Skip to main content

AI assistant

Sign in to chat with this filing

The assistant answers questions, extracts KPIs, and summarises risk factors directly from the filing text.

Zalando SE Call Transcript 2016

Nov 10, 2016

499_ip_2016-11-10_d29c387e-f96b-4564-8dc8-d0fa1e08d61a.pdf

Call Transcript

Open in viewer

Opens in your device viewer

Q 3 / 2 0 1 6 E A R N I N G S C A L L

E U R O P E ' S L E A D I N G O N L I N E F A S H I O N D E S T I N A T I O N

1 0 - 1 1 - 2 0 1 6

Certain statements in this communication may constitute forward looking statements. These statements are based on assumptions that are believed to be reasonable at the time they are made, and are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. You should not rely on these fo rward-looking statements as predictions of future events and we undertake no obligation to update or revise these statements. Our actual results may differ materiall y and adversely from any forwardlooking statements discussed on this call due to a number of factors, including without limitation, risks from macroeconomic developments, external fraud, inefficient processes at fulfillment centers, inaccurate personnel and capacity forecasts for fulfillment centers, hazardous material / c onditions in production with regard to private labels, lack of innovation capabilities, inadequate data security, lack of market knowledge, risk of strike and chang es in competition levels.

D I S C L A I M E R

R E S U L T S H I G H L I G H T S A N D B U S I N E S S U P D A T E

Z A L A N D O W I T H S T R O N G Y T D / 1 6 P E R F O R M A N C E : S T E A D Y G R O W T H , I N C R E A S E D P R O F I T A B I L I T Y A N D P O S I T I V E C A S H F L O W

O U R C U S T O M E R P R O P O S I T I O N K E E P S E V O L V I N G …

…W I T H B R E A D & B U T T E R B E I N G T H E U L T I M A T E F A S H I O N E V E N T I N Q 3 / 1 6 …

…AND T H E O P E R A T I O N A L BACKBONE O F T H E P L A T F O R M T A K I N G S H A P E

F I N A N C I A L U P D A T E Q 3 / 2 0 1 6

R E V E N U E G R O W T H A B O V E M A R K E T , G A I N I N G M A R K E T S H A R E

GROUP REVENUE

In €m

DACH REVENUE

In €m

S T R O N G AND W E L L B A L A N C E D C U S T O M E R K P I S

10 (1) Defined as the transactional revenue (incl. VAT and transactional volume of Partner Program) after cancellations or returns d ivided by the number of orders. (2) GMV (gross merchandise volume) per active customer = average orders per active customer (LTM in #) x average basket size afte r returns (in €).

ACTIVE CUSTOMERS

AVERAGE ORDER PER ACTIVE CUSTOMER

C L E A R G R O U P P R O F I T A B I L I T Y I N Q 3 / 1 6

GROUP EBIT PROFITABILITY

EBIT margin (excl. SBC1 )

DACH EBIT

EBIT margin (excl. SBC1 )

12 (1) Excluding equity-settled stock SBC costs ("SBC").

F A V O R A B L E D E V E L O P M E N T I N O P E X D R I V E S E B I T M A R G I N

YTD 16 Q3
2015 2016 D e l t a 2015 2016 D e l t a
C O S T
O F S A L E S
(55.2%) (56.2%) 1.0% (59.4%) (58.6%) (0.8%)
G R O S S P R O F I T 44.8% 43.8% (1.0%) 40.6% 41.4% 0.8%
F U L F I L L M E N T C O S T S (26.8%) (23.7%) (3.1%) (27.1%) (24.0%) (3.1%)
M A R K E T I N G C O S T S (12.0%) (10.2%) (1.8%) (12.3%) (9.5%) (2.8%)
A D M I N I S T R A T I V E
EXPENSES & OTHER
(4.3%) (5.1%) 0.8% (4.5%) (5.6%) 1.1%
E B I T 1.7% 4.7% 3.0% (3.3%) 2.3% 5.6%

