Investor Presentation • Jul 14, 2023
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Presentation of Financial Results 14 July 2023
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Started 1st of May, and have hit the ground running
Industry
1
2
3
Strong and unique concept, but insufficient execution has adversely affected the performance
New market landscape and customer dynamics with omni/e-com/retail best practices that are not fully adopted
4
Macro economic environment, together with previous artificially boosted pandemic shopping, is temporarily dragging down consumer demand
With a committed organization, a leading and strong fundamental market position as well as considerable tech and omnichannel investments already made, the potential to once again win in the market is considerable!
5
New CEO, started 1st of May
New EVP Brand & Marketing, signed and joins late August
Over 25 years experience in marketing with focus on FMCG, Retail and consumer brands
New EVP Category & Buying signed and to be communicated within short
Strong & diverse international experience, over 20 years, with proper & relevant category management competence
COO recruitment in final phases
EVP IT replacement recruitment ongoing
6
New COO to be recruited ASAP New EVP IT to be recruited ASAP
| Priority | Revenue | Gross margin | Opex | Balance sheet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Category strategies | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ||
| 2 | Private label | ✓ | ✓ | |||
| 3 | Full fledge omni-channel | ✓ | ||||
| 4 | Improve campaigns and marketing | ✓ | ✓ | |||
| 5 | Austria strategic review | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |
| 6 | Sustainable cost base | ✓ |
• We have continued to be active and competitive in the market, and will continue to be
Renegotiated bank agreement and new equity from fully underwritten rights issue securing runway to realise effects from ongoing improvement initiatives
| 1 | Revised covenants | ▪ Liquidity covenant of minimum NOK 200m from September 2023 to May 2024 ▪ Starting 30 June 2024 and lasting until November 2024, minimum liquidity reserve shall be no less than NOK 300m ▪ Maximum outstanding gross loan facilities of 50% of inventory book value, excluding value of supplier bonuses, (limited upwards to NOK 1,300m) starting 1 September 2023 ▪ Certain new restrictions on the size of the inventory of XXL Sport & Vildmark AB without providing additional floating charges over its assets ▪ NIBD/EBITDA LTM (ex IFRS 16) from December 2024 shall be no greater than 4.0x ▪ Restrictions on distributions, store openings and acquisitions extended to 31 December 2024 ▪ Fixed loan margin of 4.25% per annum extended from 30 September 2023 to 31 December 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Extension of facilities | ▪ Bank facilities are extended to 25 June 2026 |
| 3 | New equity | ▪ Gross proceeds of NOK 500m in equity to be raised ▪ No repayment to the banks |
| Amount | Gross proceeds of NOK 500m | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Use of proceeds | Working capital | ||||
| Offer price | To be determined and announced on or about 16 Aug | ||||
| Number of new shares | To be determined and announced on or about 16 Aug | ||||
| Subscription rights | All existing shareholders as registered in VPS on 21 Aug 2023 will receive tradable subscription rights Oversubscription and subscription without subscription rights will be allowed |
||||
| Key dates (subject to change) |
Call for extraordinary general meeting ("EGM"): On or about 27 Jul Pricing: On or about 16 Aug EGM: On or about 17 Aug Trading exclusive of subscription rights: On or about 18 Aug Subscription period: On or about 22 Aug – 5 Sep Trading in subscription rights: On or about 22 Aug – 30 Aug |
||||
| Underwriting | Fully underwritten Underwriting commission of 6%, payable in new shares or cash |
| (Amounts in NOK million) |
Q2 2023 |
Q2 2022 |
H1 2023 |
H1 2022 |
FY 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group - Continuing Operations GROUP Continuing Operations |
