Investor Presentation • Jan 9, 2026
Investor Presentation
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Knowledge grows
Capital Markets Day 2026

This presentation contains forward-looking information and statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of Yara and/or industry and markets in which it operates. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts and may be identified by words such as "aims", "anticipates", "believes", "estimates", "expects", "foresees", "intends", "plans", "predicts", "projects", "targets", and similar expressions. Such forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections, reflect current views with respect to future events, and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and risks, uncertainties and other important factors could cause the actual business, financial performance, results or the industry and markets in which Yara operates to differ materially from the statements expressed or implied in this presentation by such forward-looking statements. No representation is made that any of these forward-looking statements or forecasts will come to pass or that any forecasted results will be achieved, and you are cautioned not to place any undue reliance on any forward-looking statements.

Introduction
President and CEO – Svein Tore Holsether
Supportive market fundamentals
Director Market Intelligence – Silje Ingeberg Nygaard
Maximizing the value of our global asset portfolio
EVP Global Production – Johan Labby
Maximizing premiums and growing from our core
EVP Europe – Mónica Andrés Enríquez
Strengthening returns
EVP & CFO – Magnus Krogh Ankarstrand
Summary
President and CEO – Svein Tore Holsether

#1 producer of Nitrate and compound NPK1
#1 in traded ammonia1
25 production plants
140+ sales countries
terminals, blending units, 200 warehouses and bagging facilities

Zero injuries ambition | Industry leading performance



1) Total Recordable Injuries per 1 million hours worked
5.5 BUSD Total shareholder distribution since 20201
28% Annualized TSR3 since 2Q 2024


Our Mission
Responsibly feed the world and protect the planet
Our Vision
A collaborative society; a world without hunger; a planet respected.


50% of food produced from
mineral fertilizers

50% increase
in food production required by 2050

Cut emissions

+20%
NUE1 needed
to feed the world within planetary boundaries

Yara's competitive edges driving sustainable value
creation

• Sustained premiums – demonstrated Nutrient Use Efficiency

• >75% of European finished nitrogen products flexible on ammonia source

• Strong asset footprint – continuous production records



Drive performance and competitiveness Grow from our core
Improve profitability in
Logistical optimization
Capital reallocation
core business Diversify energy position

Maximize asset utilization Cash realization from recent growth projects
Value growth through differentiated products, knowledge margin and expansion from core portfolio
Firm commitment to capital allocation policy

2024 2026 2030
>180 MUSD fixed cost reduction With high drop-through impact on EBITDA
>350 MUSD EBITDA improvement Improve core profitability
Improved production margins
Value accretive ammonia capacity expansion
Continued strict resource prioritization and active portfolio management
Tightening nitrogen markets and lower European gas prices
600 MUSD sustainable cash flow expansion 2024-20301

Return on Invested Capital, Through-the-cycle target > 10 %




Yara to distribute up to 1.2 mtpa NH3 on commission basis
Double-digit returns



President and CEO Svein Tore Holsether

EVP & Chief Financial Officer Magnus Ankarstrand


EVP & General Counsel Kristine Ryssdal
EVP People, External Affairs & Chief of Staff Hanna Opsahl-Ben Ammar


EVP Corporate Development Fernanda Lopes Larsen

EVP Europe Mónica Andrés Enríquez

EVP Africa & Asia Luis Alfredo Pérez

EVP Americas Chrystel Monthean

EVP Global Production Johan Labby

EVP Yara Industrial Solutions Jorge Noval


16
Silje Ingeberg Nygaard Director Market Intelligence

more exports from China in 2025 vs. year before
FAO cereal price index 2025 vs. year before (per November)

Underlying nitrogen demand growth

Urea share of total N capacity growth

Replacement of old urea capacity
mt urea

mt urea




1) 2024 urea consumption outside China multiplied with the growth rates on the previous slide
LNG trade flows changed in 20251 BCM y-o-y

Gas prices in Europe decreasing1 TTF, USD/mmbtu






1) EU-27, 2024/25, Fertilizers Europe
optimal locations
Opex Capex Incentive price


Johan Labby EVP Global Production

• >75% of European finished nitrogen products flexible on ammonia source
• Strong asset footprint – continuous production records




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All time high production volumes1 ; ~250 MUSD impact2 YIP volumes in mt Ammonia Finished Fertilizer

…while reducing emissions and delivering on 2025 target; ~100 MUSD impact3 GHG emissions Intensity (tCO2 /tN)


