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Zalando SE — Earnings Release 2015
Aug 14, 2015
499_ip_2015-08-14_ca77bcd7-e1f1-49f0-9335-577307eb72eb.pdf
Earnings Release
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EUROPE'S LEADING ONLINE FASHION DESTINATION
Q2 2015 Earnings Call 13 August 2015
Results highlights and business update
1
SUCCESSFUL FIRST HALF YEAR 2015 WITH ACCELERATING GROWTH
(1) Excluding equity-settled stock based compensation costs ("SBC") of €8.4m in YTD/15.
(2) Includes operating cash flow less investing cash flow (investments in fixed, intangible assets and payments for acquisitions); excludes changes in restricted cash and investments into short-term deposits with maturity of more than 3 and less than 12 months (total of -€76.5m).
GROWTH MOMENTUM DRIVEN BY FOCUS ON CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE
PLATFORM DEVELOPMENTS FOR LONG-TERM GROWTH
Opening of two international tech hubs in Dublin and Helsinki
Starting internationalization of Zalon
Investment in marketplace software company Anatwine
Bread & Butter acquisition
EVOLVING WAREHOUSE FOOTPRINT
- Build-out of sections 4 & 5 in Mönchengladbach
- Accelerate planning of new central hub in Germany
Build-out of hub & spoke system with first satellite warehouse in Northern Italy (service provider)
Financial update Q2 2015 and YTD 2015
GROWTH ACCELERATED EVEN FURTHER IN Q2
(1) Segment "Others" includes revenues from Zalando Lounge, as well as two outlet stores in Berlin and Frankfurt and others.
STRONG CUSTOMER KPIS DRIVE REVENUE GROWTH
(1) Defined as the transactional revenue (incl. VAT and transactional volume of Partner Program) after cancellations or returns divided by the number of orders.
(2) GMV (gross merchandise volume) per active customer = average orders per active customer (LTM in #) x average basket size after returns (in €).
CLEAR GROUP PROFITABILITY IN Q2
(1) Excluding equity-settled stock based compensation costs ("SBC") of €4.4m and €8.4m in Q2 and YZD/ 2015, respectively.
EXCURSION: PAYMENT COST
- Payment costs: Expenses for payment methods such as credit card fees, and also credit risk for invoice¹. Invoice is a popular payment method in several countries, e.g., DACH, Benelux and Nordics, driving customer satisfaction and check-out conversion
- Payment risk steering: Determines invoice offering to customers. Continuous strive to maintain balance between opportunities and risks associated with the payment offering
- What happened:
- Historically, the algorithm has been very robust, successfully limiting risk
- In late 2014, we changed the payment offer to allow for more invoice for new customers
- At the same time, due to an unexpected wave of systematic fraud, we took on more credit risk than we had anticipated
- In Q2, we reversed the invoice offering back to prior levels. Monitoring and early detection capabilities were significantly increased
- As a result we booked higher allowances within payment costs in Q2
(1) Invoice: customer receives package with merchandise, plus a bill asking customer to pay within payment period, e.g. 14 days in Germany.
(2) Excluding equity-settled stock based compensation costs ("SBC") of €8.4m in YTD/15.
CONTINUED OPERATING LEVERAGE; TEMPORARY IMPACT IN PAYMENT
Costs and margins (YTD and Q2)
(excl. SBC in percent of revenue1 )
| YTD | Q2 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2015 | Delta | 2014 | 2015 | Delta | |
| Cost of sales | (57.6%) | (53.0%) | (4.6pp) | (53.6%) | (51.5%) | (2.1pp) |
| Gross profit | 42.4% | 47.0% | 4.6pp | 46.4% | 48.5% | 2.1pp |
| Fulfillment costs | (23.4%) | (26.6%) | 3.2pp | (22.9%) | (28.3%) | 5.4pp |
| Marketing costs | (13.6%) | (11.9%) | (1.7pp) | (13.3%) | (12.0%) | (1.3pp) |
| Administrative expenses & Other |
(4.2%) | (4.2%) | (0.1pp) | (3.8%) | (4.1%) | 0.3pp |
| EBIT | 1.2% | 4.3% | 3.1pp | 6.4% | 4.1% | (2.3pp) |
(1) Excluding equity-settled stock based compensation costs ("SBC").
