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WAM ACTIVE LIMITED — Investor Presentation 2015
Nov 18, 2015
66032_rns_2015-11-18_518af68a-02f7-4cdd-8030-c119bf82be54.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Investor Presentation
November/December 2015
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Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared for use in conjunction with a verbal presentation and should be read in that context. Information for the graphs, charts and quoted indices contained in this presentation has been sourced from Mintel, IRESS Market Technology, Wilson Asset Management (International) Pty Ltd, WAM Capital Ltd, WAM Research Ltd, WAM Active Ltd, Future Generation Investment Company Ltd, and Future Generation Global Investment Company Ltd unless otherwise stated. The information in this presentation is only intended for Australian residents. The purpose of this presentation is to provide information only and the contents of the presentation does not purport to provide investment advice. We strongly suggest that investors consult a financial advisor prior to making any investment decision. The presentation does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any person and should not be used as the basis for making investment, financial or other decisions. The information is selective and may not be complete or accurate for your particular purposes and should not be construed as a recommendation to invest in any particular investment or security, or Fund offered by Wilson Asset Management (International) Pty Ltd. The information provided in the presentation is given in good faith and is believed to be accurate at the time of compilation. Neither Wilson Asset Management (International) Pty Ltd, WAM Capital Ltd, WAM Research Ltd and WAM Active Ltd nor its directors or employees make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy, reliability, timeliness or completeness of the information. To the extent permissible by law, Wilson Asset Management, WAM Capital Ltd, WAM Research Ltd and WAM Active Ltd and its director and employees disclaim all liability (whether arising in contract, tort, negligence or otherwise) for any error, omission, loss or damage (whether direct, indirect, consequential or otherwise). Performance figures quoted in the report are past performance. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. Neither Wilson Asset Management (International) Pty Ltd, WAM Capital Ltd, WAM Research Ltd and WAM Active Ltd nor its directors or employees guarantee or make any representation as to the performance of the Funds, the maintenance or repayment of capital, the price at which shares may trade or any particular rate of return.
Agenda
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1 About Wilson Asset Management
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2 Market overview and outlook
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3 Investment themes and trends
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4 Investment portfolio
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5 Performance:
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WAM Capital Limited
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WAM Research Limited
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WAM Active Limited
6 Making a difference
- 7 Investor communication
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About Wilson Asset Management
About Wilson Asset Management
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Our team is passionate about making a difference
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We are innovative, agile and entrepreneurial . Our investment approach and results are proven
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We invest our time and expertise in causes that resonate with us
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- We value shareholder engagement, work-life balance, efficiency, teamwork, fun and humour, and employee fulfilment
Winner of the Listed Investment Companies category at the Professional Planner / Zenith Fund Awards 2014 and 2015
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Experienced team
Geoff Wilson
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B Sc GMQ FAICD FFinsia Chairman / Portfolio Manager
Kate Thorley B Com CPA Grad Dip ACG Chief Executive Officer / Company Secretary
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Chris Stott
B Bus Grad Dip App Fin Chief Investment Officer / Portfolio Manager
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Matthew Haupt CFA B Com Grad Dip App Fin Portfolio Manager
Martin Hickson B Bus B Comp Senior Equity Analyst / Dealer
Tobias Yao CFA B Com Equity Analyst
6
Our listed investment companies
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| WAM Capital (ASX: WAM) WAM Research (ASX: WAX) WAM Active (ASX: WAA) |
WAM Capital (ASX: WAM) WAM Research (ASX: WAX) WAM Active (ASX: WAA) |
WAM Capital (ASX: WAM) WAM Research (ASX: WAX) WAM Active (ASX: WAA) |
WAM Capital (ASX: WAM) WAM Research (ASX: WAX) WAM Active (ASX: WAA) |
|---|---|---|---|
| *Gross assets ** | $870m | $210m | $36m |
| *Share price ** | $1.985 | $1.255 | $0.985 |
| Pre tax NTA | $1.87 | $1.17 | $1.01 |
| *Premium to NTA ** | 6.2% | 7.3% | -2.5% |
| Fully franked FY2015 *dividend yield ** |
7.1% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Investment strategy | Research driven / market driven |
Research driven | Market driven |
As at 31 October 2015 *As at 18 November 2015
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How we invest
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Research and market driven
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Research driven
Market driven
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Extensive company research (meeting 1,000+ companies per year) focused on forecasting free cashflows and rating investment attributes
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Buy when a catalyst is identified and sell when the company reaches our valuation
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Provides exposure to undervalued growth companies
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Scour the market for opportunities
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Allows sound return with a low correlation to traditional markets
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Provides the opportunity to perform in both bull and bear markets
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High portfolio turnover
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Flexibility to hold cash
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Low portfolio turnover
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Flexibility to hold cash
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Research driven investment process
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Investment universe 2,000+
Investment ideas
Preparation and company meetings (1,000+ p.a.)
