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Vonovia SE

Investor Presentation Nov 3, 2015

477_ip_2015-11-03_2be49879-975c-4202-967a-67b6200293bb.pdf

Investor Presentation

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9M Results Conference Call 3 November 2015 Rolf Buch, CEO Dr. A. Stefan Kirsten, CFO

Note:

This version excludes the slides on the tender offer to Deutsche Wohnen shareholders. The extended version of this presentation can be found on the transaction webpage on Vonovia's website.

Highlights - Operations

2015 guidance increased on back of strong 9M performance & faster integration of acquisitions

  • FFO1 of €590m-600m (prev. €560m-580m), FFO1/share of €1.27-1.29 (prev. €1.20-1.24)
  • EPRA NAV/share €29.00-30.00 (prev. €27.50-28.50)
  • Adj. NAV/share (excl. goodwill) €23.50-24.50 (prev. €22.00-23.00)
  • Faster integration of Gagfah leading to accelerated crystallization of synergies

Updated portfolio structure reveals potential for significant value-enhancing modernization

  • Value-enhancing modernization segments grow from 28% to 50% after allocating Gagfah assets
  • 2016 modernization program increasing to €430m-500m (depending on granting of construction permits)

Significant step forward in portfolio optimization through agreed sale of two portfolios

  • Two large portfolio sales in NRW (~14k units) and Northern Germany (~6k units)
  • Sold or agreed to sell almost 50% of non-strategic and non-core segments since Q1

LTV reduction to ~46% (pro forma year-end 2015) expected post disposals and fair value growth

2016 guidance reflects continuing positive momentum

  • Rental growth of 2.8-3.0%
  • FFO1 of €690m-710m (+18% y-o-y)

Prior year per share numbers TERP-adjusted

Business Strategy Unchanged since IPO

Operating Performance

Per unit data based on average number of units over the respective period Numbers include seven months of Gagfah and three months of Südewo results Fair value per sqm as per September 30, 2015 incl. Gagfah Dec. 31, 2014 Deutsche Annington portfolio only

Operating Performance (cont'd)

Per share data based on number of shares outstanding as of respective reporting dates (30 Sept. 2014: 240.2m; 31 Dec. 2014: 271.6m; 30 Sept. 2015: 466.0m) Per unit data based on average number of units over the respective period

9M 2015 numbers include seven months of Gagfah and three months of Südewo

2015 Guidance Increased

FY 2014
(TERP-adjusted)
Guidance 20151
(August)
Change abs.
(on midpoint)
Change %
(on midpoint)
Guidance 20151
(November)
L-f-l rental growth 2.5% 2.6-2.8% +15bps +5.5% 2.8-2.9%
Vacancy 3.4% ~3% ~3%
Rental Income €789.3m €1,400-1,420m €1,400-1,420m
FFO1 (incl. hybrid) €286.6m €560-580m +€25m +4.4% €590-600m
FFO1/share eop
(incl. hybrid)
€1.00 €1.20-1.24 +€0.06 +4.9% €1.27-1.29
FFO1/share eop
(excl. hybrid)
€1.00 €1.13-€1.17 +€0.06 +5.2% €1.20-€1.22
EPRA
NAV/share
€23.04 €27.50-28.50 +€1.50 +5.4% €29.00-30.00
NAV/share2
Adj.
€22.67 €22.00-23.00 +€1.50 +6.7% €23.50-24.50
Maintenance €173.8m ~€340m -€10m -2.9% ~€330m
Modernization €171.7m €280-300m +€50m +17.2% €330-350m
Privatization (#) 2,238 ~2,900 ~2,900
FMV step-up (Privatization) 37.6% ~30% >30%
Non-core (#) 1,843 opportunistic opportunistic
FMV step-up (Non-Core) 10.9% ~0% ~0%
Dividend/share3 €0.74 €0.94 €0.94

1 Incl. acquisitions pro rata (see p. 42); per share numbers based on 466.0 million shares currently outstanding

2 Excl. goodwill

3 To be recommended to the AGM. Going forward, the stated dividend policy of ~70% of FFO1 (Group) remains unchanged

FY 2014 is TERP-adjusted (TERP factor=1.051). FY 2014 before TERP adjustment: FFO1 Group/share=€1.06, EPRA NAV/share=€24.22, Dividend/share=€0.78 FFO 1/share avg (FY 2014 TERP adjusted=€1.12; Guidance August 2015=€1.41-1.47; Guidance November 2015=€1.49-1.52)

Gagfah and Südewo Synergies

Development of our estimate on total run rate synergies from Gagfah
and Südewo
December
2014
June 2015 November 2015
€84m €47m operational €130m €75m operational €142m €75m op. (Gagfah)
€12m op. (Südewo)
(only Gagfah) €37m financial (only Gagfah) €55m financial (Gagfah
and Südewo)
€55m financial

Initial assessment based on
"outside in" view

"inside" view Initial assessment based on
Substantially higher synergies at
lower one-off cost and in less time


time
Final leg of integration process
Raising of more synergies in less
86% of financial synergies already
secured from 2017 onwards

1 Includes €19m financial synergies carried over from 2015 (€19m is the annualized run rate of the €5m collected in 2015)

Vonovia's Scale and Platform Benefits Have Been Proven Multiple Times by Now

Vonovia with multi-year track record of capturing significant synergies in all acquisitions

