Investor Presentation • Sep 24, 2018
Investor Presentation
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| Vonovia at a Glance |
3 |
|---|---|
| Business Update |
6 |
| Residential Market Data | 20 |
| Appendix | 25 |
Strategy
| Vonovia at a Glance |
3 |
|---|---|
| Business Update |
6 |
| Residential Market Data | 20 |
| Appendix | 25 |
| k ar e P n |
Operations | Organic rent growth of 4.1% y-o-y. Operating expenses reduced by 16.8% to €110.2m as a result of eliminating the double cost structure from conwert included in H1 2017 as well as continued efficiency gains. Adj. EBITDA Operations margin (ex. maintenance) of 90.9% (+290bps y-o-y). Vonovia received the EPRA Gold Award for the 2017 Sustainability Report |
|---|---|---|
| a o ori al d- ct n Vi a sta g, o w vi u o B n o |
FFO 1 | FFO 1 increased by 11.5% y-o-y to €510.3m in H1 2018 as a result of better EBITDA Operations and lower interest expenses and income taxes. |
| xcl. V E |
Valuation | H1 valuation comprised ca. 2/3 of portfolio (20 largest German locations plus six additional German locations and Vienna). 6.9% l-f-l value growth on revalued portfolio, of which 5.7% l-f-l valuation uplift (performance + yield compression). Total value growth of €1,765m represents 5.3% on the overall portfolio. |
| k ar P a ori |
Adj. NAV | Adj. NAV grew by 10.5% to €20,634.4m in H1 2018. On a per-share basis, Adj. NAV was €39.83, up 3.5% ytd (6.8% higher NOSH). |
| ct Vi g, o w u B cl. n I |
Guidance | 2018 Guidance now includes Buwog and Victoria Park. FFO 1 guidance of €1,050m - €1,070m or €2.03 – €2.07 p.s. on the new number of 518.1m issued shares. Back-of-an-envelope calculation: Assuming Buwog and Victoria Park had fully contributed for the first six months, the pro FFO 1 per share guidance would have been €2.08 – €2.12. |
| Company Presentation – September 2018 |
page 6 | |
| H1 2018 | H1 2017 | Delta | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average number of residential sqm | `000 | 21,557 | 22,226 | -3.0% | Portfolio reduction mainly |
| Average number of residential units | # | 344,685 | 355,570 | -3.1% | driven by clean-up sales |
| Organic rent growth (y-o-y) | % | 4.1 | 3.7 | +40 bps | |
| In-place rent (eop) | €/month/sqm | 6.41 | 6.12 | +4.7% | |
| Vacancy rate (eop) | % | 2.8 | 2.9 | -10 bps | |
| Rental income | €m | 838.8 | 833.2 | +0.7% | +€5.6m |
| Maintenance expenses | €m | -131.6 | -127.3 | +3.4% | |
| Operating expenses | €m | -110.2 | -132.4 | -16.8% | conwert synergies and efficiency improvements |
| Adj. EBITDA Rental | €m | 597.0 | 573.5 | +4.1% | +€23.5m |
| Adj. EBITDA Value-add Business | €m | 51.7 | 45.6 | +13.4% | |
| Adj. EBITDA Operations | €m | 632.6 | 607.6 | +4.1% | +€25.0m |
| • 8.7% higher NOSH |
|||||
| Interest expense FFO 1 | €m | -114.3 | -138.0 | -17.2% | y-o-y • Back-of-an-envelope |
| Current income taxes FFO 1 | €m | -8.0 | -11.9 | -32.8% | calculation: pro forma FFO 1 including full |
| FFO 1 | €m | 510.3 | 457.7 | +11.5% | contribution from Buwog and Victoria +€52.6m |
| FFO 1 per share (eop NOSH) | € | 0.98 | 0.96 | +2.5% | Park in H1 would be ~€36m or |
| FFO 1 per share (avg. NOSH) | € | 1.03 | 0.98 | +5.8% | ~7 cents higher |
All numbers stand-alone Vonovia, excluding Buwog and Victoria Park
| Rent growth drivers | Positive rent growth trajectory | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (last 12M) | H1 2018 | H1 2017 | Delta | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018(E) | 2019(E) | |
| Market driven | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | ≈ | ≈ | ||||
| Sitting tenants (incl. subsidized rents) |
1.1% | 1.2% | -10bps | Modernization | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | ||
| Space creation | --- | --- | --- | --- | 0.1% | ||||||
| New lettings (with no material investment) |
0.4% | 0.5% | -10bps | Organic rent growth |
1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | ~4.4% | |
| Subtotal market driven rent growth |
1.5% | 1.7% | -20bps | ||||||||
| Modernization (including new lettings with investments Optimize Apartments) |
2.5% | 1.9% | +60bps | Investment track record (€m; includes modernization and space creation) |
|||||||
| Subtotal l-f-l rent growth |
4.0% | 3.6% | +40bps | 779 | ~1,000 | ~1,000 | |||||
| Space creation | 0.1% | 0.1% | --- | 356 | 472 | ||||||
| Subtotal organic rent growth |
4.1% | 3.7% | +40bps | 71 2013 |
172 2014 |
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018(E) | 2019+(E) |
1incl. July 2018 Bond, which is not included in KPIs. 2 Average financing cost of debt maturing in the relevant year. 3 Weighted avg. financing costs excl. Equity Hybrid. Including Equity Hybrid, avg. interest rate of debt maturing in 2021 is 3.4%.4 excl. Equity Hybrid. 5 excl. 2nd offer period of Buwog. 6 excl. Buwog and Victoria Park.
