AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Vonovia SE

Investor Presentation Jun 9, 2016

477_ip_2016-06-09_b0f164c7-aedc-41ac-94ea-8b10d04230bc.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

Investor Presentation June 2016

Reputation & Customer Satisfaction
al
n
Property Mgmt.
o
1
diti
Strategy
Tra
Systematic optimization of operating
performance and core business productivity
through leveraging scaling effects
High degree of standardization and
industrialization throughout the entire
organization
Financing Strategy
2
Ensure well-balanced financing mix and
maturity profile with low financing costs,
investment grade credit rating and adequate
liquidity at all times
Fast and unfettered access to equity and debt
capital markets at all times
Acquisition
5
Strategy
Portfolio Mgmt.
3
Strategy
Portfolio optimization by way of tactical
acquisitions and non-core/non-strategic
disposals to ensure exposure to strong local
markets
Pro-active development of the portfolio through
investments to offer the right products in the
right markets and on a long-term basis
Continuous review of on-
and
off-market opportunities to lever
economies of scale and apply
strategic pillars 1-4 to a growing
portfolio
All acquisitions must meet the
four stringent acquisition criteria
e
v
ati
4
Extension Strategy
v
o
n
n
I
Expansion of core business to extend the value
chain by offering additional services and
products that are directly linked to our
customers and/or the properties
Insourcing of services to ensure maximum
process management and cost control

Investor Presentation June 2016

1. Property Management Strategy

  • Economies of scale evident in cost per unit
  • Incremental cost per unit for new acquisitions tend to be substantially lower

Cost per unit defined as: (Rental income – adj. EBITDA Rental + Maintenance) / average number of units

2. Financing Strategy

CMBS overview as of March 31, 2016
Name Amount Rate Maturity
GRF-1 €1,845m 2.80% Aug 2018
GRF-2 €658m 2.69% Nov 2018
Taurus €1,029m 3.35% May 2018
Total €3,532m 2.94%

Vonovia's finance structure is based on

  • a broad mix funding sources
  • the reduction of future refinancing risks
  • Refinancing of 2018 GAGFAH legacy CMBS will result in a well-balanced maturity profile.
  • Refinancing volume of approx. €7 bn in the upcoming three years brings opportunity for further sustainable capital structure optimization
  • Proceeds of €3bn Dec 2015 EMTN have been/will be used for
  • DW share purchase
  • prepayment of secured instruments
  • refinancing of upcoming €0.7bn bond expiring July 2016 and
  • general corporate purposes.
  • On June 6, 2016, VNA issued two €500m bonds with an average maturity of eight years and a coupon of 1.19% (more than three times oversubscribed).

3. Portfolio Management Strategy - Total Return Matrix

Note: The chart above does not take into consideration object quality or micro location.

3. Portfolio Management Strategy - Investments

  • Growing investments at a minimum 7% yield (unlevered)
  • New initiatives and space creation with increasing significance
  • Earnings impact mostly one year following the investment

* According to Program Year

4. Extension Strategy - Innovation as Growth Driver

Continuous flow of innovative projects that are all immediately linked to the apartment or customer/rental contract

5. Acquisition Strategy

Stringent acquisition criteria

  • Strategic Fit
  • Rating neutral
  • FFO per share accretive
  • NAV per share non-dilutive
FY 2015
actuals
Guidance 2016
old
Guidance
2016
new
L-f-l rental growth 2.9% 2.8-3.0% 2.8-3.0%
Vacancy 2.7% ~3% ~2.7%
Rental Income €1,415m €1,500-1,520m €1,520-1,540m
FFO1 €608m €690-710m €720-740
FFO1/share (eop
NOSH)
€1.30 €1.48-1.52 €1.55-1.59
EPRA
NAV/share
€30.02 €30-31 €30-31
Adj.
NAV/share
€24.19 €24-25 €24-25
Maintenance €331m ~€330m ~€330m
Modernization €356m €430-500m €430-500m
Privatization (#) 2,979 ~2,400 ~2,400
FMV step-up (Privatization) 30.5% ~30% ~30%
Non-core (#) 12,195 opportunistic opportunistic
FMV step-up (Non-Core) 9.2% ~0% ~0%
Dividend/share €0.94 ~70% of FFO 1 €1.05
(+12% y-o-y)

Strong performance in Q1 2016

  • Industrialization effects achieved faster and better than originally anticipated
  • In-place rent of €5.84 (+5.6% y-o-y). L-f-l rent growth of 2.9% y-o-y
  • Adjusted EBITDA Operations1 of €276.1m or €776 per unit (+6.4% y-o-y)
  • FFO 1 of 186.3m or €0.40 per share (up 26% on a per-share basis)
  • EPRA NAV per share of €30.15; adj. NAV per share of €24.32

Guidance Increase for 2016 based on Q1 operational excellence

  • Rental income €1,520m €1,540m
  • Vacancy rate ~2.7%
  • FFO €720m €740m (€1.55 €1.59 per share; +21% y-o-y)
  • DPS €1.05 (+12% y-o-y)

