Earnings Release • Oct 30, 2014
Earnings Release
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Conference Call, Dusseldorf, 30th October 2014
Rolf Buch, CEO Dr. A. Stefan Kirsten, CFO
| Guidance | (Feb. 2014) | (July 2014*) |
(Sept. 2014*) |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-f-l rental growth | 2.3 – | 2.3 – | 2.3 – |
| 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | |
| Modernisation | € | € | € |
| program | 150m | 160m | 160m |
| Disposals (privatisation) | ~1,800 units | 2,000-2,100 units | 2,100-2,200 units |
| Step-up on FMV (privatisation) |
20% | 30-35% | 30-35% |
| FFO 1 | € | € | € |
| 250 – | 275 – | 280 – | |
| 265m | 285m | 285m | |
| Dividend policy | ~70% of | ~70% of | ~70% of |
| FFO 1 | FFO 1 | FFO 1 | |
| Dividend/share | € 0.78 |
* Including pro-rata contribution of acquisitions, excluding disposal of Vitus NRW-Portfolio
*Based on number of shares as of 30 Sep and 31 Dec 2013 (224.2m) and 30 Sep 2014 (240.2m)
*Based on number of shares as of 30 Sep and 31 Dec 2013 (224.2m) and 30 Sep 2014 (240.2m)
**Based on average number of units over the period
© Deutsche Annington Immobilien SE 30th October 2014 9M 2014 Results
| FFO evolution (€m) | FFO breakdown 9M 2014 (€m) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (€m) | 9M 2014 | 9M 2013 | FFO 1 excl. | |||||||
| Adjusted EBITDA | 400.2 | 363.1 | 400 | maintenance | ||||||
| (-) Interest expense FFO | -153.5 | -166.3 | (154) | 311 | ||||||
| (-) Current income taxes | -6.0 | -6.0 | ||||||||
| (=) FFO 2 | 240.7 | 190.8 | ||||||||
| (-) Adjusted EBITDA Sales | -35.7 | -27.4 | (6) | 241 | (36) | 205 | ||||
| (=) FFO 1 | 205.0 | 163.4 | 17 | |||||||
| (-) Capitalised maintenance | -16.6 | -15.7 | ||||||||
| (=) AFFO | 188.4 | 147.7 | ||||||||
| (+) Capitalised maintenance | 16.6 | 15.7 | ||||||||
| (+) Expenses for maintenance | 106.4 | 105.1 | Adjusted | Interest | Current | FFO 2 | Adjusted | FFO 1 | Capitalised | |
| (=) FFO 1 (excl. maintenance) | 311.4 | 268.5 | EBITDA | expense FFO |
income taxes |
EBITDA Sales |
maintenance |
| Privatisation | ||
|---|---|---|
| FY 2013 | 9M 2014 | |
| # units sold |
2,576 | 1,778 |
| Gross proceeds (€m) |
223.4 | 184,4 |
| Fair value disposals (€m) |
-178.8 | -134,9 |
| Gross profit (€m) |
44.6 | 49.5 |
| Fair value step-up |
24.9% | 36.7% |
| Target | > 20% |
| Non-Core Disposals | ||
|---|---|---|
| FY 2013 | 9M 2014 | |
| # units sold |
4,144 | 873 |
| Gross proceeds (€m) |
130.1 | 28.6 |
| Fair value disposals (€m) |
-131.7 | -26.9 |
| Gross profit (€m) |
-1.6 | 1.7 |
| Fair value step-up |
-1.2% | 6.6% |
| Target | = 0% |
Fair value step-up significantly above last year's level
Non-core sales on track
Note: Rounding errors may occur
| Line | FY Target |
Status 9M/2014 |
Comments | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Headcount | Slightly behind as initial plan has been adjusted for acquisitions |
|||
| reduction | ~€12m | Slightly behind | Elderly part time program |
|
| Pay roll reduction |
||||
| IT cost | ~€2m | Slightly ahead |
Lower process cost |
|
| Lower wide area network cost |
||||
| Higher sales |
||||
| TGS | ~€5m | On track | Improved margin due to better business processes |
|
| Other operating cost |
~€5m | Well ahead | Overall lower SG&A and PTU cost |
|
| Total | >€24m | Slightly ahead |
Increased cost saving program lifts savings up to ~€ 150/unit (up from initial target € 120/unit) Effect of acquisitions in 2014 minor, as units count pro rata, full effect from 2015 onwards
We will focus on the systematical development of new services and products along social megatrends
New services will complete our product offering along the social megatrends
Although Deutsche Annington might be affected by the "Mietpreisbremse", it offers the opportunity to focus even stronger on our strategic advantage – socially accepted modernisation executed by TGS, our own craftsmen organisation.
