Investor Presentation • Nov 5, 2020
Investor Presentation
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5 November 2020 Jani Nieminen, CEO Erik Hjelt, CFO
Kojamo plc
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Population forecast 2019
Kojamo plc's Interim Report January–September 2020
* Helsinki, Espoo, Kauniainen, Vantaa, ** Capital region, Hyvinkää, Järvenpää, Kerava, Kirkkonummi, Mäntsälä, Nurmijärvi, Pornainen, Porvoo, Riihimäki, Sipoo, Tuusula, Vihti Sources: General operating environment, Business environment key figures: Ministry of Finance, Economic Survey 10/2020; Population growth forecast: Statistics Finland,
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| Industry key figures |
2020E | 2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Residential start-ups, units |
28,000 | 38,700 |
| Building permits granted, annual*, units | 34,996 | 39,140 |
| Construction costs, change, % | n/a | 1.0 |
| Prices of old dwellings in the whole country, change, % |
1.0 | 1.2 |
| Prices of old dwellings in the capital region, change, % |
1.0–3.1 | 0.5–3.4 |
| Rents of non-subsidised rental dwellings in the whole country, change, % |
1.6 | 1.4 |
| Rents of non-subsidised rental dwellings in the capital region, change, % |
1.6–1.8 | 1.6–2.0 |
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Kojamo plc's Interim Report January–September 2020
Sources: Industry operating environment: Ministry of Finance, Economic Survey 10/2020; Industry key figures: PTT, Statistics Finland: Building and dwelling production 2020, May, Confederation of Finnish Construction Industries RT's business survey spring 2020; Housing production need: VTT, Need for housing 2020-2040
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* Helsinki, Espoo, Kauniainen, Vantaa, Hyvinkää, Järvenpää, Kerava, Kirkkonummi, Mäntsälä, Nurmijärvi, Pornainen, Porvoo, Riihimäki, Sipoo, Tuusula, Vihti Sources: The popularity of rental housing increases: MDI's population forecast 2040 and Pellervo Economic Research PTT, Housing markets 2020 forecast; Development of household sizes and rental household-dwelling units: Statistics Finland, Dwellings and housing conditions 2019
| Of the portfolio's fair value 98.8% in the seven |
|||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| largest Finnish growth centres Apartment distribution, % |
|||||||||||
| Region | Number of apart ments, units |
Number of commercial premises and other leased premises, units |
Fair value, (EUR million) |
Fair value (EUR thousand / unit) |
Fair value (EUR / sqm) |
Financial occupancy rate, %3) |
4.0% 4.7% 5.0% 6.2% 5.3% |
2.3% | Helsinki region Tampere region Turku region |
||
| Helsinki region |
20,858 | 315 | 4,472 | 211 | 3,757 | 96.4 | 13.9% | 58.6% | |||
| Tampere region |
4,934 | 126 | 622 | 123 | 2,384 | 96.6 | Oulu | ||||
| Turku region |
1,904 | 17 | 217 | 113 | 1,980 | 97.7 | Fair value |
distribution, % | |||
| Oulu | 2,220 | 19 | 185 | 83 | 1,570 | 97.0 | Jyväskylä | ||||
| Jyväskylä | 1,771 | 2 | 185 | 104 | 1,986 | 93.1 | 2.4% 2.7% |
1.2% | |||
| Kuopio region | 1,674 | 47 | 161 | 94 | 1,756 | 95.0 | 3.1% 3.1% |
Kuopio region | |||
| Lahti region | 1,436 | 4 | 148 | 102 | 1,829 | 96.2 | 3.6% | ||||
| Others | 816 | 24 | 71 | 84 | 1,487 | 95.6 | 10.3% | Lahti region | |||
| Total | 35,613 | 554 | 6,0611) | 168 | 3,043 | 96.3 | Others | ||||
| Others | 5372) | ||||||||||
| Total portfolio | 35,613 | 554 | 6,598 | 96.3 | 73.8% |
Kojamo plc's Interim Report January–September 2020
1) The figures reflect income-generating portfolio assets, which excludes ongoing projects, plots owned by the company and ownership of certain assets through shares 2) Fair value of ongoing projects, plots owned by the company and ownership of certain assets through shares and IFRS 16 right-of-use assets 3) Financial occupancy rate does not include commercial premises and other leased premises
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• Total revenue increased mainly due to growth of property portfolio as well as Like-for-Like rental income growth
* Changes in value = Profit/loss on fair value of investment properties
• The growth was supported by the growth of apartment portfolio, Like-for-Like rental income growth and lower maintenance costs than in the comparison period
