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windeln.de SE Earnings Release 2015

Mar 17, 2016

490_ip_2016-03-17_0156879e-8075-42ba-a971-995fedc15b99.pdf

Earnings Release

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Full year and Q4 2015 results

March 17th, 2016

Disclaimer

This document has been issued by windeln.de AG (the "Company") and does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as any offer or invitation to sell o r issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities of the Company, nor shall any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form part of o r be relied on in connection with any contract or investment decision relating thereto, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company or any present or future member of the group.

All information contained herein has been carefully prepared. However, no reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this document or on its completeness. No representation or warranty, express or imp lied, is given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained in this document and no liability whatsoever is accepted by the Company or any of its directors, officers or employees nor any other person for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of such information or opinions or otherwise arising in connection therewith.

The information contained in this presentation is subject to amendment, revision and updating. Certain statements, beliefs and opinions in this document are forward-looking, which reflect the Company's or, as appropriate, senior management's current expectations and projections about future events. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Forward-looking statements contained in this document regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. The Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this document.

This document is not an offer of securities for sale in the United States of America. Securities may not be offered or sold in the United States of America absent registration or an exemption from registration under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Neither this document nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United States of America, its territories or possessions or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States of America, its territories or possessions or to any US person.

By attending, reviewing or consulting the presentation to which this document relates or by accepting this document you will be taken to have represented, warranted and undertaken that you have read and agree to comply with the contents of this notice.

Nothing in this document constitutes tax advice. Persons should seek tax advice fro m their own consultants or advisors when making investment decisions.

windeln.de reaches targets for 2015

Group Financials

  • ü Revenues growth of 76% year over year
  • ü 955active customers as of yearend (+525)
  • ü Gross margin increase to 26%; adjusted net fulfillment costs lowered
  • ü Stable adjusted EBIT margin of approx. (8)% despite strong European expansion
  • ü Strong liquidity position of EUR 89 million in cash

Segment Financials

  • ü Windeln.de now present in 10 European countries with growth across all of our regions
  • ü European business excl. DACH already 17% of revenues in Q4 (EUR 40 million annualised)
  • ü International business adding strong growth; margin development in line with expansion plan
  • ü Adjusted EBIT for German Shop increased from 2.2% to 4.0% year over year

2016 Outlook

  • ü Approx. 50% growth in revenues
  • ü Higher gross margin of 28+%
  • ü Improved adjusted EBIT margin of (6) to (8)% despite European expansion

Group Financials

1 CAGR calculated based on full-year 2011 revenues as per HGB and full-year 2015 revenues as per IFRS reporting.

2 Q4 2015 multiplied by 4.

1 Number of customers who placed an order within the last twelve months.

2 NPS measures the loyalty that exists between a provider and a consumer. NPS can be as low as -100 (everybody is a detractor) or as high as +100 (everybody is a promoter); average 2015 for windeln.de shop; tracked by windeln.de. 3 Number of orders from customers who had previously purchased from windeln.de at any point in time, irrespective of returns.

4 Refers to the share of repeat customer orders (in % of number of orders) that we define as the number of orders from repeat customers divided by the number of orders during the measurement period (last twelve months).

5 Number of orders divided by the number of repeat customers in the measurement period.

6 Order intake (incl. VAT and shipping) divided by total number of orders during respective year.

7 Share of mobile traffic from non-Chinese customers on windeln.de and windeln.ch and Nakiki.de; does not include traffic on the windeln.de magazine.