Analysis: qualitative and quantitative
Stock rankings
Catalyst identified
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PORTFOLIO
20-60 stocks selected
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Detailed rating process
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This process has delivered strong outperformance in both rising and falling markets for almost two decades
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Qualitative analysis
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Rate management
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Rate industry/position
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Quantitative analysis
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Forecast two year earnings per share (EPS) growth
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Valuation measure: EPS / price to earnings (PE) ratio
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Investment decision making
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We buy only when a catalyst is identified
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We sell when our valuation is reached
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Flat team structure with investment decision making informed by 65 years’ collective experience
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WAM Leaders
Our disciplined investment rating process is applied to all listed equities
We are now looking to establish another listed investment company focused on companies within the ASX200
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We have traditionally invested c. 10% in Australian large cap companies
We look forward to sharing more with you soon
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Market overview and outlook
Market overview and outlook
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Have
resources
stocks
bottomed?
Below trend Housing has
economic peaked this
growth cycle
Further
interest rate
cuts?
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The state of the States
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Investment themes and trends
Taxi industry under threat
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Smartphone app-based ride sharing company, Uber, started in 2009 and is one of the fastestgrowing businesses in the world
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The company connects passengers and drivers who use their own private vehicles to provide cheap and clean taxi-like transportation
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Uber has hit the taxi industry – governments may intervene to protect taxi operators and recover associated revenue streams
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Uber is privately owned and we are unable to invest in it. We are not investing in the existing industry, avoiding companies like Cabcharge (ASX: CAB)
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Australia’s fitness obsession
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For many Australians ‘activewear’ has replaced casual wear given an increasing focus on health and fitness
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Australian activewear pioneer Lorna Jane’s revenue is approaching $200m growing at more than 30%
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This craze has led to the creation of wearable fitness tracking devices – Fitbit has sold more than 20m devices globally, priced between $US50 and $US350
Lorna Jane activewear growing at 30%
20m Fitbit products sold
- The Australian retail sector is benefiting from this trend and we are invested in RCG Corporation (ASX: RCG)
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Women having babies later in life
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Women are increasingly choosing to have children later in life and demand for assisted reproductive services has grown
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Virtus Health (ASX: VRT) and Monash IVF (ASX: MVF) dominate the Australian market performing the majority of IVF cycles and a combined market share of more than 70%. We own shares in Virtus Health
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The industry is maturing with low-cost operators, such as Primary Health Care (ASX: PRY) entering the market
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Western Sydney’s surge
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Western Sydney is the largest longterm growth corridor in Australia , with enormous potential and minimal existing infrastructure
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The median Western Sydney house price is at a 32% discount to the rest of Sydney even after rising in value, that discount is unlikely to continue with booming jobs and economic growth
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Massive infrastructure spending is both planned and underway , including Badgerys Creek Airport with the government working towards mid-2020 commencement of operations
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We believe property, logistics and infrastructure companies will provide the best exposure to this growth story. We own Qube Holdings (ASX: QUB)
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Growing Chinese consumption
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Australia’s exposure to China’s compelling growth story has continued through the end of the mining boom and into the free trade agreement
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Market research firm Mintel found 80% of urban Chinese consumers believe organic food is worth the additional cost and 56% report increasing their spending to obtain organic products
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- Chinese appetite for Australian health products is driving share prices of a2 Milk (ASX: A2M), Blackmores (ASX: BKL) and Bellamy’s (ASX: BAL). We own A2M and BKL shares
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Investment portfolio
Top holdings
| ASX Code | Company |
|---|---|
| HHV | Hunter Hall Global Value Limited* |
| ECX | Eclipx Group Limited^ |
| CYA | Century Australia Investments Limited* |
| ASB | Austal Limited^ |
| SIQ | Smartgroup Corporation Limited^ |
| NUF | Nufarm Limited* |
| IPH | IPH Limited^ |
| AOG | Aveo Group* |
| AAD | Ardent Leisure Group^ |
| CSV | CSG Limited^ |
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^ Research driven * Market driven
As at 31 October 2015
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What we like – research driven
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Eclipx Group (ASX: ECX)
- Established player in vehicle fleet leasing, fleet management and diversified financial services
Profile
- Market cap $770m
Background
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Forward PE of 14x
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EPS growth of 20%