1) L12M figures and targets are adjusted for portfolio optimization. Major planned maintenance and market-driven curtailments added back.
2) Compared to 2019, assuming average margins YTD as of 3Q 2025
3) Compared to 2018 based on lower global gas consumption and ETS-cost. Based on 3Q25 L12M gas cost per plant and EUA price of 95 USD/t

NPK capacity expansion in Cartagena1 ~50 MUSD investment; mostly executed
+80 kt/y
+12 MUSD margin addition

Porsgrunn NPK2 improvement <10 MUSD investment; executed
+300 kt/y
+60 MUSD margin addition

Sluiskil CCS ~200 MUSD net investment; 75% complete
800 kt/y CO2 capture and storage
Double digit IRR before blue premium


1) Cartagena capacity expansion of 80 kt commissioning in 2026. Margin addition calculated based on 150 USD/t x 80 kt.
Share of 2026-capex

Action taken on all harvest sites with >200 MUSD annual cash flow impact:
Montoir, Tertre ammonia, Vlaardingen, Cubatão 2-P, Cubatão 3, Hull, Paulínia + several smaller sites
Plant maintenance cost – proxy1


Harvest




Strategically located to serve Yara's plants and European import demand

Significant EU demand growth – existing import infrastructure advantaged

Ammonia terminal replacement cost indicate full-cost level of \$50-80 USD/t 2

1) 2024 demand based on IFA survey; 2030 based on announced ambitions from European producers
2) Basis capex study and recent EU transactions. Example: 3-500 ktpa throughput and 300 million USD investment


.. while having ~USD 2 bn head start in


Supply security and import access positions the partners ideally for low-carbon demand



Globally diversified and high-performing asset portfolio

Strict capital re-allocation and prioritization


World leading ammonia platform

Value accretive production growth in premium product and low carbon ammonia



• Sustained premiums – demonstrated Nutrient Use Efficiency




Total deliveries, mt

OPP1 deliveries, mt

Local production presence and vast network Supply reliability
Stable deliveries at premium over urea Product optimization




In-market production of water-soluble fertilizer in Anhui, China with 60 kt capacity serving high-value crop markets

Largest import terminal to East Canada in Contrecoeur with 160 kt storage capacity driving scale benefits and securing reliable supply

Own pier, storage, blending and bagging facilities in Rio Grande, Brazil driving logistical advantage for 2.5+ mt











The markets for micronutrients and biostimulants are rapidly growing…

…and Yara has performed and outgrown current capacity…

…paving the way for strong returns on new Howden plant

Yara Howden, UK
New plant will double production capacity Investment: ~165 MUSD | ~70% complete IRR: strong double digits

1) Refers to YaraVita (foliar micronutrients and specialty coatings) and YaraAmplix (biostimulants)
~25% Market share1
Largest nitrogen producer in Europe 9,000 customers in 30 markets 140 terminals and warehouses





Urea exporters seek the highest netback, including carbon costs
Emission intensity of the marginal imported urea tonne is the basis for carbon price uplift (urea inherently contains CO2 ) for all finished nitrogen products in Europe
Through profitable decarbonization investments, Yara has achieved lower emission intensity on its products
CCS Sluiskil
reduce up to 800 kt CO2e from mid-2026
Quota bank
6 million EU ETS quotas – can be used to settle 4-5 years of emission cost

Global markets 1.5 mt ammonia equivalents
1 mt ammonia equivalents

EU Countries Yara has a flexible business model to optimize and adapt to changing market dynamics
Reduce carbon costs via sourcing and product allocation when and if needed Global and flexible system
Operations with a lower carbon footprint in Europe
Carbon footprint from Yara's European nitrogen production generally lower than global averages
Flexibility on importing low-cost ammonia with different carbon intensities
High flexibility and Europe's most competitive asset infrastructure


Global optimization through scale and market presence

Leading premium product position and knowledge margin


Value accretive growth in low carbon products and biologicals

A value proposition fit to serve future requirements of the food systems


Strengthening returns
Magnus Krogh Ankarstrand Chief Financial Officer



L12M numbers per 3Q 2025
2.6 BUSD +500 MUSD vs. 3Q 2024 EBITDA1
3.6 EPS2
USD/share +1.4 USD/share vs 3Q 2024 10.3% +3.4 pp. vs 3Q 2024
Free cash flow4
715 MUSD +592 MUSD vs 3Q 2024
Stable gross margin5
28% 26% avg. 2015-3Q 2025, only 2 pp. standard deviation