KPIs continued to improve for 2015…

…also on a quarterly basis

feedo (Q3) and bebitus (Q4) acquisition

Q1 '12 Q2 '12 Q3 '12 Q4 '12 Q1 '13 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 Q4 '14 Q1 '15 Q2 '15 Q3'15 Q4'15
Site Visits
(in thousand) ¹
1,385 1,697 2,263 2,837 4,682 6,120 5,759 5,874 7,323 8,483 10,647 12,459 14,299 14,785 18,516 24,014
Mobile Visit Share
(in % of Site Visits) 2
9.9% 13.2% 16.7% 19.7% 26.2% 32.6% 39.3% 42.0% 47.9% 52.7% 58.2% 60.5% 65.5% 66.5% 64.2% 61.9%
Mobile Orders
(in % of Number of Orders) 3
6.2% 8.6% 10.0% 12.2% 16.4% 21.2% 26.8% 27.8% 32.7% 37.3% 41.2% 42.3% 46.7% 47.6% 45.8% 43.6%
Active Customers
(in thousand) 4
92 117 142 163 194 229 259 290 334 372 430 496 556 613 743 955
Number of Orders
(in thousand) 5
62 78 92 114 154 198 202 219 273 303 363 416 454 460 575 698
Average Orders per Active Customer
(in number of orders) 6
1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.4
Orders from Repeat Customers
(in thousand) 7
36 48 58 82 114 153 158 175 211 238 286 328 350 369 453 479
Share of Repeat Customer Orders
(in % of Number of Orders) 8
59.1% 62.0% 63.6% 71.7% 73.9% 77.5% 78.0% 79.7% 77.2% 78.7% 78.8% 78.9% 83.6% 83.8% 83.3% 81.4%
Gross Order Intake
(in €
thousand) 9
4,188 5,638 7,148 9,862 12,209 15,034 15,676 18,226 23,241 26,208 32,111 38,891 41,970 44,133 50,306 62,880
Average Order Value
(in €) 10
67.9 72.6 77.9 86.3 79.3 76.1 77.5 83.2 85.2 86.6 88.5 93.5 92.5 95.9 87.5 90.1
Returns
(in % of Net Merchandise Value) 11
4.4% 4.1% 4.9% 4.4% 4.3% 4.6% 4.9% 5.8% 5.1% 5.8% 6.8% 5.1% 6.0% 7.4% 7.3% 5.4%

5 Note: Including feedo from Q3 2015 and bebitus from Q4 2015 onwards (returns excl. feedo and bebitus). See appendix for footnotes.

Margins improved significantly in 2015…

1 Gross profit minus marketing and adjusted fulfillment costs.

2 Adjusted to exclude share-based compensation expenses, IPO related expenses, acquisition, expansion and integration costs as well as costs for reorganization and restructurings under corporate law.

3 Margin of (5.3)% represents combined margin for business segments German Shop andShopping Clubs assuming that 15% of shared services costs in 2015 can be attributed to expansion (segment International Shops). 6

…and year over year…

1 Marketing costs consist mainly of advertising expenses, including search engine marketing, online display and other marketing channel expenses, as well as costs for our marketing tools, which include tools for automated SEA bidding and multivariate landing page optimization, and allocated overhead costs, but not costs related to our loyalty program. Allocated overhead costs include rent and depreciation, but not costs of shared services.

2 Fulfillment costs comprise logistics and rental expenses, adjusted to exclude costs of reorganization that are fulfilment related.

3 We define adjusted other SG&A expenses as selling and distribution expenses plus administrative expenses and other operating expenses less other operating income, but excluding marketing and fulfillment costs; adjustments see Adjusted EBIT.

4 Adjusted to exclude cash settled share-based compensation expenses resulting from virtual stock option programs (VSOP), IPO related expenses, acquisition and integration costs as well as costs for reoganization and restructurings under corporate law; in the fiscal year ended December 31, 2012, all income/expenses were allocated to the business segment "windeln.de".

5 Adj. EBIT contribution margin from German Shop business segment.

6 Adj. Net Fulfillment costs are defined as Fulfillment costs less shipping income.

1 Adj. fulfillment costs comprise logistics and related rental expenses.

2 Adj. Net Fulfillment costs are defined as Fulfillment costs less shipping income.

3 Marketing costs consist mainly of advertising expenses, including search engine marketing, online display and other marketing channel expenses, as well as costs for our marketing tools, which include tools for automated SEA bidding and multivariate landing page optimization, and allocated overhead costs, but not costs related to our loyalty program. Allocated overhead costs include rent and depreciation, but not costs of shared services.

4 We define adjusted other SG&A expenses as selling and distribution expenses plus administrative expenses and other operating expenses less other operating income, but excluding marketing and fulfillment costs; adjusted to exclude share-based compensation expenses, acquisition, integration and expansion costs and IPO related expenses and income.

5 Adjusted to exclude cash settled share-based compensation expenses resulting from virtual stock option programs (VSOP), IPO related expenses, acquisition and integration costs as well as costs for reorganization and restructurings under corporate law.

Strong liquidity position

Operational and other improvements

Enterprise Resource
Planning
(ERP) Upgrade

Migration from Microsoft Navision 2009 to Microsoft AX 2015

Intensive preparation and testing phase almost completed

Go-live planned for April 1
New Shopsystem /
Micro-services

Pannolini and nakiki shop already upgraded

Other shops
to
follow in the
course
of
2016

To allow for agile development processes

Enables faster roll-out of multiple countries and languages
Head of
Sourcing

Head of sourcing hired (previously with consulting firm
specialized on sourcing)

Focus on centralizing sourcing across shops and regions
Warehouse Move
Switzerland