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$1.7b and 80,000 vehicles assets under management or financed under various brands, such as Fleet partners and Fleet plus
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New business written
Catalysts
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Stronger than expected acquisition integration synergies
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Adjacent financial services opportunities
Risks
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Residual value and credit risk
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Contract losses
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$ Started buying in IPO at $2.30
3.7
3.2
2.7
2.2
Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15
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Source: Wilson Asset Management Research
What we like – market driven
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Nufarm (ASX: NUF)
- Global crop protection and seed technology company
Profile
- Market cap $2.2b
Background
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PE of 17.5x , EPS growth of 19%
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New management team recently joined the business, undertaking a large cost-out program
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New management team
Catalysts
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Large cost out program
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Large improvement in working capital
Risks
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Challenging economic industry conditions in Brazil
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Weather related risks
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Commenced buying at $8.07
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$
9
8.5
8
7.5
7
6.5
Jun-15 Jul-15 Oct-15
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Sep-15
Aug-15
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Source: Wilson Asset Management Research
What has worked – research driven
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The Reject Shop (ASX: TRS)
- One of Australia’s largest discount variety retailers
Profile
- Market cap $320m
Background
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PE of 18x
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EPS growth of 32%
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• 333 stores around Australia servicing price conscious consumers
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Success of the turnaround strategy demonstrated through:
Catalysts
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- Comparable sales growth
- Improvement in profitability
- Performance of the new store formats
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Risks • Consumer confidence
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Expanded product range over the Christmas period
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Started buying at $5.87 Added to holding at $5.30
$
13
11
9
7
5
Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15
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Source: Wilson Asset Management Research
What has worked – market driven
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Qantas Airways (ASX: QAN)
- Airline with multiple brands including Qantas, Jetstar, Qantas Link, Qantas Freight
Profile
- Market cap $7.5b
Background
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In FY14 the company reported a $2.8b loss, due to high operating costs, a poor operating environment and large asset write-downs
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Began a transformation program to turn the business around
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Catalysts
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Transformation plan ($2b in savings)
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$1b + reduction in net debt
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Falling oil price
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Reduced capacity growth
Risks
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Execution of turnaround strategy
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Unsuccessful enterprise bargaining agreement negotiations
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Reduction in domestic and international travel
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Start buying at $2.38 Sold at $3.40
$
4
3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5
Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15
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Source: Wilson Asset Management Research
What didn’t work – research driven
Retail Food Group Limited (ASX: RFG)
- Owner of portfolio of franchise brands and coffee roasting business
Profile
- Market Cap $740m
Background
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FY16 PE of 11x
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EPS growth 15%
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Catalysts
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Acquisition led growth path
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Diversification into coffee exposed businesses
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Opportunity to revamp and roll out new format stores
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Earnings upgrades
What went wrong
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The initial store number target changed
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Growth within the existing businesses were subdued
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Pizza category had fierce competition
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Focus changed to other opportunities than initial were flagged
Start buying at $4.70
Sold at average price of $4.31
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$
7.5
6.5
5.5
4.5
3.5
Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15
Source: Wilson Asset Management Research
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Performance
WAM Capital outperformance
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| Performance at 31 October 2015 (% pa) |
1 Yr | 3 Yrs | 5 Yrs | 10 Yrs | Since Inception (Aug 1999) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAM Investment Portfolio* | 19.4% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 18.0% |
| S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index |
0.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% |
| Outperformance | +19.0% | +9.1% | +8.6% | +7.6% | +10.0% |
*Investment performance and Index returns are before expenses, fees and taxes
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WAM Capital dividend growth
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WAM Capital dividends since inception
