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Zalando SE — Call Transcript 2016
Nov 10, 2016
499_ip_2016-11-10_d29c387e-f96b-4564-8dc8-d0fa1e08d61a.pdf
Call Transcript
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Q 3 / 2 0 1 6 E A R N I N G S C A L L
E U R O P E ' S L E A D I N G O N L I N E F A S H I O N D E S T I N A T I O N
1 0 - 1 1 - 2 0 1 6
Certain statements in this communication may constitute forward looking statements. These statements are based on assumptions that are believed to be reasonable at the time they are made, and are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. You should not rely on these fo rward-looking statements as predictions of future events and we undertake no obligation to update or revise these statements. Our actual results may differ materiall y and adversely from any forwardlooking statements discussed on this call due to a number of factors, including without limitation, risks from macroeconomic developments, external fraud, inefficient processes at fulfillment centers, inaccurate personnel and capacity forecasts for fulfillment centers, hazardous material / c onditions in production with regard to private labels, lack of innovation capabilities, inadequate data security, lack of market knowledge, risk of strike and chang es in competition levels.
D I S C L A I M E R
R E S U L T S H I G H L I G H T S A N D B U S I N E S S U P D A T E
Z A L A N D O W I T H S T R O N G Y T D / 1 6 P E R F O R M A N C E : S T E A D Y G R O W T H , I N C R E A S E D P R O F I T A B I L I T Y A N D P O S I T I V E C A S H F L O W
O U R C U S T O M E R P R O P O S I T I O N K E E P S E V O L V I N G …
…W I T H B R E A D & B U T T E R B E I N G T H E U L T I M A T E F A S H I O N E V E N T I N Q 3 / 1 6 …
…AND T H E O P E R A T I O N A L BACKBONE O F T H E P L A T F O R M T A K I N G S H A P E
F I N A N C I A L U P D A T E Q 3 / 2 0 1 6
R E V E N U E G R O W T H A B O V E M A R K E T , G A I N I N G M A R K E T S H A R E
GROUP REVENUE
In €m
DACH REVENUE
In €m
S T R O N G AND W E L L B A L A N C E D C U S T O M E R K P I S
10 (1) Defined as the transactional revenue (incl. VAT and transactional volume of Partner Program) after cancellations or returns d ivided by the number of orders. (2) GMV (gross merchandise volume) per active customer = average orders per active customer (LTM in #) x average basket size afte r returns (in €).
ACTIVE CUSTOMERS
AVERAGE ORDER PER ACTIVE CUSTOMER
C L E A R G R O U P P R O F I T A B I L I T Y I N Q 3 / 1 6
GROUP EBIT PROFITABILITY
EBIT margin (excl. SBC1 )
DACH EBIT
EBIT margin (excl. SBC1 )
12 (1) Excluding equity-settled stock SBC costs ("SBC").
F A V O R A B L E D E V E L O P M E N T I N O P E X D R I V E S E B I T M A R G I N
| YTD 16 | Q3 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 2016 | D e l t a | 2015 | 2016 | D e l t a | ||||||
| C O S T O F S A L E S |
(55.2%) | (56.2%) | 1.0% | (59.4%) | (58.6%) | (0.8%) | |||||
| G R O S S P R O F I T | 44.8% | 43.8% | (1.0%) | 40.6% | 41.4% | 0.8% | |||||
| F U L F I L L M E N T C O S T S | (26.8%) | (23.7%) | (3.1%) | (27.1%) | (24.0%) | (3.1%) | |||||
| M A R K E T I N G C O S T S | (12.0%) | (10.2%) | (1.8%) | (12.3%) | (9.5%) | (2.8%) | |||||
| A D M I N I S T R A T I V E EXPENSES & OTHER |
(4.3%) | (5.1%) | 0.8% | (4.5%) | (5.6%) | 1.1% | |||||
| E B I T | 1.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | (3.3%) | 2.3% | 5.6% |
COSTS AND MARGINS
excl. SBC1in percent of revenue
F O C U S O N O P E R A T I O N A L C A P I T A L E F F I C I E N C Y
NET WORKING CAPITAL (END OF Q3)
in percent of annualized revenue
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE1
in €m
L I Q U I D I T Y R E M A I N S S T A B L E
CASH FLOW DEVELOPMENT (Q3/16)
In €m
- (1) Q2/16 and Q3/16 liquidity include investments into short-term deposits with maturity of more than 3 and less than 12 months of €145m and €220m, respectively.