1Standalone margin reporting of acquisitions not always fully in line with Vonovia reporting;

2Gagfah and Südewo 2015 pro forma incl. synergies

3 Pro forma excluding disposals 2015/2016

Sales Results 2015 YTD

Privatization
9M 2014 9M 2015 Change (€m) Change (%)
# units sold 1,778 1,748 -30.0 -1.7
Income from disposal
of properties (€m)
184.4 183.2 -1.2 -0.7
Fair value disposals
(€m)
-134.9 -133.6 1.3 -1.0
Adjusted profit from disposal of properties (€m) 49.5 49.6 0.1 0.2
Fair value step-up 36.7% 37.1% +0.4pp
Target ~30-35% >30%
Non-core disposals
9M 2014 9M 2015 Change (€m) Change (%)
# units sold 873 3,574 2,701 309.4
Income from disposal
of properties (€m)
28.6 132.4 103.8 362.9
Fair value disposals
(€m)
-26.9 -130.3 -103.4 384.4
Adjusted profit from disposal of properties (€m) 1.7 2.1 0.4 23.5
Fair value step-up 6.6% 1.6% -5pp
Target
= 0%
Target
= 0%

Two Significant Portfolio Transactions Agreed since September 30, 2015

Transaction 1 Transaction 2
Location NRW Northern
Germany
No. of units Ca. 14k Ca. 6k
Vacancy rate 6.4% 9.4%
NCR €4.84 €4.77
Expected
Closing
Q1 2016 Q4 2015
  • LoI signed with two separate buyers for a combined volume of ca. 20k units from the non-core and non-strategic segments
  • Expected combined single digit fair market value uplift
  • Disposals are in line with ongoing portfolio optimization, as underlying portfolios had a higher vacancy rate and lower NCR
  • Both portfolio transactions are strategically beneficial to seller and buyer as Vonovia improves its overall portfolio quality and geographic balance while it puts the buyers in the best owner position

More details on both transactions cannot be published due to NDA

Substantial Reduction of Sales Portfolio

| | Non-strategic and Non-core (000 units) | | Expected sales volume going forward (000 units) | | | |
|---------|--------------------------------------------------------------------|-------|--------------------------------------------------|-------|-------|--|
| 49 | Q1 2015 volume of non-core + non-strategic | ~9 | | ~9 | ~9 | |
| -
4 | 1
Changes
between
Q1 and
Q3 | | | | | |
| = 45 | Q3 2015 volume of non-core + non-strategic | | | | | |
| -
12 | NRW portfolio (adj. for 2k units from operate
clusters) | | | | | |
| -
6 | Northern Germany portfolio | 2016E | | 2017E | 2018E | |
| = 27 | Pool of non-core and non-strategic units as
of November 2, 2015 | | | | | |

  • Including the additional non-core and non-strategic sales agreed until 2nd Nov. 2015, the active pool of non-core and non-strategic assets going forward is c. 27k units after c. 49k as of Sep 30, 2015
  • Share of non-core and non-strategic assets is down from 8% to 4% of total portfolio on a pro forma basis
  • Including the contribution from privatizations, the total free cash2 from closed and agreed transactions year to date will amount to €930m

2 Gross proceeds minus debt repayment

1 Disposals and reclassifications into strategic cluster

Updated Portfolio Clustering Offers Strong Potential for Value-enhancing Modernization

Residential
units
In-place rent
(€/sqm
residential)
Vacancy Share
in terms of FV
Operate 192,106 5.64 2.5% 56%
Optimize apartments 36,849 6.19 2.5% 13%
51
1
0
Upgrade buildings 49,411 5.69 2.6% 15%
2
2
Strategic 278,366 5.72 2.5% 84%
Q Non-Strategic 31,676 4.81 6.9% 6%
Privatize 21,477 5.60 4.7% 7%
Non-core 16,697 4.50 11.4% 2%
Total 348,216 5.58 3.5% 100%
Residential
units
In-place rent
(€/sqm
residential)
Vacancy Share
in terms of FV
2
a)
Operate 121,308 5.99 2.5% 38%
m
r
o
Optimize apartments 89,841 5.83 2.1% 27%
o f
r
Upgrade buildings 86,649 5.61 3.1% 23%
p
5 (
Strategic 297,798 5.83 2.6% 88%
1
0
Non-Strategic 14,220 4.70 8.5% 2%
2
3
Privatize 22,606 5.75 4.5% 8%
Q Non-core 12,544 4.53 10.1% 2%
Total 347,168 5.74 3.2% 100%

In-depth portfolio review of Gagfah portfolio has identified further value-enhancing organic growth potential for both individual apartments and buildings

Modernization segments significantly increasing from 28% to 50% of total fair value

1 Excluding Südewo portfolio; Gagfah strategic portfolio only in operate without breakdown into optimize apartments and upgrade buildings

2 Including Südewo and allocation of strategic Gagfah portfolio into optimize apartments and upgrade buildings; excluding agreed portfolio sales

50%

Portfolio KPIs by Segments (Q3 2015 pro forma)

