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Banca Ifis

Investor Presentation Nov 4, 2021

4153_10-q_2021-11-04_4fdd536c-e677-438d-bd96-374967dd13f9.pdf

Investor Presentation

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4 November 2021

Index

    1. 3Q21 results
    1. Appendices
    2. 2.1 Segment results
    3. 2.2 Consolidated financial data
    4. 2.3 La Scogliera: implications of CRD IV
    5. 2.4 Focus on PPA

3Q21 results

Key messages

  • Net income of €32mln in 3Q 21, €80mln in 9M 21 1
  • Net revenues of €157mln, the highest of the last 6 quarters. Net revenues excluding PPA of €151mln 2
  • NPL cash collection of €82mln, up vs. 3Q19 and 3Q20 3
  • Loan loss provisions at €20mln, including additional €8mln extra Covid-19 provisions in our NPL portfolio and €5mln for potential concentration risk 4
  • Lower range of our net income 2021FY guidance already achieved in 3Q21 5
  • We update our 2021 guidance: revenue of €570-590mln and net income of €90-100mln 6
  • CET1 at 11.68%, +0.24% vs. 2Q 21, excluding 9M21 net income (16.2% without La Scogliera in the consolidation perimeter) 7
  • Transfer of La Scogliera to Canton Vaud (CH): subject to satisfaction of conditions precedent, including an opinion from the Italian internal Revenue Agency, expected in late Dec 21 / early Jan 22. Banca Ifis will present the 2022-24 Plan shortly after 8

Net revenues

  • Net revenues of €157mln up strongly vs. 3Q19, 3Q20 and slightly higher than 2Q21
  • Net revenues excluding PPA of €151mln, confirming the Bank's ability to replace PPA with core revenues despite seasonality
  • NPL net revenues at €61mln, despite the court holiday season in August (strong July and September)
  • Commercial Banking net revenues at €74mln, equal to 2Q liveliness, fully offsetting seasonality of summer months
  • G&S includes €10mln benefit from TLTRO (0.5% due to the achievement of lending thresholds related to "special reference period" of 1 March 2020 - 31 March 2021)

Net revenues (including PPA) breakdown €mln

Npl Commercial & Corporate Banking G&S + Non core

Revenue performance by quickly adapting product offer to customer needs

Commercial Banking revenues: dynamically adapting commercial strategy, marketing and IT/operations

  • In 2019, we launched the lending 80% guaranteed by the State which was in strong demand in 2020
  • In 2021, we successfully switched to factoring on superbonus 110% credits, given that SMEs have already acquired significant medium term liquidity over the last months
  • Growth opportunities support price discipline in existing businesses

Stock of SME credits (€bn)*

* Source: management accounting data. Includes factoring to Italian SMEs (traditional + superbonus) and loans 80% guaranteed by State. Excludes factoring to Public Administration and factoring to foreign companies and to chemists. Excludes Aigis

Among the very first Italian banks to join the Net-Zero Banking Alliance

  • Alliance promoted by the United Nations aiming to speed up the transition of the economy to net-zero emissions by 2050
  • Brings together banks representing over a third of global banking assets, committed to bringing their lending and investment portfolios to net-zero emissions by 2050. Banks commit to intermediate targets (2030) and pubic reporting
  • Recognizes the vital role of finance in supporting the global transition of the real economy to netzero emissions

One of the 3 Italian banks to join in October 2021

  • ✓ Public commitment of Banca Ifis, in continuity with the environmental action already undertaken
  • ✓ Confirming the role played by Banca Ifis in supporting the transition of small and medium enterprises (Italy's backbone )
  • ✓ Banca Ifis to set its emissions-reducing targets on priority sectors within 18 months of signing and to report on them annually
  • ✓ Part of the long-term ESG strategy of the Bank: sustainability, in all its 3 components, and business development must be fully integrated and complementary
  • ✓ ESG leadership as a core pillar of our business and capital market strategy

Banca Ifis's limited exposure to priority 1 sectors (waste, mining and power/utilities) and priority 2 sectors (agriculture, building, transport) allows for ambitious 2030 targets to be announced in 2023/24

NPL collection up vs. 3Q19 and 3Q20

  • €82mln Npl cash collection in 3Q21
  • Actual cash collection continues to outperform internal model estimates, despite Covid-19
  • In 2Q21, Banca Ifis prudently initiated a detailed review of the potential long-term impact of Covid-19. The review, which has covered ca. 3/4 of the target portfolio, led to provisions of €9mln in 2Q21 and €8mln in 3Q21. We expect to complete the review by year end
  • On 2/11, Banca Ifis completed the largest direct purchase of 2021 in the Italian NPLs market, which will provide a solid contribution to the Bank's profitability over the next years
  • o Deal of €2.8bn GBV (300k unsecured small tickets), from Cerberus Capital Management L.P. (or affiliates)
  • o Banca Ifis's 2021 full year purchase target achieved in 3Q
  • o Confirms Banca Ifis as one of the few players capable of jumbo deals in short timeframe