4. Broaden and expand rent-related investments
No option for Deutsche Annington, as not in line with our
All 2014 transactions perfectly enhance our portfolio – acquisitions as well as disposals
| 2014 | 2015 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Today Q4 |
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
| DeWAG – integration completed |
||||||||
| Vitus | 1 | |||||||
| 1. Signing | ||||||||
| 2. Closing | 2 | |||||||
| 3. Integration of Finance / Accounting |
3 | |||||||
| 4. Integration of real estate administrative & technical processes |
4 | |||||||
| 5. Finalisation and transfer of former periods PTU billing |
5 | |||||||
| Franconia | ||||||||
| 1. Signing | 1 | |||||||
| 2. Closing | 2 | |||||||
| 3. Integration of Finance / Accounting |
3 | |||||||
| 4. Integration of real estate administrative/technical processes |
4 | |||||||
| 5. Finalisation and transfer of former periods PTU billing |
5 |
Return matrix is a powerful model to make an early decision about the strategic fit of an offered portfolio
The "cage" keeps us highly disciplined and prevents us from overpaying - a high risk in current markets
| Guidance 2014 | Outlook 2015 | |
|---|---|---|
| l-f-l rental growth | 2.3 – 2.6% |
2.6 – 2.8% |
| Rental income | ~ € 785m |
€ 880 – 900m |
| FFO 1 | € 280 – 285m |
€ 340 – 360m |
| NAV/share1) | € 23 – 24 |
€ 24 – 25 |
| Modernisation program |
~ € 160m |
> € 200m |
| Planned disposals (privatisation) | 2,100-2,200 units | ~1,600 units |
| Step up on FMV (privatisation) |
30-35% | ~30% |
| Dividend policy | 78 cent/share2) | ~70% of FFO1 |
1) Includes adjustment of NAV calculation to more strictly reflect EPRA Best Practices Recommendations; NAV does not include any potential yield compression in year end fair value assessment; Based on existing capital structure
2) = ~70% of FFO 1
| Key Figures | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| in €m | 9M 2014 | 9M 2013 | Change in % |
| Residential Units k | 184.0 | 178.6 | 3.0% |
| Rental income | 572.7 | 546.1 | 4.9% |
| Vacancy rate % | 3.6% | 3.9% | -0.3pp |
| Monthly in-place rent €/sqm excl. DeWAG | 5.51 | 5.39 | 2.3% |
| Adjusted EBITDA Rental | 364.5 | 335.7 | 8.6% |
| Adj. EBITDA Rental / unit in € | 2,017 | 1,865 | 8.2% |
| Income from disposal of properties | 213.0 | 226.1 | -5.8% |
| Adjusted EBITDA Sales | 35.7 | 27.4 | 30.2% |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 400.2 | 363.1 | 10.2% |
| FFO 1 | 205.0 | 163.4 | 25.5% |
| FFO 2 | 240.7 | 190.8 | 26.1% |
| FFO 1 before maintenance | 311.4 | 268.5 | 16.0% |
| AFFO | 188.4 | 147.7 | 27.6% |
| Fair value market properties3 | 11,392.3 | 10,326.7 | 10.3% |
| NAV3 | 5,094.8 | 4,782.2 | 6.5% |
| LTV, in %3,4 | 52.8% | 50.2% | +2.6pp |
| FFO 1 / share in €1 | 0.85 | 0.73 | 17.1% |
| NAV / share in €1.2.3 | |||
| 21.21 | 21.33 | -0.6% |
| Bridge to Adjusted EBITDA | Rental segment | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| (€m) | 9M 2014 | 9M 2013 | |
| Profit for the period | 122.0 | 474.3 | |
| Interest expenses / income | 203.4 | 205.0 | |
| Income taxes | 53.8 | 199.7 | |
| Depreciation | 5.1 | 4.6 | |
| Net income from fair value adjustments of investment properties |
-26.9 | -540.1 | Sales segment |
| EBITDA IFRS | 357.4 | 343.5 | |
| Non-recurring items | 40.5 | 18.5 | |
