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Wallenius Wilhelmsen — Earnings Release 2020
Feb 9, 2021
3787_rns_2021-02-09_ac3d8135-1e32-4fd5-9bb7-8e713931eb5c.pdf
Earnings Release
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COVID19 – Staying true to our purpose and our values
OUR PRINCIPLES
- o Take social responsibility for employees and the community
- o Be financially prudent for shareholders
- o Maintain operational stability for customers
- o Protect long-term operational capabilities to be ready to meet the future

2020 in brief
- o COVID19 caused challenging market conditions throughout the year
- o Early decisions helped support earnings and strengthen liquidity
- o Ocean and landbased volumes declined 23% and 27% from 2019, respectively
- o Close customer cooperation ensured good returns on operated voyages and steady operations across landbased facilities
- o General volume rebound in H2, but sales patterns still unstable
o Adjusted EBITDA of USD 536 million, down 36% vs. FY 2019

Keeping COVID19 vaccine supply chains running smoothly


Highlights fourth quarter 2020

○Solid development in ocean volumes, up 23% QoQ and down only 4% YoY ○ Margin pressure QoQ on cargo mix, activity ramp-up costs, and market inefficiencies

○Landbased adjusted EBITDA up 23% YoY on increased high-margin volumes

○USD 150m adjusted EBITDA, in line with previous quarter ○USD 980m of total liquidity, up USD 98m QoQ

Agenda


Business update
Craig Jasienski CEO

Ocean volumes decline 4% YoY, up 23% QoQ
Recovery in volumes spearheaded by un-prorated Auto volumes, increasing 15% QoQ

1) Total volume based on prorated volume (WW Ocean, EUKOR, ARC and Armacup), i.e. volumes are split between months based on the sailing period onboard the vessel
Volume development diverged between main trades Upward trend QoQ

Note: Prorated volumes on operational trade basis in CBM 1) Including Cape sailings (South Africa)
8
Rate pressure continued in Q4
Rate changes and impact from 2020 contract renewals
(Circle indicates size of contract in millions)

Annualised revenue impact (USDm)
- 98% of contracted revenue to expire in 2020 renewed
- Lost contracts had an est. USD 11m negative impact on revenue
- Offset by new contracts with est. USD 77m positive impact
- Contract renewals in 2021 represent approx. 20% of shipping revenues
Short-term charter increase to cover Q4 volumes
Exploiting short-term charter market to meet demand, up to 9 vessels to be reactivated in H1 2021
NEWBUILD DELIVERY
○ Tannhauser started operations 13 October
RECYCLING
○ 2 vessels recycled in 2020
COLD LAYUP
- 16 vessels in cold lay-up as of YE2020
- Planned reactivation of 9 vessels in H1 2021
- 7 remaining vessels under consideration for reactivation
REDELIVERY
- 2020: 7 vessels redelivered, 4 extended
- 2021: 3 redelivery candidates
- 2022: 4 redelivery candidates
Includes 16 vessels in cold lay-up
220 vessels have been reclassified from leased assets to owned assets effective from 01/01/2020
Fleet development1,2
of vessels


Financial performance
Torbjørn Wist CFO

Financial highlights – Q4 2020

1) Return on capital employed: annualised EBIT divided by capital employed 2) Net interest bearing debt divided by last twelve months adjusted EBITDA
Group EBITDA flat QoQ despite 18% higher revenue
General volume increase and solid landbased EBITDA offset by ocean margin pressure
| USDm | Q4 2020 | Q3 2020 | % change QoQ |
Q4 2019 | % change YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | 822 | 697 | 18% | 932 | (12%) |
| Operating expenses | (672) | (545) | 23% | (771) | (13%) |
| EBITDA | 150 | 152 | (1%) | 162 | (7%) |
| EBITDA adjusted | 150 | 152 | (1%) | 194 | (23%) |
| EBIT | 53 | 40 | 30% | 81 | (35%) |
| Financial income/(expense) |
(3) | (36) | (90%) | (22) | (83%) |
| Tax income/(expense) | (3) | 0 | n/a | (19) | (43%) |
| Profit for the period | 47 | 4 | 958% | 41 | 14% |
| EPS | 0.11 | 0.01 | 849% | 0.10 | 15% |
Ocean EBITDA down 5% QoQ due to margin pressure from activity ramp-up
Revenue up 16% QoQ as volume recovery continues

Ocean – EBITDA (adjusted)1
Adjusted
Extraordinary items

• Revenue
- Down 16% YoY on volumes, surcharge and trade mix
- Up 16% QoQ on volume recovery
- QoQ adj. EBITDA margin under pressure from
- Cargo mix
- Ramp-up costs
- Market inefficiencies
- Fuel price increase
Landbased revenue up 23% QoQ and flat YoY
Adjusted EBITDA 13% up YoY on increase in high margin activities