Npl cash collection - €mln

Asset quality – 3Q21

Asset quality (€ mln)

Consolidated
ratios
1Q21 2Q21 3Q21
Gross Npe* 6.9% 6.4% 6.5%
Net Npe* 3.4% 3.2% 3.4%
Commercial &
Corporate Banking
Gross
Coverage
Net
Bad
loans
162 75% 40
UTPs 159 44% 89
Past dues 56 12% 49
Total Npes 376 53% 178
Non Core & G&S** Gross Coverage
%
Net
Bad
loans
24 33% 16
UTPs 54 49% 27
Past dues 7 18% 6
Total Npes 84 42% 49
  • In 3Q21, asset quality ratios showed a small increase QoQ mainly driven by the decrease in customer loans
    • o Gross Npe Ratio*: 6.5% (6.4% in 2Q21)
    • o Net Npe Ratio*: 3.4% (3.2% in 2Q21)
  • Gross and Net Npe in Commercial & Corporate Banking came in at €376mln (388mln in 2Q21) and €178mln (€176mln in 2Q21), respectively
  • In 3Q21 loan loss provisions at €20mln, including additional €8mln extra Covid-19 provisions in our NPL portfolio and €5mln for potential concentration risk
  • Npl Business not included in this analysis. Npe ratios (excluding Npl Segment and Italian Government Bonds at amortized costs included in customer loans) reported:

*Includes commercial loans in Commercial Banking, Non Core and G&S. It excludes Npl business and €1.6bn Government bonds at amortized costs in G&S.

Gross Npes in Commercial and Corporate Banking include ~€25mln factoring technical past due mainly loans to the PA which do not represent a significant asset quality risk ** NPEs in Non Core & G&S that arose from the acquisition of former Interbanca, in accordance with IFRS 9 are qualified as POCI ("purchased or originated credit-impaired") and are booked net of provisions

2021 updated guidance

  • Banca Ifis's results have developed better than expected in the last months as the Bank benefits from the macroeconomic recovery
  • Lower range of 2021FY guidance already achieved in 3Q21
  • We therefore update our 2021 guidance
  • We expect revenue of €570-590mln and net income of €90-100mln for 2021
    • o Continuing sound trend in revenues in both NPL and commercial banking
    • o Prudentially, one-off legal, tax and advisory costs of the possible La Scogliera transfer have been considered in the guidance
(€
mln)
Min Max
Revenues 570 590
income
Net
90 100

Main assumptions underlying the guidance

  • Progressive improvement of the macroeconomic environment
  • No macroeconomic or pandemic related shocks
  • Continued macroeconomic support by the Governments and Central Banks

Capital ratios evolution excluding 9M 21 net income

  • CET1 at 11.68% excluding 9M21 net income (16.24% without the consolidation within La Scogliera perimeter)
  • CET1 increased by +0.24% vs. 2Q 21 due to RWA reduction driven by seasonality especially in factoring and leasing

*The application of the 2013/36/EU (CRD IV) Directive and EU Regulation 575/2013 (CRR) envisages that only 50.8% of the excess capital of Banca Ifis Group Scope is included in the CET1 of La Scogliera Group Scope. Excess Capital of €0.4bn is not included in CET1 of La Scogliera Group Scope.

** At group level capital requirements are: CET1 8.12%, Total Capital 12.5%

Transfer of La Scogliera to Canton Vaud (CH)

18 June 21

End Dec21 /Early 2022

Jan 22

February 22

Shareholders' Meeting of La Scogliera approves the transfer of the holding company's office to Canton Vaud (CH), subject to satisfaction of certain conditions precedent, including a favourable opinion from the Italian internal Revenue Agency on the tax implications

Expected feedback from Italian internal Revenue Agency, to be communicated to the market

Completion of conditions precedent. In case of favourable outcome of the transfer of La Scogliera to Canton Vaud (CH), 4Q results shall be impacted by one-off legal, tax and advisory costs

Presentation of the 3Y (2022-24) Plan (in the unlikely scenario of a delay in the completion of the conditions, Banca Ifis will present the 3Y Plan based on the current situation)

The transfer of La Scogliera to Canton Vaud (CH) could positively impact the consolidated CET1 (ca. +450bps at 30 Sep 2021), eliminating the distortive consequences deriving from the regulatory consolidation of Banca Ifis and La Scogliera

  • In 2022, the expected change in the RWA weighting of purchased NPLs (from 150% to 100%) is expected to increase CET1 ca. 60bps
  • We are working on the 3Y Plan and will present a growth-based, attractive 3Y Plan even if the transfer of La Scogliera does not occur