| Period adjustments | 2.3 | 1.1 | |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 400.2 | 363.1 | |
| Adjusted EBITDA Rental | 364.5 | 335.7 | |
| Adjusted EBITDA Sales | 35.7 | 27.4 |
| (€m) | 9M 2014 | 9M 2013 |
|---|---|---|
| Number of units sold | 2,651 | 3,415 |
| Income from disposal of properties | 213.0 | 226.1 |
| Carrying amount of properties sold | -180.6 | -207.1 |
| Revaluation of assets held for sale | 16.5 | 17.2 |
| Profit on disposal of properties (IFRS) | 48.9 | 36.2 |
| Operating costs | -15.5 | -9.9 |
| Period adjustments | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Adjusted EBITDA Sales | 35.7 | 27.4 |
*) Based on average number of units over the period
| P&L | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change | ||||
| (€m) | 9M 2014 | 9M 2013 | (€m) | % |
| Income from property letting | 823.5 | 785.2 | 38.3 | 4.9 |
| Rental income | 572.7 | 546.1 | 26.6 | 4.9 |
| Ancillary costs | 250.8 | 239.1 | 11.7 | 4.9 |
| Other income from property management | 13.2 | 14.3 | -1.1 | -7.7 |
| Income from property management | 836.7 | 799.5 | 37.2 | 4.7 |
| Income from sale of properties | 213.0 | 226.1 | -13.1 | -5.8 |
| Carrying amount of properties sold | -180.6 | -207.1 | 26.5 | -12.8 |
| Revaluation of assets held for sale | 16.5 | 17.2 | -0.7 | -4.1 |
| Profit on disposal of properties | 48.9 | 36.2 | 12.7 | 35.1 |
| Net income from fair value adjustments of | ||||
| investment properties | 26.9 | 540.1 | -513.2 | -95.0 |
| Capitalised internal modernisation expenses | 59.8 | 21.5 | 38.3 | 178.1 |
| Cost of materials | -382.7 | -368.1 | -14.6 | 4.0 |
| Expenses for ancillary costs | -246.6 | -240.2 | -6.4 | 2.7 |
| Expenses for maintenance | -100.7 | -83.9 | -16.8 | 20.0 |
| Other costs of purchased goods and services | -35.4 | -44.0 | 8.6 | -19.5 |
| Personnel expenses | -130.2 | -112.4 | -17.8 | 15.8 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | -5.1 | -4.6 | -0.5 | 10.9 |
| Other operating income | 34.7 | 33.1 | 1.6 | 4.8 |
| Other operating expenses | -110.7 | -67.0 | -43.7 | 65.2 |
| Financial income | 4.2 | 16.8 | -12.6 | -75.0 |
| Financial expenses | -206.7 | -221.1 | 14.4 | -6.5 |
| Profit before tax | 175.8 | 674.0 | -498.2 | -73.9 |
| Income tax | -53.8 | -199.7 | 145.9 | -73.1 |
| Current income tax | 5.5 | 0.4 | 5.1 | 1275.0 |
| Others (incl. deferred tax) | -59.3 | -200.1 | 140.8 | -70.4 |
| Profit for the period | 122.0 | 474.3 | -352.3 | -74.3 |
| P&L | Comments | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change | |||||
| (€m) | 9M 2014 | 9M 2013 | (€m) | % | |
| Income from property letting | 823.5 | 785.2 | 38.3 | 4.9 | |
| Rental income | 572.7 | 546.1 | 26.6 | 4.9 | |
| Ancillary costs | 250.8 | 239.1 | 11.7 | 4.9 | |
| Other income from property management | 13.2 | 14.3 | -1.1 | -7.7 | |
| Income from property management | 836.7 | 799.5 | 37.2 | 4.7 | |
| Income from sale of properties | 213.0 | 226.1 | -13.1 | -5.8 | |
| Carrying amount of properties sold | -180.6 | -207.1 | 26.5 | -12.8 | |
| Revaluation of assets held for sale | 16.5 | 17.2 | -0.7 | -4.1 | |
| Profit on disposal of properties | 48.9 | 36.2 | 12.7 | 35.1 | |
| Net income from fair value adjustments of investment properties |
26.9 | 540.1 | -513.2 | -95.0 | |
| Capitalised internal modernisation expenses | 59.8 | 21.5 | 38.3 | 178.1 | Increase mainly driven by acquisition und |