Strong reduction of Uster
warehouse in Switzerland to
save logistics costs

Move to Grossbeeren
warehouse in Germany in progress

Segment Financials

windeln.de now present in 10 European countries…

1 windeln.de management estimate for baby product market in Europe (0-6 years) based on Euromonitor data. 2 http://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/162133/umfrage/anzahl-der-geburten-in-europa

Highlights European market

  • ‒ Large adressable market: €56.5bn1
  • ‒ High number of births: 5m annually2
  • ‒ Fragmented market structure
  • ‒ Increasing online penetration

Windeln.de Group leadership

  • ‒ 955' active customers Dec-15
  • ‒ 698' orders in 2015
  • ‒ EUR 179m revenues in 2015
  • ‒ Q4 2015 annualized: EUR 241m

…with revenues growth across our regions

Note: Growth rates Q4 2014 to Q4 2015 based on net merchandise value (same calculation methodology as in 2015).

Increasing contribution from European business

International shops adding strong growth…

…also in Q4

Margin development consistentwith expansion plan

Outlook 2016

Strong outlook into 2016

2015 Outlook
2016
Outlook 2016 Business
model
potential
Revenues
(€, % yoy
growth)
€179m
+76%
approx.
+50%
Increasing online penetration
l
Higher growth in "new" markets
l
Decreasing growth rates due to
l
larger basis
€1bn+
Gross Profit
Margin %
26.4% 28+% Better purchasing terms due to scale
l
Positive full year impact from China
l
Direct Delivery
>30%
Adj. EBIT
Margin %
(8.5)% (6) to (8)% Improving adj. EBIT margins
l
Continuous improvement in existing
l
businesses / German Shop
Earnings "dilution" due to European
l
expansion (but at improving margins)
>5%

Appendix

Selected key performance metrics - Definitions

  • 1) We define Site Visits as the number of series of page requests from the same device and source in the measurement period and include visits to our online magazine. A visit is considered ended when no requests have been recorded in more than 30 minutes. The number of site visits depends on a number of factors including the availability of the products we offer, the level and effectiveness of our marketing campaigns and the popularity of our online shops. Measured by Google Analytics.
  • 2) We define Mobile Visit Share (in % of Site Visits) as the number of visits via mobile devices (smartphones and tablets) to our mobile optimized websites divided by the total number of Site Visits in the measurement period. We have excluded visits to our online magazine and visits from China. We exclude visits from China because the most common online translation services on which most of our customers who order for delivery to China rely to translate our website content are not able to do so from their mobile devices, and therefore very few of such customers order from their mobile devices. Measured by Google Analytics.
  • 3) We define Mobile Orders (in % of Number of Orders) as the number of orders via mobile devices to our mobile optimized websites divided by the total Number of Orders in the measurement period. We have excluded orders from China. Measured by Google Analytics.
  • 4) We define Active Customers as the number of customers placing at least one order in the 12 months preceding the end of the measurement period, irrespective of returns.
  • 5) We define Number of Orders as the number of customer orders placed in the measurement period irrespective of returns. An order is counted on the day the customer places the order. Orders placed and orders delivered may differ due to orders that are in transit at the end of the measurement period or have been cancelled. Every order which has been placed, but for which the products in the order have not been shipped (e.g., the products are not available or the customer cancels the order), is considered ''cancelled''.
  • 6) We define Average Orders per Active Customer as Number of Orders divided by the number of Active Customers in the measurement period.
  • 7) We define Orders from Repeat Customers as the number of orders from customers who have placed at least one previous order, irrespective of returns.
  • 8) We define Share of Repeat Customer Orders as the number of orders from Repeat Customers divided by the Number of Orders during the measurement period.
  • 9) We define Gross Order Intake as the aggregate Euro amount of customer orders placed in the measurement period minus cancellations. The Euro amount includes value added tax and excludes marketing rebates.
  • 10) We define Average Order Value as Gross Order Intake divided by the Number of Orders in the measurement period.
  • 11) We define Returns (in % of Net Merchandise Value) as the Net Merchandise Value of items returned divided by Net Merchandise Value in the measurement period.

