Skip to main content

AI assistant

Sign in to chat with this filing

The assistant answers questions, extracts KPIs, and summarises risk factors directly from the filing text.

Zalando SE Earnings Release 2018

Nov 6, 2018

499_ip_2018-11-06_36c608df-1d10-4114-83b0-44f7b8124081.pdf

Earnings Release

Open in viewer

Opens in your device viewer

E U R O P E ' S L E A D I N G O N L I N E F A S H I O N D E S T I N A T I O N

Q3/2018 EARNINGS CALL

N O V E M B E R 6 , 2 0 1 8

HIGHLIGHTS AND BUSINESS UPDATE

HIGHLIGHTS AND LOWLIGHTS Q3/2018

HIGHLIGHTS LOWLIGHTS

>25m

Strong customer KPI development: active customers represent 6% of European population Active customers Slow topline performance

+12% Revenue growth +17% GMV growth

below target corridor

NPS at all-time high

Customer satisfaction improving with better product selection and advancing onsite experience

>60% Partner program growth

Platform transition unfolding: building the ecosystem for European fashion

-€39m Adj. EBIT

Negative adj. EBIT below prior year and expectations

BUILDING THE ECOSYSTEM FOR EUROPEAN FASHION

FINANCIAL UPDATE Q3/2018

S L O W T O P L I N E P E R F O R M AN C E I N F AS H I O N S T O R E W H I L E OFFPRICE CONTINUES STRONG GROWTH

(1) YTD/18 (YTD/17) contains -€362m (-€256m) reconciliation of internal revenues. Q3/18 (Q3/17): -€125m (-€90m).

(2) All other segments including private label offering zLabels and various emerging businesses.

6

G R O W T H R AT E I M P AC T E D B Y P AR T N E R P R O G R AM , S T R O N G P R I O R -Y E AR G R O W T H AN D D E L AY E D F / W S E AS O N S T AR T

  • GMV growth significantly stronger than revenue growth, driven by Partner Program
  • Compares against very strong Q3/2017 growth of 29%
  • Delayed season start in September created difficult environment for growth

S T R O N G C U S T O M E R K P I D E V E L O P M E N T DESPITE BASKET SIZE IMPACT

8 (1) Defined as the transactional revenue (incl. VAT and transactional volume of Partner Program) after cancellations or returns divided by the number of orders.

(2) GMV (gross merchandise volume) per active customer = average orders per active customer (LTM in #) x average basket size after returns (in €).

N E G AT I V E AD J . E B I T B E L O W P R I O R Y E AR AN D E X P E C T AT I O N S

(1) Excluding equity-settled share-based payment expense ("SBC"), restructuring costs and non-operating one-time effects of €39.0m in YTD/18 (YTD/17: €17.2m). Q3/18: €16.8m (Q3/17: €6.3m).

9 (2) YTD/18 (YTD/17) contains €1m (€0m) reconciliation of internal adj. EBIT. Q3/18 (Q3/17): -€1m (€0m).

E AR N I N G S C H AL L E N G E D B Y B O T H T E M P O R AR Y AN D S T R U C T U R AL H E AD W I N D S

COSTS AND MARGINS1

(1) Excluding equity-settled share-based payment expense ("SBC"), restructuring costs and non-operating one-time effects.

10 (2) Changes resulting from new segment structure. Prior year figures not restated.

C AP E X S P E N D B AC K -E N D L O AD E D I N 2 0 1 8

S O L I D L I Q U I D I T Y P O S I T I O N T O P U R S U E O U R 2 0 2 0 S T R AT E G Y

(1) Both Q1/18 and Q2/18 liquidity include investments into short-term deposits with maturity of more than 3 and less than 12 months of -€20m.

(2) Includes investments in fixed and intangible assets and payments for acquisitions and change in restricted cash and a fixed a sset sale of +€57m in Q3/18.

12 (3) Includes financing cash flow (-€64.7m) and effect of exchange rate on cash and cash equivalents (-€1.9m).

