AI assistant
windeln.de SE — Earnings Release 2016
May 24, 2016
490_ip_2016-05-24_49a68a75-3a97-4fea-841e-b9cbfcf5e988.PDF
Earnings Release
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
First quarter 2016 results
May 24th, 2016
Disclaimer
This document has been issued by windeln.de AG (the "Company") and does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities of the Company, nor shall any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form part of or be relied on in connection with any contract or investment decision relating thereto, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company or any present or future member of the group.
All information contained herein has been carefully prepared. However, no reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this document or on its completeness. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained in this document and no liability whatsoever is accepted by the Company or any of its directors, officers or employees nor any other person for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of such information or opinions or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
The information contained in this presentation is subject to amendment, revision and updating. Certain statements, beliefs and opinions in this document are forward-looking, which reflect the Company's or, as appropriate, senior management's current expectations and projections about future events. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Forward-looking statements contained in this document regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. The Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this document.
This document is not an offer of securities for sale in the United States of America. Securities may not be offered or sold in the United States of America absent registration or an exemption from registration under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Neither this document nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United States of America, its territories or possessions or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States of America, its territories or possessions or to any US person.
By attending, reviewing or consulting the presentation to which this document relates or by accepting this document you will be taken to have represented, warranted and undertaken that you have read and agree to comply with the contents of this notice.
Nothing in this document constitutes tax advice. Persons should seek tax advice from their own consultants or advisors when making investment decisions.
Summary
First Quarter 2016 Financial Update
- More than 1 million active customers
- Revenues growth of 46% year over year
- Share of European businesses increased to 21% of revenues
- Gross margin continues to improve to 28.6%
- Adjusted EBIT margin impacted by slower growth in Chinese business
- Strong liquidity with EUR 79 million cash plus EUR 14 million max. borrowing base credit facility
Business Update
- New regulation in China leads to customer uncertainty but should medium-term be positive
- Migration of ERP system almost completed but with temporary impact on April / May performance
- Integration of feedo and bebitus progressing
- Various private label initiatives across product categories
- Chinese current trading leads to revised 2016 outlook of 30% revenues growth yoy, gross profit margin of 28+% and adjusted EBIT margin of -10% to -12%
Revenues growth across our regions…
…and across our business segments
The diversification of revenues continues
KPIs continued to improve in Q1 2016
1 Number of customers who placed an order within the last twelve months.
2 NPS measures the loyalty that exists between a provider and a consumer. NPS can be as low as -100 (everybody is a detractor) or as high as +100 (everybody is a promoter); Q1 2016 average for windeln.de Europe; (Q1 2016 average incl. China: NPS 69); tracked by windeln.de.
3 Number of orders from customers who had previously purchased from windeln.de at any point in time, irrespective of returns.
4 Refers to the share of repeat customer orders (in % of number of orders) that we define as the number of orders from repeat customers divided by the number of orders during the measurement period (last twelve months).
5 Number of orders divided by the number of active customers in the measurement period.
6 Order intake (incl. VAT and shipping) divided by total number of orders during respective year.
7 Share of mobile traffic from non-Chinese customers; does not include traffic on the windeln.de magazine.
Margin development impacted by Chinese business…
…with impact on overall business
1 Adj. fulfillment costs comprise logistics and related rental expenses.
- 2 Adj. Net Fulfillment costs are defined as Revenues and Fulfillment costs less shipping income.
- 3 Marketing costs consist mainly of advertising expenses, including search engine marketing, online display and other marketing channel expenses, as well as costs for our marketing tools, which include tools for automated SEA bidding and multivariate landing page optimization, and allocated overhead costs, but not costs related to our loyalty program. Allocated overhead costs include rent and depreciation, but not costs of shared services.
- 4 We define adjusted other SG&A expenses as selling and distribution expenses plus administrative expenses and other operating expenses less other operating income, but excluding marketing and fulfillment costs; adjusted to exclude share-based compensation expenses, acquisition, integration and expansion costs and IPO related expenses and income.
- 9 5 Adjusted to exclude cash settled share-based compensation expenses resulting from virtual stock option programs (VSOP), IPO related expenses, acquisition and integration costs as well as costs for reorganization and restructurings under corporate law.