Company Presentation – September 2018
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) |
Jun 30, 2018 | Mar 31, 2018 | Dec 31, 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Non-derivative financial liabilities | 19,774.6 | 18,887.0 | 14,060.5 |
| Foreign exchange rate effects | -29.6 | -17.8 | -23.5 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | -865.8 | -829.3 | -266.2 |
| Net debt | 18,879.2 | 18,039.9 | 13,770.8 |
| Sales receivables | -239.8 | -232.4 | -201.2 |
| Adj. net debt |
18,639.4 | 17,807.5 | 13,569.6 |
| Fair value of real estate portfolio | 41,732.3 | 38,485.6 | 33,436.3 |
| Shares in other real estate companies | 734.5 | 666.6 | 642.2 |
| Adj. fair value of real estate portfolio | 42,466.8 | 39,152.2 | 34,078.5 |
| LTV | 43.9% | 45.5% | 39.8% |
| Residential | In-place rent | Vacancy rate | Fair value1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| units | (€/sqm/month) | (%) | (€bn) | % of total |
| 126,039 | 6.54 | 2.6 | 13.0 | 32% |
| 217,270 | 6.35 | 2.6 | 21.4 | 53% |
| 343,309 | 6.42 | 2.6 | 34.4 | 85% |
| 13,183 | 6.22 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 4% |
| 10,167 | 5.34 | 5.1 | 0.6 | 1% |
| 366,659 | 6.38 | 2.7 | 36.5 | 90% |
| 23,215 | 4.56 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 6% |
| 14,052 | 8.83 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4% |
Note: In-place rents in Austria and Sweden are not fully comparable to Germany, as Sweden, for example, includes certain ancillary costs. The table above shows the rental level unadjusted to the German definition. 1Fair value of the developed land excluding € 1,205.4 million, of which € 344.5 million for undeveloped land and inheritable building rights granted, € 251.9 million for assets under construction, € 461.7 million for development and € 147.3 million for other.
Note: Numbers include projects kicked off in 2017.
| Value drivers H1 (€m) | |
|---|---|
| Performance | 268 |
| Rental development | 228 |
| Investments | 40 |
| Investments | 347 |
| Investments (within valuation portfolio) |
240 |
| Investments (outside of valuation portfolio) |
107 |
| Yield compression | 1,150 |
| Total value uplift | 1,765 |
All numbers stand-alone Vonovia, excluding Buwog and Victoria Park
Adj. NAV is up 10.5% ytd or 3.5% per share in spite of 6.8% more issued shares.
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) |
Jun 30, 2018 | Dec 31, 2017 |
Is Adj. NAV a good proxy for the value of a |
|---|---|---|---|
| diverse operating business? | |||
| By definition, the Adj. NAV | |||
| Equity attributable to Vonovia's shareholders |
16,916.2 | 15,080.8 | reflects the brick and mortar value of the |
| Deferred taxes on investment properties and assets held for sale |
7,253.8 | 6,185.7 | buildings |
| Fair value of derivative financial instruments1 | 93.4 | 26.9 | applies market terms and assumes the |
| Deferred taxes on derivative financial instruments | -25.1 | -8.8 | properties are owned by "anyone" |
| EPRA NAV | 24,238.3 | 21,284.6 | This approach ignores |
| Goodwill | -3,603.9 | -2,613.5 | the Value-add Business |
| Adj. NAV | 20,634.4 | 18,671.1 | the cost advantage and operating platform |
| of a professional owner | |||
| EPRA NAV €/share | 46.79 | 43.88 | the development business |
| Adj. NAV €/share | 39.83 | 38.49 | the cash flow from privatization |
1 Adjusted for effects from cross currency swaps.
| Penetration | |
|---|---|
| Multimedia | ca. 80% |
| Smart metering |
ca. 23% |
| Residential environment2 | ca. 30% |
| Energy | ~1% |
| Craftsmen VTS | ca. 70% (maintenance) ca. 40% (modernization) target is around 70% to allow for enough flexibility in the volumes and to enable continuous benchmarking to market prices |
| Adj. EBITDA Value-add Business (€m) 37.6 23.6 |
~120 102.1 57.0 |
| 2014 2015 |
2016 2017 2018(E) |
| PRIVATIZATION | SELL PORTFOLIO | TOTAL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) |
H1 2018 | H1 2017 | H1 2018 | H1 2017 | H1 2018 | H1 2017 |
| Income from disposal |
124.2 | 142.7 | 230.0 | 559.2 | 354.2 | 701.9 |
| Fair value of disposal | -95.2 | -108.7 | -199.3 | -536.1 | -294.5 | -644.8 |
| Adj. profit from disposal |
29.0 | 34.0 | 30.7 | 23.1 | 59.7 | 57.1 |
| Fair value step-up (%) | 30.5% | 31.3% | 15.4% | 4.3% | ||
| Selling costs | 11.4 | -12.8 | ||||
| Adj. EBITDA Sales | 48.3 | 44.3 |
| BUWOG | Victoria Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Current Vonovia stake |
90.7% voting rights |
93.45% voting rights (including call options) |
| Impact in 2018 |
Starting with Q2 | Starting with Q3 |
| Integration | Operational integration of German operating business fully on track and expected to be completed by the end of 2018. Synergy realization expected from 2019 onwards. |
Victoria Park management and staff remain largely in place, as Victoria Park continues to run its business broadly unchanged. Feasibility of joint purchasing, modernization work |
| Next steps | Buwog EGM to resolve on the Squeeze-out scheduled for Oct. 2. Cash compensation for minority shareholders of €29.05 per share. |
and refinancing opportunities being reviewed. No integration planned as Victoria Park serves as the platform for Vonovia's potential growth in Sweden. |
| 2017 Actuals | 2018 Guidance | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Initial (Nov. 2017) | Update (May 2018) | Update (Aug. 2018) | ||
| Excl. Buwog & Victoria Park |
Excl. Buwog & Victoria Park |
Incl. Buwog & Victoria Park1 |
||
| Organic rent growth (eop) | 4.2% | 4.6% - 4.8% |
4.6% - 4.8% |
~4.4%2 (VNA stand-alone) |
| Vacancy (eop) | 2.5% | <2.5% | <2.5% | <2.5% |
| Rental Income (€m) | 1,667.9 | 1,660 - 1,680 |
1,670 - 1,690 |
1,890 – 1,910 |
| FFO1 (€m) | 920.8 | 960 - 980 |
1,000 – 1,020 (VNA stand-alone) |
1,050 – 1,070 |
| FFO 1 (€/share, eop) |
1.90 | 1.98 - 2.02 |
2.06 – 2.10 (VNA stand-alone) |
2.03 – 2.07 |
| Maintenance (€m) | 346.2 | ~360 | ~360 | ~410 |
| Modernization & Investments (€m) | 778.6 | ~1,000 | ~1,000 | ~1,000 |
| Privatization (number of units) | 2,608 | ~2,300 | ~2,300 | ~2,800 |
| FV step-up (Privatization) | 32.7% | ~30% | ~30% | 30% - 35% |
| Sell portfolio disposals (number of units) | 11,780 | opportunistic | opportunistic | up to 14,000 |
| FV step-up (Sell Portfolio) | 7.9% | >0% | ~5% | 10% - 15% |
| Dividend/share | €1.32 | ~70% of FFO1 | ~70% of FFO1 | ~70% of FFO1 |
| Underlying number of shares | 485.1 | 485.1 | 485.1 | 518.1 |
1Buwog contribution for 9 months and without synergies and Victoria Park contribution for 6 months and without synergies.