Extraordinary items
EBITDA

• Revenue
- Up 2% YoY on returning volumes and high-value activities
- Up 23% QoQ
- EBITDA
- Up 13% YoY, and 17% QoQ
- YoY Increase in high margin activity
- QoQ rise in auto volumes
Consolidated results – Full year 2020
| Full year 2020 | Full year 2019 | % change y-o-y |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 2 958 | 3 909 | (24%) |
| Operating expenses | (2 484) | (3 104) | (20%) |
| EBITDA | 473 | 805 | (41%) |
| EBITDA adjusted | 536 | 837 | (36%) |
| EBIT | (84) | 358 | n/a |
| Financial income/(expenses) | (223) | (247) | (10%) |
| Tax income/(expense) | 4 | (10) | n/a |
| Profit for the period | (302) | 102 | n/a |
| EPS | (0.68) | 0.22 | n/a |
| ROCE | -1.3% | 5.0% | n/a |
Cash
Cash and undrawn credit facilities up USD 98m QoQ
Supported by free cash flow of USD 71m, deferred loan payments, and new financing for Tannhauser

Stable net debt, equity ratio slightly up to 34.3%

- Equity ratio up to 34.3% from 34.0% in Q3
- Net debt stable at USD 3.4 billion
- 20 vessels reclassified from leased to owned
- Cash on hand available to cover USD 108m in 2021 maturities
Market update
Craig Jasienski CEO

19
Auto sales up on Chinese sales and global pent-up demand

- Total light vehicle (LV) sales in the fourth quarter decreased 0.8% compared to the corresponding period last year
- Up 10.0% from the previous quarter as incentives and pent-up demand after the coronavirus fueled auto sales.
Global light vehicle (LV) sales per quarter, units Global light vehicle (LV) export per quarter, units

• Total exports in Q4 were down 7.7% compared to the corresponding period last year, up 8.6% from the previous quarter.
Deep sea share stabile despite significant sales drop in 2020
Deepsea share Import Domestic
Global LV markets update
LV Sales
IHS Markit assume 2020 global LV sales set at 76.5m for 2020, down 15%. with downgrades across all major regions, forecasts up from July which expected 70.1m, -22%

Supply
Temporary plant closures took place globally. Recovery on track however stop-start rhythm prevents efficiency, slow bands and tricky new health protocols

Deepsea trade ?
IHS Markit assume deepsea volume to see decline from 14.8m in 2019 to 12.1m in 2020, equal to a drop of 18%, however recover quicker than domestic produced volume

Demand
Uncertainty to how fast consumers will turn back to dealers, governmental stimulus and pent-up demand might contribute to rebound

Solid LV sales and production rebound continuing in Q4
Global LV sales and production quarterly walk, 2020, 2021 and 2022 figures compared to 2019

Growth in global manufacturing activity close to decade highs
Buoyant output and order growth support continued trade expansion in the near term
Global machinery trade and manufacturing activity

- Machinery trade completed an impressive recovery as volumes again returned to growth in the quarter
- Broad-based improvement in demand, as trade and retail volumes continued to rebound across segments and geographies
- Global manufacturing activity growth close to decades highs supports continued near-term growth
- Manufacturing orders rose for the seventh consecutive month, while growth in export orders extended to five months, albeit marginal
- Supply chains were further stretched, as inventories fell further, and lead times again lengthened
Source: 1 IHS Markit | PMI (diffusion index), business activity - direction of change compared to the previous month (50 = no change, >50 increasing activity, <50 decreasing activity). Cutoff: January 2021, 2 IHS Markit | World (major exporters) construction & agriculture equipment exports (Avg. equipment value >20 kUSD ) (Units last 3 months, YoY), Cutoff: October 2020. November 2020 data is limited to countries (52%) that have reported customs data as per 03.02.2021
Continued machinery recovery from the trough
Improving momentum and outlook in all segments - less sluggish climb to pre-pandemic markets
Market status

Machinery sales consensus estimates1

Source5 : Factset Data and Analytics (27.01.21) | OEM machinery sales consensus estimates per calendar year (USD). Constituents: Volvo, Caterpillar, CNH, Komatsu, Hitachi, Deere, Terex, Doosan, Sandvik, Epiroc and AGCO. Estimates include sales in construction/mining/agriculture equipment divisions only. Estimate weighting: 2/3 construction/mining and 1/3 agriculture.
Deep sea fleet adjusting to the market situation
Increase in recycling and lower share of fleet is idling/laid up
Vessel age distribution, # of vessels for seaborn LV and

- 5 vessels recycled in the quarter, 24 for 2020FY*
- No new orders, three deliveries and five vessels recycled in the quarter
- Orderbook at 8 vessels**
HH transport Fleet and demand development, fleet utilization rate, percent

- Deep-sea shipments declined significantly in 2020 before picking up
- Increased recycling/scrapping and low order activity leads to a reduction of fleet in 2020 and forward
- Currently less than 3% of fleet is idling / laid up
- Indicators of supply demand balance within 2023

Prospects and Q&A
Craig Jasienski CEO

Prospects
- Key markets improved from the low in Q2, but volumes remain below 2019 and sales patterns remain unstable
- The ongoing potential impact on production is hard to predict
- Supply-demand balance expected to improve in mid-term on global fleet reduction, low order book and expected volume rebound in 2021
- Stabilising markets will provide the group with more flexibility on dividends and investments
- We are well prepared to work through the unprecedented market situation, following early and decisive action


Thank you!