Changes in the total number of Kojamo shares have an impact on relative development of FFO per share. Per share key figures have been adjusted to reflect the impact of the decision by the Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders on 25 May 2018 regarding the share split. In the share split the shareholders received 30 new shares per each existing share 16
Financial occupancy rate = (Rental income / potential rental income at full occupancy) x 100. Financial occupancy rate does not include apartments under renovation Tenant turnover = (terminated rental agreements under the period / number of apartments) x 100
The calculation method of tenant turnover has been changed, starting from 1 January 2017. The comparison data has not been modified to reflect the new calculation method
• Gross investments exceed the level of the whole year 2019
Gross investments Sales of investment properties
696.0 367.3 365.2 259.9 175.6 264.1 -559.0 -82.2 -109.6 -26.0 -24.3 -3.3 2016 2017 2018 2019 1–9/2019 1–9/2020
Fair value of investment properties, M€ 1)
Number of apartments by valuation classes (at the end of the review period)
1) Investment properties include completed apartments, development projects and land areas as well as Investment properties held for sale
| Apartments under construction |
Binding preliminary agreements |
Owned plots and developme nt projects1 |
In total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment / actual costs incurred |
326.8 | - | 145.8 | 472.6 |
| Cost of completion |
295.0 | 233.4 | - | 528.4 |
| 1,000 fl.sq.m. |
184 | |||
| Apartments | 2,532 | 1,062 | ~3,0002 | ~6,500 |
100% of plot and real estate development reserve is located in Helsinki region
Kojamo estimates that investments in development projects amount to approximately EUR 320–350 million in 2020
1) The management's estimate of the fair value, building rights of plots and number of apartments 2) The management's estimate, currently approximately 300 apartments in existing residential buildings
• Equity ratio and Loan to Value (LTV) strengthened significantly
The share issue improved the equity ratio by 1.6 percentage points
1) Key figures have been adjusted to reflect the impact of the decision by the Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders on 25 May, 2018 regarding the share split. In the share split the shareholders received 30 new shares per each existing share
1.8
107
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2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030->
4.6 4.7
Loan amounts presented as IFRS figures. In addition, lease liabilities amounting to EUR 61.9 million are included in interest-bearing liabilities.
| Key figure | Actual 1–9/2020 |
Strategic target |
|---|---|---|
| Annual growth of total revenue, % |
2.3 | 4–5 |
| Annual investments, M€ |
264.1 | 200–400 |
| FFO/total revenue, % |
39.6 | > 36 |
| Loan to Value (LTV), % | 42.1 | < 50 |
| Equity ratio, % |
44.1 | > 40 |
| Net Promoter Score (NPS) |
36 | 40 |
Kojamo estimates that in 2020, the Group's total revenue will increase by 2–5 per cent year-on-year. In addition, the company estimates that the Group's FFO for 2020 will amount to between EUR 146–158 million, excluding non-recurring costs.
The outlook takes into account the effects of the completed housing divestments and acquisitions, the estimated occupancy rate and rises in rents, as well as the number of apartments to be completed. The outlook is based on the management's assessment of total revenue, net rental income, administrative expenses, financial expenses, taxes to be paid and new development to be completed, as well as the management's view on future developments in the operating environment.
Additionally, the outlook is based on strong demand sustained by migration, which will increase Like-for-Like rental income. The management can influence total revenue and FFO through the company's business operations. In contrast, the management has no influence over market trends, the regulatory environment or the competitive landscape.
Kojamo's management estimates that the COVID-19 pandemic does not have a significant impact on the company's outlook for the rest of the year.