COSTS AND MARGINS

excl. SBC1in percent of revenue

F O C U S O N O P E R A T I O N A L C A P I T A L E F F I C I E N C Y

NET WORKING CAPITAL (END OF Q3)

in percent of annualized revenue

CAPITAL EXPENDITURE1

in €m

L I Q U I D I T Y R E M A I N S S T A B L E

CASH FLOW DEVELOPMENT (Q3/16)

In €m

  • (1) Q2/16 and Q3/16 liquidity include investments into short-term deposits with maturity of more than 3 and less than 12 months of €145m and €220m, respectively.
  • (2) Includes investments in fixed, intangible assets and payments for acquisitions.

(3) Includes financing cash flow (-€0.2m) and effect of exchange rate on cash and cash equivalents ( €0.5m).

O U T L O O K

O U T L O O K F O R F Y 2 0 1 6 W I T H R A I S E D M A R G I N G U I D A N C E

2

18 (1) Average Oct-2016.

(2) The AGM of 31-May-16 authorized the Management Board to grant options under the Employee Incentive Plan. (3) Assuming the exercise price equals the closing price of 30 -Sep-2016 of €37.15, this translates into the issuance of 158,995 shares upon exercise. (4) Assuming the exercise price equals the closing price of 30 -Sep-2016 of €37.15, this translates into the issuance of 43,406 shares upon exercise.

Type of Shares Ordinary bearer shares with no-par value (Stückaktien)

Stock Exchange Frankfurt Stock Exchange

Market Segment Regulated Market (Prime Standard)

Index Listings MDAX (2.6% share1)

Total Number of Shares Outstanding 247,250,258

Issued Share Capital €247,250,258

SHARE INFORMATION

SHARE STOCK OPTION PROGRAMS

I S S U E D S H A R E C A P I T A L

As of 30-Sep-2016

As of 30-Sep-2016

EMPLOYEE INCENTIVE PLAN2

As of 30-Sep-2016

Program # Options
outstanding
Strike
price
Program # Options
outstanding
Strike
price
Various 95,370 1.00 EIP 2016 –
Tranche Jul 2016
114,574 1.00
SOP 2011 2,543,200 5.65 EIP 2016 –
Tranche Jul 20163
587,726 27.10
SOP 2013 9,817,500 15.63 EIP 2016 –
Tranche Jul 20164
348,281 32.52
SOP 2014 –
Tranche
pre IPO
5,200,209 17.72 Total 1,050,581
SOP2014 –
Tranche
Mar 2015
644,145 22.79
SOP 2014 –
Tranche
May 2015
371,800 25.03
SOP 2014 –
Tranche Aug 2015
193,500 29.92
SOP 2014 –
Tranche Nov 2015
58,900 30.48
SOP 2014 –
Tranche Mar 2016
342,450 31.60
Total 19,267,074

Strike price

I N C O M E S T A T E M E N T


m
FY/14 FY/15 Q3/15 Q3/16 YTD/16
Revenue 2,214.0 2,958.2 713.1 834.8 2,547.4
% growth 25.7% 33.6% 42.2% 17.1% 21.9%
Cost of Sales (1,255.3) (1,624.0) (424.7) (490.6) (1,436.4)
Gross Profit 958.7 1,334.1 288.4 344.3 1,111.0
% margin 43.3% 45.1% 40.4% 41.2% 43.6%
Selling and Distribution Costs (793.8) (1,118.9) (282.9) (283.1) (870.2)
Administrative Expenses (109.1) (129.0) (34.2) (48.7) (138.2)
Other Operating Income 12.2 10.2 1.5 1.3 6.3
Other Operating Expenses (5.8) (7.0) (0.7) (1.1) (2.5)
EBIT 62.1 89.6 (27.8) 12.7 106.4
% margin 2.8% 3.0% (3.9%) 1.5% 4.2%
Net Financial Result (4.5) (3.0) (6.3) (3.3) (7.8)
EBT 57.7 86.6 (34.1) 9.4 98.5
% margin 2.6% 2.9% 4.8% 1.1% 3.9%
Income and Other Tax (10.5) 34.9 5.6 (4.4) (38.0)
Net Income 47.2 121.5 (28.5) 5.0 60.5
% margin 2.1% 4.1% (4.0%) 0.6% 2.4%
Depreciation & Amortization 25.8 34.2 8.7 11.1 30.4
EBITDA 88.0 123.8 19.1 23.8 136.8
% margin 4.0% 4.2% (2.7%) 2.9% 5.4%
Share Based Compensation
(SBC)
19.8 17.9 4.3 6.8 14.3
Adj. EBIT (adj. for SBC) 82.0 107.5 (23.5) 19.5 120.7
% margin 3.7% 3.6% (3.3%) 2.3% 4.7%
Adj. EBITDA (adj. for SBC) 107.8 141.7 (14.8) 30.6 151.1
% margin 4.9% 4.8% (2.1%) 3.7% 5.9%