Investment Program 2016 rolled out and underway

  • €430m €500m investment volume
  • Program fully on track with €117m of projects already underway
  • Increasing focus of new initiatives and space creation

1 Adjusted EBITDA Operations = adj. EBITDA Rental + adj. EBITDA Extension + adj. EBITDA Other Q1 2015 per share data is TERP-adjusted

Q1 2016 Q1 2015 Delta
In-place rent €/month/sqm 5.84 5.53 5.6%
In-place rent l-f-l €/month/sqm 5.76 5.60 2.9%
+6.4% per unit L-f-l rent growth % 2.9 2.6 +0.3pp
(€776 vs. €729) Vacancy rate % 2.8 3.4 -0.6pp
Rental income €m 392.0 263.6 48.7%
Adj. EBITDA Operations €m 276.1 182.5 51.3%
of which Adj. EBITDA Rental €m 269.0 177.1 51.9%
of which Adj. EBITDA Extension €m 7.6 5.5 38.2%
+11.1% per unit of which Adj. EBITDA Other €m -0.5 -0.1 ---
(€523 vs. €471) FFO 1 €m 186.3 118.0 57.9%
FFO 1 per share (eop NOSH) 0.40 0.32 26.1%
FFO 1 per share (avg. NOSH) 0.40 0.38 5.2%
AFFO €m 171.7 99.7 72.2%
Adj. EBITDA Sales €m 35.0 9.5 ---
Adj. EBITDA (Total) €m 311.1 192.0 62.0%
FFO 2 €m 195.1 125.2 55.8%
+2.0% per sqm
(€1,075 vs.
€1,054)
March 31, 2016 Dec. 31, 2015 Delta
Fair value of real estate
portfolio
€m 23,814.4 24,157.7 -1.4%
EPRA NAV €/share 30.15 30.02 0.4%
Adj. EPRA NAV €/share 24.32 24.19 0.5%
LTV % 45.8 46.9 -1.1pp

Q1 2015 per share data is TERP-adjusted

All per share numbers as per end of respective period: Q1 2016 = 466.0m; Q1 2015 = 354.1m shares

Investor Presentation June 2016

Growing Adj. EBITDA Operations

  • Adjusted EBITDA Operations margin of 70.3% in Q1 2016, up from 69.2% in Q1 2015
  • Excluding expensed repairs and maintenance and including the full platform costs, the adj. EBITDA margin was 85.2%

page 14

Investor Presentation June 2016

Maintenance Expense and Capitalized Maintenance vs. Modernization

  • Reactive maintenance of €73.5m (€3.31 per sqm) in Q1 2016 with €58.6m for maintenance expense and €14.9m for capitalized maintenance
  • Pro-active modernization investments of 51.9m (€2.34 per sqm) in Q1 2016 in the context of our 2016 modernization and investment program
€m Q1 2016 Q1 2015 Delta €/sqm Q1 2016 Q1 2015 Delta
Expenses for maintenance 58.6 43.8 33.8% Expenses for maintenance 2.64 2.78 -5.0%
Capitalized maintenance 14.9 18.5 -19.5% Capitalized maintenance 0.67 1.18 -43.2%
Total 73.5 62.3 18.0% Total 3.31 3.96 -16.4%
Modernization
Investments
51.9 35.2 47.4% Modernization
investments
2.34 2.23 4.9%

Maintenance or Modernization

Illustrative Flow of Funds
Rental Income
- Maintenance Expense
- Operating expenses ("Platform costs")
+ adj. EBITDA Extension and Other
= Adj. EBITDA Operations
- Interest
- Current
Income Tax Rental
= FFO 1
- Capitalized Maintenance
= AFFO

MAINTENANCE

  • Allocation between expensed maintenance and capitalized maintenance is a major swing factor in operating margin
  • Regardless of the capitalization rate, however, both combined are largely governed by German Civil Code §558 and essentially protect future EBITDAs as they are reactive, non-discretionary measures.
  • Represent what is required to broadly maintain the property value.

+ cash from sales, financing

Investments

Modernization & Space Creation

FFO per Share up 26% y-o-y

First-time disclosure of FFO attributable to minorities

€m (unless indicated otherwise) Q1 2016 Q1 2015 Delta
Adj. EBITDA Operations 276.1 182.5 51.3%
FFO interest expense -86.0 -63.2 36.1%
Current income tax (Operations) -3.8 -1.3 192.3%
FFO 1 186.3 118.0 57.9%
of which attributable to shareholders 173.3 110.3 57.1%
of which attributable to hybrid investors 10.0 2.8 257.1%
of which attributable to minorities 3.0 4.9 -38.8%
Capitalized maintenance -14.6 -18.3 -20.2%
AFFO 171.7 99.7 72.2%
Current income tax (Sales) -26.2 -2.3 >100%
FFO 2 195.1 125.2 55.8%
FFO 1 €
/ share
0.40 0.32 26.1%
AFFO €
/ share
0.37 0.27 37.5%

Q1 2015 per share data is TERP-adjusted

EPRA NAV Broadly Unchanged - As Expected

No portfolio revaluation in Q1 (next portfolio valuation is at year end)