12 12

Quarterly and nine months results

(€ mln) 2Q21 3Q21 9M20 9M21
Net interest income 117.2 129.6 260.8 362.6
Net commission income 22.1 22.0 55.5 62.9
Trading and other revenues 15.6 5.0 5.4 23.8
Net revenues 154.9 156.6 1
321.7
449.2
Loan loss provisions (LLP) (26.5) (19.8) 2
(47.9)
(62.4)
Net revenues –
LLP
128.4 136.8 273.8 386.8
Personnel expenses (33.9) (36.0) 3
(89.3)
(103.7)
Other administrative expenses (59.0) (50.2) (123.0) (161.7)
Other net income/expenses 6.1 (3.2) (17.1) (2.2)
Operating costs (86.9) (89.4) (229.4) (267.6)
Gains (Losses) on disposal of
investments
- - 24.2 4
-
Pre tax profit 41.5 47.4 68.6 119.2
Taxes (13.1) (15.0) (16.1) (37.7)
Net income -
attributable to the Parent
company
28.2 31.9 52.3 80.2
Customer loans 9,875 9,751 7,957 9,751
-
of which Npl Business
1,371 1,376 1,325 1,376
Total assets 13,269 12,769 11,199 12,769
Total funding 11,000 10,535 9,153 10,535
-
of which customer deposits
5,884 5,730 4,916 5,730
-
of which TLTRO
2,116 2,036 1,997 2,036
Shareholders Equity 1,574 1,606 1,512 1,606
  • Net revenues benefit from the progressive improvement in in judicial and extrajudicial NPL recovery and in Commercial and Corporate Banking activity. Net revenues include €10mln benefit from TLTRO (0.5% due to the achievement of lending thresholds), related to "special reference period" of 1 March 2020 - 31 March 2021 1
  • Includes €8mln write offs due to ongoing review of Covid-19 impact on our NPL portfolio and €5mln provisions against concentration risk 2
  • Increase due to employee's variable compensation accruals 3

13

Capital gain due to the disposal of real estate in Milan 4

In the above statements, net impairment losses/reversals on receivables of the Npl Segment were reclassified to interest receivable and similar income to the extent to which they represent the operations of this business and are an integral part of the return on the investment. For this reason too, apart from the specific operations, the effects of an analysis performed also in response to the Covid-19 pandemic, have been classified amongst value adjustments

3Q21 Results: P&L break-down by business unit

Commercial & Corporate banking
Data in € mln Npl Factoring Leasing Corp. Banking
& Lending
Tot.
Commercial &
Corporate
banking
Non core
& G&S
Consolidated
Net interest income 60 24 11 15 51 3
19
130
Net commission income 1 14 3 3 21 0 22
Trading & other revenues 0 1 0 1 2 3 5
Net revenues 61 40 15 20 74 22 157
-Of which PPA 0 0 0 2 2 4 5
Loan loss provisions 1
(8)
(4) (1) 2
(8)
(13) 1 (20)
Operating costs (38) (20) (7) (11) (38) (14) (89)
Net income 10 11 5 1 16 6 32
Net income attributable to
non-controlling interests
0 0,5
Net income attributable to
the Parent company
32
Net income (%) 32% 33% 14% 2% 49% 19% 100%
Customer Loans 1,376 2,475 1,381 2,257 6,114 4
2,261
9,751
RWA1 2,129 2,042 1,243 1,475 4,759 1,086 7,974
2
Allocated capital
249 238 145 172 556 127 931
  • €8mln provisions due to ongoing review of Covid-19 long-term impact on our NPL portfolio 1
  • Includes €5mln provisions for potential concentration risk 2
  • Includes €10mln benefit from TLTRO (0.5% due to the achievement of lending thresholds) related to "special reference period" ( 1 March 2020 - 31 March 2021) 3
  • Breakdown of customer loans in Non Core & G&S 4
    • o G&S: includes €1.6bn of Italian Government bonds at amortized costs
    • o Non Core: includes €0.2bn of performing loans mainly ex Interbanca, €0.1bn retail mortgages and €0.05bn of Npl (former Interbanca + Banca Ifis)

(1) RWA Credit and counterparty risk only. It excludes RWA from operating, market risks and CVA (€1bn); (2) RWA (Credit and counterparty risk only) x CET1 3Q21.