S H A R E B A S E D C O M P E N S A T I O N

Per Income Statement Line Item

YTD/16
3.6
7.2
3.6
19.8 17.9 4.3 6.8 14.3
YTD/16
0.1%
0.3%
0.1%
0.9% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6%
FY/14
4.4
9.6
5.8
FY/14
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
FY/15
4.5
9.0
4.5
FY/15
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
Q3/15
1.1
2.2
1.1
Q2/15
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
Q3/16
1.7
3.4
1.7
Q2/16
0.2%
0.4%
0.2%

Per Income Statement Line Item

S E G M E N T S


m
FY/14 FY/15 Q3/15 Q3/16 YTD/16
Revenue 2,214.0 2,958.2 713.1 834.8 2,547.4
DACH 1,234.0 1,580.1 371.2 407.1 1,284.4
Rest of Europe 862.6 1,211.6 300.8 374.0 1,091.8
Other 117.4 166.5 41.1 53.7 171.3
As % of total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
DACH 55.7% 53.4% 52.1% 48.8% 50.4%
Rest of Europe 39.0% 41.0% 42.2% 44.8% 42.9%
Other 5.3% 5.6% 5.8% 6.4% 6.7%
EBIT 62.1 89.6 (27.8) 12.7 106.4
DACH 72.3 92.2 (5.1) 38.1 139.2
Rest of Europe (18.6) (10.2) (23.4) (20.8) (24.9)
Other 8.4 7.5 0.6 (4.5) (8.0)
% margin 2.8% 3.0% (3.9%) 1.5% 4.2%
DACH 5.9% 5.8% (1.4%) 9.3% 10.8%
Rest of Europe (2.2%) (0.8%) (7.8%) (5.6%) (2.3%)
Other 7.2% 4.5% 1.6% (8.5%) (4.7%)
Adjusted EBIT 82.0 107.5 (23.5) 19.5 120.7
DACH 83.0 101.9 (2.8) 41.4 146.3
Rest of Europe (11.6) (3.3) (21.7) (17.9) (19.0)
Other 10.5 8.9 1.0 (4.0) (6.6)
% adjusted margin 3.7% 3.6% (3.3%) 2.3% 4.7%
DACH 6.7% 6.4% (0.8%) 10.2% 11.4%
Rest of Europe (1.3%) (0.3%) (7.2%) (4.8%) (1.7%)
Other 9.0% 5.3% 2.5% (7.4%) (3.9%)

