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AF Gruppen

Investor Presentation Nov 15, 2024

3522_rns_2024-11-15_14014e44-0519-4228-bb6e-65cac1587025.pdf

Investor Presentation

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AF Gruppen ASA Q3 2024

15 November 2024

Overview

High activity level with improved profitability in the 3rd quarter

  • Revenue of NOK 7,204 (6,907) million in Q3 and NOK 22,043 (22,152) million year-to-date
  • Earnings before tax of NOK 289 (103) million in Q3 and NOK 496 (408) million year-to-date
  • Profit margin of 4.0% (1.5%) in Q3 and 2.2% (1.8%) year-to-date
  • Cash flow from operations of NOK 348 (494) million in Q3 and NOK 1,137 (697) million year-to-date
  • Order intake of NOK 5,393 (4,078) million in Q3 and NOK 16,493 (24,251) million year-to-date
  • Order backlog of NOK 36,442 (41,864) million as of 30 September 2024
  • Net interest-bearing debt of NOK 780 (1,381) million as of 30 September 2024

3rd quarter 2024

Health and Safety

Number of lost-time injuries and severe personnel injuries not resulting in lost-time, including subcontractor employees, per million hours worked

Number of lost-time injuries, injuries involving substitute work and medical treatment injuries, including subcontractor employees, per million hours worked

Revenues and earnings

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 NOK million Q3 23 Q4 23 Q1 24 Q2 24 Q3 24 6,907 7,204

Return on Capital Employed

* Last four quarters

Interest expences added

* Rolling average last four quarters

The Group's target return on capital employed is 20%

Cash flow statement

NOK million Q3
2024
Q3
2023
YTD
2024
YTD
2023
Cash flow from operations
EBIT 304 128 542 447 NOK million
Depreciation, amortisation and impairment 185 142 514 408 1,552
Change in net working capital -101 240 285 62 1,600
Taxes paid -24 -41 -142 -193 1,400
Other -16 24 -62 -27 1,200
Cash flow from operations
Net investments
Dividend to shareholders in ASA
Other capital transactions
Interest paid and change in interest bearing debt
348
-57
0
-31
-161
494
-104
0
-22
-330
1,137
-278
-380
-336
30
697
-504
-700
-185
407
1,000
800
697
600
400
200
Net change in cash and cash equivalents 98 38 172 -285 0
Net cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period 411 494 347 765 2021 2022 2023
Change in cash and cash equivalents without cash effect 13 -7 3 45 YTD 2023
Net cash and cash equivalents end of period 522 526 522 526 YTD 2024

Net interest-bearing debt and liquidity

Components net interest-bearing receivables (debt)

Balance Sheet

NOK million 30.09.24 30.09.23 31.12.23
Non-current assets 8,703 8,242 8,407
Current assets, ex. cash 6,486 6,241 5,894
Cash and cash equivalents 522 526 347
Total assets 15,711 15,009 14,647
Equity 3,051 2,973 3,203
Long term debt 1,306 1,337 1,338
Short term debt 10,106
Total equity
and debt
15,711 15,009 14,647

All the company's covenants exclude the effect of IFRS 16

Environment

1 Regulatory requirement of 70%

YTD 2024

Recycling environmental parks Recycling rate 77% (78%) YTD in 2024

Business Areas

3rd quarter 2024

High activity and good profitability

NOK million Q3 24 Q3 23 YTD 3Q 24 YTD 3Q 23
Revenues 2,353 1,680 6,797 4,636
EBIT 150 129 406 310
EBT 169 135 454 320
EBIT % 6.4% 7.7% 6.0% 6.7%
EBT % 7.2% 8.0% 6.7% 6.9%
  • Civil Engineering reports high activity and a good result in Q3
  • AF Anlegg deliver strong revenue growth and a good result in Q3. Målselv Maskin & Transport, VSP and Stenseth & RS deliver very good results
  • AF Anlegg was awarded a contract for expansion of a sewage treatment plant in Romerike. The collaboration contract has an expected value of NOK 1,000 million excl. VAT and will be included in the order backlog once phase 2 contract is signed
  • After the close of the quarter AF Anlegg announced the signing of phase 2 of the contract with Oslo kommune for new water treatment system in Huseby with a value of ca NOK 7,600 million excl. VAT
  • Order intake: NOK 1,684 (1,092) million. Order backlog: NOK 14,383 (19,441) million