2Excl. Buwog & Victoria Park. Adjustment to ~4.4% is purely timing-related and driven by (i) lower-than-anticipated new construction volume as a result of building permits taking too long and (ii) a small share of the rent growth from the modernization investments getting pushed into early 2019, as some projects cannot be fully settled by September, which is the deadline for including the projects in the 2018 organic rent growth. This slight delay is caused by poor weather conditions in the beginning of the year as well as limited craftsmen availability for carrying out the work on time and on budget.
| Vonovia at a Glance |
3 |
|---|---|
| Business Update |
6 |
| Residential Market Data | 20 |
| Appendix | 25 |
Sources: Federal Statistics Office, GdW (German Association of Professional Homeowners), REIS, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, OECD. Note: Due to lack of q-o-q US rent growth data, the annual rent growth for a year is assumed to also be the q-o-q rent growth of that year.
Sources: German Federal Statistics Office, GdW (German Association of Professional Homeowners). 2035(E) household numbers are based on trend scenario of the German Federal Statistics Office.
Cities across Europe are on the rise and the population living in cities is expected to grow substantially by 2030 and 2050, respectively.
% of population living in urban areas
Rent as % of disposable household income*
Sources: United Nations, JLL Research, European Commission, Federal Statistics Office, Eurostat
Rene Hoffmann Head of Investor Relations Vonovia SE Universitätsstraße 133 44803 Bochum Germany
+49 234 314 1629 [email protected] [email protected] www.vonovia.de
| Contact | Financial Calendar | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | GS/Berenberg German Corporate Conference, Munich |
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| Sep 25 | Baader Investment Conference, Munich1 |
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| Sep 26 | BofAML Global Real Estate Conference, New York |
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| Sep 28 | Societe Generale Pan-European Real Estate Conference, London |
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| Oct 10-11 | Roadshow Scandinavia, Copenhagen & Stockholm1 | |||||
| Nov 12-16 | Roadshow Asia (Tokyo, Seoul, HK, Kuala Lumpur, Singapore) | |||||
| Dec 6 | Interim results 9M 2018 | |||||
| Dec 7-13 | Roadshow Europe (Zurich, Paris, London, Amsterdam) | |||||
| Dec 12 | EPRA Corporate Access Day, London | |||||
| Mar 7, 2019 | FY2018 Results | |||||
| May 7, 2019 | Interim results 3M 2019 | |||||
| May 16, 2019 | Annual General Meeting | |||||
| Jun 4-5, 2019 | Capital Markets Day | |||||
| Aug 2, 2019 | Interim results 6M 2019 | |||||
| Nov 5, 2019 | Interim results 9M 2019 | |||||
| Pages | Content |
|---|---|
| 26-38 | H1 Results – Additional Data |
| 39-40 | Maintenance ≠ Capex ≠ Modernization Investments |
| 41-45 | Financing |
| 46-47 | Acquisitions |
| 48 | Dividend Track Record |
| 49 | Fair Value per sqm Evolution |
| 50 | Portfolio Evolution |
| 51-53 | Vonovia Shares |
| 54-59 | Sustainability |
| 60 | No Correlation between German Residential Yields and Interest Rates |
| 61 | Three Layers of Perception |
| 62-64 | Management Compensation |
| 65-69 | Pictures |
| 70 | Disclaimer |
| €m | H1 2018 | H1 2017 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rental income | 838.8 | 833.2 | +0.7% |
| Maintenance expenses | -131.6 | -127.3 | +3.4% |
| Operating expenses | -110.2 | -132.4 | -16.8% |
| Adj. EBITDA Rental | 597.0 | 573.5 | +4.1% |
| Income | 610.4 | 483.8 | +26.2% |
| of which external |
88.3 | 80.1 | +10.2% |
| of which internal |
522.1 | 403.7 | +29.3% |
| Operating expenses | -558.7 | -438.2 | +27.5% |
| Adj. EBITDA Value-add Business |
51.7 | 45.6 | +13.4% |
| Adj. EBITDA Other1 | -16.1 | -11.5 | +40.0% |
| Adj. EBITDA Operations | 632.6 | 607.6 | +4.1% |
1 Mainly consolidation
Driven by better operational performance and lower interest expenses, FFO1 was up 11.5% y-o-y or 2.5% per share (eop) in spite of 8.7% more issued shares.
