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windeln.de SE — Earnings Release 2015
Mar 17, 2016
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Earnings Release
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Full year and Q4 2015 results
March 17th, 2016
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windeln.de reaches targets for 2015
Group Financials
- ü Revenues growth of 76% year over year
- ü 955
active customers as of yearend (+525) - ü Gross margin increase to 26%; adjusted net fulfillment costs lowered
- ü Stable adjusted EBIT margin of approx. (8)% despite strong European expansion
- ü Strong liquidity position of EUR 89 million in cash
Segment Financials
- ü Windeln.de now present in 10 European countries with growth across all of our regions
- ü European business excl. DACH already 17% of revenues in Q4 (EUR 40 million annualised)
- ü International business adding strong growth; margin development in line with expansion plan
- ü Adjusted EBIT for German Shop increased from 2.2% to 4.0% year over year
2016 Outlook
- ü Approx. 50% growth in revenues
- ü Higher gross margin of 28+%
- ü Improved adjusted EBIT margin of (6) to (8)% despite European expansion
Group Financials
1 CAGR calculated based on full-year 2011 revenues as per HGB and full-year 2015 revenues as per IFRS reporting.
2 Q4 2015 multiplied by 4.
1 Number of customers who placed an order within the last twelve months.
2 NPS measures the loyalty that exists between a provider and a consumer. NPS can be as low as -100 (everybody is a detractor) or as high as +100 (everybody is a promoter); average 2015 for windeln.de shop; tracked by windeln.de. 3 Number of orders from customers who had previously purchased from windeln.de at any point in time, irrespective of returns.
4 Refers to the share of repeat customer orders (in % of number of orders) that we define as the number of orders from repeat customers divided by the number of orders during the measurement period (last twelve months).
5 Number of orders divided by the number of repeat customers in the measurement period.
6 Order intake (incl. VAT and shipping) divided by total number of orders during respective year.
7 Share of mobile traffic from non-Chinese customers on windeln.de and windeln.ch and Nakiki.de; does not include traffic on the windeln.de magazine.
KPIs continued to improve for 2015…
…also on a quarterly basis
feedo (Q3) and bebitus (Q4) acquisition
| Q1 '12 | Q2 '12 | Q3 '12 | Q4 '12 | Q1 '13 | Q2 '13 | Q3 '13 | Q4 '13 | Q1 '14 | Q2 '14 | Q3 '14 | Q4 '14 | Q1 '15 | Q2 '15 | Q3'15 | Q4'15 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Site Visits (in thousand) ¹ |
1,385 | 1,697 | 2,263 | 2,837 | 4,682 | 6,120 | 5,759 | 5,874 | 7,323 | 8,483 | 10,647 | 12,459 | 14,299 | 14,785 | 18,516 | 24,014 |
| Mobile Visit Share (in % of Site Visits) 2 |
9.9% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 26.2% | 32.6% | 39.3% | 42.0% | 47.9% | 52.7% | 58.2% | 60.5% | 65.5% | 66.5% | 64.2% | 61.9% |
| Mobile Orders (in % of Number of Orders) 3 |
6.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 21.2% | 26.8% | 27.8% | 32.7% | 37.3% | 41.2% | 42.3% | 46.7% | 47.6% | 45.8% | 43.6% |
| Active Customers (in thousand) 4 |
92 | 117 | 142 | 163 | 194 | 229 | 259 | 290 | 334 | 372 | 430 | 496 | 556 | 613 | 743 | 955 |
| Number of Orders (in thousand) 5 |
62 | 78 | 92 | 114 | 154 | 198 | 202 | 219 | 273 | 303 | 363 | 416 | 454 | 460 | 575 | 698 |
| Average Orders per Active Customer (in number of orders) 6 |
1.8 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| Orders from Repeat Customers (in thousand) 7 |
36 | 48 | 58 | 82 | 114 | 153 | 158 | 175 | 211 | 238 | 286 | 328 | 350 | 369 | 453 | 479 |
| Share of Repeat Customer Orders (in % of Number of Orders) 8 |
59.1% | 62.0% | 63.6% | 71.7% | 73.9% | 77.5% | 78.0% | 79.7% | 77.2% | 78.7% | 78.8% | 78.9% | 83.6% | 83.8% | 83.3% | 81.4% |
| Gross Order Intake (in € thousand) 9 |
4,188 | 5,638 | 7,148 | 9,862 | 12,209 | 15,034 | 15,676 | 18,226 | 23,241 | 26,208 | 32,111 | 38,891 | 41,970 | 44,133 | 50,306 | 62,880 |
| Average Order Value (in €) 10 |
67.9 | 72.6 | 77.9 | 86.3 | 79.3 | 76.1 | 77.5 | 83.2 | 85.2 | 86.6 | 88.5 | 93.5 | 92.5 | 95.9 | 87.5 | 90.1 |
| Returns (in % of Net Merchandise Value) 11 |
4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
5 Note: Including feedo from Q3 2015 and bebitus from Q4 2015 onwards (returns excl. feedo and bebitus). See appendix for footnotes.