Cluster Vonovia
Forecast
Residential units in-place rent
(€/sqm
residential)
new letting rent
(€/sqm
residential
in 2015)
Vacancy Fair Value
in m€
Share
in terms of FV
Fair Value
[€/sqm]
Multiple
in-place rent
Share rent
controlled
Operate 121,308 5.99 6.62 2.5% 8,367 38% 1,101 15.0 25.9%
Optimise
apartments
89,841 5.83 6.61 2.1% 6,038 27% 1,154 16.8 1.9%
Upgrade buildings 86,649 5.61 6.40 3.1% 5,197 23% 1,032 15.8 13.1%
Strategic 297,798 5.83 6.55 2.6% 19,602 88% 1,033 14.8 14.9%
Non-Strategic 14,220 4.70 4.72 8.5% 554 2% 597 11.4 13.1%
Privatise 22,606 5.75 6.49 4.5% 1,670 8% 1,123 16.9 5.2%
Non-Core 12,544 4.53 4.85 10.1% 398 2% 507 10.4 13.7%
Total 347,168 5.74 6.36 3.2% 22,224 100% 1,000 14.7 14.2%

Including Südewo and allocation of strategic Gagfah portfolio into optimize apartments and upgrade buildings; excluding agreed portfolio sales

Portfolio KPIs by Top 25 Cities (Q3 2015 pro forma)

VONOVIA
---------------- --
City Residential units In-place rent
(€/sqm
residential)
New letting rent
(€/sqm
residential in 2015)
Vacancy rate Fair Value
(€m)
Share
in terms of FV
Fair Value
(€/sqm)
Multiple in
place rent
Share
rent controlled
Berlin 30,613 5.76 7.11 1.6% 2,166 10% 1,097 15.8 9.6%
Dresden 37,919 5.25 5.97 3.1% 2,047 9% 899 14.5 0.0%
Frankfurt am Main 11,753 7.60 9.35 1.2% 1,128 5% 1,541 16.9 1.8%
Hamburg 10,988 6.39 8.23 1.1% 982 4% 1,368 17.4 18.4%
Dortmund 19,486 5.04 5.68 2.8% 933 4% 776 13.0 16.5%
Munich 5,196 6.79 9.32 0.5% 731 3% 2,047 23.9 42.9%
Essen 12,157 5.37 5.67 4.9% 626 3% 796 12.7 15.9%
Cologne 6,367 7.01 7.99 1.4% 624 3% 1,368 16.2 10.5%
Bremen 11,103 5.11 5.49 4.0% 597 3% 858 14.3 26.0%
Kiel 11,986 5.31 5.89 1.5% 588 3% 809 12.7 34.9%
Stuttgart 4,644 8.04 9.99 1.1% 540 2% 1,788 18.4 25.6%
Hanover 7,227 6.02 6.62 1.9% 478 2% 1,011 14.0 22.4%
Bonn 5,187 6.40 7.04 2.2% 458 2% 1,246 16.4 25.8%
Dusseldorf 3,521 7.23 8.32 3.0% 356 2% 1,443 16.4 19.7%
Bochum 7,549 5.36 5.72 2.8% 338 2% 772 12.2 9.4%
Wiesbaden 2,620 7.73 8.54 3.1% 281 1% 1,516 16.2 6.0%
Freiburg im Breisgau 2,711 6.69 7.94 1.1% 255 1% 1,376 16.9 23.9%
Duisburg 5,547 5.15 5.55 5.3% 252 1% 724 12.0 3.4%
Heidenheim an der Brenz 3,997 5.95 6.26 5.3% 230 1% 926 13.3 9.0%
Osnabrück 3,915 5.39 6.09 3.9% 216 1% 857 13.6 18.4%
Bielefeld 4,488 5.03 5.47 2.3% 205 1% 683 11.4 31.9%
Nürnberg 2,469 6.24 7.26 0.7% 199 1% 1,180 15.9 6.1%
Gelsenkirchen 4,654 4.71 5.01 6.7% 192 1% 622 11.7 7.0%
Mannheim 2,535 6.44 7.36 3.2% 189 1% 1.121 14.8 10.6%
Karlsruhe 1,617 6.87 7.71 1.3% 173 1% 1.486 17.4 18.1%
Subtotal TOP 25 220,249 5.83 6.56 2.6% 14.784 67% 1.053 15.1 14.4%
Remaining Cities 126,919 5.58 6.06 4.3% 7.441 33% 908 13.9 13.9%
Total 347.168 5.74 6.36 3.2% 22.224 100% 1.000 14.7 14.2%

Sorting by Fair Value. Including Südewo and allocation of strategic Gagfah portfolio into optimize apartments and upgrade buildings; excluding agreed portfolio sales.

Modernization Program as Important Value Driver

Significant Fair Value Growth Expected for End of 2015

Value driver Fair value growth*
Operating
performance (rent, redemption of rent control, etc.)
€250-300m
Investments (effects of modernization program) €330-350m
Market development
/ yield compression
€900-1,050m
Total €1,500-1,700m

* Represents the recent forecast of Vonovia calculations and expected value growth for year-end 2015 valuation as compared to previous valuation. The value is subject to change during the ongoing valuation process.