|||||
| Operating revenue |
1 946 |
2 090 |
3 930 |
3 956 |
8 426 |
| Growth (%) |
-6,9 % |
-10,6 % |
-0,7 % |
-10,5 % |
-12,2 % |
| Gross profit |
538 | 791 | 1 159 |
1 503 |
2 721 |
| Gross margin (%) |
27,6 % |
37,8 % |
29,5 % |
38,0 % |
32,3 % |
| OPEX % |
30,6 % |
28,1 % |
32,1 % |
30,8 % |
29,5 % |
| EBITDA | -57 | 203 | -102 | 286 | 237 |
| (%) EBITDA margin |
-2,9 % |
9,7 % |
-2,6 % |
7,2 % |
2,8 % |
| EBIT | -249 | -0 | -488 | -114 | -467 |
| EBIT margin (%) |
-12,8 % |
0,0 % |
-12,4 % |
-2,9 % |
-5,5 % |
| Net Income |
-246 | 4 5 |
-472 | -85 | -411 |
| **Basic Earnings per share (NOK) |
-0,63 | 0,18 | -1,37 | -0,34 | -1,63 |
XXL ASA Q2 2023 - Gross margin per segment
| Net Debt | Net cash flow from operations NOK 168 Million |
Net Debt | |
|---|---|---|---|
*Including cashflow from Disc-Ops
20
Operating income EBITDA
2015-2018 are not restated figures, 2019 adjusted for extraordinary write down of inventory of 349 MNOK Note: Excludes Austria
Excluding IFRS 16 effects
XXL's journey ahead – different overall focus for each year going forward
Top line quick wins and cost control
X
Accelerate key top line levers
2023 2024 2025
New business models and strategic change
26
| Commodities & input factors |
Historical development of prices per season |
Forecast | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FW22 | SS23 | FW23 | Futures/options | Comments | |
| Labour | ➔ | ➔ | • EU labour cost expected to increase slightly • Stable development in Asia |
||
| Energy | ➔ | ➔ | • "Dramatic" increase in 22. Expected to remain on higher level in 23 • Most likely normalised in 24 |
||
| Cotton | ➔ | • Increased in 2022. Significant drop last months, -40% YoY • Expected to decrease slightly further |
|||
| Rubber | ➔ | • ~25% price reduction last year • Expected to decrease further going forward |
|||
| Metals | ➔ | • Steel and iron ore historically high but has dropped • Expectations of lower demand reduces forecast prices |
|||
| Wool | ➔ | • Down from historical high in 18/19 • -10% YoY |
Availability – significant opportunity from normalising inventory availability
Availability for top 1,000 selling products currently below <80% for majority of product categories
12 Lower availability for top-selling and top GP-generating products
Self-fund inventory by prioritising items with high GP, long payment terms and low availability
Improving availability by 5-8%pts and assuming 50% sales uplift LFL1 would yield ~150-250 MNOK top line with ~50-100 MNOK in EBITDA impact
Potential
Up-sales and add-sales lists and strategies reintroduced from Category and Buying department
Local sales training in all stores
Optimize product selection lists for up-sales and add-sales
Defining routines for displaying up-sales and add-sales products in stores including bundles
Sales competitions in place in all stores and departments, across countries
service)
Signage and in-store material improvements to facilitate mechanical sales and fulfilment
Electronic price tags are marked where XXL is cheapest on Prisjakt (price checking
Launched new entry and exit area product
lists as well as for hot spots in each
department in stores
Identify and document best practices for non-sales activities in stores to improve efficiency
Roll-out of new RFID tagging routines to all stores, more tagging done centrally and by suppliers going forward
Change of pricing process
~50-100 MNOK in
untapped potential
2
Room for improvement as ~37% of returns are due to wrong fit
Reduces transport costs, improves NWC and keeps 50% of sales
Slightly lower conversion rate than peers of 1.9% vs. above 2%
1
3
Potential impact: NOK >20m Potential impact: NOK >20m from reducing return rates by ~2%pts
Potential impact: NOK >30m
* Rental costs not part of reported EBITDA
XXL's journey ahead – different overall focus for each year going forward
Top line quick wins and cost control
X
Accelerate key top line levers
2023 2024 2025
New business models and strategic change
35
EBITDA of NOK 90 million (NOK 240 million).