ROIC3
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1.27x Net debt / EBITDA excl. special items1
BBB/Baa2 Investment
grade rating
Financially robust
Flexibility for value accretive growth and shareholder return


| 2020 | 2024 | L12M | 2025 target |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| -4% | -13% | -15% | -30% |
| ввв | |||
| 3.0 -4% n/a |
3.0 2.8 -4% -13% n/a 24 |
3.0 2.8 2.7 -4% -13% -15% n/a 24 22 |
| Ammonia Production, mt¹ 7.8 7.8 8.2 Finished Fertilliser Production, mt¹ 19.6 20.6 21.0 21.1 Premium generated, MUSD² 1,036 1,415 1,346 n/a Operating capital days² 113 108 109 92 Capital return (ROIC)³ 8.0% 5.0% 8.0% >10% Fixed costs, MUSD³ 2,112 2,423 2,320 2,380 |
Yara KPI | 2020 | 2024 | L12M | 2025 target |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Production, mt 1 19.6 20.6 21.0 21.1 Premium generated, MUSD 2 1,036 1,415 1,346 n/a Operating capital days 2 113 108 108 92 Capital return (ROIC) 2 8.0% 5.0% 8.0% >10% | Ammonia Production, mt1 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 8.2 | |
| MUSD 2 1,036 1,415 1,346 n/a Operating capital days 2 113 108 108 92 Capital return (ROIC) 3 8.0 5.0 5.0 8.0 >108 | 19.6 | 20.6 | 21.0 | 21.1 | ||
| Capital return (ROIC) 3 8.0 % 5.0% 8.0% >10% | 1,036 | 1,415 | 1,346 | n/a | ||
| Operating capital days 3 | 108 | 108 | ||||
| Fixed costs, MUSD 3 2,113 2,443 2,322 ~2,380 | Capital return (ROIC)3 | 8.0 % | 5.0% | 8.0% | >10% | |
| Fixed costs, MUSD 3 | 2,113 | 2,443 | 2,322 | ~2,380 |
• Digitized Hectares deprioritized due to low value potential
Fixed cost excl. special items, MUSD BUSD




2) Assuming 3.5% annual inflation over 15 months
3) Drop-through effect for portfolio of planned fixed cost reduction vs. EBITDA per June 2024 (baseline).
4) 1.2 BUSD CAPEX target (real) communicated in 2023 CMD, adjusted for inflation

…committed to enhancing operational discipline and unlocking value across the organization
Improvement Program combining growth, margin expansion and cost control
Capital Productivity set to improve through capex allocation and portfolio optimization



Drive
and
Yara EBITDA – market sensitivity1(BUSD) Yara EBITDA – improvement impact
| Urea TTF |
300 | 400 | 500 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ~2.2 | ~3.2 | ~4.3 |
| 9.5 | ~1.8 | ~2.8 | ~3.9 |
| 13 | ~1.3 | ~2.4 | ~3.5 |
CBAM/EU ETS impact not included in the matrix
(BUSD), all else equal





Competitive upfront cash flow (~2 BUSD 2026-2030)
✓ Significantly lower than comparable projects
Hydrogen and nitrogen fee reflects competitive overall project economics
Significantly improved EBIT-profile compared to alternatives
FID planned mid-2026

assuming even distribution of US investment over 4-5 years Subject to market conditions


Commitment to improving underlying cash flow and maintaining strict capital discipline

) Earnings/(loss) per share excluding foreign currency exchange gain/(loss). USD per share
2024 2026 2030
>180 MUSD fixed cost reduction With high drop-through impact on EBITDA
>350 MUSD EBITDA improvement Improve core profitability
Improved production margins
Value accretive ammonia capacity expansion
Continued strict resource prioritization and active portfolio management
Tightening nitrogen markets and lower European gas prices
600 MUSD sustainable cash flow expansion 2024-20301

Svein Tore Holsether Chief Executive Officer


1905 Scaling up fertilizer production to feed world's growing population

2025 Supporting food production and critical industries in 140+ countries

Capitalizing on food value chain transformation and strengthening our position in the industry








Yara EBITDA – market sensitivity1 (BUSD) Q3 L12M 2025
| Urea TTF |
300 | 400 | 500 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ~2.2 | ~3.2 | ~4.3 |
| 9.5 | ~1.8 | ~2.8 | ~3.9 |
| 13 | ~1.3 | ~2.4 | ~3.5 |
| EBITDA (MUSD) | 2,619 |
|---|---|
| ttf (USD/mmbtu) | 12.88 |
| hh (USD/mmbtu) | 3.08 |
| Urea Arab Gulf (USD/t) | 405 |
| CAN (USD/t) | 342 |

Alternative performance measures (APM's) are defined, explained and reconciled to the Financial statements in the APM section of the 3Q report on pages 22-29


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