Maturity Profile and Financing Sources

Debt structure as of September 30, 2015

KPIs as of September 30, 2015 KPIs as of September 30, 2015

Current Target
LTV 50.0% <50%
Unencumbered
assets in %
38.9% ≥ 50%
Global ICR 3.0x Ongoing opt
imizat
ion
Financing Cost 2.9% wit
h most
economic
f
unding
  • Current maturity of around 7 years
  • Refinancing of €1.9bn to increase unencumbrance

Forward Hedging Increased Certainty

New allocation of interest rate risk … Standardized market-instruments have been used

Closed forward hedges in the total amount of EUR 2.7bn assure 86% of the financial synergies of the Gagfah transaction as promised for 2017

  • The remaining 14% will be realized by opportunities within the riskspreads of the liquidity instruments and/ or additional projects
  • On the back of these measures our financing costs will decrease to approximately 2.3% from 2017

2016 Stand-alone Guidance Demonstrates Increasingly Positive Momentum

VONOVIA
Guidance 20151
(November)
Change abs.
(on midpoint)
Change %
(on midpoint)
Guidance 2016
(November)
L-f-l rental growth 2.8-2.9% +5bps +1.8% 2.8-3.0%
Vacancy ~3% ~3%
Rental Income €1,400-1,420m +€100m +7.1% €1,500-1,520m
FFO1 (incl. hybrid) €590-600m +€105m +17.6% €690-710m
FFO1/share eop
(incl. hybrid)
€1.27-1.29 +€0.22 +17.1% €1.48-1.52
FFO1/share eop
(excl. hybrid)
€1.20-€1.22 +€0.20 +16.5% €1.39-€1.44
EPRA
NAV/share
€29.00-30.00 +€1.00 +3.4% €30.00-31.00
Adj.
NAV/share2
€23.50-24.50 +€0.50 +2.1% €24.00-25.00
Maintenance ~€330m - - ~€330m
Modernization €330-350m +€130m +38.2% €430-500m3
Privatization (#) ~2,900 -500 -17.2% ~2,400
FMV step-up (Privatization) >30% ~30%
Non-core (#) opportunistic opportunistic
FMV step-up
(Non-Core)
~0% ~0%
Dividend/share4 €0.94 ~70% of FFO1

1 Incl. acquisitions pro rata (see p. 42); per share numbers based on 466.0 million shares currently outstanding

2Excl. goodwill

3Modernization volume beyond €430m in 2016 guidance depends on availability of building permits

4 To be recommended to the AGM. Going forward, the stated dividend policy of ~70% of FFO1 (Group) remains unchanged

Guidance 2016 is excluding impacts from potential tender offer for Deutsche Wohnen shares

FFO Bridge 2015E to 2016E

3 9 3 6 7 7 777 595 2016 FFO1 before disposals Two more months Gagfah Midpoint FFO1 guidance 2015 2016E FFO1 690-710 Disposals ~77 Others ~10 Rent growth ~40 Six more Synergies months Südewo €1.50 FFO1/share (midpoint) €1,400 rental €43m Gagfah income @ 2.9% operational (€55m total minus €12m realized in 2015) €32m Gagfah financial (€37m total minus €5m realized in 2015; €19m run rate of €5m realized in 2015, €18m realized in 2016) €2m Südewo Q3 2015 LTV 50% Q4 2016 LTV <46% €m

€bn Sep. 30, 2015 Operational
effects Q4
Valuation
effect
Portfolio
Sales
Dec. 31, 2015
pro forma incl. expected
valuation uplift and
disposals
Non-derivative financial liabilities 12.2 -0.3 -0.2 11.8
Foreign
currency effects
-0.2 -0.2
Cash and cash equivalents -0.5 +0.2 -0.5 -0.8
Adjusted net debt 11.6 -0.1 -0.7 10.8
FV of Vonovia
portfolio1
23.1 23.1
Disposals -0.3 -0.7 -0.9
Valuation growth2 +1.3 +1.3
Fair value of Vonovia
portfolio
23.1 -0.3 +1.3 -0.7 23.5
LTV 50.0% c. 50% c. 48% c. 46% c. 46%

1 Incl. capitalized modernization investments

2 Excl. capitalized modernization investments (see p. 16)

Including debt hybrid

Numbers include rounding effects

Summary Operations

  • Underlying business performance remains strong with increasing momentum, as reflected in raised-again 2015 guidance as well as in new 2016 stand-alone guidance
  • Completed portfolio management structure provides ample opportunity for organic value-enhancing growth
  • Disposals of non-strategic and non-core assets improve overall portfolio quality and generate substantial free cash flow
  • LTV reduction to ~46% expected by year-end 2015 (pro forma and including impact from agreed sales)

APPENDIX

KPI Definitions

Description Calculation
FFO1 FFO1 is calculated as the profit or loss for the period adjusted for sales-related,
non-recurring, non-cash or similar items. It approximates the sustainable,
recurring operating cash flow to the Group before payments to equity hybrid
investors and minorities. This FFO1 is not determined on the basis of a specific
international reporting standard but is to be regarded as a supplement to other
performance indicators determined in accordance with IFRS. The FFO1 per share
is calculated on the basis of all outstanding, dividend-bearing shares.
IFRS profit or loss for the period adjusted by

the profit or loss from sales

the effects from property held for sale

specific effects which do not relate to the period, are non-recurring or do not relate
to the objective of the Company