Appendices 2

2.1 Segment results

Commercial & Corporate Banking loans*

Bancal E-MARKET
SDIR
CERTIFIED
Loans to customer
in 3Q21, €bln
Highlights
Factoring to SMEs 1.3
Strong sector and borrower diversification; exposures to debtors
(usually medium and large corporates) with high ratings
Factoring Factoring and other loans to
public administration
0.6
Limited Asset quality risk: uncertainties on payment time frame
to be managed appropriately
Factoring to large Italian
Corporations (Revenue >€500mln)
0.5
Leading large/top Italian corporations in stable businesses
(pricing discipline over volumes)
Factoring to pharmacies 0.1
Short-term lending within pharmacies business (Credifarma)
Lending Guaranteed lending 0.8
Loans to SMEs 80% guaranteed by MCC/State
Lending to pharmacies 0.7
Medium-/long-term lending to pharmacies (Credifarma
and
Farbanca)
Leasing and
rental
Leasing to SMEs 1.4
Strong sector and borrower diversification, with remarketing
agreements
Structured
Finance
Structured finance to SMEs 0.7
Private Equity-sponsored lending to ~55 noncyclical
corporations. Tactical investments in PE funds (€50mln)
Total customer loans of
Commercial and Corporate Banking
6.1

Factoring*

Turnover - €bn

Data in €mln 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21
Net revenues 36 33 34 40 34 35 40
Net revenues / average
customer loans
4.9% 4.6% 4.8% 5.7% 5.2% 5.4% 6.0%
1
Loan loss provisions (5) (1) (2) (23) 4 2
(10)
(4)
  • Factoring net loans -10% QoQ due to seasonality and focus on margins
  • Factoring loans of €2.5bn included €0.6bn exposure to the Public Administration
  • Net revenues / average customer loans at 6.0% due to margin increase and one off contribution from the disposal of a single position 1
  • In 1Q21, loan loss provisions include a one-off write back due to the update of credit model 2

Leasing

New business - €mln

Net revenues 12 13 12 13 14 15 15
Net revenues / average
customer loans
3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 3.6% 3.9% 4.3% 4.1%
Loan loss provisions (4) (4) (7) 0 (4) (1) (1)
  • 110 New leasing -16% YoY and QoQ due to seasonality and worldwide bottlenecks in new auto sales. In 3Q21, customer loans came in at €1,381mln (-2% QoQ)
    • Asset quality risk is mitigated by strong sector and borrower diversification and by the remarketing agreements for repossessed assets
    • Banca Ifis has exposure of €131mln to leasing currently under moratoria. As at 30 Sep 21:
      • o ~€350mln (ca. 73% of total) terminated moratoria and started paying again, benefiting from the reopening of the economy
      • o ~€131mln (ca. 27% of total) moratoria were still in place and asked for the extension until 31 Dec 21

Npl Business*: portfolio evolution

Npl portfolio evolution

NBV**
€mln
1,369 1,375
GBV €bn 19.3 +0.2 -0.4 19.0
2Q21 Purchases Disposals
and others
3Q21

Key numbers*

  • 1.8mln tickets, #1.3mln borrowers
  • Extensive portfolio diversification by location, type and age of borrower

Npls acquired in 3Q: €0.2bn GBV

  • In 3Q21, Banca Ifis purchased €0.2bn
  • On 2/11, Banca Ifis completed its largest ever acquisition of NPLs, which will provide solid contribution to the Bank's profitability over the next years
  • o Purchase of €2.8bn GBV (ca. 300k unsecured small tickets) from Cerberus
  • o 2021 full year purchase target achieved in 3Q
  • o Confirms Banca Ifis as one of the few players capable of jumbo deals in short timeframe
  • We are currently participating /expecting to participate in NPL disposal processes of more than €1bn GBV

Npls disposed and others in 3Q

• In 3Q21: disposals of portfolios that were already worked out and not strategic for Banca Ifis (disposal price €2.5mln, capital gain €0.6mln)

20 *Source: management accounting data

**Does not include customer loans (invoices to be issued) related to Ifis Npl Servicing third parties servicing activities

Npl Business*: ERC

ERC: €2.8bn
1.3 2.8
1.5

ERC breakdown

Data in €mln GBV NBV ERC
Waiting for workout -
At cost
0.2 0.0 0.1
Extrajudicial positions 11.7 0.4 0.7
Judicial positions 7.2 0.9 2.0
Total 19.0 1.4 2.8

ERC assumptions

  • ERC based on proprietary statistical models built using internal historical data series and homogeneous clusters of borrowers
    • o Type of borrower, location, age, amount due, employment status
    • o Time frame of recovery
    • o Probability of decay

2.5

  • ERC represents Banca Ifis's expectation in terms of gross cash recovery. Internal and external costs of positions in nonjudicial payment plans (GBV of €0.5bn in 3Q21), court injunctions ["precetto"] issued and order of assignments (GBV of €1.5bn in 3Q21) have already been expensed in P&L
  • €1.6bn cash recovery (including proceeds from disposals) was generated in the years 2014 – 3Q2021

Npl Business*: GBV and cash recovery

Judicial recovery

Judicial recovery (€ mln) GBV % To be processed
Frozen** 2,883 40%
Court injunctions ["precetto"] and foreclosures 727 10%
Order of assignments 744 10%
Secured and Corporate 2,830 39%
Total 7,183 100%