FOCUS ON OPERATIONAL CAPITAL EFFICIENCY
(1) Excludes payments for acquisitions of €12.2m (Q2 and YTD 2015).
LIQUIDITY REMAINS CONSTANT
Cash flow development (Q2) (in €m)
(1) Includes investments in fixed, intangible assets and payments for acquisitions; excludes changes in restricted cash and investments into short-term deposits with maturity of more than 3 and less than 12 months (total of -€2.2m).
(2) Includes changes in restricted cash (€17.8m), financing cash flow (€3.2m) and effect of exchange rate on cash and cash equivalents (€-0.2m).
(3) Q2/15 liquidity includes investments into short-term deposits with maturity of more than 3 and less than 12 months of €110.0m.
Adj. EBIT1 margin of around 4.5%
Continued focus on operational capital efficiency
ISSUED SHARE CAPITAL
Share information (as of 30-June-15)
| Type of Shares | Ordinary bearer shares with no-par value (Stückaktien) |
|---|---|
| Stock Exchange | Frankfurt Stock Exchange |
| Market Segment | Regulated Market (Prime Standard) |
| Index Listings | MDAX (1.3% share1) |
| Total Number of Shares Outstanding |
246,619,133 |
| Issued Share Capital |
€246,619,133 |
Stock option programs (as of 30-June-15)
| Program | # Options outstanding |
Strike price |
|---|---|---|
| Various | 427,295 | 1.00 |
| Stock Option Program 2011 | 2,842,400 | 5.65 |
| Stock Option Program 2013 | 9,817,500 | 15.63 |
| Stock Option Program 2014 – Tranche pre IPO |
5,303,203 | 17.72 |
| Stock Option Program 2014 – Tranche Mar 2015 |
654,900 | 22.79 |
| Stock Option Program 2014 – Tranche May 2015 |
371,800 | 25.03 |
| Total | 19,417,098 |
INCOME STATEMENT
| € m |
FY/13 | FY/14 | Q1/15 | Q2/15 | YTD/15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1,762.0 | 2,214.0 | 643.6 | 733.0 | 1,376.6 |
| % growth | 52.1% | 25.7% | 28.5% | 34.1% | 31.5% |
| Cost of Sales | (1,047.0) | (1,255.3) | (353.5) | (378.5) | (732.0) |
| Gross Profit | 715.1 | 958.7 | 290.1 | 354.5 | 644.6 |
| % margin | 40.6% | 43.3% | 45.1% | 48.4% | 46.8% |
| Selling and Distribution Costs | (733.5) | (793.8) | (236.8) | (297.4) | (534.2) |
| Administrative Expenses | (105.1) | (109.1) | (29.1) | (31.7) | (60.8) |
| Other Operating Income | 12.5 | 12.2 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 5.2 |
| Other Operating Expenses | (2.9) | (5.8) | (2.0) | (2.0) | (4.0) |
| EBIT | (113.9) | 62.1 | 25.1 | 25.7 | 50.8 |
| % margin | (6.5%) | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% |
| Net Financial Result | (3.3) | (4.5) | 5.4 | (0.9) | 4.5 |
| EBT | (117.3) | 57.7 | 30.6 | 24.8 | 55.3 |
| % margin | (6.7%) | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% |
| Income and Other Tax | 0.7 | (10.5) | (6.3) | (1.8) | (8.1) |
| Net Income | (116.6) | 47.2 | 24.3 | 23.0 | 47.3 |
| % margin | (6.6%) | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% |
| Depreciation & Amortization | 14.9 | 25.8 | 7.5 | 8.0 | 15.5 |
| EBITDA | (99.0) | 88.0 | 32.6 | 33.7 | 66.3 |
| % margin | (5.6%) | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% |
| Share Based Compensation (SBC ) |
5.3 | 19.8 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 8.4 |
| Adj. EBIT (adj. for SBC) | (108.6) | 82.0 | 29.1 | 30.2 | 59.2 |
| % margin | (6.2%) | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% |
| Adj. EBITDA (adj. for SBC) | (93.7) | 107.8 | 36.6 | 38.1 | 74.7 |
| % margin | (5.3%) | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% |
SHARE BASED COMPENSATION