the net income from fair value adjustments of investment properties,

depreciation and amortization

deferred and prior-year current taxes (tax expenses/income),

transaction costs

prepayment penalties and commitment interest

valuation effects on financial instruments

the unwinding of discounting for provisions, particularly pension provisions

and other prior-year interest expenses

income that is not of a long-term nature
EPRA
NAV
EPRA NAV is used as an indicator of the Group's long-term equity and is
calculated according to EPRA's Best Practice Recommendations. The adjusted
NAV represents the EPRA NAV less goodwill.
Group equity (including goodwill),
+ deferred taxes on properties and assets held for sale
+ fair value of derivative financial instruments
-
deferred taxes on derivative financial instruments
LTV The LTV shows the ratio of net debt (excluding equity hybrid) to property value. + Non-derivative financial liabilities (excluding equity hybrid)
-
Foreign currency effects
-
Cash and cash equivalents
= Net debt
+ Fair value of investment property
+ Fair value of trading properties and assets held for sale
+ Fair value of properties used by the Group
= Fair value
DAIG DeWAG Vitus Gagfah Franconia Südewo
9M 2014 9 months 6 months - - - -
FY 2014 12 months 9 months 3 months - - -
9M 2015 9 months 9 months 9 months 7 months 6 months 3 months
FY 2015 Guidance 12 months 12 months 12 months 10 months 9 months 6 months
FY 2016 Guidance 12 months 12 months 12 months 12 months 12 months 12 months

9M 2015 Key Figures

€m 9M 2015 9M 2014 Change (€) Change (%)
Residential
units (k)
366,918 183,983 182,935 99.4
Rental income 1,019.4 572.7 446.7 78.0
Vacancy rate
(%)
3.4 3.6 -0.2 -0.2 pp
Monthly in-place rent/ sqm
(like-for-like, €)
5.77 5.61 0.16 2.9
Adjusted EBITDA Rental 699.8 364.5 335.3 92.0
Adjusted
EBITDA Rental /unit (€)
2,209 2,017 192.1 9.5
Income from disposal of properties 315.6 213.0 102.6 48.2
Adjusted EBITDA Sales 34.1 35.7 -1.6 -4.5
Adjusted EBITDA 733.9 400.2 333.7 83.4
FFO1 432.2 205.0 227.2 110.8
FFO2 466.3 240.7 225.6 93.7
FFO1 before
maintenance
600.0 311.4 288.6 92.7
AFFO 351.5 188.4 163.1 86.6
Fair value market properties3 23,148.7 12,759.1 10,389.6 81.4
EPRA NAV3 12,662.4 6,578.0 6,084.4 92.5
(%)4
LTV
50.0 49.7 0.3 0.3 pp
1
FFO1/ share (€)
0.93 0.81 0.12 14.2
2
EPRA NAV / share (€)
27.17 23.04 4.13 17.9

1 Based on the number of shares as of the reporting date: 09/30/2015: 466.0m and 09/30/2014: 240.2m. 9M 2014 TERP-adjusted.

2 NAV / share based on the number of outstanding shares as of the reporting date: 09/30/2015: 466.0m and 12/31/2014: 271.6m. Number as of 31 Dec 2014 TERP-adjusted. 3 09/30/2015 vs. 12/31/2014

4 LTV at 12/31/2014 adjusted for effects of capital measures

€m 9M 2015 9M 2014 Change (€m) Change (%) Comments
Income from property letting 1,470.3 823.5 646.8 78.5 Increase mainly acquisition-related (residential units 367k
Rental income 1,019.4 572.7 446.7 78.0 vs 184k), additionally in-place rent on a like-for-like basis
increased by 2.9%
Ancillary costs 450.9 250.8 200.1 79.8 Increase mainly reflects increased portfolio size,
additionally vacancy rate decreased by 0.2pp
Other income from property management 21.3 13.2 8.1 61.4
Income from property management 1,491.6 836.7 654.9 78.3 Slight increase due to higher Non-core Sales volume,
partially offset by slightly lower Non-core Step-up
Income from sale of properties 315.6 213.0 102.6 48.2
Carrying amount of properties sold -288.9 -180.6 -108.3 60.0 Major market developments and measurement parameters
that have an impact on Vonovia's fair values are assessed
Revaluation of assets held for sale 24.4 16.5 7.9 47.9 every quarter. Since a sufficient valid set of data was not
yet available for major measurement parameters as of
Profit on disposal of properties 51.1 48.9 2.2 4.5 September 30, 2015, no adjustment was made to the fair
values in the third quarter of 2015.
Net income from fair value adjustments of investment properties 0.0 26.9 -26.9 -100.0
Capitalized internal modernization expenses 115.1 59.8 55.3 92.5 2015 increase reflects larger portfolio size and in-sourcing
effect of craftsmen organization
Cost of materials -683.0 -382.7 -300.3 78.5 Increase mainly acquisition-related
Expenses for ancillary costs -439.0 -246.6 -192.4 78.0
Expenses for maintenance -169.7 -100.7 -69.0 68.5
Other costs of purchased goods and services -74.3 -35.4 -38.9 109.9 Ramp-up from 3,436 to 6,125 employees leads to
increased personnel expenses which primarily result from
Gagfah merger & TGS growth
Personnel expenses -234.5 -130.2 -104.3 80.1
Depreciation and amortisation -7.3 -5.1 -2.2 43.1 Increase mainly due to acquisitions (Gagfah and Südewo)
Other operating income 60.1 34.7 25.4 73.2 and increased recurring income / cost reimbursements
Other operating expenses -171.8 -110.7 -61.1 55.2 Increase mainly related to additional expenses of
Financial income 3.5 4.2 -0.7 -16.7 acquisitions as well as consulting and audit fees for
Gagfah merger, other effects comprise vehicle and
Financial expenses -300.2 -206.7 -93.5 45.2 travelling costs which mainly increased due to insourcing
Profit before tax 324.6 175.8 148.8 84.6 Strongly impacted by additional financings as a result of
Income tax -131.1 -53.8 -77.3 143.7 acquisitions and by transaction costs for Gagfah deal
financing
Current income tax -15.4 5.5 - -
Other (incl. deferred tax) -115.7 -59.3 -56.4 95.1
Profit for the period 193.5 122.0 71.5 58.6