OUTLOOK

REVENUE GROWTH OF AROUND 20% AND ADJ. E B I T O F € 1 7 0 M AT M I D -P O I N T

REVENUE GROWTH AROUND THE LOW END OF 20 – 2 5 % R A N G E

A D J . E B I T 1 : € 1 5 0 - 190M 2

S L I G H T L Y N E G A T I V E W O R K I N G C A P I T A L + A R O U N D € 3 0 0 M C A P E X 3

(1) Excluding equity-settled share-based payment expense ("SBC"), restructuring costs and non-operating one-time effects of ~€55m for FY/18E.

(2) Implies an adj. EBIT margin of ~3.2%.

14 (3) Excludes investments into M&A.

I S S U E D S H AR E C AP I T AL

SHARE INFORMATION (AS OF SEP 30, 2018)

Issued Share Capital €250,488,963
Total Number of Shares Outstanding 250,488,963
Index Listings MDAX
Market Segment Regulated Market (Prime Standard)
Stock Exchange Frankfurt Stock Exchange
Type of Shares Ordinary bearer shares with no-par value (Stückaktien)

SHARE STOCK OPTION PROGRAMS (AS OF SEP 30, 2018) EMPLOYEE INCENTIVE PLAN (AS OF SEP 30, 2018)

EMPLOYEE INCENTIVE PLAN (AS OF SEP 30, 2018
Program # Options
outstanding
Weighted average
exercise
price (EUR)
Various 57,970 1.00
SOP 2011 1,346,400 5.65
SOP 2013 9,445,771 15.37
SOP 2014 4,311,750 20.07
Total 15,161,891 15.79
Program # Options
outstanding
Weighted average
exercise
price (EUR)
EIP 2016 814,431 24.86
EIP
2017
1,048,845 36.78
EIP
2018
1,631,553 41.23
Total 3,494,829 36.08

I N C O M E S T AT E M E N T

€m FY/141 FY/151 FY/161 FY/171 Q3/171 Q3/18
Revenue 2,214.0 2,958.2 3,639.0 4,489.0 1,074.7 1,200.2
% growth 25.7% 33.6% 23.0% 23.4% 28.7% 11.7%
Cost of Sales (1,255.3) (1,624.0) (2,029.6) (2,529.6) (636.2) (726.5)
Gross Profit 958.7 1,334.1 1,609.4 1,959.4 438.5 473.7
% margin 43.3% 45.1% 44.2% 43.6% 40.8% 39.5%
Selling and Distribution Costs (793.8) (1,118.9) (1,223.7) (1,530.8) (384.0) (459.7)
Administrative Expenses (109.1) (129.0) (191.3) (242.9) (62.6) (70.4)
Other Operating Income 12.2 10.2 16.7 11.8 3.2 1.4
Other Operating Expenses (5.8) (7.0) (4.1) (9.9) (1.0) (0.7)
EBIT 62.1 89.6 207.0 187.6 (5.9) (55.7)
% margin 2.8% 3.0% 5.7% 4.2% (0.5%) (4.6%)
Net Financial Result (4.5) (3.0) (14.1) (12.4) (3.7) (1.7)
EBT 57.7 86.6 192.9 175.2 (9.6) (57.3)
% margin 2.6% 2.9% 5.3% 3.9% (0.9%) (4.8%)
Income and Other Tax (10.5) 34.9 (72.5) (73.6) (1.5) 15.6
Net Income 47.2 121.5 120.5 101.6 (11.1) (41.7)
% margin 2.1% 4.1% 3.3% 2.3% (1.0%) (3.5%)
Depreciation & Amortization 25.8 34.2 48.2 58.7 15.2 21.9
EBITDA 88.0 123.8 255.2 246.4 9.4 (33.7)
% margin 4.0% 4.2% 7.0% 5.5% 0.9% (2.8%)
Share Based Compensation
(SBC)
19.8 17.9 19.9 27.5 6.3 16.8
Adj. EBIT2 82.0 107.5 216.3 215.1 0.4 (38.9)
% margin 3.7% 3.6% 5.9% 4.8% 0.0% (3.2%)
Adj. EBITDA2 107.8 141.7 264.5 273.8 15.7 (16.9)
% margin 4.9% 4.8% 7.3% 6.1% 1.5% (1.4%)

17 (2) Excluding equity-settled share-based payment expense ("SBC"), restructuring costs and non-operating one-time effects.

