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WAM ACTIVE LIMITED Investor Presentation 2008

Nov 18, 2008

66032_rns_2008-11-18_5a9d350c-1b62-4f7a-b337-fd134231a717.pdf

Investor Presentation

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WAM ACTIVE LIMITED (WAA) A.B.N. 49 126 420 719

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PRESENTATION NOVEMBER 2008

WAM ACTIVE LTD What is it?

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  • Trader for tax purposes

  • High turnover, actively managed fund

  • Concentrates on:

Corporate transactions - takeovers & restructuringsCapital raisingBlock tradesDiscount to assets arbitrageFranking credit arbitrageShort selling securities

WAM ACTIVE LTD OBJECTIVES

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  • Derive an absolute return over the

  • long term

Deliver investors an income stream in the form of fully franked dividends

  • Preserve the capital of the Company

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WAM ACTIVE LTD PERFORMANCE

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10
5
0
-
5
-10
-15
-20
-25
-30
-35
-40
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WAM Active Ltd - Gross Portfolio before all expenses, fees, taxes and dividends

All Ordinaries Accumulation Index

WAM ACTIVE LTD DIVIDENDS

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  • Intension is to pay an increasing fully franked dividend stream over time.

  • Dividends are only payable from retained earnings or current year profits of the company.

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PORTFOLIOSTRUCTURE PORTFOLIOSTRUCTURE PORTFOLIOSTRUCTURE PORTFOLIOSTRUCTURE

As at 31 October
As at 31 October
2008
Investment Type $m %
ListedEuities 264 191%
q
.

.
Term Deposits and Cash 11.18 80.9%
Total Long Portfolio 13.82 100.0%
Total Short Portfolio (-) -%
No.
Ordinary Shares on issue 15,400,101
Options on issue ($1 expire 17-06-09) 15,400,100

TOP 10 TRADING STOCKS

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% of
Code Company Market Value $ %
f L
o
ong
Portfolio
G
ross
Assets
CBA Commonwealth Bank of Australia 302,250 11.4% 2.2%
NAB National Australia Bank Ltd 269,888 10.2% 2.0%
ASX ASX Ltd 255,197 9.7% 1.8%
ANZ ANZ Banking Gro p Ltd
u
208 320
,
7 9%
.
1 5%
.
AMP AMP Ltd 155,440 5.9% 1.1%
SGP Stockland 148,875 5.6% 1.1%
ALZ Australand Property Group 141,600 5.4% 1.0%
MVU MatrixView Ltd 135,895 5.1% 1.0%
EBI Everest Babcock & Brown Alt. Inv Trust 131,610 5.0% 1.0%
ANZPB ANZ Banking Group Ltd Prefs 108,015 4.1% 0.8%

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WAA NTA vs Putting Money Into Index Fund

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$
1.05
1
0.95
0.9
0.85
0.8
0 75.
Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep-08
After Tax Index NTA
WAA NTA
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WAA NTA & Share Price History

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1.05
1.00
0.95
0.90
0.85
0.80
NTA Pre-tax NTA After-tax Share price
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GENERAL MARKET SLIDES

The following charts show the Australian an d US mar k ets are at t h e c h i n eapest Both markets have fallen many years. close to 50% in value at a time when interest rates are declining.

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- ASX200 VALUATION OF EQUITIES RELATIVE TO BONDS: MULTIPLE OF BOND YIELD TO EQUITY EARNINGS YIELDS

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2
1.8
EQUITIES RELATIVELY OVERVALUED
1.6
1.4
+1 Std Dev
1.2
Average
1
0.8
-1 Std Dev
0.6
EQUITIES RELATIVELY UNDERVALUED
0.4
0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8
Aug-9 Feb-9 Aug-9 Feb-9 Aug-9 Feb-9 Aug-9 Feb-9 Aug-9 Feb-9 Aug-9 Feb-9 Aug-9 Feb-9 Aug-9 Feb-9 Aug-9 Feb-9 Aug-9 Feb-0 Aug-0 Feb-0 Aug-0 Feb-0 Aug-0 Feb-0 Aug-0 Feb-0 Aug-0 Feb-0 Aug-0 Feb-0 Aug-0 Feb-0 Aug-0 Feb-0 Aug-0
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Source: GSJBW Research estimates

- ASX200 Industrial VALUATION OF EQUITIES RELATIVE TO BONDS: MULTIPLE OF BOND YIELD TO EQUITY EARNINGS YIELDS

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1.6
EQUITIES RELATIVELY OVERVALUED
1.4
1.2 +1 Std Dev
Average
1
0.8
-1 Std Dev
0.6
EQUITIES RELATIVELY UNDERVALUED
0.4
ug-90 A Feb-91 ug-91 A Feb-92 ug-92 A Feb-93 ug-93 A Feb-94 ug-94 A Feb-95 ug-95 A Feb-96 ug-96 A Feb-97 ug-97 A Feb-98 ug-98 A Feb-99 ug-99 A Feb-00 ug-00 A Feb-01 ug-01 A Feb-02 ug-02 A Feb-03 ug-03 A Feb-04 ug-04 A Feb-05 ug-05 A Feb-06 ug-06 A Feb-07 ug-07 A Feb-08 ug-08 A
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Source: GSJBW Research estimates

