Earnings Release • Mar 31, 2015
Earnings Release
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INVESTOR AND ANALYST PRESENTATION 3 JUNE 2015
Jamie Hopkins Chief Executive Officer
Graham Clemett Chief Financial Officer
Jamie Hopkins Chief Executive Officer
| March 2015 |
March 2014 |
Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Growth | |||
| Rent Roll (lfl) | £46.5m | £39.5m | +18% |
| Property Valuation | £1,423m | £1,078m | +30%* |
| Total Property Return | 37% | 35% | Up 2% |
| EPRA NAV (per share) | £7.03 | £4.96 | +42% |
| Dividend (per share) | 12.04p | 10.63p | +13% |
| Operational Momentum | |||
| Enquiries (per month) | 1,222 | 1,063 | +15% |
| Occupancy (lfl) | 92.2% | 91.4% | Up 0.8% |
| Rent per sq. ft (lfl) | £18.37 | £15.87 | +16% |
| Trading Profit after Interest | £26.6m | £20.5m | +30% |
* Underlying increase
| £m | March 2015 |
March 2014 |
Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Rental Income | 57.7 | 50.3 | +15% |
| Joint Venture Income | 1.2 | 1.1 | +9% |
| Administrative Expenses | (13.8) | (12.4) | +11% |
| Net Finance Costs | (18.5) | (18.5) | 0% |
| Trading Profit after Interest | 26.6 | 20.5 | +30% |
| Revaluation Surplus | 328.1 | 228.4 | +44% |
| Other items | 5.3 | 3.6 | – |
| Profit Before Tax | 360.0 | 252.5 | +43% |
| Underlying Earnings per Share | 17.2p | 13.9p | +24% |
| Dividend per Share | 12.04p | 10.63p | +13% |
REFURBISHMENTS REDEVELOPMENTS
Majority of future rent to come is at the Metal Box Factory, completed January 2015
2 business centres opened in the year
Majority of future rent to come is at The Light Bulb, opened March 2015
8 projects underway
Excludes projects at the design stage
3 business centres to be delivered
PERFORMANCE
| £m | ||
|---|---|---|
| Trading | ||
| Net Cash from Operations | 36 | |
| Dividends Paid | (17) | 19 |
| Investment | ||
| Capital Expenditure | (37) | |
| Property Acquisitions | (80) | |
| Property Disposals | 44 | |
| Capital Receipts | 55 | 49 |
| Share Placement | 94 | |
| Settlement of Glebe Proceeds Share | (30) | |
| Distributions from Joint Ventures | 3 | |
| Net Movement in year | 68 | |
| Net Debt at March 2014 | (338) | |
| Net Debt at March 2015 | (270) |
| £m | March 2015 |
March 2014 |
|---|---|---|
| Investment Property Valuation | 1,423 | 1,078 |
| Investment in Joint Ventures | 29 | 23 |
| Net Debt | (270) | (338) |
| Other | (36) | (37) |
| Net Assets | 1,146 | 726 |
| EPRA NAV per Share | £7.03 | £4.96 |
| Loan to Value | 19% | 31% |
| Facility Headroom | £140m | £72m |
| £m | Uplift 2015 | Main movements | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Like-for-Like | 177 | Pricing Yield |
59% (£105m) 41% (£72m) |
||
| Completed Projects | 59 | Metal Box Factory ScreenWorks The Pill Box |
£29m £15m £6m |
||
| Redevelopments | 50 | Residential Consents Overage New Business Space |
£26m £12m £12m |
||
| Refurbishments | 28 | Cargo Works Hatton Square Business Centre Westminster Business Square |
£9m £4m £4m |
||
| Other | 14 | Industrial Disposal Acquisitions |
£11m £3m |
||
| Total | 328 |
| March 2015 | March 2014 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt | £270m | £338m | ||
| Total Facilities (all unsecured) | £410m | £410m | ||
| Hedged/Fixed Rate Facilities | 73% | 73% | ||
| Average Period to Maturity | 5.8 years | 6.8 years |
| THIS YEAR | UNDERWAY | PIPELINE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| THE LIGHT BULB, WANDSWORTH | SCREENWORKS, ISLINGTON | ||
| REFURBISHMENTS NEW AND UPGRADED SPACE |
218,000 sq. ft. | 372,000 sq. ft. | 399,000 sq. ft. |
| 5 projects | 8 projects | 6 projects | |
| £32m cost | £105m cost | £77m cost | |
| + more to come | |||
| REDEVELOPMENTS BRAND NEW SPACE |
114,000 sq. ft. | 180,000 sq. ft. | 114,000 sq. ft. |
| 2 projects | 6 projects | 4 projects | |
| + more to come |
GRAND UNION STUDIOS LADBROKE GROVE
Developer: Taylor Wimpey
December 2015: Completion due
60,000 sq. ft. of new business space
21
PLEASE SCAN THIS QR CODE TO SEE THE METAL BOX FACTORY: WORKSPACE RESULTS 2015 VIDEO
60 GRAY'S INN ROAD MIDTOWN
November 2013: Acquired
£26 Average rent per sq. ft. when acquired
Common area + reception: Upgraded December 2014
£56 Highest rent achieved per sq. ft.