- (2) Includes investments in fixed, intangible assets and payments for acquisitions.
(3) Includes financing cash flow (-€0.2m) and effect of exchange rate on cash and cash equivalents ( €0.5m).
O U T L O O K
O U T L O O K F O R F Y 2 0 1 6 W I T H R A I S E D M A R G I N G U I D A N C E
2
18 (1) Average Oct-2016.
(2) The AGM of 31-May-16 authorized the Management Board to grant options under the Employee Incentive Plan. (3) Assuming the exercise price equals the closing price of 30 -Sep-2016 of €37.15, this translates into the issuance of 158,995 shares upon exercise. (4) Assuming the exercise price equals the closing price of 30 -Sep-2016 of €37.15, this translates into the issuance of 43,406 shares upon exercise.
Type of Shares Ordinary bearer shares with no-par value (Stückaktien)
Stock Exchange Frankfurt Stock Exchange
Market Segment Regulated Market (Prime Standard)
Index Listings MDAX (2.6% share1)
Total Number of Shares Outstanding 247,250,258
Issued Share Capital €247,250,258
SHARE INFORMATION
SHARE STOCK OPTION PROGRAMS
I S S U E D S H A R E C A P I T A L
As of 30-Sep-2016
As of 30-Sep-2016
EMPLOYEE INCENTIVE PLAN2
As of 30-Sep-2016
| Program | # Options outstanding |
Strike price |
Program | # Options outstanding |
Strike price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Various | 95,370 | 1.00 | EIP 2016 – Tranche Jul 2016 |
114,574 | 1.00 |
| SOP 2011 | 2,543,200 | 5.65 | EIP 2016 – Tranche Jul 20163 |
587,726 | 27.10 |
| SOP 2013 | 9,817,500 | 15.63 | EIP 2016 – Tranche Jul 20164 |
348,281 | 32.52 |
| SOP 2014 – Tranche pre IPO |
5,200,209 | 17.72 | Total | 1,050,581 | |
| SOP2014 – Tranche Mar 2015 |
644,145 | 22.79 | |||
| SOP 2014 – Tranche May 2015 |
371,800 | 25.03 | |||
| SOP 2014 – Tranche Aug 2015 |
193,500 | 29.92 | |||
| SOP 2014 – Tranche Nov 2015 |
58,900 | 30.48 | |||
| SOP 2014 – Tranche Mar 2016 |
342,450 | 31.60 | |||
| Total | 19,267,074 |
Strike price
I N C O M E S T A T E M E N T
| € | |
|---|---|
| € m |
FY/14 | FY/15 | Q3/15 | Q3/16 | YTD/16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2,214.0 | 2,958.2 | 713.1 | 834.8 | 2,547.4 |
| % growth | 25.7% | 33.6% | 42.2% | 17.1% | 21.9% |
| Cost of Sales | (1,255.3) | (1,624.0) | (424.7) | (490.6) | (1,436.4) |
| Gross Profit | 958.7 | 1,334.1 | 288.4 | 344.3 | 1,111.0 |
| % margin | 43.3% | 45.1% | 40.4% | 41.2% | 43.6% |
| Selling and Distribution Costs | (793.8) | (1,118.9) | (282.9) | (283.1) | (870.2) |
| Administrative Expenses | (109.1) | (129.0) | (34.2) | (48.7) | (138.2) |
| Other Operating Income | 12.2 | 10.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6.3 |
| Other Operating Expenses | (5.8) | (7.0) | (0.7) | (1.1) | (2.5) |
| EBIT | 62.1 | 89.6 | (27.8) | 12.7 | 106.4 |
| % margin | 2.8% | 3.0% | (3.9%) | 1.5% | 4.2% |
| Net Financial Result | (4.5) | (3.0) | (6.3) | (3.3) | (7.8) |
| EBT | 57.7 | 86.6 | (34.1) | 9.4 | 98.5 |
| % margin | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 3.9% |
| Income and Other Tax | (10.5) | 34.9 | 5.6 | (4.4) | (38.0) |
| Net Income | 47.2 | 121.5 | (28.5) | 5.0 | 60.5 |
| % margin | 2.1% | 4.1% | (4.0%) | 0.6% | 2.4% |
| Depreciation & Amortization | 25.8 | 34.2 | 8.7 | 11.1 | 30.4 |
| EBITDA | 88.0 | 123.8 | 19.1 | 23.8 | 136.8 |
| % margin | 4.0% | 4.2% | (2.7%) | 2.9% | 5.4% |
| Share Based Compensation (SBC) |
