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windeln.de SE — Investor Presentation 2015
Nov 25, 2015
490_ip_2015-11-25_d0b05c3e-1a8f-42a8-90ad-8c39707f019b.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Nine Months 2015 Results
- November, 2015
Disclaimer
This document has been issued by windeln.de AG (the "Company") and does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities of the Company, nor shall any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form part of or be relied on in connection with any contract or investment decision relating thereto, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company or any present or future member of the group.
All information contained herein has been carefully prepared. However, no reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this document or on its completeness. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained in this document and no liability whatsoever is accepted by the Company or any of its directors, officers or employees nor any other person for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of such information or opinions or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
The information contained in this presentation is subject to amendment, revision and updating. Certain statements, beliefs and opinions in this document are forward-looking, which reflect the Company's or, as appropriate, senior management's current expectations and projections about future events. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Forward-looking statements contained in this document regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. The Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this document.
This document is not an offer of securities for sale in the United States of America. Securities may not be offered or sold in the United States of America absent registration or an exemption from registration under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Neither this document nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United States of America, its territories or possessions or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States of America, its territories or possessions or to any US person.
By attending, reviewing or consulting the presentation to which this document relates or by accepting this document you will be taken to have represented, warranted and undertaken that you have read and agree to comply with the contents of this notice.
Nothing in this document constitutes tax advice. Persons should seek tax advice from their own consultants or advisors when making investment decisions.
Business Update
- Successful introduction of direct delivery to China with strong acceptance by customers
- Closing of feedo and bebitus acquisitions integration started
- Windelbar with new look, new name (nakiki) and new platform
- Move of windelbar warehouse to increase capacity and efficiency
- Introduction of Product Information Management System (PIM 2.0)
- SE conversion process started
9 Months Financials
- 9 months revenue growth of +76% year over year (+72% excluding feedo); Q3 growth slightly lower due to introduction of direct delivery and seasonal effects
- Adjusted EBIT margin increase to -8.1% from -10.0% in previous' year period (approx. -7% excluding feedo)
- Growth and profitability improvement expected to continue for full year 2015
Business Update
Successful introduction of direct delivery to China
Customer registration at freight forwarder Customer registration at windeln.de Shipping from windeln.de to freight forwarder Services by freight forwarder Shipping through shipping company Arrival of parcel at customer Customer registration at windeln.de 1 2 4 5 6 3 2 5 6 Shipping through shipping company Arrival of parcel at customer Existing delivery option 1: Via freight forwarder New additional option 2: Direct Delivery
Advantages
- Lower delivery costs to customers
- No VAT payments for customers
- Faster delivery time (from approx. 20 to approx. 10 days)
- Ability to directly market windeln.de in China
- Higher cross-selling potential
- Additional revenue from shipping for windeln.de
the choice between
China
Share of direct delivery reached of more than 70% after 3 months
In addition: Express delivery option with
70% 80% Share of direct delivery orders Since end of August, customers have
Strong acceptance of direct delivery by Chinese customers
- Delivery through freight forwarders
- NEW: Direct delivery to China
- simplified customs clearance
1
Positive impact from end of one-child policy in China
"China Ends One-Child policy – China's Communist party has scrapped its one-child policy, allowing all couples to have two children for the first time in more than three decades." The Guardian (29.11.2015)
"Chinese Baby-Goods Market Grows Up Fast - Entrepreneurs and investors have high hopes for the mother-and-child market." The Wall Street Journal (16.11.2015)
- On average between 16 and 17 million births per year in the past 10 years1
- Expected net increase of newborn babies: at least 2 million per year (10%) in next five years following the policy change 2