Margins improved significantly in 2015…
1 Gross profit minus marketing and adjusted fulfillment costs.
2 Adjusted to exclude share-based compensation expenses, IPO related expenses, acquisition, expansion and integration costs as well as costs for reorganization and restructurings under corporate law.
3 Margin of (5.3)% represents combined margin for business segments German Shop andShopping Clubs assuming that 15% of shared services costs in 2015 can be attributed to expansion (segment International Shops). 6
…and year over year…
1 Marketing costs consist mainly of advertising expenses, including search engine marketing, online display and other marketing channel expenses, as well as costs for our marketing tools, which include tools for automated SEA bidding and multivariate landing page optimization, and allocated overhead costs, but not costs related to our loyalty program. Allocated overhead costs include rent and depreciation, but not costs of shared services.
2 Fulfillment costs comprise logistics and rental expenses, adjusted to exclude costs of reorganization that are fulfilment related.
3 We define adjusted other SG&A expenses as selling and distribution expenses plus administrative expenses and other operating expenses less other operating income, but excluding marketing and fulfillment costs; adjustments see Adjusted EBIT.
4 Adjusted to exclude cash settled share-based compensation expenses resulting from virtual stock option programs (VSOP), IPO related expenses, acquisition and integration costs as well as costs for reoganization and restructurings under corporate law; in the fiscal year ended December 31, 2012, all income/expenses were allocated to the business segment "windeln.de".
5 Adj. EBIT contribution margin from German Shop business segment.
6 Adj. Net Fulfillment costs are defined as Fulfillment costs less shipping income.
1 Adj. fulfillment costs comprise logistics and related rental expenses.
2 Adj. Net Fulfillment costs are defined as Fulfillment costs less shipping income.
3 Marketing costs consist mainly of advertising expenses, including search engine marketing, online display and other marketing channel expenses, as well as costs for our marketing tools, which include tools for automated SEA bidding and multivariate landing page optimization, and allocated overhead costs, but not costs related to our loyalty program. Allocated overhead costs include rent and depreciation, but not costs of shared services.
4 We define adjusted other SG&A expenses as selling and distribution expenses plus administrative expenses and other operating expenses less other operating income, but excluding marketing and fulfillment costs; adjusted to exclude share-based compensation expenses, acquisition, integration and expansion costs and IPO related expenses and income.
5 Adjusted to exclude cash settled share-based compensation expenses resulting from virtual stock option programs (VSOP), IPO related expenses, acquisition and integration costs as well as costs for reorganization and restructurings under corporate law.
Strong liquidity position
Operational and other improvements
| Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) Upgrade |
‒ Migration from Microsoft Navision 2009 to Microsoft AX 2015 ‒ Intensive preparation and testing phase almost completed ‒ Go-live planned for April 1 |
|---|---|
| New Shopsystem / Micro-services |
‒ Pannolini and nakiki shop already upgraded ‒ Other shops to follow in the course of 2016 ‒ To allow for agile development processes ‒ Enables faster roll-out of multiple countries and languages |
| Head of Sourcing |
‒ Head of sourcing hired (previously with consulting firm specialized on sourcing) ‒ Focus on centralizing sourcing across shops and regions |
| Warehouse Move Switzerland |
‒ Strong reduction of Uster warehouse in Switzerland to save logistics costs ‒ Move to Grossbeeren warehouse in Germany in progress |
Segment Financials
windeln.de now present in 10 European countries…
1 windeln.de management estimate for baby product market in Europe (0-6 years) based on Euromonitor data. 2 http://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/162133/umfrage/anzahl-der-geburten-in-europa
Highlights European market
- ‒ Large adressable market: €56.5bn1
- ‒ High number of births: 5m annually2
- ‒ Fragmented market structure
- ‒ Increasing online penetration
Windeln.de Group leadership
- ‒ 955' active customers Dec-15
- ‒ 698' orders in 2015
- ‒ EUR 179m revenues in 2015
- ‒ Q4 2015 annualized: EUR 241m
…with revenues growth across our regions
Note: Growth rates Q4 2014 to Q4 2015 based on net merchandise value (same calculation methodology as in 2015).