| Cost of materials | -382.7 | -368.1 | -14.6 | 4.0 | integration costs for DeWAG and Vitus shown as |
| Expenses for ancillary costs | -246.6 | -240.2 | -6.4 | 2.7 | non-recurring items in the management accounts |
| Expenses for maintenance | -100.7 | -83.9 | -16.8 | 20.0 | |
| Other costs of purchased goods and services | -35.4 | -44.0 | 8.6 | -19.5 | Previous Year: EUR 6.1m income from S-Loan |
| Personnel expenses | -130.2 | -112.4 | -17.8 | 15.8 | contribution |
| Depreciation and amortisation | -5.1 | -4.6 | -0.5 | 10.9 | |
| Other operating income | 34.7 | 33.1 | 1.6 | 4.8 | Decrease in prepayment penalties (to reach 50% |
| Other operating expenses | -110.7 | -67.0 | -43.7 | 65.2 | unencumberance) and commitment fees of |
| Financial income | 4.2 | 16.8 | -12.6 | -75.0 | EUR -24.3m (PY: EUR -26.8m) |
| Financial expenses | -206.7 | -221.1 | 14.4 | -6.5 | Valuation effects from financial instruments of |
| Profit before tax | 175.8 | 674.0 | -498.2 | -73.9 | EUR -11.3m (PY: EUR +13.9m) |
| Income tax | -53.8 | -199.7 | 145.9 | -73.1 | Transaction costs EUR -4.1m ( PY EUR -17.9m) |
| Current income tax | 5.5 | 0.4 | 5.1 | 1275.0 | |
| Others (incl. deferred tax) | -59.3 | -200.1 | 140.8 | -70.4 | Deferred tax 2013 driven by valuation uplift of investment properties |
| Profit for the period | 122.0 | 474.3 | -352.3 | -74.3 |
| Maintenance and modernisation 9M 2014 (€m) |
||
|---|---|---|
| 9M 2014 | 9M 2013 | |
| Maintenance expenses | 106.4 | 105.1 |
| Capitalised maintenance | 16.9 | 15.7 |
| Modernisation work | 120.0 | 26.6 |
| Total cost of modernisation and maintenance work |
243.3 | 147.4 |
| Thereof sales of own craftmen's organisation | 129.8 | 86.6 |
| Thereof bought-in services | 113.5 | 60.8 |
| Modernisation and maintenance / sqm [€] |
21.08 | 12.83 |
| Overview | ||
|---|---|---|
| (€m) | Sept. 30, 2014 | Dec. 31, 2013 |
| Investment properties | 11,337.4 | 10,266.4 |
| Other non-current assets | 108.7 | 86.2 |
| Total non-current assets | 11,446.1 | 10,352.6 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 196.9 | 547.8 |
| Other financial assets | 1,101.8 | 2.1 |
| Other current assets | 146.9 | 190.3 |
| Total current assets | 1,445.6 | 740.2 |
| Total assets | 12,891.7 | 11,092.8 |
| Total equity attributable to DA shareholders | 3,998.4 | 3,805.5 |
| Non-controlling interests | 17.2 | 12.5 |
| Total equity | 4,015.6 | 3,818.0 |
| Other financial liabilities | 6,986.2 | 5,553.0 |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 1,007.6 | 925.0 |
| Provisions for pensions and similar obligations | 331.5 | 291.0 |
| Other non-current liabilities | 71.4 | 61.7 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 8,396.7 | 6,830.7 |
| Other financial liabilities | 253.7 | 212.1 |
| Other current liabilities | 225.7 | 232.0 |
| Total current liabilities | 479.4 | 444.1 |
| Total liabilities | 8,876.1 | 7,274.8 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 12,891.7 | 11,092.8 |
| DA Residential Portfolio Sep. 30, 2014 |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Units | Area | Vacancy | In-Place Rent | Rent l-f-l* |
||||
| Portfolio Segment |
# | % | (´000 sqm) |
% | Y-o-Y in % |
€m (annualised) |
€/sqm | Y-o-Y in % |
| Operate | 72,776 | 39.6 | 4,618 | 3.0 | (0.2) | 302.7 | 5.63 | +1.7 |