Liquidity position remains strong
The new regulation in China led to a significant impact on our business in April and May
China Gross Order Intake (2016)
- Customer uncertainty since introduction of new regulation on April 8th
- ‒ Many regulation details not specified
- ‒ Practical implication not clear
- Slight increase in taxation for delivery routes used by windeln.de
- Medium term opportunity for windeln.de as traders from free trade zones are taxed
1 May numbers extrapolated based on data until May 19.
The new regulation in China should be positive for windeln.de medium-term
| Sent from Germany directly to end customer | Sent from free trade zone to customer |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Postal model Delivery duties unpaid (DDU) |
Shipping model Delivery duties paid (DDP) |
Free Trade Zone model | Regular trade |
||
| Used by windeln.de |
✓ | ✓ | x | x | |
| Customs data submission |
No electronic customs documents |
Electronic customs documents |
Electronic customs documents |
Electronic customs doc. |
|
| Order value limit | < 1,000 RMB | < 2,000 RMB (parcel value + shipping) |
< 2,000 RMB (parcel value + shipping) |
> 2,000 RMB | |
| Tariff | • Parcel Tax (but rarely checked and enforced by |
0% | 0% | 15%, 30%, 60% |
|
| VAT / Import tax / Consumer tax |
customs) • Infant milk formula: 15% • Textile: 30% |
Baby & mother products, Infant Milk Formula: 11.9% |
Baby & mother products, Infant Milk Formula: 11.9% |
17% (VAT + import tax) + consumer tax |
|
| Product group required on "Positive List" list |
not relevant | relevant, possibly pushed out |
relevant, possibly pushed out |
relevant, possibly pushed out |
|
| Relevant changes: | • Tax for Infant milk formula raised from 10% to 15% |
• Order value limit raised from 1,000 to 2,000 RMB • Tax raised: 10% to 11.9% |
• Now required to label products in Chinese • Customs always to be paid as 50 RMB threshold falls away |
• Tariffs raised |
The migration of the ERP system is beneficiary to the company - but as expected temporarily negative
Positive:
- Scalable solution
- Faster order processing from shop to fulfilment
- Faster inventory update to shop
- Standard operation (sending packages) worked right from the start
Negative:
- Delay in return and payment processing
- Purchase proposals generated by new ERP system too small, leading to oversold and sold out products
- Struggling in customer communication due to not processed responses from warehouses
Negative impact on customer satisfaction
windeln.de project landscape for profitability increase and revenue upside
PIM, etc.)
| Already initiated | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Integration: 1 feedo & bebitus |
2 China Initiatives |
3 Private label |
|
| • Implementation of windeln's systems and processes (i.e. ERP, Shop system, CMS, |
• Improvements Direct Delivery • Own shop on Tmall |
• Introduction of new products across categories within the next months |
+ all cost positions under review |
| Started | Tender completed | Currently reviewed | Project started |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central 4 Purchasing |
Warehouse 5 Optimization |
Customer 6 Service |
Product data 7 management |
| • Group-wide negotiations and purchasing for key suppliers |
• Move to low-cost country • Process optimization |
• Optimization via tools and automatization (e.g. returns portal) |
• Low-cost country • Centralization • Translation automatization |
(consumables, non
consumables)
Integration of bebitus and feedo progressing 1
| Department | Today | After Integration | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marketing | • SEO, SEM, promotions, newsletter, affiliate, graphics, social media |
• Promotions, newsletter, social media |
|
| Operations | • Warehouse, buying, debitor mgmt. |
• Local warehouse |
|
| al c o |
Customer Service | st and 2nd • 1 Level |
st and 2nd • 1 Level |
| L | Category mgmt. | • Assortment, pricing, data entry |
• Local assortment |
| IT | • Bug Fixing, IT features, maintenance |
||
| Admin | • Accounting, Controlling, HR |
• Payroll, local HR |
|
| Individual systems: shop, product mgmt. | Common ERP, PIM, Shop, DWH, CRM | ||
| Marketing | • SEO, SEM, tools |
||
| Operations | • Purchasing, debtor mgmt., central warehouse |
||
| p u |
Customer Service | • 3 rd level |
|
| o Gr |
Category mgmt. | • Key suppliers, long tail, data entry, automatic pricing |
|
| IT | • Bugs, features, maintenance |