€m (unless indicated otherwise) March 31, 2016 Dec. 31, 2015 Delta
Equity attributable to Vonovia's
shareholders
10,628.4 10,620.5 0.1%
Deferred taxes on investment properties and assets
held for sale
3,217.8 3,241.2 -0.7%
Fair value of derivative financial instruments 1 268.9 169.9 58.3%
Deferred taxes on derivative financial instruments -66.9 -43.4 54.1%
EPRA NAV 14,048.2 13,988.2 0.4%
Goodwill -2,716.6 -2,714.7 0.1%
Adj. EPRA NAV 11,331.6 11,273.5 0.5%
EPRA NAV €/share 30.15 30.02 0.4%
Adj. EPRA NAV €/share 24.32 24.19 0.5%

1 Adjusted for effects from cross currency swaps

Further LTV Reduction

€m (unless indicated otherwise) March 31, 2016 Dec. 31, 2015 Delta
Non-derivative financial liabilities 14,705.0 14,939.9 -1.6%
Foreign exchange rate effects -140.4 -179.4 -21.7%
Cash and cash equivalents -3,146.2 -3,107.9 1.2%
Net debt 11,418.4 11,652.6 -2.0%
Sales receivables -295.3 -330.0 -10.5%
Additional loan amount for outstanding acquisitions --- 134.9 n/a
Adj. net debt 11,123.1 11,457.5 -2.9%
Fair value of real estate portfolio 23,814.4 24,157.7 -1.4%
Fair value of outstanding acquisitions --- 240.0 n/a
Shares in other real estate companies 460.6 13.7 >100%
Adj. fair value of real estate portfolio 24,275.0 24,411.4 -0.6%
LTV 45.8% 46.9% -1.1pp

Accounting treatment:

  • Deutsche Wohnen shares are accounted for under "available for-sale securities" in IFRS (in non-current assets)
  • Initial inclusion at purchase cost of €405.5 million
  • Accounting on a mark-to-market basis, with adjustments to fair market value accounted for in "other comprehensive income"

LTV treatment

Included with market value in LTV denominator

FFO interest expense treatment

FFO interest expense includes interest expense for share purchase (€~6m) and would include any dividend payments (€~9.1m1)

Vonovia stake2
# shares 16.8m
Avg. purchase price per share €24.10
Market value €500.4m
Value mark-up €95.1m
Premium vs purchase 23.5%

1 Based on current 2015 DPS guidance by Deutsche Wohnen 2 As of June 7, 2016

Action-driven Portfolio Clustering

  • More than 50% of current portfolio in Upgrade Buildings and Optimize Apartments cluster offer significant investment potential for sustainable organic growth
  • KPIs of Strategic Clusters underline strength of Vonovia's core portfolio
March 31, 2016 Residential
Units
In-place
rent
New
letting
rent
Vacancy
Rate
Fair value Fair value Multiple
(€/sqm) (€/sqm) (%) (€bn) (€/sqm) (in-place
rent)
Operate 125,556 5.92 6.44 2.4 8.7 1,063 14.8
Upgrade buildings 102,752 5.81 6.63 2.3 6.9 1,094 15.8
Optimize apartments 73,413 6.08 7.15 2.2 5.7 1,207 16.9
Subtotal Strategic
Clusters
301,721 5.93 6.64 2.3 21.3 1,108 15.7
Non-strategic 13,570 4.74 4.72 6.8 0.5 589 11.0
Privatize 18,819 5.85 6.51 4.5 1.5 1,165 17.0
Non-core 9,857 4.50 4.84 10.0 0.3 518 10.8
Total 343,967 5.84 6.46 2.8 23.7 1,075 15.5

Sales Program Fully on Track

  • Q1 2016 sales mostly related to the LEG portfolio sale announced in Q4 2015
  • Excluding sale to LEG, Q1 sales results were in line with previous year
€m (unless indicated
otherwise)
Q1 2016 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Q1 2015
Privatization Non-core/Non-strategic Total
No. of units sold 890 553 14,661 1,936 15,551 2,489
Income from disposal 73.8 51.4 616.7 71.6 690.5 123.0
Fair value of disposal -56.4 -37.6 -594.3 -71.0 -650.7 -108.6
Adj. profit from
disposal
17.4 13.8 22.4 0.6 39.8 14.4
Fair value step-up
(%)
30.9% 36.7% 3.8% 0.8%

Rene Hoffmann Head of Investor Relations Vonovia SE Philippstr. 3 44803 Bochum Germany

+49 234 314 1629 [email protected] [email protected] www.vonovia.de

Contact Financial Calendar 2016

June 9 Deutsche Bank GSA Conference, Berlin
June 20 -
23
EPRA Asia
Roadshow
August 2 Interim report H1 2016
September 14 BAML Global Real Estate Conference, NYC
September 19 Berenberg
/ Goldman Sachs German Corporate
Conference 2016, Munich
September 20 Baader
Investment Conference, Munich
November 30 UBS Global Real Estate CEO / CFO Conference,
London
November 3 Interim report 9M 2016