Non judicial recovery – Voluntary plans

Judicial recovery – Order of Assignments

Actual vs. model cash repayments

Judicial + non judicial recovery, data in €mln

jan-19

feb-19

mar-19

apr-19

may-19

jun-19

jul-19

aug-19

sep-19

oct 19

nov-19

dec-19

jan-20

feb-20

mar-20

apr-20

may-20

jun-20

jul-20

aug-20

sep-20

Cash collections (mainly secured) postponed due to court shutdown

oct-20

nov-20

dec-20

jan-21

feb-21

mar-21

apr-21

may-21

jun-21

jul-21

aug-21

sep-21

Cash collection

• NPL cash collection at record high of €82mln, up vs. 3Q20 and 3Q19. Portfolio proved to be resilient to Covid-19 crisis 1

P&L Contribution

• 3Q 21 P&L contribution benefits from increasing productivity in servicing and from reducing timeframe of recovery of riskier exposures in non judicial workout 2

Data in € mln
(escluding
disposals)
1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 2018
YE
2019
YE
2020
YE
Cash collection 57 67 59 76 65 52 66 76 81 89 82 1
181
258 259
Contribution to P&L** 66 60 44 78 50 34 48 50 64 70 66 2
238
248 182
Cash collection /
contribution to P&L
87% 112% 132% 97% 132% 153% 137% 152% 127% 128% 124% 76% 104% 143%

*Source: management accounting data

** It includes only interest income, excludes cost of funding and some minor items (i.e. net commission income and the gains on sales of receivables)

Npl Business*: stock by recovery phase

1
SDI
Bancar CERT
Cluster GBV 3Q21
€mln
% total Description Average
time
frame**
Accounting valuation Cash
proceeds
Waiting for workout -
Positions
at cost
203 1% Recently acquired, under analysis to select the
best recovery strategy, to be assigned either to
extrajudicial or to judicial recovery
6 months Acquisition cost
Extrajudicial positions 11,657 61%
-Ongoing attempt at
recovery
11,196 59% Managed by internal and external call centres
and recovery networks. The purpose is the
transformation into voluntary payment plans (or
into judicial recovery if conditions arises)
NA Statistical model (collective valuation) No
-
Non-judicial payment plans
461 2% Sustainable cash yields agreed with debtors
through call centres and collection agents
5 years Increase in value (P&L), with valuation based
on agreed plan, net of historical delinquency
rate, discounted at the IRR used for
acquisition
Yes
Judicial positions 7,183 38%
-
Frozen***
2,883 15% Judicial process has started; but the court
injunction ["precetto"] has not been issued
6-12 months Acquisition
cost
No
-
Court injunctions
["precetto"] issued and
foreclosures
("pignoramento")
727 4% Court injunction ["precetto"] already issued; legal
actions continue to get the order of assignment
8-12 months #1 increase in value at court injunction
["precetto"] and #2 increase in value at
foreclosure ["Pignoramento"]. Part of the
legal costs are expensed in P&L
No
-
Order of assignments
744 4% Enforcement order already issued. The cash
repayment plan is decided by the court and
starts afterwards
2-4 months #3 increase in value. The remaining legal
costs are expensed in P&L
Yes
-
Secured and Corporate
2,830 15%Ongoing execution of real estate collaterals 4 years Analytical valuation (expected time frame
and amount to be recovered)
Yes
Total 19,043 100%

*Source: management accounting data

** Data before Covid-19.

***Other Judicial positions

Npl Business*: GBV and NBV evolution

GBV -
€mln
1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21
Waiting for workout -
Positions at cost
2,864 1,598 1,783 1,794 1,440 1,709 1,885 2,140 1,147 1
107
203
Extrajudicial positions 9,745 9,862 9,574 10,378 10,619 10,257 10,579 10,273 10,987 11,280 11,657
-
Ongoing attempt at recovery
9,393 9,491 9,194 9,975 10,206 9,850 10,182 9,896 10,578 10,846 11,196
-
Non-judicial payment plans
352 371 380 403 413 407 398 378 409 434 461
Judicial positions 4,015 4,913 5,226 5,669 5,720 6,278 6,428 7,374 7,546 7,896 7,183
-
Freezed**
1,822 1,931 2,192 2,521 2,533 2,627 2,518 3,299 3,243 3,644 2,883
-
Court injunctions ["precetto"] issued
and foreclosures
464 487 511 543 571 595 642 713 686 700 727
-
Order of assignments
561 609 612 639 640 672 677 676 702 736 744
-
Secured and Corporate
1,167 1,886 1,911 1,965 1,975 2,384 2,590 2,686 2,915 2,816 2,830
Total 16,624 16,373 16,583 17,841 17,779 18,244 18,893 19,787 19,680 19,282 19,043
NBV -
€mln
1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 ***
3Q21
Waiting for workout -
Positions at cost
174 148 160 109 65 96 104 170 112 15 31
Extrajudicial positions 306 313 308 356 364 355 353 339 368 393 413
-
Ongoing attempt at recovery
162 164 154 190 193 184 185 174 188 198 200
-
Non-judicial payment plans
144 149 154 166 171 171 169 165 180 195 213
Judicial positions 643 711 720 813 840 854 867 894 916 961 930
-
Freezed**
205 207 215 274 298 304 292 296 300 330 295
-
Court injunctions ["precetto"] issued
and foreclosures
118 118 118 128 120 132 148 160 162 161 166
-
Order of assignments
227 244 245 259 270 265 264 280 292 305 306
-
Secured and Corporate
94 142 142 152 152 153 162 158 162 165 163
Total 1,123 1,172 1,188 1,278 1,269 1,305 1,324 1,404 1,396 1,369 1,375