||
| Admin | • Controlling, consolidation, supplier mgmt. |
• Finance, Controlling, BI, Legal |
15
| Foreign online-shops market |
Local online shops market in China | |
|---|---|---|
| Description | Customers buy foreign products from platform in foreign country (e.g. windeln.de) |
Customers buy foreign products from local platform in China (e.g. Tmall, Taobao, JD) |
| Supplied by windeln.de |
✓ | X (planned) |
| Growth in 2015 | approx. 15% | approx. 100% |
| Shipping time | 2-3 weeks |
2-4 days |
| Assortment | Full assortment | Relatively small assortment per shop |
| Customers trust in product authenticity |
Customers are sure that products are genuine | Growing trust due to more exclusive platforms (e.g. Tmall Global) |
| Improve existing offering |
First step: Open a Tmall Store |
|
| • Shop performance • Direct Delivery optimization • Improved customs handling |
• Tmall Global is Chinas biggest B2C marketplace for cross border ecommerce • Use windeln.de express delivery fulfilled from Germany (shipping time of 1 week) |
- Same prices as in German Shop
- Fees to Tmall and Tmall Partner but no marketing
- Assortment: 400 selected best sellers
We changed our guidance because of lower China growth expectations
91 75 12 91 75 12 + 55m + 65% + 0m + 0% +50% yoy +30% yoy 2016 Guidance old China 2016 Guidance new Revenues c. 235m c. 265m 178m 178m + 30m + 33% + 55m + 65% 26% 28+% 26% 28+% -8.5% -6% to -8% -8.5% -10% to -12% Gross Profit Margin • China business flat • Expectations for Europe unchanged • Full year consolidation feedo and bebitus 2015 2016G 2015 2016G Revenues Gross Profit Margin Adj. EBIT Margin • Less revenues from China (incl. shipping) • Margin improvement on all other businesses • Negative leverage effect on cost ratio due to lower Chinese revenues • Full year consolidation feedo and bebitus Adj. EBIT Margin
17
Appendix
KPIs quarter over quarter
Consolidation
Consolidation
| of Feedo | of Bebitus | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 '12 | Q2 '12 | Q3 '12 | Q4 '12 | Q1 '13 | Q2 '13 | Q3 '13 | Q4 '13 | Q1 '14 | Q2 '14 | Q3 '14 | Q4 '14 | Q1 '15 | Q2 '15 | Q3'15 | Q4'15 | Q1'16 | |
| Site Visits (in thousand) ¹ |
1,385 | 1,697 | 2,263 | 2,837 | 4,682 | 6,120 | 5,759 | 5,874 | 7,323 | 8,483 | 10,647 | 12,459 | 14,299 | 14,785 | 18,516 | 24,014 | 27,478 |
| Mobile Visit Share (in % of Site Visits) 2 |
9.9% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 26.2% | 32.6% | 39.3% | 42.0% | 47.9% | 52.7% | 58.2% | 60.5% | 65.5% | 66.5% | 64.2% | 61.9% | 65.2% |
| Mobile Orders (in % of Number of Orders) 3 |
6.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 21.2% | 26.8% | 27.8% | 32.7% | 37.3% | 41.2% | 42.3% | 46.7% | 47.6% | 45.8% | 43.6% | 47.4% |
| Active Customers (in thousand) 4 |
92 | 117 | 142 | 163 | 194 | 229 | 259 | 290 | 334 | 372 | 430 | 496 | 556 | 613 | 743 | 955 | 1,009 |
| Number of Orders (in thousand) 5 |
62 | 78 | 92 | 114 | 154 | 198 | 202 | 219 | 273 | 303 | 363 | 416 | 454 | 460 | 575 | 698 | 708 |
| Average Orders per Active Customer (in number of orders) 6 |
1.8 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| Orders from Repeat Customers (in thousand) 7 |
36 | 48 | 58 | 82 | 114 | 153 | 158 | 175 | 211 | 238 | 286 | 328 | 350 | 369 | 453 | 479 | 525 525 |
| Share of Repeat Customer Orders (in % of Number of Orders) 8 |
59.1% | 62.0% | 63.6% | 71.7% | 73.9% | 77.5% | 78.0% | 79.7% | 77.2% | 78.7% | 78.8% | 78.9% | 83.6% | 83.8% | 83.3% | 81.4% | 80.1% |
| Gross Order Intake (in € thousand) 9 |
4,188 | 5,638 | 7,148 | 9,862 | 12,209 | 15,034 | 15,676 | 18,226 | 23,241 | 26,208 | 32,111 | 38,891 | 41,970 | 44,133 | 50,306 | 62,880 | 63,778 |
| Average Order Value (in €) 10 |
67.9 | 72.6 | 77.9 | 86.3 | 79.3 | 76.1 | 77.5 | 83.2 | 85.2 | 86.6 | 88.5 | 93.5 | 92.5 | 95.9 | 87.5 | 90.1 | 90.4 |
| Returns (in % of Net Merchandise Value) 11 |
4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 1 7.0% |
Key performance indicators - Definitions
- 1) We define Site Visits as the number of series of page requests from the same device and source in the measurement period and include visits to our online magazine. A visit is considered ended when no requests have been recorded in more than 30 minutes. The number of site visits depends on a number of factors including the availability of the products we offer, the level and effectiveness of our marketing campaigns and the popularity of our online shops. Measured by Google Analytics.