Q3 Results Presentation, 03 November 2015 Page 27

EBITDA

Bridge to Adjusted
EBITDA (€m)
9M
2015
9M
2014
Change
(€)
Change
(%)
Profit for the period 193.5 122.0 71.5 58.6
Net interest result 297.8 203.4 94.4 46.4
Income taxes 131.1 53.8 77.3 143.7
Depreciation 7.3 5.1 2.2 43.1
Net income
from fair value
adjustments of investment
properties
0 -26.9 NA NA
EBITDA IFRS 629.7 357.4 272.3 76.2
Non-recurring
items
103.6 40.5 63.1 155.8
Period adjustments 0.6 2.3 -1.7 -73.9
Adjusted EBITDA 733.9 400.2 333.7 83.4
Adjusted EBITDA Rental 699.8 364.5 335.3 92.0
Adjusted EBITDA Sales 34.1 35.7 -1.6 -4.5
Rental Segment (€m) 9M
2015
9M
2014
Change
(€)
Change
(%)
Average number of units over the period 316,735 180,685 136,050 75.3
Rental income 1,019.4 572.7 446.7 78.0
Maintenance -167.8 -106.4 -61.4 57.7
Operating
costs
-151.8 -101.8 -50.0 49.1
Adjusted EBITDA Rental 699.8 364.5 335.3 92.0
Sales
Segment (€m)
9M
2015
9M
2014
Change
(€)
Change
(%)
Number of
units sold
5,322 2,651 2,671 100.8
Income
from disposal of properties
315.6 213.0 102.6 48.2
Carrying amount of properties sold -288.9 -180.6 -108.3 60.0
Revaluation of assets held for sale 24.4 16.5 7.9 47.9
Profit on disposal
of properties (IFRS)
51.1 48.9 2.2 4.5
Revaluation (realized) of assets held for sale -24.4 -16.5 -7.9 47.9
Revaluation from
disposal of assets held for
sale
25.0 18.8 6.2 33.0
Adjusted profit
from disposal of properties
51.7 51.2 0.5 1.0
Selling costs -17.6 -15.5 -2.1 13.5
Adjusted EBITDA Sales 34.1 35.7 -1.6 -4.5
  • EBITDA increase driven by rental business
  • Adjusted EBITDA Rental reflects acquisitions as well as operational performance
  • Adjusted EBITDA Sales slightly below previous year level: higher Non-core sales volumes offset by lower Non-core step-ups, also higher selling costs due to increased sales volumes

FFO

Actuals Change
9M 2015 9M 2014 €m %
€m
Adjusted EBITDA 733.9 400.2 333.7 83.3%
(-) Interest expense FFO -251.8 -153.5 -98.3 64.4%
(-) Current income taxes -15.8 -6.0 -9.8 163.3%
(=) FFO2 466.3 240.7 225.6 93.7%
(-)
Adjusted EBITDA Sales
-34.1 -35.7 1.6 -4.5%
(=) FFO1 432.2 205.0 227.2 110.8%
thereof attributable to shareholders 409.3 205.0 204.3 99.7%
thereof attributable to equity hybrid investors 22.9 - - -
(-) Capitalized maintenance -80.7 -16.6 -64.1 386.1%
(=) AFFO 351.5 188.4 163.1 86.6%
(+) Capitalized maintenance 80.7 16.6 64.1 386.1%
(+) Expenses for maintenance 167.8 106.4 67.0 63.0%
(=) FFO1 excl. maintenance 600.0 311.4 298.5 95.9%

Maintenance and Modernization

Maintenance and modernization (€m) 9M 2015 9M 2014 Change (€m) Change (%)
Maintenance expenses 167.8 106.4 61.4 57.7
Capitalized Maintenance 81.3 16.9 64.4 381.1
Modernization work 219.0 120 99.0 82.5
Total cost of modernization and
maintenance
468.1 243.3 224.8 92.4
Thereof sales of own craftmen's
organisation
274.1 129.8 144.3 111.2
Thereof bought-in services 194.0 113.5 80.5 70.9
Modernization and maintenance / sqm
(€)
23.67 21.07 2.6 12.4

Comments

Compared to 9M 2014 significant increase due to measures in Gagfah Portfolio

Modernization program mainly addressing investments in buildings or apartments regarding energy efficiency, senior living and highstandard refurbishments

Compared to 9M 2014, revenues of in-house craftsmen organisation increased significantly due to successful TGS implementation and increased portfolio size

Maintenance & Modernization Development

Balance Sheet

€m Sep 30,
2015
Dec 31, 2014 Comments
Investment Properties 23,018.2 12,687.2 Increase driven by Gagfah
acquisition €
8,184.8m, SÜDEWO acquisition €
Other non-current assets 2,938.5 292.8 1,742.1m as well as the "Franconia" acquisition €
298.1m
Total non-current assets 25,956.7 12,980.0 Increase mainly driven by Gagfah
acquisition
Cash and cash equivalents 512.2 1,564.8 Preliminary Goodwill of €
2,192.4m (Gagfah) and €
338.2m (Südewo) included
Other financial assets 2.0
Other current assets 318.9 212.4 Decrease basically driven by cash consideration Gagfah