| €m | FY/13 | FY/14 | Q1/15 | Q2/15 | YTD/15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per Income Statement Line Item | |||||
| Cost of Sales | 0.5 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| Selling and Distribution Costs | 2.1 | 9.6 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 4.2 |
| Administrative Expenses | 2.7 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| Share Based Compensation | 5.3 | 19.8 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 8.4 |
| As % of revenue | FY/13 | FY/14 | Q1/15 | Q2/15 | YTD/15 |
| Per Income Statement Line Item | |||||
| Cost of Sales | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Selling and Distribution Costs | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Administrative Expenses | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
SEGMENTS
| € m |
FY/13 | FY/14 | Q1/15 | Q2/15 | YTD/15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1,762.0 | 2,214.0 | 643.6 | 733.0 | 1,376.6 |
| DACH | 1,056.1 | 1,234.0 | 347.1 | 411.0 | 758.1 |
| Rest of Europe | 630.2 | 862.6 | 265.0 | 285.3 | 550.3 |
| Other | 75.7 | 117.4 | 31.5 | 36.6 | 68.1 |
| As % of total | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| DACH | 59.9% | 55.7% | 53.9% | 56.1% | 55.1% |
| Rest of Europe | 35.8% | 39.0% | 41.2% | 38.9% | 40.0% |
| Other | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% |
| EBIT | (113.9) | 62.1 | 25.1 | 25.7 | 50.8 |
| DACH | 5.3 | 72.3 | 30.2 | 11.9 | 42.1 |
| Rest of Europe | (100.8) | (18.6) | (6.3) | 9.7 | 3.4 |
| Other | (18.4) | 8.4 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 5.3 |
| % margin | (6.5%) | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% |
| DACH | 0.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 5.5% |
| Rest of Europe | (16.0%) | (2.2%) | (2.4%) | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Other | (24.3%) | 7.2% | 3.9% | 11.3% | 7.8% |
| Adjusted EBIT | (108.6) | 82.0 | 29.1 | 30.2 | 59.2 |
| DACH | 8.2 | 83.0 | 32.3 | 14.4 | 46.8 |
| Rest of Europe | (99.1) | (11.6) | (4.7) | 11.3 | 6.6 |
| Other | (17.8) | 10.5 | 1.4 | 4.4 | 5.8 |
| % adjusted margin | (6.2%) | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% |
| DACH | 0.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 6.2% |
| Rest of Europe | (15.7%) | (1.3%) | (1.8%) | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Other | (23.5%) | 9.0% | 4.5% | 12.0% | 8.5% |
BALANCE SHEET
| €m | Q2/14 | Q2/14 (% of total assets) |
Q2/15 | Q2/15 (% of total assets) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Non-Current Assets | 190.1 | 18.4% | 175.6 | 9.0% |
| Thereof: Property, Plant and Equipment | 116.6 | 11.3% | 110.1 | 5.7% |
| Other Financial Assets | 49.0 | 4.7% | 26.3 | 1.4% |
| Non-Financial Assets | 0.0 | 0.0% | 4.0 | 0.2% |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 24.5 | 2.4% | 35.2 | 1.8% |
| Total Current Assets | 842.2 | 81.6% | 1,767.1 | 91.0% |
| Thereof: Inventories | 279.4 | 27.1% | 432.5 | 22.3% |
| Trade and Other Receivables | 115.7 | 11.2% | 167.3 | 8.6% |
| Other Assets1 | 59.8 | 5.8% | 193.8 | 10.0% |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents1 | 387.3 | 37.5% | 973.5 | 50.1% |
| Total Assets | 1,032.3 | 100.0% | 1,942.7 | 100.0% |
| Total Equity | 556.0 | 53.9% | 1,182.0 | 60.8% |
| Thereof: Issued Capital | 0.2 | 0.0% | 246.6 | 12.7% |
| Capital Reserves | 842.0 | 81.6% | 1,130.1 | 58.2% |
| Retained earnings | 0.3 | 0.0% | (2.6) | (0.1%) |
| Accumulated Loss | (286.4) | (27.7%) | (192.2) | (9.9%) |