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) |
H1 2018 | H1 2017 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adj. EBITDA Operations | 632.6 | 607.6 | 4.1% |
| Interest expense FFO 1 |
-114.3 | -138.0 | -17.2% |
| Current income taxes FFO 1 | -8.0 | -11.9 | -32.8% |
| FFO 1 | 510.3 | 457.7 | 11.5% |
| of which attributable to Vonovia's shareholders | 484.7 | 431.1 | 12.4% |
| of which attributable to Vonovia's hybrid capital investors | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0.0% |
| of which attributable to non-controlling interests | 5.6 | 6.6 | -15.2% |
| Capitalized maintenance | -49.1 | -30.5 | 61.0% |
| AFFO | 461.2 | 427.2 | 8.0% |
| Adjusted EBITDA Sales | 48.3 | 44.3 | 9.0% |
| Current income taxes FFO 2 | -13.8 | -20.1 | -31.3% |
| FFO 2 | 544.8 | 481.9 | 13.1% |
| FFO 1 € / share (eop NOSH) (H1 2018: 518.1m; H1 2017: 476.5m) |
0.98 | 0.96 | 2.5% |
| FFO 1 € / share (avg. NOSH) (H1 2018: 493.2m; H1 2017: 468.2m) |
1.03 | 0.98 | 5.8% |
• Back-of-an-envelope calculation: pro forma FFO 1 including full contribution from Buwog and Victoria Park in H1 would be ~€36m or ~7 cents higher
| Location | Project | Completion (est.) |
Investment volume |
Hold vs. sell (est.) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin | "Kompasshäuser" (50 resi units) "Haus an der Dahme" (33 resi units) (Part of 52° Nord Project with a total of 1,019 residential units of which 216 have been completed) |
05/2020 | ca. €30m | Hold Sell |
| Vienna | Marina Tower (486 resi units, 7 commercial units) Marina Plaza (409 resi units, Rezoning required) |
3/2021 10/2023 |
ca. €114m ca. €140m |
Hold Sell |
| Vienna | ERnteLAA (191 resi units, 3 commercial units) |
05/2020 | Ca. €36m | Hold Sell |
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | H1 2018 | H1 2017 | Delta | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFRS PROFIT FOR THE PERIOD | 1,200.0 | 1,064.6 | +12.7% | |
| Financial result1 | 195.7 | 148.6 | +31.7% | |
| Income taxes | 646.7 | 588.0 | +10.0% | |
| Depreciation and amortization | 23.3 | 14.9 | +56.4% | |
| Net income from fair value adjustments of investment properties | -1,372.9 | -1,164.7 | +17.9% | |
| = EBITDA IFRS | 692.8 | 651.4 | +6.4% | |
| EBITDA IFRS BUWOG |
-40.7 | - | - | |
| Non-recurring items | 50.5 | 46.3 | +9.1% | |
| Total period adjustments from assets held for sale | -7.8 | -32.9 | -76.3% | |
| Financial income from investments in other real estate companies | -13.9 | -12.9 | +7.8% | |
| = ADJUSTED EBITDA | 680.9 | 651.9 | +4.4% | |
| Adjusted EBITDA Sales | -48.3 | -44.3 | +9.0% | |
| = ADJUSTED EBITDA OPERATIONS | 632.6 | 607.6 | +4.1% | |
| FFO interest expense2 | -114.3 | -138.0 | -17.2% | |
| Current income taxes FFO1 | -8.0 | -11.9 | -32.8% | |
| = FFO1 | 510.3 | 457.7 | +11.5% | |
| Capitalized maintenance | -49.1 | -30.5 | +61.0% | |
| = AFFO | 461.2 | 427.2 | +8.0% | |
| Current income taxes Sales | -13.8 | -20.1 | -31.3% | |
| FFO2 (FFO1 incl. Adjusted EBITDA Sales / Current income taxes Sales) |
544.8 | 481.9 | +13.1% | |
| FFO1 per share in € (eop NOSH) |
0.98 | 0.96 | +2.5% | |
| AFFO per share in € (eop NOSH) |
0.89 | 0.90 | -0.8% | |
| Number of shares (million) eop | 518.1 | 476.5 |
1 Excluding income from investments. 2 Including financial income from investments in other real estate companies.
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | H1 2018 | H1 2017 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Income from property letting | 1,258.6 | 1,171.6 | +7.4% |
| Other income from property management | 24.3 | 20.8 | +16.7% |
| Income from property management | 1,282.9 | 1,192.4 | +7.6% |
| Income from disposal of properties | 386.4 | 701.9 | -44.9% |
| Carrying amount of properties sold | -340.5 | -664.9 | -48.8% |
| Revaluation of assets held for sale | 34.6 | 53.1 | -34.8% |
| Profit on disposal of properties | 80.5 | 90.1 | -10.7% |
| Income from the disposal of properties (Development) |
73.5 | - | - |
| Cost of sold properties |
-60.6 | - | - |
| Profit on the disposal of properties (Development) |
12.9 | - | - |
| Net income from fair value adjustments of investment properties | 1,372.9 | 1,164.7 | +17.9% |
| Capitalized internal expenses | 255.7 | 199.5 | +28.2% |
| Cost of materials | -627.3 | -569.5 | +10.1% |
| Personnel expenses | -236.9 | -207.6 | +14.1% |
| Depreciation and amortization | -23.3 | -14.9 | +56.4% |
| Other operating income | 50.4 | 51.5 | -2.1% |
| Other operating expenses | -146.8 | -124.4 | +18.0% |
| Financial income | 26.6 | 43.7 | -39.1% |
| Financial expenses | -200.9 | -172.9 | +16.2% |
| Earnings before taxes | 1,846.7 | 1,652.6 | +11.8% |
| Income taxes | -646.7 | -588.0 | +10.0% |
| Profit for the period | 1,200.0 | 1,064.6 | +12.7% |
| Attributable to: | |||
| Vonovia's shareholders |
1,143.4 | 993.2 | +15.1% |
| Vonovia's hybrid capital investors |
14.8 | 14.8 | 0% |