APPENDIX

VONOVIA
--------- -- --
Bridge to Adjusted
EBITDA (€m)
Q1 2016 Q1 2015 Change (%)
Profit for the period 79.2 30.3 161.4
Net interest result 131.3 98.1 33.8
Income taxes 42.8 22.8 87.7
Depreciation 4.4 2.0 120.0
Net income
from fair value adjustments of investment properties
NA NA NA
EBITDA IFRS 257.7 153.2 68.2
Non-recurring
items
26.7 38.9 -31.4
Total period adjustments from assets held for sale 26.7 -0.1 na
Adjusted EBITDA 311.1 192.0 62.0
Adjusted EBITDA Sales -35.0 -9.5 268.4
Adjusted EBITDA Other 0.5 0.1 400.0
Adjusted EBITDA Extension -7.6 -5.5 38.2
= Adjusted EBITDA Rental 269.0 177.1 51.9
Adjusted EBITDA Extension 7.6 5.5 38.2
Adjusted EBITDA Other -0.5 -0.1 400.0
Interest
expense FFO
-86.0 -63.2 36.1
Current income taxes FFO 1* -3.8 -1.3 192.3
=FFO 1 186.3 118.0 57.9
Capitalised maintenance -14.6 -18.3 -20.2
= AFFO 171.7 99.7 72.2
Current income taxes Sales* -26.2 -2.3 na
FFO 2 (FFO incl. Adjusted
EBITDA Sales/current income taxes sales)
195.1 125.2 55.8
FFO 1 per share in €** 0.40 0.32 26.1
AFFO
per share in €**
0.37 0.27 37.5
Number of shares 466,001 354,106 31.6
  • EBITDA increase mainly driven by rental business
  • Adjusted EBITDA Rental reflects acquisitions as well as operational performance
  • The increase of the adjusted EBITDA Extension reflects our expansion strategy to the extent they are not accounted for under rental income
  • Increase of adjusted EBITDA Sales mainly due to higher Non-core sales volume and higher Non-core step-ups

Investor Presentation June 2016

€m Q1 2016 Q1 2015 Change (%)
Income from property letting 556.6 380.9 46.1 Increase mainly acquisition-related, additionally in
Other income from property management 9.3 5.9 57.6 place rent on a like-for-like basis increased by 2.9%;
additionally vacancy rate decreased by 0.6pp
Income from property management 565.9 386.8 46.3
Income from disposal of properties 690.5 123.0 461.4
Carrying amount of properties sold -683.0 -115.8 489.8
Revaluation of assets held for sale 5.6 7.3 -23.3 Increase due to higher Non-core Sales volume, including LEG
portfolio sale of 13,570 units
Profit on disposal of properties 13.1 14.5 -9.7
Net income from fair value adjustments of investment properties na na na
Capitalized internal expenses 49.4 26.5 86.4 Q1/2016 increase in-sourcing effect of craftsmen organization
Cost of materials -244.1 -171.8 42.1 and larger volume of maintenance and modernization work
Personnel expenses -92.9 -60.7 53.0
Depreciation and amortisation -4.4 -2.0 120.0 Ramp-up from 5,537 to 6,683 employees leads to increased
personnel expenses which primarily result from TGS growth
Other operating income 23.6 19.8 19.2
Other operating expenses -57.3 -61.9 -7.4
Financial income 9.5 0.7 na
Financial expenses -140.8 -98.8 42.5 Increase basically driven by issuing EMTN Bond of €3.0bn in
December 2015
Earnings before tax 122.0 53.1 129.8
Income taxes -42.8 -22.8 87.7
Profit for the period 79.2 30.3 161.4
Attributable to:
Vonovia's shareholders 56.5 19.6 188.3
Vonovia's hybrid capital investors 7.4 7.4 0.0
Non-controlling interests 15.3 3.3 363.6 The figures
from 2015 are only comparable to a
limited extent due to acquisitions made during the
Earnings per share (basis and diluted) in € 0.12 0.06 92.1 fiscal year 2015

Balance Sheet (1/2)

€m Mar 31,
2016
Dec 31, 2015 Change (%)
Intangible Assets 2,741.3 2,724.0 0.6
Property, plant and equipment 76.4 70.7 8.1
Investment properties 23,720.6 23,431.3 1.2
Financial assets 630.1 221.7 184.2
Other assets 27.4 158.5 -82.7
Income tax receivables 0.1 0.1 0.0
Deferred tax assets 72.3 72.3 0.0
Total non-current assets 27,268.2 26,678.6 2.2
Inventories 3.8 3.8 0.0
Trade receivables 319.6 352.2 -9.3
Financial assets 2.0 2.0 0.0
Other assets 160.0 113.4 41.1
Income tax receivables 20.8 23.1 -10.0
Cash and cash equivalents 3,146.2 3,107.9 1.2
Assets held for sale 51.2 678.1 -92.4
Total current assets 3,703.6 4,280.5 -13.5
Total assets 30,971.8 30.959.1 0.0

Balance Sheet (2/2)