+ £4m (21%) Underlying valuation increase in year
November 2014: Acquired
£54 Average rent per sq. ft. when acquired
Common area + reception: Upgrade commencing in June 2015
£66 Highest rent achieved per sq. ft.
| INVEST IN ESTABLISHED LOCATIONS | ||
|---|---|---|
| EASTON STREET CLERKENWELL |
||
| RATIONALE | FINANCIALS | |
| Core Clerkenwell location | Increasing demand | £16.6m |
| Good strategic ft | Cluster of offces | £794 per sq. ft. capital value |
| Short term leaseback | Refurbish for growth | £10 per sq. ft. 2-year leaseback |
| Seller owns next door | Build relationship | 1.2% net initial yield |
| Additional value | 3rd foor extension | 8 to 9% reversionary yield |
DIRECTION
| DIRECTION INVEST IN EMERGING LOCATIONS |
||
|---|---|---|
| EDINBURGH HOUSE KENNINGTON |
||
| RATIONALE | FINANCIALS | |
| Off market deal | Opportunistic | £25.3m |
| Good strategic ft | Cluster effciencies | £370 per sq. ft. capital value |
| Let until 2030 | Early surrender | £22 per sq. ft. |
| Metropolitan Police occupy | Well known | 5.2% net initial yield |
| Large prominent property | Leverage brand | £40 per sq. ft. estimated |
CARGO WORKS SOUTHWARK 60,000 sq. ft. Size
£39 Average rent per sq. ft. at March 2015
April 2015: Works completed
Highest rent per sq. ft. achieved so far
WESTBOURNE STUDIOS LADBROKE GROVE
56,000 sq. ft. Size
£39 Average rent per sq. ft. at March 2015
March 2015: Upgrade works commenced
PLEASE SCAN THIS QR CODE TO SEE THE WESTBOURNE STUDIOS: WORKSPACE RESULTS 2015 VIDEO
Workspace
March 2014
Sep 2014 March 2015
0%
ERV psf
| At March 2015 | Development partner |
Valuation | March 2015 Rent Roll |
Expected completion |
Residential units no. |
Commercial space returned | Other proceeds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Area | Estimated ERV |
Estimated Rent* |
Cash received |
Cash to come |
Overage to come ** |
||||||
| Completed | |||||||||||
| ScreenWorks | Taylor Wimpey | £37m | £1.9m | May 2014 | 72 | 61,867 | £36 | £2.0m | £5m | - | £1m |
| The Light Bulb | Mount Anvil | £28m | £0.2m | Mar 2015 | 209 | 52,127 | £23 | £1.1m | - | - | £12m |
| £65m | £2.1m | 281 | 113,994 | £3.1m | £5m | - | £13m | ||||
| Underway | |||||||||||
| Grand Union Studios | Taylor Wimpey | £20m | - | Dec 2015 | 145 | 60,000 | £22 | £1.2m | £5m | £1m | £1m |
| Bow Enterprise Park (phase 1) | Peabody | £7m | - | Dec 2015 | 267 | 10,000 | £12 | £0.1m | £11m | - | £4m |
| The Faircharm | L&Q | £7m | - | Jun 2016 | 148 | 52,000 | £20 | £0.9m | £10m | - | n/a |
| Poplar Business Park (phase 1) | Telford Homes | £2m | - | Apr 2017 | 170 | 8,000 | £12 | £0.1m | £16m | - | £0m |
| Bow Enterprise Park (phase 2) | Peabody | £12m | - | May 2017 | 160 | 3,000 | £10 | £0.0m | - | £11m | n/a |
| The Biscuit Factory (part) | Grosvenor | £36m | £0.3m | Jun 2017 | 800 | 47,000 | £20 | £0.8m | £32m | £19m | £0m |
| £84m | £0.3m | 1,690 | 180,000 | £3.1m | £74m | £31m | £5m | ||||
| With Planning | |||||||||||
| Bow Enterprise Park (phase 3) | 130 | 38,000 | |||||||||
| Poplar Business Park (phase 2/3) | 222 | 58,000 | |||||||||
| The Light Bulb (phase 2) | 77 | 18,000 | |||||||||
| Arches Business Centre | 110 | - | |||||||||
| £52m | £1.3m | 539 | 114,000 | ||||||||
| At Planning Stage | |||||||||||
| Marshgate | 207 | ||||||||||
| Rainbow Industrial Estate | 224 | ||||||||||
| Highway Business Park | 130 | ||||||||||
| Lombard House | 96 | ||||||||||
| £66m | £1.5m | 657 | |||||||||
| At Design Stage # Chocolate Factory (part) |
300 | ||||||||||
| Stratford Office Village | 110 | ||||||||||
| 410 |
* Expected Rent at 90% occupancy
** Overage as valued by CBRE as at March 2015
| REFURBISHMENT PROJECTS | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At March 2015 | Valuation | Actual/ Estimated cost |
Cost to Complete |
Estimated Completion |
Unaffected area |
Upgraded area |
New space |
Estimated ERV (Average) |
Estimated Rent at 90% occupancy * |
March 2015 Rent Roll * |
| Completed | ||||||||||