| Non-controlling interests | 41.8 | 56.6 | -26.1% |
| Earnings per share (basic and diluted) in € | 2.30 | 2.12 | +8.5% |
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | Jun. 30, 2018 | Dec. 31, 2017 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | |||
| Intangible assets | 3,705.7 | 2,637.1 | 40.5% |
| Property, plant and equipment | 222.1 | 177.6 | 25.1% |
| Investment properties | 40,992.2 | 33,182.8 | 23.5% |
| Financial assets | 808.4 | 698.0 | 15.8% |
| Other assets | 18.9 | 13.8 | 37.0% |
| Deferred tax assets | 10.5 | 10.3 | 1.9% |
| Total non-current assets | 45,757.8 | 36,719.6 | 24.6% |
| Inventories | 6.6 | 6.2 | 6.5% |
| Trade receivables | 441.0 | 234.9 | 87.7% |
| Financial assets | 14.2 | 0.5 | >100% |
| Other assets | 193.3 | 98.4 | 96.4% |
| Income tax receivables | 44.2 | 47.9 | -7.7% |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 865.8 | 266.2 | >100% |
| Real estate inventories | 309.7 | - | - |
| Assets held for sale | 155.0 | 142.6 | 8.7% |
| Total current assets | 2,029.8 | 796.7 | >100% |
| Total assets | 47,787.6 | 37,516.3 | 27.4% |
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | Jun. 30, 2018 | Dec. 31, 2017 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equity and liabilities | |||
| Subscribed capital | 518.1 | 485.1 | +6.8% |
| Capital reserves | 7,182.2 | 5,966.3 | +20.4% |
| Retained earnings | 8,978.8 | 8,471.6 | +6.0% |
| Other reserves | 237.1 | 157.8 | +50.3% |
| Total equity attributable to Vonovia's shareholders |
16,916.2 | 15,080.8 | +12.2% |
| Equity attributable to hybrid capital investors | 1,021.4 | 1,001.6 | +2.0% |
| Total equity attributable to Vonovia's shareholders and hybrid capital investors |
17,937.6 | 16,082.4 | +11.5% |
| Non-controlling interests | 937.7 | 608.8 | +54.0% |
| Total equity | 18,875.3 | 16,691.2 | +13.1% |
| Provisions | 603.5 | 607.2 | -0.6% |
| Trade payables | 1.0 | 2.4 | -58.3% |
| Non derivative financial liabilities | 17,848.6 | 12,459.4 | +43.3% |
| Derivatives | 68.8 | 8.7 | >100% |
| Liabilities from finance leases | 94.5 | 94.7 | -0.2% |
| Liabilities to non-controlling interests | 31.7 | 24.9 | +27.3% |
| Financial liabilities from tenant financing | 54.7 | - | - |
| Other liabilities | 49.9 | 65.3 | -23.6% |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 6,388.4 | 5,322.6 | +20.0% |
| Total non-current liabilities | 25,141.1 | 18,585.2 | +35.3% |
| Provisions | 405.1 | 376.5 | +7.6% |
| Trade payables | 207.4 | 130.7 | +58.7% |
| Non derivative financial liabilities | 1,926.0 | 1,601.1 | +20.3% |
| Derivatives | 362.2 | 4.4 | >100% |
| Liabilities from finance leases | 4.8 | 4.6 | +4.3% |
| Liabilities to non-controlling interests | 6.7 | 9.0 | -25.6% |
| Financial liabilities from tenant financing |
100.2 | 7.7 | >100% |
| Other liabilities | 758.8 | 105.9 | >100% |
| Total current liabilities | 3,771.2 | 2,239.9 | +68.4% |
| Total liabilities | 28,912.3 | 20,825.1 | +38.8% |
| Total equity and liabilities | 47,787.6 | 37,516.3 | +27.4% |
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | H1 2018 | H1 2017 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operating activities | 513.5 | 475.4 | 8.0% |
| Cash flow from investing activities | -3,158.7 | -1,179.0 | >100% |
| Cash flow from financing activities | 3,244.8 | -459.1 | --- |
| Net changes in cash and cash equivalents | 599.6 | -1,162.7 | --- |
| Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period | 266.2 | 1,540.8 | -82.7% |
| Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period | 865.8 | 378.1 | >100% |
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) |
H1 2018 | H1 2017 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Expenses for ancillary costs | 334.1 | 317.5 | 5.2% |
| Expenses for maintenance | 247.4 | 204.0 | 21.3% |
| Other cost of purchased goods and services | 45.8 | 48.0 | -4.6% |
| Total cost of materials | 627.3 | 569.5 | 10.1% |
| Fair value1 | In-place rent | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regional Market | (€m) | (€/sqm) | Residential units |
Living area ('000 sqm) |
Vacancy (%) |
Total (p.a., €m) |
Residential (p.a., €m) |
Residential (€/sqm/month) |
Organic rent growth (%) |
Multiple (in-place rent) |
Average rent growth forecast CBRE (5 yrs) (%) |
Reversionary potential2 (%) from Optimize Apartments |
| Berlin | 6,328 | 2,183 | 44,010 | 2,806 | 1.9 | 225 | 214 | 6.46 | 3.9 | 28.2 | 4.3 | 47.7 |
| Rhine Main Area (Frankfurt, Darmstadt, Wiesbaden) |
3,650 | 2,022 | 27,821 | 1,775 | 2.4 | 170 | 164 | 7.83 | 3.9 | 21.5 | 3.5 | 41.7 |
| Rhineland (Cologne, Düsseldorf, Bonn) |
3,376 | 1,650 | 29,699 | 1,989 | 3.0 | 168 | 160 | 6.91 | 3.3 | 20.1 | 3.1 | 27.1 |
| Southern Ruhr Area (Dortmund, Essen, Bochum) |
3,124 | 1,140 | 43,836 | 2,680 | 3.4 | 185 | 179 | 5.76 | 4.5 | 16.9 | 2.9 | 30.4 |
| Dresden | 2,980 | 1,275 | 38,576 | 2,194 | 2.8 | 161 | 151 | 5.88 | 3.8 | 18.5 | 3.7 | 33.2 |