B A L A N C E S H E E T

€m Q3/15

Q3/15
(%
of total
Q3/16
(%
of total
€m Q3/15 assets) Q3/16 assets)
Total Non-Current Assets 192.9 9.1% 364.7 14.7%
Thereof: Property, Plant and Equipment 119.8 5.7% 203.0 8.2%
Other Financial Assets 30.8 1.5% 39.6 1.6%
Non-Financial Assets 3.7 0.2% 3.3 0.1%
Other Non-Current Assets 38.6 1.8% 118.9 4.8%
Total Current Assets 1,919.6 90.9% 2,113.2 85.3%
Thereof: Inventories 590.4 27.9% 620.9 25.1%
Trade and Other Receivables 154.6 7.3% 167.4 6.8%
Other Assets1 249.8 11.8% 348.5 14.1%
Cash and Cash Equivalents1 924.9 43.8% 976.4 39.4%
Total Assets 2,112.6 100.0% 2,477.9 100.0%
Total Equity 1,164.8
1,164.8
55.1% 1,342.9 54.2%
Thereof: Issued Capital 246.8 11.7% 247.2 10.0%
Capital Reserves 1,134.4 53.7% 1,156.1 46.7%
Retained earnings 4.2 0.2% (2.9) (0.1%)
Accumulated Loss (220.6) (10.4%) (57.5) (2.3%)
Total Non-Current Liabilities 33.8 1.6% 30.5 1.2%
Thereof: Financial Liabilities 15.2 0.7% 12.0 0.5%
Other Non-Current Liabilities 18.6 0.9% 18.5 0.7%
Total Current Liabilities 914.0 43.3% 1,104.5 44.6%
Thereof: Trade Payables and Similar Obligations 758.2 35.9% 946.2 38.2%
Other Current Liabilities 155.8 7.4% 158.3 6.4%
Total Equity & Liabilities 2,112.6 100.0% 2,477.9 100.0%
Net Working
Capital
(13.3) (0.5%) (157.9) (4.7%)

C A S H F L O W S T A T E M E N T

€m FY2014 FY2015 Q3/15 Q3/16 YTD/16
Net Income 47.2 121.5 (28.5) 5.0 60.5
Non-Cash Expenses from Share-Based Payments 19.8 17.9 4.3 6.8 14.3
Cash Settlement of Claims from
Share-Based
Payments
0.0 (2.3) 0.0 0.0 0.0
Depreciation 25.8 34.2 8.7 11.1 30.4
Income
Taxes
10.5 (34.9) (5.6) 4.4 38.0
Income
Taxes
Paid, Less
Refunds
0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (4.6) (29.2)
Change in Provisions 1.0 (0.5) (0.0) 1.1 0.7
Other Non-Cash Income (0.2) (1.0) 1.8 0.3 (0.7)
Change in Inventories and Receivables (68.7) (154.2) (145.2) (178.6) (142.8)
Change in Trade Liabilities 94.9 154.9 188.2 264.7 285.0
Change in Other Assets/Other Liabilities 44.6 (16.2) (5.3) (47.3) (45.6)
Cash Flow from Operating Activities 174.9 119.4 18.3 63.0 210.7
Payments for Investments in Fixed and Intangible Assets (51.1) (60.0) (19.9) (47.7) (115.9)
Payments for Acquisitions 0.0 (16.8) (7.8) 0.0 (29.2)
Cash Paid
for
Investments in Term Deposits
0.0 (155.0) (45.0) (75.0) (65.0)
Change in Restricted Cash (0.8) 35.3 6.0 0.0 (0.0)
Cash Flow from Investing Activities (51.9) (196.5) (63.5) (122.7) (210.0)
Payments Received from Capital Increases 510.1 6.4 0.2 0.6 1.1
Cash
Received from Loans
3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Repurchase of treasury shares 0.0 (1.7) 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash Repayments
of Loans
(3.2) (3.2) (0.8) (0.8) (2.4)
Cash Flow from Financing Activities 510.8 1.5 (0.6) (0.2) (1.4)
Change in Cash & Cash Equivalents 633.8 (75.7) (45.8) (60.0) (0.8)
Effects
of Exchange Rate
on Cash & Cash Equivalents
0.0 0.9 (2.9) 0.5 0.9

Cash Flow from Investing Activities (51.9) (196.5)