Additional demand for baby products
1 Source: The World Bank Data for the 2007- 2012 period, based on China Population Association (CPA).
2 Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
Acquisitions
Good progress on acquisitions
| Closing | 3. July 2015 |
6. October 2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Purchase price | €8m (cash) + €2m shares + earn out |
€5m (cash) + earn out |
| Consolidation | from Q3 2015 onwards |
from Q4 2015 onwards |
| Integration | in progress | initiated |
| Expected full year revenues 2015 |
at least €10m (+70% yoy growth) |
approx. €15m (+100% yoy growth) |
Windelbar
Windelbar will rebrand to "Nakiki" to align with wider range of customers, products and international shops
- Diaper-related name doesn't fit ongoing expansion into kids category
- Limited international use of name "windelbar"
- Hard to spell
- No "real" translation
- Rather old-fashioned style of site
New name, new look, new platform
- New name and logo fits ranges of brands, products and sizes
- Fresh, white style is similar to latest fashion site looks
- Mood images on mobile drive inspiration shopping
Operational and other improvements
Move of windelbar warehouse
- +50% more shelf space capacity + further expansion option
- Productivity improvement of about 20% as a result of better warehouse layout and higher degree of automation
- Successful introduction of new storage system storelogix
Introduction of Product Information Management System (PIM 2.0)
- Allows more efficient product data management in different languages across all shops
- More user friendly
- Faster processing of large data amounts
Conversion to European SE
- Reflects international business model of windeln.de
- Conversion process started
- Resolution at annual general meeting 2016
Financial Update Nine Months 2015
Growth and margin improvement continues for nine months
1 Gross profit minus marketing and fulfillment costs.
2 Adjusted to exclude share-based compensation expenses, IPO related expenses, acquisition, expansion and integration costs.
Key performance indicators continued to improve for 9 months…
1 Number of customers who placed an order within the last twelve months.
2 NPS measures the loyalty that exists between a provider and a consumer. NPS can be as low as -100 (everybody is a detractor) or as high as +100 (everybody is a promoter); average as of Q3 2015; tracked by windeln.de.
3 Number of orders from customers who had previously purchased from windeln.de at any point in time, irrespective of returns.
4 Refers to the share of repeat customer orders (in % of number of orders) we define as the number of orders from repeat customers divided by the number of orders during the measurement period (last twelve months).
5 Number of orders divided by the number of repeat customers in the measurement period.
6 Order intake (incl. VAT and shipping) divided by total number of orders during respective year.
7 Share of mobile traffic from non-Chinese customers on windeln.de and windeln.ch; does not include traffic on the windeln.de magazine.
…and Q3 (including feedo)
| Q1 '12 | Q2 '12 | Q3 '12 | Q4 '12 | Q1 '13 | Q2 '13 | Q3 '13 | Q4 '13 | Q1 '14 | Q2 '14 | Q3 '14 | Q4 '14 | Q1 '15 | Q2 '15 | Q3'15 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Site Visits (in thousand) ¹ | 1,385 | 1,697 | 2,263 | 2,837 | 4,682 | 6,120 | 5,759 | 5,874 | 7,323 | 8,483 | 10,647 | 12,459 | 14,299 | 14,785 | 18,516 |
| Mobile Visit Share (in % of Site Visits) 2 |
9.9% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 26.2% | 32.6% | 39.3% | 42.0% | 47.9% | 52.7% | 58.2% | 60.5% | 65.5% | 66.5% | 64.2% |
| Mobile Orders (in % of Number of Orders) 3 |
6.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 21.2% | 26.8% | 27.8% | 32.7% | 37.3% | 41.2% | 42.3% | 46.7% | 47.6% | 45.8% |
| Active Customers (in thousand) 4 | 92 | 117 | 142 | 163 | 194 | 229 | 259 | 290 | 334 | 372 | 430 | 496 | 556 | 613 | 743 |
| Number of Orders (in thousand) 5 | 62 | 78 | 92 | 114 | 154 | 198 | 202 | 219 | 273 | 303 | 363 | 416 | 454 | 460 | 575 |
| Average Orders per Active Customer (in number of orders) 6 |
1.8 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| Orders from Repeat Customers (in thousand) 7 |
36 | 48 | 58 | 82 | 114 | 153 | 158 | 175 | 211 | 238 | 286 | 328 | 350 | 369 | 453 |
| Share of Repeat Customer Orders (in % of Number of Orders) 8 |
59.1% | 62.0% | 63.6% | 71.7% | 73.9% | 77.5% | 78.0% | 79.7% | 77.2% | 78.7% | 78.8% | 78.9% | 83.6% | 83.8% | 83.3% |
| Gross Order Intake (in € thousand) 9 |
4,188 | 5,638 | 7,148 | 9,862 | 12,209 | 15,034 | 15,676 | 18,226 | 23,241 | 26,208 | 32,111 | 38,891 | 41,970 | 44,133 | 50,306 |
| Average Order Value (in €) 10 | 67.9 | 72.6 | 77.9 | 86.3 | 79.3 | 76.1 | 77.5 | 83.2 | 85.2 | 86.6 | 88.5 | 93.5 | 92.5 | 95.9 | 87.5 |
| Returns (in % of Net Merchandise Value) 11 |
4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% |
Q3 financials impacted by four factors
Feedo Consolidation Direct Delivery to China
High growth profile but early in profitability development
- Revenues in Q3 €3.1m (approx.+100% growth yoy)
- Avg. order value approx. €60; share of consumables >80%
- Gross margin approx. 15%
1
• EBIT in Q3 approx. -€0.9m (approx. -30% margin)
3
Growth Q3 over Q2 typically slower
- Summer vacation Germany, hot weather China
- Typical year such as 2013 with 4% growth Q3 over Q2
- Exception in 2014 (as basis for yoy growth): 23% growth Q3 over Q2 due to additional IFM product supply
2
Very positive but with negative one-time accounting impact
- IFRS revenues recognition at delivery of product (approx. 10 days for direct delivery vs. 1 day with freight forwarding as endpoint is in Germany)
- Revenues from order intake in Sept. deferred to Oct. of approx. €2m, but most associated cost incurred in Sept.