| Hamburg | 2,348 | 1,796 | 20,095 | 1,274 | 1.7 | 107 | 102 | 6.80 | 4.6 | 22.0 | 3.3 | 43.7 |
| Munich | 1,902 | 2,900 | 9,695 | 637 | 0.9 | 64 | 60 | 7.88 | 3.7 | 29.9 | 4.8 | 55.1 |
| Stuttgart | 1,826 | 1,989 | 14,116 | 889 | 1.9 | 84 | 80 | 7.65 | 3.1 | 21.8 | 3.1 | 40.3 |
| Kiel | 1,816 | 1,289 | 23,475 | 1,351 | 2.0 | 101 | 95 | 6.00 | 5.6 | 18.0 | 3.2 | 39.9 |
| Hanover | 1,511 | 1,448 | 16,261 | 1,023 | 2.8 | 78 | 75 | 6.31 | 5.1 | 19.3 | 2.9 | 40.6 |
| Northern Ruhr Area (Duisburg, Gelsenkirchen) |
1,442 | 873 | 26,394 | 1,631 | 3.6 | 107 | 103 | 5.49 | 4.5 | 13.5 | 2.4 | 25.8 |
| Bremen | 1,036 | 1,365 | 12,090 | 733 | 3.5 | 50 | 47 | 5.54 | 3.1 | 20.9 | 3.6 | 29.7 |
| Leipzig | 809 | 1,303 | 9,166 | 587 | 5.1 | 42 | 39 | 5.85 | 3.0 | 19.4 | 2.9 | 25.5 |
| Westphalia (Münster, Osnabrück) | 723 | 1,164 | 9,475 | 614 | 2.5 | 42 | 41 | 5.77 | 5.1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 40.0 |
| Freiburg | 554 | 1,984 | 4,044 | 276 | 1.7 | 24 | 23 | 7.12 | 4.3 | 23.2 | 4.1 | 44.6 |
| Other Strategic Locations | 2,348 | 1,359 | 26,648 | 1,690 | 2.8 | 131 | 126 | 6.40 | 4.8 | 17.9 | 3.3 | 40.2 |
| Total Strategic Locations Germany |
35,772 | 1,567 | 355,401 | 22,149 | 2.7 | 1,738 | 1,659 | 6.41 | 4.1 | 20.6 | 3.4 | 36.4 |
| Austria | 2,468 | 1,299 | 23,215 | 1,733 | 4.2 | 108 | 91 | 4.56 | n/a | 22.8 | n/a | n/a |
| Sweden | 1,599 | 1,462 | 14,052 | 997 | 1.4 | 115 | 104 | 8.83 | n/a | 14.0 | n/a | n/a |
Note: In-place rents in Austria and Sweden are not fully comparable to Germany, as Sweden, for example, includes certain ancillary costs. The table above shows the rental level unadjusted to the German definition.
1 Fair value of the developed land excluding € 1,205.4 million, of which € 344.5 million for undeveloped land and inheritable building rights granted, € 251.9 million for assets under construction, € 461.7 million for development and € 147.3 million for other. 2 Average spread between new rents and old rents for all relettings under Optimize Apartment investment strategy.
1All numbers stand-alone Vonovia, excluding Buwog and Victoria Park.
| Capex is a maintenance expense that is capitalized on the balance sheet because it has a value-enhancing element. |
|
|---|---|
| Modernization is not capex |
In contrast to modernization investments, capex does not result in rent growth. |
| Capex is not discretionary. | |
| Our annual €1bn modernization program does not require new equity. | |
| The equity portion comes from the FFO 1 funds that are not paid out as dividends. |
|
| Modernization is NAV accretive |
The remainder is funded with debt (often specific debt facilities dedicated to modernization work and at very favorable terms). |
| The value rerating following the modernization work renders the investment program LTV neutral. |
|
| Modernization investment leads to rent growth and increases performance (and dividend potential). |
|
| In terms of cash, modernization is similar |
Equity or organic cash flow is invested (usually supplemented with debt) for a return. |
| to an acquisition | The yield on that investment contributes to future rent growth / cash flows. |
| Description | Relevant for FFO and P&L |
Relevant for AFFO |
Relevant for cash flow |
Comes with a yield and generates rent growth |
Capitalized on the balance sheet |
German Civil Code Regulation |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| e esi bl a R h |
Maintenance expenses |
• Required to broadly maintain the property value |
||||||
| n s ui a g m n er sti G y di n |
Capitalized expenses |
Protect future • EBITDAs Reactive, non • discretionary |
§558 | |||||
| es i arl e ori e cl g e hre cat T |
Modernization investments |
• Changes character of a building or flat • Enhance future EBITDAs • Pro-active, discretionary |
§559 |
Source: Dealogic, Bloomberg, Broker research, Deutsche Bundesbank, Verband deutscher Pfandbriefbanken (VdP), FactSet.
1 Quarterly Mortgage Pfandbrief issuances for 2005-2012 based on equal distribution of annual issuances based on VdP data; 2013 -3Q2017 figures based on Deutsche Bundesbank
2 Corporate bond issuance volume includes senior unsecured and hybrid bonds ≥ €50m, issued in EUR in Western Europe
3 Excludes Mortgage Pfandbriefe in Q2 2018 as data not yet available.
Currently used by Vonovia
| Bond KPIs | Covenant | Level | Jun 30, 2018 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTV | <60% | 41% | ||
| Total Debt / Total Assets | ||||
| Secured LTV | <45% | 12% | ||
| Secured Debt / Total Assets |
||||
| ICR1 | >1.80x | 5.1x | ||
| Last 12M EBITDA / Last 12M Interest Expense |
||||
| Unencumbered Assets |
>125% | 215% | ||
| Unencumbered Assets / Unsecured Debt |
| Rating KPIs | Covenant | Level (BBB+) |
|---|---|---|
| Debt to Capital Total Debt / Total Equity + Total Debt |
<60% | |
| ICR Last 12M EBITDA / Last 12M Interest Expense |
>1.80x |
1 excl. Buwog and Victoria Park.