Kojamo plc's Interim Report January–September 2020
Kojamo's objective is to be a stable dividend payer whose annual dividend payment will be at least 60 per cent of FFO, provided that the Group's equity ratio is 40 per cent or more and taking account of the company's financial position
* Including extra dividend EUR 0.29 per share
Per share key figures have been adjusted to reflect the impact of the decision by the Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders on 25 May, 2018 regarding the share split. In the share split the shareholders received 30 new shares per each existing share
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Total revenue, net rental income and FFO increased
Strong progress in property development investments, number of apartments under construction doubled from comparison period
Urbanisation continues and need for new apartments grows. We are in a good position to continue our growth
CEO Jani Nieminen, tel. +358 20 508 3201
CFO Erik Hjelt, tel. +358 20 508 3225
Manager, Investor Relations Maija Hongas, tel. +358 20 508 3004
www.kojamo.fi
Financial Statements Release for 2020 to be published on 18 February 2021
Welcome to join Kojamo's first Investors' Day on Wednesday 2 December 2020.
The event will be held in virtual format.
More information at kojamo.fi/investors-day
| Change | Kojamo shifted from a transaction-based valuation technique to a yield-based valuation technique in the valuation of its investment properties |
|---|---|
| Rationale | The change in the valuation technique will make the company more comparable with its relevant international peer group |
| External valuation partner |
Jones Lang LaSalle Finland Oy (JLL) |
| Entry into force |
The new valuation technique was implemented on 31 December 2019. The change is a change in accounting estimates by nature, and it will not be applied retrospectively |
| Description of the technique |
The new valuation technique is based on 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) calculations. The discount rate is the 10-year cash flow yield requirement plus inflation. The weighted yield requirements used are the following: • Capital region 3.83% • Other regions of Finland 5.05% • Group total 4.23% JLL has given a statement about Kojamo's valuation, and the fair value of the investment properties under the assessment corresponds this statements |
Delivering the best customer experience
We offer easy and effortless services for our customers and create added value through services
We seek profitable growth with multichannel approach and optimised financing structure
We create competitiveness and profitability through industry-leading operating models
Responsibility and sustainable development
Responsibility is a part of our DNA and plays important role in the work of everyone at Kojamo
The most competent personnel and a dynamic place to work
We are known for dynamic and effective corporate culture. We ensure our future competitiveness through competence development and employee experience
Renewal through digital solutions
We improve our business and create added value to our customers by taking advantage of solutions enabled by digitalisation
Customer experience and servitisation
Scalability of operations, employee experience
Digitalisation of properties and services
Knowledge-based management and AI
Strong growth | Operational excellence | Renewal through digital solutions
Anti-grey economy models exceed legislative
requirements
Finland's most inspiring places to work recognition for the third consecutive year
90 EUR million tax footprint
4,951 years, indirect employment effect
0 data protection
violations or deviations
75%
Personnel satisfaction index on a high level (control group: 68%)
93.7 TR index on a high level
Kojamo plc's Interim Report January–September 2020 37 All figures represent the situation at the end of 2019 except for nearly zero-energy construction figures that represent the end of period. * = In line with VAETS II programme, at the end of 2019
Our goal to boost energy consumption during 2017–2025, of which we have achieved 73%*
of Kojamo's premises are WWF Green Office certified
Shared cars in use of Lumo tenants
Hydropowercertified property electricity at 100% of properties
2,289 under construction, nearly zero-energy apartments
29,000 apartments' indoor temperature controlled by IoT solution (80%)
-1.2% specific water consumption (l/m3 )