1 The decrease in GBV of waiting for workout/positions at costs is due the beginning of the workout of a few large portfolios acquired in 2020

*Source: management accounting data

**Other Judicial positions

***Does not include customer loans (invoices to be issued) related to Ifis Npl Servicing third parties servicing activities

Npl Business*: P&L and cash evolution

P&L -
€mln
1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21
Waiting for workout -
Positions at cost
Extrajudicial positions 19 19 19 20 17 10 11 7 22 29 30
-
Ongoing attempt at recovery
(3) (2) (1) 4 (4) (3) (5) (5) (2) 6 (2)
-
Non-judicial payment plans
22 21 20 17 21 13 15 12 24 23 32
Judicial positions 46 42 26 58 33 24 37 43 42 41 36
-
Freezed**
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Court injunctions and foreclosures + Order
of assignments
37 28 18 40 26 24 32 43 36 34 30
-
Secured and Corporate
9 14 7 18 6 0 6 0 5 7 5
Total 66 60 44 78 50 34 48 50 64 70 66
Cash -
€mln
1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21
Waiting for workout -
Positions at cost
Extrajudicial positions 27 32 27 38 30 23 33 37 42 47 43
-
Ongoing attempt at recovery
4 6 4 10 4 3 4 6 6 9 5
-
Non-judicial payment plans
23 26 23 28 26 20 29 31 36 39 38
Judicial positions 30 35 32 38 35 29 33 40 39 42 39
-
Freezed**
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Court injunctions and foreclosures + Order
of assignments
24 25 25 27 29 23 26 29 30 30 31
-
Secured and Corporate
6 11 7 11 7 5 7 11 9 12 7
Total 57 67 59 76 65 52 66 76 81 89 82

Npl Business*: portfolio diversification

Breakdown of GBV by type Breakdown of GBV by borrower age

Breakdown of GBV by ticket size Breakdown of GBV by region

2.2 Consolidated financial data

Customer loans*

*Starting from January 2021, Credifarma has been reclassified from Factoring into Corporate Banking and Lending. All 2020 information provided consider this re-allocation.

  • 3Q21 customer loans at €9,751 (-1.3% vs 2Q21)
  • Factoring decreases (-10% QoQ) is driven by seasonality and focus on margins
  • Leasing decreases (-2% QoQ) is due to worldwide bottlenecks in new auto sales
  • Non Core & GS increased by +€216mln mainly driven by the acquisition of +€212mln of Italian Government bonds at amortized cost

Funding

Funding (€mln)

612 477
259
1,992
2,116 2,036
900 1,323 1,218
1,058 1,065 1,074
5,526 5,884 5,730
1Q21 2Q21 3Q21
Customer deposits Bonds Securitization TLTRO Other
1Q21 2Q21 3Q21
LCR >1,400% >1,700% >1,500%
NSFR >100% >100% >100%
  • 9,735 11,000 10,535 Customer deposits -3% QoQ driven by cash management efficiency
    • The securitizations include €846mln of the factoring securitization and €372mln coming from restructuring of the Farbanca securitization
    • Banca Ifis has €2.0bn TLTRO expiring in September 2024 out of a maximum capacity of ca. €3bn
    • The decrease in other funding is driven by -€66mln of repo transactions, -€84mln other deposits partially offset by +€15mln of other payables
    • Average cost of funding at 0,84% in 3Q21, vs 0.96% in 2Q21, vs 1.02% in 1Q21 and 1.01% in 4Q20

Proprietary portfolio*

Strategy

  • Long term «fundamental» positioning strongly focused on investment grade bond area coupled with opportunistic trading approach,
  • Efficient management of excess cash (ECB deposits) / Low Duration level
  • Use of enhancing and hedging strategies coupled with both risk and expected credit loss control
  • Low cumulative RWA level and relevant ECB / funding eligibility