| Rating agency | Rating | Outlook | Last Update |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard & Poor's | BBB+ | Stable | 02 Aug 2018 |
| Name | Tenor & Coupon | ISIN | Amount | Issue price | Coupon | Final Maturity Date | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bond 002 (EUR-Bond) | 6 years 3.125% | DE000A1HNW52 | € 600m | 99.935% | 3.125% | 25 July 2019 | BBB+ |
| Bond 004 (USD-Bond) | 10 years 5.000% | US25155FAB22 | USD 250m | 98.993% | 4.580%1 | 02 Oct 2023 | BBB+ |
| Bond 005 (EMTN) | 8 years 3.625% | DE000A1HRVD5 | € 500m | 99.843% | 3.625% | 08 Oct 2021 | BBB+ |
| Bond 006 (Hybrid) | 60 years 4.625% | XS1028959671 | € 700m | 99.782% | 4.625% | 08 Apr 2074 | BBB |
| Bond 007 (EMTN) | 8 years 2.125% | DE000A1ZLUN1 | € 500m | 99.412% | 2.125% | 09 July 2022 | BBB+ |
| Bond 008 (Hybrid) | perpetual 4.000% | XS1117300837 | € 1,000m | 100.000% | 4.000% | perpetual | BBB |
| Bond 009A (EMTN) | 5 years 0.875% | DE000A1ZY971 | € 500m | 99.263% | 0.875% | 30 Mar 2020 | BBB+ |
| Bond 009B (EMTN) | 10 years 1.500% | DE000A1ZY989 | € 500m | 98.455% | 1.5000% | 31 Mar 2025 | BBB+ |
| Bond 010B (EMTN) | 5 years 1.625% | DE000A18V138 | € 1,250m | 99.852% | 1.625% | 15 Dec 2020 | BBB+ |
| Bond 010C (EMTN) | 8 years 2.250% | DE000A18V146 | € 1,000m | 99.085% | 2.2500% | 15 Dec 2023 | BBB+ |
| Bond 011A (EMTN) | 6 years 0.875% | DE000A182VS4 | € 500m | 99.530% | 0.875% | 10 Jun 2022 | BBB+ |
| Bond 011B (EMTN) | 10 years 1.500% | DE000A182VT2 | € 500m | 99.165% | 1.5000% | 10 Jun 2026 | BBB+ |
| Bond 012 (EMTN) | 2 years 3M EURIBOR+0.380% | DE000A185WC9 | € 500m | 100.000% | 0.140% hedged | 13 Sep 2018 | BBB+ |
| Bond 013 (EMTN) | 8 years 1.250% | DE000A189ZX0 | € 1,000m | 99.037% | 1.250% | 06 Dec 2024 | BBB+ |
| Bond 014A (EMTN) | 5 years 0.750% | DE000A19B8D4 | € 500m | 99.863% | 0.750% | 25 Jan 2022 | BBB+ |
| Bond 014B (EMTN) | 10 years 1.750% | DE000A19B8E2 | € 500m | 99.266% | 1.750% | 25 Jan 2027 | BBB+ |
| Bond 015 (EMTN) | 8 years 1.125% | DE000A19NS93 | € 500m | 99.386% | 1.125% | 08 Sep 2025 | BBB+ |
| Bond 016 (EMTN) | 2 years 3M EURIBOR+0.350% | DE000A19SE11 | € 500m | 100.448% | 3M EURIBOR+0.350% | 20 Nov 2019 | BBB+ |
| Bond 017A (EMTN) | 6 years 0.750% | DE000A19UR61 | € 500m | 99.330% | 0.750% | 15 Jan 2024 | BBB+ |
| Bond 017B (EMTN) | 10 years 1.500% | DE000A19UR79 | € 500m | 100.805% | 1.500% | 14 Jan 2028 | BBB+ |
| Bond 018A (EMTN) | 4.75 years 3M EURIBOR+0.450% | DE000A19X793 | € 600m | 100.000% | 0.793% hedged | 22 Dec 2022 | BBB+ |
| Bond 018B (EMTN) | 8 years 1.500% | DE000A19X8A4 | € 500m | 99.188% | 1.500% | 22 Mar 2026 | BBB+ |
| Bond 018C (EMTN) | 12 years 2.125% | DE000A19X8B2 | € 500m | 98.967% | 2.125% | 22 Mar 2030 | BBB+ |
| Bond 018D (EMTN) | 20 years 2.750% | DE000A19X8C0 | € 500m | 97.896% | 2.750% | 22 Mar 2038 | BBB+ |
| Bond 019 (EMTN) | 5 years 0.875% | DE000A192ZH7 | € 500m | 99.437% | 0.875% | 03 Jul 2023 | BBB+ |
1 EUR-equivalent Coupon
Company Presentation – September 2018
| Larger acquisitions (>1,000 units deal size) |
Fair Value in EUR/sqm |
In-place rent in EUR/sqm |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ar e Y |
Deal | Residential units # |
TOP Locations | @ Acquisition | 30.06.2018 | ∆ | @ Acquisition | 30.06.2018 | ∆ |
| 4 1 0 |
DEWAG | 11,300 | Berlin, Hamburg, Cologne, Frankfurt/Main |
1,344 | 2,014 | 50% | 6.76 | 7.61 | 13% |
| 2 | VITUS | 20,500 | Bremen, Kiel | 807 | 1,334 | 65% | 5.06 | 5.66 | 12% |
| 5 1 0 2 |
GAGFAH | 144,600 | Dresden, Berlin, Hamburg |
889 | 1,493 | 68% | 5.40 | 6.17 | 14% |
| FRANCONIA | 4,100 | Berlin, Dresden | 1,044 | 1,727 | 65% | 5.82 | 6.44 | 11% | |
| SÜDEWO | 19,400 | Stuttgart, Karlsruhe, Mannheim, Ulm |
1,380 | 1,836 | 33% | 6.83 | 7.34 | 8% | |
| 6 1 0 2 |
GRAINGER/Heitman | 2,400 | Munich, Mannheim | 1,501 | 2,020 | 35% | 7.09 | 7.74 | 9% |
| 7 1 |
conwert (Germany & Austria) |
23,400 | Berlin, Leipzig, Potsdam, Wien |
1,353 | 1,694 | 25% | 5.88 | 6.25 | 6% |
| 0 2 |
thereof Germany |
21,200 | Berlin, Leipzig, Potsdam |
1,218 | 1,586 | 30% | 5.86 | 6.15 | 5% |
| thereof Austria |
2,200 | Vienna | 1,986 | 2,243 | 13% | 6.11 | 7.16 | 17% |
Note: Without most recent acquisitions in 2018
1 Rental income + EBITDA Value-add Business and Other; excluding sales effects. 2 Midpoint guidance.
In-place values are still way below replacement values, in spite of accelerating valuation growth in recent years.