Increasing contribution from European business
International shops adding strong growth…
…also in Q4
Margin development consistentwith expansion plan
Outlook 2016
Strong outlook into 2016
| 2015 | Outlook 2016 |
Outlook 2016 | Business model potential |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues (€, % yoy growth) |
€179m +76% |
approx. +50% |
Increasing online penetration l Higher growth in "new" markets l Decreasing growth rates due to l larger basis |
€1bn+ |
| Gross Profit Margin % |
26.4% | 28+% | Better purchasing terms due to scale l Positive full year impact from China l Direct Delivery |
>30% |
| Adj. EBIT Margin % |
(8.5)% | (6) to (8)% | Improving adj. EBIT margins l Continuous improvement in existing l businesses / German Shop Earnings "dilution" due to European l expansion (but at improving margins) |
>5% |
Appendix
Selected key performance metrics - Definitions
- 1) We define Site Visits as the number of series of page requests from the same device and source in the measurement period and include visits to our online magazine. A visit is considered ended when no requests have been recorded in more than 30 minutes. The number of site visits depends on a number of factors including the availability of the products we offer, the level and effectiveness of our marketing campaigns and the popularity of our online shops. Measured by Google Analytics.
- 2) We define Mobile Visit Share (in % of Site Visits) as the number of visits via mobile devices (smartphones and tablets) to our mobile optimized websites divided by the total number of Site Visits in the measurement period. We have excluded visits to our online magazine and visits from China. We exclude visits from China because the most common online translation services on which most of our customers who order for delivery to China rely to translate our website content are not able to do so from their mobile devices, and therefore very few of such customers order from their mobile devices. Measured by Google Analytics.
- 3) We define Mobile Orders (in % of Number of Orders) as the number of orders via mobile devices to our mobile optimized websites divided by the total Number of Orders in the measurement period. We have excluded orders from China. Measured by Google Analytics.
- 4) We define Active Customers as the number of customers placing at least one order in the 12 months preceding the end of the measurement period, irrespective of returns.
- 5) We define Number of Orders as the number of customer orders placed in the measurement period irrespective of returns. An order is counted on the day the customer places the order. Orders placed and orders delivered may differ due to orders that are in transit at the end of the measurement period or have been cancelled. Every order which has been placed, but for which the products in the order have not been shipped (e.g., the products are not available or the customer cancels the order), is considered ''cancelled''.
- 6) We define Average Orders per Active Customer as Number of Orders divided by the number of Active Customers in the measurement period.
- 7) We define Orders from Repeat Customers as the number of orders from customers who have placed at least one previous order, irrespective of returns.
- 8) We define Share of Repeat Customer Orders as the number of orders from Repeat Customers divided by the Number of Orders during the measurement period.
- 9) We define Gross Order Intake as the aggregate Euro amount of customer orders placed in the measurement period minus cancellations. The Euro amount includes value added tax and excludes marketing rebates.
- 10) We define Average Order Value as Gross Order Intake divided by the Number of Orders in the measurement period.
- 11) We define Returns (in % of Net Merchandise Value) as the Net Merchandise Value of items returned divided by Net Merchandise Value in the measurement period.
Income statement
| In €k | 2015 | 2014 | Q4 2015 | Q4 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 178,602 | 101,324 | 60,290 | 34,201 |
| % growth | 76.3% | 76.3% | ||
| Cost of sales | ||||
| Gross profit | 47,115 | 23,455 | 16,919 | 8,192 |
| % margin | 26.4% | 23.1% | 28.1% | 24.0% |
| Selling and distribution expenses | -53,877 | -26,668 | -19,755 | -8.198 |
| Administrative expenses | -23,332 | -8,678 | -8,457 | -6166 |
| Other operating income | 3,164 | 267 | 232 | 90 |
| Other operating expenses | -569 | -99 | -167 | -73 |
| EBIT | -27,499 | -11,723 | -11,228 | -2,499 |
| % margin | -15.4% | -11.6% | -18.6% | -7.3% |
| Financial result | -2,910 | 2,138 | -2,404 | -665 |
| EBT | -30,409 | -9,585 | -13,632 | -3,165 |
| % margin | -17.0% | -9.5% | -22.6% | -9.2% |
| Income taxes | 5 | -242 | 1,600 | -160 |
| Profit or loss for the period | -30,404 | -9,827 | -12,032 | -3,325 |
| % margin | -17.0% | -9.7% | -20.0% | -9.7% |
| EBIT | -27,499 | -11,723 | -11,228 | -2,499 |
| Share-based compensation |
10,727 | 3,419 | 4,850 | 920 |
| Acquisition, integration and expansion costs |
1.951 | - | 694 | - |
| IPO related expenses |
-430 | 217 | 7 | 217 |
| Corporate reorganisation | 112 | - | 112 | - |
Adjusted EBIT1 -15,139 -8,087 -5,565 -1,362 % margin -8.5% -8.0% -9.2% -4.0%
1 Adjusted to exclude cash settled share-based compensation expenses resulting from virtual stock option programs (VSOP), IPO related expenses, acquisition and integration costs as well as costs for reorganization and restructurings under corporate law.