Results

  • In 9M 21 proprietary portfolio reported a net revenues of €23.8mln (€7.5mln in 3Q21) of which ~ €12.9mln (€4.8mln in 3Q21) as interest rate margin and €10.9mln (€2.7mln in 3Q21) as trading and other income, posting a ~ €13mln increase respect 9M20
  • In 9M 21 dividend flow related to equity portfolio weighs for ~€6.1mln within trading and other income
of
in
€mln
end
of
Type
- Data
asset
as at
Bonds
quarter Government Financial Corporate Equity Securitization Total
Held
collect/amortized
to
cost
1644 185 69 120 2018
(FVOCI)
Held
collect
and
sell
to
489 16 10 86 601
Total
(HTC
and
HTC&S)
2133 201 79 86 120 2619
Held
for
trading
2
Total
portfolio
market
value
at
2133 201 79 86 120 2621
of
total
Percentage
81,4% 7,7% 3,0% 3,3% 4,6% 100,0%
Held
collect/amortized
Duration
to
cost
2,4 3,8 4,3 NA 1,7 2,5
(FVOCI)
Held
collect
and
sell
to
Duration
2,3 3,3 4,8 NA - 2,3
duration
(HTC
and
HTC&S)
Average
- YEARS
2,4 3,6 4,4 NA 1,7 2,5

Banca Ifis adopted the mechanism offsetting unrealized gains/losses measured through the FVOCI method on government assets

Focus on moratoria*

Moratoria Original
exposure
Exposure
3Q21
Leasing 481 131 Clients
voluntary
restarted
€350mln
payments
on
(
-73%)
following
moratoria
the
pick
in
economic
up
activity
(cars
technology)
Note:
leased
equipment
assets
,
,
with
remarketing
potential
and
and
borrower
sector
diversification
minimize
quality
risk
asset
Mortgages 126 52 Mainly
guaranteed
by
State
mortgages
low
quality
risk
other
Note:
asset
mortages
on
(mainly
retail)
Commercial
lending
(run
off)
147 23 Clients
voluntary
restarted
€124mln
payments
on
(
-84%)
moratoria
following
the
pick
in
economic
up
activity
large
Italian
grade
Note:
investment
exposure
vs
granted
and
in
2014-16
expiring
in
2023-
corporates
with
limited
quality
risk
25
asset
Other
moratoria
45 5
Total 799 211 Clients
voluntary
restarted
€588mln
payments
on
(
-74%)
following
moratoria
pick
in
activity
up
macro

* Source: management accounting data. Moratoria expired as at 30 June 21. Clients could extend moratoria on interest only until 31 Dec 21. The figures indicate exposures that asked for the extension of the moratoria until 31 Dec 21

Consolidated operating costs

Operating costs (€mln)

Personnel expenses (€mln)

3Q21 operating costs ~+€2.5mln vs. 2Q21:

  • +€2.0mln QoQ in personnel expenses, mainly due to variable compensation accruals based on results
  • +€0.5mln QoQ in other operating costs, mainly due to:
    • o €5.2mln for the FITD contribution
    • o €3.2mln Aigis' bargain booked in 2Q21
    • o -€4mln legal & recovery costs, mainly NPL
    • o -€4mln credit risk accruals (i.e. unfunded commitments)

Other adm. expenses and other income / expenses (€mln)

Seasonality in Npl and PPA and effect of Covid-19

Net interest income in Npls

Reversal of PPA ex-IB (pre-tax)

3Q21 pre tax reversal PPA at €5mln Variability due to reversal of PPA depending on the prepayment / disposal of ex-Interbanca's loans

Capital gains from Npl disposal

2.3 La Scogliera: implications of CRD IV

La Scogliera: implications of CRD IV

• The application of the 2013/36/EU (CRD IV) Directive and EU Regulation 575/2013 (CRR) envisages that 49.2% of the excess capital of the Banca Ifis Group Scope is not included in the CET1 of La Scogliera Group Scope. CET1 excess capital of €0.4bn is not included in La Scogliera Group Scope

50.8%** Banca Ifis S.p.A.

Data in €billion

Data as at
30 Sep 2021
Banca
Ifis
Group Scope
Capital
requirements*
Excess Capital Minority stake
of
La Scogliera
Excess capital
not included
La Scogliera
Group Scope
CET1 1.5 0.8 49.2% 0.4 1.0
Total Capital 1.9 0.9 49.2% 0.4 1.4
CET1 % 16.2% 7.0% 49.2% 11.7%
Total Capital % 20.8% 10.5% 49.2% 15.3%
RWA 8.9 9.0

La Scogliera: Focus on DTA regulatory implications

Convertible
DTAs

DTAs
related
to
write
downs
of
loans
convertible
into
tax
credits
(under
Law
214/2011)

