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Axactor SE

Investor Presentation Aug 15, 2024

3549_rns_2024-08-15_31f5867d-9203-49db-8f24-069d5d657dad.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Financial highlights for the quarter

Gross revenue declining by 2% y-o-y

  • On the back of a challenging macro situation and moderate investments in 2023
  • Ramping up NPL investments to EUR 70m a first start to return to growth

Cash EBITDA increasing by 3% y-o-y

• Strict cost control in all markets offset declining gross revenue and inflation

Healthy EBITDA margin of 51%

• EBITDA of EUR 30m, down from EUR 33m last year

Annualized return on equity of 4%

• Burdened by "higher for longer" interest rates and a challenging collection environment

Ramping up NPL investments on an accretive price level

- Gross IRR on the total NPL book up 3.0pp last 3 years

NPL investments and Gross IRR on the total NPL book (EUR million, %)

Strict cost control enables a reduction in total operating expenses of 11% y-o-y, despite inflationary pressure

Total operating expenses (EUR million)

Total operating expenses down 11% y-o-y

  • Third consecutive quarter with y-o-y reduction despite inflationary pressure
  • OPEX %1 down to 32%, lowest recorded since inception
  • Key driver of Cash EBITDA growth for the quarter

Two new projects under implementation to support the goal of being able to continue to "absorb" inflation

Site consolidation in Italy

  • Closure of the office in Cuneo was announced on 1 July affecting approximately 100 employees in Italy
  • All employees will be offered to relocate to the three competence centers for the future
    • Milazzo Amicable collection
    • Milan Legal collection
    • Grosseto Italy headquarter and back-office

New IT infrastructure provider

  • Through a comprehensive procurement process during the spring, Advania was chosen as new IT infrastructure partner
  • The new contract will reduce IT cost

Axactor will benefit materially if interest rates declines

EURIBOR 3 months (Jan '20 – Jul '24)1

Axactor is exposed to changes in interest rates

• 95% of net interest-bearing debt is unhedged

Status on interest rate hedges

  • 5% of net interest-bearing debt is hedged2
  • In addition, in the P&L there will be a positive effect of EUR 1m per quarter in 2024 and EUR 0.8m in 2025 from a realized hedge contract

Interest rates are fixed around the beginning of the quarter for Axactor

Highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Group: Gross revenue is down 2% y-o-y on the back of low NPL investments in 2023

Gross revenue

(EUR million)

  • Gross revenue is down 2% y-o-y
    • NPL gross revenue declining by 3% y-o-y
    • 3PC gross revenue increasing by 2% y-o-y
  • Positive development on 3PC, especially given that 3PC was closed in Sweden and Finland during the fall

NPL segment: Total income is up q-o-q with improved margins

NPL Total income and CM% (EUR million, and %)

  • Total income down y-o-y on the back of macroeconomic headwinds
  • Improved margin, from 76% to 78% y-o-y, driven by cost improvement projects
  • Collection performance of 93% for the quarter
    • Norway and Germany most challenging

3PC segment: Positive development on both the top line and margins

3PC Total income and CM% (EUR million and %)

  • 3PC total income growth of 2% y-o-y
    • 8% growth excluding the closure of 3PC in Sweden and Finland
  • Margins slightly up driven by strict cost control and closure of low margin customers and markets
  • Expect growth in total income and margins from newly signed contracts with effect from Q3

Group: Cash EBITDA turned back to growth and is up EUR 12m q-o-q

Total income

EBITDA and EBITDA-margin (EUR million and %)

Cash EBITDA (EUR million)

ROE of 4% last twelve months – despite increased cost of funding and a challenging collection environment

Return on equity to shareholders (%)

Highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Outlook for 2024

1 Collection
Experience a challenging collection environment which is expected to
prevail throughout 2024
2 OPEX
Absorbed inflation and achieved OPEX reduction y-o-y last three
quarters. Expect to be able to continue the trend
3 Cost of funding
Expect only modest reduction in cost of funding in 2024
4 NPL investments
Expect to reach the target of NPL investments of EUR 100 to 200m for
the year. EUR 81m invested YTD Q2
5 Covenants
Compliant on all covenants per Q2
Monitoring ICR1

and Leverage ratio as the current headroom is limited

Highlights

Financial update

Outlook

Q&A

Supporting information

NPL investment commitments of EUR 8m next 12 months

Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)

ERC increasing by 4% last twelve months

ERC development (EUR million)

Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million)

3PC volumes by geographic region

3PC Total income split by geographic region

  • Spain accounting for 56% of total income on 3PC
  • Segment closed down in Finland and Sweden, with no active clients per year-end 2023