Balance sheet and cash flow statement
| Consolidated statement of financial position | ||
|---|---|---|
| In €k | Dec 2014 | Dez 2015 |
| Total non-current assets | 4,523 | 34,086 |
| Inventories | 10,754 | 27,099 |
| Prepayments | 285 | 1,670 |
| Trade receivables | 1,725 | 2,469 |
| Miscellaneous other current assets1 | 5,927 | 5,457 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 33,830 | 88,678 |
| Total current assets | 52,521 | 125,373 |
| Total assets | 57,044 | 159,459 |
| Issued capital | 163 | 25,746 |
| Share premium | 68,911 | 154,046 |
| Accumulated loss | -34,488 | -64,892 |
| Cumulated other comprehensive income | 35 | -22 |
| Total equity | 34,621 | 114,878 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 6,813 | 10,208 |
| Other provisions | 1,246 | 2,221 |
| Financial liabilities | 1,532 | 41 |
| Trade payables | 8,830 | 18,137 |
| Deferred revenue | 1,986 | 4,352 |
| Miscellaneous current liabilities2 | 2,017 | 9,622 |
| Total current liabilities | 15,610 | 34,373 |
| Total equity & liabilities | 57,044 | 159,459 |
| Consolidated statement of cash flows | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In €k | 2015 | 2014 | ||||||
| Net cash flows from/used in operating activities |
-22,244 | -6,064 | ||||||
| Net cash flows from/used in investing activities | -16,271 | -1,234 | ||||||
| Net cash flows from/used in financing activities | 93,356 | 40,861 | ||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period |
33,830 | 267 | ||||||
| Net increase/decrease in cash and cash equivalents |
54,841 | 33,563 | ||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period |
88,678 | 33,830 |
1 Miscellaneous other current assets include income tax receivables, current other financial assets and current other non-financial assets.
2 Miscellaneous other current liabilities include income tax payables, current other financial liabilities and current other non-financial liabilities.
Selected business segment and geographic data
| Business segments | Geographic region | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In €k | 2015 | 2014 | Q4 2015 | Q4 2014 | |||
| Revenues | 178,602 | 101,324 | 60,290 | 34,201 | |||
| German Shop | 140,255 | 88,768 | 43,082 | 29,815 | |||
| International Shops | 20,739 | 3,776 | 11,971 | 1,376 | |||
| Shopping Clubs | 17,608 | 8,780 | 5,238 | 3,013 | |||
| Adj. EBIT1,2 | -15,139 | -8,087 | -5,565 | -1,362 | |||
| German Shop Adj. EBIT contribution |
5,630 | 1,916 | 1,777 | 1,530 | |||
| International Shops Adj. EBIT contribution |
-5,392 | -1,660 | -2,747 | -212 | |||
| Shopping Clubs Adj. EBIT contribution |
-5,810 | -2,601 | -1,640 | -870 |
| In €k | 2015 | 2014 | 15/14 | Q4 15/146 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 178,602 | 101,324 | +76% | +76% | |||||
| DACH3 | 71,791 | 44,040 | +63% | +53% | |||||
| China4 | 91,147 | 55,666 | +64% | +52% | |||||
| Rest of Europe5 | 15,664 | 1,618 | +868% | +724% |
1 Adjusted to exclude cash settled share-based compensation expenses resulting from virtual stock option programs (VSOP) and IPO related expenses, acquisition and integration costs as well as costs for reorganization and restructurings under corporate law.
2 Adjusted EBIT at the Group level does not correspond to the sum of the Adjusted EBIT Contributions of the "German Shop", "International Shops" and "Shopping Clubs" business segments because (a) certain income/expenses relating to shared services are managed and contracted on a central basis and not allocated to the business segments and (b) effects resulting from intersegment transactions are eliminated at the Group level.
3 Our "DACH" geographic region consists of that part of our business that generates product and services revenues from customers ordering for delivery to Germany, Austria and Switzerland.
4 Our "China" geographic region consists of that part of our business that generates product and services revenues from customers ordering for delivery to China.
5 Our "Other/rest of Europe" geographic region consists of that part of our business that generates product and services revenues from customers ordering for delivery to countries other than Germany, Austria, Switzerland and China.
6 Growth rates Q4 2014 to Q4 2015 based on net merchandise value (same calculation methodology as in 2015)