S H AR E B AS E D C O M P E N S AT I O N

€m FY/14 FY/15 FY/16 FY/17 Q3/17 Q3/18
Per Income Statement Line Item
Cost of Sales 4.4 4.5 5.0 6.9 1.7 1.0
Selling and Distribution Costs 9.6 9.0 9.9 13.7 3.4 3.6
Administrative Expenses 5.8 4.5 5.0 6.9 1.2 12.2
Share Based Compensation 19.8 17.9 19.9 27.5 6.3 16.8
As % of revenue FY/14 FY/15 FY/16 FY/17 Q3/17 Q3/18
Per Income Statement Line Item
Cost of Sales 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Selling and Distribution Costs 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Administrative Expenses 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 1.0%
Share Based Compensation 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.4%

S E G M E N T S1

€m FY/14 FY/15 FY/16 Reported
FY/17
Restated
FY/17
Restated
Q3/17
Q3/18
Revenue 2,214.0 2,958.2 3,639.0 4,489.0 4,489.0 1,074.7 1,200.2
Fashion
Store
4,150.5 994.0 1,101.3
thereof
DACH
1,234.0 1,580.1 1,813.8 2,145.6 2,150.0 498.4 542.4
thereof Rest of Europe 862.6 1,211.6 1,570.2 1,973.6 2,000.5 495.5 558.9
Offprice 345.3 80.4 112.8
Other 117.4 166.5 255.1 369.9 345.3 90.6 111.4
Reconciliation (352.0) (90.3) (125.1)
As % of total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Fashion Store 92.5% 92.5% 91.8%
Fashion
Store –
DACH
55.7% 53.4% 49.8% 47.8% 47.9% 46.4% 45.2%
Fashion
Store –
Rest of Europe
39.0% 41.0% 43.1% 44.0% 44.6% 46.1% 46.6%
Offprice 7.7% 7.5% 9.4%
Other 5.3% 5.6% 7.0% 8.2% 7.7% 8.4% 9.3%
Reconciliation (7.8%) (8.4%) (10.4%)
Adjusted EBIT 82.0 107.5 216.3 215.1 215.1 0.4 (38.9)
Fashion
Store
213.7 1.2 (40.9)
thereof
DACH
83.0 101.9 226.3 188.5 193.5 17.6 (7.8)
thereof Rest of Europe (11.6) (3.3) (3.3) 21.6 20.3 (16.3) (33.1)
Offprice 27.6 7.8 8.1
Other 10.5 8.9 (6.7) 5.0 (26.3) (8.6) (4.7)
Reconciliation 0.0 0.0 (1.3)
% adjusted margin 3.7% 3.6% 5.9% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% (3.2%)
Fashion Store 5.2% 0.1% (3.7%)
Fashion
Store –
DACH
6.7% 6.4% 12.5% 8.8% 9.0% 3.5% (1.4%)
Fashion
Store –
Rest of Europe
(1.3%) (0.3%) (0.2%) 1.1% 1.0% (3.3%) (5.9%)
Offprice 8.0% 9.7% 7.2%
Other 9.0% 5.3% (2.6%) 1.3% (7.6%) (9.4%) (4.2%)
Reconciliation 0.0% 0.0% (1.0%)

B AL AN C E S H E E T

Q3/17 Q3/18
€m Q3/17 (% of total assets) Q3/18 (%
of total assets)
Total Non-Current Assets 567.4 18.9% 679.7 21.4%
Thereof: Property, Plant and Equipment 352.2 11.7% 462.9 14.6%
Other Financial Assets 27.2 0.9% 21.3 0.7%
Non-Financial Assets 2.3 0.1% 3.8 0.1%
Other Non-Current Assets 185.8 6.2% 191.7 6.0%
Total Current Assets 2,435.9 81.1% 2,492.3 78.6%
Thereof: Inventories 859.3 28.6% 1025.3 32.3%
Trade and Other Receivables 260.1 8.7% 323.8 10.2%
Other Assets1 231.9 7.7% 266.2 8.4%
Cash and Cash Equivalents1 1084.6 36.1% 877.0 27.7%
Total Assets 3,003.4 100.0% 3,172.0 100%
Total Equity 1,474.9 49.1% 1,486.9 46.9%
Thereof: Issued Capital 247.3 8.2% 248.0 7.8%
Capital Reserves 1,178.0 39.2% 1,148.0 36.2%
Other
reserves
5.7 0.2% (3.7) (0.1%)
Accumulated Profit 44.2 1.5% 94.7 3.0%
Minority Interests (0.3) (0.0%) (0.1) (0.0%)
Total Non-Current Liabilities 60.0 2.0% 65.4 2.1%
Thereof: Financial Liabilities 8.9 0.3% 6.3 0.2%
Other Non-Current Liabilities 51.1 1.7% 59.1 1.9%
Total Current Liabilities 1,468.5 48.9% 1,619.7 51.0%
Thereof: Trade Payables and Similar Obligations 1234.7 41.1% 1,356.5 42.8%
Other Current Liabilities 233.7 7.8% 263.2 8.2%
Total Equity & Liabilities 3,003.4 100.0% 3,172.0 100%
Net Working
Capital
(115.3) (2.7%) (7.4) 0.2%