€m Mar 31,
2016
Dec 31, 2015 Change (%)
Subscribed capital 466.0 466.0 0.0
Capital reserves 5,892.5 5,892.5 0.0
Retained earnings 4,346.0 4,309.9 0.8
Other reserves -76.1 -47.9 58.9
Total equity attributable to Vonovia's shareholders 10,628.4 10,620.5 0.1
Equity attributable to hybrid capital investors 1,011.5 1,001.6 1.0
Total equity attributable to Vonovia's shareholders and hybrid
capital investors
11,639.9 11,622.1 0.2
Non-controlling interests 258.5 244.8 5.6
Total equity 11,898.4 11,866.9 0.3
Provisions 647.2 612.9 5.6
Trade payables 0.8 0.9 -11.1
Non-derivative financial liabilities 13,334.1 13,951.3 -4.4
Derivatives 239.3 144.5 65.6
Liabilities from finance leases 94.9 94.9 0.0
Liabilities to non-controlling interests 39.0 46.3 -15.8
Other liabilities 27.6 25.9 6.6
Deferred tax liabilities 2,546.9 2,528.3 0.6
Total non-current liabilities 16,926.8 17,405.0 -2.7
Provisions 419.9 429.5 -2.2
Trade payables 85.3 91.6 -6.9
Non-derivative financial liabilities 1,370.9 988.6 38.7
Derivatives 61.5 58.8 4.6
Liabilities from finance leases 4.6 4.4 4.5
Liabilities to non-controlling interests 17.5 9.8 78.6
Other liabilities 186.9 104.5 78.9
Total current liabilities 2,146.6 1,687.2 27.2
Total liabilities 19,073.4 19,092.2 -0.1
Total equity and liabilities 30,971.8 30,959.1 0.0

Including negative effects from cash flow hedges in the amount of € 64.3 million. On the other hand, equity increased by € 36.1 million after deferred taxes due to the book gains associated with the acquired shares in Deutsche Wohnen.

Valuation effect as a result of the development of the underlying interest rates

The decrease of the current and non-current financial liabilities is mainly explained by an unscheduled repayment of a structured loan with AXA (€ 155 million) €500m 6-year and €500m 10-year Fixed Rate Notes – 06 June 2016

Issuer: Vonovia
Finance B.V.
Type: Senior Unsecured Allocations by Geography
Guarantor: Vonovia
SE
Launch date: 06 June 2016 6-year 10-year
Rating: BBB+ (stable) by
S&P
Maturity: 10 June 2022 / Other
Nordics
2%
3%
Switzerland
Switzerlan
Nordics
d
4%
Notional: €500m / €500m 10 June 2026 6%
Benelux
UK /
5%
Benelux
Coupon: 0.875% / 1.500% Reoffer spread: MS+87bp / MS+108bp 10%
Ireland
27%
5%
Southern
Bookrunners: Commerzbank / Credit Suisse Germany /
Southern
Austria
Europe
Europe
6%
SG CIB / UniCredit 21%
14%
UK /
Germany /
Ireland

Key features of new issue:

  • Vonovia SE is Germany's leading residential real estate company. Vonovia currently owns and manages some 370,000 residential units in attractive cities and regions throughout Germany.
  • Vonovia's residential units are located in settlements at approximately 700 locations in Germany.
  • Covenants:
  • 1) Total Debt / Total Assets ≤ 60%
  • 2) Secured Debt / Total Assets ≤ 45%
  • 3) Interest Coverage Ratio ≥ 1.8x
  • 4) Total Unencumbered Assets / Unsecured Debt ≥ 125%
  • The proceeds from this trade are intended for general corporate purposes including the repayment of existing secured debt with the aim to increase the unencumbered asset ratio to min. 50%.

Bookbuilding / Spread discovery:

Outcome:

  • A very successful outcome for the issuer with final pricing at the tight end of guidance
  • IPTs: MS+100-105bp
  • Guidance: MS+90bp (+/-3bp) MS+110bp (+/-2bp)
  • The final spreads imply new issue premiums of only ca. 2bp and ca. 10bps respectively which compares well with competing transactions.
  • Well diversified and high quality orderbook of €3.4bn

MS+120-125bp

  • The largest share went to UK investors with 28% over both tranches closely followed by French (26%) and German investors (18%).
  • Fund Managers showed the highest demand (74% over both tranches). Insurance and Pension Funds bought 14% of the deal.
  • On a go/no-go call held at 9:45CET, based on a positive market opening, the decision was taken to launch the transaction. The dual-tranche transaction, with two EUR 500m "no-grow" tranches, was announced at around 9:55CET.
  • With books approaching EUR 3bn skewed to the 6-year tranche guidance was released at MS+90bp (+/-3bp) and MS+110bp (+/-2bp) at 12:40CET.
  • The books were closed at 12:50CET.