| Leyton Industrial Village (phase 1) | £14m | £3m | - | Apr 2013 | 84,131 | - | 26,600 | £15 | £0.8m | £0.8m |
| Pill Box | £23m | £9m | - | Feb 2014 | - | - | 50,409 | £33 | £1.5m | £1.3m |
| Leyton Industrial Village (phase 2) | £4m | £2m | - | May 2014 | - | - | 21,293 | £14 | £0.3m | £0.3m |
| Bounds Green Industrial Estate | £15m | £2m | - | Dec 2014 | 110,670 | - | 13,891 | £12 | £1.0m | £0.8m |
| Metal Box Factory | £72m | £16m | - | Jan 2015 | - | 81,028 | 25,148 | £48 | £4.6m | £2.9m |
| £128m | £32m | 194,801 | 81,028 | 137,341 | £8.2m | £6.1m | ||||
| Underway | ||||||||||
| Cargo Works | £47m | £3m | £1m | Apr 2015 | 11,532 | 60,238 | - | £44 | £2.8m | £2.5m |
| Westminster Business Square | £26m | £17m | £9m | Dec 2015 | 46,532 | 6,137 | 49,464 | £31 | £2.3m | £1.0m |
| Linton House | £19m | £9m | £6m | Dec 2015 | - | 30,000 | 16,000 | £40 | £1.7m | £0.6m |
| Barley Mow Centre | £31m | £8m | £7m | Sep 2016 | 58,961 | - | 21,000 | £36 | £2.3m | £1.6m |
| Hatton Square Business Centre | £20m | £24m | £21m | Mar 2017 | - | - | 60,600 | £46 | £2.5m | £0.0m |
| Holywell Centre ** | £9m | £19m | £19m | 2017 | - | - | 55,000 | £45 | £2.3m | £0.5m |
| Greville Street ** | £9m | £8m | £8m | 2017 | - | - | 23,000 | £50 | £1.2m | £0.5m |
| Cremer Business Centre** | £10m | £17m | £17m | 2018 | - | - | 51,000 | £37 | £1.8m | £0.8m |
| £171m | £105m | £88m | 117,025 | 96,375 | 276,064 | £16.9m | £7.5m | |||
| At Design Stage # | ||||||||||
| Southbank House | £33m | £4m | £4m | 63,137 | 9,000 | - | £1.8m | |||
| Leroy House | £15m | £14m | £14m | - | 35,000 | 38,000 | £1.0m | |||
| Mare Street Studios | £9m | £17m | £17m | - | 38,000 | 20,000 | £0.5m | |||
| Pall Mall Deposit | £18m | £10m | £10m | - | 49,000 | 12,000 | £0.9m | |||
| Havelock Terrace | £16m | £20m | £20m | - | 59,000 | 40,000 | £0.9m | |||
| Riverside | £16m | £12m | £12m | - | 99,000 | - | £1.2m | |||
| £107m | £77m | £77m | 63,137 | 289,000 | 110,000 | £6.3m | ||||
* Includes rent for unaffected areas at March 2015 rental levels
** Planning application submitted
The information in this document may include forward-looking statements, which are based on current expectations and projections about future events. These forward‑looking statements reflect the directors' beliefs and expectations and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions about the Company, including, amongst other things, the development of its business, trends in its operating industry, returns on investment and future capital expenditure and acquisitions, that could cause actual results and performance to differ materially from any expected future results or performance expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. None of the future projections, expectations, estimates or prospects in this document should be taken as forecasts or promises nor should they be taken as implying any indication, assurance or guarantee that the assumptions on which such future projections, expectations, estimates or prospects have been prepared are correct or exhaustive or, in the case of the assumptions, fully stated in the document. As a result, you are cautioned not to place reliance on such forward looking statements as a prediction of actual results or otherwise. The information and opinions contained in this document are provided as at the date of this document and are subject to change without notice. No one undertakes to publicly update or revise any such forwardlooking statements.
This presentation should also be read in the light of the Company's full preliminary results announcement for the year ended 31 March 2015 including the principal risks and uncertainties identified therein. No statement in this document is or is intended to be a profit forecast or profit estimate or to imply that the earnings of the Company for the current or future financial years will necessarily match or exceed the historical or published earnings of the Company.
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