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Zeal Network SE — Call Transcript 2023
Nov 9, 2023
500_ip_2023-11-09_b79e610e-cbd6-47ab-a41b-4ee849a355bf.pdf
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EARNINGSCALL
Quarterly Statement Q3 as of 30 September 2023 09 November 2023
Tipp24 ZEAL BERIA ZEAL ZEAL INSTANT
CONTENT CONTENT CONTENT CONTENT CONTENT
- Summary
ZEAL
ZEAL INSTANT
- Business Update
- Financial Update
- Guidance 2023
- Key Take-Aways
SUMMARY
SUMMARY 9M 2023
GROWTH INITIATIVES BRING SUCCESS
- Further strong business volume growth $\chi$
- Increased profitability despite expanded investment into $\Rightarrow$ customer acquisition and brand building
- Games offerings expanded in third quarter $\bigoplus$
Tipp24
BUSINESS UPDATE
GAMES BUSINESS ON TRACK
Games business successfully launched
New Games offer is very well received - full business roll-out in 2024
ZEAL still frontrunner in the lottery segment among peers with strong opportunity to capture early growth in new market segment
Continuous expansion and refreshing of the games portfolio $\bigoplus$
Currently 28 games online - more games will follow in the next weeks, but the authorities are still the bottle neck
FINANCIAL UPDATE
JACKPOT DEVELOPMENT - 5 PEAKS IN 2023 VS. 5 PEAKS IN 2022
Tipp24
ZEAL BERIA
ZEAL INSTANT
24
ZEAL INCOME STATEMENT 9M 2023 - CONDENSED
| INCOME STATEMENT | 9M 2023 $(in \in k)$ |
9M 2022 $(in \in k)$ |
CHANGE (in %) |
|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE | 86,012 | 74,451 | $+15.5$ |
| - Lotteries | 79,418 | 69,420 | $+14.4$ |
| - Games | 1,216 | ||
| TOTAL COSTS OF OPERATIONS | $-63,927$ | $-54,573$ | $+17.1$ |
| Personnel expenses | $-15,195$ | $-13,935$ | $+9.0$ |
| Other operating expenses | $-48,796$ | $-40,632$ | $+20.1$ |
| Marketing expenses | $-30,691$ | $-24,096$ | $+27.4$ |
| Direct operating expenses | $-8,570$ | $-7,697$ | $+11.3$ |
| Indirect operating expenses | $-9,535$ | $-8,839$ | $+7.9$ |
| EBITDA | 23,168 | 21,993 | $+5.3$ |
| Amortisation and depreciation | $-6,530$ | $-6,518$ | $+0.2$ |
| EBIT | 16,637 | 15,475 | $+7.5$ |
| NET PROFIT AFTER TAX | 10,093 | 12,142 | $-16.9$ |
$\mathcal{R}$ REVENUE
Revenue increased by 16% due to the strong growth of billings.
TOTAL COSTS OF OPERATIONS $\chi$
Total costs of operations increased by 17% compared to previous year.
Personnel expenses:
Personnel expenses increased by 9% as the average number of employees rose from 159 to 170.
Marketing expenses:
Marketing expenses increased by 27% as marketing activities were significantly increased during periods of high jackpots such as June and September and we expanded our investment into brand building.
Direct operating expenses:
Direct operating expenses increased by 11% despite billings growth of 16% due to one-off costs relating to the set-up of lottery clubs in the previous year.
Indirect operating expenses:
ZEAL
Indirect operating expenses were up by 8%, mainly due to costs for strategic technical projects for our Spanish ONCE business, costs for external legal advice, an increase in software costs and additional provisions for litigation. This was partially offset by a decrease of insurance premiums for our social lotteries.
EBITDA $\Rightarrow$
EBITDA increased by 5% mainly as a result of the strong increase of revenues despite increased customer acquisition costs and brand investment.
NEW FINANCIAL KPI'S AND OTHER INDICATORS
| LOTTERIES | GAMES | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9M 2023 | 9M 2022 | CHANGE | 9M 2023 | 9M 2022 | CHANGE | |
| Pay-in (€m.) | 503.1 $\sqrt{1.3x}$ |
430.4 | $+16.9%$ | 3.4 14.9x |
||
| Billings (€m.) | 633.2 | 544.4 | $+16.3%$ | 16.7 | ||
| Pay-in margin (%) | 15.8 | 16.1 | $-0.3$ pp. | 35.3 | ||
| ARPU $(E)$ | 7.65 | 7.46 | $+2.6%$ | 19.52 | ||
| Gross margin (%) | 12.5 | 12.8 | $-0.2$ pp. | 7.3 | ||
| RTP $(%)$ * | 50 | 50 | 88 |
* Only Lotto 6/49 and Eurojackpot
Billings:
Key figure Billings is not representative for the Games business.