2,022.5m
Total current assets 831.1 1,779.2
Total Assets 26,787.8 14,759.2
Total equity attributable to DA shareholders 9,853.7 4,932.6
Equity attributable to hybrid capital investors 1,031.5 1,001.6 Capital increase of €
5,011.2m included
Non-controlling interests 176.5 28.0
Total equity 11,061.7 5,962.2 Increase of non controlling interest by consolidation of Gagfah
€139.3m
Provisions 575.5 422.1
Trade payables 0.9 1.0
Non derivative financial liabilities 11,323.1 6,539.5
Derivative financial liabilities 139.9 54.5 Increase driven by consolidation of Gagfah, as well as issuing EMTN Bonds of
Liabilities from finance leases 94.5 88.1
1.0bn.
Liabilities to non-controlling interests 38.2 46.3
Other liabilities 29.7 8.6
Deferred tax liabilities 1,897.1 1,132.8
Total non-current liabilities 14,098.9 8,292.9 Increase generally driven by Gagfah
acquisition €
455.2m and by Südewo
Provisions 379.7 211.3 acquisition €227.1m
Trade payables 93.8 51.5
Non derivative financial liabilities 909.2 125.3
Derivative financial liabilities 122.8 21.9
Liabilitiesfrom finance leases 4.8 4.4
Liabilities to non-controlling interests 8.0 7.5
Other liabilities 108.9 82.2
Total current liabilities 1,627.2 504.1
Total liabilities 15,726.1 8,797.0
Total equity and liabilities 26,787.8 14,759.2
Actuals Change
€m September
30, 2015
December
31, 2014
€m %
Equity attributable
to shareholders
9,853.7 4,932.6 4,921.1 99.8
Deferred taxes on investment property/ properties
for sale
2,697.6 1,581.0 1,116.6 70.6
Fair value of derivative financial instruments1 150.5 88.1 62.4 70.8
Deferred taxes on derivative financial instruments -39.4 -23.7 -15.7 66.2
EPRA NAV 12,662.4 6,578.0 6,084.4 92.5
Goodwill -2,636.6 -106.0 -2,530.6 na
Adjusted NAV 10,025.8 6,472.0 3,553,8 54.9
2
EPRA
NAV per share (€)
27.17 23.04 4.13 17.9
2
Adjusted
NAV per share (€)
21.51 22.67 -1.16 -5.1

1 Adjusted for effects from cross-currency swaps

2 Based on number of shares outstanding as of respective reporting dates (31 Dec. 2014: 271.6m; 30 Sept. 2015: 466.0m). 31 Dec 2014 numbers TERP-adjusted.

Goodwill

Actuals
€m Sep.
30, 2015
Dec. 31, 2014
Goodwill DeWAG 10.7 10.7
Goodwill Vitus 95.3 95.3
Goodwill Gagfah 2,192.4 -
Goodwill Südewo 338.2 -
Total Goodwill (as of reporting date) 2,636.6 106.0

Bond and Rating KPIs as per September 30, 2015

Covenant Level Actual
LTV
Total Debt
/ Total Assets
<60% 46%
Secured
LTV
Secured
Debt
/ Total Assets
<45% 28%
ICR
LTM1
EBITDA / LTM Interest
Expense
>1.80x 2.89x
Unencumbered
Assets
Unencumbered
Assets / Unsecured
Debt
>125% 260%
Rating KPIs Covenant Level
Debt
to
Capital
Total Debt
/ Total Equity + Total Debt
<60%
ICR
LTM1
EBITDA / LTM Interest
Expense
>1.80%

1 LTM = last 12 months

Bond KPIs

Development of Unencumbrance Ratio

  • Unencumbrance ratio dropped from 50% pre GAGFAH down to 32% including GAGFAH
  • S&P provides up to 18 months (i.e. 30 Sept 2016) to reach 50% unencumbrance ratio

Evolution of Average Interest Costs/ Interest Rate Sensitivity

Evolution of average interest costs

  • Reduction of average interest costs since 2012, with extended and smoothened maturity profile at the same time
  • Balanced mix of secured and unsecured refinancing sources to reduce risk and maximise funding options
  • Included a €700m Hybrid with 4.6% coupon to our capital structure for the 2014 acquisitions instead of convertibles to avoid FFO dilution

  • Further optimization of capital structure as well as debt profile in terms of costs and maturity. Focus is on more than minimizing the average interest costs. Also considering the optimal product mix, the overall economic benefit and the shareholder interests to support long term growth.