Income statement

In €k 2015 2014 Q4 2015 Q4 2014
Revenues 178,602 101,324 60,290 34,201
% growth 76.3% 76.3%
Cost of sales
Gross profit 47,115 23,455 16,919 8,192
% margin 26.4% 23.1% 28.1% 24.0%
Selling and distribution expenses -53,877 -26,668 -19,755 -8.198
Administrative expenses -23,332 -8,678 -8,457 -6166
Other operating income 3,164 267 232 90
Other operating expenses -569 -99 -167 -73
EBIT -27,499 -11,723 -11,228 -2,499
% margin -15.4% -11.6% -18.6% -7.3%
Financial result -2,910 2,138 -2,404 -665
EBT -30,409 -9,585 -13,632 -3,165
% margin -17.0% -9.5% -22.6% -9.2%
Income taxes 5 -242 1,600 -160
Profit or loss for the period -30,404 -9,827 -12,032 -3,325
% margin -17.0% -9.7% -20.0% -9.7%
EBIT -27,499 -11,723 -11,228 -2,499
Share-based
compensation
10,727 3,419 4,850 920
Acquisition,
integration
and
expansion
costs
1.951 - 694 -
IPO related
expenses
-430 217 7 217
Corporate reorganisation 112 - 112 -

Adjusted EBIT1 -15,139 -8,087 -5,565 -1,362 % margin -8.5% -8.0% -9.2% -4.0%

1 Adjusted to exclude cash settled share-based compensation expenses resulting from virtual stock option programs (VSOP), IPO related expenses, acquisition and integration costs as well as costs for reorganization and restructurings under corporate law.

Balance sheet and cash flow statement

Consolidated statement of financial position
In €k Dec 2014 Dez
2015
Total non-current assets 4,523 34,086
Inventories 10,754 27,099
Prepayments 285 1,670
Trade receivables 1,725 2,469
Miscellaneous other current assets1 5,927 5,457
Cash and cash equivalents 33,830 88,678
Total current assets 52,521 125,373
Total assets 57,044 159,459
Issued capital 163 25,746
Share premium 68,911 154,046
Accumulated loss -34,488 -64,892
Cumulated other comprehensive income 35 -22
Total equity 34,621 114,878
Total non-current liabilities 6,813 10,208
Other provisions 1,246 2,221
Financial liabilities 1,532 41
Trade payables 8,830 18,137
Deferred revenue 1,986 4,352
Miscellaneous current liabilities2 2,017 9,622
Total current liabilities 15,610 34,373
Total equity & liabilities 57,044 159,459
Consolidated statement of cash flows
In €k 2015 2014
Net cash flows from/used in operating
activities
-22,244 -6,064
Net cash flows from/used in investing activities -16,271 -1,234
Net cash flows from/used in financing activities 93,356 40,861
Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of
the period
33,830 267
Net increase/decrease in cash and cash
equivalents
54,841 33,563
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the
period
88,678 33,830

1 Miscellaneous other current assets include income tax receivables, current other financial assets and current other non-financial assets.

2 Miscellaneous other current liabilities include income tax payables, current other financial liabilities and current other non-financial liabilities.

Selected business segment and geographic data

Business segments Geographic region
In €k 2015 2014 Q4 2015 Q4 2014
Revenues 178,602 101,324 60,290 34,201
German Shop 140,255 88,768 43,082 29,815
International Shops 20,739 3,776 11,971 1,376
Shopping Clubs 17,608 8,780 5,238 3,013
Adj. EBIT1,2 -15,139 -8,087 -5,565 -1,362
German Shop Adj. EBIT
contribution
5,630 1,916 1,777 1,530
International Shops Adj.
EBIT contribution
-5,392 -1,660 -2,747 -212
Shopping
Clubs
Adj. EBIT
contribution
-5,810 -2,601 -1,640 -870
In €k 2015 2014 15/14 Q4 15/146
Revenues 178,602 101,324 +76% +76%
DACH3 71,791 44,040 +63% +53%
China4 91,147 55,666 +64% +52%
Rest of Europe5 15,664 1,618 +868% +724%

1 Adjusted to exclude cash settled share-based compensation expenses resulting from virtual stock option programs (VSOP) and IPO related expenses, acquisition and integration costs as well as costs for reorganization and restructurings under corporate law.

2 Adjusted EBIT at the Group level does not correspond to the sum of the Adjusted EBIT Contributions of the "German Shop", "International Shops" and "Shopping Clubs" business segments because (a) certain income/expenses relating to shared services are managed and contracted on a central basis and not allocated to the business segments and (b) effects resulting from intersegment transactions are eliminated at the Group level.

3 Our "DACH" geographic region consists of that part of our business that generates product and services revenues from customers ordering for delivery to Germany, Austria and Switzerland.

4 Our "China" geographic region consists of that part of our business that generates product and services revenues from customers ordering for delivery to China.

5 Our "Other/rest of Europe" geographic region consists of that part of our business that generates product and services revenues from customers ordering for delivery to countries other than Germany, Austria, Switzerland and China.

6 Growth rates Q4 2014 to Q4 2015 based on net merchandise value (same calculation methodology as in 2015)