NEW KPI's
With the new Games business, three new KPIs implemented.
COMMENTS
Pay-in:
Deposits received from customers into their customer account for playing the games we offer.
Pay-in margin:
Ratio of revenue to Pay-ins.
ARPU (Average revenue per user per month):
Average revenue per customer attributable to each active customer in a given month.
RTP
Return to player
ZEAL BERIA
OTHER PERFORMANCE INDICATORS I (LOTTERIES)
BILLINGS MONTHLY ACTIVE AVERAGE BILLINGS PER USERS (MAU) USER, ABPU (Lotteries) in $\epsilon$ millions (Lotteries) (Lotteries) in thousands $in \in$ $+16%$ $+12%$ $+4%$ 633.2 1,153 61.02 1.034 544.4 58.47 9M 2022 9M 2022 9M 2023 9M 2023 9M 2022 9M 2023 Successful use of the high Continuous increase in the customer base Further increase at already high levels jackpot phases and higher level of customer activity
ZEAL
ZEAL INSTANT
OTHER PERFORMANCE INDICATORS II (LOTTERIES)
GUIDANCE 2023
GUIDANCE 2023 - CONFIRMED
| In $\epsilon$ m | 2023 GUIDANCE |
2022 | Guidance for FY 2023 based on a normalised jackpot situation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Billings (excl. Games) 1) |
$800 - 830$ | 758.4 | $\sqrt{2}$ ZEAL will make the necessary investments for future growth Marketing expenses in the range of $E$ 34-39m |
| Revenue 2) | $110 - 120$ | 105.2 | expected for FY 2023 $\alpha$ Expected mid-term revenue growth in low double-digit range (CAGR 2022-2027) |
| EBITDA 3) | $30 - 35$ | 31.7 |
1)Based on an average jackpot development | 2)Including income from jackpot insurance | 3)Marketing expenses of €34m – €39m are expected
KEY TAKE-AWAYS
KEY TAKE-AWAYS
- ZEAL continues to grow $\mathcal{P}$
- Games business launched successfully in June $\chi$
- Customer acquisition accelerated, especially $\phi$ during high jackpots
- Expansion of investment into brand building $\bigoplus$
DISCLAIMER
The information contained herein must not be relied upon for any purpose and may not be redistributed, reproduced, published, or passed on to any other person or used in whole or in part for any other purpose.
This document contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the businesses, financial performance and results of the Companies and/or the industry in which the Companies operate. Such forward-looking statements, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Companies and statements from third parties, are uncertain and subject to risks. A multitude of factors can cause actual events to differ significantly from any anticipated development. The Companies do not guarantee that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors, nor do they accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments.
No representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed upon, any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein, and, accordingly, none of the Companies or any of their subsidiary undertakings or any of such person's officers, employees or advisors accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document.
By accepting this presentation, you acknowledge that you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the market and the market position of each of the Companies and that you will conduct your own analysis and be solely responsible for forming your own view of the potential future performance of each of the Companies' businesses.
This presentation is for information only and shall not constitute investment advice. It is not intended for solicitation purposes but only for use as general information..
This presentation is dated November 2023. Neither the delivery of this presentation nor any further discussions of any of the Companies with any of the recipients, shall, under any circumstances, create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of any of the Companies since such date.