C AS H F L O W S T AT E M E N T

€m FY/14 FY/15 FY/16 FY/17 Q3/17 Q3/18
Net Income 47.2 121.5 120.5 101.6 (11.1) (41.7)
Non-Cash Expenses from Share-Based Payments 19.8 17.9 19.9 27.5 6.3 16.8
Cash Settlement of Claims from
Share-Based
Payments
0.0 (2.3) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Depreciation & amortization 25.8 34.2 48.2 58.7 15.2 21.9
Income
Taxes
10.5 (34.9) 72.5 73.6 1.5 (15.6)
Income
Taxes
Paid, Less
Refunds
0.0 (0.0) (33.8) (49.4) (15.1) (10.9)
Change in Provisions 1.0 (0.5) 0.1 (1.5) 0.1 0.0
Other Non-Cash Income (0.2) (1.0) 1.2 6.5 (1.1) 0.1
Change in Inventories and Receivables (68.7) (154.2) (147.4) (251.0) (209.1) (225.0)
Change in Trade Liabilities 94.9 154.9 264.3 198.4 287.0 250.1
Change in Other Assets/Other Liabilities 44.6 (16.2) (69.7) 29.2 18.6 (21.6)
Cash Flow from Operating Activities 174.9 119.4 275.8 193.7 92.3 (25.9)
Payments for Investments in Fixed and Intangible Assets (51.1) (60.0) (181.7) (243.9) (45.7) (3.6)1
Payments for Acquisitions 0.0 (16.8) (30.4) (34.9) (6.7) (0.8)
Cash Paid
for
Investments in Term Deposits
0.0 (155.0) (65.0) 180.0 70.0 0.0
Change in Restricted Cash (0.8) 35.3 0.0 10.4 2.7 (0.4)
Cash Flow from Investing Activities (51.9) (196.5) (277.1) (88.3) 20.3 (4.8)
Payments Received from Capital Increases 510.1 6.4 1.1 3.9 0.0 32.2
Cash
Received from Loans
3.9 0.0 (0.7) 0.0 0.0 0.0
Repurchase of treasury shares 0.0 (1.7) 0.0 (11.3) 0.0 (0.4)
Cash Repayments
of Loans
(3.2) (3.2) (3.2) (3.2) (0.5) (0.7)
Cash Flow from Financing Activities 510.8 1.5 (2.9) (10.6) (0.5) 31.1)
Change in Cash & Cash Equivalents 633.8 (75.7) (4.1) 94.8 112.0 0.4
Effects
of Exchange Rate
on Cash & Cash Equivalents
0.0 0.9 0.5 (1.9) (2.5) 1.8

KPI DEVELOPMENT

FY/15 FY/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 FY/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18
Site Visits (m)1 1,656.4 1,991.6 617.6 595.2 615.6 735.1 2,563.5 713.5 734.3 728.7
Mobile Visit Share (in % of Site Visits)2 57.1% 65.6% 68.8% 69.7% 71.8% 72.1% 70.7% 76.6% 78.4% 80.0%
Active Customers (m)
3
17.9 19.9 20.4 21.2 22.2 23.1 23.1 23.9 24.6 25.1
Number of Orders (m)
4
55.3 69.2 19.9 22.2 22.5 25.8 90.5 25.4 29.0 27.7
Average Order
per Active Customer
3.08x 3.48x 3.60x 3.69x 3.80x 3.92x 3.92x 4.02x 4.18x 4.30x
Average Basket Size (in €)
5
67.8 66.6 63.0 64.5 62.0 67.8 64.5 60.3 60.4 57.5
Fulfillment Cost Ratio (in % of revenue)
6
25.8% 23.2% 24.9% 26.8% 27.0% 24.9% 25.9% 28.1% 28.2% 30.1%
Marketing Cost Ratio (in % of revenue)
7
11.7% 10.3% 9.4% 7.3% 8.4% 7.0% 7.9% 6.9% 6.4% 8.0%

