Earnings Release • Feb 9, 2021
Earnings Release
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o Adjusted EBITDA of USD 536 million, down 36% vs. FY 2019

Keeping COVID19 vaccine supply chains running smoothly



○Solid development in ocean volumes, up 23% QoQ and down only 4% YoY ○ Margin pressure QoQ on cargo mix, activity ramp-up costs, and market inefficiencies

○Landbased adjusted EBITDA up 23% YoY on increased high-margin volumes

○USD 150m adjusted EBITDA, in line with previous quarter ○USD 980m of total liquidity, up USD 98m QoQ



Craig Jasienski CEO

Recovery in volumes spearheaded by un-prorated Auto volumes, increasing 15% QoQ

1) Total volume based on prorated volume (WW Ocean, EUKOR, ARC and Armacup), i.e. volumes are split between months based on the sailing period onboard the vessel

Note: Prorated volumes on operational trade basis in CBM 1) Including Cape sailings (South Africa)
8
Rate changes and impact from 2020 contract renewals
(Circle indicates size of contract in millions)

Annualised revenue impact (USDm)
Exploiting short-term charter market to meet demand, up to 9 vessels to be reactivated in H1 2021
○ Tannhauser started operations 13 October
○ 2 vessels recycled in 2020
Includes 16 vessels in cold lay-up
220 vessels have been reclassified from leased assets to owned assets effective from 01/01/2020


Torbjørn Wist CFO


1) Return on capital employed: annualised EBIT divided by capital employed 2) Net interest bearing debt divided by last twelve months adjusted EBITDA
General volume increase and solid landbased EBITDA offset by ocean margin pressure
| USDm | Q4 2020 | Q3 2020 | % change QoQ |
Q4 2019 | % change YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | 822 | 697 | 18% | 932 | (12%) |
| Operating expenses | (672) | (545) | 23% | (771) | (13%) |
| EBITDA | 150 | 152 | (1%) | 162 | (7%) |
| EBITDA adjusted | 150 | 152 | (1%) | 194 | (23%) |
| EBIT | 53 | 40 | 30% | 81 | (35%) |
| Financial income/(expense) |
(3) | (36) | (90%) | (22) | (83%) |
| Tax income/(expense) | (3) | 0 | n/a | (19) | (43%) |
| Profit for the period | 47 | 4 | 958% | 41 | 14% |
| EPS | 0.11 | 0.01 | 849% | 0.10 | 15% |
Revenue up 16% QoQ as volume recovery continues

Adjusted
Extraordinary items

Adjusted EBITDA 13% up YoY on increase in high margin activities


Extraordinary items
EBITDA

| Full year 2020 | Full year 2019 | % change y-o-y |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Total income | 2 958 | 3 909 | (24%) |
| Operating expenses | (2 484) | (3 104) | (20%) |
| EBITDA | 473 | 805 | (41%) |
| EBITDA adjusted | 536 | 837 | (36%) |
| EBIT | (84) | 358 | n/a |
| Financial income/(expenses) | (223) | (247) | (10%) |
| Tax income/(expense) | 4 | (10) | n/a |
| Profit for the period | (302) | 102 | n/a |
| EPS | (0.68) | 0.22 | n/a |
| ROCE | -1.3% | 5.0% | n/a |
Cash
Supported by free cash flow of USD 71m, deferred loan payments, and new financing for Tannhauser


Craig Jasienski CEO

19


• Total exports in Q4 were down 7.7% compared to the corresponding period last year, up 8.6% from the previous quarter.
Deepsea share Import Domestic
IHS Markit assume 2020 global LV sales set at 76.5m for 2020, down 15%. with downgrades across all major regions, forecasts up from July which expected 70.1m, -22%

Supply
Temporary plant closures took place globally. Recovery on track however stop-start rhythm prevents efficiency, slow bands and tricky new health protocols

Deepsea trade ?
IHS Markit assume deepsea volume to see decline from 14.8m in 2019 to 12.1m in 2020, equal to a drop of 18%, however recover quicker than domestic produced volume

Uncertainty to how fast consumers will turn back to dealers, governmental stimulus and pent-up demand might contribute to rebound

Global LV sales and production quarterly walk, 2020, 2021 and 2022 figures compared to 2019

Buoyant output and order growth support continued trade expansion in the near term

Source: 1 IHS Markit | PMI (diffusion index), business activity - direction of change compared to the previous month (50 = no change, >50 increasing activity, <50 decreasing activity). Cutoff: January 2021, 2 IHS Markit | World (major exporters) construction & agriculture equipment exports (Avg. equipment value >20 kUSD ) (Units last 3 months, YoY), Cutoff: October 2020. November 2020 data is limited to countries (52%) that have reported customs data as per 03.02.2021
Improving momentum and outlook in all segments - less sluggish climb to pre-pandemic markets


Source5 : Factset Data and Analytics (27.01.21) | OEM machinery sales consensus estimates per calendar year (USD). Constituents: Volvo, Caterpillar, CNH, Komatsu, Hitachi, Deere, Terex, Doosan, Sandvik, Epiroc and AGCO. Estimates include sales in construction/mining/agriculture equipment divisions only. Estimate weighting: 2/3 construction/mining and 1/3 agriculture.
Increase in recycling and lower share of fleet is idling/laid up
Vessel age distribution, # of vessels for seaborn LV and



Craig Jasienski CEO




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