France 17% 14% France 35% Ireland 29% Austria 14% Other 2%

Allocations by Investor Type

Orderbook –Ticket Size

Ticket size #
orders
6-year 10-year
<€1m 39 15
€1m-5m 72 69
€5m-10m 37 29
€10m-20m 24 26
€20m-50m 27 19
€50m-100m 4 4
Average
ticket size
€8.7m €9.1m

Vonovia SE (BBB+ stable)

€500m 6-year and €500m 10-year Fixed Rate Notes – 06 June 2016

€ Mid-Swaps Development d-o-d

EUR Mid-Swaps 10-year
30-May-16 31-May-16 01-Jun-16 02-Jun-16 03-Jun-16 06-Jun-16
Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday
0.568% 0.539% 0.549% 0.532% 0.487% 0.514%
EUR Mid-Swaps 6-year
30-May-16 31-May-16 01-Jun-16 02-Jun-16 03-Jun-16 06-Jun-16
Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday
0.113% 0.100% 0.106% 0.096% 0.064% 0.086%

Comments

  • Since the beginning of the year the swap levels have tightened significantly
  • As of now the levels are almost at record-lows
  • In the course of the last week swap rates have come down by 5bp and 3bp for the 10- and 6- year tenor driven to some extent by the start of the ECB buying program of corporate bonds on 8 June and the overall accommodative monetary policy
  • Compared to its secondary curve Vonovia priced its 6-year tranche with a small new issue premium (NIP) of only ca. 2bp
  • Given the fairly flat yield curve of Vonovia's secondary bonds and the overall low yield environment the curve for the 10-year tranche steepened a little
  • On average Vonovia achieved a NIP of ca. 6bp which compares well with competing transactions
  • Two other corporate deals have been in the market together with Vonovia. Air Liquide (A3/A-) raised €3bn in a five trance transaction with tenors between 3 and 12 years. The grid operator TenneT (A3/A-) priced a €1bn two tranche transaction with tenors of 10 and 20 years
  • Overall, Vonovia managed with this transaction a clear success and outperformed the market

EMTN Issuance costs Economies of scale

  • We managed to establish ourself as a first class frequent issuer on the capital markets since our IPO.
  • The stringent execution of our banking strategy, accompanied by processes such as our EMTN program - which are focussed on economies of scale, results in ongoing cost reduction.
  • Having a strong team in place, in the current EMTN issuance we were even able to change market practice by negotiating a flat fee, i.e. irrespective of the tenor, which results in the lowest cost per €100mm issuance so far.
Cost per €100mm (1) €mm
April 2014 Hybrid 1.21
Dec 2014 Hybrid 1.00
EMTN
2013
0.79
Yankee 0.78
Eurobond 2013 0.63
EMTN 2014 0.56
EMTN March 2015 0.46
EMTN Dec 2015 0.46
EMTN June 2016 0.39

(1) Excluding contingency; including some cost estimates for the most recent transactions as not all bills have been fully settled yet.

Bonds / Rating

Corporate Investment grade rating as of 2015-09-30

Rating agency Rating Outlook Last Update
Standard & Poor's BBB+ Stable 10 May 2016

Bond ratings as of 2015-09-30

Amount Issue price Coupon Final Maturity Date Rating
3 years 2.125%
Euro Bond
700m
99.793% 2.125% 25 July 2016 BBB+
6 years 3.125%
Euro Bond
600m
99.935% 3.125% 25 July 2019 BBB+
4 years 3.200% 3.200%
Yankee Bond USD 750m 100.000% (2.970%)* 2 Oct 2017 BBB+
10 years 5.000% USD 250m 98.993% 5.000% 2 Oct 2023 BBB+
Yankee Bond (4.580%)*
8 years 3.625%
EMTN (Series No. 1)

500m
99.843% 3.625% 8 Oct 2021 BBB+
60 years 4.625%
Hybrid Bond
700m
99.782% 4.625% 8 Apr 2074 BBB
8 years 2.125%
EMTN (Series No. 2)

500m
99.412% 2.125% 9 July 2022 BBB+
perpetual 4%
Hybrid Bond
1,000m
100.000% 4.000% perpetual BBB
5 years 0.875%
500m
99.263% 0.875% 30 Mar 2020 BBB+
EMTN (Series No. 3)
10 years 1.500%
500m
98.455% 1.5000% 31 Mar 2025 BBB+
EMTN (Series No. 4)
2 years 0.950%+3M EURIBOR
750m
100.000% 0.950%+3M EURIBOR 15 Dec 2017 BBB+
EMTN (Series No. 5) (0.835% hedged)
5 years 1.625%
1,250m
99.852% 1.625% 15 Dec 2020 BBB+
EMTN (Series No. 6)
8 years 2.250%
1,000m
99.085% 2.2500% 15 Dec 2023 BBB+
EMTN (Series No. 7)
6 years 0.875%
500m
99.530% 0.875% 10 Jun 2022 BBB+
EMTN (Series No. 8)
10 years 1.500%
500m
99.165% 1.5000% 10 Jun 2026 BBB+
EMTN (Series No. 9)
* EUR-equivalent re-offer yield
Bond KPIs Covenant Level Actual
LTV
Total Debt / Total Assets <60% 47%
Secured LTV
Secured
Debt / Total Assets
<45% 22%
ICR
LTM1
EBITDA / LTM Interest
Expense
>1.80x 3.17x
Unencumbered
Assets
Unencumbered Assets / Unsecured
Debt
>125% 214%
Rating KPIs Covenant Level (BBB+)
Debt to Capital
Total Debt
/ Total Equity + Total Debt
<60%
ICR
LTM1
EBITDA / LTM Interest
Expense
>1.80x