Increasing order intake

NOK million Q3 24 Q3 23 YTD 3Q 24 YTD 3Q 23
Revenues 2,016 2,285 6,499 7,549
EBIT 60 93 219 256
EBT 62 89 225 240
EBIT % 3.0% 4.1% 3.4% 3.4%
EBT % 3.1% 3.9% 3.5% 3.2%
  • Construction reports revenue decline of 12% relative to Q3 of last year. AF Bygg Østfold, Strøm Gundersen, Haga & Berg and ÅBF deliver very good results in the quarter. AF Byggfornyelse deliver good results
  • AF Bygg Oslo, Strøm Gundersen Vestfold, LAB and HTB have results somewhat below expectations, FAS reports results below expectations and AF Håndverk has a weak result in the quarter
  • Four new contracts were announced in the quarter with a combined value of NOK 550 million excl. VAT. After the close of the quarter Construction announced contracts with a combined value of approximately NOK 2,430 million, of which Diakonhjemmet Campus accounts for NOK 1,400 million excl. VAT
  • Order intake: NOK 1,317 (1,150) million. Order backlog: NOK 9,444 (9,335) million

Betonmast

Stable activity and improved profitability

NOK million Q3 24 Q3 23 YTD 3Q 24 YTD 3Q 23
Revenues 1,061 1,059 3,045 3,382
EBIT 38 19 28 86
EBT 50 25 59 102
EBIT % 3.6% 1.8% 0.9% 2.6%
EBT % 4.7% 2.3% 1.9% 3.0%
  • Betonmast maintains activity levels from Q3 of last year
  • Betonmast Asker og Bærum delivers a very good result in the quarter. Trøndelag, Røsand, Innlandet, Buskerud-Vestfold and Østfold deliver good results
  • Betonmast Romerike has a result somewhat below expectations, and Betonmast Boligbygg and Oslo have weak results in the quarter
  • Three new contracts have been announced in the quarter with a combined value of NOK 521 million
  • Order intake: NOK 776 (1,047) million. Order backlog: NOK 5,027 (4,887) million

Property

Low sales

NOK million Q3 24 Q3 23 YTD 3Q 24 YTD 3Q 23
Revenues 4 4 15 20
EBIT -14 -4 -28 -9
EBT -10 0 -16 0
Capital employed 937 792 937 792
  • An uncertain market sentiment and high interest rates affect sales negatively and contribute to low sales in the quarter. Sales contracts for 22 (5) residential units were signed in the quarter, whereof AF's share was 11 (2)
  • Three residential projects with a total of 368 units are in production (AF's share is 184). The sales ratio in commenced projects is 63%
  • Residential portfolio under development: 1,464 (1,629) units. AF's share: 742 (813)
  • Commercial portfolio under development: 73,407 (73,107) GFA sqm. AF's share: 36,524 (36,374)

Sweden

Continuing low profitability

NOK million Q3 24 Q3 23 YTD 3Q 24 YTD 3Q 23
Revenues 1,165 1,567 3,927 5,644
EBIT 1 0 4 -135
EBT -3 -4 -6 -141
EBIT % 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% -2.4%
EBT % -0.3% -0.2% -0.2% -2.5%
  • Sweden still has large variations in the entities' performances
  • AF Prefab deliver very good results. Kanonaden og HMB deliver good results. AF Bygg Syd and AF Härnösand Byggreturer have results somewhat below expectations in the quarter. Remaining entities have weak results in Q3
  • HMB has entered a turnkey contract for the construction of 333 new apartments in Stockholm for Reliwe with a combined value of SEK 459 million excl. VAT
  • After the close of the quarter Kanonaden together with Hitachi Energy have been awarded a contract by Svenska kraftnät. Kanonadens share amounts to SEK 900 million excl. VAT with options of additional SEK 400 million excl. VAT
  • Order intake: NOK 1,245 (511) million. Order backlog: NOK 4,518 (5,156) million