19.8 | 17.9 | 4.3 | 6.8 | 14.3 |
| Adj. EBIT (adj. for SBC) | 82.0 | 107.5 | (23.5) | 19.5 | 120.7 |
| % margin | 3.7% | 3.6% | (3.3%) | 2.3% | 4.7% |
| Adj. EBITDA (adj. for SBC) | 107.8 | 141.7 | (14.8) | 30.6 | 151.1 |
| % margin | 4.9% | 4.8% | (2.1%) | 3.7% | 5.9% |
S H A R E B A S E D C O M P E N S A T I O N
Per Income Statement Line Item
| YTD/16 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.6 | ||||
| 7.2 | ||||
| 3.6 | ||||
| 19.8 | 17.9 | 4.3 | 6.8 | 14.3 |
| YTD/16 | ||||
| 0.1% | ||||
| 0.3% | ||||
| 0.1% | ||||
| 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| FY/14 4.4 9.6 5.8 FY/14 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% |
FY/15 4.5 9.0 4.5 FY/15 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% |
Q3/15 1.1 2.2 1.1 Q2/15 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% |
Q3/16 1.7 3.4 1.7 Q2/16 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% |
Per Income Statement Line Item
S E G M E N T S
| € m |
FY/14 | FY/15 | Q3/15 | Q3/16 | YTD/16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2,214.0 | 2,958.2 | 713.1 | 834.8 | 2,547.4 |
| DACH | 1,234.0 | 1,580.1 | 371.2 | 407.1 | 1,284.4 |
| Rest of Europe | 862.6 | 1,211.6 | 300.8 | 374.0 | 1,091.8 |
| Other | 117.4 | 166.5 | 41.1 | 53.7 | 171.3 |
| As % of total | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| DACH | 55.7% | 53.4% | 52.1% | 48.8% | 50.4% |
| Rest of Europe | 39.0% | 41.0% | 42.2% | 44.8% | 42.9% |
| Other | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% |
| EBIT | 62.1 | 89.6 | (27.8) | 12.7 | 106.4 |
| DACH | 72.3 | 92.2 | (5.1) | 38.1 | 139.2 |
| Rest of Europe | (18.6) | (10.2) | (23.4) | (20.8) | (24.9) |
| Other | 8.4 | 7.5 | 0.6 | (4.5) | (8.0) |
| % margin | 2.8% | 3.0% | (3.9%) | 1.5% | 4.2% |
| DACH | 5.9% | 5.8% | (1.4%) | 9.3% | 10.8% |
| Rest of Europe | (2.2%) | (0.8%) | (7.8%) | (5.6%) | (2.3%) |
| Other | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | (8.5%) | (4.7%) |
| Adjusted EBIT | 82.0 | 107.5 | (23.5) | 19.5 | 120.7 |
| DACH | 83.0 | 101.9 | (2.8) | 41.4 | 146.3 |
| Rest of Europe | (11.6) | (3.3) | (21.7) | (17.9) | (19.0) |
| Other | 10.5 | 8.9 | 1.0 | (4.0) | (6.6) |
| % adjusted margin | 3.7% | 3.6% | (3.3%) | 2.3% | 4.7% |
| DACH | 6.7% | 6.4% | (0.8%) | 10.2% | 11.4% |
| Rest of Europe | (1.3%) | (0.3%) | (7.2%) | (4.8%) | (1.7%) |
| Other | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% | (7.4%) | (3.9%) |
B A L A N C E S H E E T
€m Q3/15
| Q3/15 (% of total |
Q3/16 (% of total |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m | Q3/15 | assets) | Q3/16 | assets) |
| Total Non-Current Assets | 192.9 | 9.1% | 364.7 | 14.7% |
| Thereof: Property, Plant and Equipment | 119.8 | 5.7% | 203.0 | 8.2% |
| Other Financial Assets | 30.8 | 1.5% | 39.6 | 1.6% |
| Non-Financial Assets | 3.7 | 0.2% | 3.3 | 0.1% |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 38.6 | 1.8% | 118.9 | 4.8% |
| Total Current Assets | 1,919.6 | 90.9% | 2,113.2 | 85.3% |
| Thereof: Inventories | 590.4 | 27.9% | 620.9 | 25.1% |
| Trade and Other Receivables | 154.6 | 7.3% | 167.4 | 6.8% |
| Other Assets1 | 249.8 | 11.8% | 348.5 | 14.1% |
| Cash and Cash Equivalents1 | 924.9 | 43.8% | 976.4 | 39.4% |
| Total Assets | 2,112.6 | 100.0% | 2,477.9 | 100.0% |
| Total Equity | 1,164.8 1,164.8 |