- 2) We define Mobile Visit Share (in % of Site Visits) as the number of visits via mobile devices (smartphones and tablets) to our mobile optimized websites divided by the total number of Site Visits in the measurement period. We have excluded visits to our online magazine and visits from China. We exclude visits from China because the most common online translation services on which most of our customers who order for delivery to China rely to translate our website content are not able to do so from their mobile devices, and therefore very few of such customers order from their mobile devices. Measured by Google Analytics.
- 3) We define Mobile Orders (in % of Number of Orders) as the number of orders via mobile devices to our mobile optimized websites divided by the total Number of Orders in the measurement period. We have excluded orders from China. Measured by Google Analytics.
- 4) We define Active Customers as the number of customers placing at least one order in the 12 months preceding the end of the measurement period, irrespective of returns.
- 5) We define Number of Orders as the number of customer orders placed in the measurement period irrespective of returns. An order is counted on the day the customer places the order. Orders placed and orders delivered may differ due to orders that are in transit at the end of the measurement period or have been cancelled. Every order which has been placed, but for which the products in the order have not been shipped (e.g., the products are not available or the customer cancels the order), is considered ''cancelled''.
- 6) We define Average Orders per Active Customer as Number of Orders divided by the number of Active Customers in the measurement period.
- 7) We define Orders from Repeat Customers as the number of orders from customers who have placed at least one previous order, irrespective of returns.
- 8) We define Share of Repeat Customer Orders as the number of orders from Repeat Customers divided by the Number of Orders during the measurement period.
- 9) We define Gross Order Intake as the aggregate Euro amount of customer orders placed in the measurement period minus cancellations. The Euro amount includes value added tax and excludes marketing rebates.
- 10) We define Average Order Value as Gross Order Intake divided by the Number of Orders in the measurement period.
- 11) We define Returns (in % of Net Merchandise Value) as the Net Merchandise Value of items returned divided by Net Merchandise Value in the measurement period. Without Bebitus and Feedo returns.
Selected business segment and geographic data
| Business segments | Geographic region | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In €k | FY 2015 | Q1 2016 | Q1 2015 R* | ||
| Revenues | 178,602 | 52,132 | 35,649 | ||
| German Shop | 140,255 | 34,795 | 30,698 | ||
| International Shops | 20,739 | 12,244 | 1,402 | ||
| Shopping Clubs | 17,608 | 5,093 | 3,549 | ||
| Adj. EBIT1,2 | -15,139 | -7,694 | -1,276 | ||
| German Shop Adj. EBIT contribution |
5,630 | -231 | 1,703 | ||
| International Shops Adj. EBIT contribution |
-5,392 | -2,903 | -534 | ||
| Shopping Clubs Adj. EBIT contribution |
-5,810 | -1,226 | -773 | ||
| Reconciling item to adjusted Group EBIT |
-9,567 | -3,334 | -1,672 |
| In €k | FY 2015 | Q1 2016 | Q1 2015 R7 | Q1 16/156 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 178,602 | 52,132 | 35,649 | +46% | ||||
| DACH3 | 71,791 | 19,225 | 15,443 | +25% | ||||
| China4 | 91,147 | 21,778 | 19,578 | +11% | ||||
| Rest of Europe5 | 15,664 | 11,129 | 628 | +1672% |
1 Adjusted to exclude cash settled share-based compensation expenses resulting from virtual stock option programs (VSOP) and IPO related expenses, acquisition and integration costs as well as costs for reorganization and restructurings under corporate law.
2 Adjusted EBIT at the Group level does not correspond to the sum of the Adjusted EBIT Contributions of the "German Shop", "International Shops" and "Shopping Clubs" business segments because (a) certain income/expenses relating to shared services are managed and contracted on a central basis and not allocated to the business segments and (b) effects resulting from intersegment transactions are eliminated at the Group level.
3 Our "DACH" geographic region consists of that part of our business that generates product and services revenues from customers ordering for delivery to Germany, Austria and Switzerland.
4 Our "China" geographic region consists of that part of our business that generates product and services revenues from customers ordering for delivery to China.
5 Our "Other/rest of Europe" geographic region consists of that part of our business that generates product and services revenues from customers ordering for delivery to countries other than Germany, Austria, Switzerland and China.
6 Growth rates Q1 2015 to Q1 2016 based on net merchandise value (same calculation methodology as in 2015)
7 In the comparative period Q1 2015 share based payments have been restated. For further information please refer to the Nine Months Report 2015.
