Investor Presentation • Aug 18, 2020
Investor Presentation
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by Craig Jasienski
Largest decline for Auto
1) Total volume based on prorated volume (WW Ocean, EUKOR, ARC and Armacup)
2) H&H share calculated based on unprorated volumes. Nominal volume for auto and H&H calculated as total prorated volume x unprorated auto share and total prorated volume x unprorated H&H share, respectively
EU-Asia and EU/NA – Oceania hardest hit compared to last year
Note: Prorated volumes on operational trade basis in CBM
47%
1%
2020
Renewed
To be renewed
Not renewed
(Circle indicates size of contract in millions)
Measures underway with up to USD 210 million impact on cash in 2020
Adjusting our fleet to meet demand
by Astrid Martinsen
Performance impacted by lower volumes, to some extent offset by effective cost control
| Q2 2020 | Q1 2020 | % change Q-o-Q |
Q2 2019 | % change Y-o-Y |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 606 | 834 | -27% | 1005 | -40% |
| Operating expenses | (564) | (703) | -20% | (793) | -29% |
| EBITDA | 42 | 130 | -68% | 211 | -80% |
| EBITDA adjusted | 104 | 130 | -20% | 211 | -51% |
| EBIT | (45) | (132) | n/a | 88 | n/a |
| Financial income/(expenses) |
(30) | (153) | -80% | (83) | -63% |
| Tax income/(expense) | 6 | (0) | n/a | (3) | n/a |
| Profit for the period | (69) | (285) | n/a | 3 | n/a |
| EPS | (0.15) | (0.65) | n/a | 0.00 | n/a |
Adjusted EBITDA down 43% due to lower volumes, lower net bunker cost had a large positive impact
Total income
USD million
EBITDA fell by 88% as a result of lower volumes
Performance impacted by lower volumes
| 1H 2020 | 1H 2019 | % change Y-o-Y |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 1439 | 2022 | -29% |
| Operating expenses | (1267) | (1592) | -20% |
| EBITDA | 172 | 430 | -60% |
| EBITDA adjusted | 234 | 430 | -46% |
| EBIT | (176) | 183 | n/a |
| Financial income/(expenses) | (183) | (153 ) | 20% |
| Tax income/(expense) | 7 | (5) | n/a |
| Profit for the period | (353) | 25 | n/a |
| EPS | (0.80) | 0.04 | n/a |
Free cash flow of USD 178 million
Stable net debt and equity ratio
by Craig Jasienski
• Total light vehicle (LV) sales in the second quarter decreased 34.7% y-oy and down 14.2% from the previous quarter as the coronavirus made its impact in NA and Europe and most other major auto markets while Chinese sales rebound
• Total exports in the first quarter were down 41.8% compared to the corresponding period last year, down 27.2% from the previous quarter
LV Sales
IHS Markit assume 2020 global LV sales set at 70.1m for 2020, down 22% with downgrades across all major regions, and forecasts have stabilized since end April
Temporary plant closures took place globally. Recovery seems to take a while as a stop-start rhythm prevents efficiency, slow bands and tricky new health protocols
IHS Markit assume deepsea volume to see decline from 14.9m in 2019 to 11.4m in 2020, equal to a drop of 23%, however recover quicker than domestic produced volume
Uncertainty to how fast consumers will turn back to dealers, governmental stimulus such as tax breaks, "cash-for – clunkers" e.g. might contribute to rebound
Global LV sales and production quarterly walk, 2020 and 2021 figures compared to 2019
Source: IHS Markit / Market Insight Wallenius Wilhelmsen
Source: 1Factset (04.08.20) | OEM Revenue Consensus Estimate (y-o-y). Construction: Volvo, Caterpillar, CNH, Komatsu, Hitachi, Deere, Terex, Doosan Infracore. Mining: Sandvik, Caterpillar, Hitachi, Epiroc. Agriculture: AGCO, CNH, Deere. Sales in construction/mining/agriculture equipment divisions only 2 IHS Markit | Global Trade Atlas Forecasting (Base case), Global agriculture and construction machinery exports (Trade Value, Real 2015 USD)
Increase in recycling
Orderbook at 14 vessels*
Demand growth Net fleet growth
by Craig Jasienski
We continue to manage what we can control and have a solid plan for working through these trying times
| Health and safety |
• Focus on safe return to normal for operations and offices • Social distancing, safe infrastructure and processes, working from home, mental health & wellness • Supporting ship managers to enable safe crew changes |
|---|---|
| Operations | • Ocean: Dynamic vessel scheduling to match volume demand, slow steaming, reduced sailings, idling • Terminals & processing centres: Ramping up workforce and capacity to meet demand |
| Commercial | • Working closely with customers to support immediate needs and forward expectations • Long-term volume outlook remains uncertain • Q3 volumes improvement over Q2, expect to be 25% below year on year |
| Future | • Exploring new service opportunities arising from current market needs • Leveraging digitalisation opportunities for efficiency and revenue expansion • Adapting Long Term Strategy to take advantage of new market opportunities |
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