55.1% | 1,342.9 | 54.2% |
| Thereof: Issued Capital | 246.8 | 11.7% | 247.2 | 10.0% |
| Capital Reserves | 1,134.4 | 53.7% | 1,156.1 | 46.7% |
| Retained earnings | 4.2 | 0.2% | (2.9) | (0.1%) |
| Accumulated Loss | (220.6) | (10.4%) | (57.5) | (2.3%) |
| Total Non-Current Liabilities | 33.8 | 1.6% | 30.5 | 1.2% |
| Thereof: Financial Liabilities | 15.2 | 0.7% | 12.0 | 0.5% |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 18.6 | 0.9% | 18.5 | 0.7% |
| Total Current Liabilities | 914.0 | 43.3% | 1,104.5 | 44.6% |
| Thereof: Trade Payables and Similar Obligations | 758.2 | 35.9% | 946.2 | 38.2% |
| Other Current Liabilities | 155.8 | 7.4% | 158.3 | 6.4% |
| Total Equity & Liabilities | 2,112.6 | 100.0% | 2,477.9 | 100.0% |
| Net Working Capital |
(13.3) | (0.5%) | (157.9) | (4.7%) |
C A S H F L O W S T A T E M E N T
| €m | FY2014 | FY2015 | Q3/15 | Q3/16 | YTD/16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income | 47.2 | 121.5 | (28.5) | 5.0 | 60.5 |
| Non-Cash Expenses from Share-Based Payments | 19.8 | 17.9 | 4.3 | 6.8 | 14.3 |
| Cash Settlement of Claims from Share-Based Payments |
0.0 | (2.3) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Depreciation | 25.8 | 34.2 | 8.7 | 11.1 | 30.4 |
| Income Taxes |
10.5 | (34.9) | (5.6) | 4.4 | 38.0 |
| Income Taxes Paid, Less Refunds |
0.0 | (0.0) | 0.0 | (4.6) | (29.2) |
| Change in Provisions | 1.0 | (0.5) | (0.0) | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Other Non-Cash Income | (0.2) | (1.0) | 1.8 | 0.3 | (0.7) |
| Change in Inventories and Receivables | (68.7) | (154.2) | (145.2) | (178.6) | (142.8) |
| Change in Trade Liabilities | 94.9 | 154.9 | 188.2 | 264.7 | 285.0 |
| Change in Other Assets/Other Liabilities | 44.6 | (16.2) | (5.3) | (47.3) | (45.6) |
| Cash Flow from Operating Activities | 174.9 | 119.4 | 18.3 | 63.0 | 210.7 |
| Payments for Investments in Fixed and Intangible Assets | (51.1) | (60.0) | (19.9) | (47.7) | (115.9) |
| Payments for Acquisitions | 0.0 | (16.8) | (7.8) | 0.0 | (29.2) |
| Cash Paid for Investments in Term Deposits |
0.0 | (155.0) | (45.0) | (75.0) | (65.0) |
| Change in Restricted Cash | (0.8) | 35.3 | 6.0 | 0.0 | (0.0) |
| Cash Flow from Investing Activities | (51.9) | (196.5) | (63.5) | (122.7) | (210.0) |
| Payments Received from Capital Increases | 510.1 | 6.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| Cash Received from Loans |
3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Repurchase of treasury shares | 0.0 | (1.7) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cash Repayments of Loans |
(3.2) | (3.2) | (0.8) | (0.8) | (2.4) |
| Cash Flow from Financing Activities | 510.8 | 1.5 | (0.6) | (0.2) | (1.4) |
| Change in Cash & Cash Equivalents | 633.8 | (75.7) | (45.8) | (60.0) | (0.8) |
| Effects of Exchange Rate on Cash & Cash Equivalents |
0.0 | 0.9 | (2.9) | 0.5 | 0.9 |
Cash Flow from Investing Activities (51.9) (196.5)
K P I D E V E L O P M E N T
| 2014 | Q1/15 | Q2/15 | Q3/15 | Q4/15 | 2015 | Q1/16 | Q2/16 | Q3/16 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Site Visits (m)1 | 1,363.8 | 392.8 | 411.8 | 393.9 | 457.9 | 1,656.4 | 479.5 | 480.2 | 468.6 |
| Mobile Visit Share (in % of Site Visits)2 | 42.3% | 52.6% | 56.6% | 58.8% | 59.9% | 57.1% | 62.3% | 64.7% | 67.0% |
| Active Customers (m) 3 |