Income statement
Q1 2015: Limited comparability due to no China direct delivery
| In €k | Q1 2015 R* | 2015 | Q4 2015 | Q1 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 35,649 | 178,602 | 60,290 | 52,132 | Gross Profit Margin: |
| % growth yoy | 86.8% | 76.3% | 76.3% | 46.2% | Continued focus on |
| Cost of sales | 26.520 | 131.487 | 43.371 | 37.206 | increasing purchasing |
| Gross profit | 9,129 | 47,115 | 16,919 | 14,926 | conditions |
| % margin | 25.6% | 26.4% | 28.1% | 28.6% | |
| Selling and distribution expenses | -9,173 | -53,877 | -19,755 | -19,772 | Selling & Distribution |
| Administrative expenses | -6,362 | -23,332 | -8,457 | -5,986 | Expenses: Lower |
| Other operating income | 386 | 3,164 | 232 | 1,171 | China share impacts |
| Other operating expenses | -263 | -569 | -167 | -83 | AOV / fulfilment / |
| EBIT | -6,283 | -27,499 | -11,228 | -9,744 | mktg.costs |
| % margin | -17.6% | -15.4% | -18.6% | -18.7% | |
| Financial result | -9 | -2,910 | -2,404 | 49 | |
| EBT | -6,292 | -30,409 | -13,632 | -9,695 | Selling & Distribution |
| % margin | -17.6% | -17.0% | -22.6% | -18.6% | Expenses: SG&A |
| Income taxes | -195 | 5 | 1,600 | 0 | planned for higher |
| Profit or loss for the period | -6,487 | -30,404 | -12,032 | -9,695 | growth; under review |
| % margin | -18.2% | -17.0% | -20.0% | -18.6% | with new guidance |
| Corporate | |||||
| EBIT | -6,283 | -27,499 | -11,228 | -9,744 | reorganisation: |
| Share-based compensation |
3,976 | 10,727 | 4,850 | 2,322 | SE Conversion |
| Acquisition, integration and expansion costs |
105 | 1,426 | 169 | -585 | |
| IPO related expenses |
926 | -430 | 7 | - | |
| Corporate reorganization and restructuring |
- | 637 | 637 | 313 | Impact also from full |
| EBIT1 Adjusted |
-1,276 | -15,139 | -5,565 | -7,694 | year consolidation of |
| % margin | -3.6% | -8.5% | -9.2% | -14.8% | feedo and bebitus |
1 Adjusted to exclude cash settled share-based compensation expenses resulting from virtual stock option programs (VSOP), IPO related expenses, acquisition and integration costs as well as costs for reorganization and restructurings under corporate law.
2 In the comparative period Q1 2015 share based payments have been restated. For further information please refer to the Nine Months Report 2015.
Balance sheet and cash flow statement
Consolidated statement of financial position
| In €k | March 2016 | December 2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Total non-current assets | 35,078 | 34,086 |
| Inventories | 28,158 | 27,099 |
| Prepayments | 653 | 1,670 |
| Trade receivables | 1,361 | 2,469 |
| Miscellaneous other current assets1 | 6,010 | 5,457 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 78,730 | 88,678 |
| Total current assets | 114,912 | 125,373 |
| Total assets | 149,990 | 159,459 |
| Issued capital | 26,283 | 25,746 |
| Share premium | 156,276 | 154,046 |
| Accumulated loss | -74,587 | -64,892 |
| Cumulated other comprehensive income | 6 | -22 |
| Total equity | 107,978 | 114,878 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 9,027 | 10,208 |
| Other provisions | 2,322 | 2,221 |
| Financial liabilities | 42 | 41 |
| Trade payables | 14,456 | 18,137 |
| Deferred revenue | 4,797 | 4,352 |
| Miscellaneous current liabilities2 | 11,368 | 9,622 |
| Total current liabilities | 32,985 | 34,373 |
| Total equity & liabilities | 149,990 | 159,459 |
| Consolidated statement of cash flows | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In €k | Q1 2016 | Q1 2015 R3 | |||||
| Net cash flows from/used in operating activities |
-9,033 | 1,202 | |||||
| Net cash flows from/used in investing activities | -896 | -585 | |||||
| Net cash flows from/used in financing activities | -19 | -1,382 | |||||
| Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period |
88,678 | 33,830 | |||||
| Net increase/decrease in cash and cash equivalents |
-9,948 | -765 | |||||
| Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period |
78,730 | 33,065 |
1 Miscellaneous other current assets include income tax receivables, current other financial assets and current other non-financial assets.
2 Miscellaneous other current liabilities include income tax payables, current other financial liabilities and current other non-financial liabilities.
3 In the comparative period Q1 2015 share based payments have been restated. For further information please refer to the Nine Months Report 2015.