Their
recovery
is
certain
regardless
of
the
presence
of
future
taxable
income
and
is
defined
by
fiscal
law
(range
ca.
5%-12%
per
annum,
with
full
release
by
2026)

No
time
and
amount
limit
in
the
utilization
of
converted
DTAs

Capital
requirements:
100%
weight
on
RWA
Data in €/mln
219.4
DTAs due to
tax losses (non -
convertible)

DTAs
on
losses
carried
forward
(non-convertible)
and
DTAs
on
ACE
(Allowance
for
Corporate
Equity)
deductions
can
be
recovered
in
subsequent
years
only
if
there
is
positive
taxable
income

No
time
limit
to
the
use
of
fiscal
losses
against
taxable
income
of
subsequent
years

Capital
requirements:
100%
deduction
from
CET1
37.2
Other
non-convertible
DTAs

DTAs
generated
due
to
negative
valuation
reserves
and
provisions
for
risks
and
mln
charges
(~€
24.7
as
of
30
Sep
2021)

Capital
requirements:
deduction
from
CET1
or
weighted
in
RWA
depending
on
certain
thresholds
*.
For
Banca
Ifis
they
would
be
weighted
at
250%
but
they
are
partially
offset
by
DTL
(~€17.3mln
as
of
30
Sep
2021)
7.4

*Includes prudentially €5.7mln of DTAs related to Ifis Rental and Ifis Real Estate not included in the Banking Group as not a regulated entity

** As stated by CRR (article 48), these kind of DTAs are subjected to a double threshold mechanism: if their amount is less than 10% of the CET1 Capital, they are weighted at 250%; if their amount added to the total investments in financial sector subjects is less than 17.65% they are weighted. If the amount of DTAs is greater than or the first or the second threshold, the amount in excess is deducted from CET1 Capital. 37

2.4 Focus on PPA

Focus on ex-Interbanca PPA

  • In 2016, following the acquisition of former Interbanca, Banca Ifis valued the performing and non performing loans of Interbanca by applying a market discount and a liquidity discount to reflect purchase price
  • The purchase price allocation (PPA) is written back with the progressive maturity/the disposal of Interbanca's loans
    • As at 30 Sep 21, the residual amount of pre-tax PPA was €37mln

Net customer loans and PPA - €mln

Net customer loans PPA

PPA reversal in P&L- €mln

1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 Outstanding
3Q 21
9 11 8 30* 12 4 5 37
FY 20: €57mln. o/w:
-€2mln Corp. Banking & Lending
-€56mln Non Core & G&S
9M 21: €22mln. o/w:
-€3mln Corp. Banking & Lending
-€19mln Non Core & G&S
3Q 21 Outstanding, o/w:
-€1mln Corp. Banking &
Lending
-€36mln Non Core &
G&S

*In 4Q 20, the write back of PPA was mainly driven by loans and Npl disposals and prepayments

Disclaimer

  • This Presentation may contain written and oral "forward-looking statements", which includes all statements that do not relate solely to historical or current facts and which are therefore inherently uncertain. All forward-looking statements rely on a number of assumptions, expectations, projections and provisional data concerning future events and are subject to a number of uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside the control of Banca Ifis (the "Company"). There are a variety of factors that may cause actual results and performance to be materially different from the explicit or implicit contents of any forward-looking statements and thus such forward-looking statements are not a reliable indicator of future performance. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable law. The information and opinions contained in this Presentation are provided as at the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. Neither this Presentation nor any part of it nor the fact of its distribution may form the basis of, or be relied on or in connection with, any contract or investment decision.
  • The information, statements and opinions contained in this Presentation are for information purposes only and do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for securities or financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments. None of the securities referred to herein have been, or will be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States or in Australia, Canada or Japan or any other jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be unlawful (the "Other Countries"), and there will be no public offer of any such securities in the United States. This Presentation does not constitute or form a part of any offer or solicitation to purchase or subscribe for securities in the United States or the Other Countries.
  • Data regarding PPA, asset quality ratios, cost income ratios, liquidity ratios, cost of funding, proprietary portfolio, segment reporting, business unit breakdown, commercial and corporate loan breakdown are management accounting. Data regarding NPL portfolio evolution and ERC, NPL cash recovery and NPL P&L contribution, NPL GBV and NBV evolution and breakdown, NPL P&L and cash evolution and breakdown are management accounting
  • Mariacristina Taormina, Manager charged with preparing the financial reports of Banca Ifis S.p.A., pursuant to the provisions of Art. 154 bis, paragraph 2 of Italian Legislative Decree no.58 dated 24 February 1998, declares that the accounting information included into this document corresponds to the related books and accounting records.
  • Neither the Company nor any member of Banca Ifis nor any of its or their respective representatives directors or employees accept any liability whatsoever in connection with this Presentation or any of its contents or in relation to any loss arising from its use or from any reliance placed upon it.

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