1 LTM = last 12 months

Name Amount Coupon Contractual Maturity Date
German Residential Funding 2013-1 Limited
1,845m
2.80% 27 Aug 2018
German Residential Funding 2013-2 Limited
658 m
2.69% 27 Nov 2018
Taurus 2013 (GMF1) PLC
1,029 m
3.35% 21 May 2018
Expected prepayment fees for early CMBS
redemption (€
m)
IPD GRF-1 GRF-2 WOBA
May 2016 64.9 24.1 14.6
Aug 2016 26.3 21.0 10.6
Nov 2016 19.2 9.5 6.7
Feb 2017 12.5 7.2 2.8
May 2017 6.1 5.0 1.4
Aug 2017 2.8 2.7 0.1
Nov 2017 0.6 1.1 0.0
Feb 2018 0.0 0.4 0.0
May 2018 0.0 0.0 0.0
Aug 2018 0.0 0.0 na
Nov 2018 na 0.0 na

Hedge break costs not considered.

Values may differ in case of deviation from sales plan.

Portfolio KPIs by Top 25 Cities

City Residential In-place rent New letting Vacancy rate Vacancy rate Share rent
units (€/sqm) rent
(€/sqm)
March 31,
2016
March 31,
2015
controlled
Dresden 37,898 5.33 6.05 2.6% 2.9% 0.0%
Berlin 30,517 5.87 7.31 1.6% 1.4% 8.7%
Dortmund 19,432 5.11 5.80 2.5% 2.7% 14.0%
Essen 12,092 5.39 5.62 4.4% 5.0% 15.1%
Kiel 11,976 5.37 5.94 1.5% 1.4% 32.3%
Frankfurt am Main 11,693 7.75 9.53 0.8% 1.1% 12.8%
Bremen 11,272 5.17 5.61 3.7% 4.3% 23.2%
Hamburg 10,970 6.50 8.19 1.2% 0.9% 15.5%
Bochum 7,519 5.44 5.88 2.2% 2.6% 9.4%
Hannover 7,206 6.05 6.63 1.7% 2.6% 22.0%
Köln 6,407 7.13 8.17 1.3% 1.7% 10.3%
Duisburg 5,536 5.20 5.52 4.1% 5.3% 3.4%
München 5,483 7.15 11.26 0.8% 0.9% 40.6%
Bonn 5,174 6.45 7.13 1.6% 2.1% 25.8%
Stuttgart 4,643 8.13 9.77 1.4% 0.9% 24.9%
Bielefeld 4,637 5.04 5.60 2.7% 2.6% 34.1%
Heidenheim an der Brenz 3,958 6.04 6.39 4.7% 5.8% 8.9%
Osnabrück 3,915 5.53 6.12 3.5% 3.9% 17.2%
Gelsenkirchen 3,887 4.89 5.17 5.4% 6.9% 7.5%
Düsseldorf 3,540 7.31 8.31 2.7% 2.3% 19.6%
Braunschweig 3,495 5.51 6.07 1.3% 0.5% 0.3%
Gladbeck 3,136 5.14 5.64 3.1% 3.0% 9.1%
Zwickau 3,106 4.26 3.84 9.6% 12.0% 0.0%
Herne 2,910 5.09 5.84 2.9% 4.3% 6.3%
Mannheim 2,748 6.63 7.54 3.4% 2.9% 9.8%
Subtotal
TOP 25
223,150 5.83 6.50 2.5% 2.9% 13.0%
Remaining
Cities
120,817 5.85 6.39 3.5% 4.5% 14.1%
Total 343,967 5.84 6.46 2.8% 3.4% 13.4%

Note: Residential portfolio only

Valuation KPIs by Top 25 Cities

City Fair value Share in terms Fair Value Annualized in Multiple
(€m) of FV (€/sqm) place rent
(€m) March
31,2016
(in-place rent)
Dresden 2,104 8.9% 924 143.7 14.6
Berlin 2,564 10.8% 1,302 138.9 18.5
Dortmund 973 4.1% 811 72.9 13.3
Essen 629 2.7% 805 49.4 12.7
Kiel 614 2.6% 846 46.7 13.1
Frankfurt am Main 1,220 5.1% 1,674 68.2 17.9
Bremen 637 2.7% 903 42.9 14.8
Hamburg 1,049 4.4% 1,464 56.8 18.5
Bochum 351 1.5% 806 28.1 12.5
Hannover 509 2.1% 1,079 34.4 14.8
Köln 718 3.0% 1,561 39.3 18.3
Duisburg 255 1.1% 738 21.3 12.0
München 881 3.7% 2,354 33.5 26.3
Bonn 504 2.1% 1,372 28.2 17.8
Stuttgart 566 2.4% 1,876 29.2 19.4
Bielefeld 220 0.9% 709 18.5 11.9
Heidenheim an der Brenz 228 1.0% 926 17.5 13.0
Osnabrück 225 0.9% 891 16.4 13.7
Gelsenkirchen 166 0.7% 640 14.3 11.6
Düsseldorf 398 1.7% 1,604 22.2 17.9
Braunschweig 201 0.8% 929 14.2 14.1
Gladbeck 145 0.6% 751 11.8 12.3
Zwickau 71 0.3% 399 8.1 8.7
Herne 143 0.6% 774 11.3 12.7
Mannheim 227 1.0% 1,221 14.7 15.5
Subtotal
TOP 25
15,597 65.8% 1,104 982.5 15.9
Remaining
Cities
8,100 34.2% 1,023 545.9 14.8
Total 23,698 100.0% 1,075 1,528.4 15.5
Q1 2016 / Q1 2015 /
March 31, 2016 March 31, 2015
Headcount 6,683 5,737
Number of units under 3rd-party management 54,364 42,083
EPRA vacancy rate 2.6% 3.2%
IFRS profit for the period 79.2 30.3
Number of units acquired 2,417 144,602
Number of units sold 15,551 2,489

