLs |
NPL | Non-performing loan |
| Opex | Total operating expenses |
OB | Outstanding balance, the total amount Axactor can collect on claims under |
| Recovery rate |
Portion of the original debt repaid |
management, including outstanding principal, interest and fees |
|
| Replacement capex |
Acquisitions of new NPLs to keep the same book value of NPLs from last period |
OCI | Consolidated statement of other comprehensive income |
| Repossession | Taking possession of property due to default on payment of loans secured by |
P&L | Consolidated statement of profit or loss |
| property | PCI | Purchased credit impaired |
|
| Repossessed assets |
Property repossessed from secured non-performing loans |
PPA | Purchase price allocations |
| REO | Real estate owned |
||
| SG&A, IT and corporate cost |
Total operating expenses for overhead functions, such as HR, finance and legal etc |
ROE | Return on equity |
| Solution rate |
Accumulated paid principal amount for the period divided by accumulated | SDG | Sustainable development goal |
| collectable principal amount for the period. Usually expressed on a monthly basis |
|||
| SG&A | Selling, general & administrative |
||
| SPV | Special purpose vehicle |
||
| VIU | Value in use |
||
| VPS | Verdipapirsentralen/Norwegian central securities depository |
||
| WACC | Weighted average cost of capital |


Building tools?
Free accounts include 100 API calls/year for testing.
Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.