Capital/Financing Update • May 21, 2024
Capital/Financing Update
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17 May 2024
London, May 17, 2024 -- Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today downgraded Axactor ASA's (Axactor) Corporate Family Rating (CFR) to B2 from B1 and its senior unsecured ratings to Caa1 from B3 and placed the ratings on review for downgrade. Previously, the issuer outlook was positive.
The downgrade reflects Axactor's weakened financial performance in the currently challenging macroeconomic environment for debt purchasers, characterized by reduced collections in certain regions and further exacerbated by the increased cost of funding. Contrary to the rating agency's expectations, the firm's gross debt/EBITDA metric has deteriorated as a result of lower-than-expected recoveries and higher funding cost. The decline in EBITDA in 1Q 2024 has put Axactor at the risk of the covenant breach for leverage and interest coverage for next quarter, which would result in the event of default under its bond loan agreements and cross-default with its revolving credit facility, unless the company obtains an amendment of its financial covenant thresholds from the bondholders in advance of a potential breach or requests a waiver following the breach.
By the end of 1Q 2024, Axactor's leverage ratio, calculated as net Debt/EBITDA on the last twelve-month basis, was approximately 4x, right below the covenant threshold of 4.0x, as defined in the bond loan agreements. In addition, the company's interest coverage declined to 3.2x in the same period, leaving little headroom relative to the covenant level of 3.0x.
Moody's deems Axactor's lack of proactive measures taken to minimize the risk of the event of default by addressing the proximity of its covenant metrics to their thresholds as a risk management weakness, reflecting it in a lowering of the governance issuer profile score (IPS) to G-4 from G-3 under the rating agency's environmental, social
and governance (ESG) framework. As such, Moody's views Axactor's exposure to governance risk as high, which is now also reflected in a one-notch negative adjustment for corporate behaviour and risk management included in the B2 CFR. Consequently, Axactor's Credit Impact Score was lowered to CIS-4 from CIS-3, indicating that the company's risk management weaknesses have a material impact on the ratings.
During the review, Moody's will assess Axactor's strategy for addressing the risk of the covenant violation in the next quarter and beyond, in light of the company's weakened financial performance.
A rating upgrade is unlikely given that Axactor's ratings are on review for downgrade. Axactor's ratings could be confirmed if Moody's concludes that the risk of default stemming from a potential covenant breach in the coming quarter and beyond will likely to be successfully addressed by the company, and if the rating agency comes to believe that there will be no further deterioration in the company's financial performance, including cash collections, leverage, interest coverage and liquidity.
Axactor's ratings will be downgraded if Moody's concludes that there is a high risk of default associated with a potential covenant breach. Axactor's ratings could also be downgraded if Moody's concludes that company will be likely to operate with higher leverage (above 4x gross Debt/EBITDA) and reduced interest coverage (EBITDA/Interest Expense below 3x) for an extended period of time, even if the covenant levels are successfully amended.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Finance Companies Methodology published in November 2019 and available at https://ratings.moodys.com/rmc-documents/65543 . Alternatively, please see the Rating Methodologies page on https://ratings.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity to Assumptions in the disclosure form. Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions can be found on https://ratings.moodys.com/rating-definitions .
For ratings issued on a program, series, category/class of debt or security this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series, category/class of debt, security or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing
ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the issuer/deal page for the respective issuer on https://ratings.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action, and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action, the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity. Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures, if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
These ratings are solicited. Please refer to Moody's Policy for Designating and Assigning Unsolicited Credit Ratings available on its website https://ratings.moodys.com.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review.
At least one ESG consideration was material to the credit rating action(s) announced and described above.
Moody's general principles for assessing environmental, social and governance (ESG) risks in our credit analysis can be found at https://ratings.moodys.com/documents/PBC_1355824 .
The Global Scale Credit Rating(s) discussed in this Credit Rating Announcement was(were) issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the EU and is(are) endorsed for use in the EU in accordance with the EU CRA Regulation.
Please see https://ratings.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.
Please see the issuer/deal page on https://ratings.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Anna Sherbakova Vice President - Senior Analyst Financial Institutions Group
Moody's Investors Service Ltd. One Canada Square Canary Wharf London, E14 5FA United Kingdom JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456 Client Service: 44 20 7772 5454
Carola Schuler MD - Banking Financial Institutions Group JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456 Client Service: 44 20 7772 5454
Releasing Office: Moody's Investors Service Ltd. One Canada Square Canary Wharf London, E14 5FA United Kingdom JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456 Client Service: 44 20 7772 5454
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