APPENDIX
CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT AND BALANCE SHEET IN €K
| INCOME STATEMENT | 9M 2023 $(in \in k)$ |
9M 2022 $(in \in k)$ |
CHANGE (in %) |
BALANCE SHEET | 30/09/23 $(in \in)$ |
31/12/22 $(in \in)$ |
CHANGE (in %) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 86,012 | 74,451 | $+15.5$ | Current assets | 81,430 | 139,538 | $-41.6$ |
| Total costs of operations |
$-63,926$ | $-54,573$ | $+17.1$ | Non-current assets | 309,779 | 320,197 | $-3.3$ |
| EBITDA | 23,169 | 21,993 | $+5.3$ | ASSETS | 391,209 | 459,736 | $-14.9$ |
| EBIT . |
16,639 | 15,475 . |
$+7.5$ | . Current liabilities |
52,386 | 44,562 | +17.6 |
| Profit before taxes | 15,633 . |
15,485 . |
$+1.0$ | Non-current liabilities | 73,894 | 81,137 | $-8.9$ |
| Equity | 264,929 | 334,037 | $-20.7$ | ||||
| Net Profit | 10,094 | 12,142 | $-16.9$ | EQUITY & LIABILITIES | 391,209 | 459,736 | $-14.9$ |
ZEAL
ZEAL INSTANT
BUSINESS UNIT SEGMENT REPORTING AS OF 30/09/23 IN €K
| GERMANY | OTHER | TOTAL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 82,095 | 3,917 | 86,012 |
| . Other operating income |
1,083 | 1,083 | |
| EBITDA | 22,029 | 1,140 | 23,169 |
| . Depreciation/amortisation |
$-6,530$ | ||
| EBIT | 16,639 | ||
| Financial result | ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, | $-979$ | |
| Share of loss from associates | $-27$ | ||
| 15,632 | |||
| Income tax | $-5,538$ | ||
| NET PROFIT/LOSS | 10,094 |
ZEAL
ZEAL INSTANT
21
KPIS (LOTTERIES)
| Q1 2020 |
Q2 2020 |
Q 3 2020 |
Q 4 2020 |
Q1 2021 |
Q2 2021 |
Q 3 2021 |
Q 4 2021 |
Q1 2022 |
Q2 2022 |
Q 3 2022 |
Q 4 2022 |
Q1 2023 |
Q2 2023 |
Q 3 2023 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pay-in (in $\epsilon$ m) | 110.1 | 138.0 | 120.6 | 140.8 | 121.4 | 128.4 | 125.9 | 128.0 | 142.5 | 140.2 | 147.7 | 171.3 | 158.8 | 167.3 | 177.0 |
| BILLINGS (in $\epsilon$ m) |
140.0 | 174.4 | 157.3 | 181.0 | 163.3 | 169.5 | 160.3 | 163.4 | 181.2 | 177.1 | 186.1 | 214.1 | 201.2 | 209.9 | 222.1 |
| ABPU (in $\epsilon$ ) | 49.46 | 54.48 | 54.90 | 61.30 | 56.36 | 58.40 | 54.40 | 58.00 | 58.31 | 58.18 | 58.90 | 60.73 | 60.99 | 61.42 | 60.73 |
| ARPU (in $\epsilon$ ) | 6.00 | 6.89 | 6.60 | 7.51 | 7.16 | 7.00 | 6.55 | 6.99 | 7.57 | 7.41 | 7.39 | 8.07 | 7.55 | 7.73 | 7.67 |
| $MAU$ (in $k$ ) | 942 | 1,065 | 954 | 984 | 966 | 968 | 982 | 938 | 1,036 | 1,015 | 1,053 | 1,175 | 1,100 | 1,142 | 1,217 |
| CPL (in $\epsilon$ ) | 26.00 | 27.77 | 28.96 | 28.79 | 33.48 | 32.12 | 17.65 | 29.61 | 38.09 | 37.07 | 34.76 | 34.86 | 36.77 | 50.83 | 50.39 |
ZEAL
9.11.2023
KPIS (GAMES)
| Q2 2023* | Q3 2023 | |
|---|---|---|
| Pay-in (in $\epsilon$ m) | O.1 | 3.3 |
| BILLINGS (in €m) | 0.6 | 16.2 |
| ABPU (in $\epsilon$ ) | 58.74 | 306.18 |
| ARPU (in $\epsilon$ ) | 5.49 | 22.02 |
| $MAU$ (in $k$ ) | 9 | 18 |
* Games business started in June 2023.
ZEAL GAMES
23
FINANCIAL CALENDAR 2023
| 2023 | 2024 | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan. | Feb. | Mar. | Apr. May | Jun. | Jul. | Aug. | Sep. | Oct. Nov. Dec. | Jan. Feb. | Mar. Apr. | May | Jun. | ||||||
| Publication of Annual Report 2022 |
23 March 2023 | |||||||||||||||||
| Annual General Meeting |
9 May 2023 | |||||||||||||||||
| Publication of Q1 Quarterly Statement |
11 May 2023 | |||||||||||||||||
| Publication of Half- Year Report |
10 August 2023 | |||||||||||||||||
| Publication of Q3 Quarterly Statement |
9 November 2023 | |||||||||||||||||
| Publication of Annual Report 2023 |
20 March 2024 |
ZEAL
ZEAL GAMES
Contact
Frank Hoffmann, CEFA
Senior Investor Relations Manager
$T + 49(0)40809036 - 042$ M +49 (0)175 267 3420 [email protected] www.zealnetwork.de
ZEAL
Straßenbahnring 11 20251 Hamburg