Seasonal Impact Warehouse move windelbar 4
More capacity, higher efficiency
- Move from Munich to Abensberg (close to Regensburg)
- More capacity (+20%) due to increase efficiency
- In Q3 additional temporary costs (e.g. double rent, split delivery of orders and product transportation)
Continued revenues growth across our regions…
Adopted segment structure reflects expansion …
… and strong growth of international segment
Margins on track on 9 months basis despite Q3 specific topics
Operating contribution continously increased
Group profitability improvement continues
| Third Quarter | Nine Months | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % revenues | 2014 | 2015 | Delta | 2014 | 2015 | Delta | |
| Gross profit | 22.8% | 24.4% | 1.6pp | 22.7% | 25.5% | 2.8pp | |
| 1 Fulfillment |
11.4% | 13.2% | 1.8pp | 11.7% | 11.3% | (0.4)pp | |
| 2 Marketing |
5.4% | 8.0% | 2.6pp | 5.2% | 6.9% | 1.7pp | |
| Operating contribution |
5.9% | 3.1% | (2.8)pp | 5.8% | 7.3% | 1.5pp | Excluding feedo adj. |
| 3 Adj. other SG&A |
14.5% | 16.1% | 1.6pp | 15.8% | 15.4% | (0.4)pp | EBIT margin of approx. (7)% for 9 months |
| 4 Adj. EBIT |
(8.6)% | (13.0)% | 4.4pp | (10.0)% | (8.1)% | (1.9)pp | 2015 |
1 Fulfillment costs comprise logistics and related rental expenses.
2 Marketing costs consist mainly of advertising expenses, including search engine marketing, online display and other marketing channel expenses, as well as costs for our marketing tools, which include tools for automated SEA bidding and multivariate landing page optimization, and allocated overhead costs, but not costs related to our loyalty program. Allocated overhead costs include rent and depreciation, but not costs of shared services.
3 We define adjusted other SG&A expenses as selling and distribution expenses plus administrative expenses and other operating expenses less other operating income, but excluding marketing and fulfillment costs; adjusted to exclude share-based compensation expenses, acquisition, integration and expansion costs and IPO related expenses and income.
4 Adjusted to exclude share-based compensation expenses, IPO related expenses, acquisition, expansion and integration costs.