FFO by Segments

Interest /Tax Q1 2016 Q1 2015
Interest -86.0 -63.2
Tax -3.8 -1.3
Tax Sales -26.2 -2.2
in €m EBITDA Q1 2016 Carrying Amount Interest EBT Tax FFO Q1 2016
Rental 269.0 22,842.6 -84.7 184.3 -3.7 180.6
Extension 7.6 350.9 -1.3 6.3 -0.1 6.2
Other -0.5 - - -0.5 0.0 -0.5
FFO I 276.1 23,193.5 -86.0 190.1 -3.8 186.3
Sales 35.0 - - 35.0 -26.2 8.8
FFO II 311.1 23,193.5 -86.0 225.1 -30.0 195.1
in €m EBITDA Q1 2015 Carrying Amount Interest EBT Tax FFO Q1 2015
Rental 177.1 22,842.6 -62.2 114.9 -1.3 113.6
Extension 5.5 350.9 -1.0 4.5 -0.1 4.5
Other -0.1 - - -0.1 0.0 -0.1
FFO I 182.5 23,193.5 -63.2 119.3 -1.3 118.0
Sales 9.5 - - 9.5 -2.2 7.2
FFO II 192.0 23,193.5 -63.2 128.8 -3.6 125.2

FFO Minorities

  • Up until and including the fiscal year 2015, Vonovia did not disclose an amount attributable to minority shareholders.
  • Defined by the absolute € million amount, minorities are comparatively small in relation to the FFO 1 figure and can paid out of the ~30% of FFO 1 that is not distributed to equity shareholders in the form of dividends.
  • At the same time, we appreciate the market's desire for more transparency, which is why starting in Q1 2016 and going forward, Vonovia discloses the line item "FFO minorites" in the FFO 1 allocation.
  • The FFO minorities include all dividend payments to minorities (mainly B&O, a Gagfah legacy fund structure, Gagfah S.A. minorities).
  • Fees received by co-investors and similar entities are not part of the FFO attributable to minorities. Vonovia has accounted for and will continue to account for these fees in Other Operating Expenses and hence already in EBITDA. The only exception is the fee paid to J.P.Morgan who hold a Gagfah stake that is treated as a one off.
  • For comparability purposes, in 2015, the FFO attributable to minorities was €19.5m, partly driven by the Gagfah dividend paid in 2015.

This presentation has been specifically prepared by Vonovia SE and/or its affiliates (together, "Vonovia") for internal use. Consequently, it may not be sufficient or appropriate for the purpose for which a third party might use it.

This presentation has been provided for information purposes only and is being circulated on a confidential basis. This presentation shall be used only in accordance with applicable law, e.g. regarding national and international insider dealing rules, and must not be distributed, published or reproduced, in whole or in part, nor may its contents be disclosed by the recipient to any other person. Receipt of this presentation constitutes an express agreement to be bound by such confidentiality and the other terms set out herein.

This presentation includes statements, estimates, opinions and projections with respect to anticipated future performance of Vonovia ("forward-looking statements") which reflect various assumptions concerning anticipated results taken from DA's current business plan or from public sources which have not been independently verified or assessed by Vonovia and which may or may not prove to be correct. Any forward-looking statements reflect current expectations based on the current business plan and various other assumptions and involve significant risks and uncertainties and should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. Any forward-looking statements only speak as at the date the presentation is provided to the recipient. It is up to the recipient of this presentation to make its own assessment of the validity of any forward-looking statements and assumptions and no liability is accepted by Vonovia in respect of the achievement of such forward-looking statements and assumptions.

Vonovia accepts no liability whatsoever to the extent permitted by applicable law for any direct, indirect or consequential loss or penalty arising from any use of this presentation, its contents or preparation or otherwise in connection with it.

No representation or warranty (whether express or implied) is given in respect of any information in this presentation or that this presentation is suitable for the recipient's purposes. The delivery of this presentation does not imply that the information herein is correct as at any time subsequent to the date hereof.

Vonovia has no obligation whatsoever to update or revise any of the information, forward-looking statements or the conclusions contained herein or to reflect new events or circumstances or to correct any inaccuracies which may become apparent subsequent to the date hereof.

Tables and diagrams may include rounding effects.

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.