-1.4% energy consumption index (kWh/m3 )
total energy consumption in properties (kWh/m3 )
-1.0% waste (kg/ apartment)
| Shareholder | Number of shares |
% of shares | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nominee-registered and direct foreign shareholders |
104,045,568 | 42.1 | |
| 1. | The Finnish Industrial Union |
24,809,561 | 10.0 |
| 2. | Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company |
20,537,814 | 8.3 |
| 3. | Varma Mutual Pension Insurance Company |
19,362,375 | 7.8 |
| 4. | Trade Union of Education in Finland | 15,081,498 | 6.1 |
| 5. | Trade Union for the Public and Welfare Sectors |
12,300,000 | 5.0 |
| 6. | Finnish Construction Trade Union |
9,866,210 | 4.0 |
| 7. | Trade Union PRO | 8,260,270 | 3.3 |
| 8. | Service Union United PAM | 7,400,000 | 3.0 |
| 9. | Elo Mutual Pension Insurance Company | 2,881,113 | 1.2 |
| 10. | Åbo Akademi University Foundation |
2,198,763 | 0.9 |
| Other | Finnish shareholders |
20,401,227 | 8.3 |
| Total | 247,144,399 | 100.0 |
Number of shareholders
Share of nominee-registered and direct foreign ownership, %
| 7–9/2020 | 7–9/2019 | Change, % | 1–9/2020 | 1–9/2019 | Change, % | 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue, M€ |
96.3 | 95.7 | 0.6 | 286.8 | 280.3 | 2.3 | 375.3 |
| Net rental income, M€ |
68.9 | 69.5 | -1.0 | 193.8 | 187.2 | 3.5 | 247.3 |
| Net rental income margin, % |
71.5 | 72.6 | 67.6 | 66.8 | 65.9 | ||
| Profit before taxes, M€ |
72.8 | 66.6 | 9.4 | 198.0 | 191.4 | 3.5 | 1,031.3 |
| Gross investments, M€ |
85.1 | 79.0 | 7.7 | 264.1 | 175.6 | 50.4 | 259.9 |
| Funds From Operations (FFO), M€ |
42.0 | 39.7 | 5.9 | 113.5 | 106.1 | 7.0 | 140.7 |
| FFO per share, € | 0.17 | 0.16 | 6.3 | 0.46 | 0.43 | 7.0 | 0.57 |
| Financial occupancy rate, % |
96.3 | 97.1 | 97.2 | ||||
| Fair value of investment properties, Bn€ |
6.6 | 5.4 | 22.7 | 6.3 | |||
| Number of apartments |
35,613 | 35,061 | 1.6 | 35,272 | |||
| Rental apartments under construction |
2,532 | 1,211 | 109.1 | 1,316 | |||
| EPRA NAV per share, € |
15.90 | 12.11 | 31.3 | 15.49 | |||
| Equity ratio, % |
44.1 | 42.0 | 46.9 | ||||
| Loan to Value (LTV), % |
42.1 | 46.7 | 40.5 |
| M€ | 7–9/2020 | 7–9/2019 | 1–9/2020 | 1–9/2019 | 1–12/2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | 96.3 | 95.7 | 286.8 | 280.3 | 375.3 |
| Maintenance expenses |
-17.9 | -17.3 | -68.1 | -69.0 | -91.1 |
| Repair expenses |
-9.6 | -8.9 | -24.9 | -24.1 | -36.9 |
| Net rental income |
68.9 | 69.5 | 193.8 | 187.2 | 247.3 |
| Administrative expenses |
-8.8 | -8.6 | -29.0 | -28.3 | -38.7 |
| Other operating income and expenses | 1.4 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Profit/loss on sales of investment properties | 0.0 | 0.3 | -0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Profit/loss on sales of trading properties | - | - | - | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Profit/loss on fair value of investment properties | 25.8 | 18.4 | 74.1 | 71.0 | 872.4 |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment losses |
-0.7 | -0.3 | -1.2 | -0.9 | -1.1 |
| Operating profit | 86.5 | 79.9 | 239.6 | 230.7 | 1,081.9 |
| Total amount of financial income and expenses |
-13.7 | -13.3 | -41.6 | -39.3 | -50.8 |
| Share of result from associated companies |
- | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Profit before taxes | 72.8 | 66.6 | 198.0 | 191.4 | 1,031.3 |
| Current tax expense | -4.8 | -9.2 | -13.5 | -17.2 | -19.9 |
| Change in deferred taxes | -9.6 | -4.2 | -26.1 | -21.1 | -186.2 |
| Profit for the period | 58.4 | 53.2 | 158.5 | 153.1 | 825.2 |
| M€ | 30 Sep 2020 |
30 Sep 2019 |
31 Dec 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSETS | |||
| Non -current assets |
|||
| Intangible assets |
0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Investment properties |
6,595.4 | 5,376.4 | 6,260.8 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 29.6 | 31.0 | 30.9 |
| Investments in associated companies |
1.6 | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| Financial assets | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Non -current receivables |
7.9 | 4.9 | 3.2 |
| Derivatives | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Deferred tax assets |
17.2 | 20.1 | 14.4 |
| Total non -current assets |
6,652.5 | 5,435.8 | 6,312.8 |
| Non -current assets held for sale |
2.4 | - | - |
| Current assets |
|||