| Total Non-Current Liabilities | 26.2 | 2.5% | 33.0 | 1.7% |
| Thereof: Financial Liabilities | 17.2 | 1.7% | 16.0 | 0.8% |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 8.9 | 0.9% | 17.0 | 0.9% |
| Total Current Liabilities | 450.1 | 43.6% | 727.6 | 37.5% |
| Thereof: Trade Payables and Similar Obligations | 334.6 | 32.4% | 569.1 | 29.3% |
| Other Current Liabilities | 115.5 | 11.2% | 158.5 | 8.2% |
| Total Equity & Liabilities | 1,032.3 | 100.0% | 1,942.7 | 100.0% |
| Net Working Capital |
60.5 | 5.9% | 30.7 | 1.6% |
(1) Other assets includes investments into short-term deposits of €110m, which are no longer listed under Cash and Cash Equivalents due to their maturity of more than 3 but less than 12 months. 21
CASH FLOW STATEMENT
| €m1 | FY/14 | Q1/15 YTD | Q2/15 YTD | Q2/15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income | 47.2 | 24.3 | 47.3 | 23.0 |
| Non-Cash Expenses from Share-Based Payments | 19.8 | 4.0 | 8.4 | 4.4 |
| Cash Settlement of Claims from Share-Based Payments |
0.0 | (2.0) | (2.3) | (0.3) |
| Depreciation | 25.8 | 7.5 | 15.5 | 8.0 |
| Change in Provisions | 1.0 | (0.4) | (0.3) | 0.1 |
| Other Non-Cash Income | (0.2) | (0.9) | (2.5) | (1.6) |
| Change in Inventories and Receivables | (68.7) | (155.4) | (110.8) | 44.6 |
| Change in Trade Liabilities | 94.9 | 117.5 | 78.2 | (39.3) |
| Change in Other Assets/Other Liabilities | 55.1 | (6.4) | (10.2) | (3.9) |
| Cash Flow from Operating Activities | 174.9 | (11.8) | 23.3 | 35.0 |
| Payments for Investments in Fixed and Intangible Assets | (51.1) | (8.4) | (19.3) | (10.9) |
| Payments for Acquisitions | 0.0 | 0.0 | (12.2) | (12.2) |
| Cash Paid for Investments in Term Deposits |
0.0 | (90.0) | (110.0) | (20.0) |
| Change in Restricted Cash | (0.8) | 15.8 | 33.5 | 17.8 |
| Cash Flow from Investing Activities | (51.9) | (82.6) | (108.0) | (25.4) |
| Payments Received from Capital Increases | 510.1 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 4.0 |
| Cash Received from Loans | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cash Repayments of Loans | (3.2) | (0.8) | (1.6) | (0.8) |
| Cash Flow from Financing Activities | 510.8 | 0.7 | 3.9 | 3.2 |
| Change in Cash & Cash Equivalents | 633.8 | (93.7) | (80.8) | 12.8 |
| Effects of Exchange Rate on Cash & Cash Equivalents |
0.0 | 3.6 | 3.4 | (0.2) |
KPI DEVELOPMENT
| 2013 | Q1/14 | Q2/14 | Q3/14 | Q4/14 | 2014 | Q1/15 | Q2/15 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Site Visits (m)1 | 1,217.0 | 331.8 | 322.7 | 321.7 | 387.6 | 1,363.8 | 392.8 | 411.8 |
| Mobile Visit Share (in % of Site Visits)2 | 26.8% | 36.2% | 40.7% | 43.3% | 47.9% | 42.3% | 52.6% | 56.6% |
| Active Customers (m) 3 |
13.1 | 13.5 | 13.7 | 14.1 | 14.7 | 14.7 | 15.4 | 16.4 |
| Number of Orders (m) 4 |
35.1 | 9.7 | 10.4 | 9.7 | 11.6 | 41.4 | 12.0 | 14.0 |
| Average Order per Active Customer |
2.68x | 2.74x | 2.77x | 2.81x | 2.82x | 2.82x | 2.84x | 2.89 |
| Average Basket Size (in €) 5 |
62.5 | 63.9 | 65.7 | 64.4 | 71.7 | 66.6 | 68.0 | 67.4 |
| Fulfillment Cost Ratio (in % of revenue) 6 |
24% | 24% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 22% | 25% | 28% |
| Marketing Cost Ratio (in % of revenue) 7 |
18% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 12% |
(1) Site Visits defined as the number of series of page requests from the same uniquely identified client at Zalando, including website, m.site and apps in the measurement period. A visit is considered ended when no requests have been recorded in more than 30 minutes.