Note: VNA 2010 – 2014 refers to Deutsche Annington Portfolio at the time; construction costs excluding land. The land value refers to share of total fair value allocated to land. Source for market costs: Arbeitsgemeinschaft für zeitgemäßes Bauen e.V.
Company Presentation – September 2018
Vonovia location
High-influx cities ("Schwarmstädte"). For more information: http://investoren.vonovia.de/websites/vonovia/English/4050/financial-reports-_-presentations.html
| Date | NOSH (million) |
Comment |
|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2016 | 466.0 | |
| March 31, 2017 |
468.8 | conwert acquisition |
| June 30, 2017 | 476.5 | Scrip dividend |
| September 30, 2017 | 485.1 | Gagfah cross-border merger |
| December 31, 2017 | 485.1 | |
| March 31, 2018 | 485.1 | |
| June 30, 2018 |
518.1 | €1bn ABB in 05/2018; scrip dividend |
The number of outstanding shares is always available at http://investoren.vonovia.de/websites/vonovia/English/2010/key-share-information.html
In 2017, Vonovia invested >€1 bn in its properties, including maintenance. Volume of modernization ~€779 m, almost 65% above 2016.
Vonovia exceeded the German government's targets for the energy efficient renovation of housing stock: 3 % of apartments are to be modernized p.a., Vonovia has hit 5 %. Nationwide, this rate is around 1 %.
For new constructions, Vonovia considers feasibility of photovoltaics; within 2 years, volume of electricity generated by our own photovoltaic systems has grown from 0 to a total of 5,510 MWh, resulting in an annual saving of 2,900 metric tons of carbon dioxide.
We are currently working on equipping existing units with photovoltaic systems and explore further possibilities: e.g. additional use of battery storage systems, cogeneration units and corresponding e-mobility concepts for tenants. The first charging stations for
e-cars are to be built on Vonovia premises before the end of 2018.
"It is our social responsibility to act sustainably in order to support requirements by the German federal government. However, we also see declining acceptance for modernization measures, in particular in cities with a shortage in housing. That is why, with our projects, we have to pay even greater attention to ensuring that there is no displacement and that people can stay in their homes. We want to provide security to our tenants."
The overall focus is a new modern and functional sports ground. In addition, a new youth center has been created, where sports activities, career counselling, holiday programs, and handicraft courses take place.
33% women on Vonovia's Supervisory Board.
Trainees at Vonovia: 5.5% of total workforce. Vonovia is above average: According to the Federal Institute for Vocational Education and Training, the number for larger companies is at 4.5%.
While market prices are affected by general interest rate levels, there is no significant correlation.
1 Yearly asset yields vs. rolling 200d average of 10y interest rates Sources: Thomson Reuters, bulwiengesa
100% of annual fixed remuneration (excl. pension) (accumulation on a pro rata basis during first 4 years)
FFO1 is key figure in the industry for managing the sustained operational earnings power of our business.
Rationale
This presentation has been specifically prepared by Vonovia SE and/or its affiliates (together, "Vonovia") for internal use. Consequently, it may not be sufficient or appropriate for the purpose for which a third party might use it.
This presentation has been provided for information purposes only and is being circulated on a confidential basis. This presentation shall be used only in accordance with applicable law, e.g. regarding national and international insider dealing rules, and must not be distributed, published or reproduced, in whole or in part, nor may its contents be disclosed by the recipient to any other person. Receipt of this presentation constitutes an express agreement to be bound by such confidentiality and the other terms set out herein.
This presentation includes statements, estimates, opinions and projections with respect to anticipated future performance of Vonovia ("forward-looking statements") which reflect various assumptions concerning anticipated results taken from Vonovia's current business plan or from public sources which have not been independently verified or assessed by Vonovia and which may or may not prove to be correct. Any forward-looking statements reflect current expectations based on the current business plan and various other assumptions and involve significant risks and uncertainties and should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. Any forward-looking statements only speak as at the date the presentation is provided to the recipient. It is up to the recipient of this presentation to make its own assessment of the validity of any forward-looking statements and assumptions and no liability is accepted by Vonovia in respect of the achievement of such forward-looking statements and assumptions.
Vonovia accepts no liability whatsoever to the extent permitted by applicable law for any direct, indirect or consequential loss or penalty arising from any use of this presentation, its contents or preparation or otherwise in connection with it.
No representation or warranty (whether express or implied) is given in respect of any information in this presentation or that this presentation is suitable for the recipient's purposes. The delivery of this presentation does not imply that the information herein is correct as at any time subsequent to the date hereof.
Vonovia has no obligation whatsoever to update or revise any of the information, forward-looking statements or the conclusions contained herein or to reflect new events or circumstances or to correct any inaccuracies which may become apparent subsequent to the date hereof.
This presentation does not, and is not intended to, constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to purchase, subscribe for or otherwise acquire, any securities of the Company nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with or act as any inducement to enter into any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever.
This presentation is neither an advertisement nor a prospectus and is made available on the express understanding that it does not contain all information that may be required to evaluate, and will not be used by the attendees/recipients in connection with, the purchase of or investment in any securities of the Company. This presentation is selective in nature and does not purport to contain all information that may be required to evaluate the Company and/or its securities. No reliance may or should be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation, or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness.
This presentation is not directed to or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction.
Neither this presentation nor the information contained in it may be taken, transmitted or distributed directly or indirectly into or within the United States, its territories or possessions. This presentation is not an offer of securities for sale in the United States. The securities of the Company have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act") or with any securities regulatory authority of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States. Consequently, the securities of the Company may not be offered, sold, resold, transferred, delivered or distributed, directly or indirectly, into or within in the United States except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and in compliance with any applicable securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States unless registered under the Securities Act.
Tables and diagrams may include rounding effects.
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