| Upgrade | 47,965 | 26.1 | 3,032 | 2.9 | (0.1) | 195.9 | 5.55 | +2.6 |
| Optimise | 33,527 | 18.2 | 2,132 | 3.2 | +0.7 | 148.5 | 6.00 | +3.6 |
| RENTAL ONLY |
154,268 | 83.9 | 9,782 | 3.0 | (0.1) | 647.1 | 5.69 | +2.4 |
| Privatise | 20,205 | 11.0 | 1,383 | 4.9 | (0.2) | 86.0 | 5.44 | +1.7 |
| Non-Core | 9,510 | 5.2 | 598 | 11.5 | +0.3 | 27.3 | 4.30 | +0.9 |
| TOTAL | 183,983 | 100.0 | 11,763 | 3.6 | (0.3) | 760.4 | 5.59 | +2.3 |
* excluding DeWAG
Note: Rounding errors may occur
| Rating agency | Rating | Outlook | Last Update |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard & Poor's | BBB | Stable | 18 June 2014 |
| Amount | Issue Price | Coupon | Maturity Date |
Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 years 2.125% Euro Bond |
€ 700m |
99.793% | 2.125% | 25 July 2016 |
BBB |
| 6 years 3.125% Euro Bond |
€ 600m |
99.935% | 3.125% | 25 July 2019 |
BBB |
| 4 years 3.200% Yankee Bond |
USD 750m | 100.000% | 3.200% (2.970%)* |
2 Oct 2017 | BBB |
| 10 years 5.000% Yankee Bond |
USD 250m | 98.993% | 5.000% (4.580%)* |
2 Oct 2023 | BBB |
| 8 years 3.625% EMTN |
€ 500m |
99.843% | 3.625% | 8 Oct 2021 | BBB |
| 8 years 2.125% EMTN |
€ 500m |
99.412% | 2.125% | 9 July 2022 |
BBB |
| 60 years 4,625% Hybrid |
€ 700m |
99.782% | 4.625% | 8 Apr 2074 | BB+ |
*EUR-equivalent re-offer yield
This presentation has been specifically prepared by Deutsche Annington Immobilien SE and/or its affiliates (together, "DA") for internal use. Consequently, it may not be sufficient or appropriate for the purpose for which a third party might use it.
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This presentation includes statements, estimates, opinions and projections with respect to anticipated future performance of DA ("forward-looking statements") which reflect various assumptions concerning anticipated results taken from DA's current business plan or from public sources which have not been independently verified or assessed by DA and which may or may not prove to be correct. Any forward-looking statements reflect current expectations based on the current business plan and various other assumptions and involve significant risks and uncertainties and should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. Any forward-looking statements only speak as at the date the presentation is provided to the recipient. It is up to the recipient of this presentation to make its own assessment of the validity of any forward-looking statements and assumptions and no liability is accepted by DA in respect of the achievement of such forward-looking statements and assumptions.
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| Contact | Financial Calendar Q4 2014 |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investor Relations | Oct 1 |
Societe Generale Conference, London |
||
| Deutsche Annington Immobilien SE Philippstraße 3 |
Oct 30 Oct 31 |
DAIG Interim Report Jan.-Sept. 2014 Management Roadshow, Amsterdam |
||
| 44803 Bochum, Germany | Nov 3 | Management Roadshow, Frankfurt | ||
| Tel.: +49 234 314 1609 | Nov 4-5 | Management Roadshow, London | ||
| [email protected] | Dec 1 |
Berenberg Conference, Penny Hill (UK) |
||
| http://www.deutsche-annington.com | Dec 2 | UBS Conference, London | ||
| Dec 9-10 | Barclays Conference, New York | |||
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