(2) Mobile is defined as tablets, mobile site and apps.
(3) Active Customers defined as the number of customers placing at least one order in the last twelve months in the measurement period irrespective of cancellations or returns.
(4) Number of Orders defined as the number of customer orders placed in the measurement period irrespective of cancellations or returns. An order is counted on the day the customer places the order. Orders placed and orders delivered may differ due to orders that are in transit at the end of the measurement period or have been cancelled.
(5) Average Basket Size defined as the transactional revenue (incl. VAT and transactional volume of Partner Program) after cancellations or returns divided by the number of orders.
(6) Fulfillment Cost Ratio defined as fulfillment cost as a proportion of revenue in the measurement period. Fulfillment costs mainly include logistics, content creation, service and payment expenses, as well as allocated overhead. costs. Fulfillment costs therefore comprises all selling and distribution costs, except for marketing costs. All numbers shown excluding equity-settled SBC costs.
(7) Marketing Cost Ratio defined as Marketing cost as a proportion of revenue in the measurement period. Marketing cost mainly consists of advertising expenses including search engine marketing, television, online display and other marketing channels as well as allocated overhead cost. All numbers shown excluding equity-settled SBC costs.
FINANCIAL CALENDAR 2015
| Date | Action | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 2015 | Thursday, 17-Sep | Deutsche Bank Technology Conference, Las Vegas | |||||
| M | T | W | T | F | Monday, 21-Sep | Berenberg & Goldman Sachs German Corp. Conference, Munich |
|
| 2 9 |
3 10 |
4 11 |
5 12 |
6 13 |
Tuesday, 22-Sep | Baader Investment Conference, Munich |
|
| 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Oct-2015 | Q3/2015 Trading Update | |
| 23 30 |
24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | Thursday, 12-Nov | Q3/2015 Results |
|
| Friday, 13-Nov | Morgan Stanley European TMT Conference, Barcelona | ||||||
| German ad hoc disclosure rules (Section 15 WpHG, "German Securities Trading Act") |
Zalando quarterly trading updates |
||||||
| • Requires companies to immediately publish material non public information that is (i) sufficiently concrete, and (ii) has the potential to influence the share price significantly |
• Provide the financial community with a voluntary update on revenue and profitability shortly after quarter-end • Zalando pre-announces the date of each trading update via |
||||||
| • Hence, ad hoc disclosures are never pre-announced |
press release |
DISCLAIMER
These materials do not constitute an offer of securities for sale or a solicitation of an offer to purchase securities of Zalando SE (together with its subsidiaries, the "Company") in any jurisdiction. The distribution of this presentation may be restricted by law in certain jurisdictions and persons into whose possession any document or other information referred to herein comes should inform themselves about and observe any such restrictions. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of the securities laws of any such jurisdiction.
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company and/or the industry in which the Company operates. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes," "expects," "predicts," "intends," "projects," "plans," "estimates," "aims," "foresees," "anticipates," "targets," and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources, are solely opinions and forecasts which are uncertain and subject to risks. Actual events may differ significantly from any anticipated development due to a number of factors, including without limitation, changes in general economic conditions, in particular economic conditions in Germany, changes affecting interest rate levels, changes in competition levels, changes in laws and regulations, environmental damages, the potential impact of legal proceedings and actions and the Group's ability to achieve operational synergies from past or future acquisitions. The Company does not guarantee that the assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements in this presentation are free from errors nor does it accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this presentation or any obligation to update the statements in this presentation to reflect subsequent events. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are made only as of the date hereof. Neither the delivery of this presentation nor any further discussions of the Company with any of the recipients thereof shall, under any circumstances, create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of the Company since such date. Consequently, the Companydoes not undertake any obligation to review, update or confirm investors' expectations or estimates or to release publicly any revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events that occur or circumstances that arise in relation to the content of the presentation.
This presentation contains summary information only and does not purport to be comprehensive and is not intended to be (and should not be used as) the basis of any analysis or other evaluation. In addition, the information in this presentation is subject to change. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, any information, including projections, estimates, targets and opinions, contained herein, and no liability whatsoever is accepted as to any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein.