Skip to main content

AI assistant

Sign in to chat with this filing

The assistant answers questions, extracts KPIs, and summarises risk factors directly from the filing text.

Zalando SE Call Transcript 2021

Mar 16, 2021

499_ip_2021-03-16_5d2f8e71-ac83-45dc-8e61-eae206d750f6.pdf

Call Transcript

Open in viewer

Opens in your device viewer

Zalando FY/2020 Earnings Call

David Schröder, CFO March 16th, 2021

In 2020 we made significant progress towards our vision to become the Starting Point for Fashion, combined with an outstanding financial and operational performance

Becoming the Starting Point for Fashion in Europe: Accelerated new customer growth of 33% YoY, lifting our active customer base to 38.7m

Accelerated Platform Transition: 24% Partner Program share1 (+9pp) in Q4, ZFS surpassing 50% share in Q4 and ZMS with strong recovery in HY2/2020

Outstanding Performance: GMV growth of 30.4%, revenue growth of 23.1% and adjusted EBIT margin of 5.3% in FY/20, exceeding our initial 2020 guidance

Strong Balance Sheet: Successful placement of 1bn EUR in Convertible Bonds to further accelerate our growth strategy and to invest with even more conviction

We are taking decisive and transformative steps to enable our future growth

We strongly delivered against our strategic priority to grow our active customer base

  • 1) Based on the change in consent management following the GDPR introduction, part of the data is estimated on a statistical method
  • 2) Defined as GMV divided by the number of orders
  • 3) Defined as GMV divided by the number of active customers

The consistently positive long term development of our customer cohorts demonstrates our ability to build deeper and healthier customer relationships over time

1) Cohort refers to customers grouped by the calendar year in which they first placed an order with Zalando.

2

We were able to significantly accelerate our journey to become a platform business

1) Partner Program share of 40% refers to our business model mix ambition for 2023/24. In our long-term target model, we aim for a 50% Partner Program share

2) Refers to our long-term target model ambition

Financial Update FY and Q4 2020

Despite a challenging start, 2020 saw a significant acceleration in GMV growth with an outstanding finish in Q4

1) FY/20 (FY/19) contains -€449.8m (-€394.1m) reconciliation; Q4/20 (Q4/19) contains -€114.2m (-€103.3m) reconciliation

2) Other segments including various emerging businesses; private label offering zLabels no longer presented as separate unit since Q1/19

Significant YoY profitability increase across all regions

1) FY/20 (FY/19) contains €0.2m (€0.6m) reconciliation; Q4/20 (Q4/19) contains -€3.9m (€0.0m) reconciliation

2) Excluding equity-settled share-based compensation (SBC) in FY/20 of -53.8€m, FY/19 of -46.0 €m, Q4/20 of -12.7 €m, Q4/19 of -11.3€m; and non-operating one-off effects in FY/19 of -13.0€m

3) All other segments including various emerging businesses; private label offering zLabels no longer presented as separate unit since Q1/19

Profitability improvements driven by temporary benefits from lower return rates and structurally increasing operating leverage

Costs and margins
(in % of revenue)
FY Q4
2019 2020 Delta 2019 2020 Delta
Cost of sales (57.5%) (57.5%) 0.0pp (57.0%) (56.0%) (1.0pp) Less price
investments offset
Gross profit 42.5% 42.5% 0.0pp 43.0% 44.0% 1.0pp by category mix
Fulfillment costs (27.3%) (25.7%) (1.6pp) (25.3%) (22.9%) (2.5pp) Higher utilization &
lower return rate
Marketing costs (8.1%) (8.3%) 0.2pp (8.7%) (11.1%) 2.5pp Increased marketing to
capture full demand
potential
Administrative expenses & Other (4.6%) (3.9%) (0.7pp) (4.0%) (3.1%) (0.9pp)
EBIT 2.6% 4.6% 2.0pp 5.0% 6.9% 1.9pp FY/20
pro-forma
Adj. EBIT1 3.5% 5.3% 1.8pp 5.6% 7.4% 1.8pp margin: 3.8%

1) Excluding equity-settled share-based payment expense ("SBC"), restructuring costs and non-operating one-time effects

Negative net working capital and lower level of capex in line with guidance

11

Outlook

Since 2019 we have consistently delivered on the mid-term targets

Guidance Transition Phase 2019 –
2021
2019 2020
23.6% 30.4%
Growth GMV growth of 20-25%
3.5% Actual: 5.3%
Pro-forma: 3.8%1
Profitability Adj. EBIT margin between 2-4%
Cash flow negative

NWC neutral
FCF: +42m EUR
NWC negative
Capex: 4.7%
FCF: +285m EUR
NWC negative
Capex: 3.1%
Cash Capex of 4-5% of revenue

1) Excluding positive impact from temporary Covid-19 related lower Return Rate in 2020.

For 2021, we aim to continue to grow at an accelerated pace while investing to further elevate our customer experience and to drive our platform transition

GMV growth of 27 – 32%, and Revenue growth of 24 – 29%

Adj. EBIT1of €350 – 425m

Negative net working capital and €350 – 400m in Capex2

1) Excluding equity-settled share-based payment expense ("SBC") of ~€57m, restructuring costs and non-operating one-time effects for FY/21

2) Excludes M&A transactions

Liquidity position

(in €m)

(1) "Start of Q4/20" liquidity include short-term deposits of 25€m with maturity of more than 3 and less than 12 months, which were withdrawn in Q4

(2) Includes sales and investments in fixed and intangible assets (-€127.1m), payments for acquisitions (-€31.5m) and change in restricted cash (+€0.0m)

(3) Includes financing cash flow (-€11.9m) and effect of exchange rate on cash and cash equivalents (+€3.6m)

FY/20 GMV to merchandise revenue bridge

GMV to revenue bridge FY/20 (in €m) Comment
Group GMV 10,700 Net1
B2C merchandise value incl. VAT
Partner Program GMV -1,998 20.8% of Fashion Store GMV (incl. Connected Retail)
Group GMV ex Partner Program 8,702
VAT (excl. Partner Program VAT) -1,358 ~ 16% of GMV
Group NMV ex Partner Program 7,347 Net1
B2C merchandise value excl. VAT
Other merchandise revenue + e.g. B2B
bulk sales revenue (offprice), dunning fees
Revenue recognition -/+… Point of order (GMV) vs. customer receipt (revenue)
Revenue from the sale of merchandise 7,322 IFRS standards, Zalando annual report 2020
Partner Program commission + Incl. Connected Retail commissions
B2B service revenue + Zalando Fulfillment Solutions, Zalando Marketing Services, Tradebyte
and Anatwine
Other B2C revenue + e.g. shipping fees, express delivery charges, Zalando Plus
Group revenue 7,982 IFRS standards, Zalando
annual report 2020

1) After returns and cancellations, dynamically reported

Merchandise and service revenue – Segment view FY/20

1) Incl. dunning fees

Merchandise revenue in €m Service revenue in €m

Overview on Kinnevik's share distribution

Issued share capital

Issued Share Capital €255,253,304
Total Number of Shares Outstanding 255,253,304
Index Listings MDAX
Market Segment Regulated Market (Prime Standard)
(AS OF DEC 31, 2020) Stock Exchange Frankfurt Stock Exchange
SHARE INFORMATION Type of Shares Ordinary bearer shares with no-par value (Stückaktien)

STOCK OPTION PROGRAMS MGMT BOARD (AS OF DEC 31, 2020) STOCK OPTION PROGRAMS SENIOR MGMT (AS OF DEC 31, 2020)

Program # Options outstanding Weighted average exercise
price (EUR)
SOP 20111 74,800 5.65
SOP 20131 6,779,835 1.00
LTI 2018² 5,223,983 47.44
VSOP 2018 245,974 29.84
LTI 2019 682,533 17.79
Total 13,007,125 21.10
Program # Options outstanding Weighted average exercise
price (EUR)
SOP 20141 806,649 23.12
EIP1 3,163,195 36.88
VSOP 2017 215,000 50.00
ZOP 914,900 23.84
Total 5,099,744 32.92

1) Settled with new shares

2) Only to 43% dilutive / to be settled with new shares, remaining backed by treasury shares

Zalando Investor Relations Team

Patrick Kofler Head of IR

[email protected]

Dorothee Schultz Junior Manager IR

[email protected]

Nils Pöppinghaus Senior Manager IR

[email protected]

Jan Edelmann Manager IR

[email protected]

Team Contact

T: +49 3020 9681 584 Zalando Tamara-Danz-Straße 1 10243 Berlin

[email protected] https://corporate.zalando.com/en

Disclaimer

Certain statements in this communication may constitute forward looking statements. These statements are based on assumptions that are believed to be reasonable at the time they are made, and are subject to significant risks and uncertainties.

You should not rely on these forward-looking statements as predictions of future events and we undertake no obligation to update or revise these statements.

Our actual results may differ materially and adversely from any forward-looking statements discussed on this call due to a number of factors, including without limitation, risks from macroeconomic developments, external fraud, inefficient processes at fulfillment centers, inaccurate personnel and capacity forecasts for fulfillment centers, hazardous material / conditions in production with regard to private labels, lack of innovation capabilities, inadequate data security, lack of market knowledge, risk of strike and changes in competition levels.