Strong liquidity position
Full year outlook 2015
| Actuals 9M/15 (incl. feedo) |
Outlook 2015 Specification (incl. feedo + bebitus) |
|
|---|---|---|
| Revenues (% yoy growth) |
+76% | Approx. +75% |
| Gross Profit Margin (%) |
25.5% | Approx. 25% |
| Adj. EBIT Margin (%) |
(8.1)% | (7) to (8)% |
Appendix
Selected business segments and geographic data
| Business segments | Geographic region | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In €k | 9M 2015 | 9M 2014 | Q3 2015 | Q3 2014 | |
| Revenues | 118.312 | 67.123 | 43.286 | 26.485 | |
| German Shop | 97.173 | 58.953 | 32.735 | 23.211 | |
| International Shops | 8.768 | 2.402 | 5.414 | 905 | |
| Shopping Clubs | 12.370 | 5.767 | 5.133 | 2.369 | |
| Adj. EBIT1,2 | -9.574 | -6.725 | -5.609 | -2,272 | |
| German Shop Adj. EBIT contribution |
3.853 | 386 | 470 | 408 | |
| International Shops Adj. EBIT contribution |
-2.645 | -1.448 | -1.777 | -398 | |
| Shopping Clubs Adj. EBIT contribution |
-4.170 | -1.731 | -1.788 | -827 |
| In €k | 9M 2015 | 9M 2014 | Q3 2015 | Q3 2014 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 118.312 | 67.122 | 43.286 | 26.486 | ||||
| DACH3 | 51.331 | 28.716 | 18.793 | 11.428 | ||||
| China4 | 61.374 | 37.096 | 20.274 | 14.477 | ||||
| Rest of Europe5 | 5.607 | 1.310 | 4.219 | 581 |
1 Adjusted to exclude share-based compensation expenses, IPO related expenses, acquisition, expansion and integration costs.
2 Adjusted EBIT at the Group level does not correspond to the sum of the Adjusted EBIT Contributions of the "windeln.de", "windelbar.de" and "windeln.ch" business segments because (a) certain income/expenses relating to shared services are managed and contracted on a central basis and not allocated to the business segments and (b) effects resulting from intersegment transactions are eliminated at the Group level.
3 Our "DACH" geographic region consists of that part of our business that generates product and services revenues from customers ordering for delivery to Germany, Austria and Switzerland.
4 Our "China" geographic region consists of that part of our business that generates product and services revenues from customers ordering for delivery to China.
5 Our "Other/rest of Europe" geographic region consists of that part of our business that generates product and services revenues from customers ordering for delivery to countries other than Germany, Austria, Switzerland and China.
Income statement
| In €k | 9M 2015 | 9M 2014 |
Q3 2015 | Q3 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 118.312 | 67.122 | 43.286 | 26.486 |
| % growth | 76.3% | 63.4% | ||
| Cost of sales | -88,116 | -51,860 | -32,712 | -20,455 |
| Gross profit | 30.196 | 15.262 | 10.574 | 6.030 |
| % margin | 25.5% | 22.7% | 24.4% | 22.8% |
| Selling and distribution expenses | -34.122 | -18.470 | -13.759 | -7.042 |
| Administrative expenses | -14.875 | -6.166 | -4.391 | -2.152 |
| Other operating income | 2.932 | 177 | 341 | 57 |
| Other operating expenses | -402 | -26 | -97 | -11 |
| 1 EBIT |
-16.271 | -9.223 | -7.332 | -3.118 |
| % margin | -13.8% | -13.7% | -16.9% | -11.8% |
| Financial result | -506 | 2,803 | -410 | 190 |
| EBT | -16.777 | -6,420 | -7,742 | -2,928 |
| % margin | -14.2% | -9.6% | -17.9% | -11.1% |
| Income taxes | -1.595 | -82 | -67 | 6 |
| Profit or loss for the period | -18.372 | -6.502 | -7.809 | -2.922 |
| % margin | -15.5% | -9.7% | -18.0% | -11.0% |
| Operating contribution margin |
8.673 | 3.885 | 1.363 | 1.574 |
| % margin | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 5.9% |
| Share-based compensation |
-5.877 | -2.497 | -1.123 | -845 |
| costs2 Acquisition, integration and expansion |
-1.257 | - | -720 | - |
| expenses3 IPO related |
-437 | - | -121 | - |
| Adjusted EBIT |
-9.574 | -6.725 | -5.609 | -2.272 |
| % margin | -8.1% | -10.0% | -13.0% | -8.6% |
1 EBIT excludes share-based compensation expense, acquisition, integration and expansion costs and IPO related expenses.
2 Acquisition, integration and expansion costs of €536 thousand were incurred in H1 2015 in connection with the acquisition and integration of Feedo.
