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Axactor SE

Investor Presentation Feb 15, 2024

3549_rns_2024-02-15_86ac352d-79ee-4661-a3b3-7761571ee0ae.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Q4 and full year highlights

Financial update

Financial targets

Q&A

Financial highlights for the quarter on continuing operations

  • Gross revenue declining by 4% y-o-y
    • On the back of a challenging macro situation, moderate investments in 2023 and currency headwind

  • Healthy EBITDA margin of 53%
  • EBITDA of EUR 34m, up from EUR 31m last year

  • Annualized return on equity of 9%
    • Driven by EBIT-growth and positive one-time effects on tax

Discontinued operations (REO) fully run off

Axactor business model developing positively - EBITDA is up 24% and the EBITDA-margin is up with 5pp last 8 quarters

EBITDA and EBITDA-margin (EUR million and %)

4

2023 in perspective

- Another material step in the right direction on key financials

5 Comment: Stated numbers are for continuing operations. 2021 numbers are fully restated in company financial statements. 2016-2020 figures are estimated without considering certain intercompany eliminations and consolidation effects

NPL value drivers steadily improving

Gross IRR on the total NPL book (%, end of period)

Acquiring portfolios with higher returns…

…and collect on the portfolios with lower cost

Discontinued operations (REO) is now fully run off in accordance with the guidance

Total income and net profit discontinued operations1 (EUR million and %) 8 5 4 3 Total Income Net profit

Book value discontinued operations (EUR million)

Comments

  • Satisfying total income in Q4 of EUR 2m
  • Impairment of EUR 1m in Q4 as part of fully exiting the segment
  • Consequently, Axactor will not report discontinued operations as of Q1 2024

After successful refinancing in 2023 there are no maturities until June 2026

Q4 and full year highlights

Financial update

Financial targets

Q&A

Group: Gross revenue is down 4% y-o-y driven by the NPL segment

Gross revenue

(EUR million)

  • Gross revenue is down 4% y-o-y
    • NPL gross revenue declining by 6% y-o-y
    • 3PC gross revenue growth of 3% y-o-y
  • Estimated gross revenue decline of 2% y-o-y with constant currency

NPL segment: A soft quarter on NPL with pressure on both total income and margins

NPL Total income and CM% (EUR million, and %)

  • Total income and margins down q-o-q on the back of macroeconomic headwinds
  • Collection performance of 99% for the quarter and for the year
    • Satisfactory collection in southern Europe
    • Debtors in Nordics and Germany opt for longer payment plans with lower monthly installments

3PC segment: A solid quarter on 3PC with growth in both total income and margins

3PC Total income and CM% (EUR million and %)

  • 3PC total income growth of 3% y-o-y
    • Growth driven by Southern Europe
    • Organic growth of 4% if we exclude Sweden and Finland
  • Margins up driven by strict cost control and yearend bonuses
  • Positive one-time effect on total income from exiting Sweden and Finland of EUR 0.5m

Group: Growth y-o-y on both total income and EBITDA. Cash EBITDA with headwind on currency and macro

Total income (EUR million)

EBITDA and EBITDA-margin (EUR million and %)

Cash EBITDA (EUR million)

ROE upheld at 8% on continuing operations last twelve months – despite increased cost of funding

Return on equity to shareholders (%)

Update on interest rate hedge

Q4 was the last quarter with an interest rate hedge in place from a cash flow perspective

In the profit and loss statement, Axactor will still have positive effects from the hedge1

  • EUR 1.0m per quarter in 2024
  • EUR 0.8m per quarter in 2025

Going forward Axactor will aim at hedging each vintage of NPL investments with a matching interest rate hedge

Q4 and full year highlights

Financial update

Financial targets

Q&A

Financial targets 2023

Dimension Targets 2023
Growth
NPL investments of EUR 100 -
150 million
Profit
Minimum 9%
ROE
Returns
20 -
50% dividend pay-out ratio
Leverage1
Maximum leverage of 3.5x at year-end

Actuals 2023

• NPL investments of EUR 116 million

  • 8% ROE
  • Proposal to be announced in connection with publication of the annual report
  • Leverage of 3.9x at year-end

Launching financial targets for 2026

Dimension Financial targets 2026
Growth
NPL investments of EUR 100 –
200 million annually
Profit ROE1

Minimum 12%
Returns
20 -
50% dividend pay-out ratio annually
Leverage2
Maximum leverage of 3.5x

18 1) Assuming EURIBOR and STIBOR of 2.0% and NIBOR of 2.9% in 2026. The target is excluding any possible one-time financial cost related to refinancing 2) Leverage = (net interest-bearing debt / pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA). As defined in the bond covenants

2024 – is the tide turning?

  • Interest rates start to decline?
  • Improving bond market?
  • Reduced inflation?
  • Investment volumes gradually coming back?
  • Portfolio prices stabilizing at attractive levels?