  • Next goal is to reduce the refinancing volume for 2018

Bonds / Rating

Corporate Investment grade rating as of 2015-09-30

Rating agency Rating Outlook Last Update
Standard & Poor's BBB+ Stable 10 Mar 2015

Bond ratings as of 2015-09-30

Amount Issue price Coupon Final Maturity
Date
Rating
3 years 2.125%
Euro Bond € 700m 99.793% 2.125% 25 July 2016 BBB+
6 years 3.125%
Euro Bond € 600m 99.935% 3.125% 25 July 2019 BBB+
4 years 3.200% 3.200%
Yankee Bond USD 750m 100.000% (2.970%)* 2 Oct 2017 BBB+
10 years 5.000% 5.000%
98.993%
(4.580%)*
2 Oct 2023
Yankee Bond USD 250m BBB+
8 years 3.625% € 500m 99.843% 3.625% 8 Oct 2021 BBB+
EMTN (Series No. 1)
60 years 4.625% € 700m 99.782% 4.625%
8 Apr 2074
BBB-
Hybrid Bond
8 years 2.125% € 500m 99.412% 2.125% 9 July 2022 BBB+
EMTN (Series No. 2)
perpetual 4% € 1,000m 100.000% 4.000% perpetual BBB-
Hybrid Bond
5 years 0.875% € 500m 99.263% 0.875% 30 Mar 2020 BBB+
EMTN (Series No. 3)
10 years 1.500% € 500m 98.455% 1.5000% 31 Mar 2025 BBB+
EMTN (Series No. 4)

* EUR-equivalent re-offer yield

Name Amount Coupon Final Maturity Date
German Residential Funding 2013-1 Limited € 1,865m 2.80% 27 Aug 2018
German Residential Funding 2013-2 Limited € 682m 2.67% 27 Nov 2018
Taurus 2013 (GMF1) PLC €1,035m 3.35% 21 May 2018

Expected prepayment fees for early CMBS redemption (€ m)

IPD GRF-1 GRF-2 WOBA
Feb 2016 75.5 28.5 50.5
May 2016 67.0 25.6 14.6
Aug 2016 27.2 22.6 10.6
Nov 2016 19.8 10.1 6.7
Feb 2017 12.9 7.6 2.8
May 2017 6.3 5.3 1.4
Aug 2017 2.9 2.9 0.1
Nov 2017 0.6 1.2 0.0
Feb 2018 0.0 0.4 0.0
May 2018 0.0 0.0 0.0
Aug 2018 0.0 0.0 na
Nov 2018 na 0.0 na

Hedge break costs not considered.

Values may differ in case of deviation from sales plan.

Portfolio Management Strategy

Portfolio Management Strategy

Value-driven asset management approach in locations with above-average development potential

Operate: rent growth, vacancy reduction, effective and sustainable maintenance spending and cost savings.

Q3 Results Presentation, 03 November 2015 Page 40 STRATEGIC NON STRATEGIC Privatize/ Non-core Upgrade buildings: comprehensive investments with a focus on energy efficiency Optimize apartments: selective investments in individual flats (focus on senior living and high-end modernization in strong markets that allow a rental premium for fully refurbished apartments)

Locations and assets that do not form an integral part of Vonovia's strategy. Mostly average location and asset quality with stable cash flows. Under permanent review.

Privatize: opportunistic retail sales at attractive premiums above current valuation Non-core: portfolio optimization through sale of assets that have limited development potential in terms of condition and/or location

FFO Build-up

Dividend policy: ~70% of FFO1

Without operating FFO growth and after 2015, excl. disposals 2015 guidance incl. pro rata contribution of acquisitions: Gagfah (10 months), Franconia (9 months), Südewo (6 months) Based on number of outstanding shares per 31 Dec. 2014 = 271.6m and current = 466.0m

Gagfah integration ahead of plan

  • Granular integration processes finalized
  • Headline 1 Segmentation of combined portfolio completed
  • Bottom-up synergy analysis completed
  • All functions agreed with works council
  • IT integration of financial data completed / one integrated SAP-IT platform for the entire Group (since 1 July 2015)
  • Successful dry run for rent collection (go-live on 15 December 2015)
  • Organizational integration of operational units (regions, TGS etc.) done
  • Successful dry-run for all processes
  • Training sessions in all processes almost completed
  • Budgeting and planning processes completely integrated

Integration ahead of schedule with higher synergies and lower one-off costs than planned

  • Substantially increased economies of scale (purchasing, extension strategy)
  • Increased scale de-risking the platform

Acquisition Pipeline Update

IR Contact & Financial Calendar

Contact

Investor Relations Vonovia SE Philippstr. 3 44803 Bochum Germany

+49 234 314 1609 [email protected] www.vonovia.de

Contact Financial Calendar

2015

March 5 Full
year
results
2014
Apr 30 Annual General Meeting
Jun 01 Interim report
Q1 2015
Aug 19 Interim report H1 2015
Nov 3 Interim report 9M 2015
Nov 30 EGM

2016

March 3 Full
year
results
2015
May 12 Annual General Meeting
May 12 Interim report
Q1 2016
Aug 2 Interim report H1 2016
Nov 3 Interim report 9M 2016

Disclaimer

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This presentation includes statements, estimates, opinions and projections with respect to anticipated future performance of Vonovia ("forward-looking statements") which reflect various assumptions concerning anticipated results taken from DA's current business plan or from public sources which have not been independently verified or assessed by Vonovia and which may or may not prove to be correct. Any forward-looking statements reflect current expectations based on the current business plan and various other assumptions and involve significant risks and uncertainties and should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. Any forward-looking statements only speak as at the date the presentation is provided to the recipient. It is up to the recipient of this presentation to make its own assessment of the validity of any forward-looking statements and assumptions and no liability is accepted by Vonovia in respect of the achievement of such forward-looking statements and assumptions.

Vonovia accepts no liability whatsoever to the extent permitted by applicable law for any direct, indirect or consequential loss or penalty arising from any use of this presentation, its contents or preparation or otherwise in connection with it.

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Tables and diagrams may include rounding effects.

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