3 IPO related expenses of €316 thousand were incurred in H1 2015 in connection with the preparation of our IPO.
Balance sheet and cash flow statement
| Consolidated statement of financial position | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In €k | Dec 2014 | Sep 2015 | ||||
| Total non-current assets | 4,523 | 21,813 | ||||
| Inventories | 10,754 | 18,091 | ||||
| Prepayments | 285 | 538 | ||||
| Trade receivables | 1,725 | 3,032 | ||||
| Miscellaneous other current assets1 | 5,927 | 7,670 | ||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 33,830 | 107,473 | ||||
| Total current assets | 52,521 | 136,808 | ||||
| Total assets | 57,044 | 158,621 | ||||
| Issued capital | 163 | 25,745 | ||||
| Share premium | 68,911 | 153,329 | ||||
| Accumulated loss | -34,488 | -52,860 | ||||
| Cumulated other comprehensive income | 35 | 57 | ||||
| Total equity | 34,621 | 126,272 | ||||
| Total non-current liabilities | 6,813 | 5,437 | ||||
| Other provisions | 1,246 | 1,392 | ||||
| Financial liabilities | 1,532 | 31 | ||||
| Trade payables | 8,830 | 16,646 | ||||
| Deferred revenue | 1,986 | 4,596 | ||||
| Miscellaneous current liabilities2 | 2,017 | 4,247 | ||||
| Total current liabilities | 15,610 | 26,912 | ||||
| Total equity & liabilities | 57,044 | 158,621 |
| Consolidated statement of cash flows | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In €k | 9M 2015 | 9M 2014 | Q3 2015 | Q3 2014 | |||||
| Net cash flows from/used in operating activities |
-9,926 | -5,642 | -6,109 | -508 | |||||
| Net cash flows from/used in investing activities |
-9,888 | -885 | -8,679 | -438 | |||||
| Net cash flows from/used in financing activities |
93,385 | 9,993 | -376 | 605 | |||||
| Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period |
33,830 | 267 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| Net increase/decrease in cash and cash equivalents |
73,571 | 3,466 | -15,164 | -341 | |||||
| Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period |
107,473 | 3,733 | -15,092 | -341 |
1 Miscellaneous other current assets include income tax receivables, current other financial assets and current other non-financial assets.
2 Miscellaneous other current liabilities include income tax payables, current other financial liabilities and current other non-financial liabilities.
Selected key performance metrics - Definitions
- 1) We define Site Visits as the number of series of page requests from the same device and source in the measurement period and include visits to our online magazine. A visit is considered ended when no requests have been recorded in more than 30 minutes. The number of site visits depends on a number of factors including the availability of the products we offer, the level and effectiveness of our marketing campaigns and the popularity of our online shops. Measured by Google Analytics.
- 2) We define Mobile Visit Share (in % of Site Visits) as the number of visits via mobile devices (smartphones and tablets) to our mobile optimized websites divided by the total number of Site Visits in the measurement period. We have excluded visits to our online magazine and visits from China. We exclude visits from China because the most common online translation services on which most of our customers who order for delivery to China rely to translate our website content are not able to do so from their mobile devices, and therefore very few of such customers order from their mobile devices. Measured by Google Analytics.
- 3) We define Mobile Orders (in % of Number of Orders) as the number of orders via mobile devices to our mobile optimized websites divided by the total Number of Orders in the measurement period. We have excluded orders from China. Measured by Google Analytics.
- 4) We define Active Customers as the number of customers placing at least one order in the 12 months preceding the end of the measurement period, irrespective of returns.
- 5) We define Number of Orders as the number of customer orders placed in the measurement period irrespective of returns. An order is counted on the day the customer places the order. Orders placed and orders delivered may differ due to orders that are in transit at the end of the measurement period or have been cancelled. Every order which has been placed, but for which the products in the order have not been shipped (e.g., the products are not available or the customer cancels the order), is considered ''cancelled''.
- 6) We define Average Orders per Active Customer as Number of Orders divided by the number of Active Customers in the measurement period.
- 7) We define Orders from Repeat Customers as the number of orders from customers who have placed at least one previous order, irrespective of returns.
- 8) We define Share of Repeat Customer Orders as the number of orders from Repeat Customers divided by the Number of Orders during the measurement period.
- 9) We define Gross Order Intake as the aggregate Euro amount of customer orders placed in the measurement period minus cancellations. The Euro amount includes value added tax and excludes marketing rebates.
- 10) We define Average Order Value as Gross Order Intake divided by the Number of Orders in the measurement period.
- 11) We define Returns (in % of Net Merchandise Value) as the Net Merchandise Value of items returned divided by Net Merchandise Value in the measurement period.