| Trading properties | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Derivatives | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Current tax assets |
2.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Trade and other receivables |
10.7 | 8.7 | 7.7 |
| Financial assets | 127.9 | 152.0 | 132.1 |
| Cash and cash equivalents |
358.4 | 130.0 | 137.3 |
| Total currents assets |
500.2 | 291.4 | 277.6 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 7,155.1 | 5,727.2 | 6,590.4 |
| M€ | 30 Sep 2020 |
30 Sep 2019 |
31 Dec 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|
| EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | |||
| Equity attributable to shareholders of the parent company | |||
| Share capital | 58.0 | 58.0 | 58.0 |
| Share issue premium |
35.8 | 35.8 | 35.8 |
| Fair value reserve |
-55.1 | -61.1 | -44.7 |
| Invested non -restricted equity reserve |
164.4 | 164.4 | 164.4 |
| Retained earnings |
2,950.9 | 2,204.7 | 2,877.0 |
| Equity attributable to shareholders of the parent company |
3,154.1 | 2,401.8 | 3,090.6 |
| Total equity | 3,154.1 | 2,401.8 | 3,090.6 |
| Non -current liabilities |
|||
| Loans and borrowings | 2,889.0 | 2,424.8 | 2,429.3 |
| Deferred tax liabilities |
710.0 | 520.2 | 683.8 |
| Derivatives | 82.5 | 92.3 | 69.8 |
| Provisions | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Other non -current liabilities |
4.7 | 13.9 | 5.1 |
| Total non -current liabilities |
3,686.6 | 3,051.7 | 3,188.4 |
| Current liabilities |
|||
| Loans and borrowings | 248.6 | 215.9 | 244.9 |
| Derivatives | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Current tax liabilities |
2.3 | 3.4 | 2.0 |
| Trade and other payables | 62.8 | 54.3 | 64.3 |
| Total current liabilities |
314.4 | 273.7 | 311.4 |
| Total liabilities | 4,001.0 | 3,325.4 | 3,499.8 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 7,155.1 | 5,727.2 | 6,590.4 |
| 30 Sep 2020 |
30 Jun 2020 |
31 Mar 2020 |
31 Dec 2019 |
30 Sep 2019 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity ratio, % |
44.1 | 43.3 | 45.3 | 46.9 | 42.0 |
| Interest cover |
4.2 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| Loan to Value (LTV), % |
42.1 | 42.6 | 39.5 | 40.5 | 46.7 |
| Hedging ratio, % |
89 | 87 | 85 | 88 | 90 |
| Average interest rate, %1) |
1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Average loan maturity, years |
4.6 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| Average interest rate fixing period, years |
4.7 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 5.2 |
1) Includes interest rate derivates
Kojamo plc's Interim Report January–September 2020 44 Source: Annual data for Helsinki region: Helsinki Region Environmental Services Authority HSY, Follow-up of the Helsinki Region's Agreement on Land-use, Housing and Transport (MAL); Finland total: Statistics Finland; Helsinki: Living in Helsinki, construction review quarterly. Estimates for 2020 have been made before the corona pandemic except for estimate for start-ups in Finland in total.
This presentation shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy securitites in any jurisdiction. No part of this presentation, nor the fact of its distribution, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision.
This presentation includes forward-looking statements, which include statements regarding the Kojamo's business strategy, operating and financial targets, financial condition, profitability, results of operations and market data, as well as other statements that are not historical facts. Words such as "believe," "anticipate," "plan," "expect," "target," "estimate," "project," "predict," "forecast," "guideline," "should," "aim," "continue," "could," "guidance," "may," "potential," "will," as well as similar expressions and the negative of such expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements, but are not the exclusive means of identifying these statements. By their nature, forwardlooking statements are subject to numerous factors, risks and uncertainties that could cause actual outcomes and results to be materially different from those projected. Undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements. Except for any ongoing disclosure obligation as required by applicable law, Kojamo does not have any intention or obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether to reflect any future events or circumstances or otherwise.
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