Stable revenue and good result

NOK million Q3 24 Q3 23 YTD 3Q 24 YTD 3Q 23
Revenues 383 381 1,109 994
EBIT 24 21 64 51
EBT 23 22 61 56
EBIT % 6.3% 5.6% 5.8% 5.1%
EBT % 6.0% 5.9% 5.5% 5.6%
  • Energy and Environment maintains activity levels compared to Q3 of last year and reports a good result in the quarter
  • AF Energi reports significant revenue growth from Q3 of last year with a very good result in Q3. AF Decom delivers a good result
  • AF Decom has so far this year sorted metal for recycling and recycled materials at the environmental centers corresponding to 24,356 (24,342) CO2-equivalents
  • Order intake: NOK 361 (300) million. Order backlog: NOK 1,186 (1,403) million

Offshore

Higher activity than same quarter last year

NOK million Q3 24 Q3 23 YTD 3Q 24 YTD 3Q 23
Revenues 242 208 823 795
EBIT 14 -119 -206 -84
EBT 8 -126 -226 -98
EBIT % 6.0% -56.9% -25.0% -10.6%
EBT % 3.2% -60.2% -27.5% -12.3%
  • Aeron has strong revenue growth from Q3 of last year and delivers good profitability in the quarter
  • AF Offshore Decom maintains activity levels from Q3 of last year and has a weak result
  • As of the third quarter, metal sorted for recycling corresponds to savings of 13,878 (23,894) CO2-equivalents at AF Miljøbase Vats
  • Order intake: NOK 73 (125) million. Order backlog: NOK 1,702 (1,362) million

Considerable order intake after quarter close

Order Backlog Business Areas

18

Concrete: Trends and outlook

Q3 2024 | Theme presentation

Current situation for concrete

Globally

  • Concrete is one of the most widely used construction materials in the world
  • A considerable source of emissions
    • estimated 5-7% of global greenhouse gas emissions

Norway

  • Concrete is a significant input factor in all construction projects
  • Considerable efforts are made in developing environmentally friendly solutions within concrete

Concrete

How do we work with concrete in AF Gruppen?

A wide range of our construction entities have specialised competencies within concrete

In total 800 employees

We experience increased demand for competance and capacity

«Internal forum for concrete» for developing competance, connections and arenas for innovation

Concrete

We have a wide range of projects in AF Gruppen

Norway is a leading country in developing robust concrete solutions

Concrete

Most concrete structures have a relatively similar distribution of input factors and cost allocation

Ongoing significant price pressures in 20 24 and beyond

  • Prices of concrete have increased: Prices have increased 60% from 2015 to 2024
  • Expected increase in Norwegian CO2 fees: Will increase costs for the industry. Norwegian CO2 fee increases by 19% in 2024 with further linear increases to reach the government goal of 2,000 in 2030
  • Largest effects from cement: Contributes to increased project costs
  • Increased energy prices: Increases production costs of concrete

Concrete

Future challenges

  • All construction projects include use of concrete - there are no alternative solutions
  • A shortage of input factors is expected in the future
  • New CO2-friendly binders create challenges related to progress and frost resistance
  • Still a considerable source of emissions

Concrete

Innovation in many areas creates better solutions in the projects

Tailored solutions Robotised iron binding Measuring Scanning

Recycled aggregate Early involvement Rebuild and reuse

Expected future demand

The demand for concrete is expected to be stable and high in the future

  • Expected increase within construction
  • Stable/growing within civil engineering

Reduced access to commodities

  • Eco-friendly binders
  • Replace natural sand with crushed mountain
  • New types of binders Project Ny Vannforsyning i Oslo, Foto: Bård Gudim

Concrete

Our priorities in the future

  • Further improve technical competencies
  • Further strengthen innovation
  • Increase productivity
  • Be the customers preferred partner and a leader within concrete

3rd quarter 2024

Summary

NOK million Q3 24 Q3 23 YTD 3Q 24 YTD 3Q 23
Revenues 7,204 6,907 22,043 22,152
EBIT 304 128 542 447
EBT 289 103 496 408
EBIT % 4.2% 1.9% 2.5% 2.0%
EBT % 4.0% 1.5% 2.2% 1.8%
  • High activity and improved profitability
  • Strong financial position
  • Order intake: NOK 5,393 (4,078) million
  • Order backlog: NOK 36,442 (41,864) million
  • Significant order intake after quarter close

Thank you for your attention

Q4 | 14 February 2025

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