S&P500 - VALUATION OF EQUITIES RELATIVE TO BONDS: MULTIPLE OF BOND YIELD TO EQUITY EARNINGS YIELDS

2.1 1.9 1.7 EQUITIES RELATIVELY OVERVALUED 1.5 1.3 +1 Std Dev 1.1 Average 0.9 0.7 -1 Std Dev 0.5 EQUITIES RELATIVELY UNDERVALUED 0.3

Source: GSJBW Research estimates

S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Index: 1 March 2003 to 31 October 2008

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4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
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S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Index: 1 March 2003 - 31 October 2008
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8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
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S&P/ASX Small Resources Index: 1 March 2003 - 31 October 2008
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
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S&P/ASX Small Industrials Index: 1 March 2003 - 31 October
2008
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
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S&P/ASX Industrials Index: 1 March 2003 to 31 October
2008
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
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S&P/ASX Financials Index: 1 March 2003 to 31 October
2008
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
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Historical Oil Price - WTI Spot

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$160
$140
$120
$100
Oil price
$80
$60
$40
$20
$0
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S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Index: 1 January 1900 to 31 October 2008

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14,000
12 000,
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
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All Ordinaries: 28 February 1929 to 30 September 1934

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55
50
45
40
35
30
25
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DOW JONES: 1 January 1900 to 31 October 2008

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14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6 , 000
4,000
2,000
0
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Market Indices: 1 March 2003 to 31 October 2008

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700
Small Resources
600
Resources
Small Ordinaries
500
All Ordinaries
Industrials
400
Small Industrials
Financials
300
200
100
0
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Technology vs Commodities Bubble

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8,000
Nasdaq
7,000
S&P500
6 000, All Ordinaries Index
S&P/ASX300 Resources
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
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COMPANY VALUATION SLIDES

The following charts show the price being id f or A ustra li a s ma or i are pa j compan es the lowest in more than 2 decades. While we ex ect earnin s to decline si nificantl p g g y in the coming 12 months, share prices have already declined in anticipation of the . earnings slump

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.
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ASX - 1 year orwarf d PER

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45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
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Source: Macquarie Research

FXJ - 1 year forward PER

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35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
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Source: Macquarie Research

LLC - 1 year forward PER

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30
25
20
15
10
5
0
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Source: Macquarie Research

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NAB - 1 year forward PER

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18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
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Source: Macquarie Research

TAH - 1 year orwarf d PER

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30
25
20
15
10
5
0
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Source: Macquarie Research

TOL - 1 year orwarf d PER

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40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
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Source: Macquarie Research

- HVN 1 year forward PER

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50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
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Source: Macquarie Research

45
50
SEK
1
f
d PER
-
year orwar
35
40
25
30
10
15
20
0
5

Source: Macquarie Research

What is a Listed Investment Company (LIC)?

  • Closed end poo ol f capital that invests n i the stock

  • market

Closed end means investors leave the fund by selling shares to another investor rather than redeeming money from the Fund.

  • No money leaves the fund.

Super or si tructure The manager of a LIC fund does not have to sell stocks in the portfolio to raise cash for the departing investor whereas open end f un d s requ re i th e manager o qu t li id a e s oc t t k s o nance re t fi d emp ti ons. These redemptions often occur when the market is falling and so the manager has to sell stocks which they believe represent good value.

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Pre 1998 Listed Investmentas at 31 October 2008 Companies

Companiesa s at 31 Octob Octob er 2008 er 2008
Share Pre tax Premium/
Name Code price* NTA Discount
Djerriwarrh Investments DJW $ 3.60
$ 3.41
5.57%
Argo Investments ARG $ 5 70
.
$ 5 44
.
4 78%
.
AFIC AFI $ 4.24
$ 4.18
1.44%
Milton Corporation MLT $ 16.01
$ 15.93
0.50%
Aberdeen Leaders ALR $ 1.25
$ 1.28
-2.34%
A st alian United
u
r
AUI $ 6 00
.
$ 6 15
.
2 44%
- .
Choiseul Investments CHO $ 4.50
$ 4.64
-3.02%
Diversified United Investments DUI $ 2.63
$ 2.78
-5.40%
Whitefield WHF $ 2.75
$ 3.07
-10.42%
b
k
l
Iron ar Capita
IBC $ 0.40 $ 0.48 -15.79%
Average -2.71%