Bond covenants (1/2)

Leverage ratio - covenant ≤4.0x

(Net interest-bearing debt divided by LTM Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA)

Interest coverage ratio - covenant ≥3.0x (Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA divided by net interest expenses)

Bond covenants (2/2)

Loan-to-value - covenant ≤80% (Net interest-bearing debt divided by total portfolio book value)

Secured Loan-to-value - covenant ≤60%

(Secured net interest-bearing debt divided by total portfolio book value)

Terms and abbreviations

Abbreviations

3PC Third-party
collection
AGM Annual general
meeting
APM Alternative
performance
measures
ARM Accounts
receivable
management
B2B Business
to
business
Terms B2C Business
to
consumer
BoD Board
of
Directors
Active
forecast
Forecast
of
estimated
remaining
collection
on
NPL
portfolios
BS Consolidated
statement
of
financial
position
(balance
sheet)
Board Board
of
directors
CF Consolidated
statement
of
cash
flows
Cash
EBITDA
margin
Cash
EBITDA
as
a
percentage
of
gross
revenue
CGU Cash
generating
unit
Chair Chair
of
the
board
of
directors
CM Contribution
margin
Contribution
margin
(%)
Total
operating
expenses
(excluding
SG&A,
IT
and
corporate
cost)
as
a
percentage
D&A Depreciation
and
amortization
of
total
income
Dopex Direct
operating
expenses
Collection
performance
Gross collection on NPL portfolios in relation to active forecast, including sale of EBIT Operating profit/Earnings before interest and tax
repossessed
assets in relation to book value
EBITDA Earnings
before
interest,
tax,
depreciation
and
amortization
Cost-to-collect Cost to collect is calculated as segment operating expenses plus a pro rata ECL Expected
credit
loss
allocation of
unallocated
operating
expenses
and
unallocated
depreciation
and
EGM Extraordinary
general
meeting
amortization.
The
segment
operating expense is used as allocation key for the
EPS Earnings
per
share
unallocated costs ERC Estimated
remaining
collection
Equity
ratio
Total
equity
as
a
percentage
of
total
equity
and
liabilities
Forward
flow agreement
Agreement
for
future
acquisitions
of
NPLs
at
agreed
prices
and
delivery
ESG Environmental,
social
and
governance
Gross
IRR
The
credit
adjusted
interest
rate
that
makes
the
net
present
value
of
ERC
equal
to
ESOP Employee
stock
ownership
plan
NPL
book
value,
calculated using monthly cash flows over a 180-months period
FSA The
financial
supervisory
authority
Group Axactor
ASA
and
all
its
subsidiaries
FTE Full
time
equivalent
NPL
amortization rate
NPL
amortization
divided
by
collection
on
own
NPL
portfolios
GHG Greenhouse
gas
emissions
NPL
cost-to-collect
ratio
NPL
cost
to
collect
divided
by
NPL
total
income
excluding
NPV
of
changes
in
IFRS International
financial
reporting
standards
collection
forecasts and
change
in
fair
value
of
forward
flow
commitments
LTV Loan
to
value
One
off
portfolio
acquisition
Acquisition
of
a
single
portfolio
of
NPLs
NCI Non-controlling
interests
Opex Total
operating
expenses
NPL Non-performing
loan
Recovery
rate
Portion
of
the original
debt
repaid
OB Outstanding
balance,
the
total
amount
Axactor
can
collect
on
claims
under
Replacement
capex
Acquisitions
of
new
NPLs
to
keep
the
same
book
value
of
NPLs
from
last
period
management,
including outstanding principal, interest and fees
OCI Consolidated
statement
of
other
comprehensive
income
Repossession Taking
possession
of
property
due
to
default
on
payment
of
loans
secured
by
P&L Consolidated
statement
of
profit
or
loss
property PCI Purchased
credit
impaired
Repossessed
assets
Property
repossessed
from
secured
non-performing
loans
PPA Purchase
price
allocations
SG&A,
IT
and
corporate
cost
Total
operating
expenses
for
overhead
functions,
such
as
HR,
finance
and
legal
etc
REO Real
estate
owned
Solution
rate
Accumulated paid principal amount for the period divided by accumulated ROE Return
on
equity
SDG Sustainable
development
goal
collectable principal
amount for the period. Usually expressed on a monthly basis
SG&A Selling,
general
&
administrative
SPV Special
purpose
vehicle
VIU Value
in
use
VPS Verdipapirsentralen/Norwegian
central
securities
depository
WACC Weighted
average
cost
of
capital

WAEP Weighted average exercise price

23

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