K P I D E V E L O P M E N T

2014 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 2015 Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16
Site Visits (m)1 1,363.8 392.8 411.8 393.9 457.9 1,656.4 479.5 480.2 468.6
Mobile Visit Share (in % of Site Visits)2 42.3% 52.6% 56.6% 58.8% 59.9% 57.1% 62.3% 64.7% 67.0%
Active Customers (m)
3
14.7 15.4 16.4 17.2 17.9 17.9 18.4 18.8 19.2
Number of Orders (m)
4
41.4 12.0 14.0 13.8 15.4 55.3 15.6 17.5 16.4
Average Order
per Active Customer
2.82x 2.84x 2.89x 3.00x 3.08x 3.08x 3.20x 3.32x 3.39x
Average Basket Size (in €)
5
66.6 68.0 67.4 63.3 72.1 67.8 66.5 66.2 62.8
Fulfillment Cost Ratio (in % of revenue)
6
22% 25% 28% 27% 23% 26% 24% 23% 24%
Marketing Cost Ratio (in % of revenue)
7
13% 12% 12% 12% 11% 12% 10% 10% 10%
  • (1) Site Visits defined as the number of series of page requests from the same uniquely identified client at Zalando, including w ebsite, m.site and apps in the measurement period. A visit is considered ended when no requests have been recorded in more than 30 minutes.
  • (2) Mobile is defined as tablets, mobile site and apps.

  • (3) Active Customers defined as the number of customers placing at least one order in the last twelve months in the measurement p eriod irrespective of cancellations or returns.

  • (4) Number of Orders defined as the number of customer orders placed in the measurement period irrespective of cancellations or r eturns. An order is counted on the day the customer places the order. Orders placed and orders delivered may differ due to orders that are in transit at the end of the measurement peri od or have been cancelled.
  • (5) Average Basket Size defined as the transactional revenue (incl. VAT and transactional volume of Partner Program) after cancel lations or returns divided by the number of orders.
  • (6) Fulfillment Cost Ratio defined as fulfillment cost as a proportion of revenue in the measurement period. Fulfillment costs ma inly include logistics, content creation, service and payment expenses, as well as allocated overhead. costs. Fulfillment costs therefore comprises all selling and distribution costs, exc ept for marketing costs. All numbers shown excluding equity settled SBC costs.
  • (7) Marketing Cost Ratio defined as marketing cost as a proportion of revenue in the measurement period. Marketing cost mainly co nsists of advertising expenses including search engine marketing, television, online display and other marketing channels as well as allocated overhead cost. All numbers shown excl uding equity-settled SBC costs.

F I N A N C I A L C A L E N D A R 2 0 1 7

Date Action
Thursday
+ Friday, 17-18-Nov
Morgan Stanley European TMT Conference, Barcelona
Wednesday,
30-Nov
NDR,
Paris
Jan-20171 Q4/2016 Trading Update
Wednesday, 1-Mar Q4/2016 Results
Tuesday, 9-May Q1/2017 Results
Wednesday, 31-May Annual General
Meeting 2017
Monday + Tuesday, 19-20 June Capital Markets Day 2017 (Day 1: warehouse tour, Day 2: Berlin)
Thursday, 10-Aug Q2/2017 Results
Tuesday,
7-Nov
Q3/2017 Results
May 2017
March 2017
June
2017
August 2017 November 2017
M T W T F M T W T F M T W T F M T W T F M T W T F
1 2 3 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 1 2 3 4 1 2 3
6 7 8 9 10 8 9 10 11 12 5 6 7 8 9 7 8 9 10 11 6 7 8 9 10
13 14 15 16 17 15 16 17 18 19 12 13 14 15 16 14 15 16 17 18 13 14 15 16 17
20 21 22 23 24 22 23 24 25 26 19 20 21 22 23 21 22 23 24 25 20 21 22 23 24
27 28 29 30 31 29 30 31 26 27 28 29 30 28 29 30 31 27 28 29 30

(1) Date will be pre-announced a few weeks in advance via press release.