Cents per share
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18.0
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
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Ordinary fully franked dividend Special fully franked dividend Equal access share buy-back
The Board is committed to paying an increasing stream of fully franked dividends to shareholders, provided the Company has sufficient profit reserves and franking credits , and it is within prudent business practices
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utperformance
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| Performance at 31 October 2015 (% pa) |
1 Yr | 3 Yrs | 5 Yrs | Since change in investment strategy (July 2010) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAX Investment Portfolio* | 24.4% | 24.4% | 19.4% | 19.9% |
| S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index |
0.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% |
| Outperformance | +24.0% | +14.5% | +12.6% | +11.5% |
*Investment performance and Index returns are before expenses, fees and taxes
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WAM Research dividend growth
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WAM Research dividends since inception
Cents per share
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9.0
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
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Ordinary fully franked dividend
Special fully franked dividend
The Board is committed to paying an increasing stream of fully franked dividends to shareholders, provided the Company has sufficient profit reserves and franking credits , and it is within prudent business practices
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WAM Active outperformance
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| Performance at 31 October 2015 (% pa) |
1 Yr | 3 Yrs | 5 Yrs | Since Inception (Jan 08) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAA Investment Portfolio* | 13.3% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 12.6% |
| S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index |
0.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Outperformance | +12.9% | +3.7% | +4.9% | +10.7% |
| UBS Bank Bill Index (cash) | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% |
| Outperformance | +10.9% | +10.9% | +8.2% | +8.5% |
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*Investment performance and Index returns are before expenses, fees and taxes
WAM Active dividend growth
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WAM Active dividends since inception
Cents per share
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12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
Return of Capital Fully franked dividends
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The Board is committed to paying an increasing stream of fully franked dividends to shareholders, provided the Company has sufficient profit reserves and franking credits , and it is within prudent business practices
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Making a difference
Changes to franking put to rest?
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During the 2015 financial year we submitted our response to the Federal Government’s Tax Discussion Paper
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Our submission argued dividend imputation has significantly benefitted Australia’s financial system and should not be changed – we weren’t alone
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We will continue to monitor and engage in this debate during the 2016 financial year
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“There is strong support for reducing personal income and company tax rates, for abolishing state stamp duties and for maintaining dividend imputation from the 850 submissions received on the March discussion paper.”
General manager Roger Brake, Tax White Paper Taskforce, August 2015
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Future Generation Investment Company
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Future Generation Investment Company (ASX: FGX) announced for FY2015:
$1.644m
donation to charities focused on children at risk
$2.5m
management and performance fees saved
Fully franked 2.0c per share dividend to shareholders
Since inception the FGX investment portfolio has outperformed the market by
11.3%
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Future Generation Global Investment Company
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$302.1m raised
In September 2015, Future Generation Global Investment Company (ASX: FGG) listed on the Australian Securities Exchange after raising $302.1m
$3m to charity
FGG looks forward to making an annual donation of more than $3m to charities focused on youth mental health
To hear more about FGX and FGG please join us for the combined Future Generation presentation at 12.15pm
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Wilson Asset Management gives
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This year we launched an initiative empowering each staff member to identify causes close to them.
The management company then gifts financial support for a charitable donation.
So far our team has supported:
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All donations are made by Wilson Asset Management (the investment manager) and/or its staff, not the listed entities
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Volunteering
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Our team spent a day at volunteering at the Dandelion Support Network, which processes donated nursery equipment and children’s clothes local families
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Industry recognition
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This year, we won the Listed Investment Companies category at the Professional Planner / Zenith Fund Awards – the second year running
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Community investment
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All donations are made by Wilson Asset Management (the investment manager) and/or its staff, not the listed entities.
Investor communication
Investor communication
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Weekly emails Half yearly including market national investor update presentations
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Website Media wamfunds.com.au
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Monthly NTA announcement & investment update
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Industry conferences
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Half & full year financial results
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Independent research
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Website : www.wamfunds.com.au