Average

*as at 17 November

Post 1998 Listed Investmentas at 31 October 2008 Companies

Companies as at 31 Oct 31 Oct ober 2 ober 2 008
Share Pre tax Premium/
Name Code price* NTA Discount
Aurora Sandringham AOD $ 1.22
$ 1.22
-0.11%
AMCIL AMH $ 0.53
$ 0.57
-7.02%
WAM Active WAA $ 0.85
$ 0.93
-8.44%
Mirrabooka Investments MIR $ 1 40
.
$ 1 53
.
8 50%
- .
Century Australian Investments CYA $ 0.79
$ 0.90
-12.22%
Brickworks Investment Company BKI $ 1.06
$ 1.25
-15.20%
Emerging Leaders ELI $ 0.60
$ 0.80
-25.00%
Australian Leaders Fund ALF $ 0.70 $ 0.94 -25.87%
HFA Accelerator HAP $ 0.46
$ 0.63
-27.20%
WAM Capital WAM $ 0.90
$ 1.28
-29.90%
Wilson Investment Fund WIL $ 0.59
$ 0.86
-31.51%
Magellan Flagship Fund MFF $ 0.57
$ 0.87
-35.06%
MMC Contrarian MMA $ 0.46
$ 0.71
-35.12%
Contango Microcap CTN $ 0.65
$ 1.02
-36.15%
Linq Resources LRF $ 0.44
$ 0.74
-40.54%
Everest Babcock & Brown EBI $ 1.61
$ 2.80
-42.50%

Average

-23.77%

*as at 17 November

Argo Investments (ARG)

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40%
35%
Premium/Discount to NTA
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Oct-98 Oct-99 Oct-00 Oct-01 Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-07
-5%
-10%
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AFIC (AFI)
35.00%
30.00%
Premium/Discount to NTA
25.00%
20.00%
15.00%
10 00%.
5.00%
0.00%
Oct-98 Oct-99 Oct-00 Oct-01 Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-07
-5.00%
-10.00%
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Profit Leverage to a fall in Revenue

% change in Revenue
-5% -10%
Revenue(m) $100 $95 $90
Costs(m) $80 $80 $80
Profit(m) $20 $15 $10
% change in Profit -25% -50%

% change in Revenue
+5%
+10%
% change in Revenue
+5% +10%
Revenue(m) $100 $105 $110
Costs(m) $80 $80 $80
Profit(m) $20 $25 $30
% change in Profit +25% +50%
Analysis of sector
performance in the US 6 and
12 months after the bottom of
S
t
P
f
ec or er ormance
6 Months after Trough
S
t
P
f
ec or er ormance
12 Months after Trough
BEST Technology
33.7%
Technology
44.0%
Consumer

the market.
On average the top 4 sectors
are:
Di
ti
scre onary
25.6%
C
Di
ti
onsumer
scre onary
33.4%
Financials
24.9%
Financials
32.8%
Industrials Industrials
Technology
• Consumer Discretionary
• Financials
Industrials
22.6% 30.0%
World
22.2%
World
29.7%
Healthcare
Materials

Source: UBS
20 7%
.
27 6%
.
Materials
20.2%
Telecoms
27.4%
Consumer Staples
19.7%
Healthcare
26.5%
Telecoms
19.0%
Consumer Staples
26.3%
Utilities
15.0%
Utilities
24.6%
WORST Energy
14.7%
Energy
23.1%

Disclaimer

This presentation has been prepared for use in conjunction with a verbal presentation and should be read in that context.

Information for the graphs, charts and quoted indices contained in this presentation has been sourced from IRESS Market Technology and WAM Capital Ltd, Wilson Investment Fund Ltd and WAM Active Limited.

The information in this presentation is only intended for Australian residents.

The presentation purpose is only to provide information and does not purport to give investment advice. We strongly suggest that investors consult a financial adviser prior to making any investment decision.

The presentation does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any person and should not be used as the basis for making investment, financial or other decisions. The information is selective and ma y not be com p lete or accurate for y our p articular p ur p oses and should not be construed as a recommendation to invest in any particular investment or security, or Fund offered by Wilson Asset Management.

The information provided in the presentation is given in good faith and is believed to be accurate at the time of compilation. Neither Wilson Asset Management nor its director or employees make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy, reliability, timeliness or completeness of the information. To the extent permissible by law, Wilson Asset Management and its director and employees disclaim all liability (whether arising in contract, tort, negligence or otherwise) for any error, omission , loss or damage (whether direct , indirect , consequential or otherwise) . Performance figures quoted in the report are past performance. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. Neither Wilson Asset Management nor its director or employees guarantee or make any representation as to the performance of the Funds, the maintenance or repayment of capital, the price at which shares may trade or any particular rate of return.

Co py ri g ht & Trademarks

All content included in this report is protected by copyright laws. You may only use this material for your own personal reference. You must not otherwise use, reproduce, publish, modify, distribute, link, frame, transmit in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, for any purpose, any of the material in this report, except with the prior written permission of Wilson Asset Management.

Trade marks used in this report are the property of Wilson Asset Management or third parties with which Wilson Asset Management has an association. You must not use a trade mark used in this report without the prior written consent of the owner o f t h at tra d e mar k .

© Wilson Asset Management Pty Ltd 2008