Q4 and full year highlights

Financial update

Financial targets

Q&A

Supporting information

NPL investment commitments of EUR 8m next 12 months

Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)

Additional forward flow agreements and one-off acquisitions expected to further increase NPL

ERC increasing by 3% last twelve months

ERC development (EUR million)

Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million)

3PC volumes by geographic region

3PC Total income split by geographic region

  • Spain accounting for 56% of total income on 3PC
  • Segment closed down in Finland and Sweden, with no active clients per year-end 2023

Bond covenants (1/2)

Loan-to-value - covenant ≤80%

(Net interest-bearing debt divided by total portfolio book value)

Secured Loan-to-value - covenant ≤60%

(Secured net interest-bearing debt divided by total portfolio book value)

Bond covenants (2/2)

Leverage ratio - covenant ≤4.0x

(Net interest-bearing debt divided by LTM Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA

Interest coverage ratio - covenant ≥3.0x (Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA divided by net interest expenses)

Terms and abbreviations

Abbreviations

3PC Third-party
collection
AGM Annual general
meeting
APM Alternative
performance
measures
ARM Accounts
receivable
management
B2B Business
to
business
Terms B2C Business
to
consumer
BoD Board
of
Directors
Active
forecast
Forecast
of
estimated
remaining
collection
on
NPL
portfolios
BS Consolidated
statement
of
financial
position
(balance
sheet)
Board Board
of
directors
CF Consolidated
statement
of
cash
flows
Cash
EBITDA
margin
Cash
EBITDA
as
a
percentage
of
gross
revenue
CGU Cash
generating
unit
Chair Chair
of
the
board
of
directors
CM Contribution
margin
Contribution
margin
(%)
Total
operating
expenses
(excluding
SG&A,
IT
and
corporate
cost)
as
a
percentage
D&A Depreciation
and
amortization
of
total
income
Dopex Direct
operating
expenses
Collection
performance
Gross collection on NPL portfolios in relation to active forecast, including sale of EBIT Operating profit/Earnings before interest and tax
repossessed
assets in relation to book value
Cost-to-collect Cost to collect is calculated as segment operating expenses plus a pro rata EBITDA Earnings
before
interest,
tax,
depreciation
and
amortization
allocation of
unallocated
operating
expenses
and
unallocated
depreciation
and
ECL Expected
credit
loss
amortization.
The
segment
operating expense is used as allocation key for the
EGM Extraordinary
general
meeting
unallocated costs EPS Earnings
per
share
Equity
ratio
Total
equity
as
a
percentage
of
total
equity
and
liabilities
ERC Estimated
remaining
collection
Forward
flow agreement
Agreement
for
future
acquisitions
of
NPLs
at
agreed
prices
and
delivery
ESG Environmental,
social
and
governance
Gross
IRR
The
credit
adjusted
interest
rate
that
makes
the
net
present
value
of
ERC
equal
to
ESOP Employee
stock
ownership
plan
NPL
book
value,
calculated using monthly cash flows over a 180-months period
FSA The
financial
supervisory
authority
Group Axactor
ASA
and
all
its
subsidiaries
FTE Full
time
equivalent
GHG Greenhouse
gas
emissions
NPL
amortization rate
NPL
amortization
divided
by
collection
on
own
NPL
portfolios
IFRS International
financial
reporting
standards
NPL
cost-to-collect
ratio
NPL
cost
to
collect
divided
by
NPL
total
income
excluding
NPV
of
changes
in
LTV Loan
to
value
collection
forecasts and
change
in
fair
value
of
forward
flow
commitments
NCI Non-controlling
interests
One
off
portfolio
acquisition
Acquisition
of
a
single
portfolio
of
NPLs
NPL Non-performing
loan
Opex Total
operating
expenses
OB Outstanding
balance,
the
total
amount
Axactor
can
collect
on
claims
under
Recovery
rate
Portion
of
the original
debt
repaid
management,
including outstanding principal, interest and fees
Replacement
capex
Acquisitions
of
new
NPLs
to
keep
the
same
book
value
of
NPLs
from
last
period
OCI Consolidated
statement
of
other
comprehensive
income
Repossession Taking
possession
of
property
due
to
default
on
payment
of
loans
secured
by
P&L Consolidated
statement
of
profit
or
loss
property PCI Purchased
credit
impaired
Repossessed
assets
Property
repossessed
from
secured
non-performing
loans
PPA Purchase
price
allocations
REO Real
estate
owned
SG&A,
IT
and
corporate
cost
Total
operating
expenses
for
overhead
functions,
such
as
HR,
finance
and
legal
etc
ROE Return
on
equity
Solution
rate
Accumulated paid principal amount for the period divided by accumulated SDG Sustainable
development
goal
collectable principal
amount for the period. Usually expressed on a monthly basis
SG&A Selling,
general
&
administrative
SPV Special
purpose
vehicle
VIU Value
in
use
VPS Verdipapirsentralen/Norwegian
central
securities
depository
WACC Weighted
average
cost
of
capital

WAEP Weighted average exercise price

27

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