(1) Site Visits defined as the number of series of page requests from the same uniquely identified client at Zalando, including website, m.site and apps in the measurement period. A visit is considered ended when no requests have been recorded in more than 30 minutes.

(2) Mobile is defined as tablets, mobile site and apps.

(3) Active Customers defined as the number of customers placing at least one order in the last twelve months in the measurement period irrespective of cancellations or returns.

(4) Number of Orders defined as the number of customer orders placed in the measurement period irrespective of cancellations or returns. An order is counted on the day the customer places the order. Orders placed and orders delivered may differ due to orders that are in transit at the end of the measurement period or have been cancelled.

(5) Average Basket Size defined as the transactional revenue (incl. VAT and transactional volume of Partner Program) after cancellations or returns divided by the number of orders.

(6) Fulfillment Cost Ratio defined as fulfillment cost as a proportion of revenue in the measurement period. Fulfillment costs mainly include logistics, content creation, service and payment expenses, as well as allocated overhead. costs. Fulfillment costs therefore comprises all selling and distribution costs, except for marketing costs. All numbers shown excluding equity-settled SBC costs.

(7) Marketing Cost Ratio defined as marketing cost as a proportion of revenue in the measurement period. Marketing cost mainly consists of advertising expenses including search engine marketing, television, online display and other marketing channels as well as allocated overhead cost. All numbers shown excluding equity-settled SBC costs.

FI NANCI AL CALEND AR 2018 & 2019

November 2018 December 2018 Date Action
M T W T F M T W T F Tuesday, Nov 6 Frankfurt: Roadshow
Q 3 / 1 8 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Wednesday,
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Nov 7 London: Roadshow
12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Monday, Nov 12 New
York: Roadshow
19
26
20
27
21
28
22
29
23
30
24
31
25 26 27 28 Tuesday, Nov 13 San Francisco: UBS Global Tech Conference
January 2019 February 2019 Thu + Fri,
Nov 15 + 16
Barcelona:
Morgan Stanley TMT Conference
M T W T F M T W T F Tue + Wed,
Nov 27 +28
Singapore: Roadshow
1 2 3 4 1 Thursday, Nov 29 Hongkong: Roadshow
7 8 9 10 11 4 5 6 7 8
14 15 16 17 18 11 12 13 14 15
Q 4 &
Friday, Nov 30 Berlin: Warburg
Meet
the
Future Conference
21 22 23 24 25 18 19 20 21 F Y/ 1 8
22
28 29 30 31 25 26 27 28

Z AL AN D O I N V E S T O R R E L AT I O N S T E AM

Patrick Kofler – Team Lead IR [email protected]

Nils Pöppinghaus – Manager IR [email protected]

Dorothee Schultz – Junior Manager IR [email protected]

Christoph Rump – Senior Manager IR [email protected]

Team Contact T: +49 3020 9681 584 Zalando Tamara-Danz-Straße 1 10243 Berlin [email protected] https://corporate.zalando.com/en

D I S C L AI M E R

Certain statements in this communication may constitute forward looking statements. These statements are based on assumptions that are believed to be reasonable at the time they are made, and are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. You should not rely on these forward-looking statements as predictions of future events and we undertake no obligation to update or revise these statements. Our actual results may differ materially and adversely from any forward-looking statements discussed on this call due to a number of factors, including without limitation, risks from macroeconomic developments, external fraud, inefficient processes at fulfillment centers, inaccurate personnel and capacity forecasts for fulfillment centers, hazardous material / conditions in production with regard to private labels, lack of innovation capabilities, inadequate data security, lack of market knowledge, risk of strike and changes in competition levels.