Total operating revenue in the quarter amounted to SEK 584 million (SEK 657 million). The driver was a negative like for like growth of 14.4 percent in local currency under weak and volatile market conditions with lower overall demand.
The starting point, market conditions and challenges
43
Sources: Norway - Norske Sportsbransjeforening; Sweden – Bain; Finland – TMA; please be aware of different market definitions in each country
Source: online traffic figures from Similarweb
Market XXL
E24.no, 10th of November 2022
49
Actions implemented
Improved category planning, forecasting and control
Reduced purchasing prices over time
XXL should have the flexibility to handle continued weak market development in second half of 2023
XXL will need to buy more goods in second half of 2023
Private label products have materially higher gross margins
Strategy to increase share of private label products to elevate Group gross margins
Stormberg was an important first step in accomplishing the strategy with its strong brand preference and attractive margins
Source: Schjærven
But still room for significant improvements in:
| Overview of loyalty programs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XXL | Comp. #1 | Comp. #2 | Comp. #3 | Comp. #4 | Comp. #5 | Comp. #6 | Comp. #7 | ||
| Financial points/cashback | | | | | | | | | |
| Qualifying points | | | | | | | | | |
| m | Tiered levels | | | | | | | | |
| Mechanis | Community | | | | | | | | |
| Partner program | | | | | | | | | |
| Subscription | | | | | | | | | |
| Gamification | | | | | | | | | |
| Member prices | | | | | | | | | |
| Free shipping | | | | | | | | | |
| Discount on high frequency items | | | | | | | | | |
| Personal offers and discounts | | | | | | | | | |
| Benefits*** | VIP access to sales | | | | | | | | |
| Price guarantee | | | | | | | | | |
| Access to exclusive warranties | | | | | | | | | |
| Webinars/seminars | | | | | | | | | |
| Birthday gift | | | | | | | | | |
| Welcome gift | | | | | | | | | |
| | Yes |
To some extent
No
| Advertisement awareness poll | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Brand name | Score (2/6 – 15/6) |
Previous score (19/5 – 1/6) |
|||||
| 1 | Kiwi | 43.0 | 33.4 | |||||
| 2 | Rema 1000 | 39.1 | 37.3 | |||||
| 3 | Extra | 33.1 | 31.0 | |||||
| 4 | XXL | 29.5 | 26.1 | |||||
| 5 | Europris | 28.9 | 23.2 | |||||
| 6 | Jula | 28.3 | 29.2 | |||||
| 7 | Obs | 28.2 | 20.2 | |||||
| 8 | Telenor | 26.4 | 22.2 | |||||
| 9 | Obs Bygg |
25.4 | 25.7 | |||||
| 10 | Finn.no | 24.5 | 33.0 | |||||
| 11 | Grandiosa | 23.8 | 15.4 | |||||
| 12 | Coca-Cola | 23.8 | 27.3 | |||||
| 13 | Power | 22.9 | 32.3 | |||||
| 14 | Spar | 22.7 | 15.3 | |||||
| 15 | DNB | 22.0 | 15.9 | |||||
| 16 | Vipps | 22.0 | 23.1 | |||||
| 17 | Telia | 20.9 | 19.2 | |||||
| 18 | Meny | 20.8 | 27.0 | |||||
| 19 | Ice | 20.7 | 19.4 | |||||
| 20 | Elkjøp | 20.7 | 25.3 |
Media Mix for 2023 significantly changed – more DR and TV
Yearly wheel for 2023 is established
Campaign themes and sales message per week in 2023 is established
Establish more traditional XXL marketing messages
✓
New DR layout – partly launched from week 50 2022 and completely new DR layout from week 5 2023
Reorganisation of the Marketing department – implemented in December 2022
Source: Yougov BrandIndex
Stores HQ
* Excluding IFRS 16 effects; 1 Excluding Austria
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