14.7 | 15.4 | 16.4 | 17.2 | 17.9 | 17.9 | 18.4 | 18.8 | 19.2 |
| Number of Orders (m) 4 |
41.4 | 12.0 | 14.0 | 13.8 | 15.4 | 55.3 | 15.6 | 17.5 | 16.4 |
| Average Order per Active Customer |
2.82x | 2.84x | 2.89x | 3.00x | 3.08x | 3.08x | 3.20x | 3.32x | 3.39x |
| Average Basket Size (in €) 5 |
66.6 | 68.0 | 67.4 | 63.3 | 72.1 | 67.8 | 66.5 | 66.2 | 62.8 |
| Fulfillment Cost Ratio (in % of revenue) 6 |
22% | 25% | 28% | 27% | 23% | 26% | 24% | 23% | 24% |
| Marketing Cost Ratio (in % of revenue) 7 |
13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
- (1) Site Visits defined as the number of series of page requests from the same uniquely identified client at Zalando, including w ebsite, m.site and apps in the measurement period. A visit is considered ended when no requests have been recorded in more than 30 minutes.
-
(2) Mobile is defined as tablets, mobile site and apps.
-
(3) Active Customers defined as the number of customers placing at least one order in the last twelve months in the measurement p eriod irrespective of cancellations or returns.
- (4) Number of Orders defined as the number of customer orders placed in the measurement period irrespective of cancellations or r eturns. An order is counted on the day the customer places the order. Orders placed and orders delivered may differ due to orders that are in transit at the end of the measurement peri od or have been cancelled.
- (5) Average Basket Size defined as the transactional revenue (incl. VAT and transactional volume of Partner Program) after cancel lations or returns divided by the number of orders.
- (6) Fulfillment Cost Ratio defined as fulfillment cost as a proportion of revenue in the measurement period. Fulfillment costs ma inly include logistics, content creation, service and payment expenses, as well as allocated overhead. costs. Fulfillment costs therefore comprises all selling and distribution costs, exc ept for marketing costs. All numbers shown excluding equity settled SBC costs.
- (7) Marketing Cost Ratio defined as marketing cost as a proportion of revenue in the measurement period. Marketing cost mainly co nsists of advertising expenses including search engine marketing, television, online display and other marketing channels as well as allocated overhead cost. All numbers shown excl uding equity-settled SBC costs.
F I N A N C I A L C A L E N D A R 2 0 1 7
| Date | Action |
|---|---|
| Thursday + Friday, 17-18-Nov |
Morgan Stanley European TMT Conference, Barcelona |
| Wednesday, 30-Nov |
NDR, Paris |
| Jan-20171 | Q4/2016 Trading Update |
| Wednesday, 1-Mar | Q4/2016 Results |
| Tuesday, 9-May | Q1/2017 Results |
| Wednesday, 31-May | Annual General Meeting 2017 |
| Monday + Tuesday, 19-20 June | Capital Markets Day 2017 (Day 1: warehouse tour, Day 2: Berlin) |
| Thursday, 10-Aug | Q2/2017 Results |
| Tuesday, 7-Nov |
Q3/2017 Results |
| May 2017 March 2017 |
June 2017 |
August 2017 | November 2017 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M | T | W | T | F | M | T | W | T | F | M | T | W | T | F | M | T | W | T | F | M | T | W | T | F |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | ||||||||
| 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
| 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
(1) Date will be pre-announced a few weeks in advance via press release.